KickoffDNA
0 live
Sign in
Championship · Promotion Play-offs - Final
Hull CityHull City
1–0
FT
MiddlesbroughMID

Momentum

– Hull CityMID –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Promotion Play-offs - Final

Venue

Stadium
Wembley Stadium, London · neutral
Capacity
90,000
Surface
grass
Attendance
84,506

Teams

Coaches
Sergej Jakirović · Kim Hellberg
Position
1 · 2
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Jarred Gillett

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
28.2° (feels 27.6°)
Wind
4.6
Humidity
36%

Where to watch · 185

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Hull City

DLWDW 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 7 GA 5 · xG 7.38–6.97 · xPts 7.37

  • W A Millwall 2–0 xG 1.93–1.02 UK CHAMP
  • D H Millwall 0–0 xG 0.46–0.76 UK CHAMP
  • W H Norwich City 2–1 xG 1.9–1.26 UK CHAMP
  • L A Charlton Athletic 1–2 xG 1.25–0.56 UK CHAMP
  • D A Leicester City 2–2 xG 1.83–3.36 UK CHAMP

Middlesbrough

WWDDL 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 9 GA 5 · xG 9.68–6.97 · xPts 8.71

  • L A Southampton 1–2 aet xG 0.92–2.4 UK CHAMP
  • D H Southampton 0–0 xG 2.24–0.73 UK CHAMP
  • D A Wrexham 2–2 xG 2.36–2.04 UK CHAMP
  • W H Watford 5–1 xG 2.51–1.13 UK CHAMP
  • W H Sheffield Wednesday 1–0 xG 1.63–0.68 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 32 matches since 2007

Hull City 125 draws15 Middlesbrough

Goals 43–51 · 2.94 per match · BTTS 59% · over 2.5 56%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Hull City 41 draws5 Middlesbrough

Goals 11–17 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Hull City 20 draws3 Middlesbrough

Goals 4–8 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • W Hull City 1–0 Middlesbrough neutral UK CHAMP · Promotion Play-offs - Final
  • W Middlesbrough 0–1 Hull City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Hull City 1–4 Middlesbrough UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Hull City 0–1 Middlesbrough UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Middlesbrough 3–1 Hull City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Hull City 2–2 Middlesbrough UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Middlesbrough 1–2 Hull City neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Middlesbrough 3–1 Hull City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Hull City 1–3 Middlesbrough UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Middlesbrough 0–1 Hull City neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricHull City all · 49Hull City at home · 25Middlesbrough all · 49Middlesbrough away · 25
Results
Matches49254925
Points per game1.631.681.651.52
W / D / L23 / 11 / 1512 / 6 / 722 / 15 / 1210 / 8 / 7
Goals for / match1.491.441.491.56
Goals against / match1.351.361.021.28
Clean sheets29%28%29%16%
Failed to score18%24%26%24%
Both teams scored61%60%55%64%
Over 2.561%56%53%64%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.371.461.591.55
xG against / match1.661.421.051.15
xG difference-0.290.040.530.40
Finishing vs xG0.12-0.02-0.100.01
xPts / match1.251.411.701.60
Points vs xPts0.380.27-0.04-0.08
Game state
Scored first57%48%53%52%
PPG when scoring first2.182.422.462.31
PPG when conceding first0.881.000.670.64
Came back from behind35%36%46%50%
Leads held72%80%79%71%
Minutes leading30%28%32%31%
Minutes level53%54%49%47%
Minutes trailing17%18%19%22%
First goal (min)32303736
First goal conceded (min)40384645
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half45%42%51%49%
Goals conceded in 2nd half52%41%55%52%
Late goals for (76'+)0.270.200.220.28
Late goals against0.310.240.290.28
Style
Possession45%47%59%58%
Shots11.111.216.215.3
On target4.13.84.84.5
Shot conversion13%13%9%10%
Shots inside box68%68%64%65%
Big chances created2.22.12.42.5
Corners4.44.26.85.8
xG from set plays21%27%24%18%
Goals from headers14%9%12%10%
Pressure index9.311.019.718.4
Dominant minutes39.846.763.163.2
Pass accuracy72%73%84%84%
Fouls11.210.89.39.5
Cards2.552.081.612.12

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Hull City

0–15'117
16–30'1413
31–45'1512
46–60'910
61–75'119
76–90'1315

Middlesbrough

0–15'97
16–30'1010
31–45'175
46–60'136
61–75'138
76–90'1113

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Hull City · 4 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.42) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.57

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.424
Early press (0-15, level)-0.574
Late push (76+, level)-0.503

Game state

When ahead-0.363
When level-0.444
10 min after scoring+0.133

Situations

At home-0.452
Away-0.392
4+ days rest-0.424

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.393
As underdog-0.424

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.364
Conceded when ahead+0.573
Conceded late (76+)+0.274

Ahead vs level +0.08 · Behind vs level -0.08

Middlesbrough · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.38) · stands out: when behind +1.00

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.387
Early press (0-15, level)+0.477
Late push (76+, level)+0.294

Game state

When ahead+0.196
When level+0.237
When behind+1.004
10 min after conceding+0.276
10 min after scoring+0.697

Situations

At home+0.464
Away+0.263
3 days rest or fewer+0.822
4+ days rest+0.205

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.415
v bottom-tier opponents+0.282
As favourite+0.435
Evenly matched+0.262

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.137
Conceded when ahead-0.116
Conceded late (76+)-0.417

Congested vs rested +0.61 · Ahead vs level -0.04 · Behind vs level +0.77

Hull City

Current: unbeaten 8 · winless 2 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-136 74%1.641.611.441.491.76
3-4-2-16 12%1.51.01.171.091.37
4-4-22 4%3.01.50.51.091.08
3-4-1-22 4%0.51.52.01.251.52
3-5-21 2%3.01.00.00.521.73

Middlesbrough

Current: unbeaten 5 · winless 1 · scoring 7 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-114 29%1.431.140.931.521.11
4-2-3-111 22%2.452.00.731.541.13
4-2-2-28 16%0.750.630.881.921.08
4-4-25 10%2.42.41.61.131.07
4-1-4-13 6%1.672.00.672.480.61

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

4.2Home 22% P 23%3.4Draw 27% P 27%1.85Away 50% P 51%

Double Chance

1.83Hull or Draw 15%1.28Hull or Middlesbrough 21%1.3Hull or Southampton 20%1.22Draw or Middlesbrough 22%1.18Draw or Southampton 23%

Draw No Bet

3.01 31%1.362 69%

Both Teams To Score

1.9Yes 49%1.8No 51%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.2Over 43% P 45%1.66Under 57% P 55%

Total Corners

15.0Under 6 6%4.06 - 8 22%2.629 - 11 33%3.412 - 14 25%6.0Over 14 14%

Number of Cards

4.51.83Over 50% P 47%1.83Under 50% P 53%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 22.5–25% · away 50–52.5% · 348 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home23%24%27%+3.4
Draw27%25%29%+3.7
Away51%51%44%-7.1

In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 54%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 45–47.5% · 2,885 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.545%46%45%-1.2

Jarred Gillett

Career
179 matches · 9 seasons
Cards / match
3.73 (3.64 yellow · 0.07 red)
Fouls / match
21.1 · 5.6 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.24
Cards to home side
49%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 20 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match2.954.05-1.990
Fouls / match19.521.8-2.10
Fouls per card6.65.4+1.55 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.10.17-1.0710
Time added6.67.2-0.7218
First card
46' on average
Card timing
10% in first 30' · 33% in last 15'
Cards to home side
52% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-05-17 40 190 59'10
2026-05-11 40 191 41'15
2026-05-02 10 190 23'7
2026-04-26 70 270 60'12
2026-04-19 · Middlesbrough 60 261 52'9
2026-04-10 40 180 9'5
2026-03-21 20 150 38'13
2026-03-08 50 181 62'8
2026-03-04 50 190 32'14
2026-02-28 60 270 33'13