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Europa Conference League · Semi-finals Rayo Vallecano went through · After Full Time

Momentum

RAYStrasbourg
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Semi-finals
Leg
1/2

Venue

Stadium
Estadio de Vallecas, Madrid
Capacity
14,708
Surface
grass
Attendance
14,333

Teams

Coaches
Iñigo Pérez · Gary O'Neil
Position
1 · 2
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Donatas Rumšas

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
17.3° (feels 16.5°)
Wind
2.1
Humidity
52%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Strasbourg 6510 1156 16 DWWWW
2 Raków Częstochowa 6420 927 14 DDWWW
3 AEK Athens 6411 1477 13 WDWWW
4 Sparta Praha 6411 1037 13 LDWWW
5 Rayo Vallecano 6411 1376 13 DWLWW
6 Shakhtar Donetsk 6411 1055 13 LWWWD
7 FSV Mainz 05 6411 734 13 WWLDW
8 AEK Larnaca 6330 716 12 WDDDW
9 Lausanne Sport 6321 633 11 WDLDW
10 Crystal Palace 6312 1165 10 LWLWD
11 Lech Poznań 6312 1284 10 LLWDW
12 Samsunspor 6312 1064 10 WWDLL
13 Celje 6312 871 10 WWLLD
14 AZ Alkmaar 6312 770 10 WLWWD
15 Fiorentina 6303 853 9 WLLWL
16 Rijeka 6231 523 9 WDDWD
17 Jagiellonia Białystok 6231 541 9 DDWLD
18 Omonia Nicosia 6222 541 8 DDWWL
19 Noah 6222 67-1 8 DLDWL
20 Drita 6222 48-4 8 DWWLL
21 KuPS 6141 651 7 DWLDD
22 Skendija 79 6213 45-1 7 WDLWL
23 Zrinjski 6213 810-2 7 LLWLD
24 Sigma Olomouc 6213 79-2 7 DWWLL
25 Universitatea Craiova 6213 68-2 7 DWWLL
26 Lincoln Red Imps 6213 715-8 7 WDLWL
27 Dynamo Kyiv 6204 990 6 LWLLW
28 Legia Warszawa 6204 880 6 WLLLW
29 Slovan Bratislava 6204 59-4 6 LLWLW
30 Breidablik 6123 611-5 5 DLDWL
31 Shamrock Rovers 6114 713-6 4 LDLLW
32 Häcken 6033 58-3 3 DLLDL
33 Hamrun Spartans 6105 411-7 3 LLWLL
34 Shelbourne 6024 07-7 2 LLLLD
35 Aberdeen 6024 314-11 2 LDDLL
36 SK Rapid 6015 314-11 1 LLLLD
  • 8th Finals
  • Play-off

Rayo Vallecano

WLLWD 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 8 GA 9 · xG 9.11–10.4 · xPts 6.37

  • D H Real Sociedad 3–3 xG 2.33–2.22 ESP PL
  • W H Espanyol 1–0 xG 1.49–1.92 ESP PL
  • L A AEK Athens 1–3 xG 1.36–3.1 UEFA ECL
  • L A Mallorca 0–3 xG 1.66–1.77 ESP PL
  • W H AEK Athens 3–0 xG 2.28–1.39 UEFA ECL

Strasbourg

WLWLW 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 10 GA 8 · xG 9.43–7.97 · xPts 7.79

  • W A Lorient 3–2 xG 1.59–2.17 FRA L1
  • L H Rennes 0–3 xG 0.75–3.35 FRA L1
  • W H FSV Mainz 05 4–0 xG 2.93–0.34 UEFA ECL
  • L A FSV Mainz 05 0–2 xG 1.08–1.55 UEFA ECL
  • W H Nice 3–1 xG 3.08–0.56 FRA L1

All meetings · 2 matches since 2026

Rayo Vallecano 20 draws0 Strasbourg

Goals 2–0 · 1.0 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 0%

Last 10 · 2 matches

Rayo Vallecano 20 draws0 Strasbourg

Goals 2–0 · 1.0 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 0%

Last 5 · 2 matches

Rayo Vallecano 20 draws0 Strasbourg

Goals 2–0 · 1.0 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 0%

Recent meetings

  • W Strasbourg 0–1 Rayo Vallecano UEFA ECL · Semi-finals · leg 2/2
  • W Rayo Vallecano 1–0 Strasbourg UEFA ECL · Semi-finals · leg 1/2
MetricRayo Vallecano all · 15Rayo Vallecano at home · 7Strasbourg all · 14Strasbourg away · 7
Results
Matches157147
Points per game2.072.571.932.14
W / D / L10 / 1 / 46 / 0 / 18 / 3 / 35 / 0 / 2
Goals for / match1.802.291.501.43
Goals against / match0.870.430.931.14
Clean sheets47%71%21%14%
Failed to score13%14%29%29%
Both teams scored40%14%57%57%
Over 2.560%57%50%57%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.601.771.761.13
xG against / match1.030.601.271.55
xG difference0.571.170.48-0.41
Finishing vs xG0.200.52-0.260.30
xPts / match1.772.151.621.10
Points vs xPts0.300.420.311.05
Game state
Scored first73%71%50%71%
PPG when scoring first2.553.003.003.00
PPG when conceding first0.751.500.830.00
Came back from behind33%50%50%0%
Leads held83%100%100%100%
Minutes leading37%43%37%56%
Minutes level42%42%43%26%
Minutes trailing21%15%20%18%
First goal (min)37403420
First goal conceded (min)37384552
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half59%69%52%30%
Goals conceded in 2nd half46%33%46%62%
Late goals for (76'+)0.530.710.290.00
Late goals against0.000.000.140.29
Style
Possession56%60%57%54%
Shots16.419.011.08.4
On target5.66.64.94.0
Shot conversion11%12%14%17%
Shots inside box58%61%71%70%
Big chances created2.93.03.12.7
Corners5.86.94.63.1
xG from set plays25%24%19%21%
Goals from headers4%7%15%10%
Pressure index20.725.517.49.8
Dominant minutes62.575.756.145.6
Pass accuracy81%83%87%85%
Fouls14.212.610.111.7
Cards2.872.002.433.57

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Rayo Vallecano

0–15'42
16–30'21
31–45'54
46–60'35
61–75'51
76–90'80

Strasbourg

0–15'31
16–30'32
31–45'44
46–60'22
61–75'52
76–90'42

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Rayo Vallecano · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.06) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.67

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.066
Early press (0-15, level)+0.306
Late push (76+, level)-0.252
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.563

Game state

When ahead-0.135
When level+0.036
When behind-0.064
10 min after conceding-0.376
10 min after scoring+0.676

Situations

Against ten men+0.352
At home-0.083
Away-0.043
4+ days rest-0.055

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.052
v mid-tier opponents-0.103
Evenly matched-0.103
As underdog-0.052

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.246
Conceded when ahead+0.155
Conceded late (76+)+0.396

Congested vs rested -0.10 · Ahead vs level -0.17 · Behind vs level -0.10

Strasbourg · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.04) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +1.02

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.044
Early press (0-15, level)+0.114
Late push (76+, level)-0.532

Game state

When ahead+0.393
When level-0.044
When behind-0.063
10 min after conceding-0.144
10 min after scoring+1.023

Situations

At home+0.082
Away+0.002
4+ days rest+0.044

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.053
Evenly matched-0.022
As underdog+0.112

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.204
Conceded when ahead+0.053
Conceded late (76+)+0.044

Ahead vs level +0.43 · Behind vs level -0.02

Rayo Vallecano

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 6 · conceding 8

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-110 67%1.91.50.91.561.17
4-3-35 33%2.42.40.81.680.75

Strasbourg

Current: unbeaten 3 · winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 12

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-15 36%2.01.60.61.691.1
4-4-22 14%2.01.51.01.750.88
3-4-31 7%3.03.01.03.430.79
3-3-3-11 7%3.03.02.01.022.15
4-4-1-11 7%0.00.02.01.081.55

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.0h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.0Home 48% P 47%3.5Draw 27% P 28%3.8Away 25% P 25%

Double Chance

1.28Rayo Vallecano or Draw 36%1.28Rayo Vallecano or Strasbourg 36%1.72Draw or Strasbourg 27%

Draw No Bet

1.441 65%2.622 35%

Both Teams To Score

1.66Yes 56%2.1No 44%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.85Over 51% P 49%1.95Under 49% P 51%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.06 - 8 29%2.629 - 11 34%4.512 - 14 20%11.0Over 14 8%

Number of Cards

4.51.83Over 50% P 48%1.83Under 50% P 52%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 45–47.5% · away 22.5–25% · 565 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home47%46%48%+1.4
Draw28%30%28%-1.5
Away25%24%24%+0.2

In those fixtures: 2.3 goals a game · BTTS 48% · over 2.5 41%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 47.5–50% · 3,307 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.549%49%50%+1.3

Donatas Rumšas

Career
49 matches · 11 seasons
Cards / match
4.51 (4.18 yellow · 0.14 red)
Fouls / match
22.4 · 4.9 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.24
Cards to home side
43%

Style in Europa Conference League (5-year window · 7 matches)

Fewer than 10 matches with card data in this league — averages only: 5.29 cards, 26.4 fouls per match.

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-04-09 30 271 21'8
2026-03-12 60 270 45'10
2026-02-26 61 370 29'17
2026-01-20 20 210 80'4
2025-11-25 50 430 15'8
2025-10-22 10 170 90'3
2025-09-16 40 330 7'9
2025-08-21 40 101 14'7
2025-07-22 41 220 8'7