Rating 6.85 (33th pct) · G+A 1 + 3 (22% of team goals) · 63% of minutes
Europa League · Quarter-finals
Momentum
– PortoNFO –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
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Stats
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Season context
| Porto | at home | Stat | league | away | Nottingham Forest |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 51.8 #24 | – | Ball possession | 49.2 | – | 52.8 #21 |
| 14.2 #13 | – | Shots total | 11.3 | – | 15.6 #5 |
| 5.1 #16 | – | Shots on target | 4.0 | – | 5.9 #3 |
| 5.1 #24 | – | Corners | 4.7 | – | 5.6 #14 |
| 11.2 #59 | – | Fouls | 12.6 | – | 13.1 #25 |
| 1.2 #60 | – | Offsides | 1.7 | – | 1.6 #43 |
| 15.2 #25 | – | Tackles | 13.2 | – | 17.2 #11 |
| 94.2 #41 | – | Attacks | 96.6 | – | 105.9 #16 |
| 42.2 #51 | – | Dangerous attacks | 49.2 | – | 50.2 #32 |
| 438.3 #19 | – | Passes | 386.7 | – | 477.7 #9 |
| 2.3 #29 | – | Yellowcards | 2.2 | – | 1.6 #60 |
| 0.1 #19 | – | Redcards | 0.1 | – | 0.1 #25 |
| 1.0 #28 | – | Assists | 1.0 | – | 0.9 #41 |
| – #23 | – | Btts | 52.4 | – | – #60 |
| – #33 | – | Cleansheet | 23.8 | – | – #19 |
| – #25 | – | Draw | 21.9 | – | – #34 |
| 1.7 #7 | – | Expected goals | 1.1 | – | 1.8 #6 |
| -0.2 #43 | – | Expected goals difference | 0.1 | – | -0.3 #47 |
| – #54 | – | Failed to score | 33.0 | – | – #43 |
| 1.5 #20 | 2.2 | Goals | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.5 #20 |
| 0.8 #64 | 0.7 | Goals conceded | 1.5 | 1.2 | 1.0 #56 |
| 0.1 #49 | – | Injury time goals | 0.3 | – | – |
| 8.5 #30 | – | Interceptions | 8.1 | – | 9.6 #15 |
| – #69 | – | Lost | 48.5 | – | – #55 |
| 0.2 #18 | – | Penalties scored | 0.2 | – | 0.3 #10 |
| 6.8 #17 | – | Rating | 6.6 | – | 6.9 #5 |
| 3.1 #30 | – | Shots blocked | 2.8 | – | 3.9 #14 |
| 9.0 #10 | – | Shots insidebox | 6.8 | – | 9.9 #6 |
| 6.1 #21 | – | Shots off target | 5.3 | – | 5.8 #24 |
| 5.2 #16 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.1 | – | 5.7 #10 |
| – #7 | – | Win | 29.6 | – | – #9 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 77.
League this season · 2025/2026
- Played
- 271 of 271
- Goals / match
- 2.69 (home 1.51 · away 1.18)
- Home / draw / away
- 48% · 19% · 32%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 50% · 53%
- Cards / match
- 4.47 (reds 0.11)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Porto · 2025/2026 · Europa League
Rating 7.22 (100th pct) · G+A 0 + 1 (6% of team goals) · 57% of minutes
Team 2.17 ppg with (6) · 1.83 without (6)
Rating 6.78 (17th pct) · G+A 4 + 0 (22% of team goals) · 58% of minutes
Team 2.0 ppg with (7) · 2.0 without (5)
Nottingham Forest · 2025/2026 · Europa League
Rating 7.07 (67th pct) · G+A 7 + 1 (33% of team goals) · 54% of minutes
Team 1.62 ppg with (8) · 1.75 without (8)
Rating 6.98 (33th pct) · G+A 4 + 3 (29% of team goals) · 64% of minutes
Team 1.5 ppg with (10) · 2.0 without (6)
Rating 7.02 (56th pct) · G+A 1 + 0 (4% of team goals) · 65% of minutes
Team 1.82 ppg with (11) · 1.4 without (5)
Absences
Nottingham Forest
- injury Eric da Silva Moreira defender · Unknown Injury · 2 missed
- injury John Victor #18 key player goalkeeper · Knee Surgery · 27 missed · until 2026-05-16
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Quarter-finals
- Leg
- 1/2
Venue
- Stadium
- Estádio Do Dragão, Porto
- Capacity
- 50,033
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 46,479
Teams
- Coaches
- Francesco Farioli · Vítor de Oliveira Lopes Pereira
- Position
- 1 · 2
- Formation
- 4-3-3 · 3-4-2-1
Referee
Marco Guida
Weather
- Conditions
- clear sky
- Temperature
- 20.7° (feels 20.6°)
- Wind
- 3.6
- Humidity
- 68%
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2025/2026
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Olympique Lyonnais |
8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 21 | LWWWW |
| 2 |  Aston Villa |
8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 21 | WWWWW |
| 3 |  FC Midtjylland |
8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 19 | WLWDW |
| 4 |  Real Betis |
8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 17 | WWWLW |
| 5 |  Porto |
8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 17 | DWWDW |
| 6 |  Sporting Braga |
8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 17 | LDWWD |
| 7 |  SC Freiburg |
8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 17 | WDWWL |
| 8 |  Roma |
8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 16 | WWWWD |
| 9 |  Genk |
8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 16 | WWLWW |
| 10 |  Bologna |
8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 15 | DWWDW |
| 11 |  VfB Stuttgart |
8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 15 | WWWLW |
| 12 |  Ferencvárosi |
8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 15 | WDWDL |
| 13 |  Nottingham Forest |
8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 14 | DWWLW |
| 14 |  Viktoria Plzeň |
8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 14 | DDDDW |
| 15 |  Crvena Zvezda |
8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 14 | WWWWD |
| 16 |  Celta de Vigo |
8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 13 | WLLWD |
| 17 |  PAOK |
8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 12 | WDDWL |
| 18 |  LOSC Lille |
8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 12 | LWLLW |
| 19 |  Fenerbahçe |
8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 12 | DDWLD |
| 20 |  Panathinaikos |
8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 12 | WWDDD |
| 21 |  Celtic |
8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 11 | LWLDW |
| 22 |  Ludogorets |
8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 10 | LWDLW |
| 23 |  Dinamo Zagreb |
8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 10 | LLLWL |
| 24 |  Brann |
8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 9 | DDLDL |
| 25 |  Young Boys |
8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 9 | LLWLL |
| 26 |  Sturm Graz |
8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 7 | DLLLW |
| 27 |  FCSB |
8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 7 | LLWLD |
| 28 |  Go Ahead Eagles |
8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 7 | LLLLD |
| 29 |  Feyenoord |
8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 6 | LLLWL |
| 30 |  Basel |
8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 6 | WLLLL |
| 31 |  Salzburg |
8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 6 | WLLWL |
| 32 |  Rangers |
8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 4 | LDLWL |
| 33 |  Nice |
8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 3 | LLLWL |
| 34 |  FC Utrecht |
8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 15 | -10 | 1 | DLLLL |
| 35 |  Malmö FF |
8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 15 | -11 | 1 | LLLLL |
| 36 |  Maccabi Tel Aviv |
8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 22 | -20 | 1 | LLLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VfB Stuttgart |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 12 | WWWLW |
| 2 | Olympique Lyonnais |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 12 | LWWWW |
| 3 | Porto |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 12 | DWWDW |
| 4 | FC Midtjylland |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 12 | WLWDW |
| 5 | Aston Villa |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 12 | WWWWW |
| 6 | SC Freiburg |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 12 | WDWWL |
| 7 | Real Betis |
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 10 | WWWLW |
| 8 | Nottingham Forest |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 9 | DWWLW |
| 9 | LOSC Lille |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 9 | LWLLW |
| 10 | Celta de Vigo |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 9 | WLLWD |
| 11 | Sporting Braga |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 9 | LDWWD |
| 12 | PAOK |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 8 | WDDWL |
| 13 | Ferencvárosi |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 8 | WDWDL |
| 14 | Crvena Zvezda |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8 | WWWWD |
| 15 | Fenerbahçe |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | DDWLD |
| 16 | Genk |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | WWLWW |
| 17 | Sturm Graz |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | DLLLW |
| 18 | Brann |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 7 | DDLDL |
| 19 | Ludogorets |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 7 | LWDLW |
| 20 | Bologna |
4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 6 | DWWDW |
| 21 | Viktoria Plzeň |
4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 6 | DDDDW |
| 22 | Salzburg |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 6 | WLLWL |
| 23 | Basel |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 6 | WLLLL |
| 24 | Feyenoord |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 6 | LLLWL |
| 25 | Roma |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 6 | WWWWD |
| 26 | Dinamo Zagreb |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 6 | LLLWL |
| 27 | Celtic |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 6 | LWLDW |
| 28 | Young Boys |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 6 | LLWLL |
| 29 | Panathinaikos |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 5 | WWDDD |
| 30 | FCSB |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 4 | LLWLD |
| 31 | Rangers |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 4 | LDLWL |
| 32 | Go Ahead Eagles |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 4 | LLLLD |
| 33 | Nice |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 3 | LLLWL |
| 34 | Malmö FF |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 1 | LLLLL |
| 35 | FC Utrecht |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 1 | DLLLL |
| 36 | Maccabi Tel Aviv |
4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 15 | -14 | 0 | LLLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Roma |
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 10 | WWWWD |
| 2 | Olympique Lyonnais |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 9 | LWWWW |
| 3 | Bologna |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 9 | DWWDW |
| 4 | Genk |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 9 | WWLWW |
| 5 | Aston Villa |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | WWWWW |
| 6 | Sporting Braga |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 8 | LDWWD |
| 7 | Viktoria Plzeň |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8 | DDDDW |
| 8 | FC Midtjylland |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 7 | WLWDW |
| 9 | Panathinaikos |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 7 | WWDDD |
| 10 | Real Betis |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 7 | WWWLW |
| 11 | Ferencvárosi |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 7 | WDWDL |
| 12 | Crvena Zvezda |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 6 | WWWWD |
| 13 | Fenerbahçe |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 5 | DDWLD |
| 14 | SC Freiburg |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 5 | WDWWL |
| 15 | Celtic |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 5 | LWLDW |
| 16 | Nottingham Forest |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 5 | DWWLW |
| 17 | Porto |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 5 | DWWDW |
| 18 | Celta de Vigo |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 4 | WLLWD |
| 19 | PAOK |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 4 | WDDWL |
| 20 | Dinamo Zagreb |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 4 | LLLWL |
| 21 | VfB Stuttgart |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 3 | WWWLW |
| 22 | LOSC Lille |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 3 | LWLLW |
| 23 | Ludogorets |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 3 | LWDLW |
| 24 | Young Boys |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 3 | LLWLL |
| 25 | Go Ahead Eagles |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 3 | LLLLD |
| 26 | FCSB |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 3 | LLWLD |
| 27 | Brann |
4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 2 | DDLDL |
| 28 | Maccabi Tel Aviv |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -6 | 1 | LLLLL |
| 29 | Feyenoord |
4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 0 | LLLWL |
| 30 | Basel |
4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 0 | WLLLL |
| 31 | FC Utrecht |
4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 0 | DLLLL |
| 32 | Nice |
4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 0 | LLLWL |
| 33 | Rangers |
4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 0 | LDLWL |
| 34 | Salzburg |
4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 0 | WLLWL |
| 35 | Sturm Graz |
4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 9 | -7 | 0 | DLLLW |
| 36 | Malmö FF |
4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 10 | -8 | 0 | LLLLL |
- 8th Finals
- Play-off
Porto
WWWWD 4W 1D 0L · 13 pts (2.6 ppg) · GF 11 GA 4 · xG 6.42–5.5 · xPts 7.65
- D
H
Famalicão
2–2
xG 0.76–1.99
PRT PL - W
A
Sporting Braga
2–1
xG 0.96–1.07
PRT PL
- W
H
VfB Stuttgart
2–0
xG 1.59–1.62
UEFA EL
- W
H
Moreirense
3–0
xG 1.79–0.1
PRT PL - W
A
VfB Stuttgart
2–1
xG 1.33–0.71
UEFA EL
DWWWDWWWWD 7W 3D 0L · 24 pts (2.4 ppg) · GF 19 GA 8 · xG 15.53–10.35 · xPts 16.7
- D
H
Famalicão
2–2
xG 0.76–1.99
PRT PL
- W
A
Sporting Braga
2–1
xG 0.96–1.07
PRT PL
- W
H
VfB Stuttgart
2–0
xG 1.59–1.62
UEFA EL
- W
H
Moreirense
3–0
xG 1.79–0.1
PRT PL
- W
A
VfB Stuttgart
2–1
xG 1.33–0.71
UEFA EL
- D
A
Benfica
2–2
xG 2.16–1.76
PRT PL - W
H
Arouca
3–1
xG 3.22–0.37
PRT PL - W
H
Rio Ave
1–0
xG 2.19–0.48
PRT PL - W
A
Nacional
1–0
xG 0.69–0.77
PRT PL - D
H
Sporting CP
1–1
xG 0.85–1.47
PRT PL
Nottingham Forest
DLDWW 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 7 GA 4 · xG 6.88–6.65 · xPts 7.23
- W
A
Tottenham Hotspur
3–0
xG 1.24–1.41
UK PL - W
A
FC Midtjylland
2–1 won on pens None–None
xG 1.89–0.96
UEFA EL
- D
H
Fulham
0–0
xG 0.88–1.15
UK PL - L
H
FC Midtjylland
0–1
xG 1.83–0.49
UEFA EL
- D
A
Manchester City
2–2
xG 1.04–2.64
UK PL
DWLLLDLDWW 3W 3D 4L · 12 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 12 GA 9 · xG 15.2–12.71 · xPts 15.11
- W
A
Tottenham Hotspur
3–0
xG 1.24–1.41
UK PL
- W
A
FC Midtjylland
2–1 won on pens None–None
xG 1.89–0.96
UEFA EL
- D
H
Fulham
0–0
xG 0.88–1.15
UK PL
- L
H
FC Midtjylland
0–1
xG 1.83–0.49
UEFA EL
- D
A
Manchester City
2–2
xG 1.04–2.64
UK PL
- L
A
Brighton & Hove Albion
1–2
xG 0.85–1.16
UK PL - L
H
Fenerbahçe
1–2
xG 0.78–1.92
UEFA EL
- L
H
Liverpool
0–1
xG 1.21–1.89
UK PL - W
A
Fenerbahçe
3–0
xG 2.25–0.6
UEFA EL
- D
H
Wolverhampton Wanderers
0–0
xG 3.23–0.48
UK PL
All meetings · 3 matches since 2025
Goals 1–4 · 1.67 per match · BTTS 33% · over 2.5 0%
Last 10 · 3 matches
Goals 1–4 · 1.67 per match · BTTS 33% · over 2.5 0%
Last 5 · 3 matches
Goals 1–4 · 1.67 per match · BTTS 33% · over 2.5 0%
Recent meetings
- L Nottingham Forest 1–0 Porto UEFA EL · Quarter-finals · leg 2/2
- D Porto 1–1 Nottingham Forest UEFA EL · Quarter-finals · leg 1/2
- L Nottingham Forest 2–0 Porto UEFA EL · League Stage
| Metric | Porto all · 12 | Porto at home · 6 | Nottingham Forest all · 16 | Nottingham Forest away · 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 12 | 6 | 16 | 8 |
| Points per game | 2.00 | 2.67 | 1.69 | 1.50 |
| W / D / L | 7 / 3 / 2 | 5 / 1 / 0 | 8 / 3 / 5 | 3 / 3 / 2 |
| Goals for / match | 1.50 | 2.17 | 1.50 | 1.25 |
| Goals against / match | 0.83 | 0.67 | 1.00 | 1.25 |
| Clean sheets | 25% | 33% | 44% | 25% |
| Failed to score | 17% | 0% | 25% | 38% |
| Both teams scored | 58% | 67% | 38% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 | 42% | 67% | 56% | 62% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.69 | 1.99 | 1.78 | 1.65 |
| xG against / match | 1.00 | 0.79 | 1.06 | 1.11 |
| xG difference | 0.69 | 1.20 | 0.72 | 0.54 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.19 | 0.18 | -0.28 | -0.40 |
| xPts / match | 1.83 | 2.14 | 1.88 | 1.78 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.17 | 0.53 | -0.19 | -0.28 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 58% | 83% | 50% | 38% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.71 | 2.60 | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| PPG when conceding first | 1.00 | 3.00 | 0.29 | 0.50 |
| Came back from behind | 60% | 100% | 29% | 50% |
| Leads held | 88% | 83% | 89% | 75% |
| Minutes leading | 34% | 55% | 37% | 31% |
| Minutes level | 41% | 41% | 47% | 56% |
| Minutes trailing | 25% | 4% | 16% | 13% |
| First goal (min) | 36 | 16 | 32 | 29 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 30 | 35 | 42 | 43 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 33% | 23% | 46% | 40% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 30% | 25% | 62% | 70% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.25 | 0.17 | 0.25 | 0.13 |
| Late goals against | 0.17 | 0.17 | 0.31 | 0.38 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 52% | 49% | 53% | 49% |
| Shots | 14.3 | 14.0 | 15.6 | 14.0 |
| On target | 5.1 | 5.5 | 5.9 | 5.4 |
| Shot conversion | 10% | 16% | 10% | 9% |
| Shots inside box | 64% | 66% | 64% | 65% |
| Big chances created | 2.8 | 3.8 | 3.0 | 3.0 |
| Corners | 5.1 | 4.5 | 5.6 | 4.9 |
| xG from set plays | 23% | 18% | 41% | 39% |
| Goals from headers | 11% | 15% | 12% | 30% |
| Pressure index | 20.8 | 23.9 | 20.0 | 14.9 |
| Dominant minutes | 57.4 | 59.0 | 60.9 | 53.9 |
| Pass accuracy | 83% | 84% | 85% | 83% |
| Fouls | 11.2 | 11.2 | 13.1 | 14.3 |
| Cards | 2.42 | 1.50 | 1.63 | 1.63 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Porto
0–15'34
16–30'51
31–45'42
46–60'01
61–75'30
76–90'32
Nottingham Forest
0–15'22
16–30'83
31–45'31
46–60'53
61–75'22
76–90'45
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Porto · 7 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.40) · stands out: when level +0.80
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.407
Early press (0-15, level)+0.717
Game state
When ahead+0.146
When level+0.807
When behind+0.193
10 min after conceding+0.203
10 min after scoring+0.616
Situations
At home+0.414
Away+0.393
4+ days rest+0.407
Opposition
v bottom-tier opponents+0.605
As favourite+0.566
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.077
Conceded when ahead+0.126
Conceded late (76+)+0.016
Ahead vs level -0.67 · Behind vs level -0.61
Nottingham Forest · 4 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.06) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.52
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.064
Early press (0-15, level)-0.434
Late push (76+, level)-0.394
Game state
When ahead+0.652
When level-0.094
10 min after conceding-0.523
10 min after scoring+0.742
Situations
At home-0.262
Away+0.372
4+ days rest+0.064
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.372
Evenly matched+0.093
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.004
Conceded when ahead-0.202
Conceded late (76+)-0.354
Ahead vs level +0.75 · Behind vs level -0.62
Porto
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 12 100% | 2.0 | 1.5 | 0.83 | 1.69 | 1.0 |
Nottingham Forest
Current: unbeaten 3 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 6 38% | 2.17 | 2.0 | 0.33 | 1.91 | 0.68 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 3 19% | 1.33 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.41 | 1.16 |
| 4-4-2 | 2 12% | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.73 | 0.83 |
| 4-3-3 | 2 12% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 1.91 | 0.84 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 6% | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.55 |
| Metric | Porto all · 10 | Porto at home · 10 | Nottingham Forest all · 10 | Nottingham Forest away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 2.40 | 2.30 | 1.30 | 1.80 |
| W / D / L | 8 / 0 / 2 | 7 / 2 / 1 | 3 / 4 / 3 | 5 / 3 / 2 |
| Goals for / match | 1.80 | 1.50 | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| Goals against / match | 0.70 | 0.60 | 1.40 | 1.50 |
| Clean sheets | 60% | 60% | 20% | 20% |
| Failed to score | 10% | 10% | 30% | 10% |
| Both teams scored | 30% | 30% | 60% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 | 40% | 20% | 50% | 90% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.96 | 1.85 | 1.57 | 1.45 |
| xG against / match | 1.09 | 1.07 | 1.78 | 2.04 |
| xG difference | 0.87 | 0.78 | -0.21 | -0.59 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.16 | -0.35 | -0.37 | 0.75 |
| xPts / match | 1.86 | 1.79 | 1.34 | 1.11 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.54 | 0.52 | -0.04 | 0.69 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 60% | 80% | 50% | 60% |
| PPG when scoring first | 3.00 | 2.50 | 2.20 | 2.67 |
| PPG when conceding first | 1.50 | 1.50 | 0.25 | 0.50 |
| Came back from behind | 50% | 50% | 25% | 50% |
| Leads held | 100% | 78% | 60% | 83% |
| Minutes leading | 45% | 38% | 23% | 39% |
| Minutes level | 42% | 56% | 60% | 42% |
| Minutes trailing | 14% | 7% | 17% | 19% |
| First goal (min) | 37 | 37 | 45 | 33 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 33 | 34 | 60 | 47 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 50% | 53% | 67% | 54% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 57% | 67% | 86% | 73% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.30 | 0.20 | 0.30 | 0.50 |
| Late goals against | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.60 | 0.50 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 55% | 52% | 45% | 42% |
| Shots | 14.4 | 14.4 | 12.5 | 11.1 |
| On target | 5.1 | 5.6 | 4.0 | 4.7 |
| Shot conversion | 12% | 10% | 10% | 20% |
| Shots inside box | 69% | 68% | 68% | 72% |
| Big chances created | 3.1 | 2.7 | 2.9 | 2.8 |
| Corners | 6.7 | 6.4 | 3.4 | 3.9 |
| xG from set plays | 32% | 32% | 36% | 26% |
| Goals from headers | 29% | 13% | 18% | 23% |
| Pressure index | 16.3 | 16.0 | 10.7 | 9.7 |
| Dominant minutes | 56.6 | 57.3 | 46.0 | 41.1 |
| Pass accuracy | 84% | 84% | 80% | 79% |
| Fouls | 12.7 | 12.1 | 11.7 | 11.4 |
| Cards | 1.00 | 1.70 | 1.80 | 2.40 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Porto
0–15'30
16–30'12
31–45'51
46–60'32
61–75'30
76–90'32
Nottingham Forest
0–15'21
16–30'10
31–45'11
46–60'34
61–75'22
76–90'36
Porto
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 10 100% | 2.4 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 1.96 | 1.09 |
Nottingham Forest
Current: unbeaten 3 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 5 50% | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.58 | 1.25 |
| 4-4-2 | 4 40% | 1.75 | 1.75 | 1.25 | 1.83 | 2.11 |
| 4-4-1-1 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 0.46 | 3.07 |
| Metric | Porto all · 48 | Porto at home · 24 | Nottingham Forest all · 55 | Nottingham Forest away · 28 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 48 | 24 | 55 | 28 |
| Points per game | 2.40 | 2.54 | 1.33 | 1.43 |
| W / D / L | 36 / 7 / 5 | 19 / 4 / 1 | 19 / 16 / 20 | 11 / 7 / 10 |
| Goals for / match | 1.81 | 1.83 | 1.36 | 1.57 |
| Goals against / match | 0.65 | 0.54 | 1.20 | 1.43 |
| Clean sheets | 50% | 54% | 31% | 25% |
| Failed to score | 8% | 8% | 33% | 25% |
| Both teams scored | 44% | 42% | 46% | 54% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 46% | 53% | 68% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.85 | 1.93 | 1.52 | 1.39 |
| xG against / match | 0.86 | 0.79 | 1.40 | 1.61 |
| xG difference | 0.99 | 1.15 | 0.12 | -0.21 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.04 | -0.10 | -0.15 | 0.18 |
| xPts / match | 1.97 | 2.03 | 1.47 | 1.29 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.43 | 0.51 | -0.14 | 0.14 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 73% | 83% | 36% | 43% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.77 | 2.70 | 2.60 | 2.67 |
| PPG when conceding first | 1.42 | 2.00 | 0.53 | 0.47 |
| Came back from behind | 58% | 67% | 33% | 33% |
| Leads held | 90% | 86% | 76% | 79% |
| Minutes leading | 45% | 49% | 24% | 27% |
| Minutes level | 43% | 47% | 53% | 45% |
| Minutes trailing | 12% | 4% | 23% | 28% |
| First goal (min) | 36 | 30 | 38 | 37 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 43 | 48 | 42 | 38 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 52% | 48% | 60% | 59% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 58% | 69% | 54% | 52% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.35 | 0.38 | 0.36 | 0.43 |
| Late goals against | 0.19 | 0.17 | 0.31 | 0.29 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 54% | 53% | 48% | 45% |
| Shots | 14.2 | 14.4 | 14.2 | 12.6 |
| On target | 5.1 | 5.3 | 4.8 | 5.0 |
| Shot conversion | 13% | 13% | 10% | 12% |
| Shots inside box | 66% | 67% | 62% | 65% |
| Big chances created | 2.8 | 3.1 | 2.3 | 2.3 |
| Corners | 5.7 | 5.6 | 5.2 | 4.6 |
| xG from set plays | 32% | 30% | 31% | 30% |
| Goals from headers | 14% | 9% | 19% | 25% |
| Pressure index | 20.0 | 21.1 | 15.3 | 13.6 |
| Dominant minutes | 61.4 | 60.9 | 52.6 | 47.8 |
| Pass accuracy | 84% | 84% | 82% | 81% |
| Fouls | 13.0 | 13.0 | 11.7 | 12.2 |
| Cards | 2.19 | 1.75 | 1.76 | 2.00 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Porto
0–15'145
16–30'114
31–45'174
46–60'147
61–75'142
76–90'179
Nottingham Forest
0–15'98
16–30'119
31–45'1013
46–60'1512
61–75'107
76–90'2017
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Porto · 48 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.47) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.90
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.4748
Early press (0-15, level)+0.5847
Late push (76+, level)+0.3814
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.076
Game state
When ahead+0.4439
When level+0.4947
When behind+0.5012
10 min after conceding+0.2622
10 min after scoring+0.9043
Situations
With ten men+0.404
Against ten men+0.616
At home+0.4124
Away+0.5424
3 days rest or fewer+0.249
4+ days rest+0.5339
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.1711
v mid-tier opponents+0.517
v bottom-tier opponents+0.7216
As favourite+0.6140
Evenly matched-0.065
As underdog-0.323
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.1348
Conceded when ahead-0.0539
Conceded late (76+)-0.2743
Congested vs rested -0.29 · Ahead vs level -0.04 · Behind vs level +0.01
Nottingham Forest · 55 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.17) · stands out: v mid-tier opponents +0.61
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.1755
Early press (0-15, level)+0.0355
Late push (76+, level)-0.0923
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.0423
Game state
When ahead+0.1925
When level+0.1855
When behind+0.1530
10 min after conceding-0.0638
10 min after scoring+0.4737
Situations
With ten men+0.102
At home+0.1027
Away+0.2628
3 days rest or fewer+0.1622
4+ days rest+0.1933
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.0131
v mid-tier opponents+0.6110
v bottom-tier opponents+0.242
As favourite+0.6015
Evenly matched+0.1520
As underdog-0.1220
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.0055
Conceded when ahead+0.0225
Conceded late (76+)-0.2051
Congested vs rested -0.03 · Ahead vs level +0.01 · Behind vs level -0.03
Porto
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 48 100% | 2.4 | 1.81 | 0.65 | 1.85 | 0.86 |
Nottingham Forest
Current: unbeaten 3 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 32 58% | 1.41 | 1.38 | 1.0 | 1.51 | 1.27 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 8 14% | 1.25 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.52 | 1.22 |
| 4-4-2 | 6 11% | 1.67 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.66 | 1.71 |
| 4-3-3 | 2 4% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 1.91 | 0.84 |
| 5-3-2 | 2 4% | 0.5 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 1.41 | 2.07 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.
Latest prices
bet365 · pre-match line -0.1h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
1.95Home 49% P 48%3.3Draw 29% P 29%4.2Away 23% P 23%
Double Chance
1.28FC Porto or Draw 37%1.36FC Porto or Nottm Forest 35%1.66Draw or Nottm Forest 28%
Draw No Bet
1.51 62%2.52 38%
Both Teams To Score
2.1Yes 44%1.66No 56%
Goals Over/Under
2.52.37Over 40% P 39%1.57Under 60% P 61%
Total Corners
9.0Under 6 10%3.16 - 8 29%2.69 - 11 34%4.512 - 14 20%11.0Over 14 8%
Number of Cards
3.51.61Over 58%2.2Under 42%
4.52.2Over 42%1.61Under 58%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 47.5–50% · away 22.5–25% · 808 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 48% | 49% | 47% | -1.9 |
| Draw | 29% | 28% | 29% | +1.7 |
| Away | 23% | 24% | 24% | +0.3 |
In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 54% · over 2.5 48%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 37.5–40% · 1,310 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 39% | 39% | 39% | +0.7 |
Marco Guida
- Career
- 277 matches · 18 seasons
- Cards / match
- 4.94 (4.73 yellow · 0.14 red)
- Fouls / match
- 23.6 · 4.1 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.37
- Cards to home side
- 47%
Style in Europa League (5-year window · 9 matches)
Fewer than 10 matches with card data in this league — averages only: 2.78 cards, 21.6 fouls per match.
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-04 | 4 | 2 | 22 | 0 | 17' | 7 |
| 2026-03-15 | 5 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 55' | 15 |
| 2026-03-10 | 3 | 0 | 23 | 1 | 34' | 9 |
| 2026-02-26 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 40' | 7 |
| 2026-02-22 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 0 | 45' | 5 |
| 2026-02-08 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 33' | 8 |
| 2026-01-28 | 3 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 22' | 6 |
| 2026-01-24 | 5 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 56' | 8 |
| 2026-01-15 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 1 | 90' | 7 |
| 2026-01-11 | 3 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 6' | 6 |