Rating 7.23 (95th pct) · G+A 21 + 4 (29% of team goals) · 45% of minutes
Team 1.92 ppg with (25) · 1.96 without (25)
Serie A · Matchweek 5
Momentum
– RomaInter –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
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Events
- No events yet.
Stats
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Season context
| Roma | at home | Stat | league | away | Inter |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 59.8 #3 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 66.0 #1 |
| 21.2 #3 | – | Shots total | 14.6 | – | 25.0 #1 |
| 7.8 #2 | – | Shots on target | 4.9 | – | 8.0 #1 |
| 6.2 #4 | – | Corners | 4.7 | – | 7.2 #3 |
| 13.0 #6 | – | Fouls | 11.2 | – | 6.5 #20 |
| 4.0 #2 | – | Offsides | 2.1 | – | 1.2 #13 |
| 22.8 #1 | – | Tackles | 16.0 | – | 16.2 #7 |
| 118.2 #1 | – | Attacks | 92.8 | – | 111.8 #2 |
| 75.5 #1 | – | Dangerous attacks | 44.7 | – | 62.8 #3 |
| 567.5 #3 | – | Passes | 459.1 | – | 643.5 #1 |
| 1.2 #12 | – | Yellowcards | 1.5 | – | 1.2 #12 |
| 1.8 #2 | – | Assists | 1.2 | – | 2.5 #1 |
| – #17 | – | Btts | 60.0 | – | – #5 |
| – #1 | – | Cleansheet | 20.0 | – | – #6 |
| – #12 | – | Draw | 15.0 | – | – #12 |
| 2.7 #2 | – | Expected goals | 1.5 | – | 2.9 #1 |
| 0.3 #6 | – | Expected goals difference | -0.0 | – | 0.3 #4 |
| – #10 | – | Failed to score | 20.0 | – | – #10 |
| 3.0 #2 | 3.0 | Goals | 1.5 | 1.0 | 3.2 #1 |
| 0.2 #20 | 0.5 | Goals conceded | 1.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 #9 |
| 0.5 #4 | – | Injury time goals | 0.5 | – | 0.2 #8 |
| 13.8 #1 | – | Interceptions | 8.5 | – | 8.5 #8 |
| – #16 | – | Lost | 42.5 | – | – #16 |
| 7.2 #1 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 7.1 #2 |
| 3.2 #10 | – | Shots blocked | 3.6 | – | 6.8 #2 |
| 15.8 #2 | – | Shots insidebox | 9.6 | – | 18.0 #1 |
| 10.2 #1 | – | Shots off target | 6.0 | – | 10.2 #1 |
| 5.5 #6 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.9 | – | 7.0 #3 |
| – #1 | – | Win | 42.5 | – | – #1 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 20.
League this season · 2026/2027
- Played
- 37 of 380
- Goals / match
- 2.92 (home 1.41 · away 1.51)
- Home / draw / away
- 41% · 16% · 43%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 59% · 57%
- Cards / match
- 3.19 (reds 0.03)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Roma · Last 365 days
Rating 7.05 (84th pct) · G+A 8 + 8 (18% of team goals) · 60% of minutes
Team 1.94 ppg with (36) · 1.93 without (14)
Rating 7.44 (100th pct) · G+A 3 + 12 (17% of team goals) · 41% of minutes
Team 2.1 ppg with (21) · 1.83 without (29)
Inter · Last 365 days
Rating 7.57 (100th pct) · G+A 8 + 17 (23% of team goals) · 78% of minutes
Team 2.18 ppg with (38) · 2.27 without (11)
Rating 7.34 (98th pct) · G+A 22 + 6 (26% of team goals) · 62% of minutes
Team 2.25 ppg with (36) · 2.08 without (13)
Rating 7.19 (86th pct) · G+A 4 + 8 (11% of team goals) · 73% of minutes
Team 2.05 ppg with (39) · 2.8 without (10)
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 5
Venue
- Stadium
- Stadio Olimpico, Roma
- Capacity
- 72,698
- Surface
- grass
Teams
- Coaches
- Gian Gasperini · Cristian Chivu
- Position
- 1 · 2
- Formation
- 3-4-2-1 · 3-5-2
Referee
Davide Massa
Weather
- Conditions
- light rain
- Temperature
- 26.7° (feels 27.4°)
- Wind
- 3.2
- Humidity
- 54%
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2026/2027
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Roma |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 1 | 11 | 12 | WWWW |
| 2 |  Inter |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 12 | WWWW |
| 3 |  Como |
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 10 | DWWW |
| 4 |  Lazio |
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 10 | WWWD |
| 5 |  Cagliari |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9 | WLWW |
| 6 |  AC Milan |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 8 | WWDD |
| 7 |  Frosinone |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 | LWWD |
| 8 |  Juventus |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 7 | WWDL |
| 9 |  Sassuolo |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 7 | LWDW |
| 10 |  Napoli |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 6 | WLLW |
| 11 |  Atalanta |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 6 | WWLL |
| 12 |  Lecce |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 6 | WLLW |
| 13 |  Udinese |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 4 | DWLL |
| 14 |  Torino |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 3 | LLWL |
| 15 |  Fiorentina |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 3 | LLLW |
| 16 |  Bologna |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 1 | LLDL |
| 17 |  Parma |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 1 | LLDL |
| 18 |  Monza |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 1 | LLDL |
| 19 |  Genoa |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 1 | LLLD |
| 20 |  Venezia |
4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 0 | LLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 9 | WWWW |
| 2 | Roma |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 6 | WWWW |
| 3 | Sassuolo |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 6 | LWDW |
| 4 | Atalanta |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 6 | WWLL |
| 5 | Juventus |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | WWDL |
| 6 | Lazio |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | WWWD |
| 7 | AC Milan |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | WWDD |
| 8 | Como |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | DWWW |
| 9 | Frosinone |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | LWWD |
| 10 | Napoli |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | WLLW |
| 11 | Cagliari |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | WLWW |
| 12 | Lecce |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 3 | WLLW |
| 13 | Bologna |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 1 | LLDL |
| 14 | Udinese |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 1 | DWLL |
| 15 | Parma |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 1 | LLDL |
| 16 | Genoa |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 1 | LLLD |
| 17 | Monza |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 0 | LLDL |
| 18 | Torino |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | LLWL |
| 19 | Venezia |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 0 | LLLL |
| 20 | Fiorentina |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 0 | LLLW |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Como |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 7 | DWWW |
| 2 | Roma |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 6 | WWWW |
| 3 | Cagliari |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | WLWW |
| 4 | Lazio |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | WWWD |
| 5 | AC Milan |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 5 | WWDD |
| 6 | Frosinone |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 | LWWD |
| 7 | Napoli |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | WLLW |
| 8 | Lecce |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | WLLW |
| 9 | Inter |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | WWWW |
| 10 | Juventus |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | WWDL |
| 11 | Torino |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | LLWL |
| 12 | Udinese |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 3 | DWLL |
| 13 | Fiorentina |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 3 | LLLW |
| 14 | Sassuolo |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 1 | LWDW |
| 15 | Monza |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 1 | LLDL |
| 16 | Atalanta |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | WWLL |
| 17 | Genoa |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | LLLD |
| 18 | Bologna |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | LLDL |
| 19 | Venezia |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 0 | LLLL |
| 20 | Parma |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | LLDL |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Europa League
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
- Relegation
Roma
WWWDW 4W 1D 0L · 13 pts (2.6 ppg) · GF 13 GA 2 · xG 11.65–3.94 · xPts 10.83
- W
A
Torino
2–0
xG 2.07–0.78
ITA SA
- D
A
Fenerbahçe
1–1
xG 0.45–1.18
UEFA CL - W
H
Atalanta
2–1
xG 3.31–0.88
ITA SA
- W
A
Lecce
4–0
xG 2.72–0.77
ITA SA
- W
H
Fiorentina
4–0
xG 3.1–0.32
ITA SA
WWWWDW 5W 1D 0L · 16 pts (2.67 ppg) · GF 15 GA 2 · xG 14.42–4.37 · xPts 13.51
- W
A
Torino
2–0
xG 2.07–0.78
ITA SA
- D
A
Fenerbahçe
1–1
xG 0.45–1.18
UEFA CL
- W
H
Atalanta
2–1
xG 3.31–0.88
ITA SA
- W
A
Lecce
4–0
xG 2.72–0.77
ITA SA
- W
H
Fiorentina
4–0
xG 3.1–0.32
ITA SA
- W
A
Hellas Verona
2–0
xG 2.78–0.44
ITA SA
Inter
WWWLW 4W 0D 1L · 12 pts (2.4 ppg) · GF 14 GA 8 · xG 13.94–8.15 · xPts 9.87
- W
H
Udinese
5–3
xG 2.83–0.76
ITA SA
- L
A
Real Madrid
1–2
xG 2.03–3.77
UEFA CL - W
H
Napoli
3–2
xG 4.19–2.0
ITA SA
- W
A
Cagliari
1–0
xG 3.59–0.57
ITA SA
- W
H
Monza
4–1
xG 1.3–1.05
ITA SA
DWWWLW 4W 1D 1L · 13 pts (2.17 ppg) · GF 17 GA 11 · xG 15.42–9.64 · xPts 11.24
- W
H
Udinese
5–3
xG 2.83–0.76
ITA SA
- L
A
Real Madrid
1–2
xG 2.03–3.77
UEFA CL
- W
H
Napoli
3–2
xG 4.19–2.0
ITA SA
- W
A
Cagliari
1–0
xG 3.59–0.57
ITA SA
- W
H
Monza
4–1
xG 1.3–1.05
ITA SA
- D
A
Bologna
3–3
xG 1.49–1.49
ITA SA
full sample 10 meetings 2021–2026 · 3 on neutral ground
Recurring referee: Davide Massa · 3 of these meetings appointed tonight
Last 10
Goals 8–21 · Roma hosting: 0W 0D 4L · Inter hosting: 2W 0D 1L
At Stadio Olimpico: 4 meetings · Roma 0 · draws 0 · Inter 4 · 2.5 goals per match · last away win Oct 2025
All-time since 2005: 42 meetings · Roma 12 · draws 14 · Inter 16
This fixture vs the league league = last 365 days
| Metric | Fixture | League | Δ | n |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals per match | 2.90 | 2.51 | +0.39 | 10 |
| Both teams score | 40% | 47% | -7% | 10 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 48% | +2% | 10 |
| Corners | 9.0 | 8.8 | +0.2 | 10 |
| Cards | 4.5 | 4.0 | +0.5 | 10 |
3 with 4+ goals · 1.60 first-half goals per match
How these games go · 10 with event data
| Roma | Inter | |
|---|---|---|
| Scored first | 1 of 10 | 9 of 10 |
| Scored first and won | 1 | 8 |
| Won from behind | 1 | 1 |
first goal on average in minute 30 · a side came back in 2 · goal after the 75th minute in 3
When the goals come · all goals, 10 meetings
0-15'3
16-30'6
31-45'7
46-60'6
61-75'4
76-90'3
4 equalisers · 1 own goal · 4 headers
Expected goals · last 4 with xG
Deserved on xG: Roma 1 · level 2 · Inter 1 — actual wins in those games 1 / 3
Against the market · 10 with closing odds
Favourite won 8 (80%), drew 0, upset 2 · market favoured Roma 0×, Inter 10× · avg favourite 51%, avg price of the actual result 46%
Fixture specialists
- 4 Lautaro Martínez Inter · in 3 games · last Apr 2026
- 3 Marcus Thuram Inter · in 3 games · last Apr 2026
- 2 Gianluca Mancini Roma · in 2 games · last Apr 2026
- 2 Federico Dimarco Inter · in 2 games · last May 2023
- 2 Denzel Dumfries Inter · in 2 games · last Apr 2022
Last meeting · 2026-04-05 · ITA SA
Inter 5-2 Roma · ref Simone Sozza
- 1' Lautaro Martínez assist Marcus Thuram 1–0
- 40' Gianluca Mancini assist Devyne Rensch 1–1
- 45+2' Hakan Çalhanoğlu assist Piotr Zieliński 2–1
- 52' Lautaro Martínez assist Marcus Thuram 3–1
- 55' Marcus Thuram assist Hakan Çalhanoğlu 4–1
- 63' Nicolò Barella 5–1
- 70' Lorenzo Pellegrini 5–2
xG 1.45 – 0.87 · corners 11 · cards 1
KickoffDNA model engine-only-1.1.0 · day before ·
Match result
38.2%Roma P 35%26.3%Draw P 28%35.5%Inter P 37%
Over / under 2.5
50.8%Over 2.5 P 60%49.2%Under 2.5 P 40%
Both teams to score
55.2%Yes44.8%No
Expected
- Roma goals
- 1.38 (0–3)
- Inter goals
- 1.32 (0–3)
- Corners
- 8.43 (4–13)
- Cards
- 3.4 (1–6)
Provider model (SportMonks)
Match result
38.9%Roma26.3%Draw34.8%Inter
Over / under 2.5
55.5%Over 2.544.5%Under 2.5
Both teams to score
59.4%Yes40.6%No
Model probabilities are independent of the market; bookmaker figures are shown only as a benchmark.
All meetings · 42 matches since 2005
Goals 59–69 · 3.05 per match · BTTS 64% · over 2.5 57%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 8–21 · 2.9 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 50%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 5–11 · 3.2 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%
Recent meetings
- L Inter 5–2 Roma ITA SA · Regular Season
- L Roma 0–1 Inter ITA SA · Regular Season
- W Inter 0–1 Roma ITA SA · Regular Season
- L Roma 0–1 Inter ITA SA · Regular Season
- L Roma 2–4 Inter ITA SA · Regular Season
- L Inter 1–0 Roma ITA SA · Regular Season
- L Roma 0–2 Inter ITA SA · Regular Season
- W Inter 1–2 Roma neutral ITA SA · Regular Season
- L Inter 3–1 Roma neutral ITA SA · Regular Season
- L Roma 0–3 Inter neutral ITA SA · Regular Season
| Metric | Roma all · 4 | Roma at home · 2 | Inter all · 4 | Inter away · 1 |
|---|
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Roma · 5 matches
Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.66) · stands out: when level +0.82
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.665
Early press (0-15, level)+0.385
Late push (76+, level)+0.042
Game state
When ahead+0.365
When level+0.825
10 min after conceding-0.312
10 min after scoring+0.545
Situations
At home+1.332
Away+0.173
4+ days rest+0.665
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.912
As favourite+0.665
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.195
Conceded when ahead-0.195
Conceded late (76+)-0.563
Ahead vs level -0.46 · Behind vs level -0.11
Inter · 5 matches
Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.71) · stands out: when behind +1.11
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.715
Early press (0-15, level)+0.205
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.202
Game state
When ahead+0.584
When level+0.455
When behind+1.113
10 min after conceding+0.514
10 min after scoring+0.425
Situations
At home+0.523
Away+0.962
4+ days rest+0.674
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.752
As favourite+0.674
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.365
Conceded when ahead-0.414
Conceded late (76+)-0.414
Congested vs rested +0.20 · Ahead vs level +0.13 · Behind vs level +0.66
Roma
Current: unbeaten 12 · wins 1 · scoring 22 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 3 75% | 3.0 | 3.33 | 0.0 | 2.63 | 0.62 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 1 25% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 3.31 | 0.88 |
Inter
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 15 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-5-2 | 4 100% | 3.0 | 3.25 | 1.5 | 2.98 | 1.09 |
| Metric | Roma all · 10 | Roma at home · 10 | Inter all · 10 | Inter away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 2.80 | 2.30 | 2.10 | 1.50 |
| W / D / L | 9 / 1 / 0 | 7 / 2 / 1 | 6 / 3 / 1 | 4 / 3 / 3 |
| Goals for / match | 2.60 | 2.60 | 2.50 | 1.80 |
| Goals against / match | 0.40 | 0.90 | 1.40 | 1.50 |
| Clean sheets | 70% | 60% | 30% | 30% |
| Failed to score | 0% | 0% | 0% | 10% |
| Both teams scored | 30% | 40% | 70% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 70% | 70% | 60% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 2.22 | 2.05 | 2.26 | 1.79 |
| xG against / match | 0.69 | 0.73 | 1.40 | 1.55 |
| xG difference | 1.53 | 1.32 | 0.86 | 0.23 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.38 | 0.55 | 0.24 | 0.01 |
| xPts / match | 2.24 | 2.14 | 1.87 | 1.53 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.56 | 0.16 | 0.23 | -0.03 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 90% | 70% | 70% | 60% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.78 | 2.71 | 2.14 | 2.00 |
| PPG when conceding first | 3.00 | 1.33 | 2.00 | 0.75 |
| Came back from behind | 100% | 67% | 75% | 40% |
| Leads held | 90% | 88% | 67% | 57% |
| Minutes leading | 53% | 41% | 46% | 39% |
| Minutes level | 42% | 45% | 35% | 36% |
| Minutes trailing | 5% | 14% | 20% | 25% |
| First goal (min) | 34 | 40 | 32 | 32 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 47 | 32 | 41 | 40 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 50% | 62% | 64% | 56% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 100% | 62% | 50% | 47% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.70 | 0.60 | 0.70 | 0.40 |
| Late goals against | 0.10 | 0.30 | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 58% | 58% | 64% | 59% |
| Shots | 16.4 | 18.5 | 18.9 | 16.0 |
| On target | 6.4 | 6.3 | 6.5 | 5.3 |
| Shot conversion | 16% | 14% | 13% | 11% |
| Shots inside box | 74% | 78% | 74% | 77% |
| Big chances created | 3.8 | 2.7 | 4.0 | 3.0 |
| Corners | 5.9 | 6.7 | 6.8 | 5.2 |
| xG from set plays | 23% | 25% | 22% | 24% |
| Goals from headers | 19% | 31% | 13% | 29% |
| Pressure index | 19.1 | 21.6 | 21.0 | 17.6 |
| Dominant minutes | 59.1 | 69.6 | 65.5 | 57.3 |
| Pass accuracy | 86% | 86% | 91% | 88% |
| Fouls | 13.2 | 12.0 | 8.1 | 9.7 |
| Cards | 1.60 | 1.50 | 1.40 | 2.40 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Roma
0–15'30
16–30'50
31–45'50
46–60'43
61–75'20
76–90'71
Inter
0–15'32
16–30'34
31–45'31
46–60'53
61–75'41
76–90'73
Roma
Current: unbeaten 12 · wins 1 · scoring 22 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 9 90% | 2.78 | 2.67 | 0.33 | 2.1 | 0.67 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 3.31 | 0.88 |
Inter
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 15 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-5-2 | 10 100% | 2.1 | 2.5 | 1.4 | 2.26 | 1.4 |
| Metric | Roma all · 50 | Roma at home · 24 | Inter all · 49 | Inter away · 24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 50 | 24 | 49 | 24 |
| Points per game | 1.94 | 2.13 | 2.20 | 2.13 |
| W / D / L | 30 / 7 / 13 | 16 / 3 / 5 | 34 / 6 / 9 | 16 / 3 / 5 |
| Goals for / match | 1.74 | 1.92 | 2.22 | 1.92 |
| Goals against / match | 0.86 | 0.75 | 1.00 | 0.92 |
| Clean sheets | 44% | 50% | 43% | 54% |
| Failed to score | 14% | 12% | 6% | 4% |
| Both teams scored | 42% | 38% | 51% | 42% |
| Over 2.5 | 44% | 46% | 59% | 50% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.62 | 1.81 | 2.10 | 1.87 |
| xG against / match | 1.02 | 0.80 | 1.00 | 1.15 |
| xG difference | 0.60 | 1.01 | 1.11 | 0.72 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.12 | 0.10 | 0.12 | 0.04 |
| xPts / match | 1.74 | 1.97 | 2.01 | 1.81 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.20 | 0.16 | 0.20 | 0.31 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 64% | 67% | 74% | 75% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.72 | 2.88 | 2.67 | 2.67 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.56 | 0.63 | 0.92 | 0.50 |
| Came back from behind | 35% | 38% | 36% | 29% |
| Leads held | 88% | 94% | 85% | 84% |
| Minutes leading | 41% | 39% | 46% | 46% |
| Minutes level | 41% | 41% | 42% | 39% |
| Minutes trailing | 18% | 20% | 13% | 15% |
| First goal (min) | 37 | 41 | 33 | 34 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 46 | 43 | 47 | 39 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 53% | 61% | 60% | 54% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 64% | 53% | 57% | 50% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.34 | 0.50 | 0.57 | 0.50 |
| Late goals against | 0.26 | 0.25 | 0.29 | 0.17 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 55% | 58% | 60% | 60% |
| Shots | 13.9 | 16.7 | 18.0 | 16.8 |
| On target | 4.9 | 5.8 | 6.1 | 5.5 |
| Shot conversion | 12% | 12% | 12% | 11% |
| Shots inside box | 74% | 75% | 73% | 72% |
| Big chances created | 2.5 | 2.7 | 4.0 | 3.4 |
| Corners | 5.2 | 6.2 | 6.3 | 5.2 |
| xG from set plays | 29% | 29% | 27% | 25% |
| Goals from headers | 21% | 24% | 17% | 23% |
| Pressure index | 18.4 | 21.6 | 22.7 | 21.4 |
| Dominant minutes | 61.0 | 68.3 | 65.3 | 62.8 |
| Pass accuracy | 83% | 84% | 88% | 87% |
| Fouls | 14.3 | 13.2 | 11.9 | 11.8 |
| Cards | 1.94 | 1.54 | 1.67 | 1.88 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Roma
0–15'126
16–30'123
31–45'176
46–60'1312
61–75'163
76–90'1712
Inter
0–15'145
16–30'128
31–45'188
46–60'207
61–75'177
76–90'2814
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Roma · 50 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.38) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.68
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.3850
Early press (0-15, level)+0.3250
Late push (76+, level)+0.3014
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.2815
Game state
When ahead+0.3734
When level+0.4650
When behind+0.2020
10 min after conceding-0.0628
10 min after scoring+0.6843
Situations
With ten men-0.094
Against ten men-0.154
At home+0.4824
Away+0.2826
3 days rest or fewer+0.2910
4+ days rest+0.4040
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.2914
v mid-tier opponents+0.2412
v bottom-tier opponents+0.546
As favourite+0.4633
Evenly matched+0.3113
As underdog-0.094
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.2050
Conceded when ahead-0.2634
Conceded late (76+)-0.3044
Congested vs rested -0.11 · Ahead vs level -0.09 · Behind vs level -0.26
Inter · 49 matches
Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.58) · stands out: 3 days rest or fewer +0.96
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.5849
Early press (0-15, level)+0.5149
Late push (76+, level)+0.1713
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.3411
Game state
When ahead+0.4639
When level+0.7049
When behind+0.5914
10 min after conceding+0.1527
10 min after scoring+0.6545
Situations
Against ten men+0.104
At home+0.5425
Away+0.6224
3 days rest or fewer+0.9613
4+ days rest+0.4536
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.4419
v mid-tier opponents+0.3612
v bottom-tier opponents+0.785
As favourite+0.6044
Evenly matched+0.304
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.2349
Conceded when ahead-0.2739
Conceded late (76+)-0.2142
Congested vs rested +0.51 · Ahead vs level -0.24 · Behind vs level -0.11
Roma
Current: unbeaten 12 · wins 1 · scoring 22 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 40 80% | 1.98 | 1.85 | 0.88 | 1.55 | 1.0 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 6 12% | 2.17 | 1.33 | 0.5 | 2.07 | 0.81 |
| 3-5-2 | 4 8% | 1.25 | 1.25 | 1.25 | 1.66 | 1.57 |
Inter
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 15 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-5-2 | 49 100% | 2.2 | 2.22 | 1.0 | 2.1 | 1.0 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 97 snapshots · last 24.0h before kick-off · biggest step: home +1.3 pts at 4.8d
2.75Home 35% · +0.8 ptsopened 2.813.48Draw 28% · -0.9 ptsopened 3.372.61Away 37% · +0.1 ptsopened 2.62
Home Draw Away consensus of 7 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.75 · +0.8 | 3.48 · -0.9 | 2.61 · +0.1 | 24.0h |
| bet365 | 2.7 ▼ -1.1 | 3.4 · +0.9 | 2.55 · +0.2 | 24.0h |
| Betfair | 2.7 ▼ -3.0 | 3.4 ▲ +1.8 | 2.63 ▲ +1.3 | 24.0h |
| BetVictor | 2.6 · +0.5 | 3.7 ▼ -1.1 | 2.45 · +0.6 | 24.0h |
| Coral | 2.62 · -0.0 | 3.5 ▼ -1.6 | 2.5 ▲ +1.7 | 24.0h |
| Ladbrokes | 2.62 · +0.1 | 3.5 ▼ -1.6 | 2.5 ▲ +1.5 | 24.0h |
| WilliamHill | 2.62 ▼ -1.4 | 3.3 · -0.6 | 2.5 ▲ +2.0 | 24.0h |
bet365 (Pinnacle absent) · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 97 snapshots · last 24.0h before kick-off · biggest step: yes +1.9 pts at 4.4d
1.5Yes 62% ▲ +3.6 ptsopened 1.572.5No 38% ▼ -3.6 ptsopened 2.25
Yes No consensus of 4 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.5 ▲ +3.6 | 2.5 ▼ -3.6 | 24.0h |
| Betfair | 1.5 ▲ +3.6 | 2.5 ▼ -3.6 | 24.0h |
| BetVictor | 1.47 ▲ +2.4 | 2.45 ▼ -2.4 | 24.0h |
| WilliamHill | 1.5 ▲ +4.1 | 2.5 ▼ -4.1 | 24.0h |
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 97 snapshots · last 24.0h before kick-off · biggest step: over +1.0 pts at 4.8d
1.62Over 60% ▲ +3.3 ptsopened 1.722.38Under 40% ▼ -3.3 ptsopened 2.21
Over Under consensus of 4 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.62 ▲ +3.3 | 2.38 ▼ -3.3 | 24.0h |
| bet365 | 1.61 ▲ +3.8 | 2.3 ▼ -3.8 | 24.0h |
| Betfair | 1.62 ▲ +4.5 | 2.25 ▼ -4.5 | 24.0h |
| BetVictor | 1.58 ▲ +2.6 | 2.19 ▼ -2.6 | 24.0h |
Latest prices
bet365 · last snapshot 24.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
2.7Home 35% P 35%3.4Draw 28% P 28%2.55Away 37% P 37%
Double Chance
1.5Roma or Draw 31%1.3Roma or Inter Milan 36%1.44Draw or Inter Milan 33%
Draw No Bet
1.91 49%1.82 51%
Both Teams To Score
1.5Yes 62%2.5No 38%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.61Over 59% P 60%2.3Under 41% P 40%
Total Corners
7.0Under 6 13%2.756 - 8 32%2.759 - 11 32%5.512 - 14 16%13.0Over 14 7%
Number of Cards
3.51.72Over 54% P 60%2.0Under 46% P 40%
4.52.1Over 44% P 39%1.66Under 56% P 61%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 35–37.5% · away 35–37.5% · 584 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 35% | 36% | 35% | -0.6 |
| Draw | 28% | 28% | 28% | +0.2 |
| Away | 37% | 36% | 36% | +0.4 |
In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 53%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 57.5–60% · 2,409 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 59% | 60% | +0.8 |
Davide Massa
- Career
- 316 matches · 17 seasons
- Cards / match
- 4.86 (4.64 yellow · 0.13 red)
- Fouls / match
- 25.0 · 4.7 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.31
- Cards to home side
- 48%
Style in Serie A (5-year window · 79 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 5.2 | 4.49 | +1.01 | 88 |
| Fouls / match | 26.8 | 25.2 | +1.11 | |
| Fouls per card | 5.2 | 5.6 | -0.61 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.2 | 0.31 | -0.97 | 12 |
| Time added | 6.4 | 6.4 | -0.04 | 44 |
- First card
- 32' on average
- Card timing
- 15% in first 30' · 36% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 48% (league 46%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.17
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | 2 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 28' | 6 |
| 2026-09-05 | – | – | 19 | – | – | 9 |
| 2026-08-19 | 3 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 76' | 4 |
| 2026-08-11 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 0 | 10' | 5 |
| 2026-05-17 | 4 | 1 | 27 | 0 | 22' | 10 |
| 2026-05-07 | 4 | 1 | 26 | 0 | 6' | 7 |
| 2026-04-25 | 7 | 0 | 34 | 0 | 12' | 6 |
| 2026-04-16 | 7 | 0 | 28 | 1 | 35' | 12 |
| 2026-04-12 · Inter | 10 | 0 | 29 | 1 | 24' | 6 |
| 2026-04-06 | 5 | 0 | 18 | 1 | 15' | 6 |