KickoffDNA
0 live
Serie A · Matchweek 5

Momentum

VeneziaLazio
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
5

Venue

Stadium
Stadio Pierluigi Penzo, Venezia
Capacity
11,150
Surface
grass

Teams

Coaches
Giovanni Stroppa · Gennaro Gattuso
Position
20 · 4
Formation
3-5-2 · 4-3-3

Referee

Simone Sozza

Weather

Conditions
moderate rain
Temperature
20.3° (feels 20.6°)
Wind
4.2
Humidity
83%

Where to watch · 78

  • Albania Tring Sport 1
  • Algeria STARZPLAY
  • Andorra DAZN
  • Anguilla Disney+ Premium Caribbean
  • Argentina Disney+ Premium
  • Austria DAZN · DAZN Austria
  • Bahamas Disney+ Premium Caribbean
  • Bahrain STARZPLAY
  • Belgium DAZN
  • Bolivia Disney+ Premium
  • Brazil Disney+ Premium
  • Canada fuboTV
  • Chile Disney+ Premium
  • Colombia Disney+ Premium Sur
  • Costa Rica Disney+ Premium Norte
  • Cuba Disney+ Premium Caribbean
  • Cyprus Cablenet TV Go · Cytavision on the Go · Cytavision PPV4 · Cytavision Sports 4
  • Denmark TV2 · TV2 Play
  • Dominican Republic Disney+ Premium Caribbean · Disney+ Premium Norte
  • Ecuador Disney+ Premium Sur
  • Egypt STARZPLAY
  • El Salvador Disney+ Premium Norte
  • England DAZN
  • Finland MTV Katsomo
  • France DAZN
  • Germany DAZN · DAZN Germany
  • Greece Magenta Sport
  • Guatemala Disney+ Premium Norte
  • Haiti Disney+ Premium Caribbean
  • Honduras Disney+ Premium Norte
  • Indonesia Vidio · Vidio TV
  • Iran STARZPLAY
  • Italy DAZN
  • Jamaica Disney+ Premium Caribbean
  • Japan DAZN
  • Jordan STARZPLAY
  • Kosovo TV Vala
  • Kuwait STARZPLAY
  • Lebanon STARZPLAY
  • Mexico Disney+ Premium
  • Monaco DAZN
  • Morocco STARZPLAY
  • Nicaragua Disney+ Premium Norte
  • Northern Ireland DAZN
  • Norway VG+ · VGTV
  • Oman STARZPLAY
  • Palestine STARZPLAY
  • Panama Disney+ Premium Norte
  • Paraguay Disney+ Premium
  • Peru Disney+ Premium
  • Puerto Rico Disney+ Premium Caribbean
  • Qatar STARZPLAY
  • Republic of Ireland DAZN
  • Saint Lucia Disney+ Premium Caribbean
  • Saudi Arabia STARZPLAY
  • Scotland DAZN
  • Spain DAZN
  • Sweden TV4 Play · tv4play
  • Switzerland DAZN
  • Trinidad and Tobago Disney+ Premium Caribbean
  • Tunisia STARZPLAY
  • Turkey S Sport
  • United Arab Emirates STARZPLAY
  • United States Paramount+
  • Uruguay Disney+ Premium
  • Venezuela Disney+ Premium Sur
  • Wales DAZN
  • Yemen STARZPLAY

2026/2027

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Roma 4400 12111 12 WWWW
2 Inter 4400 1367 12 WWWW
3 Como 4310 945 10 DWWW
4 Lazio 4310 633 10 WWWD
5 Cagliari 4301 422 9 WLWW
6 AC Milan 4220 743 8 WWDD
7 Frosinone 4211 743 7 LWWD
8 Juventus 4211 642 7 WWDL
9 Sassuolo 4211 871 7 LWDW
10 Napoli 4202 651 6 WLLW
11 Atalanta 4202 550 6 WWLL
12 Lecce 4202 57-2 6 WLLW
13 Udinese 4112 810-2 4 DWLL
14 Torino 4103 47-3 3 LLWL
15 Fiorentina 4103 511-6 3 LLLW
16 Bologna 4013 25-3 1 LLDL
17 Parma 4013 26-4 1 LLDL
18 Monza 4013 611-5 1 LLDL
19 Genoa 4013 28-6 1 LLLD
20 Venezia 4004 411-7 0 LLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation

Venezia

LLLL 0W 0D 4L · 0 pts (0.0 ppg) · GF 4 GA 11 · xG 6.14–8.74 · xPts 4.37

  • L H Fiorentina 2–4 xG 0.64–2.99 ITA SA
  • L A Frosinone 2–3 xG 2.25–1.27 ITA SA
  • L A AC Milan 0–2 xG 1.05–2.57 ITA SA
  • L H Lecce 0–2 xG 2.21–1.9 ITA SA

Lazio

WWWWD 4W 1D 0L · 13 pts (2.6 ppg) · GF 8 GA 4 · xG 6.74–6.67 · xPts 7.14

  • D H AC Milan 2–2 xG 1.83–1.44 ITA SA
  • W A Udinese 2–1 xG 1.87–0.87 ITA SA
  • W H Genoa 1–0 xG 1.15–0.56 ITA SA
  • W A Bologna 1–0 xG 0.64–2.31 ITA SA
  • W H Pisa 2–1 xG 1.25–1.49 ITA SA

small sample 4 meetings 2021–2025 · 1 on neutral ground

Last 4

Venezia 01 draws3 Lazio

Goals 2–7 · Venezia hosting: 0W 1D 1L · Lazio hosting: 1W 0D 0L

At Stadio Pierluigi Penzo: 2 meetings · Venezia 0 · draws 1 · Lazio 1 · 2.0 goals per match · last away win Dec 2021

All-time since 2021: 4 meetings · Venezia 0 · draws 1 · Lazio 3

  • Venezia have never beaten Lazio in 4 meetings
  • Lazio unbeaten in the last 4 meetings

This fixture vs the league league = last 365 days

MetricFixtureLeagueΔn
Goals per match2.252.51-0.264
Both teams score50%47%+3%4
Over 2.5 goals50%48%+2%4
Corners10.38.8+1.54
Cards4.54.0+0.54

1 goalless · 2 with 4+ goals · 1.25 first-half goals per match · red card in 1

How these games go · 4 with event data

VeneziaLazio
Scored first1 of 42 of 4
Scored first and won02
Won from behind01

first goal on average in minute 21 · a side came back in 1 · goal after the 75th minute in 2 · penalty scored in 2

When the goals come · all goals, 3 meetings

0-15'3
16-30'1
31-45'1
46-60'2
61-75'0
76-90'2

2 equalisers · 2 penalties · 1 own goal

Expected goals · last 2 with xG

Venezia 0.84 xGper match1.52 xG Lazio

Deserved on xG: Venezia 0 · level 1 · Lazio 1 — actual wins in those games 0 / 1

Against the market · 4 with closing odds

Favourite won 3 (75%), drew 1, upset 0 · market favoured Venezia 0×, Lazio 4× · avg favourite 62%, avg price of the actual result 53%

Fixture specialists

  • 1 Mattia Zaccagni  Lazio · last Aug 2024
  • 1 Magnus Kofod Andersen Venezia · last Aug 2024
  • 1 Taty Castellanos Lazio · last Aug 2024
  • 1 Ciro Immobile Lazio · last Mar 2022
  • 1 Pedro Lazio · last Dec 2021

Last meeting · 2025-02-22 · ITA SA

Venezia 0-0 Lazio · ref Matteo Marchetti

xG 0.87 – 0.94 · corners 12 · cards 6

KickoffDNA model engine-only-1.1.0 · day before ·

Match result

22.1%Venezia P 25%26.2%Draw P 26%51.7%Lazio P 49%

Over / under 2.5

44.3%Over 2.5 P 54%55.7%Under 2.5 P 46%

Both teams to score

47.2%Yes52.8%No

Expected

Venezia goals
0.91 (0–2)
Lazio goals
1.54 (0–3)
Corners
7.52 (4–11)
Cards
4.27 (2–7)

Provider model (SportMonks)

Match result

41.7%Venezia26.2%Draw32.1%Lazio

Over / under 2.5

58.6%Over 2.541.4%Under 2.5

Both teams to score

60.1%Yes39.9%No

Model probabilities are independent of the market; bookmaker figures are shown only as a benchmark.

All meetings · 4 matches since 2021

Venezia 01 draws3 Lazio

Goals 2–7 · 2.25 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 4 matches

Venezia 01 draws3 Lazio

Goals 2–7 · 2.25 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 4 matches

Venezia 01 draws3 Lazio

Goals 2–7 · 2.25 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Recent meetings

  • D Venezia 0–0 Lazio ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Lazio 3–1 Venezia ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Lazio 1–0 Venezia neutral ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Venezia 1–3 Lazio ITA SA · Regular Season
MetricVenezia all · 4Venezia at home · 2Lazio all · 4Lazio away · 2

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Venezia · 4 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.22) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.25

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.224
Early press (0-15, level)+0.064
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.204

Game state

When level+0.244
When behind+0.224
10 min after conceding-0.254
10 min after scoring-0.012

Situations

At home+0.612
Away-0.162
4+ days rest+0.224

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.462
Evenly matched+0.182

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.104
Conceded late (76+)+0.134

Ahead vs level -0.53 · Behind vs level -0.02

Lazio · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.03) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.62

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.034
Early press (0-15, level)+0.254
Late push (76+, level)-0.102

Game state

When ahead+0.134
When level-0.104
10 min after conceding-0.612
10 min after scoring+0.624

Situations

At home-0.172
Away+0.232
4+ days rest+0.034

Opposition

Evenly matched+0.173

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.004
Conceded when ahead-0.064
Conceded late (76+)-0.244

Ahead vs level +0.23 · Behind vs level +0.30

Venezia

Current: winless 6 · scoring 2 · conceding 10

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-5-24 100%0.01.02.751.532.18

Lazio

Current: unbeaten 5 · winless 1 · scoring 5 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-34 100%2.51.50.751.371.29

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 94 snapshots · last 26.8h before kick-off · biggest step: away +1.1 pts at 2.0d

3.91Home 25% ▼ -2.2 ptsopened 3.63.7Draw 26% · -1.0 ptsopened 3.581.96Away 49% ▲ +3.2 ptsopened 2.1
4d3d2d24h12h6h1hKO 30%40%50%

Home Draw Away consensus of 7 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

BookmakerHomeDrawAwayLast
Pinnacle3.91 ▼ -2.23.7 · -1.01.96 ▲ +3.226.8h
bet3654.0 ▼ -3.23.5 · -0.61.9 ▲ +3.926.8h
Betfair4.0 ▼ -1.23.6 ▼ -1.41.95 ▲ +2.626.8h
BetVictor3.7 ▼ -1.73.7 · -0.91.93 ▲ +2.626.8h
Coral3.6 · -0.63.5 · +0.22.05 · +0.326.8h
Ladbrokes3.5 · -0.93.5 · -0.12.0 · +1.026.8h
WilliamHill3.6 ▼ -2.13.4 · -0.61.95 ▲ +2.726.8h

Latest prices

bet365 · last snapshot 26.8h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

4.0Home 24% P 25%3.5Draw 27% P 26%1.9Away 50% P 49%

Double Chance

1.83Venezia or Draw 26%1.28Venezia or Lazio 37%1.25Draw or Lazio 38%

Draw No Bet

2.751 34%1.42 66%

Both Teams To Score

1.66Yes 56%2.1No 44%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.8Over 53% P 54%2.0Under 47% P 46%

Total Corners

7.0Under 6 12%2.756 - 8 32%2.759 - 11 32%5.012 - 14 17%13.0Over 14 7%

Number of Cards

4.51.9Over 49% P 47%1.8Under 51% P 53%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 22.5–25% · away 47.5–50% · 385 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home25%24%22%-2.1
Draw26%27%28%+1.0
Away49%49%50%+1.1

In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 51% · over 2.5 50%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 52.5–55% · 2,940 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.554%54%54%+0.8

Simone Sozza

Career
103 matches · 8 seasons
Cards / match
4.63 (4.41 yellow · 0.15 red)
Fouls / match
25.2 · 5.4 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.49
Cards to home side
48%

Style in Serie A (5-year window · 69 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.484.49-0.0249
Fouls / match25.725.2+0.40
Fouls per card5.75.6-0.09 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.480.31+1.2485
Time added6.36.4-0.2427
First card
34' on average
Card timing
15% in first 30' · 32% in last 15'
Cards to home side
48% (league 46%)
VAR events / match
1.42

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-09-08 40 211 38'8
2026-09-05 30 120 35'9
2026-08-27 40 251 37'4
2026-08-13 52 201 43'8
2026-05-24 41 221 35'7
2026-05-17 50 271 48'11
2026-04-26 50 200 21'7
2026-04-05 10 210 60'5
2026-03-19 20 230 23'5
2026-03-08 51 461 44'10