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Europa Conference League · 8th Finals Fiorentina went through · After Full Time

Momentum

RAKFiorentina
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
8th Finals
Leg
2/2

Venue

Stadium
ArcelorMittal Park · neutral
Capacity
11,600
Surface
grass
Attendance
11,043

Teams

Coaches
Łukasz Tomczyk · Paolo Vanoli
Position
2 · 1
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Juan Martínez Munuera

Weather

Conditions
few clouds
Temperature
6.8° (feels 5.6°)
Wind
1.8
Humidity
67%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Strasbourg 6510 1156 16 DWWWW
2 Raków Częstochowa 6420 927 14 DDWWW
3 AEK Athens 6411 1477 13 WDWWW
4 Sparta Praha 6411 1037 13 LDWWW
5 Rayo Vallecano 6411 1376 13 DWLWW
6 Shakhtar Donetsk 6411 1055 13 LWWWD
7 FSV Mainz 05 6411 734 13 WWLDW
8 AEK Larnaca 6330 716 12 WDDDW
9 Lausanne Sport 6321 633 11 WDLDW
10 Crystal Palace 6312 1165 10 LWLWD
11 Lech Poznań 6312 1284 10 LLWDW
12 Samsunspor 6312 1064 10 WWDLL
13 Celje 6312 871 10 WWLLD
14 AZ Alkmaar 6312 770 10 WLWWD
15 Fiorentina 6303 853 9 WLLWL
16 Rijeka 6231 523 9 WDDWD
17 Jagiellonia Białystok 6231 541 9 DDWLD
18 Omonia Nicosia 6222 541 8 DDWWL
19 Noah 6222 67-1 8 DLDWL
20 Drita 6222 48-4 8 DWWLL
21 KuPS 6141 651 7 DWLDD
22 Skendija 79 6213 45-1 7 WDLWL
23 Zrinjski 6213 810-2 7 LLWLD
24 Sigma Olomouc 6213 79-2 7 DWWLL
25 Universitatea Craiova 6213 68-2 7 DWWLL
26 Lincoln Red Imps 6213 715-8 7 WDLWL
27 Dynamo Kyiv 6204 990 6 LWLLW
28 Legia Warszawa 6204 880 6 WLLLW
29 Slovan Bratislava 6204 59-4 6 LLWLW
30 Breidablik 6123 611-5 5 DLDWL
31 Shamrock Rovers 6114 713-6 4 LDLLW
32 Häcken 6033 58-3 3 DLLDL
33 Hamrun Spartans 6105 411-7 3 LLWLL
34 Shelbourne 6024 07-7 2 LLLLD
35 Aberdeen 6024 314-11 2 LDDLL
36 SK Rapid 6015 314-11 1 LLLLD
  • 8th Finals
  • Play-off

Raków Częstochowa

WWWL 3W 0D 1L · 9 pts (2.25 ppg) · GF 7 GA 3 · xG 5.87–4.99 · xPts 6.22

  • L A Fiorentina 1–2 xG 0.51–2.23 UEFA ECL
  • W A Omonia Nicosia 1–0 xG 1.41–1.04 UEFA ECL
  • W H Zrinjski 1–0 xG 1.73–0.73 UEFA ECL
  • W H SK Rapid 4–1 xG 2.23–0.99 UEFA ECL

Fiorentina

LLDWW 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 8 GA 9 · xG 7.39–5.77 · xPts 7.97

  • W A Cremonese 4–1 xG 1.03–1.3 ITA SA
  • W H Raków Częstochowa 2–1 xG 2.23–0.51 UEFA ECL
  • D H Parma 0–0 xG 1.5–0.37 ITA SA
  • L A Udinese 0–3 xG 0.79–1.61 ITA SA
  • L H Jagiellonia Białystok 2–4 aet xG 1.84–1.98 UEFA ECL

All meetings · 2 matches since 2026

Raków Częstochowa 00 draws2 Fiorentina

Goals 2–4 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Last 10 · 2 matches

Raków Częstochowa 00 draws2 Fiorentina

Goals 2–4 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Last 5 · 2 matches

Raków Częstochowa 00 draws2 Fiorentina

Goals 2–4 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Recent meetings

  • L Raków Częstochowa 1–2 Fiorentina neutral UEFA ECL · 8th Finals · leg 2/2
  • L Fiorentina 2–1 Raków Częstochowa UEFA ECL · 8th Finals · leg 1/2
MetricRaków Częstochowa all · 14Raków Częstochowa at home · 7Fiorentina all · 14Fiorentina away · 7
Results
Matches147147
Points per game2.072.141.931.71
W / D / L9 / 2 / 35 / 0 / 29 / 0 / 54 / 0 / 3
Goals for / match1.571.711.791.71
Goals against / match0.640.571.211.00
Clean sheets50%57%29%43%
Failed to score14%14%21%29%
Both teams scored43%29%50%29%
Over 2.543%43%79%86%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.491.671.911.76
xG against / match0.990.821.281.57
xG difference0.500.860.630.19
Finishing vs xG-0.16-0.17-0.13-0.05
xPts / match1.741.991.791.56
Points vs xPts0.180.010.140.16
Game state
Scored first71%86%43%57%
PPG when scoring first2.402.502.502.25
PPG when conceding first1.330.001.501.00
Came back from behind40%0%44%25%
Leads held82%83%90%80%
Minutes leading37%44%32%40%
Minutes level59%51%40%41%
Minutes trailing5%5%29%19%
First goal (min)44404331
First goal conceded (min)60683949
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half68%67%70%67%
Goals conceded in 2nd half89%100%50%71%
Late goals for (76'+)0.290.140.710.43
Late goals against0.210.140.210.29
Style
Possession50%54%51%47%
Shots13.115.615.113.9
On target5.05.15.34.7
Shot conversion12%11%12%12%
Shots inside box58%62%71%70%
Big chances created2.32.23.12.9
Corners4.05.75.23.9
xG from set plays44%38%38%31%
Goals from headers20%11%9%10%
Pressure index13.719.213.99.4
Dominant minutes51.963.155.346.7
Pass accuracy80%81%82%81%
Fouls10.99.312.611.9
Cards1.140.432.572.29

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Raków Częstochowa

0–15'11
16–30'20
31–45'40
46–60'91
61–75'24
76–90'43

Fiorentina

0–15'22
16–30'43
31–45'13
46–60'35
61–75'51
76–90'82

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Raków Częstochowa · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.03) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.47

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.036
Early press (0-15, level)+0.386
Late push (76+, level)+0.324
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.172

Game state

When ahead-0.253
When level+0.176
When behind-0.003
10 min after conceding-0.093
10 min after scoring+0.475

Situations

Against ten men-0.562
At home+0.143
Away-0.093
4+ days rest+0.036

Opposition

As favourite+0.273
As underdog-0.212

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.076
Conceded when ahead+0.063
Conceded late (76+)-0.245

Ahead vs level -0.41 · Behind vs level -0.17

Fiorentina · 4 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.17) · stands out: 10 min after conceding +0.33

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.174
Early press (0-15, level)+0.094

Game state

When ahead+0.082
When level+0.224
When behind+0.194
10 min after conceding+0.334
10 min after scoring+0.492

Situations

At home+0.192
Away+0.152
4+ days rest+0.174

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.422
As favourite+0.192

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.244
Conceded when ahead+0.202
Conceded late (76+)+0.192

Ahead vs level -0.14 · Behind vs level -0.03

Raków Częstochowa

Current: winless 2 · scoring 3 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-311 79%2.271.550.551.530.86
3-4-2-12 14%1.52.51.51.841.52
5-3-21 7%1.00.00.00.451.01

Fiorentina

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 5

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-5-25 36%1.81.40.61.721.02
3-4-2-13 21%3.02.671.02.31.15
4-4-22 14%1.52.52.02.091.37
4-2-3-11 7%3.02.01.02.061.45
3-1-4-21 7%0.01.02.02.191.46

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.2h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.55Home 37% P 35%3.4Draw 28% P 28%2.7Away 35% P 37%

Double Chance

1.4Rakow Czestochowa or Draw 33% P 32%1.3Rakow Czestochowa or Fiorentina 36% P 36%1.53Draw or Fiorentina 31% P 33%

Draw No Bet

1.721 54%2.02 46%

Both Teams To Score

1.8Yes 51% P 53%1.9No 49% P 47%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.05Over 46% P 47%1.75Under 54% P 53%

Total Corners

5.0Under 6 17%2.46 - 8 36%2.879 - 11 30%7.012 - 14 12%17.0Over 14 5%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 32.5–35% · away 35–37.5% · 692 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home35%34%34%+0.6
Draw28%30%27%-2.5
Away37%36%38%+2.0

In those fixtures: 2.5 goals a game · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 45%

Both teams to score · yes 52.5–55% · 3,040 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes53%54%54%-0.2

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 45–47.5% · 2,885 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.547%46%45%-1.2

Juan Martínez Munuera

Career
254 matches · 14 seasons
Cards / match
4.74 (4.55 yellow · 0.13 red)
Fouls / match
24.9 · 5.2 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.34
Cards to home side
47%

Style in Europa Conference League (5-year window · 9 matches)

Fewer than 10 matches with card data in this league — averages only: 5.11 cards, 24.4 fouls per match.

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-03-15 10 192 37'9
2026-02-21 70 270 27'21
2026-02-18 70 330 31'7
2026-02-08 60 401 9'9
2026-01-29 31 270 10'7
2026-01-25 30 290 9'5
2026-01-11 61 281 15'12
2026-01-04 50 240 13'5
2025-12-09 30 260 14'4
2025-11-22 40 361 5'7