Oxford United v Sunderland

FA Cup · Round 4

Oxford UnitedOXF

0–1

SunderlandSunderland

Momentum

– OXFSunderland –

now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Stats

Loading statistics…

Season context

Oxford United	at home	Stat	league	away	Sunderland
54.0 #49	–	Ball possession	38.3	–	59.0 #32
14.5 #35	–	Shots total	8.8	–	17.3 #16
4.5 #80	–	Shots on target	3.5	–	7.0 #15
5.0 #74	–	Corners	4.0	–	7.0 #22
17.5 #5	–	Fouls	9.1	–	13.7 #24
2.0 #38	–	Offsides	1.8	–	1.3 #73
18.5 #19	–	Tackles	13.6	–	15.3 #35
115.0 #29	–	Attacks	71.7	–	116.0 #27
47.5 #64	–	Dangerous attacks	37.4	–	60.0 #36
488.0 #25	–	Passes	343.8	–	495.0 #22
1.0 #77	–	Yellowcards	1.8	–	4.0 #4
–	–	Assists	1.2	–	0.3 #81
– #374	–	Btts	57.6	–	– #531
– #286	–	Cleansheet	16.3	–	– #166
– #26	–	Draw	14.3	–	– #125
1.4 #26	–	Expected goals	1.3	–	1.5 #24
-0.9 #63	–	Expected goals difference	0.6	–	-0.8 #62
– #114	–	Failed to score	28.2	–	– #238
0.5 #597	0.0	Goals	1.4	0.7	0.7 #592
1.0 #538	1.0	Goals conceded	2.0	0.7	0.7 #689
10.0 #22	–	Interceptions	7.4	–	7.3 #39
– #253	–	Lost	56.7	–	– #458
–	–	Penalties scored	0.4	–	0.3 #22
6.8 #27	–	Rating	6.6	–	6.9 #12
5.0 #18	–	Shots blocked	3.0	–	2.7 #54
8.5 #29	–	Shots insidebox	7.1	–	11.0 #16
5.0 #87	–	Shots off target	4.5	–	7.7 #23
6.0 #13	–	Shots outsidebox	3.5	–	6.3 #10
– #409	–	Win	29.1	–	– #336

Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 243.

League this season · 2025/2026

Played: 868 of 871
Goals / match: 3.3 (home 1.83 · away 1.47)
Home / draw / away: 47% · 18% · 35%
BTTS · over 2.5: 57% · 64%
Cards / match: 0.65 (reds 0.05)

Competition

Stage: Round 4

Venue

Stadium: The Kassam Stadium, Oxford
Capacity: 12,500
Surface: grass
Attendance: 9,879

Teams

Coaches: Matt Bloomfield · Régis Le Bris
Position: 1 · 2
Formation: 4-2-3-1 · 4-1-4-1

Referee

Thomas Kirk

Weather

Conditions: overcast clouds
Temperature: 9.0° (feels 6.7°)
Wind: 4.1
Humidity: 94%

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No table for this competition stage.

Oxford United

WLLDL 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 3 GA 9 · xG 3.87–6.19 · xPts 5.16

L H Norwich City 0–3 xG 0.74–1.31 UK CHAMP
D A Coventry City 0–0 xG 0.16–1.82 UK CHAMP
L A Sheffield United 1–3 xG 0.99–1.02 UK CHAMP
L H Birmingham City 0–2 xG 0.68–1.28 UK CHAMP
W A Leicester City 2–1 xG 1.3–0.75 UK CHAMP

Sunderland

WLWLL 2W 0D 3L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 6 GA 8 · xG 5.06–6.61 · xPts 5.99

L H Liverpool 0–1 xG 0.84–2.9 UK PL
L A Arsenal 0–3 xG 0.16–1.2 UK PL
W H Burnley 3–0 xG 1.99–0.1 UK PL
L A West Ham United 1–3 xG 0.51–1.63 UK PL
W H Crystal Palace 2–1 xG 1.56–0.79 UK PL

All meetings · 3 matches since 2024

Oxford United 10 draws2 Sunderland

Goals 2–3 · 1.67 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 0%

Last 10 · 3 matches

Oxford United 10 draws2 Sunderland

Goals 2–3 · 1.67 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 0%

Last 5 · 3 matches

Oxford United 10 draws2 Sunderland

Goals 2–3 · 1.67 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 0%

Recent meetings

L Oxford United 0–1 Sunderland UK FA Cup · Round 4
W Oxford United 2–0 Sunderland UK CHAMP · Regular Season
L Sunderland 2–0 Oxford United UK CHAMP · Regular Season

Metric	Oxford United all · 2	Oxford United at home · 1	Sunderland all · 3	Sunderland away · 3

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Oxford United

No pressure profile yet.

Sunderland · 5 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.00) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.43

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.005

Early press (0-15, level)-0.235

Late push (76+, level)+0.062

Late chase (76+, behind)-0.223

Game state

When ahead-0.022

When level+0.075

When behind-0.253

10 min after conceding-0.413

10 min after scoring+0.434

Situations

At home+0.133

Away-0.182

4+ days rest+0.005

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.074

Evenly matched-0.102

As underdog-0.072

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.125

Conceded when ahead-0.152

Conceded late (76+)-0.135

Ahead vs level -0.09 · Behind vs level -0.32

Oxford United

Current: winless 1 · conceding 4

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-2-3-1	2 100%	0.5	0.5	1.0	1.32	2.05

Sunderland

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · clean sheets 1

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-2-3-1	2 67%	0.5	0.5	1.0	1.3	1.17
4-1-4-1	1 33%	3.0	1.0	0.0	1.8	1.19

Metric	Oxford United all · 10	Oxford United at home · 10	Sunderland all · 10	Sunderland away · 10
Results
Matches	10	10	10	10
Points per game	1.20	1.40	1.50	1.50
W / D / L	3 / 3 / 4	4 / 2 / 4	4 / 3 / 3	4 / 3 / 3
Goals for / match	1.10	1.10	1.00	1.40
Goals against / match	1.10	1.10	1.30	1.20
Clean sheets	20%	20%	30%	20%
Failed to score	40%	40%	30%	10%
Both teams scored	40%	40%	50%	70%
Over 2.5	20%	30%	40%	40%
Expected goals
xG for / match	1.50	1.51	1.51	1.44
xG against / match	1.38	1.20	1.31	1.58
xG difference	0.12	0.31	0.20	-0.14
Finishing vs xG	-0.40	-0.41	-0.51	-0.04
xPts / match	1.44	1.51	1.50	1.30
Points vs xPts	-0.24	-0.11	0.00	0.20
Game state
Scored first	40%	50%	40%	40%
PPG when scoring first	2.50	2.60	2.50	2.00
PPG when conceding first	0.33	0.20	0.80	1.17
Came back from behind	33%	20%	40%	50%
Leads held	60%	80%	80%	67%
Minutes leading	28%	36%	17%	19%
Minutes level	38%	34%	65%	56%
Minutes trailing	34%	30%	18%	25%
First goal (min)	29	24	52	43
First goal conceded (min)	35	37	44	35
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half	54%	36%	70%	64%
Goals conceded in 2nd half	36%	36%	54%	50%
Late goals for (76'+)	0.20	0.10	0.30	0.60
Late goals against	0.20	0.10	0.30	0.20
Style
Possession	38%	39%	49%	49%
Shots	12.7	12.9	13.6	11.4
On target	3.8	4.4	4.0	4.8
Shot conversion	9%	8%	7%	12%
Shots inside box	61%	58%	67%	69%
Big chances created	2.3	2.1	2.3	2.2
Corners	4.7	5.0	4.7	4.2
xG from set plays	49%	60%	44%	45%
Goals from headers	9%	18%	11%	7%
Pressure index	9.0	10.0	13.6	11.7
Dominant minutes	45.9	52.2	55.2	48.4
Pass accuracy	70%	66%	81%	77%
Fouls	10.9	10.3	12.5	12.5
Cards	1.50	1.20	2.80	3.00

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Oxford United

0–15'24

16–30'21

31–45'12

46–60'21

61–75'21

76–90'22

Sunderland

0–15'00

16–30'22

31–45'14

46–60'24

61–75'20

76–90'33

Oxford United

Current: winless 1 · conceding 4

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-2-3-1	9 90%	1.33	1.22	1.0	1.59	1.27
5-4-1	1 10%	0.0	0.0	2.0	0.68	2.29

Sunderland

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · clean sheets 1

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-2-3-1	10 100%	1.5	1.0	1.3	1.51	1.31

Metric	Oxford United all · 43	Oxford United at home · 21	Sunderland all · 42	Sunderland away · 22
Results
Matches	43	21	42	22
Points per game	1.07	1.29	1.38	1.14
W / D / L	11 / 13 / 19	7 / 6 / 8	15 / 13 / 14	6 / 7 / 9
Goals for / match	0.93	0.95	1.02	0.95
Goals against / match	1.21	1.10	1.24	1.41
Clean sheets	19%	24%	29%	18%
Failed to score	42%	43%	31%	32%
Both teams scored	51%	43%	48%	54%
Over 2.5	42%	38%	38%	41%
Expected goals
xG for / match	1.17	1.32	1.22	1.14
xG against / match	1.44	1.19	1.57	1.74
xG difference	-0.27	0.14	-0.34	-0.59
Finishing vs xG	-0.24	-0.37	-0.20	-0.19
xPts / match	1.21	1.45	1.19	1.02
Points vs xPts	-0.14	-0.16	0.19	0.12
Game state
Scored first	40%	43%	38%	32%
PPG when scoring first	2.12	2.56	2.25	1.86
PPG when conceding first	0.24	0.20	0.83	0.79
Came back from behind	21%	20%	42%	36%
Leads held	61%	78%	71%	60%
Minutes leading	22%	24%	18%	15%
Minutes level	46%	45%	57%	54%
Minutes trailing	32%	30%	24%	31%
First goal (min)	30	28	45	46
First goal conceded (min)	37	35	41	39
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half	42%	40%	63%	62%
Goals conceded in 2nd half	42%	44%	52%	45%
Late goals for (76'+)	0.16	0.19	0.26	0.36
Late goals against	0.14	0.05	0.21	0.27
Style
Possession	40%	42%	46%	46%
Shots	11.9	13.5	11.4	10.4
On target	3.5	4.3	3.9	4.1
Shot conversion	8%	7%	9%	9%
Shots inside box	54%	54%	69%	68%
Big chances created	1.7	1.6	1.9	1.8
Corners	4.1	4.7	4.1	4.0
xG from set plays	41%	48%	41%	43%
Goals from headers	15%	10%	12%	14%
Pressure index	7.0	9.2	10.9	9.7
Dominant minutes	35.3	44.4	44.5	40.0
Pass accuracy	70%	68%	79%	78%
Fouls	10.9	10.5	11.5	11.9
Cards	1.74	1.38	2.55	2.68

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Oxford United

0–15'810

16–30'87

31–45'713

46–60'610

61–75'46

76–90'76

Sunderland

0–15'28

16–30'87

31–45'610

46–60'69

61–75'109

76–90'119

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Oxford United · 43 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.27) · stands out: late push (76+, level) -0.40

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.2743

Early press (0-15, level)-0.0743

Late push (76+, level)-0.4015

Late chase (76+, behind)-0.3719

Game state

When ahead-0.2718

When level-0.2343

When behind-0.3224

10 min after conceding-0.3935

10 min after scoring-0.1225

Situations

Against ten men-0.542

At home-0.2021

Away-0.3322

3 days rest or fewer-0.3515

4+ days rest-0.2328

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.3524

v bottom-tier opponents-0.1915

As favourite+0.002

Evenly matched-0.1415

As underdog-0.3526

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.3843

Conceded when ahead+0.1118

Conceded late (76+)+0.1640

Congested vs rested -0.12 · Ahead vs level -0.04 · Behind vs level -0.09

Sunderland · 42 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.01) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.53

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.0142

Early press (0-15, level)-0.0942

Late push (76+, level)-0.1619

Late chase (76+, behind)-0.1114

Game state

When ahead+0.0321

When level-0.0642

When behind+0.0624

10 min after conceding-0.1830

10 min after scoring+0.5329

Situations

With ten men+0.043

Against ten men-0.052

At home-0.0320

Away+0.0022

3 days rest or fewer-0.205

4+ days rest+0.0137

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.0729

v mid-tier opponents+0.056

As favourite+0.535

Evenly matched+0.1112

As underdog-0.1725

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.1742

Conceded when ahead+0.1521

Conceded late (76+)+0.0638

Congested vs rested -0.22 · Ahead vs level +0.08 · Behind vs level +0.12

Oxford United

Current: winless 1 · conceding 4

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-2-3-1	28 65%	1.07	0.93	1.18	1.29	1.42
4-4-2	4 9%	1.0	1.0	1.0	1.23	1.77
3-4-2-1	4 9%	1.0	0.75	1.5	0.78	1.22
4-1-4-1	3 7%	1.33	1.0	1.0	0.88	1.11
5-4-1	2 5%	1.5	1.0	1.5	0.94	1.97

Sunderland

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · clean sheets 1

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-2-3-1	28 67%	1.46	0.96	1.18	1.23	1.58
5-4-1	5 12%	1.4	1.4	1.4	1.06	1.76
4-1-4-1	4 10%	1.5	1.0	1.25	1.84	1.49
4-4-2	3 7%	0.67	1.0	1.67	0.51	1.55
3-4-3	1 2%	1.0	1.0	1.0	1.6	0.99

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.4h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

5.25Home 18% P 16%3.9Draw 24% P 24%1.61Away 58% P 60%

Double Chance

2.25Oxford Utd or Draw 21% P 20%1.25Oxford Utd or Sunderland 38% P 38%1.16Draw or Sunderland 41% P 42%

Draw No Bet

4.01 23%1.222 77%

Both Teams To Score

2.1Yes 44% P 47%1.66No 56% P 53%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.2Over 43% P 48%1.66Under 57% P 52%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.46 - 8 26%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%

Number of Cards

3.51.8Over 51%1.9Under 49%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 15–17.5% · away 57.5–60% · 227 fixtures

	This match	Band	Actual	±
Home	16%	17%	18%	+1.0
Draw	24%	24%	24%	-0.2
Away	60%	59%	58%	-0.9

In those fixtures: 2.4 goals a game · BTTS 44% · over 2.5 43%

Both teams to score · yes 45–47.5% · 2,102 fixtures

	This match	Band	Actual	±
Yes	47%	46%	47%	+0.3

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 47.5–50% · 3,307 fixtures

	This match	Band	Actual	±
Over 2.5	48%	49%	50%	+1.3

Thomas Kirk

Career: 51 matches · 5 seasons
Cards / match: 4.55 (4.39 yellow · 0.04 red)
Fouls / match: 22.1 · 4.8 fouls per card
Penalties / match: 0.26
Cards to home side: 45%

Style in FA Cup (5-year window · 11 matches)

Metric	Referee	League	vs peers	pct
Cards / match	4.45	3.73	+1.64	100
Fouls / match	24.4	19.7	+1.54
Fouls per card	5.0	5.5	-1.14 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match	0.36	0.24	+0.43	62
Time added	8.2	7.2	+1.51	94

First card: 44' on average
Card timing: 9% in first 30' · 47% in last 15'
Cards to home side: 55% (league 45%)

Recent matches

Date	Y	R	Fouls	Pens	1st card	+min
2026-02-08	4	0	24	0	12'	4
2026-01-26	3	0	19	0	18'	11
2026-01-21	4	0	25	0	53'	7
2026-01-11	7	0	31	0	51'	13
2026-01-07	6	2	28	0	43'	10
2026-01-01	6	0	24	0	30'	8
2025-12-26	6	0	20	0	16'	11
2025-12-13	3	0	18	0	31'	10
2025-12-10	5	0	22	0	3'	6
2025-12-03	–	–	17	–	–	8

Momentum

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Events

Stats

Season context

League this season · 2025/2026

Trends

Lineups

Bench

Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad

Oxford United

Sunderland · Last 365 days

Absences

Oxford United

Sunderland

Commentary

In-Play Odds

Competition

Venue

Teams

Referee

Weather

Where to watch · 138

Oxford United

Sunderland

All meetings · 3 matches since 2024

Last 10 · 3 matches

Last 5 · 3 matches

Recent meetings

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Oxford United

Sunderland · 5 matches

Oxford United

Sunderland

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Oxford United

Sunderland

Oxford United

Sunderland

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Oxford United

Sunderland

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Oxford United · 43 matches

Sunderland · 42 matches

Oxford United

Sunderland

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Latest prices

Fulltime Result

Double Chance

Draw No Bet

Both Teams To Score

Goals Over/Under

Total Corners

Number of Cards

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Match result · home 15–17.5% · away 57.5–60% · 227 fixtures

Both teams to score · yes 45–47.5% · 2,102 fixtures

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 47.5–50% · 3,307 fixtures

Thomas Kirk

Style in FA Cup (5-year window · 11 matches)

Recent matches