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Europa League · 8th Finals Bologna went through · After Extra Time

Momentum

RomaBologna
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
8th Finals
Leg
2/2

Venue

Stadium
Stadio Olimpico, Roma
Capacity
72,698
Surface
grass
Attendance
63,908

Teams

Coaches
Gian Gasperini · Vincenzo Italiano
Position
1 · 2
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 4-3-3

Referee

Istvan Kovacs

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
11.0° (feels 9.5°)
Wind
3.1
Humidity
53%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Olympique Lyonnais 8701 18513 21 LWWWW
2 Aston Villa 8701 1468 21 WWWWW
3 FC Midtjylland 8611 18810 19 WLWDW
4 Real Betis 8521 1376 17 WWWLW
5 Porto 8521 1376 17 DWWDW
6 Sporting Braga 8521 1156 17 LDWWD
7 SC Freiburg 8521 1046 17 WDWWL
8 Roma 8512 1367 16 WWWWD
9 Genk 8512 1174 16 WWLWW
10 Bologna 8431 1477 15 DWWDW
11 VfB Stuttgart 8503 1596 15 WWWLW
12 Ferencvárosi 8431 12111 15 WDWDL
13 Nottingham Forest 8422 1578 14 DWWLW
14 Viktoria Plzeň 8350 835 14 DDDDW
15 Crvena Zvezda 8422 761 14 WWWWD
16 Celta de Vigo 8413 15114 13 WLLWD
17 PAOK 8332 17143 12 WDDWL
18 LOSC Lille 8404 1293 12 LWLLW
19 Fenerbahçe 8332 1073 12 DDWLD
20 Panathinaikos 8332 1192 12 WWDDD
21 Celtic 8323 1315-2 11 LWLDW
22 Ludogorets 8314 1215-3 10 LWDLW
23 Dinamo Zagreb 8314 1216-4 10 LLLWL
24 Brann 8233 911-2 9 DDLDL
25 Young Boys 8305 1016-6 9 LLWLL
26 Sturm Graz 8215 511-6 7 DLLLW
27 FCSB 8215 916-7 7 LLWLD
28 Go Ahead Eagles 8215 614-8 7 LLLLD
29 Feyenoord 8206 1115-4 6 LLLWL
30 Basel 8206 913-4 6 WLLLL
31 Salzburg 8206 1015-5 6 WLLWL
32 Rangers 8116 514-9 4 LDLWL
33 Nice 8107 715-8 3 LLLWL
34 FC Utrecht 8017 515-10 1 DLLLL
35 Malmö FF 8017 415-11 1 LLLLL
36 Maccabi Tel Aviv 8017 222-20 1 LLLLL
  • 8th Finals
  • Play-off

Roma

WDLDL 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 9 GA 8 · xG 6.84–7.01 · xPts 6.81

  • L A Como 1–2 xG 0.98–2.0 ITA SA
  • D A Bologna 1–1 xG 0.9–1.23 UEFA EL
  • L A Genoa 1–2 xG 0.57–2.63 ITA SA
  • D H Juventus 3–3 xG 1.76–1.05 ITA SA
  • W H Cremonese 3–0 xG 2.63–0.1 ITA SA

Bologna

WWLDW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 5 GA 3 · xG 5.83–4.63 · xPts 7.67

  • W A Sassuolo 1–0 xG 1.23–0.64 ITA SA
  • D H Roma 1–1 xG 1.23–0.9 UEFA EL
  • L H Hellas Verona 1–2 xG 1.38–1.81 ITA SA
  • W A Pisa 1–0 xG 0.44–0.43 ITA SA
  • W H Brann 1–0 xG 1.55–0.85 UEFA EL

All meetings · 36 matches since 2008

Roma 1711 draws8 Bologna

Goals 60–40 · 2.78 per match · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 47%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Roma 33 draws4 Bologna

Goals 13–15 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 40%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Roma 22 draws1 Bologna

Goals 9–7 · 3.2 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • W Bologna 0–2 Roma ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Roma 3–4 Bologna aet UEFA EL · 8th Finals · leg 2/2
  • D Bologna 1–1 Roma UEFA EL · 8th Finals · leg 1/2
  • W Roma 1–0 Bologna ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Bologna 2–2 Roma ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Roma 2–3 Bologna ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Roma 1–3 Bologna ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Bologna 2–0 Roma ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Bologna 0–0 Roma ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Roma 1–0 Bologna neutral ITA SA · Regular Season
MetricRoma all · 10Roma at home · 5Bologna all · 14Bologna away · 7
Results
Matches105147
Points per game1.701.201.792.14
W / D / L5 / 2 / 32 / 0 / 37 / 4 / 35 / 0 / 2
Goals for / match1.701.601.571.71
Goals against / match1.101.601.291.43
Clean sheets30%20%29%29%
Failed to score10%20%21%29%
Both teams scored60%60%57%43%
Over 2.550%60%57%71%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.651.991.791.76
xG against / match1.141.101.191.25
xG difference0.520.890.600.51
Finishing vs xG0.05-0.39-0.21-0.05
xPts / match1.671.881.731.73
Points vs xPts0.03-0.680.060.41
Game state
Scored first50%40%57%57%
PPG when scoring first3.003.002.503.00
PPG when conceding first0.400.000.801.00
Came back from behind40%0%40%33%
Leads held100%100%78%100%
Minutes leading36%28%32%44%
Minutes level37%29%44%26%
Minutes trailing27%43%24%30%
First goal (min)39334128
First goal conceded (min)46343426
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half53%62%62%46%
Goals conceded in 2nd half50%29%44%40%
Late goals for (76'+)0.400.600.290.29
Late goals against0.300.400.210.29
Style
Possession53%57%53%49%
Shots14.617.818.116.4
On target4.96.26.46.7
Shot conversion12%9%9%10%
Shots inside box69%70%68%66%
Big chances created2.42.23.03.1
Corners5.46.46.95.3
xG from set plays34%45%27%28%
Goals from headers29%12%9%0%
Pressure index18.019.121.618.4
Dominant minutes61.470.063.159.4
Pass accuracy82%82%82%81%
Fouls15.715.415.819.1
Cards2.201.402.072.14

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Roma

0–15'31
16–30'03
31–45'51
46–60'33
61–75'20
76–90'42

Bologna

0–15'32
16–30'33
31–45'25
46–60'73
61–75'32
76–90'33

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Roma · 5 matches

Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.66) · stands out: when level +0.82

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.665
Early press (0-15, level)+0.385
Late push (76+, level)+0.042

Game state

When ahead+0.365
When level+0.825
10 min after conceding-0.312
10 min after scoring+0.545

Situations

At home+1.332
Away+0.173
4+ days rest+0.665

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.912
As favourite+0.665

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.195
Conceded when ahead-0.195
Conceded late (76+)-0.563

Ahead vs level -0.46 · Behind vs level -0.11

Bologna · 4 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.21) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) +0.62

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.214
Early press (0-15, level)+0.624
Late push (76+, level)+0.202
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.234

Game state

When level+0.394
When behind-0.104
10 min after conceding+0.384

Situations

At home+0.092
Away+0.342
4+ days rest+0.214

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.342
v mid-tier opponents+0.092
As underdog+0.342

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.104
Conceded late (76+)-0.144

Behind vs level -0.49

Roma

Current: unbeaten 12 · wins 1 · scoring 22 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-17 70%2.142.141.141.641.16
3-4-1-22 20%0.50.51.01.881.17
3-5-21 10%1.01.01.01.310.93

Bologna

Current: winless 5 · conceding 5

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-37 50%2.01.861.291.71.14
4-2-3-16 43%1.831.51.331.931.14
4-2-2-21 7%0.00.01.01.561.87

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.1h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.7Home 55% P 55%3.6Draw 26% P 27%5.0Away 19% P 18%

Double Chance

1.16Roma or Draw 41% P 41%1.28Roma or Bologna 37% P 37%2.1Draw or Bologna 22% P 23%

Draw No Bet

1.251 75%3.752 25%

Both Teams To Score

2.0Yes 47% P 47%1.75No 53% P 53%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.1Over 45% P 46%1.72Under 55% P 54%

Total Corners

6.5Under 6 14%2.626 - 8 34%2.759 - 11 32%6.012 - 14 15%15.0Over 14 6%

Number of Cards

3.51.61Over 58%2.2Under 42%
4.51.66Over 56%2.1Under 44%
5.52.1Over 44%1.66Under 56%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 55–57.5% · away 17.5–20% · 762 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home55%56%53%-2.8
Draw27%25%26%+1.0
Away18%19%21%+1.8

In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 52%

Both teams to score · yes 45–47.5% · 2,102 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes47%46%47%+0.3

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 45–47.5% · 2,885 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.546%46%45%-1.2

Istvan Kovacs

Career
89 matches · 17 seasons
Cards / match
5.37 (5.07 yellow · 0.12 red)
Fouls / match
24.4 · 4.0 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.33
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Europa League (5-year window · 9 matches)

Fewer than 10 matches with card data in this league — averages only: 5.89 cards, 27.6 fouls per match.

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-02-25 61 200 24'7
2026-01-28 30 260 56'6
2026-01-21 70 220 29'6
2025-12-11 · Roma 50 191 45'5
2025-11-04 50 270 23'7
2025-10-01 40 260 6'8
2025-09-17 61 290 15'10
2025-08-27 10 401 85'6
2025-08-12 40 320 11'9
2025-05-31 50 200 56'3