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FA Cup · Quarter-finals

Momentum

WHULeeds United
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Quarter-finals

Venue

Stadium
London Stadium, London
Capacity
59,623
Surface
grass
Attendance
62,260

Teams

Coaches
Nuno Espírito Santo · Daniel Farke
Position
1 · 2
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Craig Pawson

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
11.5° (feels 9.9°)
Wind
6.2
Humidity
46%

Where to watch · 1

No table for this competition stage.

West Ham United

LWDDL 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 6 GA 10 · xG 10.8–14.82 · xPts 4.85

  • L A Aston Villa 0–2 xG 1.03–2.22 UK PL
  • D H Manchester City 1–1 xG 0.24–2.81 UK PL
  • D H Brentford 2–2 won on pens None–None xG 6.82–6.74 UK FA Cup
  • W A Fulham 1–0 xG 1.09–0.98 UK PL
  • L A Liverpool 2–5 xG 1.62–2.07 UK PL

Leeds United

LLWDD 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 3 GA 2 · xG 7.27–5.78 · xPts 7.91

  • D H Brentford 0–0 xG 0.73–0.48 UK PL
  • D A Crystal Palace 0–0 xG 1.26–0.86 UK PL
  • W H Norwich City 3–0 xG 1.99–1.28 UK FA Cup
  • L H Sunderland 0–1 xG 1.31–0.98 UK PL
  • L H Manchester City 0–1 xG 1.99–2.2 UK PL

All meetings · 18 matches since 2000

West Ham United 75 draws6 Leeds United

Goals 28–25 · 2.94 per match · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 61%

Last 10 · 10 matches

West Ham United 62 draws2 Leeds United

Goals 21–12 · 3.3 per match · BTTS 70% · over 2.5 80%

Last 5 · 5 matches

West Ham United 22 draws1 Leeds United

Goals 11–7 · 3.6 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 100%

Recent meetings

  • W West Ham United 3–0 Leeds United UK PL · Regular Season
  • D West Ham United 2–2 Leeds United pens None–None UK FA Cup · Quarter-finals
  • L Leeds United 2–1 West Ham United UK PL · Regular Season
  • W West Ham United 3–1 Leeds United UK PL · Regular Season
  • D Leeds United 2–2 West Ham United UK PL · Regular Season
  • L West Ham United 2–3 Leeds United UK PL · Regular Season
  • W West Ham United 2–0 Leeds United UK FA Cup · 3rd Round
  • W Leeds United 1–2 West Ham United UK PL · Regular Season
  • W West Ham United 2–0 Leeds United UK PL · Regular Season
  • W Leeds United 1–2 West Ham United UK PL · Regular Season
MetricWest Ham United all · 4West Ham United at home · 3Leeds United all · 5Leeds United away · 4
Results
Matches5
Points per game1.60
W / D / L2 / 2 / 1
Goals for / match1.80
Goals against / match1.00
Clean sheets20%
Failed to score20%
Both teams scored60%
Over 2.560%
Expected goals
xG for / match2.51
xG against / match2.11
xG difference0.40
Finishing vs xG-0.71
xPts / match1.65
Points vs xPts-0.05
Game state
Scored first60%
PPG when scoring first1.67
PPG when conceding first1.50
Came back from behind50%
Leads held50%
Minutes leading38%
Minutes level45%
Minutes trailing17%
First goal (min)40
First goal conceded (min)59
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half67%
Goals conceded in 2nd half60%
Late goals for (76'+)0.40
Late goals against0.60
Style
Possession50%
Shots17.4
On target6.2
Shot conversion10%
Shots inside box62%
Big chances created2.8
Corners6.4
xG from set plays51%
Goals from headers0%
Pressure index16.4
Dominant minutes62.8
Pass accuracy81%
Fouls12.6
Cards2.00

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Leeds United

0–15'00
16–30'11
31–45'21
46–60'30
61–75'10
76–90'23

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

West Ham United · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.23) · stands out: when behind +0.64

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.237
Early press (0-15, level)-0.037
Late push (76+, level)-0.273

Game state

When ahead+0.235
When level+0.077
When behind+0.643
10 min after conceding-0.085
10 min after scoring+0.527

Situations

At home+0.454
Away-0.013
3 days rest or fewer+0.093
4+ days rest+0.324

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.142
v bottom-tier opponents+0.265
As favourite+0.306

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.197
Conceded when ahead-0.205
Conceded late (76+)-0.336

Congested vs rested -0.24 · Ahead vs level +0.16 · Behind vs level +0.57

Leeds United · 4 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.18) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.73

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.184
Early press (0-15, level)-0.104
Late push (76+, level)-0.473

Game state

When ahead+0.173
When level-0.264
10 min after conceding-0.642
10 min after scoring+0.734

Situations

At home-0.092
Away-0.242
4+ days rest-0.184

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.313
Evenly matched-0.143

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.174
Conceded when ahead+0.023
Conceded late (76+)+0.113

Ahead vs level +0.43 · Behind vs level -0.14

West Ham United

Current: unbeaten 5 · wins 4 · scoring 9 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-12 50%1.02.02.05.084.88
3-4-32 50%3.01.50.52.131.04

Leeds United

Current: unbeaten 4 · wins 1 · scoring 4 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-13 60%0.671.01.332.692.86
3-4-1-21 20%3.03.01.02.510.68
4-2-3-11 20%3.03.00.01.991.28

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.9Home 33% P 38%3.5Draw 27% P 27%2.37Away 40% P 35%

Double Chance

1.5West Ham or Draw 31%1.28West Ham or Leeds 36%1.44Draw or Leeds 32%

Draw No Bet

2.01 46%1.722 54%

Both Teams To Score

1.75Yes 53%2.0No 47%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.9Over 50% P 52%1.9Under 50% P 48%

Total Corners

13.0Under 6 7%3.56 - 8 25%2.69 - 11 34%3.7512 - 14 23%8.0Over 14 11%

Number of Cards

3.51.8Over 51%1.9Under 49%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 37.5–40% · away 32.5–35% · 571 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home38%39%39%+0.5
Draw27%28%28%-0.0
Away35%34%33%-0.4

In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 46%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 50–52.5% · 3,575 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.552%51%51%-0.1

Craig Pawson

Career
441 matches · 18 seasons
Cards / match
3.82 (3.68 yellow · 0.08 red)
Fouls / match
20.5 · 4.8 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.23
Cards to home side
46%

Style in FA Cup (5-year window · 12 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.173.73-0.2938
Fouls / match24.419.7+1.51
Fouls per card8.35.5+1.75 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.170.24-0.7219
Time added6.87.2-0.6119
First card
52' on average
Card timing
5% in first 30' · 45% in last 15'
Cards to home side
45% (league 45%)
VAR events / match
2.0

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-03-03 30 190 60'9
2026-02-27 60 310 45'11
2026-02-22 20 192 41'16
2026-02-08 61 291 42'9
2026-01-25 20 200 64'9
2026-01-10 50 270 57'9
2026-01-04 20 150 71'9
2026-01-01 50 260 22'18
2025-12-27 20 160 67'7
2025-12-13 30 230 45'11