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Europa Conference League · 8th Finals Shakhtar Donetsk went through · After Full Time

Momentum

SHKLech Poznań
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
8th Finals
Leg
2/2

Venue

Stadium
Stadion Miejski im. Henryka Reymana, Kraków · neutral
Capacity
33,268
Surface
grass
Attendance
17,754

Teams

Coaches
Arda Turan · Niels Frederiksen
Position
1 · 2
Formation
4-1-4-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Sander van der Eijk

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Strasbourg 6510 1156 16 DWWWW
2 Raków Częstochowa 6420 927 14 DDWWW
3 AEK Athens 6411 1477 13 WDWWW
4 Sparta Praha 6411 1037 13 LDWWW
5 Rayo Vallecano 6411 1376 13 DWLWW
6 Shakhtar Donetsk 6411 1055 13 LWWWD
7 FSV Mainz 05 6411 734 13 WWLDW
8 AEK Larnaca 6330 716 12 WDDDW
9 Lausanne Sport 6321 633 11 WDLDW
10 Crystal Palace 6312 1165 10 LWLWD
11 Lech Poznań 6312 1284 10 LLWDW
12 Samsunspor 6312 1064 10 WWDLL
13 Celje 6312 871 10 WWLLD
14 AZ Alkmaar 6312 770 10 WLWWD
15 Fiorentina 6303 853 9 WLLWL
16 Rijeka 6231 523 9 WDDWD
17 Jagiellonia Białystok 6231 541 9 DDWLD
18 Omonia Nicosia 6222 541 8 DDWWL
19 Noah 6222 67-1 8 DLDWL
20 Drita 6222 48-4 8 DWWLL
21 KuPS 6141 651 7 DWLDD
22 Skendija 79 6213 45-1 7 WDLWL
23 Zrinjski 6213 810-2 7 LLWLD
24 Sigma Olomouc 6213 79-2 7 DWWLL
25 Universitatea Craiova 6213 68-2 7 DWWLL
26 Lincoln Red Imps 6213 715-8 7 WDLWL
27 Dynamo Kyiv 6204 990 6 LWLLW
28 Legia Warszawa 6204 880 6 WLLLW
29 Slovan Bratislava 6204 59-4 6 LLWLW
30 Breidablik 6123 611-5 5 DLDWL
31 Shamrock Rovers 6114 713-6 4 LDLLW
32 Häcken 6033 58-3 3 DLLDL
33 Hamrun Spartans 6105 411-7 3 LLWLL
34 Shelbourne 6024 07-7 2 LLLLD
35 Aberdeen 6024 314-11 2 LDDLL
36 SK Rapid 6015 314-11 1 LLLLD
  • 8th Finals
  • Play-off

Shakhtar Donetsk

WWDW 3W 1D 0L · 10 pts (2.5 ppg) · GF 7 GA 2 · xG 7.37–2.5 · xPts 8.32

  • W A Lech Poznań 3–1 xG 1.78–1.29 UEFA ECL
  • D H Rijeka 0–0 xG 0.55–0.37 UEFA ECL
  • W A Hamrun Spartans 2–0 xG 2.82–0.2 UEFA ECL
  • W A Shamrock Rovers 2–1 xG 2.23–0.64 UEFA ECL

Lech Poznań

DWWWL 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 7 GA 5 · xG 11.72–6.25 · xPts 9.94

  • L H Shakhtar Donetsk 1–3 xG 1.29–1.78 UEFA ECL
  • W H KuPS 1–0 xG 2.46–0.88 UEFA ECL
  • W A KuPS 2–0 xG 2.94–0.25 UEFA ECL
  • W A Sigma Olomouc 2–1 xG 2.23–1.6 UEFA ECL
  • D H FSV Mainz 05 1–1 xG 2.8–1.73 UEFA ECL

All meetings · 2 matches since 2026

Shakhtar Donetsk 10 draws1 Lech Poznań

Goals 4–3 · 3.5 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Last 10 · 2 matches

Shakhtar Donetsk 10 draws1 Lech Poznań

Goals 4–3 · 3.5 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Last 5 · 2 matches

Shakhtar Donetsk 10 draws1 Lech Poznań

Goals 4–3 · 3.5 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Recent meetings

  • L Shakhtar Donetsk 1–2 Lech Poznań neutral UEFA ECL · 8th Finals · leg 2/2
  • W Lech Poznań 1–3 Shakhtar Donetsk UEFA ECL · 8th Finals · leg 1/2
MetricShakhtar Donetsk all · 14Shakhtar Donetsk at home · 7Lech Poznań all · 10Lech Poznań away · 5
Results
Matches147105
Points per game1.711.141.901.80
W / D / L7 / 3 / 42 / 2 / 36 / 1 / 33 / 0 / 2
Goals for / match1.711.291.801.80
Goals against / match1.211.141.201.40
Clean sheets29%43%30%20%
Failed to score7%14%0%0%
Both teams scored71%57%70%80%
Over 2.571%57%60%80%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.551.102.092.06
xG against / match0.980.851.251.26
xG difference0.570.260.850.80
Finishing vs xG0.160.18-0.29-0.26
xPts / match1.721.551.881.89
Points vs xPts-0.01-0.400.02-0.09
Game state
Scored first43%29%70%80%
PPG when scoring first2.673.002.572.25
PPG when conceding first1.000.250.330.00
Came back from behind50%25%25%0%
Leads held88%100%86%75%
Minutes leading22%13%46%63%
Minutes level50%45%42%26%
Minutes trailing28%42%13%10%
First goal (min)51584029
First goal conceded (min)35105360
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half78%89%33%11%
Goals conceded in 2nd half59%38%75%86%
Late goals for (76'+)0.430.290.300.20
Late goals against0.290.290.500.80
Style
Possession63%65%54%52%
Shots14.612.414.916.0
On target5.03.45.96.2
Shot conversion12%10%12%11%
Shots inside box62%58%67%68%
Big chances created2.41.33.33.4
Corners5.66.43.85.0
xG from set plays19%27%42%52%
Goals from headers14%12%11%22%
Pressure index34.823.615.015.4
Dominant minutes74.269.952.958.0
Pass accuracy88%89%82%82%
Fouls9.48.99.07.4
Cards2.362.001.601.20

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Shakhtar Donetsk

0–15'04
16–30'22
31–45'31
46–60'53
61–75'83
76–90'54

Lech Poznań

0–15'40
16–30'11
31–45'72
46–60'02
61–75'32
76–90'35

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Shakhtar Donetsk

No pressure profile yet.

Lech Poznań · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.26) · stands out: at home +0.44

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.267
Early press (0-15, level)+0.007
Late push (76+, level)+0.202

Game state

When ahead+0.155
When level+0.317
When behind+0.283
10 min after conceding-0.094
10 min after scoring+0.395

Situations

At home+0.443
Away+0.124
4+ days rest+0.267

Opposition

As favourite+0.244
Evenly matched+0.242

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.287
Conceded when ahead-0.515
Conceded late (76+)-0.432

Ahead vs level -0.16 · Behind vs level -0.03

Shakhtar Donetsk

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 4 · scoring 7 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-1-4-113 93%1.621.621.231.530.96
4-3-31 7%3.03.01.01.781.29

Lech Poznań

Current: winless 2 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-17 70%1.431.861.571.91.39
4-1-4-12 20%3.01.50.02.70.57
4-4-21 10%3.02.01.02.231.6

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.1h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.2Home 43% P 43%3.6Draw 26% P 26%3.1Away 31% P 31%

Double Chance

1.36Shakhtar Donetsk or Draw 35% P 35%1.28Shakhtar Donetsk or Lech Poznan 37% P 37%1.66Draw or Lech Poznan 28% P 28%

Draw No Bet

1.611 58%2.22 42%

Both Teams To Score

1.61Yes 58% P 58%2.2No 42% P 42%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.75Over 54% P 54%2.05Under 46% P 46%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.06 - 8 29%2.629 - 11 34%4.512 - 14 20%11.0Over 14 8%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 42.5–45% · away 30–32.5% · 232 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home43%43%45%+1.8
Draw26%26%25%-0.8
Away31%31%30%-1.1

In those fixtures: 3.2 goals a game · BTTS 64% · over 2.5 66%

Both teams to score · yes 57.5–60% · 1,955 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes58%59%60%+1.5

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 52.5–55% · 2,943 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.554%54%55%+0.8

Sander van der Eijk

Career
117 matches · 8 seasons
Cards / match
3.73 (3.4 yellow · 0.2 red)
Fouls / match
21.2 · 5.7 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.23
Cards to home side
47%

Style in Europa Conference League (5-year window · 10 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.24.92-0.9814
Fouls / match21.623.8-0.82
Fouls per card5.14.8+0.33 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.30.29-0.0245
Time added7.96.5+1.2890
First card
41' on average
Card timing
5% in first 30' · 43% in last 15'
Cards to home side
49% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.0

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-03-14 50 210 7'5
2026-03-07 30 110 50'6
2026-03-01 50 200 28'6
2026-02-22 20 220 9'6
2026-02-19 50 240 51'6
2026-02-13 20 210 61'5
2026-01-31 60 240 27'10
2026-01-22 40 280 24'6
2026-01-18 61 261 24'9
2026-01-11 10 170 57'4