Rating 7.92 (100th pct) · G+A 14 + 2 (37% of team goals) · 83% of minutes
Champions League · Quarter-finals
Momentum
– FCBReal Madrid –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
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Stats
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Season context
| FC Bayern München | at home | Stat | league | away | Real Madrid |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 60.7 #7 | – | Ball possession | 49.6 | – | 53.6 #23 |
| 18.4 #4 | – | Shots total | 11.6 | – | 17.4 #6 |
| 8.1 #1 | – | Shots on target | 4.3 | – | 6.9 #6 |
| 5.4 #22 | – | Corners | 4.5 | – | 5.7 #17 |
| 10.2 #67 | – | Fouls | 12.0 | – | 10.8 #53 |
| 1.5 #30 | – | Offsides | 1.5 | – | 1.1 #60 |
| 14.6 #35 | – | Tackles | 15.0 | – | 15.0 #30 |
| 122.8 #5 | – | Attacks | 99.1 | – | 95.0 #48 |
| 65.8 #13 | – | Dangerous attacks | 52.8 | – | 48.3 #49 |
| 623.5 #3 | – | Passes | 408.2 | – | 510.8 #12 |
| 2.1 #30 | – | Yellowcards | 2.1 | – | 2.1 #27 |
| 0.1 #29 | – | Redcards | 0.2 | – | 0.3 #8 |
| 2.4 #1 | – | Assists | 1.1 | – | 1.9 #5 |
| – #6 | – | Btts | 48.7 | – | – #18 |
| – #54 | – | Cleansheet | 24.6 | – | – #33 |
| – #54 | – | Draw | 20.2 | – | – #57 |
| 2.5 #2 | – | Expected goals | 1.3 | – | 2.1 #5 |
| 0.6 #13 | – | Expected goals difference | 0.2 | – | 0.3 #26 |
| – #73 | – | Failed to score | 34.1 | – | – #70 |
| 3.1 #1 | 3.0 | Goals | 1.3 | 2.4 | 2.4 #6 |
| 1.4 #52 | 1.0 | Goals conceded | 1.6 | 1.9 | 1.4 #52 |
| 0.2 #37 | – | Injury time goals | 0.3 | – | 0.3 #22 |
| 8.0 #36 | – | Interceptions | 8.2 | – | 8.8 #26 |
| – #79 | – | Lost | 47.0 | – | – #58 |
| 0.3 #13 | – | Penalties scored | 0.2 | – | 0.3 #13 |
| 7.1 #1 | – | Rating | 6.6 | – | 7.0 #3 |
| 4.1 #16 | – | Shots blocked | 2.9 | – | 4.7 #9 |
| 13.1 #4 | – | Shots insidebox | 7.8 | – | 11.7 #7 |
| 6.2 #20 | – | Shots off target | 5.3 | – | 5.8 #25 |
| 5.4 #11 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.2 | – | 5.7 #6 |
| – #1 | – | Win | 32.9 | – | – #5 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 82.
League this season · 2025/2026
- Played
- 281 of 281
- Goals / match
- 3.18 (home 1.87 · away 1.31)
- Home / draw / away
- 50% · 19% · 31%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 52% · 59%
- Cards / match
- 4.2 (reds 0.15)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
FC Bayern München · 2025/2026 · Champions League
Rating 7.7 (100th pct) · G+A 5 + 6 (26% of team goals) · 86% of minutes
Rating 7.52 (95th pct) · G+A 7 + 3 (23% of team goals) · 78% of minutes
Real Madrid · 2025/2026 · Champions League
Rating 8.06 (100th pct) · G+A 15 + 1 (48% of team goals) · 72% of minutes
Rating 7.26 (91th pct) · G+A 5 + 5 (30% of team goals) · 93% of minutes
Rating 7.27 (95th pct) · G+A 3 + 4 (21% of team goals) · 92% of minutes
Absences
FC Bayern München
- injury Leon Klanac goalkeeper · Hamstring Injury · 28 missed · until 2026-05-08
- injury Wisdom Mike attacker · Hip Injury · 16 missed · until 2026-06-30
- suspension Bara Sapoko Ndiaye midfielder · No Eligibility · 28 missed · until 2026-05-07
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Quarter-finals
- Leg
- 2/2
Venue
- Stadium
- Allianz Arena, Munich
- Capacity
- 75,024
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 75,000
Teams
- Coaches
- Vincent Kompany · Arbeloa
- Position
- 1 · 2
- Formation
- 4-2-3-1 · 4-4-2
Referee
Slavko Vinčić
Weather
- Conditions
- overcast clouds
- Temperature
- 11.1° (feels 10.5°)
- Wind
- 1.5
- Humidity
- 84%
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2025/2026
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal |
8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 4 | 19 | 24 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  FC Bayern München |
8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 8 | 14 | 21 | WLWWW |
| 3 |  Liverpool |
8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 8 | 12 | 18 | WLWWW |
| 4 |  Tottenham Hotspur |
8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 17 | WLWWW |
| 5 |  FC Barcelona |
8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 14 | 8 | 16 | DLWWW |
| 6 |  Chelsea |
8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 16 | DWLWW |
| 7 |  Sporting CP |
8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 16 | DWLWW |
| 8 |  Manchester City |
8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 16 | WLWLW |
| 9 |  Real Madrid |
8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 12 | 9 | 15 | LWLWL |
| 10 |  Inter |
8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 15 | WLLLW |
| 11 |  Paris Saint Germain |
8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 14 | LWDLD |
| 12 |  Newcastle United |
8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 14 | WLDWD |
| 13 |  Juventus |
8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 13 | DWWWD |
| 14 |  Atlético de Madrid |
8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 13 | WWWDL |
| 15 |  Atalanta |
8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 13 | WWWLL |
| 16 |  Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 12 | WWDLW |
| 17 |  Borussia Dortmund |
8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 11 | LWDLL |
| 18 |  Olympiacos F.C. |
8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 11 | DLWWW |
| 19 |  Club Brugge |
8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 10 | DLLWW |
| 20 |  Galatasaray |
8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 | WLLDL |
| 21 |  Monaco |
8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 10 | WDWLD |
| 22 |  Qarabağ |
8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 10 | DLLWL |
| 23 |  Bodø / Glimt |
8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 9 | LLDWW |
| 24 |  Benfica |
8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 9 | LWWLW |
| 25 |  Olympique Marseille |
8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 9 | LWWLL |
| 26 |  Pafos FC |
8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 9 | WDLLW |
| 27 |  Union Saint-Gilloise |
8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 9 | LWLLW |
| 28 |  PSV |
8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 8 | DWLLL |
| 29 |  Athletic Club |
8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 8 | LDDWL |
| 30 |  Napoli |
8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 8 | DWLDL |
| 31 |  FC København |
8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 8 | LWWDL |
| 32 |  Ajax |
8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 21 | -13 | 6 | LLWWL |
| 33 |  Eintracht Frankfurt |
8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 4 | DLLLL |
| 34 |  Slavia Praha |
8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 19 | -14 | 3 | LDLLL |
| 35 |  Villarreal |
8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 18 | -13 | 1 | LLLLL |
| 36 |  Kairat |
8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 22 | -15 | 1 | LLLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 12 | WLWWW |
| 2 | Tottenham Hotspur |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 12 | WLWWW |
| 3 | Arsenal |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 12 | WWWWW |
| 4 | Chelsea |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 12 | DWLWW |
| 5 | Sporting CP |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 12 | DWLWW |
| 6 | FC Barcelona |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 9 | DLWWW |
| 7 | Newcastle United |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 9 | WLDWD |
| 8 | Atlético de Madrid |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 9 | WWWDL |
| 9 | Real Madrid |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 9 | LWLWL |
| 10 | Liverpool |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 9 | WLWWW |
| 11 | Manchester City |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 9 | WLWLW |
| 12 | Juventus |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 8 | DWWWD |
| 13 | Paris Saint Germain |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 7 | LWDLD |
| 14 | Borussia Dortmund |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 7 | LWDLL |
| 15 | Club Brugge |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 7 | DLLWW |
| 16 | Napoli |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 7 | DWLDL |
| 17 | Galatasaray |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 7 | WLLDL |
| 18 | Qarabağ |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 7 | DLLWL |
| 19 | Atalanta |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 7 | WWWLL |
| 20 | Pafos FC |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 7 | WDLLW |
| 21 | Benfica |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 6 | LWWLW |
| 22 | Inter |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 6 | WLLLW |
| 23 | Olympique Marseille |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 6 | LWWLL |
| 24 | Monaco |
4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | WDWLD |
| 25 | Olympiacos F.C. |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 5 | DLWWW |
| 26 | FC København |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 5 | LWWDL |
| 27 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 5 | WWDLW |
| 28 | Bodø / Glimt |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 4 | LLDWW |
| 29 | Athletic Club |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 4 | LDDWL |
| 30 | PSV |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 3 | DWLLL |
| 31 | Eintracht Frankfurt |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 3 | DLLLL |
| 32 | Union Saint-Gilloise |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 11 | -8 | 3 | LWLLW |
| 33 | Slavia Praha |
4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 2 | LDLLL |
| 34 | Villarreal |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 1 | LLLLL |
| 35 | Kairat |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 10 | -9 | 1 | LLLLL |
| 36 | Ajax |
4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 9 | -8 | 0 | LLWWL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 10 | 12 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Inter |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 9 | WLLLW |
| 3 | Liverpool |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 9 | WLWWW |
| 4 | FC Bayern München |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 9 | WLWWW |
| 5 | Paris Saint Germain |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 7 | LWDLD |
| 6 | Manchester City |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 7 | WLWLW |
| 7 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 7 | WWDLW |
| 8 | FC Barcelona |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 7 | DLWWW |
| 9 | Real Madrid |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 6 | LWLWL |
| 10 | Union Saint-Gilloise |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 6 | LWLLW |
| 11 | Atalanta |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 6 | WWWLL |
| 12 | Ajax |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 6 | LLWWL |
| 13 | Olympiacos F.C. |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 6 | DLWWW |
| 14 | Newcastle United |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 5 | WLDWD |
| 15 | Tottenham Hotspur |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 5 | WLWWW |
| 16 | PSV |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 5 | DWLLL |
| 17 | Juventus |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 5 | DWWWD |
| 18 | Bodø / Glimt |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 5 | LLDWW |
| 19 | Chelsea |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 4 | DWLWW |
| 20 | Sporting CP |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 4 | DWLWW |
| 21 | Borussia Dortmund |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 4 | LWDLL |
| 22 | Atlético de Madrid |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 4 | WWWDL |
| 23 | Athletic Club |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 4 | LDDWL |
| 24 | Monaco |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 4 | WDWLD |
| 25 | Olympique Marseille |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 3 | LWWLL |
| 26 | Galatasaray |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 3 | WLLDL |
| 27 | Benfica |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 3 | LWWLW |
| 28 | Club Brugge |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 3 | DLLWW |
| 29 | FC København |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 3 | LWWDL |
| 30 | Qarabağ |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 3 | DLLWL |
| 31 | Pafos FC |
4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 2 | WDLLW |
| 32 | Eintracht Frankfurt |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 1 | DLLLL |
| 33 | Napoli |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 11 | -8 | 1 | DWLDL |
| 34 | Slavia Praha |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 10 | -9 | 1 | LDLLL |
| 35 | Kairat |
4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 0 | LLLLL |
| 36 | Villarreal |
4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 9 | -9 | 0 | LLLLL |
- 8th Finals
- Play-off
FC Bayern München
WWWWW 5W 0D 0L · 15 pts (3.0 ppg) · GF 18 GA 4 · xG 15.71–6.89 · xPts 11.23
- W
A
St. Pauli
5–0
xG 3.19–0.61
GER BI - W
A
Real Madrid
2–1
xG 2.69–1.71
UEFA CL
- W
A
SC Freiburg
3–2
xG 2.85–1.92
GER BI - W
H
FC Union Berlin
4–0
xG 3.85–0.31
GER BI - W
H
Atalanta
4–1
xG 3.13–2.34
UEFA CL
WWWWDWWWWW 9W 1D 0L · 28 pts (2.8 ppg) · GF 35 GA 11 · xG 28.44–16.99 · xPts 19.63
- W
A
St. Pauli
5–0
xG 3.19–0.61
GER BI
- W
A
Real Madrid
2–1
xG 2.69–1.71
UEFA CL
- W
A
SC Freiburg
3–2
xG 2.85–1.92
GER BI
- W
H
FC Union Berlin
4–0
xG 3.85–0.31
GER BI
- W
H
Atalanta
4–1
xG 3.13–2.34
UEFA CL
- D
A
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
1–1
xG 1.28–2.86
GER BI
- W
A
Atalanta
6–1
xG 3.81–2.25
UEFA CL
- W
H
Borussia Mönchengladbach
4–1
xG 2.71–1.24
GER BI - W
A
Borussia Dortmund
3–2
xG 2.21–1.53
GER BI
- W
H
Eintracht Frankfurt
3–2
xG 2.73–2.24
GER BI
Real Madrid
WWLLD 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 8 GA 8 · xG 11.02–8.0 · xPts 8.84
- D
H
Girona
1–1
xG 2.3–0.6
ESP PL - L
H
FC Bayern München
1–2
xG 1.71–2.69
UEFA CL
- L
A
Mallorca
1–2
xG 1.44–0.92
ESP PL - W
H
Atlético de Madrid
3–2
xG 2.82–1.32
ESP PL
- W
A
Manchester City
2–1
xG 2.76–2.47
UEFA CL
WLWWWWWLLD 6W 1D 3L · 19 pts (1.9 ppg) · GF 19 GA 12 · xG 18.35–13.43 · xPts 17.04
- D
H
Girona
1–1
xG 2.3–0.6
ESP PL
- L
H
FC Bayern München
1–2
xG 1.71–2.69
UEFA CL
- L
A
Mallorca
1–2
xG 1.44–0.92
ESP PL
- W
H
Atlético de Madrid
3–2
xG 2.82–1.32
ESP PL
- W
A
Manchester City
2–1
xG 2.76–2.47
UEFA CL
- W
H
Elche
4–1
xG 1.0–1.0
ESP PL - W
H
Manchester City
3–0
xG 1.95–0.83
UEFA CL
- W
A
Celta de Vigo
2–1
xG 1.22–0.88
ESP PL - L
H
Getafe
0–1
xG 1.91–0.64
ESP PL - W
H
Benfica
2–1
xG 1.25–2.08
UEFA CL
All meetings · 20 matches since 2001
Goals 28–36 · 3.2 per match · BTTS 75% · over 2.5 75%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 15–23 · 3.8 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 90%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 11–10 · 4.2 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%
Recent meetings
- W FC Bayern München 4–3 Real Madrid UEFA CL · Quarter-finals · leg 2/2
- W Real Madrid 1–2 FC Bayern München UEFA CL · Quarter-finals · leg 1/2
- L Real Madrid 2–1 FC Bayern München UEFA CL · Semi-finals · leg 2/2
- D FC Bayern München 2–2 Real Madrid UEFA CL · Semi-finals · leg 1/2
- D Real Madrid 2–2 FC Bayern München UEFA CL · Semi-finals · leg 2/2
- L FC Bayern München 1–2 Real Madrid UEFA CL · Semi-finals · leg 1/2
- L Real Madrid 4–2 FC Bayern München aet neutral UEFA CL · Quarter-finals · leg 2/2
- L FC Bayern München 1–2 Real Madrid UEFA CL · Quarter-finals · leg 1/2
- L FC Bayern München 0–4 Real Madrid UEFA CL · Semi-finals · leg 2/2
- L Real Madrid 1–0 FC Bayern München neutral UEFA CL · Semi-finals · leg 1/2
| Metric | FC Bayern München all · 14 | FC Bayern München at home · 7 | Real Madrid all · 14 | Real Madrid away · 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 14 | 7 | 14 | 7 |
| Points per game | 2.43 | 2.71 | 1.93 | 1.71 |
| W / D / L | 11 / 1 / 2 | 6 / 1 / 0 | 9 / 0 / 5 | 4 / 0 / 3 |
| Goals for / match | 3.07 | 3.00 | 2.36 | 2.43 |
| Goals against / match | 1.43 | 1.00 | 1.43 | 1.86 |
| Clean sheets | 14% | 29% | 29% | 29% |
| Failed to score | 0% | 0% | 7% | 14% |
| Both teams scored | 86% | 71% | 64% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 | 86% | 71% | 79% | 71% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 2.50 | 2.68 | 2.10 | 1.81 |
| xG against / match | 1.39 | 1.14 | 1.74 | 1.80 |
| xG difference | 1.12 | 1.54 | 0.36 | 0.00 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.57 | 0.32 | 0.26 | 0.62 |
| xPts / match | 1.96 | 2.19 | 1.57 | 1.40 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.47 | 0.52 | 0.36 | 0.31 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 71% | 57% | 64% | 71% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.70 | 3.00 | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| PPG when conceding first | 1.75 | 2.33 | 1.80 | 1.50 |
| Came back from behind | 60% | 100% | 38% | 25% |
| Leads held | 92% | 100% | 75% | 67% |
| Minutes leading | 48% | 44% | 37% | 41% |
| Minutes level | 33% | 30% | 47% | 45% |
| Minutes trailing | 19% | 25% | 15% | 14% |
| First goal (min) | 32 | 38 | 29 | 25 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 48 | 34 | 34 | 30 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 51% | 62% | 48% | 47% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 50% | 29% | 45% | 54% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.43 | 0.71 | 0.43 | 0.43 |
| Late goals against | 0.29 | 0.14 | 0.29 | 0.57 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 61% | 66% | 54% | 57% |
| Shots | 18.4 | 20.4 | 17.4 | 14.4 |
| On target | 8.1 | 7.7 | 6.9 | 6.6 |
| Shot conversion | 17% | 15% | 14% | 17% |
| Shots inside box | 71% | 68% | 67% | 64% |
| Big chances created | 5.0 | 4.6 | 3.9 | 4.1 |
| Corners | 5.4 | 5.6 | 5.7 | 4.6 |
| xG from set plays | 28% | 30% | 26% | 22% |
| Goals from headers | 7% | 10% | 9% | 19% |
| Pressure index | 20.4 | 24.4 | 14.6 | 15.9 |
| Dominant minutes | 61.7 | 72.0 | 54.4 | 56.1 |
| Pass accuracy | 88% | 91% | 87% | 87% |
| Fouls | 10.2 | 10.7 | 10.8 | 10.0 |
| Cards | 2.14 | 2.14 | 3.00 | 4.29 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
FC Bayern München
0–15'62
16–30'74
31–45'84
46–60'73
61–75'93
76–90'64
Real Madrid
0–15'23
16–30'131
31–45'27
46–60'73
61–75'32
76–90'64
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
FC Bayern München · 5 matches
Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.86) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +1.32
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.865
Early press (0-15, level)+0.905
Game state
When ahead+0.894
When level+0.855
10 min after conceding+0.432
10 min after scoring+1.324
Situations
At home+0.693
Away+1.052
4+ days rest+0.784
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.612
v bottom-tier opponents+0.972
As favourite+0.865
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.445
Conceded when ahead-0.474
Conceded late (76+)-0.774
Congested vs rested +0.33 · Ahead vs level +0.04
Real Madrid · 7 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.48) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +1.02
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.487
Early press (0-15, level)+0.317
Late push (76+, level)+0.733
Game state
When ahead+0.346
When level+0.677
10 min after conceding-0.016
10 min after scoring+1.026
Situations
At home+0.244
Away+0.703
4+ days rest+0.456
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents+0.693
v bottom-tier opponents+0.702
As favourite+0.487
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.107
Conceded when ahead+0.056
Conceded late (76+)-0.496
Congested vs rested +0.16 · Ahead vs level -0.33 · Behind vs level -1.19
FC Bayern München
Current: unbeaten 9 · wins 3 · scoring 3 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 14 100% | 2.43 | 3.07 | 1.43 | 2.5 | 1.39 |
Real Madrid
Current: unbeaten 3 · wins 3 · scoring 3 · conceding 4
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-4-2 | 7 50% | 1.71 | 1.86 | 1.43 | 1.85 | 1.91 |
| 4-3-3 | 3 21% | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.67 | 2.47 | 1.87 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 3 21% | 3.0 | 3.67 | 1.33 | 2.89 | 1.01 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 7% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.34 | 2.34 |
| Metric | FC Bayern München all · 10 | FC Bayern München at home · 10 | Real Madrid all · 10 | Real Madrid away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 2.10 | 2.60 | 2.70 | 1.60 |
| W / D / L | 6 / 3 / 1 | 8 / 2 / 0 | 9 / 0 / 1 | 5 / 1 / 4 |
| Goals for / match | 3.30 | 4.20 | 2.60 | 1.50 |
| Goals against / match | 1.20 | 1.20 | 0.90 | 1.40 |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 30% | 30% | 20% |
| Failed to score | 10% | 0% | 10% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 70% | 60% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 | 70% | 90% | 70% | 50% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 2.38 | 2.84 | 2.47 | 1.95 |
| xG against / match | 1.19 | 1.18 | 1.10 | 1.41 |
| xG difference | 1.19 | 1.67 | 1.37 | 0.54 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.92 | 1.36 | 0.13 | -0.45 |
| xPts / match | 2.08 | 2.23 | 2.16 | 1.68 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.02 | 0.37 | 0.54 | -0.08 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 70% | 60% | 90% | 70% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.57 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 2.29 |
| PPG when conceding first | 1.00 | 2.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Came back from behind | 67% | 100% | 0% | 0% |
| Leads held | 86% | 100% | 100% | 71% |
| Minutes leading | 39% | 48% | 59% | 38% |
| Minutes level | 40% | 29% | 40% | 47% |
| Minutes trailing | 21% | 23% | 1% | 15% |
| First goal (min) | 37 | 34 | 21 | 29 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 30 | 29 | 57 | 46 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 67% | 62% | 38% | 40% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 42% | 33% | 67% | 50% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.90 | 1.10 | 0.70 | 0.40 |
| Late goals against | 0.10 | 0.30 | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 68% | 68% | 56% | 53% |
| Shots | 19.8 | 23.4 | 18.4 | 15.0 |
| On target | 8.4 | 9.1 | 7.4 | 5.3 |
| Shot conversion | 17% | 18% | 14% | 10% |
| Shots inside box | 57% | 62% | 72% | 76% |
| Big chances created | 4.6 | 5.2 | 4.3 | 3.3 |
| Corners | 7.1 | 8.1 | 6.1 | 5.9 |
| xG from set plays | 30% | 26% | 19% | 24% |
| Goals from headers | 13% | 10% | 4% | 15% |
| Pressure index | 23.8 | 23.4 | 18.4 | 15.2 |
| Dominant minutes | 71.5 | 73.2 | 61.8 | 54.9 |
| Pass accuracy | 89% | 90% | 90% | 88% |
| Fouls | 7.9 | 7.9 | 8.8 | 10.5 |
| Cards | 1.10 | 1.10 | 1.30 | 3.20 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
FC Bayern München
0–15'21
16–30'53
31–45'43
46–60'63
61–75'71
76–90'91
Real Madrid
0–15'50
16–30'61
31–45'52
46–60'21
61–75'11
76–90'74
FC Bayern München
Current: unbeaten 9 · wins 3 · scoring 3 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 9 90% | 2.22 | 3.33 | 1.0 | 2.41 | 1.11 |
| 4-3-1-2 | 1 10% | 1.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2.2 | 1.95 |
Real Madrid
Current: unbeaten 3 · wins 3 · scoring 3 · conceding 4
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 6 60% | 2.5 | 2.83 | 1.0 | 2.72 | 0.99 |
| 4-4-2 | 2 20% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 0.99 |
| 4-3-3 | 2 20% | 3.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 2.57 | 1.55 |
| Metric | FC Bayern München all · 49 | FC Bayern München at home · 24 | Real Madrid all · 54 | Real Madrid away · 27 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 49 | 24 | 54 | 27 |
| Points per game | 2.53 | 2.63 | 2.15 | 1.81 |
| W / D / L | 39 / 7 / 3 | 20 / 3 / 1 | 37 / 5 / 12 | 15 / 4 / 8 |
| Goals for / match | 3.41 | 3.83 | 2.20 | 1.81 |
| Goals against / match | 1.12 | 1.08 | 1.09 | 1.30 |
| Clean sheets | 31% | 29% | 32% | 33% |
| Failed to score | 2% | 0% | 11% | 15% |
| Both teams scored | 69% | 71% | 59% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 | 90% | 92% | 63% | 56% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 2.65 | 2.91 | 2.08 | 1.81 |
| xG against / match | 1.25 | 1.02 | 1.30 | 1.34 |
| xG difference | 1.40 | 1.90 | 0.78 | 0.47 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.76 | 0.92 | 0.13 | 0.00 |
| xPts / match | 2.11 | 2.33 | 1.83 | 1.66 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.42 | 0.29 | 0.32 | 0.16 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 65% | 71% | 72% | 63% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.75 | 2.71 | 2.67 | 2.53 |
| PPG when conceding first | 2.19 | 2.43 | 0.79 | 0.56 |
| Came back from behind | 84% | 89% | 29% | 27% |
| Leads held | 91% | 91% | 86% | 79% |
| Minutes leading | 47% | 53% | 43% | 34% |
| Minutes level | 38% | 33% | 46% | 51% |
| Minutes trailing | 15% | 15% | 12% | 15% |
| First goal (min) | 33 | 30 | 34 | 38 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 43 | 41 | 48 | 43 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 61% | 58% | 53% | 55% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 49% | 46% | 58% | 57% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.94 | 1.00 | 0.50 | 0.48 |
| Late goals against | 0.29 | 0.33 | 0.30 | 0.41 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 66% | 67% | 57% | 58% |
| Shots | 19.3 | 21.7 | 17.5 | 15.7 |
| On target | 8.4 | 8.9 | 6.8 | 5.8 |
| Shot conversion | 18% | 18% | 13% | 12% |
| Shots inside box | 67% | 66% | 66% | 66% |
| Big chances created | 4.9 | 5.3 | 3.6 | 3.2 |
| Corners | 6.4 | 7.4 | 6.2 | 5.9 |
| xG from set plays | 25% | 26% | 29% | 24% |
| Goals from headers | 11% | 12% | 10% | 13% |
| Pressure index | 26.0 | 29.1 | 20.2 | 19.7 |
| Dominant minutes | 70.6 | 77.4 | 60.9 | 60.3 |
| Pass accuracy | 90% | 90% | 89% | 88% |
| Fouls | 9.0 | 8.7 | 10.1 | 10.2 |
| Cards | 1.67 | 1.29 | 2.24 | 2.48 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
FC Bayern München
0–15'137
16–30'2211
31–45'3010
46–60'276
61–75'297
76–90'4614
Real Madrid
0–15'115
16–30'284
31–45'1716
46–60'229
61–75'149
76–90'2716
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
FC Bayern München · 49 matches
Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.70) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +1.07
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.7049
Early press (0-15, level)+0.6049
Late push (76+, level)+0.9014
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.5010
Game state
When ahead+0.7643
When level+0.7249
When behind+0.5019
10 min after conceding+0.2930
10 min after scoring+1.0748
Situations
With ten men+0.363
Against ten men+0.455
At home+0.7724
Away+0.6425
3 days rest or fewer+0.8314
4+ days rest+0.6335
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.4521
v mid-tier opponents+0.8112
v bottom-tier opponents+0.707
As favourite+0.7745
Evenly matched+0.133
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.2649
Conceded when ahead-0.3543
Conceded late (76+)-0.5035
Congested vs rested +0.20 · Ahead vs level +0.04 · Behind vs level -0.22
Real Madrid · 54 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.48) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.78
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.4854
Early press (0-15, level)+0.2354
Late push (76+, level)+0.5216
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.1511
Game state
When ahead+0.4843
When level+0.4954
When behind+0.4717
10 min after conceding+0.4236
10 min after scoring+0.7847
Situations
With ten men+0.375
Against ten men+0.137
At home+0.3827
Away+0.5827
3 days rest or fewer+0.3416
4+ days rest+0.5438
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.0915
v mid-tier opponents+0.5519
v bottom-tier opponents+0.598
As favourite+0.5844
Evenly matched+0.205
As underdog-0.065
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.1854
Conceded when ahead-0.1743
Conceded late (76+)-0.3244
Congested vs rested -0.20 · Ahead vs level -0.00 · Behind vs level -0.02
FC Bayern München
Current: unbeaten 9 · wins 3 · scoring 3 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 48 98% | 2.56 | 3.42 | 1.08 | 2.66 | 1.23 |
| 4-3-1-2 | 1 2% | 1.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2.2 | 1.95 |
Real Madrid
Current: unbeaten 3 · wins 3 · scoring 3 · conceding 4
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-4-2 | 25 46% | 2.12 | 2.12 | 1.16 | 1.79 | 1.39 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 14 26% | 2.0 | 2.29 | 1.29 | 2.15 | 1.05 |
| 4-3-3 | 10 18% | 2.5 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 2.49 | 1.28 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 2 4% | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.9 | 1.88 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 1 2% | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 3.66 | 1.41 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.
Latest prices
bet365 · pre-match line -0.1h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
1.53Home 62% P 62%6.0Draw 16% P 16%4.33Away 22% P 22%
Double Chance
1.18Bayern Munich or Draw 40%1.14Bayern Munich or Real Madrid 41%2.5Draw or Real Madrid 19%
Draw No Bet
1.251 75%3.752 25%
Both Teams To Score
1.28Yes 73%3.5No 27%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.2Over 79% P 71%4.5Under 21% P 29%
Total Corners
19.0Under 6 5%4.756 - 8 18%2.759 - 11 32%3.212 - 14 27%5.0Over 14 18%
Number of Cards
3.51.66Over 56%2.1Under 44%
4.52.2Over 42%1.61Under 58%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2019–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 70–72.5% · 478 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 71% | 71% | 70% | -1.3 |
Slavko Vinčić
- Career
- 95 matches · 16 seasons
- Cards / match
- 4.21 (4.06 yellow · 0.06 red)
- Fouls / match
- 24.3 · 5.2 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.16
- Cards to home side
- 48%
Style in Champions League (5-year window · 41 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 4.12 | 4.4 | -0.22 | 48 |
| Fouls / match | 24.5 | 22.7 | +1.33 | |
| Fouls per card | 6.1 | 5.2 | +0.67 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.15 | 0.32 | -1.55 | 3 |
| Time added | 6.5 | 6.5 | +0.15 | 55 |
- First card
- 35' on average
- Card timing
- 18% in first 30' · 33% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 44% (league 47%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.29
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-17 | – | – | 18 | – | – | 4 |
| 2026-02-25 · Real Madrid | 4 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 35' | 10 |
| 2026-01-28 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 1 | 20' | 7 |
| 2026-01-21 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 48' | 5 |
| 2025-12-10 | 3 | 0 | 32 | 0 | 52' | 9 |
| 2025-11-25 | 3 | 1 | 30 | 0 | 32' | 5 |
| 2025-10-22 · Real Madrid | 1 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 61' | 6 |
| 2025-09-30 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 1 | 14' | 8 |
| 2025-08-27 | 6 | 1 | 31 | 0 | 30' | 11 |
| 2025-04-29 | 4 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 10' | 6 |