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Europa Conference League · 8th Finals Strasbourg went through · After Full Time

Momentum

StrasbourgRijeka
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
8th Finals
Leg
2/2

Venue

Stadium
Stade de la Meinau, Strasbourg
Capacity
29,200
Surface
grass
Attendance
24,233

Teams

Coaches
Gary O'Neil · Víctor Sánchez
Position
1 · 2
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-1-3-2

Referee

Nikolai Balakin

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
7.2° (feels 6.3°)
Wind
1.5
Humidity
57%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Strasbourg 6510 1156 16 DWWWW
2 Raków Częstochowa 6420 927 14 DDWWW
3 AEK Athens 6411 1477 13 WDWWW
4 Sparta Praha 6411 1037 13 LDWWW
5 Rayo Vallecano 6411 1376 13 DWLWW
6 Shakhtar Donetsk 6411 1055 13 LWWWD
7 FSV Mainz 05 6411 734 13 WWLDW
8 AEK Larnaca 6330 716 12 WDDDW
9 Lausanne Sport 6321 633 11 WDLDW
10 Crystal Palace 6312 1165 10 LWLWD
11 Lech Poznań 6312 1284 10 LLWDW
12 Samsunspor 6312 1064 10 WWDLL
13 Celje 6312 871 10 WWLLD
14 AZ Alkmaar 6312 770 10 WLWWD
15 Fiorentina 6303 853 9 WLLWL
16 Rijeka 6231 523 9 WDDWD
17 Jagiellonia Białystok 6231 541 9 DDWLD
18 Omonia Nicosia 6222 541 8 DDWWL
19 Noah 6222 67-1 8 DLDWL
20 Drita 6222 48-4 8 DWWLL
21 KuPS 6141 651 7 DWLDD
22 Skendija 79 6213 45-1 7 WDLWL
23 Zrinjski 6213 810-2 7 LLWLD
24 Sigma Olomouc 6213 79-2 7 DWWLL
25 Universitatea Craiova 6213 68-2 7 DWWLL
26 Lincoln Red Imps 6213 715-8 7 WDLWL
27 Dynamo Kyiv 6204 990 6 LWLLW
28 Legia Warszawa 6204 880 6 WLLLW
29 Slovan Bratislava 6204 59-4 6 LLWLW
30 Breidablik 6123 611-5 5 DLDWL
31 Shamrock Rovers 6114 713-6 4 LDLLW
32 Häcken 6033 58-3 3 DLLDL
33 Hamrun Spartans 6105 411-7 3 LLWLL
34 Shelbourne 6024 07-7 2 LLLLD
35 Aberdeen 6024 314-11 2 LDDLL
36 SK Rapid 6015 314-11 1 LLLLD
  • 8th Finals
  • Play-off

Strasbourg

WDDWD 2W 3D 0L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 6 GA 3 · xG 7.1–5.84 · xPts 7.76

  • D H Paris 0–0 xG 1.37–0.65 FRA L1
  • W A Rijeka 2–1 xG 1.81–1.66 UEFA ECL
  • D A Auxerre 0–0 xG 1.37–1.26 FRA L1
  • D H Lens 1–1 xG 0.52–1.81 FRA L1
  • W H Olympique Lyonnais 3–1 xG 2.03–0.46 FRA L1

Rijeka

WDWWL 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 8 GA 3 · xG 5.94–7.17 · xPts 6.06

  • L H Strasbourg 1–2 xG 1.66–1.81 UEFA ECL
  • W H Omonia Nicosia 3–1 xG 1.38–1.51 UEFA ECL
  • W A Omonia Nicosia 1–0 xG 0.76–2.33 UEFA ECL
  • D A Shakhtar Donetsk 0–0 xG 0.37–0.55 UEFA ECL
  • W H Celje 3–0 xG 1.77–0.99 UEFA ECL

All meetings · 2 matches since 2026

Strasbourg 11 draws0 Rijeka

Goals 3–2 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 2 matches

Strasbourg 11 draws0 Rijeka

Goals 3–2 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 2 matches

Strasbourg 11 draws0 Rijeka

Goals 3–2 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 50%

Recent meetings

  • D Strasbourg 1–1 Rijeka UEFA ECL · 8th Finals · leg 2/2
  • W Rijeka 1–2 Strasbourg UEFA ECL · 8th Finals · leg 1/2
MetricStrasbourg all · 14Strasbourg at home · 7Rijeka all · 10Rijeka away · 5
Results
Matches147105
Points per game1.931.711.601.20
W / D / L8 / 3 / 33 / 3 / 14 / 4 / 21 / 3 / 1
Goals for / match1.501.571.100.60
Goals against / match0.930.710.600.60
Clean sheets21%29%50%40%
Failed to score29%29%30%40%
Both teams scored57%57%40%40%
Over 2.550%43%30%0%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.762.381.020.66
xG against / match1.271.001.371.65
xG difference0.481.38-0.36-0.99
Finishing vs xG-0.26-0.810.08-0.06
xPts / match1.622.151.140.71
Points vs xPts0.31-0.430.460.49
Game state
Scored first50%29%50%60%
PPG when scoring first3.003.002.201.67
PPG when conceding first0.831.251.000.00
Came back from behind50%75%33%0%
Leads held100%100%67%33%
Minutes leading37%18%19%21%
Minutes level43%59%58%60%
Minutes trailing20%23%23%19%
First goal (min)34485849
First goal conceded (min)45373553
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half52%73%82%33%
Goals conceded in 2nd half46%20%50%67%
Late goals for (76'+)0.290.570.400.20
Late goals against0.140.000.100.20
Style
Possession57%60%50%46%
Shots11.013.612.78.4
On target4.95.74.32.6
Shot conversion14%12%9%7%
Shots inside box71%72%55%55%
Big chances created3.13.62.21.0
Corners4.66.14.13.0
xG from set plays19%19%24%18%
Goals from headers15%20%9%0%
Pressure index17.425.020.27.1
Dominant minutes56.166.751.339.2
Pass accuracy87%88%79%81%
Fouls10.18.614.315.4
Cards2.431.292.703.80

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Strasbourg

0–15'31
16–30'32
31–45'44
46–60'22
61–75'52
76–90'42

Rijeka

0–15'03
16–30'10
31–45'10
46–60'20
61–75'32
76–90'41

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Strasbourg · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.04) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +1.02

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.044
Early press (0-15, level)+0.114
Late push (76+, level)-0.532

Game state

When ahead+0.393
When level-0.044
When behind-0.063
10 min after conceding-0.144
10 min after scoring+1.023

Situations

At home+0.082
Away+0.002
4+ days rest+0.044

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.053
Evenly matched-0.022
As underdog+0.112

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.204
Conceded when ahead+0.053
Conceded late (76+)+0.044

Ahead vs level +0.43 · Behind vs level -0.02

Rijeka · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.02) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.42

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.026
Early press (0-15, level)-0.016
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.372

Game state

When ahead-0.104
When level+0.176
When behind-0.243
10 min after conceding-0.423
10 min after scoring-0.185

Situations

At home+0.113
Away-0.143
4+ days rest-0.026

Opposition

As favourite+0.104

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.006
Conceded when ahead-0.234
Conceded late (76+)-0.236

Ahead vs level -0.27 · Behind vs level -0.41

Strasbourg

Current: unbeaten 3 · winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 12

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-15 36%2.01.60.61.691.1
4-4-22 14%2.01.51.01.750.88
4-3-31 7%3.02.01.00.892.18
3-4-31 7%3.03.01.03.430.79
4-4-1-11 7%0.00.02.01.081.55

Rijeka

Current: winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-12 20%2.01.50.01.070.77
4-1-3-22 20%0.51.01.51.451.72
4-1-4-11 10%1.01.01.00.792.59
3-2-4-11 10%3.01.00.00.762.33
3-4-1-21 10%3.03.01.01.381.51

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.1h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.4Home 68% P 68%4.75Draw 20% P 20%7.5Away 13% P 12%

Double Chance

1.1Strasbourg or Draw 43% P 44%1.18Strasbourg or HNK Rijeka 40% P 40%2.75Draw or HNK Rijeka 17% P 16%

Draw No Bet

1.121 84%6.02 16%

Both Teams To Score

1.83Yes 50% P 50%1.83No 50% P 50%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.65Over 57% P 58%2.2Under 43% P 42%

Total Corners

6.0Under 6 15%2.66 - 8 33%2.759 - 11 32%6.012 - 14 15%15.0Over 14 6%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 67.5–70% · away 10–12.5% · 543 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home68%69%72%+3.5
Draw20%20%18%-1.5
Away12%11%9%-2.1

In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 43% · over 2.5 53%

Both teams to score · yes 50–52.5% · 3,449 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes50%51%51%-0.6

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 57.5–60% · 2,409 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.558%59%60%+0.8

Nikolai Balakin

No career statistics.

Style in Europa Conference League (5-year window · 2 matches)

Fewer than 10 matches with card data in this league — averages only: 4.0 cards, 22.5 fouls per match.

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-02-26 · Rijeka 50 210 25'11
2026-01-22 40 261 40'6
2025-12-11 30 180 48'8