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Europa Conference League · Knockout Round Play-offs Fiorentina went through · After Extra Time

Momentum

JAGFiorentina
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Knockout Round Play-offs
Leg
1/2

Venue

Stadium
Stadion Miejski, Białystok
Capacity
22,372
Surface
grass
Attendance
18,531

Teams

Coaches
Adrian Siemieniec · Paolo Vanoli
Position
1 · 2
Formation
4-1-3-2 · 4-4-2

Referee

Sebastian Gishamer

Weather

Conditions
scattered clouds
Temperature
-8.4° (feels -11.1°)
Wind
1.3
Humidity
94%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Strasbourg 6510 1156 16 DWWWW
2 Raków Częstochowa 6420 927 14 DDWWW
3 AEK Athens 6411 1477 13 WDWWW
4 Sparta Praha 6411 1037 13 LDWWW
5 Rayo Vallecano 6411 1376 13 DWLWW
6 Shakhtar Donetsk 6411 1055 13 LWWWD
7 FSV Mainz 05 6411 734 13 WWLDW
8 AEK Larnaca 6330 716 12 WDDDW
9 Lausanne Sport 6321 633 11 WDLDW
10 Crystal Palace 6312 1165 10 LWLWD
11 Lech Poznań 6312 1284 10 LLWDW
12 Samsunspor 6312 1064 10 WWDLL
13 Celje 6312 871 10 WWLLD
14 AZ Alkmaar 6312 770 10 WLWWD
15 Fiorentina 6303 853 9 WLLWL
16 Rijeka 6231 523 9 WDDWD
17 Jagiellonia Białystok 6231 541 9 DDWLD
18 Omonia Nicosia 6222 541 8 DDWWL
19 Noah 6222 67-1 8 DLDWL
20 Drita 6222 48-4 8 DWWLL
21 KuPS 6141 651 7 DWLDD
22 Skendija 79 6213 45-1 7 WDLWL
23 Zrinjski 6213 810-2 7 LLWLD
24 Sigma Olomouc 6213 79-2 7 DWWLL
25 Universitatea Craiova 6213 68-2 7 DWWLL
26 Lincoln Red Imps 6213 715-8 7 WDLWL
27 Dynamo Kyiv 6204 990 6 LWLLW
28 Legia Warszawa 6204 880 6 WLLLW
29 Slovan Bratislava 6204 59-4 6 LLWLW
30 Breidablik 6123 611-5 5 DLDWL
31 Shamrock Rovers 6114 713-6 4 LDLLW
32 Häcken 6033 58-3 3 DLLDL
33 Hamrun Spartans 6105 411-7 3 LLWLL
34 Shelbourne 6024 07-7 2 LLLLD
35 Aberdeen 6024 314-11 2 LDDLL
36 SK Rapid 6015 314-11 1 LLLLD
  • 8th Finals
  • Play-off

Jagiellonia Białystok

DDWLD 1W 3D 1L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 4 GA 4 · xG 4.09–6.31 · xPts 5.34

  • D A AZ Alkmaar 0–0 xG 0.13–1.26 UEFA ECL
  • L H Rayo Vallecano 1–2 xG 1.21–1.34 UEFA ECL
  • W H KuPS 1–0 xG 1.45–0.67 UEFA ECL
  • D A Skendija 79 1–1 xG 0.59–0.59 UEFA ECL
  • D A Strasbourg 1–1 xG 0.71–2.46 UEFA ECL

Fiorentina

WLLDW 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 8 GA 8 · xG 7.88–7.51 · xPts 7.32

  • W A Como 2–1 xG 1.22–1.12 ITA SA
  • D H Torino 2–2 xG 1.58–1.12 ITA SA
  • L A Napoli 1–2 xG 1.14–2.76 ITA SA
  • L H Cagliari 1–2 xG 2.26–1.02 ITA SA
  • W A Bologna 2–1 xG 1.68–1.49 ITA SA

All meetings · 2 matches since 2026

Jagiellonia Białystok 10 draws1 Fiorentina

Goals 4–5 · 4.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 100%

Last 10 · 2 matches

Jagiellonia Białystok 10 draws1 Fiorentina

Goals 4–5 · 4.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 100%

Last 5 · 2 matches

Jagiellonia Białystok 10 draws1 Fiorentina

Goals 4–5 · 4.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 100%

Recent meetings

  • W Fiorentina 2–4 Jagiellonia Białystok aet UEFA ECL · Knockout Round Play-offs · leg 2/2
  • L Jagiellonia Białystok 0–3 Fiorentina UEFA ECL · Knockout Round Play-offs · leg 1/2
MetricJagiellonia Białystok all · 14Jagiellonia Białystok at home · 7Fiorentina all · 14Fiorentina away · 7
Results
Matches147147
Points per game1.861.861.931.71
W / D / L7 / 5 / 24 / 1 / 29 / 0 / 54 / 0 / 3
Goals for / match1.501.571.791.71
Goals against / match1.001.141.211.00
Clean sheets36%43%29%43%
Failed to score14%14%21%29%
Both teams scored57%43%50%29%
Over 2.550%71%79%86%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.121.371.911.76
xG against / match1.331.221.281.57
xG difference-0.200.150.630.19
Finishing vs xG0.08-0.37-0.13-0.05
xPts / match1.251.531.791.56
Points vs xPts0.35-0.130.140.16
Game state
Scored first64%71%43%57%
PPG when scoring first2.562.602.502.25
PPG when conceding first0.500.001.501.00
Came back from behind50%0%44%25%
Leads held78%80%90%80%
Minutes leading36%40%32%40%
Minutes level52%44%40%41%
Minutes trailing12%16%29%19%
First goal (min)43404331
First goal conceded (min)61583949
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half55%54%70%67%
Goals conceded in 2nd half83%88%50%71%
Late goals for (76'+)0.360.140.710.43
Late goals against0.500.570.210.29
Style
Possession53%55%51%47%
Shots10.913.915.113.9
On target4.85.65.34.7
Shot conversion14%11%12%12%
Shots inside box60%64%71%70%
Big chances created1.62.03.12.9
Corners4.65.15.23.9
xG from set plays25%20%38%31%
Goals from headers9%20%9%10%
Pressure index14.117.513.99.4
Dominant minutes55.258.955.346.7
Pass accuracy83%84%82%81%
Fouls15.316.712.611.9
Cards2.641.432.572.29

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Jagiellonia Białystok

0–15'31
16–30'21
31–45'40
46–60'62
61–75'13
76–90'45

Fiorentina

0–15'22
16–30'43
31–45'13
46–60'35
61–75'51
76–90'82

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Jagiellonia Białystok · 5 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.26) · stands out: when ahead -0.32

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.265
Early press (0-15, level)-0.305
Late push (76+, level)-0.452

Game state

When ahead-0.324
When level-0.225
When behind-0.233
10 min after conceding-0.304
10 min after scoring-0.155

Situations

At home-0.242
Away-0.263
4+ days rest-0.265

Opposition

Evenly matched-0.252
As underdog-0.362

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.145
Conceded when ahead+0.104
Conceded late (76+)+0.124

Ahead vs level -0.10 · Behind vs level -0.01

Fiorentina · 4 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.17) · stands out: 10 min after conceding +0.33

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.174
Early press (0-15, level)+0.094

Game state

When ahead+0.082
When level+0.224
When behind+0.194
10 min after conceding+0.334
10 min after scoring+0.492

Situations

At home+0.192
Away+0.152
4+ days rest+0.174

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.422
As favourite+0.192

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.244
Conceded when ahead+0.202
Conceded late (76+)+0.192

Ahead vs level -0.14 · Behind vs level -0.03

Jagiellonia Białystok

Current: winless 1 · scoring 6 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-4-24 29%2.52.01.01.340.94
4-3-34 29%1.751.50.751.331.0
4-2-3-14 29%2.01.751.01.251.44
4-1-3-22 14%0.50.01.50.441.8

Fiorentina

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 5

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-5-25 36%1.81.40.61.721.02
3-4-2-13 21%3.02.671.02.31.15
4-4-22 14%1.52.52.02.091.37
4-3-31 7%0.00.03.00.613.2
4-2-3-11 7%3.02.01.02.061.45

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

3.2Home 23% P 29%3.2Draw 23% P 29%2.25Away 32% P 42%3.3Tie 22%

Double Chance

1.61Jagiellonia Bialystok or Draw 18% P 29%1.36Jagiellonia Bialystok or Fiorentina 21% P 35%1.53Jagiellonia Bialystok or Tie 19% P 35%1.4Tie or Fiorentina 21% P 35%1.36Draw or Fiorentina 21% P 36%

Draw No Bet

2.251 41%1.572 59%

Both Teams To Score

1.8Yes 51% P 52%1.9No 49% P 48%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.05Over 46% P 47%1.75Under 54% P 53%

Total Corners

7.0Under 6 12%2.756 - 8 31%2.629 - 11 33%5.012 - 14 17%12.0Over 14 7%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 27.5–30% · away 40–42.5% · 469 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home29%29%31%+2.1
Draw29%30%25%-4.9
Away42%41%44%+2.7

In those fixtures: 2.5 goals a game · BTTS 51% · over 2.5 46%

Both teams to score · yes 50–52.5% · 3,449 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes52%51%51%-0.6

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 45–47.5% · 2,885 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.547%46%45%-1.2

Sebastian Gishamer

Career
31 matches · 8 seasons
Cards / match
4.42 (4.16 yellow · 0.06 red)
Fouls / match
23.6 · 5.3 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.32
Cards to home side
39%

Style in Europa Conference League (5-year window · 12 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.924.92-0.1447
Fouls / match23.923.8+0.12
Fouls per card4.94.8+0.02 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.250.29-0.3437
Time added5.56.5-1.2910
First card
39' on average
Card timing
10% in first 30' · 50% in last 15'
Cards to home side
42% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.33

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-01-29 20 241 76'5
2025-11-27 40 200 39'5
2025-11-05 50 281 44'8
2025-10-02 20 200 77'6
2025-08-28 10 140 57'4
2025-08-14 50 330 24'6
2025-03-13 90 380 48'9