Udinese v Cagliari · KickoffDNA

Serie A · Matchweek 5

UdineseUdinese

–

CagliariCagliari

Momentum

– UdineseCagliari –

now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Stats

Waiting for statistics…

Season context

Udinese	at home	Stat	league	away	Cagliari
41.0 #19	–	Ball possession	50.0	–	42.0 #18
11.2 #17	–	Shots total	14.6	–	12.2 #14
4.8 #9	–	Shots on target	4.9	–	4.8 #9
1.8 #20	–	Corners	4.7	–	4.8 #10
11.8 #8	–	Fouls	11.2	–	10.8 #11
1.0 #15	–	Offsides	2.1	–	2.5 #7
15.8 #10	–	Tackles	16.0	–	15.0 #12
88.8 #13	–	Attacks	92.8	–	79.5 #18
29.2 #20	–	Dangerous attacks	44.7	–	32.5 #17
377.8 #17	–	Passes	459.1	–	416.8 #11
2.2 #2	–	Yellowcards	1.5	–	1.2 #12
1.5 #5	–	Assists	1.2	–	0.8 #16
– #1	–	Btts	60.0	–	– #17
– #11	–	Cleansheet	20.0	–	– #2
– #2	–	Draw	15.0	–	– #12
1.1 #15	–	Expected goals	1.5	–	1.1 #16
0.9 #1	–	Expected goals difference	-0.0	–	-0.1 #13
– #10	–	Failed to score	20.0	–	– #7
2.0 #4	1.0	Goals	1.5	1.5	1.0 #15
2.5 #4	1.5	Goals conceded	1.5	0.5	0.5 #19
0.2 #8	–	Injury time goals	0.5	–	–
8.2 #10	–	Interceptions	8.5	–	11.0 #3
– #8	–	Lost	42.5	–	– #12
–	–	Penalties scored	0.1	–	0.2 #1
6.8 #12	–	Rating	6.8	–	6.9 #8
2.5 #15	–	Shots blocked	3.6	–	2.2 #17
8.0 #13	–	Shots insidebox	9.6	–	7.2 #17
4.0 #19	–	Shots off target	6.0	–	5.2 #12
3.2 #16	–	Shots outsidebox	4.9	–	5.0 #9
– #13	–	Win	42.5	–	– #3

Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 20.

League this season · 2026/2027

Played: 37 of 380
Goals / match: 2.92 (home 1.41 · away 1.51)
Home / draw / away: 41% · 16% · 43%
BTTS · over 2.5: 59% · 57%
Cards / match: 3.19 (reds 0.03)

Lineups

Waiting for lineups…

Bench

Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad

Udinese · Last 365 days

Oumar Solet 28 · Centre Back

Rating 7.08 (94th pct) · G+A 3 + 1 (8% of team goals) · 83% of minutes

Team 1.26 ppg with (34) · 0.8 without (5)

Jurgen Ekkelenkamp 32 · Central Midfield

Rating 7.0 (79th pct) · G+A 7 + 4 (22% of team goals) · 72% of minutes

Team 1.29 ppg with (31) · 0.88 without (8)

Nicolò Zaniolo 10 · Secondary Striker

Rating 6.99 (78th pct) · G+A 5 + 6 (22% of team goals) · 66% of minutes

Team 1.31 ppg with (29) · 0.9 without (10)

All key players

Cagliari · Last 365 days

Adam Obert 33 · Left Back

Rating 6.84 (61th pct) · G+A 0 + 3 (7% of team goals) · 82% of minutes

Team 1.26 ppg with (34) · 1.0 without (5)

Michel Adopo 8 · Central Midfield

Rating 6.71 (16th pct) · G+A 1 + 4 (12% of team goals) · 90% of minutes

Team 1.21 ppg with (34) · 1.4 without (5)

Yerry Mina 26 · Centre Back

Rating 6.85 (64th pct) · G+A 1 + 1 (5% of team goals) · 54% of minutes

Team 1.42 ppg with (24) · 0.93 without (15)

All key players

Competition

Stage: Regular Season
Round: 5

Venue

Stadium: Dacia Arena, Udine
Capacity: 25,132
Surface: grass

Teams

Coaches: Kosta Runjaic · Fabio Pisacane
Position: 13 · 5
Formation: 3-4-2-1 · 4-4-2

Referee

Gianluca Manganiello

Weather

Conditions: light rain
Temperature: 23.8° (feels 23.9°)
Wind: 2.4
Humidity: 64%

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2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Roma	4	4	0	0	12	1	11	12	WWWW
2	Inter	4	4	0	0	13	6	7	12	WWWW
3	Como	4	3	1	0	9	4	5	10	DWWW
4	Lazio	4	3	1	0	6	3	3	10	WWWD
5	Cagliari	4	3	0	1	4	2	2	9	WLWW
6	AC Milan	4	2	2	0	7	4	3	8	WWDD
7	Frosinone	4	2	1	1	7	4	3	7	LWWD
8	Juventus	4	2	1	1	6	4	2	7	WWDL
9	Sassuolo	4	2	1	1	8	7	1	7	LWDW
10	Napoli	4	2	0	2	6	5	1	6	WLLW
11	Atalanta	4	2	0	2	5	5	0	6	WWLL
12	Lecce	4	2	0	2	5	7	-2	6	WLLW
13	Udinese	4	1	1	2	8	10	-2	4	DWLL
14	Torino	4	1	0	3	4	7	-3	3	LLWL
15	Fiorentina	4	1	0	3	5	11	-6	3	LLLW
16	Bologna	4	0	1	3	2	5	-3	1	LLDL
17	Parma	4	0	1	3	2	6	-4	1	LLDL
18	Monza	4	0	1	3	6	11	-5	1	LLDL
19	Genoa	4	0	1	3	2	8	-6	1	LLLD
20	Venezia	4	0	0	4	4	11	-7	0	LLLL

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Inter	3	3	0	0	12	6	6	9	WWWW
2	Roma	2	2	0	0	6	1	5	6	WWWW
3	Sassuolo	2	2	0	0	5	3	2	6	LWDW
4	Atalanta	3	2	0	1	4	3	1	6	WWLL
5	Juventus	2	1	1	0	3	1	2	4	WWDL
6	Lazio	2	1	1	0	3	2	1	4	WWWD
7	AC Milan	1	1	0	0	2	0	2	3	WWDD
8	Como	1	1	0	0	2	1	1	3	DWWW
9	Frosinone	2	1	0	1	3	3	0	3	LWWD
10	Napoli	2	1	0	1	2	2	0	3	WLLW
11	Cagliari	2	1	0	1	1	1	0	3	WLWW
12	Lecce	2	1	0	1	3	6	-3	3	WLLW
13	Bologna	2	0	1	1	2	3	-1	1	LLDL
14	Udinese	2	0	1	1	2	3	-1	1	DWLL
15	Parma	2	0	1	1	1	2	-1	1	LLDL
16	Genoa	3	0	1	2	2	7	-5	1	LLLD
17	Monza	1	0	0	1	2	3	-1	0	LLDL
18	Torino	2	0	0	2	1	4	-3	0	LLWL
19	Venezia	2	0	0	2	2	6	-4	0	LLLL
20	Fiorentina	2	0	0	2	1	5	-4	0	LLLW

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Como	3	2	1	0	7	3	4	7	DWWW
2	Roma	2	2	0	0	6	0	6	6	WWWW
3	Cagliari	2	2	0	0	3	1	2	6	WLWW
4	Lazio	2	2	0	0	3	1	2	6	WWWD
5	AC Milan	3	1	2	0	5	4	1	5	WWDD
6	Frosinone	2	1	1	0	4	1	3	4	LWWD
7	Napoli	2	1	0	1	4	3	1	3	WLLW
8	Lecce	2	1	0	1	2	1	1	3	WLLW
9	Inter	1	1	0	0	1	0	1	3	WWWW
10	Juventus	2	1	0	1	3	3	0	3	WWDL
11	Torino	2	1	0	1	3	3	0	3	LLWL
12	Udinese	2	1	0	1	6	7	-1	3	DWLL
13	Fiorentina	2	1	0	1	4	6	-2	3	LLLW
14	Sassuolo	2	0	1	1	3	4	-1	1	LWDW
15	Monza	3	0	1	2	4	8	-4	1	LLDL
16	Atalanta	1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	WWLL
17	Genoa	1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	LLLD
18	Bologna	2	0	0	2	0	2	-2	0	LLDL
19	Venezia	2	0	0	2	2	5	-3	0	LLLL
20	Parma	2	0	0	2	1	4	-3	0	LLDL

UEFA Champions League
UEFA Europa League
UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
Relegation

Udinese

LDWLL 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 8 GA 11 · xG 4.9–10.03 · xPts 3.86

L A Inter 3–5 xG 0.76–2.83 ITA SA
L H Lazio 1–2 xG 0.87–1.87 ITA SA
W A Monza 3–2 xG 1.11–1.62 ITA SA
D H Como 1–1 xG 1.59–1.86 ITA SA
L A Napoli 0–1 xG 0.57–1.85 ITA SA

Cagliari

WWLWW 4W 0D 1L · 12 pts (2.4 ppg) · GF 6 GA 3 · xG 6.59–8.58 · xPts 6.3

W A Atalanta 2–1 xG 1.12–1.58 ITA SA
W H Lecce 1–0 xG 1.14–0.76 ITA SA
L H Inter 0–1 xG 0.57–3.59 ITA SA
W A Parma 1–0 xG 1.24–0.88 ITA SA
W A AC Milan 2–1 xG 2.53–1.77 ITA SA

full sample 8 meetings 2021–2026

Last 8

Udinese 53 draws0 Cagliari

Goals 17–4 · Udinese hosting: 2W 2D 0L · Cagliari hosting: 0W 1D 3L

At Dacia Arena: 4 meetings · Udinese 2 · draws 2 · Cagliari 0 · 3.0 goals per match

All-time since 2006: 38 meetings · Udinese 19 · draws 9 · Cagliari 10

Udinese unbeaten in the last 8 meetings
Cagliari haven't beaten Udinese since Apr 2021

This fixture vs the league league = last 365 days

Metric	Fixture	League	Δ	n
Goals per match	2.63	2.51	+0.12	8
Both teams score	50%	47%	+3%	8
Over 2.5 goals	38%	48%	-11%	8
Corners	7.9	8.8	-0.9	8
Cards	5.1	4.0	+1.1	8

1 goalless · 2 with 4+ goals · 1.38 first-half goals per match · red card in 4

How these games go · 8 with event data

	Udinese	Cagliari
Scored first	5 of 8	2 of 8
Scored first and won	4	0
Won from behind	1	0

first goal on average in minute 28 · a side came back in 3 · goal after the 75th minute in 2

When the goals come · all goals, 7 meetings

0-15'2

16-30'2

31-45'7

46-60'5

61-75'3

76-90'2

4 equalisers · 2 headers

Expected goals · last 4 with xG

Udinese 1.85 xGper match0.86 xG Cagliari

Deserved on xG: Udinese 2 · level 2 · Cagliari 0 — actual wins in those games 3 / 0

Against the market · 8 with closing odds

Favourite won 3 (38%), drew 3, upset 2 · market favoured Udinese 6×, Cagliari 2× · avg favourite 43%, avg price of the actual result 35%

Fixture specialists

3 Beto Udinese · last Apr 2022
2 Nahuel Molina Udinese · in 2 games · last Apr 2022
2 Deulofeu Udinese · last Dec 2021
1 Adam Buksa Udinese · last May 2026
1 Idrissa Gueye Udinese · last May 2026

Last meeting · 2026-05-09 · ITA SA

Cagliari 0-2 Udinese · ref Federico Dionisi

56' Adam Buksa assist Hassane Kamara 0–1
90+6' Idrissa Gueye assist Keinan Davis 0–2

xG 1.49 – 1.90 · corners 12 · cards 2

KickoffDNA model engine-only-1.1.0 · day before ·

Match result

39.5%Udinese P 43%28.7%Draw P 29%31.8%Cagliari P 28%

Over / under 2.5

40.8%Over 2.5 P 44%59.2%Under 2.5 P 56%

Both teams to score

47.1%Yes52.9%No

Expected

Udinese goals: 1.23 (0–3)
Cagliari goals: 1.08 (0–2)
Corners: 9.05 (5–13)
Cards: 4.05 (1–7)

Provider model (SportMonks)

Match result

39.0%Udinese28.2%Draw32.7%Cagliari

Over / under 2.5

45.2%Over 2.554.8%Under 2.5

Both teams to score

51.4%Yes48.6%No

Model probabilities are independent of the market; bookmaker figures are shown only as a benchmark.

All meetings · 38 matches since 2006

Udinese 199 draws10 Cagliari

Goals 64–39 · 2.71 per match · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Udinese 54 draws1 Cagliari

Goals 18–6 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 30%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Udinese 32 draws0 Cagliari

Goals 8–3 · 2.2 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 20%

Recent meetings

W Cagliari 0–2 Udinese ITA SA · Regular Season
D Udinese 1–1 Cagliari ITA SA · Regular Season
W Cagliari 1–2 Udinese ITA SA · Regular Season
W Udinese 2–0 Cagliari ITA SA · Regular Season
D Udinese 1–1 Cagliari ITA SA · Regular Season
D Cagliari 0–0 Udinese ITA SA · Regular Season
W Udinese 5–1 Cagliari ITA SA · Regular Season
W Cagliari 0–4 Udinese ITA SA · Regular Season
L Udinese 0–1 Cagliari ITA SA · Regular Season
D Cagliari 1–1 Udinese ITA SA · Regular Season

Metric	Udinese all · 4	Udinese at home · 2	Cagliari all · 4	Cagliari away · 2

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Udinese · 4 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.21) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.44

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.214

Early press (0-15, level)-0.074

Late push (76+, level)-0.642

Late chase (76+, behind)-0.682

Game state

When ahead+0.004

When level-0.274

When behind-0.612

10 min after conceding-0.444

10 min after scoring+0.204

Situations

At home-0.352

Away-0.062

4+ days rest-0.214

Opposition

Evenly matched-0.002

As underdog-0.442

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.324

Conceded when ahead+0.244

Conceded late (76+)+0.304

Ahead vs level +0.28 · Behind vs level -0.34

Cagliari · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.02) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.61

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.024

Early press (0-15, level)-0.334

Game state

When ahead+0.263

When level-0.024

10 min after conceding-0.552

10 min after scoring+0.613

Situations

At home-0.012

Away-0.032

4+ days rest-0.024

Opposition

As underdog-0.452

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.304

Conceded when ahead-0.083

Conceded late (76+)+0.064

Ahead vs level +0.28 · Behind vs level -0.47

Udinese

Current: winless 2 · scoring 4 · conceding 6

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
3-4-2-1	4 100%	1.0	2.0	2.5	1.08	2.04

Cagliari

Current: unbeaten 2 · wins 2 · scoring 2 · conceding 1

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-2-3-1	2 50%	1.5	0.5	0.5	0.9	2.23
4-4-1-1	1 25%	3.0	2.0	1.0	1.12	1.58
4-3-2-1	1 25%	3.0	1.0	0.0	1.14	0.76

Metric	Udinese all · 10	Udinese at home · 10	Cagliari all · 10	Cagliari away · 10
Results
Matches	10	10	10	10
Points per game	1.10	1.10	1.90	1.40
W / D / L	3 / 2 / 5	3 / 2 / 5	6 / 1 / 3	4 / 2 / 4
Goals for / match	1.50	0.90	1.10	1.00
Goals against / match	1.60	0.80	1.10	1.40
Clean sheets	20%	40%	30%	20%
Failed to score	30%	40%	40%	30%
Both teams scored	50%	30%	40%	60%
Over 2.5	40%	30%	50%	60%
Expected goals
xG for / match	1.26	1.06	1.20	1.11
xG against / match	1.63	1.31	1.59	1.55
xG difference	-0.37	-0.25	-0.39	-0.44
Finishing vs xG	0.24	-0.16	-0.10	-0.11
xPts / match	1.15	1.20	1.21	1.10
Points vs xPts	-0.05	-0.10	0.70	0.30
Game state
Scored first	70%	60%	40%	50%
PPG when scoring first	1.57	1.67	3.00	2.00
PPG when conceding first	0.00	0.00	1.20	0.75
Came back from behind	17%	0%	40%	20%
Leads held	43%	50%	100%	67%
Minutes leading	26%	29%	32%	22%
Minutes level	48%	48%	49%	55%
Minutes trailing	25%	23%	19%	24%
First goal (min)	34	32	31	44
First goal conceded (min)	41	47	34	42
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half	47%	56%	36%	60%
Goals conceded in 2nd half	69%	75%	46%	71%
Late goals for (76'+)	0.40	0.10	0.10	0.10
Late goals against	0.40	0.10	0.20	0.30
Style
Possession	46%	47%	44%	47%
Shots	12.5	12.1	13.6	11.1
On target	4.8	4.1	4.5	4.2
Shot conversion	12%	7%	8%	9%
Shots inside box	66%	62%	62%	63%
Big chances created	2.3	1.8	2.2	1.9
Corners	3.9	4.7	5.2	3.4
xG from set plays	20%	34%	42%	39%
Goals from headers	13%	25%	40%	22%
Pressure index	10.9	10.7	12.2	9.4
Dominant minutes	43.6	43.6	44.8	39.9
Pass accuracy	83%	83%	82%	83%
Fouls	11.7	12.6	9.5	12.1
Cards	1.90	2.60	1.20	2.40

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Udinese

0–15'11

16–30'32

31–45'42

46–60'34

61–75'03

76–90'44

Cagliari

0–15'22

16–30'30

31–45'24

46–60'23

61–75'10

76–90'12

Udinese

Current: winless 2 · scoring 4 · conceding 6

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
3-4-2-1	7 70%	1.14	1.86	2.0	1.32	1.85
3-4-1-2	1 10%	0.0	0.0	1.0	1.12	1.36
3-4-3	1 10%	3.0	2.0	0.0	1.9	1.49
3-5-2	1 10%	0.0	0.0	1.0	0.38	0.52

Cagliari

Current: unbeaten 2 · wins 2 · scoring 2 · conceding 1

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-3-2-1	2 20%	3.0	1.5	0.5	1.21	0.94
4-2-3-1	2 20%	1.5	0.5	0.5	0.9	2.23
3-5-2	2 20%	1.5	1.0	2.0	1.56	2.05
5-3-2	2 20%	1.5	1.5	2.0	1.38	1.51
4-4-1-1	1 10%	3.0	2.0	1.0	1.12	1.58

Metric	Udinese all · 39	Udinese at home · 20	Cagliari all · 39	Cagliari away · 20
Results
Matches	39	20	39	20
Points per game	1.21	1.15	1.23	1.20
W / D / L	13 / 8 / 18	6 / 5 / 9	13 / 9 / 17	6 / 6 / 8
Goals for / match	1.26	0.95	1.05	1.05
Goals against / match	1.44	1.15	1.36	1.50
Clean sheets	26%	30%	23%	15%
Failed to score	28%	35%	36%	30%
Both teams scored	49%	40%	49%	65%
Over 2.5	49%	40%	51%	65%
Expected goals
xG for / match	1.14	1.16	1.02	1.12
xG against / match	1.55	1.29	1.42	1.51
xG difference	-0.41	-0.13	-0.40	-0.39
Finishing vs xG	0.12	-0.21	0.03	-0.07
xPts / match	1.14	1.27	1.14	1.14
Points vs xPts	0.07	-0.12	0.09	0.06
Game state
Scored first	49%	45%	33%	35%
PPG when scoring first	2.21	2.11	2.23	1.57
PPG when conceding first	0.21	0.30	0.70	1.00
Came back from behind	22%	25%	32%	38%
Leads held	65%	60%	68%	60%
Minutes leading	24%	24%	18%	15%
Minutes level	48%	51%	49%	50%
Minutes trailing	28%	25%	33%	35%
First goal (min)	40	42	47	46
First goal conceded (min)	38	43	33	33
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half	55%	53%	58%	62%
Goals conceded in 2nd half	61%	70%	55%	57%
Late goals for (76'+)	0.23	0.15	0.18	0.20
Late goals against	0.33	0.25	0.33	0.30
Style
Possession	45%	47%	45%	46%
Shots	11.5	12.8	11.0	11.0
On target	3.9	3.9	3.6	3.8
Shot conversion	11%	7%	10%	10%
Shots inside box	62%	58%	61%	62%
Big chances created	1.9	2.0	1.8	1.9
Corners	4.2	4.4	4.0	3.4
xG from set plays	26%	30%	36%	33%
Goals from headers	19%	22%	28%	10%
Pressure index	9.6	10.2	9.2	8.2
Dominant minutes	39.4	42.6	38.0	35.2
Pass accuracy	80%	82%	80%	82%
Fouls	13.6	13.8	13.4	13.8
Cards	1.90	1.90	2.10	2.50

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Udinese

0–15'47

16–30'87

31–45'108

46–60'1012

61–75'89

76–90'913

Cagliari

0–15'210

16–30'66

31–45'98

46–60'710

61–75'106

76–90'713

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Udinese · 39 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.09) · stands out: late push (76+, level) -0.38

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.0939

Early press (0-15, level)-0.0239

Late push (76+, level)-0.3811

Late chase (76+, behind)-0.2318

Game state

When ahead-0.0920

When level-0.0739

When behind-0.1123

10 min after conceding-0.1829

10 min after scoring+0.3327

Situations

With ten men-0.102

At home-0.1220

Away-0.0519

3 days rest or fewer-0.312

4+ days rest-0.0737

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.3313

v mid-tier opponents+0.0111

v bottom-tier opponents-0.105

As favourite+0.005

Evenly matched+0.1015

As underdog-0.2719

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.2139

Conceded when ahead+0.2720

Conceded late (76+)+0.1236

Congested vs rested -0.24 · Ahead vs level -0.02 · Behind vs level -0.05

Cagliari · 39 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.12) · stands out: v mid-tier opponents -0.28

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.1239

Early press (0-15, level)-0.1039

Late push (76+, level)-0.2414

Late chase (76+, behind)-0.2219

Game state

When ahead-0.1619

When level-0.0739

When behind-0.1525

10 min after conceding-0.2730

10 min after scoring+0.2125

Situations

Against ten men+0.274

At home-0.1719

Away-0.0720

4+ days rest-0.1239

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.2712

v mid-tier opponents-0.287

v bottom-tier opponents+0.075

As favourite+0.015

Evenly matched+0.219

As underdog-0.2625

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.2939

Conceded when ahead+0.3919

Conceded late (76+)+0.2539

Ahead vs level -0.08 · Behind vs level -0.08

Udinese

Current: winless 2 · scoring 4 · conceding 6

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
3-5-2	16 41%	1.19	1.13	1.25	1.06	1.32
3-4-2-1	13 33%	1.15	1.46	1.77	1.08	1.66
4-4-2	3 8%	1.33	1.33	2.0	1.61	1.43
3-1-4-2	2 5%	1.5	1.0	0.5	0.82	2.06
3-5-1-1	1 3%	0.0	0.0	3.0	1.64	2.62

Cagliari

Current: unbeaten 2 · wins 2 · scoring 2 · conceding 1

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
3-5-2	18 46%	1.06	1.17	1.44	0.94	1.45
4-5-1	3 8%	0.67	0.0	0.67	0.6	0.86
4-2-3-1	3 8%	2.0	0.67	0.33	0.98	1.61
4-3-2-1	3 8%	2.33	1.67	1.0	1.2	1.53
4-3-3	2 5%	0.0	0.5	2.5	0.9	0.8

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 101 snapshots · last 20.0h before kick-off · biggest step: home -2.1 pts at 4.7d

2.26Home 43% ▼ -2.8 ptsopened 2.123.31Draw 29% · +0.1 ptsopened 3.323.46Away 28% ▲ +2.7 ptsopened 3.82

Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

Bookmaker	Home	Draw	Away	Last
Pinnacle	2.26 ▼ -2.8	3.31 · +0.1	3.46 ▲ +2.7	20.0h
bet365	2.25 ▼ -4.8	3.3 · -0.6	3.3 ▲ +5.3	20.0h
Betfair	2.25 ▼ -5.3	3.2 ▲ +1.2	3.4 ▲ +4.2	20.0h
BetVictor	2.2 ▼ -2.4	3.3 · -0.4	3.3 ▲ +2.8	20.0h
Coral	2.25 ▼ -3.0	3.2 · -0.0	3.3 ▲ +3.1	20.0h
Ladbrokes	2.25 ▼ -3.2	3.2 · -0.2	3.25 ▲ +3.4	20.0h
Unibet	2.15 · +0.3	3.15 · -0.4	3.45 · +0.1	20.0h
WilliamHill	2.2 ▼ -2.7	3.1 · +0.2	3.3 ▲ +2.5	20.0h

bet365 (Pinnacle absent) · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 101 snapshots · last 20.0h before kick-off · biggest step: no -2.0 pts at 4.1d

1.9Yes 50% ▲ +3.3 ptsopened 2.01.9No 50% ▼ -3.3 ptsopened 1.75

Yes No consensus of 4 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Last
bet365	1.9 ▲ +3.3	1.9 ▼ -3.3	20.0h
Betfair	1.83 ▲ +3.8	1.91 ▼ -3.8	20.0h
BetVictor	1.83 ▲ +3.0	1.85 ▼ -3.0	20.0h
WilliamHill	1.85 ▲ +2.0	1.85 ▼ -2.0	20.0h

Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 101 snapshots · last 20.0h before kick-off

2.19Over 44% ▲ +2.5 ptsopened 2.311.74Under 56% ▼ -2.5 ptsopened 1.66

Over Under consensus of 4 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Last
Pinnacle	2.19 ▲ +2.5	1.74 ▼ -2.5	20.0h
bet365	2.1 ▲ +3.8	1.72 ▼ -3.8	20.0h
Betfair	2.15 ▲ +2.6	1.67 ▼ -2.6	20.0h
BetVictor	2.04 ▲ +2.7	1.67 ▼ -2.7	20.0h

Latest prices

bet365 · last snapshot 20.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.25Home 42% P 43%3.3Draw 29% P 29%3.3Away 29% P 28%

Double Chance

1.33Udinese or Draw 35%1.33Udinese or Cagliari 35%1.61Draw or Cagliari 29%

Draw No Bet

1.571 59%2.252 41%

Both Teams To Score

1.9Yes 50%1.9No 50%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.1Over 45% P 44%1.72Under 55% P 56%

Total Corners

6.0Under 6 15%2.66 - 8 33%2.759 - 11 32%6.012 - 14 15%15.0Over 14 6%

Number of Cards

3.52.0Over 46% P 43%1.72Under 54% P 57%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 42.5–45% · away 27.5–30% · 766 fixtures

	This match	Band	Actual	±
Home	43%	44%	43%	-0.3
Draw	29%	28%	30%	+2.4
Away	28%	29%	26%	-2.1

In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 52%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 42.5–45% · 2,473 fixtures

	This match	Band	Actual	±
Over 2.5	44%	44%	43%	-1.2

Gianluca Manganiello

Career: 121 matches · 14 seasons
Cards / match: 3.89 (3.68 yellow · 0.14 red)
Fouls / match: 23.9 · 6.2 fouls per card
Penalties / match: 0.26
Cards to home side: 50%

Style in Serie A (5-year window · 55 matches)

Metric	Referee	League	vs peers	pct
Cards / match	3.82	4.49	-0.95	17
Fouls / match	24.1	25.2	-0.64
Fouls per card	6.5	5.6	+0.72 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match	0.22	0.31	-0.85	20
Time added	5.9	6.4	-1.07	15

First card: 36' on average
Card timing: 15% in first 30' · 30% in last 15'
Cards to home side: 51% (league 46%)
VAR events / match: 1.18

Recent matches

Date	Y	Fouls	Pens	1st card	+min
2026-08-28	4	19	0	27'	7
2026-05-17 · Udinese	4	19	0	51'	8
2026-03-14	4	16	0	21'	7
2026-02-21	3	18	0	10'	11
2026-02-03	3	24	1	51'	7
2026-01-26 · Udinese	2	19	0	46'	6
2025-11-09	4	37	0	25'	6
2025-10-26	5	34	0	24'	8
2025-09-28	1	30	0	42'	9

Momentum

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Events

Stats

Season context

League this season · 2026/2027

Trends

Lineups

Bench

Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad

Udinese · Last 365 days

Cagliari · Last 365 days

Commentary

In-Play Odds

Competition

Venue

Teams

Referee

Weather

Where to watch · 74

Udinese

Cagliari

Last 8

This fixture vs the league league = last 365 days

How these games go · 8 with event data

When the goals come · all goals, 7 meetings

Expected goals · last 4 with xG

Against the market · 8 with closing odds

Fixture specialists

Last meeting · 2026-05-09 · ITA SA

Match result

Over / under 2.5

Both teams to score

Expected

Provider model (SportMonks)

Match result

Over / under 2.5

Both teams to score

All meetings · 38 matches since 2006

Last 10 · 10 matches

Last 5 · 5 matches

Recent meetings

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Udinese · 4 matches

Cagliari · 4 matches

Udinese

Cagliari

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Udinese

Cagliari

Udinese

Cagliari

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Udinese

Cagliari

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Udinese · 39 matches

Cagliari · 39 matches

Udinese

Cagliari

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Latest prices

Fulltime Result

Double Chance

Draw No Bet

Both Teams To Score

Goals Over/Under

Total Corners

Number of Cards

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Match result · home 42.5–45% · away 27.5–30% · 766 fixtures

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 42.5–45% · 2,473 fixtures

Gianluca Manganiello

Style in Serie A (5-year window · 55 matches)

Recent matches