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Europa League · 8th Finals Celta de Vigo went through · After Full Time

Momentum

LYOCEL
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

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Competition

Stage
8th Finals
Leg
2/2

Venue

Stadium
Groupama Stadium, Décines-Charpieu
Capacity
59,186
Surface
grass
Attendance
41,764

Teams

Coaches
Paulo Rodrigues Fonseca · Claudio Giráldez
Position
2 · 1
Formation
5-3-2 · 4-3-3

Referee

Irfan Peljto

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
11.8° (feels 10.6°)
Wind
3.6
Humidity
59%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Olympique Lyonnais 8701 18513 21 LWWWW
2 Aston Villa 8701 1468 21 WWWWW
3 FC Midtjylland 8611 18810 19 WLWDW
4 Real Betis 8521 1376 17 WWWLW
5 Porto 8521 1376 17 DWWDW
6 Sporting Braga 8521 1156 17 LDWWD
7 SC Freiburg 8521 1046 17 WDWWL
8 Roma 8512 1367 16 WWWWD
9 Genk 8512 1174 16 WWLWW
10 Bologna 8431 1477 15 DWWDW
11 VfB Stuttgart 8503 1596 15 WWWLW
12 Ferencvárosi 8431 12111 15 WDWDL
13 Nottingham Forest 8422 1578 14 DWWLW
14 Viktoria Plzeň 8350 835 14 DDDDW
15 Crvena Zvezda 8422 761 14 WWWWD
16 Celta de Vigo 8413 15114 13 WLLWD
17 PAOK 8332 17143 12 WDDWL
18 LOSC Lille 8404 1293 12 LWLLW
19 Fenerbahçe 8332 1073 12 DDWLD
20 Panathinaikos 8332 1192 12 WWDDD
21 Celtic 8323 1315-2 11 LWLDW
22 Ludogorets 8314 1215-3 10 LWDLW
23 Dinamo Zagreb 8314 1216-4 10 LLLWL
24 Brann 8233 911-2 9 DDLDL
25 Young Boys 8305 1016-6 9 LLWLL
26 Sturm Graz 8215 511-6 7 DLLLW
27 FCSB 8215 916-7 7 LLWLD
28 Go Ahead Eagles 8215 614-8 7 LLLLD
29 Feyenoord 8206 1115-4 6 LLLWL
30 Basel 8206 913-4 6 WLLLL
31 Salzburg 8206 1015-5 6 WLLWL
32 Rangers 8116 514-9 4 LDLWL
33 Nice 8107 715-8 3 LLLWL
34 FC Utrecht 8017 515-10 1 DLLLL
35 Malmö FF 8017 415-11 1 LLLLL
36 Maccabi Tel Aviv 8017 222-20 1 LLLLL
  • 8th Finals
  • Play-off

Olympique Lyonnais

LLDDD 0W 3D 2L · 3 pts (0.6 ppg) · GF 5 GA 8 · xG 6.2–7.36 · xPts 6.22

  • D A Le Havre 0–0 xG 1.28–0.96 FRA L1
  • D A Celta de Vigo 1–1 xG 1.14–0.88 UEFA EL
  • D H Paris 1–1 xG 2.03–1.44 FRA L1
  • L A Olympique Marseille 2–3 xG 1.3–2.05 FRA L1
  • L A Strasbourg 1–3 xG 0.46–2.03 FRA L1

Celta de Vigo

WWLDD 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 6 GA 5 · xG 4.01–5.78 · xPts 5.52

  • D A Real Betis 1–1 xG 0.57–1.47 ESP PL
  • D H Olympique Lyonnais 1–1 xG 0.88–1.14 UEFA EL
  • L H Real Madrid 1–2 xG 0.88–1.22 ESP PL
  • W A Girona 2–1 xG 0.65–1.55 ESP PL
  • W H PAOK 1–0 xG 1.03–0.41 UEFA EL

All meetings · 2 matches since 2026

Olympique Lyonnais 01 draws1 Celta de Vigo

Goals 1–3 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 0%

Last 10 · 2 matches

Olympique Lyonnais 01 draws1 Celta de Vigo

Goals 1–3 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 0%

Last 5 · 2 matches

Olympique Lyonnais 01 draws1 Celta de Vigo

Goals 1–3 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 0%

Recent meetings

  • L Olympique Lyonnais 0–2 Celta de Vigo UEFA EL · 8th Finals · leg 2/2
  • D Celta de Vigo 1–1 Olympique Lyonnais UEFA EL · 8th Finals · leg 1/2
MetricOlympique Lyonnais all · 10Olympique Lyonnais at home · 5Celta de Vigo all · 14Celta de Vigo away · 7
Results
Matches105147
Points per game2.202.401.641.43
W / D / L7 / 1 / 24 / 0 / 17 / 2 / 53 / 1 / 3
Goals for / match1.902.001.571.57
Goals against / match0.801.001.361.43
Clean sheets50%40%21%29%
Failed to score20%20%7%14%
Both teams scored30%40%71%57%
Over 2.530%40%71%71%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.852.061.081.08
xG against / match0.870.831.231.26
xG difference0.981.23-0.14-0.18
Finishing vs xG0.05-0.060.490.49
xPts / match1.822.041.301.30
Points vs xPts0.380.360.340.13
Game state
Scored first60%60%64%57%
PPG when scoring first3.003.002.222.50
PPG when conceding first1.001.500.600.00
Came back from behind50%50%17%0%
Leads held100%100%70%75%
Minutes leading45%58%37%28%
Minutes level36%32%41%41%
Minutes trailing18%9%22%31%
First goal (min)33124557
First goal conceded (min)28295148
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half53%50%54%54%
Goals conceded in 2nd half38%60%63%70%
Late goals for (76'+)0.400.600.360.57
Late goals against0.100.200.360.43
Style
Possession61%57%49%48%
Shots14.614.610.89.6
On target5.25.44.24.3
Shot conversion13%14%15%16%
Shots inside box65%71%67%69%
Big chances created2.83.02.52.3
Corners4.13.43.43.0
xG from set plays21%24%11%6%
Goals from headers21%20%10%0%
Pressure index27.422.013.111.7
Dominant minutes72.167.642.239.4
Pass accuracy88%88%84%86%
Fouls11.610.813.814.6
Cards2.301.802.571.86

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Olympique Lyonnais

0–15'51
16–30'13
31–45'31
46–60'40
61–75'22
76–90'41

Celta de Vigo

0–15'32
16–30'31
31–45'44
46–60'13
61–75'64
76–90'55

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Olympique Lyonnais · 8 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.02) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.42

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.028
Early press (0-15, level)-0.118
Late push (76+, level)-0.353
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.332

Game state

When ahead+0.155
When level-0.128
When behind-0.052
10 min after conceding-0.145
10 min after scoring+0.427

Situations

At home+0.094
Away-0.134
4+ days rest-0.017

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.032
v mid-tier opponents-0.242
v bottom-tier opponents+0.102
As favourite+0.094
Evenly matched-0.163

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.008
Conceded when ahead-0.115
Conceded late (76+)-0.327

Congested vs rested -0.07 · Ahead vs level +0.27 · Behind vs level +0.07

Celta de Vigo · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.20) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.70

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.207
Early press (0-15, level)+0.127
Late push (76+, level)+0.105
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.183

Game state

When ahead+0.122
When level+0.237
When behind+0.174
10 min after conceding-0.135
10 min after scoring+0.703

Situations

At home+0.073
Away+0.304
3 days rest or fewer+0.202
4+ days rest+0.205

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.073
v bottom-tier opponents+0.313
As favourite+0.383
Evenly matched+0.123

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.047
Conceded when ahead-0.362
Conceded late (76+)-0.367

Congested vs rested -0.01 · Ahead vs level -0.10 · Behind vs level -0.06

Olympique Lyonnais

Current: unbeaten 4 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-15 50%2.01.61.01.680.83
4-3-32 20%3.01.50.01.411.01
5-3-21 10%0.00.02.00.21.55
3-4-2-11 10%3.06.00.04.320.51
3-5-21 10%3.02.01.02.740.48

Celta de Vigo

Current: winless 7 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-37 50%1.711.571.570.921.38
3-4-2-13 21%1.671.00.670.960.97
4-3-32 14%3.02.50.01.270.43
4-4-21 7%0.02.03.01.672.63
4-1-4-11 7%0.01.03.01.621.13

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.4h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.2Home 43% P 43%3.3Draw 29% P 30%3.3Away 29% P 28%

Double Chance

1.28Lyon or Draw 37% P 36%1.3Lyon or Celta Vigo 36% P 35%1.72Draw or Celta Vigo 27% P 29%

Draw No Bet

1.441 65%2.622 35%

Both Teams To Score

1.9Yes 50% P 52%1.9No 50% P 48%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.1Over 45% P 45%1.72Under 55% P 55%

Total Corners

6.5Under 6 13%2.626 - 8 33%2.759 - 11 32%5.512 - 14 16%15.0Over 14 6%

Number of Cards

3.51.61Over 58%2.2Under 42%
4.51.66Over 56% P 55%2.1Under 44% P 45%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 42.5–45% · away 27.5–30% · 766 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home43%44%43%-0.3
Draw30%28%30%+2.4
Away28%29%26%-2.1

In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 52%

Both teams to score · yes 50–52.5% · 3,449 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes52%51%51%-0.6

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 45–47.5% · 2,885 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.545%46%45%-1.2

Irfan Peljto

Career
65 matches · 12 seasons
Cards / match
4.28 (4.03 yellow · 0.09 red)
Fouls / match
22.1 · 5.0 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.39
Cards to home side
39%

Style in Europa League (5-year window · 15 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.474.72-0.3745
Fouls / match22.624.1-0.67
Fouls per card5.45.1+0.21 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.130.33-1.168
Time added5.66.6-1.178
First card
31' on average
Card timing
12% in first 30' · 49% in last 15'
Cards to home side
31% (league 46%)
VAR events / match
1.5

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-02-26 10 190 45'17
2026-01-20 41 281 35'10
2025-12-11 40 280 47'7
2025-09-16 51 232 35'10
2025-08-28 60 270 28'9
2025-08-12 10 110 81'5
2025-05-28 50 280 55'6
2025-04-17 40 241 19'7
2025-04-08 31 170 54'2