Rating 7.07 (67th pct) · G+A 7 + 1 (33% of team goals) · 54% of minutes
Team 1.62 ppg with (8) · 1.75 without (8)
Europa League · Semi-finals
Momentum
– NFOAston Villa –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
- No events yet.
Stats
Loading statistics…
Season context
| Nottingham Forest | at home | Stat | league | away | Aston Villa |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 52.8 #21 | – | Ball possession | 49.2 | – | 53.5 #17 |
| 15.6 #5 | – | Shots total | 11.3 | – | 12.3 #28 |
| 5.9 #3 | – | Shots on target | 4.0 | – | 5.5 #9 |
| 5.6 #14 | – | Corners | 4.7 | – | 5.1 #23 |
| 13.1 #25 | – | Fouls | 12.6 | – | 12.1 #43 |
| 1.6 #43 | – | Offsides | 1.7 | – | 1.1 #61 |
| 17.2 #11 | – | Tackles | 13.2 | – | 13.7 #36 |
| 105.9 #16 | – | Attacks | 96.6 | – | 80.1 #69 |
| 50.2 #32 | – | Dangerous attacks | 49.2 | – | 45.4 #44 |
| 477.7 #9 | – | Passes | 386.7 | – | 450.1 #15 |
| 1.6 #60 | – | Yellowcards | 2.2 | – | 1.7 #59 |
| 0.1 #25 | – | Redcards | 0.1 | – | – |
| 0.9 #41 | – | Assists | 1.0 | – | 1.6 #6 |
| – #60 | – | Btts | 52.4 | – | – #62 |
| – #19 | – | Cleansheet | 23.8 | – | – #3 |
| – #34 | – | Draw | 21.9 | – | – #51 |
| 1.8 #6 | – | Expected goals | 1.1 | – | 1.7 #8 |
| -0.3 #47 | – | Expected goals difference | 0.1 | – | 0.4 #14 |
| – #43 | – | Failed to score | 33.0 | – | – #61 |
| 1.5 #20 | 1.8 | Goals | 1.1 | 1.6 | 2.1 #3 |
| 1.0 #56 | 0.8 | Goals conceded | 1.5 | 0.6 | 0.5 #71 |
| – | – | Injury time goals | 0.3 | – | 0.2 #27 |
| 9.6 #15 | – | Interceptions | 8.1 | – | 7.1 #40 |
| – #55 | – | Lost | 48.5 | – | – #72 |
| 0.3 #10 | – | Penalties scored | 0.2 | – | 0.1 #23 |
| 6.9 #5 | – | Rating | 6.6 | – | 6.9 #3 |
| 3.9 #14 | – | Shots blocked | 2.8 | – | 3.1 #31 |
| 9.9 #6 | – | Shots insidebox | 6.8 | – | 8.5 #13 |
| 5.8 #24 | – | Shots off target | 5.3 | – | 3.8 #66 |
| 5.7 #10 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.1 | – | 3.7 #32 |
| – #9 | – | Win | 29.6 | – | – #1 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 77.
League this season · 2025/2026
- Played
- 271 of 271
- Goals / match
- 2.69 (home 1.51 · away 1.18)
- Home / draw / away
- 48% · 19% · 32%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 50% · 53%
- Cards / match
- 4.47 (reds 0.11)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Nottingham Forest · 2025/2026 · Europa League
Rating 6.98 (33th pct) · G+A 4 + 3 (29% of team goals) · 64% of minutes
Team 1.5 ppg with (10) · 2.0 without (6)
Rating 7.02 (56th pct) · G+A 1 + 0 (4% of team goals) · 65% of minutes
Team 1.82 ppg with (11) · 1.4 without (5)
Aston Villa · 2025/2026 · Europa League
Rating 7.12 (89th pct) · G+A 4 + 6 (32% of team goals) · 74% of minutes
Rating 7.06 (67th pct) · G+A 5 + 2 (23% of team goals) · 53% of minutes
Team 2.62 ppg with (8) · 2.57 without (7)
Rating 7.09 (78th pct) · G+A 0 + 0 (0% of team goals) · 58% of minutes
Team 2.4 ppg with (10) · 3.0 without (5)
Absences
Nottingham Forest
- injury Eric da Silva Moreira defender · Unknown Injury · 2 missed
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Semi-finals
- Leg
- 1/2
Venue
- Stadium
- The City Ground, Nottingham
- Capacity
- 30,445
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 29,790
Teams
- Coaches
- Vítor de Oliveira Lopes Pereira · Unai Emery
- Position
- 1 · 2
- Formation
- 4-4-2 · 4-2-3-1
Referee
João Pedro Silva Pinheiro
Weather
- Conditions
- clear sky
- Temperature
- 11.3° (feels 9.9°)
- Wind
- 4.6
- Humidity
- 53%
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2025/2026
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Olympique Lyonnais |
8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 21 | LWWWW |
| 2 |  Aston Villa |
8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 21 | WWWWW |
| 3 |  FC Midtjylland |
8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 19 | WLWDW |
| 4 |  Real Betis |
8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 17 | WWWLW |
| 5 |  Porto |
8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 17 | DWWDW |
| 6 |  Sporting Braga |
8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 17 | LDWWD |
| 7 |  SC Freiburg |
8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 17 | WDWWL |
| 8 |  Roma |
8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 16 | WWWWD |
| 9 |  Genk |
8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 16 | WWLWW |
| 10 |  Bologna |
8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 15 | DWWDW |
| 11 |  VfB Stuttgart |
8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 15 | WWWLW |
| 12 |  Ferencvárosi |
8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 15 | WDWDL |
| 13 |  Nottingham Forest |
8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 14 | DWWLW |
| 14 |  Viktoria Plzeň |
8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 14 | DDDDW |
| 15 |  Crvena Zvezda |
8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 14 | WWWWD |
| 16 |  Celta de Vigo |
8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 13 | WLLWD |
| 17 |  PAOK |
8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 12 | WDDWL |
| 18 |  LOSC Lille |
8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 12 | LWLLW |
| 19 |  Fenerbahçe |
8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 12 | DDWLD |
| 20 |  Panathinaikos |
8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 12 | WWDDD |
| 21 |  Celtic |
8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 11 | LWLDW |
| 22 |  Ludogorets |
8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 10 | LWDLW |
| 23 |  Dinamo Zagreb |
8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 10 | LLLWL |
| 24 |  Brann |
8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 9 | DDLDL |
| 25 |  Young Boys |
8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 9 | LLWLL |
| 26 |  Sturm Graz |
8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 7 | DLLLW |
| 27 |  FCSB |
8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 7 | LLWLD |
| 28 |  Go Ahead Eagles |
8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 7 | LLLLD |
| 29 |  Feyenoord |
8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 6 | LLLWL |
| 30 |  Basel |
8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 6 | WLLLL |
| 31 |  Salzburg |
8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 6 | WLLWL |
| 32 |  Rangers |
8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 4 | LDLWL |
| 33 |  Nice |
8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 3 | LLLWL |
| 34 |  FC Utrecht |
8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 15 | -10 | 1 | DLLLL |
| 35 |  Malmö FF |
8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 15 | -11 | 1 | LLLLL |
| 36 |  Maccabi Tel Aviv |
8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 22 | -20 | 1 | LLLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VfB Stuttgart |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 12 | WWWLW |
| 2 | Olympique Lyonnais |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 12 | LWWWW |
| 3 | Porto |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 12 | DWWDW |
| 4 | FC Midtjylland |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 12 | WLWDW |
| 5 | Aston Villa |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 12 | WWWWW |
| 6 | SC Freiburg |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 12 | WDWWL |
| 7 | Real Betis |
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 10 | WWWLW |
| 8 | Nottingham Forest |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 9 | DWWLW |
| 9 | LOSC Lille |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 9 | LWLLW |
| 10 | Celta de Vigo |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 9 | WLLWD |
| 11 | Sporting Braga |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 9 | LDWWD |
| 12 | PAOK |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 8 | WDDWL |
| 13 | Ferencvárosi |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 8 | WDWDL |
| 14 | Crvena Zvezda |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8 | WWWWD |
| 15 | Fenerbahçe |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | DDWLD |
| 16 | Genk |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | WWLWW |
| 17 | Sturm Graz |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | DLLLW |
| 18 | Brann |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 7 | DDLDL |
| 19 | Ludogorets |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 7 | LWDLW |
| 20 | Bologna |
4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 6 | DWWDW |
| 21 | Viktoria Plzeň |
4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 6 | DDDDW |
| 22 | Salzburg |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 6 | WLLWL |
| 23 | Basel |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 6 | WLLLL |
| 24 | Feyenoord |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 6 | LLLWL |
| 25 | Roma |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 6 | WWWWD |
| 26 | Dinamo Zagreb |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 6 | LLLWL |
| 27 | Celtic |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 6 | LWLDW |
| 28 | Young Boys |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 6 | LLWLL |
| 29 | Panathinaikos |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 5 | WWDDD |
| 30 | FCSB |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 4 | LLWLD |
| 31 | Rangers |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 4 | LDLWL |
| 32 | Go Ahead Eagles |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 4 | LLLLD |
| 33 | Nice |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 3 | LLLWL |
| 34 | Malmö FF |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 1 | LLLLL |
| 35 | FC Utrecht |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 1 | DLLLL |
| 36 | Maccabi Tel Aviv |
4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 15 | -14 | 0 | LLLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Roma |
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 10 | WWWWD |
| 2 | Olympique Lyonnais |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 9 | LWWWW |
| 3 | Bologna |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 9 | DWWDW |
| 4 | Genk |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 9 | WWLWW |
| 5 | Aston Villa |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | WWWWW |
| 6 | Sporting Braga |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 8 | LDWWD |
| 7 | Viktoria Plzeň |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8 | DDDDW |
| 8 | FC Midtjylland |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 7 | WLWDW |
| 9 | Panathinaikos |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 7 | WWDDD |
| 10 | Real Betis |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 7 | WWWLW |
| 11 | Ferencvárosi |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 7 | WDWDL |
| 12 | Crvena Zvezda |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 6 | WWWWD |
| 13 | Fenerbahçe |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 5 | DDWLD |
| 14 | SC Freiburg |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 5 | WDWWL |
| 15 | Celtic |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 5 | LWLDW |
| 16 | Nottingham Forest |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 5 | DWWLW |
| 17 | Porto |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 5 | DWWDW |
| 18 | Celta de Vigo |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 4 | WLLWD |
| 19 | PAOK |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 4 | WDDWL |
| 20 | Dinamo Zagreb |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 4 | LLLWL |
| 21 | VfB Stuttgart |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 3 | WWWLW |
| 22 | LOSC Lille |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 3 | LWLLW |
| 23 | Ludogorets |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 3 | LWDLW |
| 24 | Young Boys |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 3 | LLWLL |
| 25 | Go Ahead Eagles |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 3 | LLLLD |
| 26 | FCSB |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 3 | LLWLD |
| 27 | Brann |
4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 2 | DDLDL |
| 28 | Maccabi Tel Aviv |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -6 | 1 | LLLLL |
| 29 | Feyenoord |
4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 0 | LLLWL |
| 30 | Basel |
4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 0 | WLLLL |
| 31 | FC Utrecht |
4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 0 | DLLLL |
| 32 | Nice |
4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 0 | LLLWL |
| 33 | Rangers |
4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 0 | LDLWL |
| 34 | Salzburg |
4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 0 | WLLWL |
| 35 | Sturm Graz |
4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 9 | -7 | 0 | DLLLW |
| 36 | Malmö FF |
4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 10 | -8 | 0 | LLLLL |
- 8th Finals
- Play-off
Nottingham Forest
DDWWW 3W 2D 0L · 11 pts (2.2 ppg) · GF 12 GA 3 · xG 6.06–5.45 · xPts 7.34
- W
A
Sunderland
5–0
xG 0.89–0.94
UK PL - W
H
Burnley
4–1
xG 1.41–0.5
UK PL - W
H
Porto
1–0
xG 2.11–0.71
UEFA EL
- D
H
Aston Villa
1–1
xG 1.13–1.27
UK PL
- D
A
Porto
1–1
xG 0.51–2.04
UEFA EL
DLDWWDDWWW 5W 4D 1L · 19 pts (1.9 ppg) · GF 19 GA 7 · xG 12.94–12.1 · xPts 14.57
- W
A
Sunderland
5–0
xG 0.89–0.94
UK PL
- W
H
Burnley
4–1
xG 1.41–0.5
UK PL
- W
H
Porto
1–0
xG 2.11–0.71
UEFA EL
- D
H
Aston Villa
1–1
xG 1.13–1.27
UK PL
- D
A
Porto
1–1
xG 0.51–2.04
UEFA EL
- W
A
Tottenham Hotspur
3–0
xG 1.24–1.41
UK PL - W
A
FC Midtjylland
2–1 won on pens None–None
xG 1.89–0.96
UEFA EL
- D
H
Fulham
0–0
xG 0.88–1.15
UK PL - L
H
FC Midtjylland
0–1
xG 1.83–0.49
UEFA EL
- D
A
Manchester City
2–2
xG 1.04–2.64
UK PL
Aston Villa
WDWWL 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 12 GA 6 · xG 8.3–6.06 · xPts 8.07
- L
A
Fulham
0–1
xG 0.94–1.36
UK PL
- W
H
Sunderland
4–3
xG 2.7–1.14
UK PL
- W
H
Bologna
4–0
xG 2.41–1.27
UEFA EL
- D
A
Nottingham Forest
1–1
xG 1.27–1.13
UK PL
- W
A
Bologna
3–1
xG 0.99–1.15
UEFA EL
LWLWWWDWWL 6W 1D 3L · 19 pts (1.9 ppg) · GF 19 GA 13 · xG 14.06–12.2 · xPts 15.0
- L
A
Fulham
0–1
xG 0.94–1.36
UK PL
- W
H
Sunderland
4–3
xG 2.7–1.14
UK PL
- W
H
Bologna
4–0
xG 2.41–1.27
UEFA EL
- D
A
Nottingham Forest
1–1
xG 1.27–1.13
UK PL
- W
A
Bologna
3–1
xG 0.99–1.15
UEFA EL
- W
H
West Ham United
2–0
xG 2.22–1.03
UK PL - W
H
LOSC Lille
2–0
xG 1.06–0.46
UEFA EL
- L
A
Manchester United
1–3
xG 0.76–1.24
UK PL - W
A
LOSC Lille
1–0
xG 0.67–0.39
UEFA EL
- L
H
Chelsea
1–4
xG 1.05–3.03
UK PL
All meetings · 17 matches since 2016
Goals 24–33 · 3.35 per match · BTTS 71% · over 2.5 65%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 12–18 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 5–9 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%
Recent meetings
- W Aston Villa 1–2 Nottingham Forest UK PL · Regular Season
- L Aston Villa 4–0 Nottingham Forest UEFA EL · Semi-finals · leg 2/2
- W Nottingham Forest 1–0 Aston Villa UEFA EL · Semi-finals · leg 1/2
- D Nottingham Forest 1–1 Aston Villa UK PL · Regular Season
- L Aston Villa 3–1 Nottingham Forest UK PL · Regular Season
- L Aston Villa 2–1 Nottingham Forest UK PL · Regular Season
- W Nottingham Forest 2–1 Aston Villa UK PL · Regular Season
- L Aston Villa 4–2 Nottingham Forest UK PL · Regular Season
- W Nottingham Forest 2–0 Aston Villa UK PL · Regular Season
- L Aston Villa 2–0 Nottingham Forest UK PL · Regular Season
| Metric | Nottingham Forest all · 16 | Nottingham Forest at home · 8 | Aston Villa all · 15 | Aston Villa away · 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 16 | 8 | 15 | 8 |
| Points per game | 1.69 | 1.88 | 2.60 | 2.25 |
| W / D / L | 8 / 3 / 5 | 5 / 0 / 3 | 13 / 0 / 2 | 6 / 0 / 2 |
| Goals for / match | 1.50 | 1.75 | 2.07 | 1.63 |
| Goals against / match | 1.00 | 0.75 | 0.53 | 0.63 |
| Clean sheets | 44% | 62% | 60% | 50% |
| Failed to score | 25% | 12% | 7% | 12% |
| Both teams scored | 38% | 25% | 33% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 | 56% | 50% | 53% | 50% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.78 | 1.91 | 1.66 | 1.26 |
| xG against / match | 1.06 | 1.00 | 0.96 | 0.91 |
| xG difference | 0.72 | 0.91 | 0.71 | 0.35 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.28 | -0.16 | 0.41 | 0.37 |
| xPts / match | 1.88 | 1.98 | 1.79 | 1.56 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.19 | -0.10 | 0.81 | 0.69 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 50% | 62% | 87% | 88% |
| PPG when scoring first | 3.00 | 3.00 | 2.77 | 2.57 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.29 | 0.00 | 1.50 | 0.00 |
| Came back from behind | 29% | 0% | 33% | 0% |
| Leads held | 89% | 100% | 93% | 86% |
| Minutes leading | 37% | 42% | 49% | 44% |
| Minutes level | 47% | 37% | 44% | 50% |
| Minutes trailing | 16% | 21% | 7% | 7% |
| First goal (min) | 32 | 34 | 36 | 35 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 42 | 40 | 60 | 59 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 46% | 50% | 55% | 54% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 62% | 50% | 62% | 60% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.25 | 0.38 | 0.53 | 0.25 |
| Late goals against | 0.31 | 0.25 | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 53% | 57% | 54% | 52% |
| Shots | 15.6 | 17.3 | 12.3 | 10.9 |
| On target | 5.9 | 6.5 | 5.5 | 4.1 |
| Shot conversion | 10% | 10% | 17% | 15% |
| Shots inside box | 64% | 63% | 70% | 67% |
| Big chances created | 3.0 | 3.0 | 3.1 | 2.8 |
| Corners | 5.6 | 6.4 | 5.1 | 5.0 |
| xG from set plays | 41% | 43% | 37% | 31% |
| Goals from headers | 12% | 0% | 16% | 23% |
| Pressure index | 20.0 | 25.0 | 19.3 | 17.4 |
| Dominant minutes | 60.9 | 67.9 | 60.9 | 57.5 |
| Pass accuracy | 85% | 86% | 85% | 86% |
| Fouls | 13.1 | 11.9 | 12.1 | 12.6 |
| Cards | 1.63 | 1.63 | 1.60 | 2.38 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Nottingham Forest
0–15'22
16–30'83
31–45'31
46–60'53
61–75'22
76–90'45
Aston Villa
0–15'30
16–30'40
31–45'73
46–60'61
61–75'32
76–90'82
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Nottingham Forest · 4 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.06) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.52
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.064
Early press (0-15, level)-0.434
Late push (76+, level)-0.394
Game state
When ahead+0.652
When level-0.094
10 min after conceding-0.523
10 min after scoring+0.742
Situations
At home-0.262
Away+0.372
4+ days rest+0.064
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.372
Evenly matched+0.093
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.004
Conceded when ahead-0.202
Conceded late (76+)-0.354
Ahead vs level +0.75 · Behind vs level -0.62
Aston Villa · 5 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.10) · stands out: when behind -0.62
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.105
Early press (0-15, level)+0.455
Late push (76+, level)+0.352
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.762
Game state
When level+0.125
When behind-0.623
10 min after conceding-0.484
10 min after scoring+0.382
Situations
At home-0.392
Away+0.163
4+ days rest-0.134
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.353
Evenly matched-0.133
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.175
Conceded late (76+)-0.064
Congested vs rested +0.11 · Ahead vs level -0.22 · Behind vs level -0.74
Nottingham Forest
Current: unbeaten 3 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 6 38% | 2.17 | 2.0 | 0.33 | 1.91 | 0.68 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 3 19% | 1.33 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.41 | 1.16 |
| 4-4-2 | 2 12% | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.73 | 0.83 |
| 4-3-3 | 2 12% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 1.91 | 0.84 |
| 4-4-1-1 | 1 6% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 0.46 | 3.07 |
Aston Villa
Current: winless 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 15 100% | 2.6 | 2.07 | 0.53 | 1.66 | 0.96 |
| Metric | Nottingham Forest all · 10 | Nottingham Forest at home · 10 | Aston Villa all · 10 | Aston Villa away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 1.30 | 1.40 | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| W / D / L | 3 / 4 / 3 | 3 / 5 / 2 | 4 / 2 / 4 | 3 / 3 / 4 |
| Goals for / match | 1.20 | 0.90 | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals against / match | 1.40 | 0.60 | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 40% | 20% | 20% |
| Failed to score | 30% | 40% | 30% | 40% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 40% | 60% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 10% | 80% | 60% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.57 | 1.41 | 1.41 | 1.36 |
| xG against / match | 1.78 | 0.94 | 1.49 | 1.43 |
| xG difference | -0.21 | 0.47 | -0.07 | -0.06 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.37 | -0.51 | 0.25 | -0.14 |
| xPts / match | 1.34 | 1.68 | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.04 | -0.28 | 0.15 | -0.07 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 50% | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.20 | 2.33 | 3.00 | 2.33 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.25 | 1.00 | 0.67 | 0.67 |
| Came back from behind | 25% | 60% | 33% | 33% |
| Leads held | 60% | 75% | 80% | 60% |
| Minutes leading | 23% | 15% | 22% | 19% |
| Minutes level | 60% | 78% | 50% | 52% |
| Minutes trailing | 17% | 6% | 28% | 29% |
| First goal (min) | 45 | 51 | 43 | 35 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 60 | 61 | 29 | 29 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 67% | 67% | 50% | 33% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 86% | 67% | 50% | 29% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.30 | 0.30 | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| Late goals against | 0.60 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 45% | 49% | 47% | 51% |
| Shots | 12.5 | 14.5 | 13.0 | 13.4 |
| On target | 4.0 | 4.1 | 4.6 | 4.2 |
| Shot conversion | 10% | 6% | 12% | 9% |
| Shots inside box | 68% | 61% | 68% | 69% |
| Big chances created | 2.9 | 1.9 | 3.1 | 2.9 |
| Corners | 3.4 | 4.9 | 4.5 | 4.8 |
| xG from set plays | 36% | 28% | 31% | 29% |
| Goals from headers | 18% | 12% | 12% | 8% |
| Pressure index | 10.7 | 12.6 | 11.8 | 13.2 |
| Dominant minutes | 46.0 | 54.1 | 45.9 | 50.5 |
| Pass accuracy | 80% | 81% | 84% | 85% |
| Fouls | 11.7 | 12.0 | 10.7 | 10.0 |
| Cards | 1.80 | 1.30 | 2.20 | 1.90 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Nottingham Forest
0–15'21
16–30'10
31–45'11
46–60'34
61–75'22
76–90'36
Aston Villa
0–15'12
16–30'15
31–45'61
46–60'44
61–75'32
76–90'12
Nottingham Forest
Current: unbeaten 3 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 5 50% | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.58 | 1.25 |
| 4-4-2 | 4 40% | 1.75 | 1.75 | 1.25 | 1.83 | 2.11 |
| 4-4-1-1 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 0.46 | 3.07 |
Aston Villa
Current: winless 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 10 100% | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.41 | 1.49 |
| Metric | Nottingham Forest all · 55 | Nottingham Forest at home · 27 | Aston Villa all · 57 | Aston Villa away · 30 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 55 | 27 | 57 | 30 |
| Points per game | 1.33 | 1.22 | 1.91 | 1.70 |
| W / D / L | 19 / 16 / 20 | 8 / 9 / 10 | 34 / 7 / 16 | 15 / 6 / 9 |
| Goals for / match | 1.36 | 1.15 | 1.67 | 1.43 |
| Goals against / match | 1.20 | 0.96 | 1.19 | 1.33 |
| Clean sheets | 31% | 37% | 30% | 23% |
| Failed to score | 33% | 41% | 18% | 23% |
| Both teams scored | 46% | 37% | 56% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 | 53% | 37% | 58% | 57% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.52 | 1.64 | 1.46 | 1.29 |
| xG against / match | 1.40 | 1.19 | 1.25 | 1.39 |
| xG difference | 0.12 | 0.46 | 0.21 | -0.10 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.15 | -0.50 | 0.22 | 0.15 |
| xPts / match | 1.47 | 1.66 | 1.51 | 1.31 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.14 | -0.44 | 0.44 | 0.45 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 36% | 30% | 56% | 43% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.60 | 2.50 | 2.53 | 2.31 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.53 | 0.60 | 1.13 | 1.27 |
| Came back from behind | 33% | 33% | 38% | 44% |
| Leads held | 76% | 73% | 83% | 75% |
| Minutes leading | 24% | 21% | 32% | 26% |
| Minutes level | 53% | 62% | 48% | 52% |
| Minutes trailing | 23% | 18% | 20% | 22% |
| First goal (min) | 38 | 38 | 40 | 39 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 42 | 46 | 40 | 37 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 60% | 61% | 56% | 54% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 54% | 58% | 56% | 50% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.36 | 0.30 | 0.39 | 0.27 |
| Late goals against | 0.31 | 0.33 | 0.23 | 0.17 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 48% | 51% | 52% | 52% |
| Shots | 14.2 | 15.7 | 12.7 | 11.9 |
| On target | 4.8 | 4.6 | 4.8 | 4.3 |
| Shot conversion | 10% | 7% | 13% | 12% |
| Shots inside box | 62% | 60% | 65% | 65% |
| Big chances created | 2.3 | 2.2 | 2.6 | 2.6 |
| Corners | 5.2 | 5.8 | 5.0 | 4.7 |
| xG from set plays | 31% | 32% | 29% | 27% |
| Goals from headers | 19% | 10% | 17% | 19% |
| Pressure index | 15.3 | 17.0 | 15.0 | 14.3 |
| Dominant minutes | 52.6 | 57.6 | 52.0 | 48.8 |
| Pass accuracy | 82% | 83% | 85% | 85% |
| Fouls | 11.7 | 11.1 | 10.6 | 10.5 |
| Cards | 1.76 | 1.52 | 1.67 | 1.97 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Nottingham Forest
0–15'98
16–30'119
31–45'1013
46–60'1512
61–75'107
76–90'2017
Aston Villa
0–15'99
16–30'128
31–45'2113
46–60'1714
61–75'1411
76–90'2213
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Nottingham Forest · 55 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.17) · stands out: v mid-tier opponents +0.61
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.1755
Early press (0-15, level)+0.0355
Late push (76+, level)-0.0923
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.0423
Game state
When ahead+0.1925
When level+0.1855
When behind+0.1530
10 min after conceding-0.0638
10 min after scoring+0.4737
Situations
With ten men+0.102
At home+0.1027
Away+0.2628
3 days rest or fewer+0.1622
4+ days rest+0.1933
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.0131
v mid-tier opponents+0.6110
v bottom-tier opponents+0.242
As favourite+0.6015
Evenly matched+0.1520
As underdog-0.1220
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.0055
Conceded when ahead+0.0225
Conceded late (76+)-0.2051
Congested vs rested -0.03 · Ahead vs level +0.01 · Behind vs level -0.03
Aston Villa · 57 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.19) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.48
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.1957
Early press (0-15, level)+0.2157
Late push (76+, level)+0.3316
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.0615
Game state
When ahead+0.2541
When level+0.2357
When behind+0.0126
10 min after conceding-0.0940
10 min after scoring+0.4846
Situations
Against ten men+0.102
At home+0.1627
Away+0.2230
3 days rest or fewer+0.1020
4+ days rest+0.2537
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.0733
v mid-tier opponents+0.2213
v bottom-tier opponents+0.262
As favourite+0.4025
Evenly matched+0.0822
As underdog-0.0510
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.0457
Conceded when ahead-0.1741
Conceded late (76+)-0.2652
Congested vs rested -0.15 · Ahead vs level +0.02 · Behind vs level -0.22
Nottingham Forest
Current: unbeaten 3 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 32 58% | 1.41 | 1.38 | 1.0 | 1.51 | 1.27 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 8 14% | 1.25 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.52 | 1.22 |
| 4-4-2 | 6 11% | 1.67 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.66 | 1.71 |
| 5-3-2 | 2 4% | 0.5 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 1.41 | 2.07 |
| 4-3-3 | 2 4% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 1.91 | 0.84 |
Aston Villa
Current: winless 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 53 93% | 1.83 | 1.6 | 1.23 | 1.45 | 1.22 |
| 4-4-2 | 3 5% | 3.0 | 2.67 | 0.67 | 1.66 | 2.08 |
| 4-2-2-2 | 1 2% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.37 | 0.4 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.
Latest prices
bet365 · pre-match line -0.0h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
2.9Home 33% P 32%3.25Draw 29% P 30%2.5Away 38% P 38%
Double Chance
1.5Nottm Forest or Draw 31%1.33Nottm Forest or Aston Villa 35%1.4Draw or Aston Villa 33%
Draw No Bet
1.91 49%1.82 51%
Both Teams To Score
1.8Yes 52%1.95No 48%
Goals Over/Under
2.52.0Over 47% P 44%1.8Under 53% P 56%
Total Corners
10.0Under 6 9%3.26 - 8 28%2.69 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%
Number of Cards
3.51.83Over 50% P 52%1.83Under 50% P 48%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 30–32.5% · away 37.5–40% · 556 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 32% | 31% | 31% | -0.2 |
| Draw | 30% | 30% | 31% | +1.5 |
| Away | 38% | 39% | 38% | -1.3 |
In those fixtures: 2.4 goals a game · BTTS 52% · over 2.5 44%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 42.5–45% · 2,473 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 44% | 44% | 43% | -1.2 |
João Pedro Silva Pinheiro
- Career
- 234 matches · 12 seasons
- Cards / match
- 4.91 (4.7 yellow · 0.12 red)
- Fouls / match
- 27.5 · 5.6 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.34
- Cards to home side
- 51%
Style in Europa League (5-year window · 14 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 3.86 | 4.72 | -1.00 | 15 |
| Fouls / match | 21.9 | 24.1 | -1.00 | |
| Fouls per card | 5.7 | 5.1 | +0.51 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.43 | 0.33 | +0.77 | 79 |
| Time added | 5.9 | 6.6 | -0.85 | 19 |
- First card
- 40' on average
- Card timing
- 17% in first 30' · 33% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 40% (league 46%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.0
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-19 | 3 | 0 | 21 | 2 | 36' | 9 |
| 2026-04-16 | 9 | 1 | 23 | 1 | 19' | 7 |
| 2026-03-22 | 3 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 24' | 7 |
| 2026-03-08 | 10 | 1 | 28 | 0 | 26' | 13 |
| 2026-02-25 | 7 | 1 | 31 | 1 | 14' | 14 |
| 2026-02-21 | 5 | 0 | 28 | 1 | 14' | 11 |
| 2026-02-18 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 13' | 12 |
| 2026-01-28 | 7 | 1 | 21 | 0 | 7' | 4 |
| 2026-01-24 | 4 | 0 | 35 | 0 | 18' | 6 |
| 2026-01-20 | 4 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 72' | 4 |