Rating 7.34 (100th pct) · G+A 1 + 2 (11% of team goals) · 99% of minutes
Europa Conference League · 8th Finals
Momentum
– RAYSamsunspor –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
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Stats
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Season context
| Rayo Vallecano | at home | Stat | league | away | Samsunspor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 55.8 #27 | – | Ball possession | 48.4 | – | 56.5 #21 |
| 16.4 #11 | – | Shots total | 10.8 | – | 13.2 #42 |
| 5.6 #26 | – | Shots on target | 4.0 | – | 5.0 #38 |
| 5.8 #28 | – | Corners | 4.4 | – | 3.8 #106 |
| 14.2 #37 | – | Fouls | 12.7 | – | 11.7 #100 |
| 1.8 #63 | – | Offsides | 1.8 | – | 1.9 #58 |
| 18.6 #9 | – | Tackles | 12.8 | – | 19.4 #6 |
| 99.6 #91 | – | Attacks | 100.9 | – | 90.3 #121 |
| 48.7 #107 | – | Dangerous attacks | 56.6 | – | 36.5 #150 |
| 448.3 #16 | – | Passes | 332.3 | – | 483.1 #10 |
| 2.9 #49 | – | Yellowcards | 2.4 | – | 2.1 #107 |
| 1.6 #10 | – | Assists | 1.0 | – | 1.5 #12 |
| – #113 | – | Btts | 48.8 | – | – #128 |
| – #44 | – | Cleansheet | 22.8 | – | – #6 |
| – #105 | – | Draw | 21.4 | – | – #100 |
| 1.6 #19 | – | Expected goals | 1.1 | – | 1.7 #15 |
| 0.2 #39 | – | Expected goals difference | 0.3 | – | 0.0 #47 |
| – #129 | – | Failed to score | 35.0 | – | – #130 |
| 1.8 #28 | 2.3 | Goals | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.7 #42 |
| 0.9 #147 | 0.4 | Goals conceded | 1.6 | 0.8 | 0.9 #146 |
| 0.1 #76 | – | Injury time goals | 0.4 | – | 0.1 #82 |
| 11.3 #9 | – | Interceptions | 7.7 | – | 9.8 #21 |
| – #122 | – | Lost | 47.8 | – | – #116 |
| 0.1 #46 | – | Penalties scored | 0.2 | – | 0.1 #51 |
| 6.9 #5 | – | Rating | 6.5 | – | 6.9 #12 |
| 3.7 #37 | – | Shots blocked | 2.6 | – | 2.8 #64 |
| 9.5 #13 | – | Shots insidebox | 6.1 | – | 8.6 #19 |
| 7.1 #35 | – | Shots off target | 5.6 | – | 5.4 #79 |
| 6.9 #3 | – | Shots outsidebox | 3.5 | – | 4.6 #18 |
| – #5 | – | Win | 30.8 | – | – #13 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 164.
League this season · 2025/2026
- Played
- 409 of 409
- Goals / match
- 2.78 (home 1.65 · away 1.13)
- Home / draw / away
- 48% · 21% · 31%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 48% · 54%
- Cards / match
- 4.98 (reds 0.11)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Rayo Vallecano · 2025/2026 · Europa Conference League
Rating 7.22 (100th pct) · G+A 6 + 4 (37% of team goals) · 56% of minutes
Team 1.78 ppg with (9) · 2.5 without (6)
Rating 6.99 (40th pct) · G+A 3 + 4 (26% of team goals) · 67% of minutes
Team 1.6 ppg with (10) · 3.0 without (5)
Samsunspor
No ranked players yet.
Absences
Samsunspor
- injury Olivier Ntcham midfielder · Hamstring Strain · 2 missed · until 2026-04-01
- injury Tahsin Bülbül attacker · Unknown Injury · 1 missed · until 2026-03-20
- suspension Ali Badra Diabaté defender · No Eligibility · 4 missed · until 2026-03-20
- suspension Efe Yiğit Üstün goalkeeper · No Eligibility · 18 missed · until 2026-03-20
- suspension Elayis Tavsan attacker · No Eligibility · 4 missed · until 2026-03-20
- suspension Saikuba Jarju attacker · No Eligibility · 4 missed · until 2026-03-20
- suspension Yalçın Kayan midfielder · No Eligibility · 4 missed · until 2026-03-20
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- 8th Finals
- Leg
- 2/2
Venue
- Stadium
- Estadio de Vallecas, Madrid
- Capacity
- 14,708
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 2
Teams
- Coaches
- Iñigo Pérez · Thorsten Fink
- Position
- 1 · 2
- Formation
- 4-3-3 · 3-5-2
Referee
Sascha Stegemann
Weather
- Conditions
- clear sky
- Temperature
- 10.8° (feels 9.8°)
- Wind
- 5.1
- Humidity
- 68%
Where to watch · 205
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2025/2026
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Strasbourg |
6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 16 | DWWWW |
| 2 |  Raków Częstochowa |
6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 14 | DDWWW |
| 3 |  AEK Athens |
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 13 | WDWWW |
| 4 |  Sparta Praha |
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 13 | LDWWW |
| 5 |  Rayo Vallecano |
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 13 | DWLWW |
| 6 |  Shakhtar Donetsk |
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 13 | LWWWD |
| 7 |  FSV Mainz 05 |
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 13 | WWLDW |
| 8 |  AEK Larnaca |
6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 12 | WDDDW |
| 9 |  Lausanne Sport |
6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 11 | WDLDW |
| 10 |  Crystal Palace |
6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 10 | LWLWD |
| 11 |  Lech Poznań |
6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 10 | LLWDW |
| 12 |  Samsunspor |
6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 10 | WWDLL |
| 13 |  Celje |
6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 10 | WWLLD |
| 14 |  AZ Alkmaar |
6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 10 | WLWWD |
| 15 |  Fiorentina |
6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 9 | WLLWL |
| 16 |  Rijeka |
6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 9 | WDDWD |
| 17 |  Jagiellonia Białystok |
6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | DDWLD |
| 18 |  Omonia Nicosia |
6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 8 | DDWWL |
| 19 |  Noah |
6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 8 | DLDWL |
| 20 |  Drita |
6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 8 | DWWLL |
| 21 |  KuPS |
6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 7 | DWLDD |
| 22 |  Skendija 79 |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 7 | WDLWL |
| 23 |  Zrinjski |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 7 | LLWLD |
| 24 |  Sigma Olomouc |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 7 | DWWLL |
| 25 |  Universitatea Craiova |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 7 | DWWLL |
| 26 |  Lincoln Red Imps |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 7 | WDLWL |
| 27 |  Dynamo Kyiv |
6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 6 | LWLLW |
| 28 |  Legia Warszawa |
6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 6 | WLLLW |
| 29 |  Slovan Bratislava |
6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 6 | LLWLW |
| 30 |  Breidablik |
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 5 | DLDWL |
| 31 |  Shamrock Rovers |
6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 4 | LDLLW |
| 32 |  Häcken |
6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 3 | DLLDL |
| 33 |  Hamrun Spartans |
6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 3 | LLWLL |
| 34 |  Shelbourne |
6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 7 | -7 | 2 | LLLLD |
| 35 |  Aberdeen |
6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 14 | -11 | 2 | LDDLL |
| 36 |  SK Rapid |
6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 14 | -11 | 1 | LLLLD |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rayo Vallecano |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 9 | DWLWW |
| 2 | Raków Częstochowa |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 9 | DDWWW |
| 3 | FSV Mainz 05 |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 9 | WWLDW |
| 4 | AEK Athens |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 7 | WDWWW |
| 5 | Zrinjski |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 7 | LLWLD |
| 6 | Sparta Praha |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 7 | LDWWW |
| 7 | Lech Poznań |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 7 | LLWDW |
| 8 | AEK Larnaca |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 7 | WDDDW |
| 9 | Lausanne Sport |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 7 | WDLDW |
| 10 | Rijeka |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 7 | WDDWD |
| 11 | Strasbourg |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 7 | DWWWW |
| 12 | Celje |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | WWLLD |
| 13 | Skendija 79 |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7 | WDLWL |
| 14 | AZ Alkmaar |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | WLWWD |
| 15 | Lincoln Red Imps |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 7 | WDLWL |
| 16 | Dynamo Kyiv |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 6 | LWLLW |
| 17 | Samsunspor |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 6 | WWDLL |
| 18 | Fiorentina |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | WLLWL |
| 19 | Noah |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 6 | DLDWL |
| 20 | Slovan Bratislava |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 6 | LLWLW |
| 21 | Jagiellonia Białystok |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | DDWLD |
| 22 | Breidablik |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 | DLDWL |
| 23 | KuPS |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 5 | DWLDD |
| 24 | Crystal Palace |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 4 | LWLWD |
| 25 | Shakhtar Donetsk |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | LWWWD |
| 26 | Sigma Olomouc |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 4 | DWWLL |
| 27 | Universitatea Craiova |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | DWWLL |
| 28 | Drita |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 4 | DWWLL |
| 29 | Legia Warszawa |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | WLLLW |
| 30 | Omonia Nicosia |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | DDWWL |
| 31 | Shamrock Rovers |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 3 | LDLLW |
| 32 | Hamrun Spartans |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 3 | LLWLL |
| 33 | Häcken |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 2 | DLLDL |
| 34 | Aberdeen |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 1 | LDDLL |
| 35 | Shelbourne |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 1 | LLLLD |
| 36 | SK Rapid |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0 | LLLLD |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shakhtar Donetsk |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 9 | LWWWD |
| 2 | Strasbourg |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 9 | DWWWW |
| 3 | Crystal Palace |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 6 | LWLWD |
| 4 | Sparta Praha |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | LDWWW |
| 5 | AEK Athens |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 6 | WDWWW |
| 6 | Omonia Nicosia |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | DDWWL |
| 7 | AEK Larnaca |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | WDDDW |
| 8 | Raków Częstochowa |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | DDWWW |
| 9 | Rayo Vallecano |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 4 | DWLWW |
| 10 | FSV Mainz 05 |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | WWLDW |
| 11 | Samsunspor |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 4 | WWDLL |
| 12 | Lausanne Sport |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 4 | WDLDW |
| 13 | Drita |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 4 | DWWLL |
| 14 | Fiorentina |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | WLLWL |
| 15 | Jagiellonia Białystok |
3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | DDWLD |
| 16 | Lech Poznań |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 3 | LLWDW |
| 17 | Legia Warszawa |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 3 | WLLLW |
| 18 | Celje |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 3 | WWLLD |
| 19 | Sigma Olomouc |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 3 | DWWLL |
| 20 | Universitatea Craiova |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 3 | DWWLL |
| 21 | AZ Alkmaar |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 3 | WLWWD |
| 22 | KuPS |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 2 | DWLDD |
| 23 | Rijeka |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 2 | WDDWD |
| 24 | Noah |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 2 | DLDWL |
| 25 | Häcken |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 1 | DLLDL |
| 26 | Shelbourne |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 1 | LLLLD |
| 27 | Shamrock Rovers |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 1 | LDLLW |
| 28 | SK Rapid |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 1 | LLLLD |
| 29 | Aberdeen |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 9 | -9 | 1 | LDDLL |
| 30 | Skendija 79 |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 0 | WDLWL |
| 31 | Slovan Bratislava |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 0 | LLWLW |
| 32 | Dynamo Kyiv |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -6 | 0 | LWLLW |
| 33 | Hamrun Spartans |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -6 | 0 | LLWLL |
| 34 | Breidablik |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 8 | -7 | 0 | DLDWL |
| 35 | Zrinjski |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 8 | -8 | 0 | LLWLD |
| 36 | Lincoln Red Imps |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 12 | -10 | 0 | WDLWL |
- 8th Finals
- Play-off
Rayo Vallecano
DWDWD 2W 3D 0L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 9 GA 4 · xG 6.48–5.06 · xPts 7.4
- D
H
Levante
1–1
xG 1.54–1.5
ESP PL - W
A
Samsunspor
3–1
xG 0.66–0.8
UEFA ECL
- D
A
Sevilla
1–1
xG 0.38–1.02
ESP PL - W
H
Real Oviedo
3–0
xG 2.64–0.86
ESP PL - D
H
Athletic Club
1–1
xG 1.26–0.87
ESP PL
LLLWDDWDWD 3W 4D 3L · 13 pts (1.3 ppg) · GF 15 GA 13 · xG 12.89–12.41 · xPts 13.56
- D
H
Levante
1–1
xG 1.54–1.5
ESP PL
- W
A
Samsunspor
3–1
xG 0.66–0.8
UEFA ECL
- D
A
Sevilla
1–1
xG 0.38–1.02
ESP PL
- W
H
Real Oviedo
3–0
xG 2.64–0.86
ESP PL
- D
H
Athletic Club
1–1
xG 1.26–0.87
ESP PL
- D
A
Real Betis
1–1
xG 1.23–1.77
ESP PL - W
H
Atlético de Madrid
3–0
xG 2.08–0.99
ESP PL - L
A
Real Madrid
1–2
xG 1.0–1.77
ESP PL - L
H
Osasuna
1–3
xG 0.65–1.31
ESP PL - L
A
Celta de Vigo
0–3
xG 1.45–1.5
ESP PL
Samsunspor
LLWWL 2W 0D 3L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 7 GA 7 · xG 8.48–4.92 · xPts 8.74
- L
H
Rayo Vallecano
1–3
xG 0.8–0.66
UEFA ECL
- W
H
Skendija 79
4–0
xG 3.26–0.76
UEFA ECL
- W
A
Skendija 79
1–0
xG 2.41–0.3
UEFA ECL
- L
A
FSV Mainz 05
0–2
xG 0.77–2.0
UEFA ECL
- L
H
AEK Athens
1–2
xG 1.23–1.19
UEFA ECL
DLLWWL 2W 1D 3L · 7 pts (1.17 ppg) · GF 9 GA 9 · xG 10.11–6.36 · xPts 10.25
- L
H
Rayo Vallecano
1–3
xG 0.8–0.66
UEFA ECL
- W
H
Skendija 79
4–0
xG 3.26–0.76
UEFA ECL
- W
A
Skendija 79
1–0
xG 2.41–0.3
UEFA ECL
- L
A
FSV Mainz 05
0–2
xG 0.77–2.0
UEFA ECL
- L
H
AEK Athens
1–2
xG 1.23–1.19
UEFA ECL
- D
A
Breidablik
2–2
xG 1.64–1.44
UEFA ECL
All meetings · 2 matches since 2026
Goals 3–2 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%
Last 10 · 2 matches
Goals 3–2 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%
Last 5 · 2 matches
Goals 3–2 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%
Recent meetings
- L Rayo Vallecano 0–1 Samsunspor UEFA ECL · 8th Finals · leg 2/2
- W Samsunspor 1–3 Rayo Vallecano UEFA ECL · 8th Finals · leg 1/2
| Metric | Rayo Vallecano all · 15 | Rayo Vallecano at home · 7 | Samsunspor all · 10 | Samsunspor away · 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 15 | 7 | 10 | 5 |
| Points per game | 2.07 | 2.57 | 1.90 | 2.00 |
| W / D / L | 10 / 1 / 4 | 6 / 0 / 1 | 6 / 1 / 3 | 3 / 1 / 1 |
| Goals for / match | 1.80 | 2.29 | 1.70 | 1.00 |
| Goals against / match | 0.87 | 0.43 | 0.90 | 0.80 |
| Clean sheets | 47% | 71% | 60% | 60% |
| Failed to score | 13% | 14% | 10% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 14% | 30% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 57% | 60% | 20% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.60 | 1.77 | 1.66 | 1.37 |
| xG against / match | 1.03 | 0.60 | 1.01 | 1.35 |
| xG difference | 0.57 | 1.17 | 0.64 | 0.02 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.20 | 0.52 | 0.04 | -0.37 |
| xPts / match | 1.77 | 2.15 | 1.74 | 1.37 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.30 | 0.42 | 0.16 | 0.63 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 73% | 71% | 70% | 60% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.55 | 3.00 | 2.57 | 3.00 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.75 | 1.50 | 0.33 | 0.50 |
| Came back from behind | 33% | 50% | 25% | 50% |
| Leads held | 83% | 100% | 75% | 75% |
| Minutes leading | 37% | 43% | 42% | 30% |
| Minutes level | 42% | 42% | 42% | 57% |
| Minutes trailing | 21% | 15% | 16% | 13% |
| First goal (min) | 37 | 40 | 30 | 43 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 37 | 38 | 29 | 25 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 59% | 69% | 59% | 60% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 46% | 33% | 56% | 50% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.53 | 0.71 | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| Late goals against | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 56% | 60% | 56% | 56% |
| Shots | 16.4 | 19.0 | 13.2 | 11.4 |
| On target | 5.6 | 6.6 | 5.0 | 3.8 |
| Shot conversion | 11% | 12% | 13% | 9% |
| Shots inside box | 58% | 61% | 64% | 58% |
| Big chances created | 2.9 | 3.0 | 2.9 | 2.8 |
| Corners | 5.8 | 6.9 | 3.8 | 3.0 |
| xG from set plays | 25% | 24% | 23% | 22% |
| Goals from headers | 4% | 7% | 6% | 0% |
| Pressure index | 20.7 | 25.5 | 14.1 | 12.9 |
| Dominant minutes | 62.5 | 75.7 | 52.3 | 45.6 |
| Pass accuracy | 81% | 83% | 82% | 81% |
| Fouls | 14.2 | 12.6 | 11.7 | 11.2 |
| Cards | 2.87 | 2.00 | 2.30 | 3.60 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Rayo Vallecano
0–15'42
16–30'21
31–45'54
46–60'35
61–75'51
76–90'80
Samsunspor
0–15'32
16–30'30
31–45'12
46–60'32
61–75'32
76–90'41
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Rayo Vallecano · 6 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.07) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.67
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.076
Early press (0-15, level)+0.306
Late push (76+, level)-0.252
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.553
Game state
When ahead-0.135
When level+0.036
When behind-0.064
10 min after conceding-0.376
10 min after scoring+0.676
Situations
Against ten men+0.352
At home-0.083
Away-0.043
4+ days rest-0.055
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.052
v mid-tier opponents-0.103
Evenly matched-0.103
As underdog-0.052
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.246
Conceded when ahead+0.155
Conceded late (76+)+0.396
Congested vs rested -0.10 · Ahead vs level -0.17 · Behind vs level -0.10
Samsunspor
No pressure profile yet.
Rayo Vallecano
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 6 · conceding 8
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 10 67% | 1.9 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 1.56 | 1.17 |
| 4-3-3 | 5 33% | 2.4 | 2.4 | 0.8 | 1.68 | 0.75 |
Samsunspor
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 4 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-1-4-1 | 7 70% | 1.43 | 1.57 | 1.29 | 1.41 | 1.09 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.41 | 0.3 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 3.26 | 0.76 |
| 3-5-2 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.05 | 1.45 |
| Metric | Rayo Vallecano all · 10 | Rayo Vallecano at home · 10 | Samsunspor all · 10 | Samsunspor away · 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 6 |
| Points per game | 1.40 | 2.40 | 1.90 | 1.67 |
| W / D / L | 4 / 2 / 4 | 7 / 3 / 0 | 6 / 1 / 3 | 3 / 1 / 2 |
| Goals for / match | 1.50 | 1.80 | 1.70 | 1.00 |
| Goals against / match | 1.80 | 0.80 | 0.90 | 1.00 |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 50% | 60% | 50% |
| Failed to score | 10% | 0% | 10% | 17% |
| Both teams scored | 80% | 50% | 30% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 40% | 60% | 33% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.26 | 1.53 | 1.66 | 1.21 |
| xG against / match | 1.83 | 1.29 | 1.01 | 1.34 |
| xG difference | -0.57 | 0.25 | 0.64 | -0.12 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.24 | 0.27 | 0.04 | -0.21 |
| xPts / match | 1.08 | 1.57 | 1.74 | 1.25 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.32 | 0.83 | 0.16 | 0.42 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 60% | 80% | 70% | 67% |
| PPG when scoring first | 1.33 | 2.50 | 2.57 | 2.25 |
| PPG when conceding first | 1.50 | 2.00 | 0.33 | 0.50 |
| Came back from behind | 33% | 100% | 25% | 33% |
| Leads held | 50% | 78% | 75% | 60% |
| Minutes leading | 34% | 42% | 42% | 28% |
| Minutes level | 36% | 51% | 42% | 58% |
| Minutes trailing | 30% | 7% | 16% | 14% |
| First goal (min) | 28 | 43 | 30 | 45 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 37 | 51 | 29 | 39 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 47% | 56% | 59% | 67% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 50% | 62% | 56% | 67% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.10 | 0.40 | 0.40 | 0.17 |
| Late goals against | 0.40 | 0.30 | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 49% | 53% | 56% | 55% |
| Shots | 12.1 | 16.9 | 13.2 | 10.7 |
| On target | 4.8 | 5.9 | 5.0 | 3.7 |
| Shot conversion | 12% | 11% | 13% | 9% |
| Shots inside box | 55% | 54% | 64% | 56% |
| Big chances created | 2.1 | 2.4 | 2.9 | 2.5 |
| Corners | 4.1 | 5.8 | 3.8 | 3.2 |
| xG from set plays | 21% | 23% | 23% | 26% |
| Goals from headers | 13% | 11% | 6% | 17% |
| Pressure index | 10.2 | 14.5 | 14.1 | 11.5 |
| Dominant minutes | 44.9 | 59.6 | 52.3 | 44.7 |
| Pass accuracy | 80% | 82% | 82% | 82% |
| Fouls | 13.8 | 13.0 | 11.7 | 10.8 |
| Cards | 2.90 | 2.80 | 2.30 | 3.33 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Rayo Vallecano
0–15'33
16–30'44
31–45'12
46–60'54
61–75'11
76–90'14
Samsunspor
0–15'32
16–30'30
31–45'12
46–60'32
61–75'32
76–90'41
Rayo Vallecano
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 6 · conceding 8
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 8 80% | 1.25 | 1.38 | 1.88 | 1.33 | 2.01 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 10% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.57 | 1.63 |
| 4-3-3 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.35 | 0.56 |
Samsunspor
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 4 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-1-4-1 | 7 70% | 1.43 | 1.57 | 1.29 | 1.41 | 1.09 |
| 3-5-2 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.05 | 1.45 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.41 | 0.3 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 3.26 | 0.76 |
| Metric | Rayo Vallecano all · 53 | Rayo Vallecano at home · 27 | Samsunspor all · 10 | Samsunspor away · 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 53 | 27 | 10 | 5 |
| Points per game | 1.47 | 1.93 | 1.90 | 2.00 |
| W / D / L | 21 / 15 / 17 | 14 / 10 / 3 | 6 / 1 / 3 | 3 / 1 / 1 |
| Goals for / match | 1.30 | 1.52 | 1.70 | 1.00 |
| Goals against / match | 1.26 | 0.78 | 0.90 | 0.80 |
| Clean sheets | 32% | 44% | 60% | 60% |
| Failed to score | 23% | 15% | 10% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 51% | 48% | 30% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 | 49% | 37% | 60% | 20% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.43 | 1.63 | 1.66 | 1.37 |
| xG against / match | 1.37 | 1.00 | 1.01 | 1.35 |
| xG difference | 0.06 | 0.63 | 0.64 | 0.02 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.13 | -0.11 | 0.04 | -0.37 |
| xPts / match | 1.45 | 1.79 | 1.74 | 1.37 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.02 | 0.13 | 0.16 | 0.63 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 53% | 63% | 70% | 60% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.18 | 2.41 | 2.57 | 3.00 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.64 | 1.13 | 0.33 | 0.50 |
| Came back from behind | 35% | 62% | 25% | 50% |
| Leads held | 66% | 74% | 75% | 75% |
| Minutes leading | 25% | 31% | 42% | 30% |
| Minutes level | 51% | 59% | 42% | 57% |
| Minutes trailing | 24% | 11% | 16% | 13% |
| First goal (min) | 41 | 46 | 30 | 43 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 38 | 51 | 29 | 25 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 52% | 54% | 59% | 60% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 54% | 62% | 56% | 50% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.28 | 0.37 | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| Late goals against | 0.28 | 0.26 | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 52% | 56% | 56% | 56% |
| Shots | 14.5 | 17.0 | 13.2 | 11.4 |
| On target | 5.0 | 5.9 | 5.0 | 3.8 |
| Shot conversion | 9% | 9% | 13% | 9% |
| Shots inside box | 56% | 56% | 64% | 58% |
| Big chances created | 2.6 | 2.7 | 2.9 | 2.8 |
| Corners | 5.5 | 6.6 | 3.8 | 3.0 |
| xG from set plays | 24% | 26% | 23% | 22% |
| Goals from headers | 12% | 15% | 6% | 0% |
| Pressure index | 13.8 | 17.6 | 14.1 | 12.9 |
| Dominant minutes | 51.5 | 62.4 | 52.3 | 45.6 |
| Pass accuracy | 81% | 82% | 82% | 81% |
| Fouls | 13.8 | 12.2 | 11.7 | 11.2 |
| Cards | 3.08 | 2.44 | 2.30 | 3.60 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Rayo Vallecano
0–15'99
16–30'811
31–45'1611
46–60'1213
61–75'98
76–90'1515
Samsunspor
0–15'32
16–30'30
31–45'12
46–60'32
61–75'32
76–90'41
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Rayo Vallecano · 53 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.15) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.51
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.1553
Early press (0-15, level)+0.1953
Late push (76+, level)-0.0624
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.0417
Game state
When ahead+0.1731
When level+0.1853
When behind+0.0526
10 min after conceding-0.0836
10 min after scoring+0.5141
Situations
With ten men+0.136
Against ten men+0.305
At home+0.2427
Away+0.0526
3 days rest or fewer+0.0514
4+ days rest+0.1839
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.227
v mid-tier opponents+0.0520
v bottom-tier opponents+0.138
As favourite+0.3324
Evenly matched+0.0612
As underdog-0.0517
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.0353
Conceded when ahead-0.0631
Conceded late (76+)-0.0747
Congested vs rested -0.13 · Ahead vs level -0.01 · Behind vs level -0.13
Samsunspor · 10 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.23) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.54
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.2310
Early press (0-15, level)-0.0210
Late push (76+, level)+0.592
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.323
Game state
When ahead+0.238
When level+0.2010
When behind+0.284
10 min after conceding+0.184
10 min after scoring+0.549
Situations
At home+0.165
Away+0.295
4+ days rest+0.2310
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents-0.063
As favourite+0.525
As underdog-0.174
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.0310
Conceded when ahead-0.108
Conceded late (76+)-0.129
Ahead vs level +0.03 · Behind vs level +0.08
Rayo Vallecano
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 6 · conceding 8
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 36 68% | 1.44 | 1.28 | 1.28 | 1.44 | 1.49 |
| 4-3-3 | 10 19% | 1.9 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.56 | 0.97 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 4 8% | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0.75 | 1.19 | 1.09 |
| 4-4-2 | 3 6% | 0.33 | 1.0 | 1.67 | 1.27 | 1.65 |
Samsunspor
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 4 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-1-4-1 | 7 70% | 1.43 | 1.57 | 1.29 | 1.41 | 1.09 |
| 3-5-2 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.05 | 1.45 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.41 | 0.3 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 3.26 | 0.76 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.
Latest prices
bet365 · pre-match line -0.1h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
1.53Home 62% P 62%3.8Draw 25% P 24%7.0Away 13% P 15%
Double Chance
1.14Rayo Vallecano or Draw 41% P 43%1.25Rayo Vallecano or Samsunspor 38% P 38%2.25Draw or Samsunspor 21% P 19%
Draw No Bet
1.181 79%4.52 21%
Both Teams To Score
2.1Yes 44% P 45%1.66No 56% P 55%
Goals Over/Under
2.52.07Over 45% P 46%1.72Under 55% P 54%
Total Corners
7.0Under 6 13%2.756 - 8 32%2.759 - 11 32%5.012 - 14 18%15.0Over 14 6%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 60–62.5% · away 12.5–15% · 241 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 62% | 61% | 62% | +0.4 |
| Draw | 24% | 24% | 24% | -0.3 |
| Away | 15% | 14% | 14% | -0.1 |
In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 48% · over 2.5 48%
Both teams to score · yes 42.5–45% · 1,287 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 45% | 44% | 48% | +4.3 |
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 45–47.5% · 2,885 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 46% | 46% | 45% | -1.2 |
Sascha Stegemann
- Career
- 194 matches · 13 seasons
- Cards / match
- 4.22 (4.04 yellow · 0.09 red)
- Fouls / match
- 22.3 · 5.3 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.23
- Cards to home side
- 45%
Style in Europa Conference League (5-year window · 7 matches)
Fewer than 10 matches with card data in this league — averages only: 6.71 cards, 20.3 fouls per match.
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-15 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 38' | 7 |
| 2026-02-22 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 2 | 72' | 13 |
| 2026-01-31 | 4 | 0 | 28 | 1 | 29' | 8 |
| 2026-01-22 | 3 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 55' | 4 |
| 2026-01-17 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 29' | 9 |
| 2025-12-20 | 2 | 0 | 24 | 1 | 82' | 11 |
| 2025-12-07 | 8 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 32' | 8 |
| 2025-11-27 | 3 | 0 | 21 | 1 | 11' | 6 |
| 2025-11-21 | 5 | 1 | 26 | 0 | 24' | 11 |
| 2025-10-25 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 1 | 19' | 16 |