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FA Cup · Quarter-finals

Momentum

MCILiverpool
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Quarter-finals

Venue

Stadium
Etihad Stadium, Manchester
Capacity
52,900
Surface
grass
Attendance
50,754

Teams

Coaches
Pepijn Lijnders · Arne Slot
Position
1 · 2
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-2-2

Referee

Michael Oliver

Weather

Conditions
scattered clouds
Temperature
13.9° (feels 12.9°)
Wind
9.3
Humidity
59%

Where to watch · 1

No table for this competition stage.

Manchester City

DWLDL 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 7 GA 9 · xG 11.94–7.14 · xPts 9.46

  • L H Real Madrid 1–2 xG 2.47–2.76 UEFA CL
  • D A West Ham United 1–1 xG 2.81–0.24 UK PL
  • L A Real Madrid 0–3 xG 0.83–1.95 UEFA CL
  • W A Newcastle United 3–1 xG 3.19–1.15 UK FA Cup
  • D H Nottingham Forest 2–2 xG 2.64–1.04 UK PL

Liverpool

WLDWL 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 9 GA 5 · xG 9.85–5.11 · xPts 9.07

  • L A Brighton & Hove Albion 1–2 xG 0.87–2.28 UK PL
  • W H Galatasaray 4–0 xG 4.26–0.2 UEFA CL
  • D H Tottenham Hotspur 1–1 xG 1.66–0.92 UK PL
  • L A Galatasaray 0–1 xG 1.18–1.27 UEFA CL
  • W A Wolverhampton Wanderers 3–1 xG 1.88–0.43 UK FA Cup

All meetings · 54 matches since 2000

Manchester City 1417 draws23 Liverpool

Goals 78–79 · 2.91 per match · BTTS 57% · over 2.5 63%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Manchester City 42 draws4 Liverpool

Goals 17–12 · 2.9 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Manchester City 30 draws2 Liverpool

Goals 9–5 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 20% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • W Manchester City 4–0 Liverpool UK FA Cup · Quarter-finals
  • W Liverpool 1–2 Manchester City UK PL · Regular Season
  • W Manchester City 3–0 Liverpool UK PL · Regular Season
  • L Manchester City 0–2 Liverpool UK PL · Regular Season
  • L Liverpool 2–0 Manchester City UK PL · Regular Season
  • D Liverpool 1–1 Manchester City UK PL · Regular Season
  • D Manchester City 1–1 Liverpool UK PL · Regular Season
  • W Manchester City 4–1 Liverpool UK PL · Regular Season
  • L Liverpool 1–0 Manchester City UK PL · Regular Season
  • L Manchester City 2–3 Liverpool neutral UK FA Cup · Semi-finals
MetricManchester City all · 6Manchester City at home · 4Liverpool all · 4Liverpool away · 2
Results
Matches6
Points per game3.00
W / D / L6 / 0 / 0
Goals for / match3.67
Goals against / match0.50
Clean sheets50%
Failed to score0%
Both teams scored50%
Over 2.567%
Expected goals
xG for / match2.22
xG against / match0.81
xG difference1.41
Finishing vs xG1.45
xPts / match2.22
Points vs xPts0.78
Game state
Scored first67%
PPG when scoring first3.00
PPG when conceding first3.00
Came back from behind100%
Leads held100%
Minutes leading51%
Minutes level44%
Minutes trailing4%
First goal (min)42
First goal conceded (min)62
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half64%
Goals conceded in 2nd half67%
Late goals for (76'+)1.00
Late goals against0.33
Style
Possession65%
Shots17.8
On target6.5
Shot conversion21%
Shots inside box69%
Big chances created3.5
Corners6.8
xG from set plays24%
Goals from headers9%
Pressure index26.5
Dominant minutes66.3
Pass accuracy89%
Fouls11.5
Cards0.67

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Manchester City

0–15'20
16–30'11
31–45'50
46–60'50
61–75'30
76–90'62

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Manchester City · 5 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.41) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.62

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.415
Early press (0-15, level)+0.015

Game state

When ahead+0.405
When level+0.535
10 min after conceding-0.042
10 min after scoring+0.625

Situations

At home+0.222
Away+0.553
4+ days rest+0.314

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.453
v mid-tier opponents+0.362
As favourite+0.454

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.385
Conceded when ahead-0.435
Conceded late (76+)-0.525

Congested vs rested +0.50 · Ahead vs level -0.13 · Behind vs level -0.42

Liverpool · 5 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.11) · stands out: when behind +0.57

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.115
Early press (0-15, level)-0.315
Late push (76+, level)+0.113
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.202

Game state

When ahead-0.172
When level-0.075
When behind+0.573
10 min after conceding+0.453
10 min after scoring+0.474

Situations

At home-0.043
Away+0.342
4+ days rest+0.174

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.043
As favourite+0.115

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.215
Conceded when ahead-0.072
Conceded late (76+)-0.405

Congested vs rested -0.30 · Ahead vs level -0.10 · Behind vs level +0.64

Manchester City

Current: unbeaten 5 · wins 5 · scoring 18 · clean sheets 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-13 50%3.03.00.332.461.08
4-1-4-11 17%3.010.01.02.710.58
4-2-2-21 17%3.01.00.01.190.79
4-3-2-11 17%3.02.01.02.030.23

Liverpool

Current: unbeaten 6 · winless 1 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-13 75%3.03.330.672.091.07
4-2-2-21 25%0.00.04.01.651.86

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -1.4h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.75Home 54% P 54%4.2Draw 22% P 23%4.0Away 24% P 22%

Double Chance

1.22Man City or Draw 38%1.22Man City or Liverpool 38%2.0Draw or Liverpool 23%

Draw No Bet

1.331 71%3.252 29%

Both Teams To Score

1.5Yes 62%2.5No 38%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.5Over 64% P 63%2.62Under 36% P 37%

Total Corners

13.0Under 6 7%3.66 - 8 24%2.629 - 11 33%3.7512 - 14 23%7.0Over 14 12%

Number of Cards

3.51.66Over 56%2.1Under 44%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 52.5–55% · away 20–22.5% · 665 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home54%54%56%+2.6
Draw23%25%27%+1.4
Away22%21%17%-4.0

In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 57% · over 2.5 54%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 62.5–65% · 1,570 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.563%64%63%-0.4

Michael Oliver

Career
622 matches · 18 seasons
Cards / match
3.53 (3.38 yellow · 0.08 red)
Fouls / match
20.9 · 4.9 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.29
Cards to home side
46%

Style in FA Cup (5-year window · 7 matches)

Fewer than 10 matches with card data in this league — averages only: 4.43 cards, 20.7 fouls per match.

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-03-22 30 260 53'7
2026-03-19 70 200 30'7
2026-03-14 · Manchester City 40 190 11'8
2026-02-24 10 140 90'9
2026-02-21 50 270 62'12
2026-02-07 31 230 27'10
2026-01-31 50 260 45'6
2026-01-28 50 210 10'4
2026-01-24 20 160 66'5
2026-01-17 20 220 37'8