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FA Cup · Round 4

Momentum

Stoke CityFulham
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Round 4

Venue

Stadium
Britannia Stadium, Stoke
Capacity
30,089
Attendance
14,871

Teams

Coaches
Mark Robins · Marco Da Silva
Position
1 · 2
Formation
3-4-1-2 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Joshua Smith

Weather

Conditions
broken clouds
Temperature
9.2° (feels 7.5°)
Wind
3.1
Humidity
82%

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No table for this competition stage.

Stoke City

LDLDL 0W 2D 3L · 2 pts (0.4 ppg) · GF 2 GA 6 · xG 3.81–8.39 · xPts 3.92

  • L A Charlton Athletic 0–1 xG 0.65–1.8 UK CHAMP
  • D A West Bromwich Albion 0–0 xG 0.34–0.57 UK CHAMP
  • L H Southampton 0–2 xG 1.25–1.69 UK CHAMP
  • D A Birmingham City 1–1 xG 0.39–2.5 UK CHAMP
  • L H Middlesbrough 1–2 xG 1.18–1.83 UK CHAMP

Fulham

LWLLL 1W 0D 4L · 3 pts (0.6 ppg) · GF 5 GA 10 · xG 7.44–8.46 · xPts 6.13

  • L A Manchester City 0–3 xG 1.77–1.59 UK PL
  • L H Everton 1–2 xG 1.64–1.9 UK PL
  • L A Manchester United 2–3 xG 2.45–1.64 UK PL
  • W H Brighton & Hove Albion 2–1 xG 1.15–1.59 UK PL
  • L A Leeds United 0–1 xG 0.43–1.74 UK PL

All meetings · 18 matches since 2007

Stoke City 61 draws11 Fulham

Goals 17–24 · 2.28 per match · BTTS 28% · over 2.5 39%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Stoke City 30 draws7 Fulham

Goals 11–14 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Stoke City 10 draws4 Fulham

Goals 5–9 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • L Stoke City 1–2 Fulham UK FA Cup · Round 4
  • L Stoke City 2–3 Fulham UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Fulham 3–0 Stoke City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Fulham 1–0 Stoke City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Stoke City 2–0 Fulham UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Stoke City 4–1 Fulham UK PL · Regular Season
  • L Fulham 1–0 Stoke City UK PL · Regular Season
  • L Fulham 1–0 Stoke City neutral UK PL · Regular Season
  • W Stoke City 1–0 Fulham UK PL · Regular Season
  • L Fulham 2–1 Stoke City UK PL · Regular Season
MetricStoke City all · 2Stoke City at home · 2Fulham all · 3Fulham away · 1

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Stoke City · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.10) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.80

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.107
Early press (0-15, level)+0.177
Late push (76+, level)-0.442
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.453

Game state

When ahead+0.166
When level+0.057
When behind+0.113
10 min after conceding-0.265
10 min after scoring+0.807

Situations

At home-0.273
Away+0.314
3 days rest or fewer-0.222
4+ days rest+0.255

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.154
v bottom-tier opponents+0.543
Evenly matched+0.362
As underdog-0.074

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.117
Conceded when ahead-0.016
Conceded late (76+)+0.326

Congested vs rested -0.47 · Ahead vs level +0.10 · Behind vs level +0.05

Fulham · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.03) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.30

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.034
Early press (0-15, level)-0.014
Late push (76+, level)-0.382
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.303

Game state

When level+0.114
When behind-0.233
10 min after conceding+0.043
10 min after scoring+1.202

Situations

At home+0.322
Away-0.272
4+ days rest+0.034

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.072
v mid-tier opponents+0.142
As underdog-0.072

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.014
Conceded late (76+)-0.134

Ahead vs level +0.27 · Behind vs level -0.34

Stoke City

Current: unbeaten 4 · wins 1 · scoring 7 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-11 50%3.01.00.02.61.55
3-4-1-21 50%0.01.02.00.451.78

Fulham

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 4 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-13 100%2.01.671.02.041.08

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

4.75Home 20% P 19%3.9Draw 24% P 24%1.65Away 56% P 58%

Double Chance

2.15Stoke or Draw 22% P 21%1.25Stoke or Fulham 38% P 38%1.18Draw or Fulham 40% P 41%

Draw No Bet

3.751 25%1.252 75%

Both Teams To Score

1.8Yes 52% P 54%1.95No 48% P 46%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.8Over 53% P 54%2.0Under 47% P 46%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.46 - 8 26%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%9.0Over 14 10%

Number of Cards

3.51.66Over 56%2.1Under 44%
4.52.2Over 42%1.61Under 58%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 17.5–20% · away 57.5–60% · 326 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home19%19%15%-3.2
Draw24%23%21%-1.4
Away58%59%63%+4.6

In those fixtures: 3.1 goals a game · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 59%

Both teams to score · yes 52.5–55% · 3,040 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes54%54%54%-0.2

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 52.5–55% · 2,943 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.554%54%55%+0.8

Joshua Smith

Career
156 matches · 10 seasons
Cards / match
4.09 (3.95 yellow · 0.08 red)
Fouls / match
22.1 · 5.3 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.2
Cards to home side
47%

Style in FA Cup (5-year window · 8 matches)

Fewer than 10 matches with card data in this league — averages only: 3.38 cards, 18.8 fouls per match.

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-02-07 71 231 13'6
2026-01-31 30 150 25'12
2026-01-24 50 191 22'7
2026-01-16 20 150 69'5
2026-01-10 12 7
2026-01-01 50 170 15'7
2025-12-26 50 220 19'9
2025-12-09 50 260 29'10
2025-12-06 50 220 19'9
2025-11-29 · Stoke City 60 270 76'8