Momentum
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
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Events
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Stats
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Season context
| Port Vale | at home | Stat | league | away | Bristol City |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 38.2 #131 | – | Ball possession | 38.3 | – | 63.0 #14 |
| 11.8 #73 | – | Shots total | 8.8 | – | 14.5 #35 |
| 3.3 #117 | – | Shots on target | 3.5 | – | 4.5 #80 |
| 5.7 #61 | – | Corners | 4.0 | – | 7.0 #22 |
| 9.7 #68 | – | Fouls | 9.1 | – | 9.0 #79 |
| 2.0 #38 | – | Offsides | 1.8 | – | 3.5 #9 |
| 15.5 #33 | – | Tackles | 13.6 | – | 23.5 #8 |
| 85.2 #87 | – | Attacks | 71.7 | – | 99.5 #54 |
| 39.2 #111 | – | Dangerous attacks | 37.4 | – | 46.0 #73 |
| 262.2 #49 | – | Passes | 343.8 | – | 602.5 #11 |
| 2.5 #24 | – | Yellowcards | 1.8 | – | 1.5 #65 |
| 1.5 #27 | – | Assists | 1.2 | – | 2.5 #2 |
| – #584 | – | Btts | 57.6 | – | – #374 |
| – #10 | – | Cleansheet | 16.3 | – | – #286 |
| – #256 | – | Draw | 14.3 | – | – #256 |
| 1.2 #29 | – | Expected goals | 1.3 | – | 1.8 #17 |
| 0.3 #47 | – | Expected goals difference | 0.6 | – | 0.7 #31 |
| – #360 | – | Failed to score | 28.2 | – | – #114 |
| 1.5 #305 | 1.8 | Goals | 1.4 | 0.0 | 2.5 #65 |
| 1.3 #481 | 0.2 | Goals conceded | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 #538 |
| 0.2 #164 | – | Injury time goals | 0.5 | – | – |
| 7.8 #36 | – | Interceptions | 7.4 | – | 9.5 #27 |
| – #686 | – | Lost | 56.7 | – | – #253 |
| 6.8 #32 | – | Rating | 6.6 | – | 7.0 #9 |
| 4.0 #26 | – | Shots blocked | 3.0 | – | 6.0 #10 |
| 7.3 #36 | – | Shots insidebox | 7.1 | – | 10.5 #19 |
| 5.7 #73 | – | Shots off target | 4.5 | – | 4.0 #122 |
| 3.2 #43 | – | Shots outsidebox | 3.5 | – | 4.0 #30 |
| – #8 | – | Win | 29.1 | – | – #141 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 243.
League this season · 2025/2026
- Played
- 868 of 871
- Goals / match
- 3.3 (home 1.83 · away 1.47)
- Home / draw / away
- 47% · 18% · 35%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 57% · 64%
- Cards / match
- 0.65 (reds 0.05)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Port Vale
No ranked players yet.
Bristol City · Last 365 days
Absences
Bristol City
- injury Luke McNally defender · Cruciate Ligament Injury · 75 missed
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Round 4
Venue
- Stadium
- Vale Park, Stoke-on-Trent
- Capacity
- 19,052
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 4,611
Teams
- Coaches
- J. Brady · Gerhard Struber
- Position
- 1 · 2
- Formation
- 3-4-2-1 · 3-4-2-1
Referee
Elliot Bell
Weather
- Conditions
- overcast clouds
- Temperature
- 7.3° (feels 6.8°)
- Wind
- 1.3
- Humidity
- 63%
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No table for this competition stage.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
Port Vale
WW 2W 0D 0L · 6 pts (3.0 ppg) · GF 2 GA 0 · xG 1.61–1.0 · xPts 1.79
- W
H
Fleetwood Town
1–0
xG 1.61–1.0
UK FA Cup - W
H
Bristol Rovers
1–0
UK FA Cup
WW 2W 0D 0L · 6 pts (3.0 ppg) · GF 2 GA 0 · xG 1.61–1.0 · xPts 1.79
- W
H
Fleetwood Town
1–0
xG 1.61–1.0
UK FA Cup - W
H
Bristol Rovers
1–0
UK FA Cup
Bristol City
WDLWL 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 8 GA 8 · xG 4.91–7.07 · xPts 5.29
- L
H
Watford
1–2
xG 0.95–1.37
UK CHAMP - W
A
Blackburn Rovers
2–1
xG 1.17–2.34
UK CHAMP - L
A
Swansea City
0–1
xG 0.94–1.08
UK CHAMP - D
H
Wrexham
2–2
xG 0.44–0.96
UK CHAMP - W
A
Hull City
3–2
xG 1.41–1.32
UK CHAMP
WDLWLWDLWL 4W 2D 4L · 14 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 15 GA 16 · xG 10.79–13.89 · xPts 11.64
- L
H
Watford
1–2
xG 0.95–1.37
UK CHAMP - W
A
Blackburn Rovers
2–1
xG 1.17–2.34
UK CHAMP - L
A
Swansea City
0–1
xG 0.94–1.08
UK CHAMP - D
H
Wrexham
2–2
xG 0.44–0.96
UK CHAMP - W
A
Hull City
3–2
xG 1.41–1.32
UK CHAMP - L
H
Derby County
0–5
xG 0.49–2.77
UK CHAMP - W
H
Sheffield Wednesday
2–0
xG 1.9–0.59
UK CHAMP - L
A
Ipswich Town
0–2
xG 0.81–1.51
UK CHAMP - D
A
Oxford United
0–0
xG 0.35–1.13
UK CHAMP - W
H
Watford
5–1
xG 2.32–0.82
UK FA Cup
All meetings · 1 match since 2026
Goals 1–0 · 1.0 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 0%
Last 10 · 1 match
Goals 1–0 · 1.0 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 0%
Last 5 · 1 match
Goals 1–0 · 1.0 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 0%
Recent meetings
- W Port Vale 1–0 Bristol City aet UK FA Cup · Round 4
| Metric | Port Vale all · 6 | Port Vale at home · 5 | Bristol City all · 2 | Bristol City away · 1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 6 | 5 | – | – |
| Points per game | 2.50 | 3.00 | – | – |
| W / D / L | 5 / 0 / 1 | 5 / 0 / 0 | – | – |
| Goals for / match | 1.50 | 1.80 | – | – |
| Goals against / match | 1.33 | 0.20 | – | – |
| Clean sheets | 67% | 80% | – | – |
| Failed to score | 17% | 0% | – | – |
| Both teams scored | 17% | 20% | – | – |
| Over 2.5 | 33% | 20% | – | – |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.50 | 1.84 | – | – |
| xG against / match | 1.80 | 1.18 | – | – |
| xG difference | -0.31 | 0.66 | – | – |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.10 | 0.16 | – | – |
| xPts / match | 1.32 | 1.65 | – | – |
| Points vs xPts | 1.08 | 1.35 | – | – |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 67% | 80% | – | – |
| PPG when scoring first | 3.00 | 3.00 | – | – |
| PPG when conceding first | 1.50 | 3.00 | – | – |
| Came back from behind | 50% | 100% | – | – |
| Leads held | 100% | 100% | – | – |
| Minutes leading | 41% | 48% | – | – |
| Minutes level | 42% | 50% | – | – |
| Minutes trailing | 17% | 2% | – | – |
| First goal (min) | 49 | 49 | – | – |
| First goal conceded (min) | 4 | 6 | – | – |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 25% | 25% | – | – |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 50% | 0% | – | – |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.17 | 0.20 | – | – |
| Late goals against | 0.33 | 0.00 | – | – |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 38% | 41% | – | – |
| Shots | 11.8 | 13.4 | – | – |
| On target | 3.3 | 4.0 | – | – |
| Shot conversion | 13% | 13% | – | – |
| Shots inside box | 70% | 73% | – | – |
| Big chances created | 1.6 | 2.0 | – | – |
| Corners | 5.7 | 6.4 | – | – |
| xG from set plays | 37% | 37% | – | – |
| Goals from headers | 11% | 11% | – | – |
| Pressure index | 15.7 | 18.1 | – | – |
| Dominant minutes | 51.7 | 58.0 | – | – |
| Pass accuracy | 66% | 66% | – | – |
| Fouls | 9.7 | 9.6 | – | – |
| Cards | 2.33 | 2.60 | – | – |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Port Vale
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Port Vale
No pressure profile yet.
Bristol City · 7 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.35) · stands out: as underdog +0.72
Tempo
Game state
Situations
Opposition
Conceded
Congested vs rested +0.02 · Ahead vs level -0.28 · Behind vs level +0.13
Port Vale
Current: winless 1 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-4-1 | 2 33% | 1.5 | 0.5 | 3.5 | 0.46 | 2.93 |
| 4-4-2 | 2 33% | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.61 | 1.0 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 1 17% | 3.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 3.67 | 0.54 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 1 17% | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.29 | 1.62 |
Bristol City
Current: winless 2 · conceding 7
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 2 100% | 1.5 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 1.97 | 1.05 |
| Metric | Port Vale all · 10 | Port Vale at home · 8 | Bristol City all · 10 | Bristol City away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 8 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 2.00 | 2.13 | 1.40 | 1.30 |
| W / D / L | 6 / 2 / 2 | 5 / 2 / 1 | 4 / 2 / 4 | 3 / 4 / 3 |
| Goals for / match | 1.60 | 1.63 | 1.50 | 1.40 |
| Goals against / match | 1.50 | 0.88 | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Clean sheets | 50% | 62% | 10% | 10% |
| Failed to score | 10% | 12% | 20% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 38% | 70% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 | 40% | 38% | 70% | 70% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.50 | 1.84 | 1.21 | 1.34 |
| xG against / match | 1.80 | 1.18 | 1.64 | 1.60 |
| xG difference | -0.31 | 0.66 | -0.44 | -0.26 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.10 | 0.16 | 0.29 | 0.06 |
| xPts / match | 1.32 | 1.65 | 1.18 | 1.23 |
| Points vs xPts | 1.08 | 1.35 | 0.22 | 0.07 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 60% | 62% | 50% | 40% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.67 | 2.60 | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| PPG when conceding first | 1.00 | 1.50 | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| Came back from behind | 60% | 67% | 20% | 40% |
| Leads held | 86% | 83% | 67% | 60% |
| Minutes leading | 38% | 40% | 28% | 18% |
| Minutes level | 44% | 51% | 44% | 53% |
| Minutes trailing | 18% | 10% | 27% | 29% |
| First goal (min) | 43 | 40 | 38 | 47 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 35 | 35 | 45 | 37 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 31% | 20% | 67% | 71% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 64% | 67% | 62% | 50% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.40 | 0.25 | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| Late goals against | 0.60 | 0.50 | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 44% | 44% | 47% | 47% |
| Shots | 11.3 | 12.4 | 12.7 | 12.2 |
| On target | 3.7 | 3.9 | 4.3 | 4.7 |
| Shot conversion | 14% | 13% | 12% | 12% |
| Shots inside box | 70% | 73% | 67% | 64% |
| Big chances created | 1.6 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 2.5 |
| Corners | 5.2 | 5.6 | 5.0 | 4.8 |
| xG from set plays | 37% | 37% | 43% | 41% |
| Goals from headers | 10% | 11% | 27% | 29% |
| Pressure index | 12.9 | 13.5 | 12.6 | 11.1 |
| Dominant minutes | 51.2 | 53.5 | 46.5 | 42.1 |
| Pass accuracy | 66% | 66% | 77% | 79% |
| Fouls | 9.9 | 9.9 | 10.6 | 10.6 |
| Cards | 2.20 | 2.38 | 1.70 | 2.00 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Port Vale
Bristol City
Port Vale
Current: winless 1 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 3 30% | 1.67 | 1.67 | 1.33 | 1.29 | 1.62 |
| 4-4-2 | 2 20% | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.61 | 1.0 |
| 5-4-1 | 2 20% | 1.5 | 0.5 | 3.5 | 0.46 | 2.93 |
| 3-4-3 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | – | – |
| 3-4-1-2 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 3.67 | 0.54 |
Bristol City
Current: winless 2 · conceding 7
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 10 100% | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.21 | 1.64 |
| Metric | Port Vale all · 6 | Port Vale at home · 5 | Bristol City all · 50 | Bristol City away · 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 6 | 5 | 50 | 25 |
| Points per game | 2.50 | 3.00 | 1.28 | 1.24 |
| W / D / L | 5 / 0 / 1 | 5 / 0 / 0 | 18 / 10 / 22 | 8 / 7 / 10 |
| Goals for / match | 1.50 | 1.80 | 1.24 | 1.04 |
| Goals against / match | 1.33 | 0.20 | 1.38 | 1.40 |
| Clean sheets | 67% | 80% | 24% | 20% |
| Failed to score | 17% | 0% | 34% | 36% |
| Both teams scored | 17% | 20% | 48% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 | 33% | 20% | 48% | 48% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.50 | 1.84 | 1.20 | 1.26 |
| xG against / match | 1.80 | 1.18 | 1.48 | 1.49 |
| xG difference | -0.31 | 0.66 | -0.29 | -0.23 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.10 | 0.16 | 0.04 | -0.22 |
| xPts / match | 1.32 | 1.65 | 1.22 | 1.23 |
| Points vs xPts | 1.08 | 1.35 | 0.06 | 0.01 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 67% | 80% | 38% | 28% |
| PPG when scoring first | 3.00 | 3.00 | 2.37 | 2.43 |
| PPG when conceding first | 1.50 | 3.00 | 0.57 | 0.73 |
| Came back from behind | 50% | 100% | 27% | 33% |
| Leads held | 100% | 100% | 78% | 80% |
| Minutes leading | 41% | 48% | 27% | 20% |
| Minutes level | 42% | 50% | 43% | 50% |
| Minutes trailing | 17% | 2% | 30% | 30% |
| First goal (min) | 49 | 49 | 34 | 42 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 4 | 6 | 37 | 35 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 25% | 25% | 55% | 54% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 50% | 0% | 50% | 47% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.17 | 0.20 | 0.32 | 0.32 |
| Late goals against | 0.33 | 0.00 | 0.28 | 0.28 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 38% | 41% | 50% | 48% |
| Shots | 11.8 | 13.4 | 12.3 | 12.6 |
| On target | 3.3 | 4.0 | 4.2 | 4.4 |
| Shot conversion | 13% | 13% | 10% | 8% |
| Shots inside box | 70% | 73% | 62% | 64% |
| Big chances created | 1.6 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 |
| Corners | 5.7 | 6.4 | 5.1 | 5.4 |
| xG from set plays | 37% | 37% | 29% | 31% |
| Goals from headers | 11% | 11% | 27% | 27% |
| Pressure index | 15.7 | 18.1 | 13.4 | 11.1 |
| Dominant minutes | 51.7 | 58.0 | 45.6 | 42.9 |
| Pass accuracy | 66% | 66% | 78% | 77% |
| Fouls | 9.7 | 9.6 | 10.0 | 10.9 |
| Cards | 2.33 | 2.60 | 1.96 | 2.04 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Port Vale
Bristol City
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Port Vale · 6 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.18) · stands out: as favourite +0.67
Tempo
Game state
Situations
Opposition
Conceded
Ahead vs level -0.04 · Behind vs level +0.27
Bristol City · 50 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.14) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.52
Tempo
Game state
Situations
Opposition
Conceded
Congested vs rested +0.00 · Ahead vs level -0.10 · Behind vs level -0.17
Port Vale
Current: winless 1 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-4-1 | 2 33% | 1.5 | 0.5 | 3.5 | 0.46 | 2.93 |
| 4-4-2 | 2 33% | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.61 | 1.0 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 1 17% | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.29 | 1.62 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 1 17% | 3.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 3.67 | 0.54 |
Bristol City
Current: winless 2 · conceding 7
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 22 44% | 1.32 | 1.32 | 1.5 | 1.16 | 1.39 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 15 30% | 1.27 | 1.33 | 1.53 | 1.11 | 1.55 |
| 3-5-2 | 5 10% | 0.8 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.52 | 1.38 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 4 8% | 1.0 | 0.75 | 1.5 | 1.48 | 1.44 |
| 3-4-3 | 1 2% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.35 | 1.13 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.
Latest prices
bet365 · pre-match line -0.1h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
Double Chance
Draw No Bet
Both Teams To Score
Goals Over/Under
Total Corners
Number of Cards
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 20–22.5% · away 52.5–55% · 365 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 21% | 21% | 23% | +1.8 |
| Draw | 26% | 25% | 25% | -0.3 |
| Away | 53% | 54% | 52% | -1.4 |
In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 53%
Both teams to score · yes 50–52.5% · 3,449 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 52% | 51% | 51% | -0.6 |
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 47.5–50% · 3,307 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 48% | 49% | 50% | +1.3 |
Elliot Bell
- Career
- 25 matches · 4 seasons
- Cards / match
- 4.6 (4.48 yellow · 0.04 red)
- Fouls / match
- 24.2 · 5.0 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.04
- Cards to home side
- 55%
Style in FA Cup (5-year window · 6 matches)
Fewer than 10 matches with card data in this league — averages only: 5.0 cards, 27.0 fouls per match.
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-07 | 4 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 53' | 8 |
| 2026-01-20 | 4 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 14' | 5 |
| 2026-01-11 | 4 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 55' | 6 |
| 2025-12-20 | 3 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 31' | 10 |
| 2025-11-01 | 5 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 32' | 6 |
| 2025-10-25 | 4 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 69' | 13 |
| 2025-10-22 | 4 | 1 | 24 | 0 | 37' | 8 |
| 2025-09-30 | 4 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 25' | 6 |
| 2025-09-27 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 74' | 6 |
| 2025-08-23 | 7 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 7' | 7 |
