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Champions League · Knockout Round Play-offs Atlético de Madrid went through · After Full Time

Momentum

Club BruggeATM
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Knockout Round Play-offs
Leg
1/2

Venue

Stadium
Jan Breydelstadion, Brugge
Capacity
29,975
Surface
grass
Attendance
25,235

Teams

Coaches
Ivan Leko · D. Simeone
Position
1 · 2
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-3-3

Referee

Glenn Nyberg

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
2.9° (feels -3.3°)
Wind
10.4
Humidity
89%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Arsenal 8800 23419 24 WWWWW
2 FC Bayern München 8701 22814 21 WLWWW
3 Liverpool 8602 20812 18 WLWWW
4 Tottenham Hotspur 8521 17710 17 WLWWW
5 FC Barcelona 8512 22148 16 DLWWW
6 Chelsea 8512 17107 16 DWLWW
7 Sporting CP 8512 17116 16 DWLWW
8 Manchester City 8512 1596 16 WLWLW
9 Real Madrid 8503 21129 15 LWLWL
10 Inter 8503 1578 15 WLLLW
11 Paris Saint Germain 8422 211110 14 LWDLD
12 Newcastle United 8422 17710 14 WLDWD
13 Juventus 8341 14104 13 DWWWD
14 Atlético de Madrid 8413 17152 13 WWWDL
15 Atalanta 8413 10100 13 WWWLL
16 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 8332 1314-1 12 WWDLW
17 Borussia Dortmund 8323 19172 11 LWDLL
18 Olympiacos F.C. 8323 1014-4 11 DLWWW
19 Club Brugge 8314 1517-2 10 DLLWW
20 Galatasaray 8314 911-2 10 WLLDL
21 Monaco 8242 814-6 10 WDWLD
22 Qarabağ 8314 1321-8 10 DLLWL
23 Bodø / Glimt 8233 1415-1 9 LLDWW
24 Benfica 8305 1012-2 9 LWWLW
25 Olympique Marseille 8305 1114-3 9 LWWLL
26 Pafos FC 8233 811-3 9 WDLLW
27 Union Saint-Gilloise 8305 817-9 9 LWLLW
28 PSV 8224 16160 8 DWLLL
29 Athletic Club 8224 914-5 8 LDDWL
30 Napoli 8224 915-6 8 DWLDL
31 FC København 8224 1221-9 8 LWWDL
32 Ajax 8206 821-13 6 LLWWL
33 Eintracht Frankfurt 8116 1021-11 4 DLLLL
34 Slavia Praha 8035 519-14 3 LDLLL
35 Villarreal 8017 518-13 1 LLLLL
36 Kairat 8017 722-15 1 LLLLL
  • 8th Finals
  • Play-off

Club Brugge

DLLWW 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 10 GA 10 · xG 6.88–8.49 · xPts 6.08

  • W H Olympique Marseille 3–0 xG 1.15–1.11 UEFA CL
  • W A Kairat 4–1 xG 2.39–0.28 UEFA CL
  • L H Arsenal 0–3 xG 1.41–2.87 UEFA CL
  • L A Sporting CP 0–3 xG 0.62–2.14 UEFA CL
  • D H FC Barcelona 3–3 xG 1.3–2.09 UEFA CL

Atlético de Madrid

WLDLL 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 4 GA 6 · xG 6.02–6.16 · xPts 7.05

  • L A Rayo Vallecano 0–3 xG 0.99–2.08 ESP PL
  • L H Real Betis 0–1 xG 0.86–0.65 ESP PL
  • D A Levante 0–0 xG 0.8–0.44 ESP PL
  • L H Bodø / Glimt 1–2 xG 2.05–2.56 UEFA CL
  • W H Mallorca 3–0 xG 1.32–0.43 ESP PL

All meetings · 6 matches since 2018

Club Brugge 13 draws2 Atlético de Madrid

Goals 7–10 · 2.83 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 6 matches

Club Brugge 13 draws2 Atlético de Madrid

Goals 7–10 · 2.83 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Club Brugge 13 draws1 Atlético de Madrid

Goals 6–7 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • L Atlético de Madrid 4–1 Club Brugge UEFA CL · Knockout Round Play-offs · leg 2/2
  • D Club Brugge 3–3 Atlético de Madrid UEFA CL · Knockout Round Play-offs · leg 1/2
  • D Atlético de Madrid 0–0 Club Brugge UEFA CL · Group Stage
  • W Club Brugge 2–0 Atlético de Madrid UEFA CL · Group Stage
  • D Club Brugge 0–0 Atlético de Madrid neutral UEFA CL · Group Stage
  • L Atlético de Madrid 3–1 Club Brugge neutral UEFA CL · Group Stage
MetricClub Brugge all · 14Club Brugge at home · 7Atlético de Madrid all · 16Atlético de Madrid away · 8
Results
Matches147168
Points per game1.642.001.501.00
W / D / L7 / 2 / 54 / 2 / 17 / 3 / 62 / 2 / 4
Goals for / match2.293.142.191.63
Goals against / match1.931.711.752.13
Clean sheets21%29%6%12%
Failed to score21%14%12%25%
Both teams scored57%57%81%62%
Over 2.593%100%75%62%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.882.521.821.31
xG against / match1.851.651.842.05
xG difference0.030.88-0.02-0.74
Finishing vs xG0.410.620.360.32
xPts / match1.381.731.361.01
Points vs xPts0.260.270.14-0.01
Game state
Scored first57%57%56%38%
PPG when scoring first2.382.502.221.67
PPG when conceding first0.671.330.570.60
Came back from behind29%67%25%20%
Leads held78%80%70%50%
Minutes leading38%46%35%22%
Minutes level30%24%41%47%
Minutes trailing32%30%24%31%
First goal (min)31262631
First goal conceded (min)38303731
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half41%46%49%54%
Goals conceded in 2nd half56%50%57%65%
Late goals for (76'+)0.360.570.440.25
Late goals against0.570.430.380.50
Style
Possession50%49%49%47%
Shots14.819.614.312.0
On target6.69.05.44.3
Shot conversion16%16%15%14%
Shots inside box73%76%68%65%
Big chances created3.44.72.81.9
Corners4.54.45.34.8
xG from set plays18%16%28%30%
Goals from headers16%14%21%25%
Pressure index14.414.214.310.3
Dominant minutes48.248.646.139.3
Pass accuracy86%84%84%84%
Fouls8.48.310.911.4
Cards1.141.141.752.75

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Club Brugge

0–15'64
16–30'24
31–45'114
46–60'34
61–75'53
76–90'58

Atlético de Madrid

0–15'84
16–30'24
31–45'84
46–60'67
61–75'43
76–90'76

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Club Brugge

No pressure profile yet.

Atlético de Madrid · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.38) · stands out: v mid-tier opponents +0.61

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.387
Early press (0-15, level)+0.477
Late push (76+, level)+1.242
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.403

Game state

When ahead+0.436
When level+0.357
When behind+0.363
10 min after conceding-0.144
10 min after scoring+0.576

Situations

At home+0.573
Away+0.234
4+ days rest+0.226

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.614
As favourite+0.415

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.237
Conceded when ahead-0.266
Conceded late (76+)-0.486

Congested vs rested +1.46 · Ahead vs level +0.08 · Behind vs level +0.01

Club Brugge

Current: winless 3 · scoring 5 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-19 64%1.562.561.781.891.92
4-1-4-12 14%0.00.54.01.02.86
4-3-32 14%3.02.01.02.461.33
3-4-2-11 7%3.04.01.02.390.28

Atlético de Madrid

Current: unbeaten 2 · wins 2 · scoring 3 · clean sheets 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-4-214 88%1.432.141.711.771.81
4-1-4-11 6%3.02.01.01.431.59
4-3-31 6%1.03.03.02.942.5

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.5h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

3.8Home 25% P 25%3.7Draw 26% P 26%1.9Away 50% P 49%

Double Chance

1.8Club Brugge or Draw 26% P 26%1.28Club Brugge or Atletico Madrid 37% P 37%1.28Draw or Atletico Madrid 37% P 37%

Draw No Bet

2.621 35%1.442 65%

Both Teams To Score

1.61Yes 58% P 59%2.2No 42% P 41%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.72Over 55% P 56%2.1Under 45% P 44%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.06 - 8 29%2.629 - 11 34%4.512 - 14 20%11.0Over 14 8%

Number of Cards

3.51.72Over 54%2.0Under 46%
4.52.0Over 46%1.72Under 54%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 25–27.5% · away 47.5–50% · 285 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home25%26%24%-2.2
Draw26%25%27%+1.9
Away49%49%49%+0.2

In those fixtures: 2.9 goals a game · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 56%

Both teams to score · yes 57.5–60% · 1,955 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes59%59%60%+1.5

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 55–57.5% · 2,507 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.556%56%56%-0.2

Glenn Nyberg

Career
53 matches · 11 seasons
Cards / match
3.79 (3.66 yellow · 0.08 red)
Fouls / match
22.4 · 5.5 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.23
Cards to home side
49%

Style in Champions League (5-year window · 22 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match2.914.4-2.060
Fouls / match21.622.7-0.58
Fouls per card7.85.2+2.53 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.270.32-0.5332
Time added7.26.5+1.0184
First card
40' on average
Card timing
14% in first 30' · 36% in last 15'
Cards to home side
46% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.2

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-01-20 21 260 26'8
2025-10-21 20 211 31'4
2025-10-01 20 190 64'6
2025-09-18 60 230 28'11
2025-08-06 30 310 83'7
2025-05-08 110 330 43'7
2025-04-10 50 240 31'6
2025-02-18 30 231 62'11