Burton Albion v West Ham United

FA Cup · Round 4

Burton AlbionBRA

0–1

AET

West Ham UnitedWHU

Momentum

– BRAWHU –

now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

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Stats

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Season context

Burton Albion	at home	Stat	league	away	West Ham United
51.8 #64	–	Ball possession	38.3	–	58.8 #35
15.8 #26	–	Shots total	8.8	–	19.2 #9
6.2 #35	–	Shots on target	3.5	–	5.8 #49
5.0 #74	–	Corners	4.0	–	9.2 #8
9.8 #67	–	Fouls	9.1	–	16.5 #9
2.2 #37	–	Offsides	1.8	–	3.0 #14
14.0 #41	–	Tackles	13.6	–	21.2 #14
80.2 #101	–	Attacks	71.7	–	142.2 #7
54.5 #48	–	Dangerous attacks	37.4	–	62.5 #31
275.8 #47	–	Passes	343.8	–	647.8 #5
2.0 #37	–	Yellowcards	1.8	–	2.0 #37
–	–	Redcards	0.4	–	0.2 #22
3.0 #1	–	Assists	1.2	–	1.0 #36
– #569	–	Btts	57.6	–	– #264
– #36	–	Cleansheet	16.3	–	– #231
– #256	–	Draw	14.3	–	– #26
1.1 #32	–	Expected goals	1.3	–	3.5 #2
2.4 #6	–	Expected goals difference	0.6	–	-1.8 #68
– #303	–	Failed to score	28.2	–	– #370
3.5 #8	3.0	Goals	1.4	1.0	1.8 #260
0.5 #708	0.5	Goals conceded	2.0	0.0	1.2 #506
0.5 #48	–	Injury time goals	0.5	–	0.8 #34
5.0 #52	–	Interceptions	7.4	–	9.0 #29
– #570	–	Lost	56.7	–	– #706
–	–	Penalties scored	0.4	–	0.2 #33
6.9 #22	–	Rating	6.6	–	7.0 #7
4.0 #26	–	Shots blocked	3.0	–	8.5 #3
7.5 #34	–	Shots insidebox	7.1	–	14.8 #5
5.8 #72	–	Shots off target	4.5	–	5.0 #87
3.8 #37	–	Shots outsidebox	3.5	–	4.5 #26
– #15	–	Win	29.1	–	– #141

Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 243.

League this season · 2025/2026

Played: 868 of 871
Goals / match: 3.3 (home 1.83 · away 1.47)
Home / draw / away: 47% · 18% · 35%
BTTS · over 2.5: 57% · 64%
Cards / match: 0.65 (reds 0.05)

Competition

Stage: Round 4

Venue

Stadium: Pirelli Stadium, Burton-upon-Trent
Capacity: 6,912
Surface: grass
Attendance: 6,514

Teams

Coaches: Gary Bowyer · Nuno Espírito Santo
Position: 1 · 2
Formation: 3-4-1-2 · 3-4-3

Referee

Lewis Smith

Weather

Conditions: scattered clouds
Temperature: 5.5° (feels 3.3°)
Wind: 2.7
Humidity: 74%

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No table for this competition stage.

Burton Albion

WWW 3W 0D 0L · 9 pts (3.0 ppg) · GF 14 GA 1 · xG 3.21–1.3 · xPts 4.1

W A Boreham Wood 5–0 xG 1.42–0.85 UK FA Cup
W A Brackley Town 3–1 xG 1.79–0.45 UK FA Cup
W H St Albans City 6–0 UK FA Cup

West Ham United

WWLWD 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 10 GA 6 · xG 8.18–8.09 · xPts 7.17

D H Manchester United 1–1 xG 1.34–0.86 UK PL
W A Burnley 2–0 xG 0.58–1.92 UK PL
L A Chelsea 2–3 xG 1.3–3.18 UK PL
W H Sunderland 3–1 xG 1.63–0.51 UK PL
W A Tottenham Hotspur 2–1 xG 3.34–1.61 UK PL

All meetings · 1 match since 2026

Burton Albion 00 draws1 West Ham United

Goals 0–1 · 1.0 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 0%

Last 10 · 1 match

Burton Albion 00 draws1 West Ham United

Goals 0–1 · 1.0 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 0%

Last 5 · 1 match

Burton Albion 00 draws1 West Ham United

Goals 0–1 · 1.0 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 0%

Recent meetings

L Burton Albion 0–1 West Ham United aet UK FA Cup · Round 4

Metric	Burton Albion all · 4	Burton Albion at home · 2	West Ham United all · 4	West Ham United away · 1

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Burton Albion

No pressure profile yet.

West Ham United · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.23) · stands out: when behind +0.64

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.237

Early press (0-15, level)-0.037

Late push (76+, level)-0.273

Game state

When ahead+0.235

When level+0.077

When behind+0.643

10 min after conceding-0.085

10 min after scoring+0.527

Situations

At home+0.454

Away-0.013

3 days rest or fewer+0.093

4+ days rest+0.324

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.142

v bottom-tier opponents+0.265

As favourite+0.306

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.197

Conceded when ahead-0.205

Conceded late (76+)-0.336

Congested vs rested -0.24 · Ahead vs level +0.16 · Behind vs level +0.57

Burton Albion

Current: winless 1 · conceding 1

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
3-1-4-2	2 50%	3.0	5.5	0.0	1.42	0.85
3-4-1-2	2 50%	1.5	1.5	1.0	1.54	1.16

West Ham United

Current: unbeaten 5 · wins 4 · scoring 9 · clean sheets 1

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
3-4-3	2 50%	3.0	1.5	0.5	2.13	1.04
4-2-3-1	2 50%	1.0	2.0	2.0	5.08	4.88

Metric	Burton Albion all · 8	Burton Albion at home · 5	West Ham United all · 10	West Ham United away · 10
Results
Matches	8	5	10	10
Points per game	1.75	1.40	1.70	1.20
W / D / L	4 / 2 / 2	2 / 1 / 2	5 / 2 / 3	3 / 3 / 4
Goals for / match	2.00	1.60	2.40	1.10
Goals against / match	0.63	0.80	1.30	1.80
Clean sheets	50%	40%	30%	30%
Failed to score	38%	40%	10%	30%
Both teams scored	25%	20%	60%	50%
Over 2.5	38%	20%	80%	50%
Expected goals
xG for / match	1.50	1.28	2.21	1.39
xG against / match	1.06	1.87	1.35	1.71
xG difference	0.44	-0.58	0.86	-0.33
Finishing vs xG	1.17	-1.28	0.19	-0.29
xPts / match	1.71	1.02	1.80	1.19
Points vs xPts	0.29	-1.02	-0.10	0.01
Game state
Scored first	62%	60%	60%	40%
PPG when scoring first	2.60	2.33	2.67	2.50
PPG when conceding first	0.00	0.00	0.25	0.20
Came back from behind	0%	0%	40%	33%
Leads held	80%	67%	83%	75%
Minutes leading	25%	22%	36%	16%
Minutes level	64%	61%	44%	50%
Minutes trailing	11%	16%	20%	35%
First goal (min)	42	54	36	47
First goal conceded (min)	61	73	38	24
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half	73%	86%	62%	60%
Goals conceded in 2nd half	33%	50%	46%	44%
Late goals for (76'+)	0.87	0.80	0.70	0.20
Late goals against	0.38	0.60	0.30	0.40
Style
Possession	51%	51%	51%	50%
Shots	13.4	14.0	15.1	11.9
On target	5.3	4.6	6.1	3.9
Shot conversion	15%	11%	16%	9%
Shots inside box	67%	63%	76%	74%
Big chances created	3.0	1.0	3.8	2.2
Corners	4.7	4.4	5.3	6.2
xG from set plays	15%	17%	28%	30%
Goals from headers	0%	0%	17%	27%
Pressure index	17.4	17.1	14.2	8.4
Dominant minutes	59.0	63.8	51.7	42.0
Pass accuracy	70%	65%	83%	81%
Fouls	10.9	11.4	9.4	10.5
Cards	2.75	2.40	1.80	2.30

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Burton Albion

0–15'20

16–30'01

31–45'21

46–60'20

61–75'30

76–90'61

West Ham United

0–15'32

16–30'24

31–45'41

46–60'21

61–75'62

76–90'73

Burton Albion

Current: winless 1 · conceding 1

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
3-4-1-2	3 38%	2.0	1.33	0.67	1.54	1.16
3-1-4-2	2 25%	3.0	5.5	0.0	1.42	0.85
4-1-4-1	1 12%	1.0	0.0	0.0	–	–
4-1-3-2	1 12%	0.0	0.0	2.0	–	–
4-2-3-1	1 12%	1.0	1.0	1.0	–	–

West Ham United

Current: unbeaten 5 · wins 4 · scoring 9 · clean sheets 1

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-4-2	4 40%	2.5	3.75	1.0	2.48	1.14
4-4-1-1	3 30%	1.33	1.67	1.67	2.33	1.35
3-4-2-1	2 20%	0.0	0.5	2.0	1.17	1.53
4-2-3-1	1 10%	3.0	3.0	0.0	2.84	1.77

Metric	Burton Albion all · 4	Burton Albion at home · 2	West Ham United all · 45	West Ham United away · 21
Results
Matches	–	–	45	21
Points per game	–	–	1.29	1.05
W / D / L	–	–	15 / 13 / 17	5 / 7 / 9
Goals for / match	–	–	1.53	1.10
Goals against / match	–	–	1.51	1.76
Clean sheets	–	–	20%	19%
Failed to score	–	–	24%	29%
Both teams scored	–	–	60%	57%
Over 2.5	–	–	62%	52%
Expected goals
xG for / match	–	–	1.74	1.28
xG against / match	–	–	1.82	2.00
xG difference	–	–	-0.08	-0.72
Finishing vs xG	–	–	-0.20	-0.18
xPts / match	–	–	1.33	0.99
Points vs xPts	–	–	-0.04	0.06
Game state
Scored first	–	–	49%	43%
PPG when scoring first	–	–	2.05	2.00
PPG when conceding first	–	–	0.52	0.27
Came back from behind	–	–	32%	31%
Leads held	–	–	62%	56%
Minutes leading	–	–	27%	22%
Minutes level	–	–	48%	41%
Minutes trailing	–	–	25%	37%
First goal (min)	–	–	41	46
First goal conceded (min)	–	–	41	34
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half	–	–	52%	50%
Goals conceded in 2nd half	–	–	56%	49%
Late goals for (76'+)	–	–	0.42	0.24
Late goals against	–	–	0.38	0.33
Style
Possession	–	–	46%	45%
Shots	–	–	12.2	10.6
On target	–	–	4.1	3.4
Shot conversion	–	–	13%	10%
Shots inside box	–	–	74%	76%
Big chances created	–	–	2.5	1.9
Corners	–	–	5.4	5.0
xG from set plays	–	–	36%	33%
Goals from headers	–	–	22%	22%
Pressure index	–	–	10.2	7.5
Dominant minutes	–	–	41.7	34.6
Pass accuracy	–	–	79%	78%
Fouls	–	–	11.4	11.1
Cards	–	–	2.04	2.19

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

West Ham United

0–15'1111

16–30'68

31–45'1511

46–60'67

61–75'1214

76–90'1717

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Burton Albion · 4 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.28) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.98

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.284

Early press (0-15, level)+0.794

Game state

When ahead+0.463

When level+0.174

10 min after scoring+0.983

Situations

At home-0.172

Away+0.702

4+ days rest+0.284

Opposition

As favourite+0.752

As underdog-0.162

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.054

Conceded when ahead-0.173

Conceded late (76+)-0.392

Ahead vs level +0.28

West Ham United · 45 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.07) · stands out: late push (76+, level) -0.33

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.0745

Early press (0-15, level)-0.0945

Late push (76+, level)-0.3322

Late chase (76+, behind)-0.1217

Game state

When ahead-0.0423

When level-0.1345

When behind+0.0125

10 min after conceding-0.1736

10 min after scoring+0.1832

Situations

At home-0.0324

Away-0.1121

3 days rest or fewer-0.117

4+ days rest-0.0638

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.2423

v mid-tier opponents+0.109

v bottom-tier opponents+0.117

As favourite+0.2311

Evenly matched-0.0814

As underdog-0.2120

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.2445

Conceded when ahead+0.3923

Conceded late (76+)+0.2540

Congested vs rested -0.05 · Ahead vs level +0.09 · Behind vs level +0.14

Burton Albion

Current: winless 1 · conceding 1

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
3-4-1-2	2 50%	1.5	1.5	1.0	1.54	1.16
3-1-4-2	2 50%	3.0	5.5	0.0	1.42	0.85

West Ham United

Current: unbeaten 5 · wins 4 · scoring 9 · clean sheets 1

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-4-1-1	11 24%	1.82	1.82	1.27	1.75	1.5
4-2-3-1	10 22%	0.8	1.2	1.7	1.99	2.46
4-4-2	5 11%	2.6	3.2	0.8	2.2	1.11
3-4-3	4 9%	1.75	1.5	1.25	1.53	1.87
4-3-3	4 9%	1.5	1.75	1.75	1.79	1.84

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

5.0Home 19% P 17%3.9Draw 24% P 24%1.66Away 57% P 59%

Double Chance

3.0Burton Albion or Draw 16% P 20%1.16Burton Albion or West Ham 41% P 38%1.08Draw or West Ham 44% P 41%

Draw No Bet

5.51 17%1.142 83%

Both Teams To Score

1.8Yes 52% P 52%1.95No 48% P 48%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.61Over 59% P 53%2.3Under 41% P 47%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.06 - 8 29%2.629 - 11 34%4.512 - 14 20%11.0Over 14 8%

Number of Cards

2.51.72Over 54%2.0Under 46%

3.52.2Over 42%1.61Under 58%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 15–17.5% · away 57.5–60% · 227 fixtures

	This match	Band	Actual	±
Home	17%	17%	18%	+1.0
Draw	24%	24%	24%	-0.2
Away	59%	59%	58%	-0.9

In those fixtures: 2.4 goals a game · BTTS 44% · over 2.5 43%

Both teams to score · yes 50–52.5% · 3,449 fixtures

	This match	Band	Actual	±
Yes	52%	51%	51%	-0.6

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 52.5–55% · 2,940 fixtures

	This match	Band	Actual	±
Over 2.5	53%	54%	54%	+0.8

Lewis Smith

Career: 75 matches · 7 seasons
Cards / match: 3.67 (3.57 yellow · 0.05 red)
Fouls / match: 20.8 · 5.5 fouls per card
Penalties / match: 0.21
Cards to home side: 45%

Style in FA Cup (5-year window · 11 matches)

Metric	Referee	League	vs peers	pct
Cards / match	2.09	3.73	-1.93	0
Fouls / match	16.8	19.7	-1.53
Fouls per card	8.0	5.5	+1.46 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match	0.0	0.24	-1.70	0
Time added	7.1	7.2	-0.16	38

First card: 40' on average
Card timing: 32% in first 30' · 32% in last 15'
Cards to home side: 46% (league 45%)

Recent matches

Date	Y	Fouls	1st card	+min
2026-01-31	3	17	69'	14
2026-01-25	3	23	70'	7
2026-01-17	5	22	85'	7
2026-01-10	3	17	26'	6
2026-01-01	3	19	43'	7
2025-12-29	2	16	37'	6
2025-12-15	5	18	56'	8
2025-12-06	2	14	49'	8
2025-11-29	4	18	57'	10
2025-11-25	4	22	22'	7

Momentum

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Events

Stats

Season context

League this season · 2025/2026

Trends

Lineups

Bench

Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad

Burton Albion

West Ham United · Last 365 days

Absences

West Ham United

Commentary

In-Play Odds

Competition

Venue

Teams

Referee

Weather

Where to watch · 297

Burton Albion

West Ham United

All meetings · 1 match since 2026

Last 10 · 1 match

Last 5 · 1 match

Recent meetings

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Burton Albion

West Ham United · 7 matches

Burton Albion

West Ham United

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Burton Albion

West Ham United

Burton Albion

West Ham United

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

West Ham United

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Burton Albion · 4 matches

West Ham United · 45 matches

Burton Albion

West Ham United

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Latest prices

Fulltime Result

Double Chance

Draw No Bet

Both Teams To Score

Goals Over/Under

Total Corners

Number of Cards

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Match result · home 15–17.5% · away 57.5–60% · 227 fixtures

Both teams to score · yes 50–52.5% · 3,449 fixtures

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 52.5–55% · 2,940 fixtures

Lewis Smith

Style in FA Cup (5-year window · 11 matches)

Recent matches