Rating 8.06 (100th pct) · G+A 15 + 1 (48% of team goals) · 72% of minutes
Champions League · 8th Finals
Momentum
– Real MadridMCI –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
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Stats
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Season context
| Real Madrid | at home | Stat | league | away | Manchester City |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 53.6 #23 | – | Ball possession | 49.6 | – | 58.8 #9 |
| 17.4 #6 | – | Shots total | 11.6 | – | 15.6 #11 |
| 6.9 #6 | – | Shots on target | 4.3 | – | 6.9 #7 |
| 5.7 #17 | – | Corners | 4.5 | – | 6.3 #8 |
| 10.8 #53 | – | Fouls | 12.0 | – | 9.9 #70 |
| 1.1 #60 | – | Offsides | 1.5 | – | 1.2 #52 |
| 15.0 #30 | – | Tackles | 15.0 | – | 14.1 #39 |
| 95.0 #48 | – | Attacks | 99.1 | – | 116.8 #7 |
| 48.3 #49 | – | Dangerous attacks | 52.8 | – | 75.3 #4 |
| 510.8 #12 | – | Passes | 408.2 | – | 600.8 #4 |
| 2.1 #27 | – | Yellowcards | 2.1 | – | 1.7 #56 |
| 0.3 #8 | – | Redcards | 0.2 | – | 0.1 #23 |
| 1.9 #5 | – | Assists | 1.1 | – | 1.3 #24 |
| – #18 | – | Btts | 48.7 | – | – #27 |
| – #33 | – | Cleansheet | 24.6 | – | – #29 |
| – #57 | – | Draw | 20.2 | – | – #50 |
| 2.1 #5 | – | Expected goals | 1.3 | – | 1.7 #18 |
| 0.3 #26 | – | Expected goals difference | 0.2 | – | -0.1 #38 |
| – #70 | – | Failed to score | 34.1 | – | – #56 |
| 2.4 #6 | 2.3 | Goals | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.6 #28 |
| 1.4 #52 | 1.0 | Goals conceded | 1.6 | 1.8 | 1.4 #55 |
| 0.3 #22 | – | Injury time goals | 0.3 | – | 0.2 #39 |
| 8.8 #26 | – | Interceptions | 8.2 | – | 7.3 #44 |
| – #58 | – | Lost | 47.0 | – | – #53 |
| 0.3 #13 | – | Penalties scored | 0.2 | – | 0.1 #40 |
| 7.0 #3 | – | Rating | 6.6 | – | 6.9 #9 |
| 4.7 #9 | – | Shots blocked | 2.9 | – | 3.7 #23 |
| 11.7 #7 | – | Shots insidebox | 7.8 | – | 11.0 #12 |
| 5.8 #25 | – | Shots off target | 5.3 | – | 5.0 #42 |
| 5.7 #6 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.2 | – | 4.6 #21 |
| – #5 | – | Win | 32.9 | – | – #10 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 82.
League this season · 2025/2026
- Played
- 281 of 281
- Goals / match
- 3.18 (home 1.87 · away 1.31)
- Home / draw / away
- 50% · 19% · 31%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 52% · 59%
- Cards / match
- 4.2 (reds 0.15)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Real Madrid · 2025/2026 · Champions League
Rating 7.26 (91th pct) · G+A 5 + 5 (30% of team goals) · 93% of minutes
Rating 7.27 (95th pct) · G+A 3 + 4 (21% of team goals) · 92% of minutes
Manchester City · 2025/2026 · Champions League
Rating 7.23 (100th pct) · G+A 8 + 0 (50% of team goals) · 84% of minutes
Rating 7.12 (82th pct) · G+A 1 + 3 (25% of team goals) · 70% of minutes
Rating 7.01 (81th pct) · G+A 1 + 2 (19% of team goals) · 74% of minutes
Absences
Manchester City
- suspension Sverre Nypan midfielder · No Eligibility · 10 missed · until 2026-03-19
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- 8th Finals
- Leg
- 1/2
Venue
- Stadium
- Estadio Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid
- Capacity
- 84,744
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 76,066
Teams
- Coaches
- Arbeloa · Pep Guardiola
- Position
- 1 · 2
- Formation
- 4-4-2 · 4-1-3-2
Referee
Maurizio Mariani
Weather
- Conditions
- scattered clouds
- Temperature
- 9.2° (feels 7.8°)
- Wind
- 2.6
- Humidity
- 82%
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2025/2026
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal |
8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 4 | 19 | 24 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  FC Bayern München |
8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 8 | 14 | 21 | WLWWW |
| 3 |  Liverpool |
8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 8 | 12 | 18 | WLWWW |
| 4 |  Tottenham Hotspur |
8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 17 | WLWWW |
| 5 |  FC Barcelona |
8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 14 | 8 | 16 | DLWWW |
| 6 |  Chelsea |
8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 16 | DWLWW |
| 7 |  Sporting CP |
8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 16 | DWLWW |
| 8 |  Manchester City |
8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 16 | WLWLW |
| 9 |  Real Madrid |
8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 12 | 9 | 15 | LWLWL |
| 10 |  Inter |
8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 15 | WLLLW |
| 11 |  Paris Saint Germain |
8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 14 | LWDLD |
| 12 |  Newcastle United |
8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 14 | WLDWD |
| 13 |  Juventus |
8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 13 | DWWWD |
| 14 |  Atlético de Madrid |
8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 13 | WWWDL |
| 15 |  Atalanta |
8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 13 | WWWLL |
| 16 |  Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 12 | WWDLW |
| 17 |  Borussia Dortmund |
8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 11 | LWDLL |
| 18 |  Olympiacos F.C. |
8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 11 | DLWWW |
| 19 |  Club Brugge |
8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 10 | DLLWW |
| 20 |  Galatasaray |
8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 | WLLDL |
| 21 |  Monaco |
8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 10 | WDWLD |
| 22 |  Qarabağ |
8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 10 | DLLWL |
| 23 |  Bodø / Glimt |
8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 9 | LLDWW |
| 24 |  Benfica |
8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 9 | LWWLW |
| 25 |  Olympique Marseille |
8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 9 | LWWLL |
| 26 |  Pafos FC |
8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 9 | WDLLW |
| 27 |  Union Saint-Gilloise |
8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 9 | LWLLW |
| 28 |  PSV |
8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 8 | DWLLL |
| 29 |  Athletic Club |
8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 8 | LDDWL |
| 30 |  Napoli |
8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 8 | DWLDL |
| 31 |  FC København |
8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 8 | LWWDL |
| 32 |  Ajax |
8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 21 | -13 | 6 | LLWWL |
| 33 |  Eintracht Frankfurt |
8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 4 | DLLLL |
| 34 |  Slavia Praha |
8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 19 | -14 | 3 | LDLLL |
| 35 |  Villarreal |
8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 18 | -13 | 1 | LLLLL |
| 36 |  Kairat |
8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 22 | -15 | 1 | LLLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 12 | WLWWW |
| 2 | Tottenham Hotspur |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 12 | WLWWW |
| 3 | Arsenal |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 12 | WWWWW |
| 4 | Chelsea |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 12 | DWLWW |
| 5 | Sporting CP |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 12 | DWLWW |
| 6 | FC Barcelona |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 9 | DLWWW |
| 7 | Newcastle United |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 9 | WLDWD |
| 8 | Atlético de Madrid |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 9 | WWWDL |
| 9 | Real Madrid |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 9 | LWLWL |
| 10 | Liverpool |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 9 | WLWWW |
| 11 | Manchester City |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 9 | WLWLW |
| 12 | Juventus |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 8 | DWWWD |
| 13 | Paris Saint Germain |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 7 | LWDLD |
| 14 | Borussia Dortmund |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 7 | LWDLL |
| 15 | Club Brugge |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 7 | DLLWW |
| 16 | Napoli |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 7 | DWLDL |
| 17 | Galatasaray |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 7 | WLLDL |
| 18 | Qarabağ |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 7 | DLLWL |
| 19 | Atalanta |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 7 | WWWLL |
| 20 | Pafos FC |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 7 | WDLLW |
| 21 | Benfica |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 6 | LWWLW |
| 22 | Inter |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 6 | WLLLW |
| 23 | Olympique Marseille |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 6 | LWWLL |
| 24 | Monaco |
4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | WDWLD |
| 25 | Olympiacos F.C. |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 5 | DLWWW |
| 26 | FC København |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 5 | LWWDL |
| 27 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 5 | WWDLW |
| 28 | Bodø / Glimt |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 4 | LLDWW |
| 29 | Athletic Club |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 4 | LDDWL |
| 30 | PSV |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 3 | DWLLL |
| 31 | Eintracht Frankfurt |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 3 | DLLLL |
| 32 | Union Saint-Gilloise |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 11 | -8 | 3 | LWLLW |
| 33 | Slavia Praha |
4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 2 | LDLLL |
| 34 | Villarreal |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 1 | LLLLL |
| 35 | Kairat |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 10 | -9 | 1 | LLLLL |
| 36 | Ajax |
4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 9 | -8 | 0 | LLWWL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 10 | 12 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Inter |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 9 | WLLLW |
| 3 | Liverpool |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 9 | WLWWW |
| 4 | FC Bayern München |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 9 | WLWWW |
| 5 | Paris Saint Germain |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 7 | LWDLD |
| 6 | Manchester City |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 7 | WLWLW |
| 7 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 7 | WWDLW |
| 8 | FC Barcelona |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 7 | DLWWW |
| 9 | Real Madrid |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 6 | LWLWL |
| 10 | Union Saint-Gilloise |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 6 | LWLLW |
| 11 | Atalanta |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 6 | WWWLL |
| 12 | Ajax |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 6 | LLWWL |
| 13 | Olympiacos F.C. |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 6 | DLWWW |
| 14 | Newcastle United |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 5 | WLDWD |
| 15 | Tottenham Hotspur |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 5 | WLWWW |
| 16 | PSV |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 5 | DWLLL |
| 17 | Juventus |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 5 | DWWWD |
| 18 | Bodø / Glimt |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 5 | LLDWW |
| 19 | Chelsea |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 4 | DWLWW |
| 20 | Sporting CP |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 4 | DWLWW |
| 21 | Borussia Dortmund |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 4 | LWDLL |
| 22 | Atlético de Madrid |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 4 | WWWDL |
| 23 | Athletic Club |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 4 | LDDWL |
| 24 | Monaco |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 4 | WDWLD |
| 25 | Olympique Marseille |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 3 | LWWLL |
| 26 | Galatasaray |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 3 | WLLDL |
| 27 | Benfica |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 3 | LWWLW |
| 28 | Club Brugge |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 3 | DLLWW |
| 29 | FC København |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 3 | LWWDL |
| 30 | Qarabağ |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 3 | DLLWL |
| 31 | Pafos FC |
4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 2 | WDLLW |
| 32 | Eintracht Frankfurt |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 1 | DLLLL |
| 33 | Napoli |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 11 | -8 | 1 | DWLDL |
| 34 | Slavia Praha |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 10 | -9 | 1 | LDLLL |
| 35 | Kairat |
4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 0 | LLLLL |
| 36 | Villarreal |
4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 9 | -9 | 0 | LLLLL |
- 8th Finals
- Play-off
Real Madrid
WLWLW 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 6 GA 5 · xG 7.6–6.66 · xPts 7.7
- W
A
Celta de Vigo
2–1
xG 1.22–0.88
ESP PL - L
H
Getafe
0–1
xG 1.91–0.64
ESP PL - W
H
Benfica
2–1
xG 1.25–2.08
UEFA CL
- L
A
Osasuna
1–2
xG 1.88–2.36
ESP PL - W
A
Benfica
1–0
xG 1.34–0.7
UEFA CL
WLWWWWLWLW 7W 0D 3L · 21 pts (2.1 ppg) · GF 18 GA 11 · xG 16.17–13.58 · xPts 15.92
- W
A
Celta de Vigo
2–1
xG 1.22–0.88
ESP PL
- L
H
Getafe
0–1
xG 1.91–0.64
ESP PL
- W
H
Benfica
2–1
xG 1.25–2.08
UEFA CL
- L
A
Osasuna
1–2
xG 1.88–2.36
ESP PL
- W
A
Benfica
1–0
xG 1.34–0.7
UEFA CL
- W
H
Real Sociedad
4–1
xG 2.75–1.92
ESP PL - W
A
Valencia
2–0
xG 0.88–0.52
ESP PL - W
H
Rayo Vallecano
2–1
xG 1.77–1.0
ESP PL - L
A
Benfica
2–4
xG 1.33–2.87
UEFA CL
- W
A
Villarreal
2–0
xG 1.84–0.62
ESP PL
Manchester City
WWWDW 4W 1D 0L · 13 pts (2.6 ppg) · GF 10 GA 4 · xG 12.23–5.47 · xPts 10.88
- W
A
Newcastle United
3–1
xG 3.19–1.15
UK FA Cup
- D
H
Nottingham Forest
2–2
xG 2.64–1.04
UK PL - W
A
Leeds United
1–0
xG 2.2–1.99
UK PL - W
H
Newcastle United
2–1
xG 1.86–0.85
UK PL
- W
H
Salford City
2–0
xG 2.34–0.44
UK FA Cup
WWDWWWWWDW 8W 2D 0L · 26 pts (2.6 ppg) · GF 21 GA 7 · xG 21.0–11.04 · xPts 19.95
- W
A
Newcastle United
3–1
xG 3.19–1.15
UK FA Cup
- D
H
Nottingham Forest
2–2
xG 2.64–1.04
UK PL
- W
A
Leeds United
1–0
xG 2.2–1.99
UK PL
- W
H
Newcastle United
2–1
xG 1.86–0.85
UK PL
- W
H
Salford City
2–0
xG 2.34–0.44
UK FA Cup
- W
H
Fulham
3–0
xG 1.59–1.77
UK PL - W
A
Liverpool
2–1
xG 2.74–1.05
UK PL
- D
A
Tottenham Hotspur
2–2
xG 1.92–1.92
UK PL
- W
H
Galatasaray
2–0
xG 1.35–0.24
UEFA CL
- W
H
Wolverhampton Wanderers
2–0
xG 1.16–0.6
UK PL
All meetings · 17 matches since 2012
Goals 30–27 · 3.35 per match · BTTS 76% · over 2.5 71%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 20–16 · 3.6 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 80%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 12–6 · 3.6 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 100%
Recent meetings
- W Manchester City 1–2 Real Madrid UEFA CL · 8th Finals · leg 2/2
- W Real Madrid 3–0 Manchester City UEFA CL · 8th Finals · leg 1/2
- L Real Madrid 1–2 Manchester City UEFA CL · League Stage
- W Real Madrid 3–1 Manchester City UEFA CL · Knockout Round Play-offs · leg 2/2
- W Manchester City 2–3 Real Madrid UEFA CL · Knockout Round Play-offs · leg 1/2
- D Manchester City 1–1 Real Madrid pens None–None UEFA CL · Quarter-finals · leg 2/2
- D Real Madrid 3–3 Manchester City UEFA CL · Quarter-finals · leg 1/2
- L Manchester City 4–0 Real Madrid UEFA CL · Semi-finals · leg 2/2
- D Real Madrid 1–1 Manchester City UEFA CL · Semi-finals · leg 1/2
- W Real Madrid 3–1 Manchester City aet neutral UEFA CL · Semi-finals · leg 2/2
| Metric | Real Madrid all · 14 | Real Madrid at home · 7 | Manchester City all · 10 | Manchester City away · 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 14 | 7 | 10 | 5 |
| Points per game | 1.93 | 2.14 | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| W / D / L | 9 / 0 / 5 | 5 / 0 / 2 | 5 / 1 / 4 | 2 / 1 / 2 |
| Goals for / match | 2.36 | 2.29 | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals against / match | 1.43 | 1.00 | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Clean sheets | 29% | 29% | 30% | 20% |
| Failed to score | 7% | 0% | 20% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 64% | 71% | 50% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 | 79% | 86% | 60% | 80% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 2.10 | 2.39 | 1.73 | 1.55 |
| xG against / match | 1.74 | 1.68 | 1.34 | 1.65 |
| xG difference | 0.36 | 0.71 | 0.38 | -0.10 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.26 | -0.10 | -0.13 | -0.15 |
| xPts / match | 1.57 | 1.74 | 1.65 | 1.31 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.36 | 0.40 | -0.05 | 0.09 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 64% | 57% | 50% | 40% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.00 | 2.25 | 2.60 | 2.00 |
| PPG when conceding first | 1.80 | 2.00 | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| Came back from behind | 38% | 50% | 20% | 33% |
| Leads held | 75% | 83% | 83% | 67% |
| Minutes leading | 37% | 34% | 39% | 38% |
| Minutes level | 47% | 50% | 35% | 30% |
| Minutes trailing | 15% | 16% | 26% | 32% |
| First goal (min) | 29 | 33 | 32 | 32 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 34 | 37 | 29 | 22 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 48% | 50% | 31% | 14% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 45% | 29% | 36% | 22% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.43 | 0.43 | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| Late goals against | 0.29 | 0.00 | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 54% | 51% | 59% | 62% |
| Shots | 17.4 | 20.4 | 15.6 | 12.8 |
| On target | 6.9 | 7.3 | 6.9 | 6.0 |
| Shot conversion | 14% | 11% | 10% | 11% |
| Shots inside box | 67% | 69% | 70% | 73% |
| Big chances created | 3.9 | 3.7 | 3.1 | 3.2 |
| Corners | 5.7 | 6.9 | 6.3 | 5.6 |
| xG from set plays | 26% | 28% | 23% | 29% |
| Goals from headers | 9% | 0% | 19% | 29% |
| Pressure index | 14.6 | 13.2 | 23.6 | 21.2 |
| Dominant minutes | 54.4 | 52.7 | 69.0 | 70.4 |
| Pass accuracy | 87% | 88% | 90% | 91% |
| Fouls | 10.8 | 11.6 | 9.9 | 13.4 |
| Cards | 3.00 | 1.71 | 2.10 | 3.40 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Real Madrid
0–15'23
16–30'131
31–45'27
46–60'73
61–75'32
76–90'64
Manchester City
0–15'20
16–30'48
31–45'51
46–60'32
61–75'11
76–90'12
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Real Madrid · 7 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.47) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +1.02
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.477
Early press (0-15, level)+0.317
Late push (76+, level)+0.733
Game state
When ahead+0.346
When level+0.677
10 min after conceding-0.016
10 min after scoring+1.026
Situations
At home+0.244
Away+0.703
4+ days rest+0.456
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents+0.693
v bottom-tier opponents+0.702
As favourite+0.477
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.107
Conceded when ahead+0.056
Conceded late (76+)-0.496
Congested vs rested +0.16 · Ahead vs level -0.33 · Behind vs level -1.19
Manchester City · 5 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.41) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.60
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.415
Early press (0-15, level)+0.025
Game state
When ahead+0.395
When level+0.535
10 min after conceding-0.042
10 min after scoring+0.605
Situations
At home+0.222
Away+0.543
4+ days rest+0.314
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.443
v mid-tier opponents+0.362
As favourite+0.444
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.385
Conceded when ahead-0.435
Conceded late (76+)-0.525
Congested vs rested +0.49 · Ahead vs level -0.14 · Behind vs level -0.43
Real Madrid
Current: unbeaten 3 · wins 3 · scoring 3 · conceding 4
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-4-2 | 7 50% | 1.71 | 1.86 | 1.43 | 1.85 | 1.91 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 3 21% | 3.0 | 3.67 | 1.33 | 2.89 | 1.01 |
| 4-3-3 | 3 21% | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.67 | 2.47 | 1.87 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 7% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.34 | 2.34 |
Manchester City
Current: unbeaten 5 · wins 5 · scoring 18 · clean sheets 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-1-4-1 | 4 40% | 2.5 | 2.5 | 0.75 | 1.7 | 1.16 |
| 4-3-3 | 3 30% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.93 | 1.28 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 2 20% | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.91 | 1.5 |
| 4-1-3-2 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.83 | 1.95 |
| Metric | Real Madrid all · 10 | Real Madrid at home · 10 | Manchester City all · 10 | Manchester City away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 2.70 | 2.50 | 2.50 | 2.10 |
| W / D / L | 9 / 0 / 1 | 8 / 1 / 1 | 8 / 1 / 1 | 6 / 3 / 1 |
| Goals for / match | 2.60 | 2.70 | 1.90 | 1.70 |
| Goals against / match | 0.90 | 1.10 | 0.50 | 0.90 |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 20% | 60% | 50% |
| Failed to score | 10% | 0% | 0% | 10% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 80% | 40% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 | 70% | 80% | 50% | 40% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 2.47 | 2.40 | 1.80 | 1.85 |
| xG against / match | 1.10 | 1.29 | 0.91 | 1.09 |
| xG difference | 1.37 | 1.12 | 0.89 | 0.76 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.13 | 0.30 | 0.10 | -0.15 |
| xPts / match | 2.16 | 2.03 | 1.91 | 1.82 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.54 | 0.47 | 0.59 | 0.28 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 90% | 80% | 80% | 80% |
| PPG when scoring first | 3.00 | 2.75 | 2.63 | 2.50 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.00 | 1.50 | 2.00 | 0.50 |
| Came back from behind | 0% | 50% | 67% | 67% |
| Leads held | 100% | 89% | 89% | 75% |
| Minutes leading | 59% | 53% | 38% | 35% |
| Minutes level | 40% | 39% | 47% | 49% |
| Minutes trailing | 1% | 8% | 15% | 15% |
| First goal (min) | 21 | 35 | 51 | 46 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 57 | 55 | 42 | 44 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 38% | 52% | 74% | 76% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 67% | 64% | 60% | 44% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.70 | 0.50 | 0.70 | 0.50 |
| Late goals against | 0.40 | 0.30 | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 56% | 56% | 62% | 63% |
| Shots | 18.4 | 19.4 | 15.1 | 16.6 |
| On target | 7.4 | 8.9 | 5.7 | 6.1 |
| Shot conversion | 14% | 14% | 13% | 10% |
| Shots inside box | 72% | 66% | 69% | 69% |
| Big chances created | 4.3 | 3.7 | 3.3 | 2.4 |
| Corners | 6.1 | 6.5 | 6.8 | 8.5 |
| xG from set plays | 19% | 24% | 18% | 19% |
| Goals from headers | 4% | 0% | 21% | 18% |
| Pressure index | 18.4 | 18.0 | 18.4 | 18.0 |
| Dominant minutes | 61.8 | 58.9 | 65.9 | 66.5 |
| Pass accuracy | 90% | 90% | 89% | 89% |
| Fouls | 8.8 | 8.5 | 9.9 | 10.5 |
| Cards | 1.30 | 1.20 | 1.80 | 1.70 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Real Madrid
0–15'50
16–30'61
31–45'52
46–60'21
61–75'11
76–90'74
Manchester City
0–15'00
16–30'31
31–45'21
46–60'52
61–75'21
76–90'70
Real Madrid
Current: unbeaten 3 · wins 3 · scoring 3 · conceding 4
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 6 60% | 2.5 | 2.83 | 1.0 | 2.72 | 0.99 |
| 4-4-2 | 2 20% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 0.99 |
| 4-3-3 | 2 20% | 3.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 2.57 | 1.55 |
Manchester City
Current: unbeaten 5 · wins 5 · scoring 18 · clean sheets 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 6 60% | 3.0 | 2.17 | 0.33 | 2.05 | 0.57 |
| 4-2-2-2 | 3 30% | 2.0 | 1.67 | 0.67 | 1.34 | 1.23 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 10% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.69 | 2.03 |
| Metric | Real Madrid all · 54 | Real Madrid at home · 27 | Manchester City all · 55 | Manchester City away · 27 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 54 | 27 | 55 | 27 |
| Points per game | 2.15 | 2.48 | 2.20 | 1.93 |
| W / D / L | 37 / 5 / 12 | 22 / 1 / 4 | 37 / 10 / 8 | 15 / 7 / 5 |
| Goals for / match | 2.20 | 2.59 | 2.13 | 1.67 |
| Goals against / match | 1.09 | 0.89 | 0.91 | 1.11 |
| Clean sheets | 32% | 30% | 42% | 37% |
| Failed to score | 11% | 7% | 9% | 15% |
| Both teams scored | 59% | 63% | 51% | 52% |
| Over 2.5 | 63% | 70% | 60% | 52% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 2.08 | 2.34 | 1.92 | 1.78 |
| xG against / match | 1.30 | 1.25 | 1.14 | 1.27 |
| xG difference | 0.78 | 1.09 | 0.77 | 0.51 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.13 | 0.25 | 0.21 | -0.11 |
| xPts / match | 1.83 | 2.00 | 1.86 | 1.68 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.32 | 0.48 | 0.34 | 0.24 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 72% | 82% | 74% | 63% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.67 | 2.77 | 2.54 | 2.41 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.79 | 1.20 | 1.23 | 1.11 |
| Came back from behind | 29% | 33% | 47% | 50% |
| Leads held | 86% | 92% | 80% | 75% |
| Minutes leading | 43% | 52% | 46% | 38% |
| Minutes level | 46% | 40% | 43% | 47% |
| Minutes trailing | 12% | 8% | 11% | 15% |
| First goal (min) | 34 | 30 | 35 | 40 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 48 | 52 | 46 | 45 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 53% | 51% | 50% | 56% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 58% | 58% | 62% | 60% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.50 | 0.52 | 0.42 | 0.33 |
| Late goals against | 0.30 | 0.19 | 0.18 | 0.19 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 57% | 57% | 61% | 61% |
| Shots | 17.5 | 19.3 | 16.0 | 14.6 |
| On target | 6.8 | 7.7 | 5.9 | 5.4 |
| Shot conversion | 13% | 14% | 13% | 11% |
| Shots inside box | 66% | 66% | 72% | 73% |
| Big chances created | 3.6 | 4.0 | 3.3 | 2.8 |
| Corners | 6.2 | 6.6 | 6.6 | 6.0 |
| xG from set plays | 29% | 32% | 23% | 23% |
| Goals from headers | 10% | 7% | 14% | 13% |
| Pressure index | 20.2 | 20.7 | 23.2 | 18.8 |
| Dominant minutes | 60.9 | 61.6 | 66.6 | 62.7 |
| Pass accuracy | 89% | 90% | 89% | 89% |
| Fouls | 10.1 | 10.0 | 10.1 | 10.8 |
| Cards | 2.24 | 2.00 | 1.76 | 2.22 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Real Madrid
0–15'115
16–30'284
31–45'1716
46–60'229
61–75'149
76–90'2716
Manchester City
0–15'130
16–30'1614
31–45'295
46–60'2010
61–75'1611
76–90'2310
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Real Madrid · 54 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.48) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.78
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.4854
Early press (0-15, level)+0.2354
Late push (76+, level)+0.5216
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.1511
Game state
When ahead+0.4843
When level+0.4954
When behind+0.4717
10 min after conceding+0.4236
10 min after scoring+0.7847
Situations
With ten men+0.375
Against ten men+0.137
At home+0.3827
Away+0.5827
3 days rest or fewer+0.3416
4+ days rest+0.5438
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.0915
v mid-tier opponents+0.5519
v bottom-tier opponents+0.598
As favourite+0.5844
Evenly matched+0.205
As underdog-0.065
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.1854
Conceded when ahead-0.1743
Conceded late (76+)-0.3244
Congested vs rested -0.20 · Ahead vs level -0.00 · Behind vs level -0.02
Manchester City · 55 matches
Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.63) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.80
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.6355
Early press (0-15, level)+0.6155
Late push (76+, level)+0.7616
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.2512
Game state
When ahead+0.6946
When level+0.6455
When behind+0.3415
10 min after conceding+0.1131
10 min after scoring+0.8050
Situations
With ten men+0.473
Against ten men+0.982
At home+0.7328
Away+0.5327
3 days rest or fewer+0.6819
4+ days rest+0.6036
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.5835
v mid-tier opponents+0.7310
v bottom-tier opponents+0.922
As favourite+0.6850
Evenly matched+0.364
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.2955
Conceded when ahead-0.3546
Conceded late (76+)-0.3047
Congested vs rested +0.07 · Ahead vs level +0.05 · Behind vs level -0.29
Real Madrid
Current: unbeaten 3 · wins 3 · scoring 3 · conceding 4
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-4-2 | 25 46% | 2.12 | 2.12 | 1.16 | 1.79 | 1.39 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 14 26% | 2.0 | 2.29 | 1.29 | 2.15 | 1.05 |
| 4-3-3 | 10 18% | 2.5 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 2.49 | 1.28 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 2 4% | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.9 | 1.88 |
| 4-2-2-2 | 1 2% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.62 | 1.15 |
Manchester City
Current: unbeaten 5 · wins 5 · scoring 18 · clean sheets 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 15 27% | 2.67 | 2.27 | 0.6 | 2.15 | 1.01 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 15 27% | 1.93 | 2.27 | 0.8 | 1.61 | 1.18 |
| 4-3-2-1 | 9 16% | 2.44 | 2.22 | 0.78 | 2.09 | 1.09 |
| 4-1-3-2 | 8 14% | 1.88 | 1.63 | 1.25 | 2.07 | 1.35 |
| 4-3-3 | 5 9% | 1.8 | 2.2 | 2.0 | 1.92 | 1.16 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.
Latest prices
bet365 · pre-match line -0.3h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
3.5Home 27% P 26%3.75Draw 25% P 26%2.0Away 48% P 48%
Double Chance
1.8Real Madrid or Draw 26% P 27%1.25Real Madrid or Man City 37% P 37%1.28Draw or Man City 37% P 37%
Draw No Bet
2.621 35%1.442 65%
Both Teams To Score
1.57Yes 59% P 61%2.25No 41% P 39%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.66Over 57% P 57%2.2Under 43% P 43%
Total Corners
9.0Under 6 10%3.06 - 8 29%2.629 - 11 34%4.512 - 14 20%11.0Over 14 8%
Number of Cards
3.51.66Over 56%2.1Under 44%
4.52.1Over 44%1.66Under 56%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 25–27.5% · away 47.5–50% · 285 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 26% | 26% | 24% | -2.2 |
| Draw | 26% | 25% | 27% | +1.9 |
| Away | 48% | 49% | 49% | +0.2 |
In those fixtures: 2.9 goals a game · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 56%
Both teams to score · yes 60–62.5% · 1,319 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 61% | 61% | 62% | +0.7 |
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 55–57.5% · 2,508 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 57% | 56% | 56% | -0.2 |
Maurizio Mariani
- Career
- 229 matches · 15 seasons
- Cards / match
- 4.68 (4.44 yellow · 0.15 red)
- Fouls / match
- 25.6 · 5.1 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.31
- Cards to home side
- 46%
Style in Champions League (5-year window · 22 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 4.09 | 4.4 | -0.26 | 42 |
| Fouls / match | 22.1 | 22.7 | -0.27 | |
| Fouls per card | 5.4 | 5.2 | -0.11 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.27 | 0.32 | -0.53 | 32 |
| Time added | 6.9 | 6.5 | +0.64 | 74 |
- First card
- 34' on average
- Card timing
- 14% in first 30' · 42% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 44% (league 47%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.25
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-26 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 1 | 40' | 11 |
| 2026-02-23 | 6 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 37' | 11 |
| 2026-02-18 | 5 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 53' | 11 |
| 2026-01-28 | 4 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 64' | 8 |
| 2026-01-25 | 3 | 0 | 32 | 0 | 34' | 4 |
| 2026-01-20 | 3 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 5' | 6 |
| 2026-01-15 | 3 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 12' | 10 |
| 2026-01-08 | 5 | 0 | 20 | 1 | 70' | 6 |
| 2025-12-28 | 4 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 34' | 7 |
| 2025-12-21 | 4 | 1 | 18 | 0 | 7' | 8 |