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FA Cup · Round 4

Momentum

Port ValeBristol City
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Round 4

Venue

Stadium
Vale Park, Stoke-on-Trent
Capacity
19,052
Surface
grass
Attendance
4,611

Teams

Coaches
J. Brady · Gerhard Struber
Position
1 · 2
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Elliot Bell

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
7.3° (feels 6.8°)
Wind
1.3
Humidity
63%

Where to watch · 37

No table for this competition stage.

Port Vale

WW 2W 0D 0L · 6 pts (3.0 ppg) · GF 2 GA 0 · xG 1.61–1.0 · xPts 1.79

  • W H Fleetwood Town 1–0 xG 1.61–1.0 UK FA Cup
  • W H Bristol Rovers 1–0 UK FA Cup

Bristol City

WDLWL 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 8 GA 8 · xG 4.91–7.07 · xPts 5.29

  • L H Watford 1–2 xG 0.95–1.37 UK CHAMP
  • W A Blackburn Rovers 2–1 xG 1.17–2.34 UK CHAMP
  • L A Swansea City 0–1 xG 0.94–1.08 UK CHAMP
  • D H Wrexham 2–2 xG 0.44–0.96 UK CHAMP
  • W A Hull City 3–2 xG 1.41–1.32 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 1 match since 2026

Port Vale 10 draws0 Bristol City

Goals 1–0 · 1.0 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 0%

Last 10 · 1 match

Port Vale 10 draws0 Bristol City

Goals 1–0 · 1.0 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 0%

Last 5 · 1 match

Port Vale 10 draws0 Bristol City

Goals 1–0 · 1.0 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 0%

Recent meetings

  • W Port Vale 1–0 Bristol City aet UK FA Cup · Round 4
MetricPort Vale all · 6Port Vale at home · 5Bristol City all · 2Bristol City away · 1
Results
Matches65
Points per game2.503.00
W / D / L5 / 0 / 15 / 0 / 0
Goals for / match1.501.80
Goals against / match1.330.20
Clean sheets67%80%
Failed to score17%0%
Both teams scored17%20%
Over 2.533%20%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.501.84
xG against / match1.801.18
xG difference-0.310.66
Finishing vs xG0.100.16
xPts / match1.321.65
Points vs xPts1.081.35
Game state
Scored first67%80%
PPG when scoring first3.003.00
PPG when conceding first1.503.00
Came back from behind50%100%
Leads held100%100%
Minutes leading41%48%
Minutes level42%50%
Minutes trailing17%2%
First goal (min)4949
First goal conceded (min)46
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half25%25%
Goals conceded in 2nd half50%0%
Late goals for (76'+)0.170.20
Late goals against0.330.00
Style
Possession38%41%
Shots11.813.4
On target3.34.0
Shot conversion13%13%
Shots inside box70%73%
Big chances created1.62.0
Corners5.76.4
xG from set plays37%37%
Goals from headers11%11%
Pressure index15.718.1
Dominant minutes51.758.0
Pass accuracy66%66%
Fouls9.79.6
Cards2.332.60

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Port Vale

0–15'12
16–30'41
31–45'11
46–60'21
61–75'01
76–90'02

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Port Vale

No pressure profile yet.

Bristol City · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.35) · stands out: as underdog +0.72

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.357
Early press (0-15, level)+0.347
Late push (76+, level)+0.213
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.134

Game state

When ahead+0.114
When level+0.397
When behind+0.514
10 min after conceding+0.077
10 min after scoring+0.565

Situations

At home+0.033
Away+0.614
3 days rest or fewer+0.372
4+ days rest+0.355

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.514
v bottom-tier opponents+0.153
As favourite+0.022
Evenly matched+0.162
As underdog+0.723

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.127
Conceded when ahead-0.294
Conceded late (76+)-0.387

Congested vs rested +0.02 · Ahead vs level -0.28 · Behind vs level +0.13

Port Vale

Current: winless 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
5-4-12 33%1.50.53.50.462.93
4-4-22 33%3.01.00.01.611.0
3-4-1-21 17%3.05.01.03.670.54
3-4-2-11 17%3.01.00.01.291.62

Bristol City

Current: winless 2 · conceding 7

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-12 100%1.52.51.01.971.05

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.1h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

4.33Home 22% P 21%3.75Draw 25% P 26%1.75Away 53% P 53%

Double Chance

2.05Port Vale or Draw 23% P 24%1.25Port Vale or Bristol City 37% P 37%1.18Draw or Bristol City 40% P 39%

Draw No Bet

3.51 27%1.282 73%

Both Teams To Score

1.9Yes 50% P 52%1.9No 50% P 48%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.0Over 47% P 48%1.8Under 53% P 52%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.26 - 8 28%2.69 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%

Number of Cards

3.51.83Over 50% P 45%1.83Under 50% P 55%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 20–22.5% · away 52.5–55% · 365 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home21%21%23%+1.8
Draw26%25%25%-0.3
Away53%54%52%-1.4

In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 53%

Both teams to score · yes 50–52.5% · 3,449 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes52%51%51%-0.6

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 47.5–50% · 3,307 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.548%49%50%+1.3

Elliot Bell

Career
25 matches · 4 seasons
Cards / match
4.6 (4.48 yellow · 0.04 red)
Fouls / match
24.2 · 5.0 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.04
Cards to home side
55%

Style in FA Cup (5-year window · 6 matches)

Fewer than 10 matches with card data in this league — averages only: 5.0 cards, 27.0 fouls per match.

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-02-07 40 200 53'8
2026-01-20 40 220 14'5
2026-01-11 40 230 55'6
2025-12-20 30 220 31'10
2025-11-01 50 300 32'6
2025-10-25 40 230 69'13
2025-10-22 41 240 37'8
2025-09-30 40 160 25'6
2025-09-27 30 200 74'6
2025-08-23 70 260 7'7