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Eredivisie · Conference League Play-offs - Final

Momentum

AjaxFC Utrecht
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Conference League Play-offs - Final

Venue

Stadium
Kras Stadion, Volendam · neutral
Capacity
7,384
Surface
artificial turf

Teams

Coaches
Óscar García Junyent · Ron Jans
Position
1 · 2
Formation
4-3-3 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Allard Lindhout

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
24.7° (feels 24.6°)
Wind
0.9
Humidity
52%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 PSV 342734 1014556 84 WWDWW
2 Feyenoord 341987 704426 65 DWWDW
3 NEC Nijmegen 3416117 775324 59 DDDLW
4 FC Twente 3415136 594019 58 WDDWL
5 Ajax 3414146 624121 56 WWDLD
6 FC Utrecht 3415811 554213 53 WLWWW
7 AZ Alkmaar 34141010 58517 52 WDDDD
8 SC Heerenveen 3414911 57534 51 LWWLD
9 FC Groningen 3414614 49454 48 DLLWW
10 Sparta Rotterdam 3412715 4062-22 43 LLDLL
11 Fortuna Sittard 3411617 4963-14 39 DLLWL
12 Go Ahead Eagles 3481412 54531 38 DDDLL
13 Excelsior 3410816 4356-13 38 DWWDW
14 Telstar 3491015 4955-6 37 LWDWW
15 PEC Zwolle 3491015 4471-27 37 DLWLL
16 FC Volendam 348818 3555-20 32 LWLDL
17 NAC Breda 3461117 3558-23 29 DLLWD
18 Heracles Almelo 345425 3585-50 19 LLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers Play-off
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Ajax

WDLDW 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 7 GA 4 · xG 7.69–8.11 · xPts 6.82

  • W H FC Groningen 2–0 xG 1.82–0.24 NLD E
  • D A SC Heerenveen 0–0 xG 1.77–2.41 NLD E
  • L H FC Utrecht 1–2 xG 1.27–1.73 NLD E
  • D H PSV 2–2 xG 1.13–1.81 NLD E
  • W A NAC Breda 2–0 xG 1.7–1.92 NLD E

FC Utrecht

LWWWW 4W 0D 1L · 12 pts (2.4 ppg) · GF 9 GA 8 · xG 10.21–6.44 · xPts 9.2

  • W H SC Heerenveen 3–2 xG 2.19–1.29 NLD E
  • W H Fortuna Sittard 2–0 xG 2.35–0.6 NLD E
  • W A Ajax 2–1 xG 1.73–1.27 NLD E
  • W H NAC Breda 2–0 xG 3.07–0.53 NLD E
  • L A Excelsior 0–5 xG 0.87–2.76 NLD E

All meetings · 42 matches since 2005

Ajax 1810 draws14 FC Utrecht

Goals 70–54 · 2.95 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 52%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Ajax 42 draws4 FC Utrecht

Goals 18–16 · 3.4 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 70%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Ajax 02 draws3 FC Utrecht

Goals 5–11 · 3.2 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • D Ajax 1–1 FC Utrecht pens None–None neutral NLD E · Conference League Play-offs - Final
  • L Ajax 1–2 FC Utrecht NLD E · Regular Season
  • L FC Utrecht 2–1 Ajax NLD E · Regular Season
  • L FC Utrecht 4–0 Ajax NLD E · Regular Season
  • D Ajax 2–2 FC Utrecht NLD E · Regular Season
  • W Ajax 2–0 FC Utrecht NLD E · Regular Season
  • L FC Utrecht 4–3 Ajax NLD E · Regular Season
  • W Ajax 3–1 FC Utrecht NLD E · Regular Season
  • W FC Utrecht 0–2 Ajax neutral NLD E · Regular Season
  • W FC Utrecht 0–3 Ajax neutral NLD E · Regular Season
MetricAjax all · 36Ajax at home · 19FC Utrecht all · 36FC Utrecht away · 18
Results
Matches36193618
Points per game1.671.841.581.17
W / D / L15 / 15 / 610 / 5 / 416 / 9 / 115 / 6 / 7
Goals for / match1.811.841.641.39
Goals against / match1.170.951.251.67
Clean sheets31%37%25%17%
Failed to score8%5%17%17%
Both teams scored67%58%61%72%
Over 2.556%47%50%56%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.722.021.681.54
xG against / match1.481.371.431.82
xG difference0.240.650.25-0.28
Finishing vs xG0.08-0.17-0.05-0.16
xPts / match1.521.751.551.26
Points vs xPts0.150.100.04-0.10
Game state
Scored first58%74%56%33%
PPG when scoring first2.242.432.302.17
PPG when conceding first0.850.200.670.64
Came back from behind60%20%39%42%
Leads held62%71%73%71%
Minutes leading37%46%30%19%
Minutes level46%44%46%48%
Minutes trailing16%10%24%34%
First goal (min)34314350
First goal conceded (min)41484538
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half42%38%60%62%
Goals conceded in 2nd half58%59%64%59%
Late goals for (76'+)0.330.470.390.44
Late goals against0.280.260.360.44
Style
Possession56%57%46%46%
Shots14.916.315.313.2
On target5.96.55.55.1
Shot conversion12%11%11%10%
Shots inside box68%69%68%66%
Big chances created2.83.22.62.2
Corners4.95.45.35.2
xG from set plays20%22%31%30%
Goals from headers16%11%24%24%
Pressure index16.018.111.811.2
Dominant minutes56.763.945.843.9
Pass accuracy85%86%79%78%
Fouls10.310.710.911.3
Cards1.811.421.531.89

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Ajax

0–15'106
16–30'125
31–45'156
46–60'128
61–75'47
76–90'119

FC Utrecht

0–15'76
16–30'45
31–45'125
46–60'1212
61–75'104
76–90'1312

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Ajax · 12 matches

Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.65) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) +0.90

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.6512
Early press (0-15, level)+0.9012
Late push (76+, level)+0.053

Game state

When ahead+0.6811
When level+0.8012
When behind-0.184
10 min after conceding-0.219
10 min after scoring+0.8112

Situations

At home+0.686
Away+0.626
3 days rest or fewer+0.544
4+ days rest+0.708

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.735
As favourite+0.7311

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.1912
Conceded when ahead-0.2911
Conceded late (76+)-0.399

Congested vs rested -0.17 · Ahead vs level -0.12 · Behind vs level -0.98

FC Utrecht · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.07) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.36

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.076
Early press (0-15, level)+0.186
Late push (76+, level)-0.253
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.364

Game state

When ahead+0.083
When level-0.206
When behind-0.034
10 min after conceding-0.116
10 min after scoring-0.096

Situations

At home-0.263
Away+0.103
4+ days rest-0.076

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.552
v mid-tier opponents+0.153
Evenly matched-0.004

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.256
Conceded when ahead-0.163
Conceded late (76+)-0.116

Ahead vs level +0.28 · Behind vs level +0.17

Ajax

Current: unbeaten 2 · wins 2 · scoring 14 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-325 69%1.61.881.161.811.52
4-2-3-18 22%1.381.381.381.541.38
5-4-12 6%3.02.00.01.261.64
4-3-2-11 3%3.03.02.01.841.02

FC Utrecht

Current: unbeaten 2 · wins 1 · scoring 11 · conceding 8

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-124 67%1.791.711.211.781.48
4-3-38 22%1.751.50.751.521.2
4-2-2-21 3%0.01.02.01.511.5
4-4-21 3%0.01.02.01.71.59
4-4-1-11 3%0.01.02.01.210.53

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.1Home 45% P 45%3.6Draw 26% P 26%3.2Away 29% P 29%

Double Chance

1.28Ajax or Draw 37%1.28Ajax or FC Utrecht 37%1.8Draw or FC Utrecht 26%

Draw No Bet

1.441 65%2.622 35%

Both Teams To Score

1.57Yes 59%2.25No 41%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.66Over 56% P 57%2.15Under 44% P 43%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.26 - 8 28%2.69 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%

Number of Cards

4.52.2Over 42%1.61Under 58%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 42.5–45% · away 27.5–30% · 766 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home45%44%43%-0.3
Draw26%28%30%+2.4
Away29%29%26%-2.1

In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 52%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 55–57.5% · 2,507 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.557%56%56%-0.2

Allard Lindhout

Career
254 matches · 13 seasons
Cards / match
3.04 (2.89 yellow · 0.12 red)
Fouls / match
21.7 · 6.8 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.23
Cards to home side
45%

Style in Eredivisie (5-year window · 108 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.03.32-0.7718
Fouls / match18.720.3-1.03
Fouls per card6.76.2+0.45 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.240.24+0.1255
Time added6.06.4-0.829
First card
46' on average
Card timing
8% in first 30' · 38% in last 15'
Cards to home side
48% (league 44%)
VAR events / match
1.1

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-05-17 40 260 40'5
2026-05-02 · Ajax 30 210 75'5
2026-04-05 30 150 58'6
2026-03-15 11 2
2026-02-28 30 230 21'8
2026-02-22 40 210 31'9
2026-02-07 30 280 15'5
2026-02-01 41 160 9'4
2026-01-24 20 180 55'7
2026-01-10 10 190 45'6