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Europa Conference League · Quarter-finals Strasbourg went through · After Full Time

Momentum

StrasbourgFSV Mainz 05
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Quarter-finals
Leg
2/2

Venue

Stadium
Stade de la Meinau, Strasbourg
Capacity
29,200
Surface
grass

Teams

Coaches
Gary O'Neil · Urs Fischer
Position
2 · 1
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 3-5-2

Referee

João Pedro Silva Pinheiro

Weather

Conditions
few clouds
Temperature
12.2° (feels 11.6°)
Wind
1.7
Humidity
80%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Strasbourg 6510 1156 16 DWWWW
2 Raków Częstochowa 6420 927 14 DDWWW
3 AEK Athens 6411 1477 13 WDWWW
4 Sparta Praha 6411 1037 13 LDWWW
5 Rayo Vallecano 6411 1376 13 DWLWW
6 Shakhtar Donetsk 6411 1055 13 LWWWD
7 FSV Mainz 05 6411 734 13 WWLDW
8 AEK Larnaca 6330 716 12 WDDDW
9 Lausanne Sport 6321 633 11 WDLDW
10 Crystal Palace 6312 1165 10 LWLWD
11 Lech Poznań 6312 1284 10 LLWDW
12 Samsunspor 6312 1064 10 WWDLL
13 Celje 6312 871 10 WWLLD
14 AZ Alkmaar 6312 770 10 WLWWD
15 Fiorentina 6303 853 9 WLLWL
16 Rijeka 6231 523 9 WDDWD
17 Jagiellonia Białystok 6231 541 9 DDWLD
18 Omonia Nicosia 6222 541 8 DDWWL
19 Noah 6222 67-1 8 DLDWL
20 Drita 6222 48-4 8 DWWLL
21 KuPS 6141 651 7 DWLDD
22 Skendija 79 6213 45-1 7 WDLWL
23 Zrinjski 6213 810-2 7 LLWLD
24 Sigma Olomouc 6213 79-2 7 DWWLL
25 Universitatea Craiova 6213 68-2 7 DWWLL
26 Lincoln Red Imps 6213 715-8 7 WDLWL
27 Dynamo Kyiv 6204 990 6 LWLLW
28 Legia Warszawa 6204 880 6 WLLLW
29 Slovan Bratislava 6204 59-4 6 LLWLW
30 Breidablik 6123 611-5 5 DLDWL
31 Shamrock Rovers 6114 713-6 4 LDLLW
32 Häcken 6033 58-3 3 DLLDL
33 Hamrun Spartans 6105 411-7 3 LLWLL
34 Shelbourne 6024 07-7 2 LLLLD
35 Aberdeen 6024 314-11 2 LDDLL
36 SK Rapid 6015 314-11 1 LLLLD
  • 8th Finals
  • Play-off

Strasbourg

DDWWL 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 7 GA 6 · xG 9.29–5.39 · xPts 9.12

  • L A FSV Mainz 05 0–2 xG 1.08–1.55 UEFA ECL
  • W H Nice 3–1 xG 3.08–0.56 FRA L1
  • W A Nantes 3–2 xG 2.11–1.39 FRA L1
  • D H Rijeka 1–1 xG 1.64–1.25 UEFA ECL
  • D H Paris 0–0 xG 1.37–0.65 FRA L1

FSV Mainz 05

WWWWL 4W 0D 1L · 12 pts (2.4 ppg) · GF 8 GA 3 · xG 7.36–5.03 · xPts 8.41

  • L H SC Freiburg 0–1 xG 0.74–0.61 GER BI
  • W H Strasbourg 2–0 xG 1.55–1.08 UEFA ECL
  • W A TSG Hoffenheim 2–1 xG 1.67–1.43 GER BI
  • W H Eintracht Frankfurt 2–1 xG 1.43–1.4 GER BI
  • W H Sigma Olomouc 2–0 xG 1.98–0.51 UEFA ECL

All meetings · 2 matches since 2026

Strasbourg 10 draws1 FSV Mainz 05

Goals 4–2 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 2 matches

Strasbourg 10 draws1 FSV Mainz 05

Goals 4–2 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 2 matches

Strasbourg 10 draws1 FSV Mainz 05

Goals 4–2 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 50%

Recent meetings

  • W Strasbourg 4–0 FSV Mainz 05 UEFA ECL · Quarter-finals · leg 2/2
  • L FSV Mainz 05 2–0 Strasbourg UEFA ECL · Quarter-finals · leg 1/2
MetricStrasbourg all · 14Strasbourg at home · 7FSV Mainz 05 all · 12FSV Mainz 05 away · 6
Results
Matches147126
Points per game1.931.711.920.83
W / D / L8 / 3 / 33 / 3 / 17 / 2 / 31 / 2 / 3
Goals for / match1.501.571.330.50
Goals against / match0.930.710.831.33
Clean sheets21%29%50%33%
Failed to score29%29%25%50%
Both teams scored57%57%33%33%
Over 2.550%43%33%33%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.762.381.520.91
xG against / match1.271.001.341.83
xG difference0.481.380.19-0.92
Finishing vs xG-0.26-0.81-0.19-0.41
xPts / match1.622.151.520.92
Points vs xPts0.31-0.430.40-0.08
Game state
Scored first50%29%67%50%
PPG when scoring first3.003.002.381.33
PPG when conceding first0.831.251.000.00
Came back from behind50%75%25%0%
Leads held100%100%78%33%
Minutes leading37%18%31%8%
Minutes level43%59%56%76%
Minutes trailing20%23%13%16%
First goal (min)34483943
First goal conceded (min)45373844
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half52%73%44%33%
Goals conceded in 2nd half46%20%40%50%
Late goals for (76'+)0.290.570.170.00
Late goals against0.140.000.080.17
Style
Possession57%60%49%49%
Shots11.013.613.610.7
On target4.95.74.02.5
Shot conversion14%12%10%5%
Shots inside box71%72%71%66%
Big chances created3.13.62.31.0
Corners4.66.15.65.0
xG from set plays19%19%31%32%
Goals from headers15%20%19%0%
Pressure index17.425.017.416.5
Dominant minutes56.166.759.257.0
Pass accuracy87%88%79%80%
Fouls10.18.613.212.3
Cards2.431.292.252.83

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Strasbourg

0–15'31
16–30'32
31–45'44
46–60'22
61–75'52
76–90'42

FSV Mainz 05

0–15'10
16–30'52
31–45'34
46–60'30
61–75'23
76–90'21

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Strasbourg · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.04) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +1.02

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.044
Early press (0-15, level)+0.114
Late push (76+, level)-0.532

Game state

When ahead+0.393
When level-0.044
When behind-0.063
10 min after conceding-0.144
10 min after scoring+1.023

Situations

At home+0.082
Away+0.002
4+ days rest+0.044

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.053
Evenly matched-0.022
As underdog+0.112

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.204
Conceded when ahead+0.053
Conceded late (76+)+0.044

Ahead vs level +0.43 · Behind vs level -0.02

FSV Mainz 05 · 3 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.11) · stands out: when level +0.32

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.113
Early press (0-15, level)+0.223

Game state

When level+0.323
10 min after scoring+0.242

Situations

At home+0.032
4+ days rest+0.113

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.302
As favourite+0.032

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.193
Conceded late (76+)-0.422

Ahead vs level -0.34 · Behind vs level -0.58

Strasbourg

Current: unbeaten 3 · winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 12

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-15 36%2.01.60.61.691.1
4-4-22 14%2.01.51.01.750.88
4-1-4-11 7%0.00.01.01.462.1
4-3-31 7%3.02.01.00.892.18
4-4-1-11 7%0.00.02.01.081.55

FSV Mainz 05

Current: winless 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-35 42%1.81.40.81.731.01
3-5-24 33%1.751.01.01.121.3
3-4-2-11 8%3.02.01.01.462.19
5-3-21 8%1.01.01.01.732.8
3-5-1-11 8%3.02.00.02.00.77

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.1h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.85Home 51% P 49%3.75Draw 25% P 25%3.8Away 25% P 26%

Double Chance

1.18Strasbourg or Draw 40%1.25Strasbourg or Mainz 38%2.1Draw or Mainz 22%

Draw No Bet

1.31 72%3.42 28%

Both Teams To Score

1.66Yes 56%2.1No 44%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.72Over 55% P 55%2.07Under 45% P 45%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.26 - 8 28%2.629 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 21%10.0Over 14 9%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 47.5–50% · away 25–27.5% · 375 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home49%48%47%-1.0
Draw25%26%27%+1.9
Away26%26%25%-0.9

In those fixtures: 3.0 goals a game · BTTS 61% · over 2.5 57%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 55–57.5% · 2,508 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.555%56%56%-0.2

João Pedro Silva Pinheiro

Career
234 matches · 12 seasons
Cards / match
4.91 (4.7 yellow · 0.12 red)
Fouls / match
27.5 · 5.6 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.34
Cards to home side
51%

Style in Europa Conference League (5-year window · 6 matches)

Fewer than 10 matches with card data in this league — averages only: 5.5 cards, 27.7 fouls per match.

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-03-22 30 220 24'7
2026-03-08 101 280 26'13
2026-02-25 71 311 14'14
2026-02-21 50 281 14'11
2026-02-18 20 160 13'12
2026-01-28 71 210 7'4
2026-01-24 40 350 18'6
2026-01-20 40 260 72'4
2026-01-17 91 230 5'9
2025-12-22 20 200 63'3