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Momentum

CRYRAY
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Final

Venue

Stadium
Red Bull Arena, Leipzig · neutral
Capacity
47,069
Surface
grass

Teams

Coaches
Oliver Glasner · Iñigo Pérez
Position
1 · 2
Formation
3-4-3 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Maurizio Mariani

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
14.7° (feels 13.7°)
Wind
2.1
Humidity
54%

Where to watch · 242

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Strasbourg 6510 1156 16 DWWWW
2 Raków Częstochowa 6420 927 14 DDWWW
3 AEK Athens 6411 1477 13 WDWWW
4 Sparta Praha 6411 1037 13 LDWWW
5 Rayo Vallecano 6411 1376 13 DWLWW
6 Shakhtar Donetsk 6411 1055 13 LWWWD
7 FSV Mainz 05 6411 734 13 WWLDW
8 AEK Larnaca 6330 716 12 WDDDW
9 Lausanne Sport 6321 633 11 WDLDW
10 Crystal Palace 6312 1165 10 LWLWD
11 Lech Poznań 6312 1284 10 LLWDW
12 Samsunspor 6312 1064 10 WWDLL
13 Celje 6312 871 10 WWLLD
14 AZ Alkmaar 6312 770 10 WLWWD
15 Fiorentina 6303 853 9 WLLWL
16 Rijeka 6231 523 9 WDDWD
17 Jagiellonia Białystok 6231 541 9 DDWLD
18 Omonia Nicosia 6222 541 8 DDWWL
19 Noah 6222 67-1 8 DLDWL
20 Drita 6222 48-4 8 DWWLL
21 KuPS 6141 651 7 DWLDD
22 Skendija 79 6213 45-1 7 WDLWL
23 Zrinjski 6213 810-2 7 LLWLD
24 Sigma Olomouc 6213 79-2 7 DWWLL
25 Universitatea Craiova 6213 68-2 7 DWWLL
26 Lincoln Red Imps 6213 715-8 7 WDLWL
27 Dynamo Kyiv 6204 990 6 LWLLW
28 Legia Warszawa 6204 880 6 WLLLW
29 Slovan Bratislava 6204 59-4 6 LLWLW
30 Breidablik 6123 611-5 5 DLDWL
31 Shamrock Rovers 6114 713-6 4 LDLLW
32 Häcken 6033 58-3 3 DLLDL
33 Hamrun Spartans 6105 411-7 3 LLWLL
34 Shelbourne 6024 07-7 2 LLLLD
35 Aberdeen 6024 314-11 2 LDDLL
36 SK Rapid 6015 314-11 1 LLLLD
  • 8th Finals
  • Play-off

Crystal Palace

WDLDL 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 7 GA 10 · xG 7.92–8.94 · xPts 6.24

  • L H Arsenal 1–2 xG 0.93–2.42 UK PL
  • D A Brentford 2–2 xG 1.79–1.9 UK PL
  • L A Manchester City 0–3 xG 0.92–1.52 UK PL
  • D H Everton 2–2 xG 2.78–1.64 UK PL
  • W H Shakhtar Donetsk 2–1 xG 1.5–1.47 UEFA ECL

Rayo Vallecano

WDDWW 3W 2D 0L · 11 pts (2.2 ppg) · GF 7 GA 3 · xG 7.83–6.56 · xPts 7.8

  • W A Deportivo Alavés 2–1 xG 1.35–2.03 ESP PL
  • W H Villarreal 2–0 xG 1.69–1.13 ESP PL
  • D A Valencia 1–1 xG 1.23–0.79 ESP PL
  • D H Girona 1–1 xG 1.46–1.13 ESP PL
  • W A Strasbourg 1–0 xG 2.1–1.46 UEFA ECL

All meetings · 1 match since 2026

Crystal Palace 10 draws0 Rayo Vallecano

Goals 1–0 · 1.0 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 0%

Last 10 · 1 match

Crystal Palace 10 draws0 Rayo Vallecano

Goals 1–0 · 1.0 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 0%

Last 5 · 1 match

Crystal Palace 10 draws0 Rayo Vallecano

Goals 1–0 · 1.0 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 0%

Recent meetings

  • W Crystal Palace 1–0 Rayo Vallecano neutral UEFA ECL · Final
MetricCrystal Palace all · 17Crystal Palace at home · 9Rayo Vallecano all · 15Rayo Vallecano away · 8
Results
Matches179158
Points per game2.002.222.071.63
W / D / L10 / 4 / 36 / 2 / 110 / 1 / 44 / 1 / 3
Goals for / match1.591.561.801.38
Goals against / match0.710.560.871.25
Clean sheets47%56%47%25%
Failed to score18%22%13%12%
Both teams scored47%33%40%62%
Over 2.553%44%60%62%
Expected goals
xG for / match2.062.201.601.45
xG against / match0.850.631.031.41
xG difference1.211.580.570.04
Finishing vs xG-0.47-0.650.20-0.07
xPts / match2.082.341.771.44
Points vs xPts-0.08-0.120.300.19
Game state
Scored first82%78%73%75%
PPG when scoring first2.292.712.552.17
PPG when conceding first0.000.000.750.00
Came back from behind25%50%33%25%
Leads held71%86%83%67%
Minutes leading44%44%37%33%
Minutes level49%48%42%41%
Minutes trailing7%8%21%26%
First goal (min)26313734
First goal conceded (min)49473736
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half38%50%59%46%
Goals conceded in 2nd half83%80%46%50%
Late goals for (76'+)0.290.330.530.38
Late goals against0.060.000.000.00
Style
Possession54%55%56%52%
Shots15.615.616.414.1
On target5.24.75.64.8
Shot conversion10%10%11%10%
Shots inside box69%66%58%55%
Big chances created4.34.62.92.8
Corners4.85.15.84.9
xG from set plays31%38%25%26%
Goals from headers22%29%4%0%
Pressure index21.221.320.716.6
Dominant minutes63.865.062.551.0
Pass accuracy81%82%81%80%
Fouls12.611.914.215.6
Cards1.941.672.873.63

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Crystal Palace

0–15'40
16–30'51
31–45'71
46–60'68
61–75'01
76–90'41

Rayo Vallecano

0–15'42
16–30'21
31–45'54
46–60'35
61–75'51
76–90'80

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Crystal Palace · 5 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.21) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.59

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.215
Early press (0-15, level)-0.055
Late push (76+, level)+1.262
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.593

Game state

When ahead-0.023
When level-0.065
When behind-0.404
10 min after conceding-0.434
10 min after scoring+0.124

Situations

At home-0.143
Away-0.292
4+ days rest-0.215

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.333
As favourite+0.032
As underdog-0.402

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.145
Conceded when ahead+0.133
Conceded late (76+)-0.224

Ahead vs level +0.03 · Behind vs level -0.34

Rayo Vallecano · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.07) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.67

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.076
Early press (0-15, level)+0.306
Late push (76+, level)-0.252
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.553

Game state

When ahead-0.135
When level+0.036
When behind-0.064
10 min after conceding-0.376
10 min after scoring+0.676

Situations

Against ten men+0.352
At home-0.083
Away-0.043
4+ days rest-0.055

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.052
v mid-tier opponents-0.103
Evenly matched-0.103
As underdog-0.052

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.246
Conceded when ahead+0.155
Conceded late (76+)+0.396

Congested vs rested -0.10 · Ahead vs level -0.17 · Behind vs level -0.10

Crystal Palace

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 4 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-313 76%2.081.690.692.080.88
3-4-2-14 24%1.751.250.752.010.73

Rayo Vallecano

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 6 · conceding 8

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-110 67%1.91.50.91.561.17
4-3-35 33%2.42.40.81.680.75

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.1Home 45% P 46%3.1Draw 31% P 30%3.9Away 24% P 24%

Double Chance

1.28Crystal Palace or Draw 37%1.36Crystal Palace or Rayo Vallecano 35%1.7Draw or Rayo Vallecano 28%

Draw No Bet

1.51 62%2.52 38%

Both Teams To Score

2.0Yes 46%1.72No 54%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.35Over 40% P 41%1.57Under 60% P 59%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.16 - 8 29%2.629 - 11 34%4.512 - 14 20%11.0Over 14 8%

Number of Cards

4.51.83Over 50% P 52%1.83Under 50% P 48%
5.52.2Over 42% P 37%1.61Under 58% P 63%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 45–47.5% · away 22.5–25% · 565 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home46%46%48%+1.4
Draw30%30%28%-1.5
Away24%24%24%+0.2

In those fixtures: 2.3 goals a game · BTTS 48% · over 2.5 41%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 40–42.5% · 2,093 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.541%41%41%-0.4

Maurizio Mariani

Career
229 matches · 15 seasons
Cards / match
4.68 (4.44 yellow · 0.15 red)
Fouls / match
25.6 · 5.1 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.31
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Europa Conference League (5-year window · 5 matches)

Fewer than 10 matches with card data in this league — averages only: 4.6 cards, 26.2 fouls per match.

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-04-26 30 181 81'6
2026-04-19 10 150 60'5
2026-04-14 20 190 45'10
2026-03-20 40 280 17'10
2026-03-14 40 260 32'14
2026-03-11 20 241 57'18
2026-02-26 10 201 40'11
2026-02-23 60 270 37'11
2026-02-18 50 230 53'11
2026-01-28 40 130 64'8