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Europa Conference League · Knockout Round Play-offs Samsunspor went through · After Full Time

Momentum

SamsunsporSkendija 79
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Knockout Round Play-offs
Leg
2/2

Venue

Stadium
Samsun Yeni 19 Mayıs, Samsun
Capacity
34,403
Surface
grass

Teams

Coaches
Thorsten Fink · Jeton Beqiri
Position
1 · 2
Formation
4-4-2 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Simone Sozza

Weather

Conditions
broken clouds
Temperature
5.8° (feels 0.5°)
Wind
10.3
Humidity
81%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Strasbourg 6510 1156 16 DWWWW
2 Raków Częstochowa 6420 927 14 DDWWW
3 AEK Athens 6411 1477 13 WDWWW
4 Sparta Praha 6411 1037 13 LDWWW
5 Rayo Vallecano 6411 1376 13 DWLWW
6 Shakhtar Donetsk 6411 1055 13 LWWWD
7 FSV Mainz 05 6411 734 13 WWLDW
8 AEK Larnaca 6330 716 12 WDDDW
9 Lausanne Sport 6321 633 11 WDLDW
10 Crystal Palace 6312 1165 10 LWLWD
11 Lech Poznań 6312 1284 10 LLWDW
12 Samsunspor 6312 1064 10 WWDLL
13 Celje 6312 871 10 WWLLD
14 AZ Alkmaar 6312 770 10 WLWWD
15 Fiorentina 6303 853 9 WLLWL
16 Rijeka 6231 523 9 WDDWD
17 Jagiellonia Białystok 6231 541 9 DDWLD
18 Omonia Nicosia 6222 541 8 DDWWL
19 Noah 6222 67-1 8 DLDWL
20 Drita 6222 48-4 8 DWWLL
21 KuPS 6141 651 7 DWLDD
22 Skendija 79 6213 45-1 7 WDLWL
23 Zrinjski 6213 810-2 7 LLWLD
24 Sigma Olomouc 6213 79-2 7 DWWLL
25 Universitatea Craiova 6213 68-2 7 DWWLL
26 Lincoln Red Imps 6213 715-8 7 WDLWL
27 Dynamo Kyiv 6204 990 6 LWLLW
28 Legia Warszawa 6204 880 6 WLLLW
29 Slovan Bratislava 6204 59-4 6 LLWLW
30 Breidablik 6123 611-5 5 DLDWL
31 Shamrock Rovers 6114 713-6 4 LDLLW
32 Häcken 6033 58-3 3 DLLDL
33 Hamrun Spartans 6105 411-7 3 LLWLL
34 Shelbourne 6024 07-7 2 LLLLD
35 Aberdeen 6024 314-11 2 LDDLL
36 SK Rapid 6015 314-11 1 LLLLD
  • 8th Finals
  • Play-off

Samsunspor

WDLLW 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 7 GA 6 · xG 8.05–5.28 · xPts 8.66

  • W A Skendija 79 1–0 xG 2.41–0.3 UEFA ECL
  • L A FSV Mainz 05 0–2 xG 0.77–2.0 UEFA ECL
  • L H AEK Athens 1–2 xG 1.23–1.19 UEFA ECL
  • D A Breidablik 2–2 xG 1.64–1.44 UEFA ECL
  • W H Hamrun Spartans 3–0 xG 2.0–0.34 UEFA ECL

Skendija 79

DLWLL 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 3 GA 4 · xG 3.46–6.19 · xPts 5.43

  • L H Samsunspor 0–1 xG 0.3–2.41 UEFA ECL
  • L A AEK Larnaca 0–1 xG 0.22–2.2 UEFA ECL
  • W H Slovan Bratislava 2–0 xG 1.61–0.43 UEFA ECL
  • L A Drita 0–1 xG 0.73–0.56 UEFA ECL
  • D H Jagiellonia Białystok 1–1 xG 0.59–0.59 UEFA ECL

All meetings · 2 matches since 2026

Samsunspor 20 draws0 Skendija 79

Goals 5–0 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 2 matches

Samsunspor 20 draws0 Skendija 79

Goals 5–0 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 2 matches

Samsunspor 20 draws0 Skendija 79

Goals 5–0 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 50%

Recent meetings

  • W Samsunspor 4–0 Skendija 79 UEFA ECL · Knockout Round Play-offs · leg 2/2
  • W Skendija 79 0–1 Samsunspor neutral UEFA ECL · Knockout Round Play-offs · leg 1/2
MetricSamsunspor all · 10Samsunspor at home · 5Skendija 79 all · 8Skendija 79 away · 4
Results
Matches1058
Points per game1.901.800.87
W / D / L6 / 1 / 33 / 0 / 22 / 1 / 5
Goals for / match1.702.400.50
Goals against / match0.901.001.25
Clean sheets60%60%25%
Failed to score10%0%62%
Both teams scored30%40%12%
Over 2.560%100%12%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.661.950.59
xG against / match1.010.681.47
xG difference0.641.26-0.88
Finishing vs xG0.040.45-0.09
xPts / match1.742.110.89
Points vs xPts0.16-0.31-0.01
Game state
Scored first70%80%38%
PPG when scoring first2.572.252.33
PPG when conceding first0.330.000.00
Came back from behind25%0%0%
Leads held75%75%67%
Minutes leading42%54%14%
Minutes level42%27%60%
Minutes trailing16%18%26%
First goal (min)302057
First goal conceded (min)293458
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half59%58%50%
Goals conceded in 2nd half56%60%70%
Late goals for (76'+)0.400.600.13
Late goals against0.100.200.63
Style
Possession56%57%40%
Shots13.215.08.0
On target5.06.21.8
Shot conversion13%16%6%
Shots inside box64%69%48%
Big chances created2.93.00.6
Corners3.84.62.9
xG from set plays23%24%20%
Goals from headers6%8%50%
Pressure index14.115.29.1
Dominant minutes52.359.032.5
Pass accuracy82%83%77%
Fouls11.712.211.8
Cards2.301.002.75

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Samsunspor

0–15'32
16–30'30
31–45'12
46–60'32
61–75'32
76–90'41

Skendija 79

0–15'00
16–30'02
31–45'21
46–60'11
61–75'01
76–90'15

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Samsunspor

No pressure profile yet.

Skendija 79 · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.00) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) +0.32

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.006
Early press (0-15, level)+0.326
Late push (76+, level)-0.073
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.362

Game state

When ahead+0.034
When level+0.046
When behind-0.253
10 min after conceding-0.293
10 min after scoring-0.035

Situations

At home-0.023
Away+0.023
4+ days rest+0.006

Opposition

As favourite+0.082
Evenly matched-0.172

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.126
Conceded when ahead-0.104
Conceded late (76+)-0.385

Ahead vs level -0.01 · Behind vs level -0.29

Samsunspor

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 4 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-1-4-17 70%1.431.571.291.411.09
4-2-3-11 10%3.01.00.02.410.3
4-4-21 10%3.04.00.03.260.76
3-5-21 10%3.01.00.01.051.45

Skendija 79

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 2 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-16 75%0.670.331.50.481.53
4-4-21 12%0.00.01.00.222.2
4-3-31 12%3.02.00.01.610.43

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.28Home 73% P 74%5.5Draw 17% P 18%9.5Away 10% P 9%

Double Chance

1.07Samsunspor or Draw 28% P 45%1.16Samsunspor or Shkendija Tetovo 26% P 41%1.06Samsunspor or Tie 28% P 41%3.4Tie or Shkendija Tetovo 9% P 41%3.4Draw or Shkendija Tetovo 9% P 13%

Draw No Bet

1.081 88%8.02 12%

Both Teams To Score

2.1Yes 44% P 45%1.66No 56% P 55%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.66Over 56% P 58%2.15Under 44% P 42%

Total Corners

6.0Under 6 15%2.66 - 8 33%2.759 - 11 32%6.012 - 14 15%15.0Over 14 6%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 72.5–75% · away 7.5–10% · 458 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home74%74%74%+0.5
Draw18%17%18%+0.9
Away9%9%8%-1.5

In those fixtures: 3.0 goals a game · BTTS 48% · over 2.5 60%

Both teams to score · yes 42.5–45% · 1,287 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes45%44%48%+4.3

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 57.5–60% · 2,409 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.558%59%60%+0.8

Simone Sozza

Career
103 matches · 8 seasons
Cards / match
4.63 (4.41 yellow · 0.15 red)
Fouls / match
25.2 · 5.4 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.49
Cards to home side
48%

Style in Europa Conference League (5-year window · 6 matches)

Fewer than 10 matches with card data in this league — averages only: 3.17 cards, 23.3 fouls per match.

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-02-15 20 220 4'5
2026-02-01 40 260 45'7
2026-01-22 60 251 26'6
2026-01-07 80 262 20'9
2025-12-20 50 270 21'6
2025-12-14 10 250 33'6
2025-11-27 60 300 8'7
2025-11-23 30 161 45'8
2025-11-05 50 160 41'7
2025-10-29 31 271 49'5