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Europa League · Knockout Round Play-offs Ferencvárosi went through · After Full Time

Momentum

LudogoretsFerencvárosi
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

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Competition

Stage
Knockout Round Play-offs
Leg
1/2

Venue

Stadium
Huvepharma Arena (Razgrad), Razgrad
Capacity
10,422
Attendance
3,145

Teams

Coaches
Per-Mathias Høgmo · Robbie Keane
Position
1 · 2
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 3-5-2

Referee

Tobias Stieler

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
2.1° (feels -1.8°)
Wind
4.1
Humidity
82%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Olympique Lyonnais 8701 18513 21 LWWWW
2 Aston Villa 8701 1468 21 WWWWW
3 FC Midtjylland 8611 18810 19 WLWDW
4 Real Betis 8521 1376 17 WWWLW
5 Porto 8521 1376 17 DWWDW
6 Sporting Braga 8521 1156 17 LDWWD
7 SC Freiburg 8521 1046 17 WDWWL
8 Roma 8512 1367 16 WWWWD
9 Genk 8512 1174 16 WWLWW
10 Bologna 8431 1477 15 DWWDW
11 VfB Stuttgart 8503 1596 15 WWWLW
12 Ferencvárosi 8431 12111 15 WDWDL
13 Nottingham Forest 8422 1578 14 DWWLW
14 Viktoria Plzeň 8350 835 14 DDDDW
15 Crvena Zvezda 8422 761 14 WWWWD
16 Celta de Vigo 8413 15114 13 WLLWD
17 PAOK 8332 17143 12 WDDWL
18 LOSC Lille 8404 1293 12 LWLLW
19 Fenerbahçe 8332 1073 12 DDWLD
20 Panathinaikos 8332 1192 12 WWDDD
21 Celtic 8323 1315-2 11 LWLDW
22 Ludogorets 8314 1215-3 10 LWDLW
23 Dinamo Zagreb 8314 1216-4 10 LLLWL
24 Brann 8233 911-2 9 DDLDL
25 Young Boys 8305 1016-6 9 LLWLL
26 Sturm Graz 8215 511-6 7 DLLLW
27 FCSB 8215 916-7 7 LLWLD
28 Go Ahead Eagles 8215 614-8 7 LLLLD
29 Feyenoord 8206 1115-4 6 LLLWL
30 Basel 8206 913-4 6 WLLLL
31 Salzburg 8206 1015-5 6 WLLWL
32 Rangers 8116 514-9 4 LDLWL
33 Nice 8107 715-8 3 LLLWL
34 FC Utrecht 8017 515-10 1 DLLLL
35 Malmö FF 8017 415-11 1 LLLLL
36 Maccabi Tel Aviv 8017 222-20 1 LLLLL
  • 8th Finals
  • Play-off

Ludogorets

LWDLW 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 8 GA 9 · xG 7.87–7.92 · xPts 6.81

  • W H Nice 1–0 xG 1.13–0.99 UEFA EL
  • L A Rangers 0–1 xG 1.15–1.13 UEFA EL
  • D H PAOK 3–3 xG 1.95–2.44 UEFA EL
  • W H Celta de Vigo 3–2 xG 2.63–1.67 UEFA EL
  • L A Ferencvárosi 1–3 xG 1.01–1.69 UEFA EL

Ferencvárosi

WDWDL 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 7 GA 8 · xG 6.67–6.97 · xPts 6.89

  • L A Nottingham Forest 0–4 xG 0.72–2.47 UEFA EL
  • D H Panathinaikos 1–1 xG 1.69–0.72 UEFA EL
  • W H Rangers 2–1 xG 1.62–1.5 UEFA EL
  • D A Fenerbahçe 1–1 xG 0.95–1.27 UEFA EL
  • W H Ludogorets 3–1 xG 1.69–1.01 UEFA EL

All meetings · 9 matches since 2019

Ludogorets 22 draws5 Ferencvárosi

Goals 10–15 · 2.78 per match · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 67%

Last 10 · 9 matches

Ludogorets 22 draws5 Ferencvárosi

Goals 10–15 · 2.78 per match · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 67%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Ludogorets 11 draws3 Ferencvárosi

Goals 3–9 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • L Ferencvárosi 2–0 Ludogorets UEFA EL · Knockout Round Play-offs · leg 2/2
  • W Ludogorets 2–1 Ferencvárosi UEFA EL · Knockout Round Play-offs · leg 1/2
  • L Ferencvárosi 3–1 Ludogorets UEFA EL · League Stage
  • L Ferencvárosi 3–0 Ludogorets UEFA CL · Qualification Round 3 · leg 2/2
  • D Ludogorets 0–0 Ferencvárosi UEFA CL · Qualification Round 3 · leg 1/2
  • D Ludogorets 1–1 Ferencvárosi UEFA EL · Group Stage
  • W Ferencvárosi 0–3 Ludogorets UEFA EL · Group Stage
  • L Ludogorets 2–3 Ferencvárosi neutral UEFA CL · 1st Qualifying Round · leg 2/2
  • L Ferencvárosi 2–1 Ludogorets UEFA CL · 1st Qualifying Round · leg 1/2
MetricLudogorets all · 12Ludogorets at home · 6Ferencvárosi all · 12Ferencvárosi away · 6
Results
Matches126126
Points per game1.332.171.751.17
W / D / L5 / 1 / 64 / 1 / 16 / 3 / 32 / 1 / 3
Goals for / match1.582.171.421.00
Goals against / match1.751.501.422.17
Clean sheets8%17%25%17%
Failed to score25%17%17%33%
Both teams scored67%67%58%50%
Over 2.567%67%50%67%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.551.661.401.18
xG against / match1.611.401.211.40
xG difference-0.060.260.19-0.22
Finishing vs xG0.090.510.02-0.18
xPts / match1.341.471.491.22
Points vs xPts0.120.700.26-0.05
Game state
Scored first67%83%50%33%
PPG when scoring first2.002.602.332.00
PPG when conceding first0.000.001.170.75
Came back from behind14%50%50%25%
Leads held62%80%75%67%
Minutes leading36%50%30%15%
Minutes level33%36%42%45%
Minutes trailing31%14%28%40%
First goal (min)28244647
First goal conceded (min)42463827
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half41%46%59%67%
Goals conceded in 2nd half57%67%47%46%
Late goals for (76'+)0.420.500.170.00
Late goals against0.330.330.250.17
Style
Possession49%49%45%45%
Shots15.115.311.69.3
On target4.85.34.03.8
Shot conversion10%14%12%11%
Shots inside box56%52%70%68%
Big chances created2.02.22.52.7
Corners3.53.73.63.0
xG from set plays29%35%36%46%
Goals from headers11%15%29%50%
Pressure index18.530.39.17.9
Dominant minutes44.353.537.432.0
Pass accuracy84%82%80%80%
Fouls12.011.314.915.3
Cards2.001.832.752.67

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Ludogorets

0–15'31
16–30'52
31–45'26
46–60'15
61–75'33
76–90'34

Ferencvárosi

0–15'13
16–30'25
31–45'41
46–60'42
61–75'43
76–90'23

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Ludogorets · 2 matches

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.042
Early press (0-15, level)-0.142

Game state

When level-0.162
When behind+0.332
10 min after conceding-0.132

Situations

4+ days rest+0.042

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.302
Conceded late (76+)-0.352

Ahead vs level -0.59 · Behind vs level +0.48

Ferencvárosi · 8 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.21) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.43

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.218
Early press (0-15, level)-0.438
Late push (76+, level)-0.154

Game state

When ahead-0.177
When level-0.248
10 min after conceding-0.135
10 min after scoring+0.108

Situations

Against ten men+0.063
At home-0.113
Away-0.255
4+ days rest-0.218

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.332
Evenly matched-0.194
As underdog-0.273

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.208
Conceded when ahead+0.097
Conceded late (76+)-0.246

Ahead vs level +0.07 · Behind vs level -0.20

Ludogorets

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-36 50%1.01.51.831.651.7
4-2-3-14 33%2.251.51.01.451.27
4-1-4-11 8%0.01.03.01.011.69
4-4-21 8%1.03.03.01.952.44

Ferencvárosi

Current: unbeaten 8 · wins 3 · scoring 8 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-5-27 58%2.291.861.01.71.2
3-4-2-12 17%0.50.52.51.211.59
3-4-1-22 17%1.51.02.00.681.09
3-1-4-21 8%1.01.01.01.130.73

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.1h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.8Home 26% P 34%3.3Draw 22% P 30%2.55Away 29% P 37%3.2Tie 23%

Double Chance

1.5Ludogorets Razgrad or Draw 19% P 32%1.33Ludogorets Razgrad or Ferencvarosi TC 21% P 35%1.4Ludogorets Razgrad or Tie 20% P 35%1.44Tie or Ferencvarosi TC 20% P 35%1.4Draw or Ferencvarosi TC 20% P 33%

Draw No Bet

1.91 49%1.82 51%

Both Teams To Score

1.75Yes 53% P 55%2.0No 47% P 45%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.0Over 47% P 48%1.8Under 53% P 52%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 8%3.06 - 8 25%2.629 - 11 28%4.512 - 14 17%11.0Over 14 7%11.0Mais de 14 7%9.0Menos de 6 8%

Number of Cards

4.51.8Over 51%1.9Under 49%
5.52.2Over 42%1.61Under 58%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 32.5–35% · away 35–37.5% · 692 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home34%34%34%+0.6
Draw30%30%27%-2.5
Away37%36%38%+2.0

In those fixtures: 2.5 goals a game · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 45%

Both teams to score · yes 55–57.5% · 2,581 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes55%56%57%+1.1

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 47.5–50% · 3,307 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.548%49%50%+1.3

Tobias Stieler

Career
284 matches · 16 seasons
Cards / match
4.05 (3.83 yellow · 0.1 red)
Fouls / match
22.6 · 5.5 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.31
Cards to home side
42%

Style in Europa League (5-year window · 20 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match5.74.72+0.9081
Fouls / match21.924.1-0.99
Fouls per card3.95.1-1.42 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.350.33+0.2564
Time added7.36.6+0.6479
First card
29' on average
Card timing
20% in first 30' · 31% in last 15'
Cards to home side
34% (league 46%)
VAR events / match
1.0

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-02-08 41 202 6'7
2026-01-28 31 270 26'8
2026-01-24 10 190 89'4
2025-12-20 20 11
2025-12-06 61 171 2'12
2025-11-26 50 220 11'7
2025-11-23 20 180 38'8
2025-10-31 50 300 49'9
2025-10-23 51 281 15'10
2025-10-05 20 230 55'6