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FA Cup · Semi-finals

Momentum

ChelseaLeeds United
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Semi-finals

Venue

Stadium
Wembley Stadium, London · neutral
Capacity
90,000
Surface
grass
Attendance
82,542

Teams

Coaches
Calum McFarlane · Daniel Farke
Position
1 · 2
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Jarred Gillett

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
18.7° (feels 17.7°)
Wind
3.1
Humidity
42%

Where to watch · 1

No table for this competition stage.

Chelsea

LWLLL 1W 0D 4L · 3 pts (0.6 ppg) · GF 7 GA 10 · xG 8.52–5.76 · xPts 7.64

  • L A Brighton & Hove Albion 0–3 xG 0.62–2.02 UK PL
  • L H Manchester United 0–1 xG 1.71–0.32 UK PL
  • L H Manchester City 0–3 xG 1.12–2.03 UK PL
  • W H Port Vale 7–0 xG 4.3–0.12 UK FA Cup
  • L A Everton 0–3 xG 0.77–1.26 UK PL

Leeds United

DDWWD 2W 3D 0L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 9 GA 5 · xG 11.0–8.42 · xPts 8.25

  • D A AFC Bournemouth 2–2 xG 1.3–1.96 UK PL
  • W H Wolverhampton Wanderers 3–0 xG 3.24–0.59 UK PL
  • W A Manchester United 2–1 xG 2.73–2.06 UK PL
  • D A West Ham United 2–2 won on pens None–None xG 3.01–3.34 UK FA Cup
  • D H Brentford 0–0 xG 0.73–0.48 UK PL

All meetings · 18 matches since 2000

Chelsea 95 draws4 Leeds United

Goals 25–21 · 2.56 per match · BTTS 44% · over 2.5 44%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Chelsea 62 draws2 Leeds United

Goals 17–13 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 70%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Chelsea 31 draws1 Leeds United

Goals 8–7 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • W Chelsea 1–0 Leeds United neutral UK FA Cup · Semi-finals
  • D Chelsea 2–2 Leeds United UK PL · Regular Season
  • L Leeds United 3–1 Chelsea UK PL · Regular Season
  • W Chelsea 3–2 Leeds United UK FA Cup · 5th Round
  • W Chelsea 1–0 Leeds United UK PL · Regular Season
  • L Leeds United 3–0 Chelsea UK PL · Regular Season
  • W Leeds United 0–3 Chelsea UK PL · Regular Season
  • W Chelsea 3–2 Leeds United UK PL · Regular Season
  • D Leeds United 0–0 Chelsea UK PL · Regular Season
  • W Chelsea 3–1 Leeds United UK PL · Regular Season
MetricChelsea all · 6Chelsea at home · 3Leeds United all · 5Leeds United away · 4
Results
Matches65
Points per game2.501.60
W / D / L5 / 0 / 12 / 2 / 1
Goals for / match3.501.80
Goals against / match0.671.00
Clean sheets50%20%
Failed to score17%20%
Both teams scored33%60%
Over 2.567%60%
Expected goals
xG for / match2.362.51
xG against / match1.012.11
xG difference1.350.40
Finishing vs xG1.14-0.71
xPts / match1.931.65
Points vs xPts0.57-0.05
Game state
Scored first67%60%
PPG when scoring first3.001.67
PPG when conceding first1.501.50
Came back from behind50%50%
Leads held100%50%
Minutes leading48%38%
Minutes level44%45%
Minutes trailing8%17%
First goal (min)3040
First goal conceded (min)4959
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half63%67%
Goals conceded in 2nd half75%60%
Late goals for (76'+)1.170.40
Late goals against0.170.60
Style
Possession65%50%
Shots16.517.4
On target7.56.2
Shot conversion21%10%
Shots inside box68%62%
Big chances created4.52.8
Corners5.36.4
xG from set plays32%51%
Goals from headers20%0%
Pressure index21.716.4
Dominant minutes66.262.8
Pass accuracy89%81%
Fouls10.312.6
Cards2.002.00

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Chelsea

0–15'10
16–30'21
31–45'40
46–60'41
61–75'31
76–90'51

Leeds United

0–15'00
16–30'11
31–45'21
46–60'30
61–75'10
76–90'23

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Chelsea · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.06) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.40

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.064
Early press (0-15, level)-0.214

Game state

When ahead+0.074
When level-0.074
When behind+0.172
10 min after conceding-0.404
10 min after scoring+0.324

Situations

At home-0.002
Away+0.122
4+ days rest+0.064

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.003
As favourite+0.153

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.234
Conceded when ahead+0.354
Conceded late (76+)-0.274

Ahead vs level +0.14 · Behind vs level +0.24

Leeds United · 4 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.18) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.73

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.184
Early press (0-15, level)-0.104
Late push (76+, level)-0.473

Game state

When ahead+0.173
When level-0.264
10 min after conceding-0.642
10 min after scoring+0.734

Situations

At home-0.092
Away-0.242
4+ days rest-0.184

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.313
Evenly matched-0.143

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.174
Conceded when ahead+0.023
Conceded late (76+)+0.113

Ahead vs level +0.43 · Behind vs level -0.14

Chelsea

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 2 · scoring 6 · conceding 9

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-14 67%3.04.250.252.820.76
3-4-2-12 33%1.52.01.51.441.51

Leeds United

Current: unbeaten 4 · wins 1 · scoring 4 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-13 60%0.671.01.332.692.86
3-4-1-21 20%3.03.01.02.510.68
4-2-3-11 20%3.03.00.01.991.28

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.0h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.05Home 46% P 47%3.8Draw 25% P 25%3.25Away 29% P 28%

Double Chance

1.28Chelsea or Draw 37%1.28Chelsea or Leeds 37%1.8Draw or Leeds 26%

Draw No Bet

1.51 62%2.52 38%

Both Teams To Score

1.75Yes 53%2.0No 47%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.9Over 50% P 56%1.9Under 50% P 44%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.46 - 8 26%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%

Number of Cards

3.51.61Over 58%2.2Under 42%
4.52.1Over 44%1.66Under 56%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 45–47.5% · away 27.5–30% · 305 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home47%46%50%+4.6
Draw25%26%23%-2.4
Away28%28%26%-2.2

In those fixtures: 3.0 goals a game · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 55%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 55–57.5% · 2,507 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.556%56%56%-0.2

Jarred Gillett

Career
179 matches · 9 seasons
Cards / match
3.73 (3.64 yellow · 0.07 red)
Fouls / match
21.1 · 5.6 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.24
Cards to home side
49%

Style in FA Cup (5-year window · 9 matches)

Fewer than 10 matches with card data in this league — averages only: 3.67 cards, 16.3 fouls per match.

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-04-19 60 261 52'9
2026-04-10 40 180 9'5
2026-03-21 · Leeds United 20 150 38'13
2026-03-08 50 181 62'8
2026-03-04 · Chelsea 50 190 32'14
2026-02-28 60 270 33'13
2026-02-21 30 230 12'11
2026-02-07 · Chelsea 20 192 45'12
2026-01-25 30 190 27'12
2026-01-17 80 290 1'14