Parma v Genoa · KickoffDNA

Serie A · Matchweek 5

ParmaParma

–

GenoaGenoa

Momentum

– ParmaGenoa –

now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Stats

Waiting for statistics…

Season context

Parma	at home	Stat	league	away	Genoa
42.8 #17	–	Ball possession	50.0	–	45.5 #12
9.0 #18	–	Shots total	14.6	–	11.8 #16
3.0 #18	–	Shots on target	4.9	–	2.5 #20
3.8 #13	–	Corners	4.7	–	5.0 #7
9.5 #14	–	Fouls	11.2	–	9.0 #17
1.0 #15	–	Offsides	2.1	–	2.8 #5
12.2 #20	–	Tackles	16.0	–	16.8 #5
57.8 #20	–	Attacks	92.8	–	82.2 #16
29.8 #19	–	Dangerous attacks	44.7	–	33.2 #16
389.5 #16	–	Passes	459.1	–	408.2 #14
1.2 #12	–	Yellowcards	1.5	–	2.0 #5
0.2 #19	–	Assists	1.2	–	0.5 #18
– #9	–	Btts	60.0	–	– #9
– #11	–	Cleansheet	20.0	–	– #11
– #2	–	Draw	15.0	–	– #2
0.9 #19	–	Expected goals	1.5	–	1.1 #17
-0.4 #16	–	Expected goals difference	-0.0	–	-0.6 #19
– #2	–	Failed to score	20.0	–	– #2
0.5 #18	0.5	Goals	1.5	0.0	0.5 #18
1.5 #9	1.0	Goals conceded	1.5	1.0	2.0 #5
0.2 #8	–	Injury time goals	0.5	–	–
9.2 #6	–	Interceptions	8.5	–	7.8 #12
– #2	–	Lost	42.5	–	– #2
–	–	Penalties scored	0.1	–	0.0 #2
6.7 #17	–	Rating	6.8	–	6.7 #16
1.0 #20	–	Shots blocked	3.6	–	4.5 #6
6.0 #18	–	Shots insidebox	9.6	–	8.0 #13
5.0 #13	–	Shots off target	6.0	–	4.8 #14
3.0 #18	–	Shots outsidebox	4.9	–	3.8 #15
– #16	–	Win	42.5	–	– #16

Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 20.

League this season · 2026/2027

Played: 37 of 380
Goals / match: 2.92 (home 1.41 · away 1.51)
Home / draw / away: 41% · 16% · 43%
BTTS · over 2.5: 59% · 57%
Cards / match: 3.19 (reds 0.03)

Lineups

Waiting for lineups…

Bench

Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad

Parma · Last 365 days

Adrián Bernabé 10 · Central Midfield

Rating 7.05 (73th pct) · G+A 3 + 1 (14% of team goals) · 69% of minutes

Team 1.3 ppg with (30) · 0.67 without (9)

Mandela Keita 16 · Defensive Midfield

Rating 6.84 (40th pct) · G+A 1 + 1 (7% of team goals) · 90% of minutes

Emanuele Valeri 14 · Left Back

Rating 6.83 (38th pct) · G+A 0 + 2 (7% of team goals) · 78% of minutes

Team 1.27 ppg with (30) · 0.78 without (9)

All key players

Genoa · Last 365 days

Leo Østigård 5 · Centre Back

Rating 7.14 (96th pct) · G+A 5 + 1 (14% of team goals) · 79% of minutes

Team 1.06 ppg with (32) · 0.86 without (7)

Johan Vásquez 22 · Centre Back

Rating 6.82 (52th pct) · G+A 2 + 0 (5% of team goals) · 94% of minutes

Morten Frendrup 32 · Defensive Midfield

Rating 6.88 (50th pct) · G+A 1 + 0 (2% of team goals) · 91% of minutes

All key players

Competition

Stage: Regular Season
Round: 5

Venue

Stadium: Stadio Ennio Tardini, Parma
Capacity: 27,906
Surface: grass

Teams

Coaches: Carlos Antón Cuesta · Daniele De Rossi
Position: 17 · 19

Referee

Maurizio Mariani

Weather

Conditions: broken clouds
Temperature: 25.9° (feels 25.9°)
Wind: 2.0
Humidity: 56%

Where to watch · 73

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2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Roma	4	4	0	0	12	1	11	12	WWWW
2	Inter	4	4	0	0	13	6	7	12	WWWW
3	Como	4	3	1	0	9	4	5	10	DWWW
4	Lazio	4	3	1	0	6	3	3	10	WWWD
5	Cagliari	4	3	0	1	4	2	2	9	WLWW
6	AC Milan	4	2	2	0	7	4	3	8	WWDD
7	Frosinone	4	2	1	1	7	4	3	7	LWWD
8	Juventus	4	2	1	1	6	4	2	7	WWDL
9	Sassuolo	4	2	1	1	8	7	1	7	LWDW
10	Napoli	4	2	0	2	6	5	1	6	WLLW
11	Atalanta	4	2	0	2	5	5	0	6	WWLL
12	Lecce	4	2	0	2	5	7	-2	6	WLLW
13	Udinese	4	1	1	2	8	10	-2	4	DWLL
14	Torino	4	1	0	3	4	7	-3	3	LLWL
15	Fiorentina	4	1	0	3	5	11	-6	3	LLLW
16	Bologna	4	0	1	3	2	5	-3	1	LLDL
17	Parma	4	0	1	3	2	6	-4	1	LLDL
18	Monza	4	0	1	3	6	11	-5	1	LLDL
19	Genoa	4	0	1	3	2	8	-6	1	LLLD
20	Venezia	4	0	0	4	4	11	-7	0	LLLL

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Inter	3	3	0	0	12	6	6	9	WWWW
2	Roma	2	2	0	0	6	1	5	6	WWWW
3	Sassuolo	2	2	0	0	5	3	2	6	LWDW
4	Atalanta	3	2	0	1	4	3	1	6	WWLL
5	Juventus	2	1	1	0	3	1	2	4	WWDL
6	Lazio	2	1	1	0	3	2	1	4	WWWD
7	AC Milan	1	1	0	0	2	0	2	3	WWDD
8	Como	1	1	0	0	2	1	1	3	DWWW
9	Frosinone	2	1	0	1	3	3	0	3	LWWD
10	Napoli	2	1	0	1	2	2	0	3	WLLW
11	Cagliari	2	1	0	1	1	1	0	3	WLWW
12	Lecce	2	1	0	1	3	6	-3	3	WLLW
13	Bologna	2	0	1	1	2	3	-1	1	LLDL
14	Udinese	2	0	1	1	2	3	-1	1	DWLL
15	Parma	2	0	1	1	1	2	-1	1	LLDL
16	Genoa	3	0	1	2	2	7	-5	1	LLLD
17	Monza	1	0	0	1	2	3	-1	0	LLDL
18	Torino	2	0	0	2	1	4	-3	0	LLWL
19	Venezia	2	0	0	2	2	6	-4	0	LLLL
20	Fiorentina	2	0	0	2	1	5	-4	0	LLLW

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Como	3	2	1	0	7	3	4	7	DWWW
2	Roma	2	2	0	0	6	0	6	6	WWWW
3	Cagliari	2	2	0	0	3	1	2	6	WLWW
4	Lazio	2	2	0	0	3	1	2	6	WWWD
5	AC Milan	3	1	2	0	5	4	1	5	WWDD
6	Frosinone	2	1	1	0	4	1	3	4	LWWD
7	Napoli	2	1	0	1	4	3	1	3	WLLW
8	Lecce	2	1	0	1	2	1	1	3	WLLW
9	Inter	1	1	0	0	1	0	1	3	WWWW
10	Juventus	2	1	0	1	3	3	0	3	WWDL
11	Torino	2	1	0	1	3	3	0	3	LLWL
12	Udinese	2	1	0	1	6	7	-1	3	DWLL
13	Fiorentina	2	1	0	1	4	6	-2	3	LLLW
14	Sassuolo	2	0	1	1	3	4	-1	1	LWDW
15	Monza	3	0	1	2	4	8	-4	1	LLDL
16	Atalanta	1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	WWLL
17	Genoa	1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	LLLD
18	Bologna	2	0	0	2	0	2	-2	0	LLDL
19	Venezia	2	0	0	2	2	5	-3	0	LLLL
20	Parma	2	0	0	2	1	4	-3	0	LLDL

UEFA Champions League
UEFA Europa League
UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
Relegation

Parma

WLLDL 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 3 GA 6 · xG 4.69–7.76 · xPts 4.88

L A Como 1–2 xG 1.31–2.66 ITA SA
D H Monza 1–1 xG 1.0–1.37 ITA SA
L A Juventus 0–2 xG 0.27–1.64 ITA SA
L H Cagliari 0–1 xG 0.88–1.24 ITA SA
W H Sassuolo 1–0 xG 1.23–0.86 ITA SA

Genoa

LLLLD 0W 1D 4L · 1 pts (0.2 ppg) · GF 2 GA 9 · xG 4.96–7.28 · xPts 5.11

D H Frosinone 1–1 xG 1.85–1.88 ITA SA
L H Como 1–4 xG 1.03–1.98 ITA SA
L A Lazio 0–1 xG 0.56–1.15 ITA SA
L H Napoli 0–2 xG 0.62–0.91 ITA SA
L A Lecce 0–1 xG 0.89–1.36 ITA SA

small sample 4 meetings 2024–2026

Last 4

Parma 02 draws2 Genoa

Goals 0–2 · Parma hosting: 0W 1D 1L · Genoa hosting: 1W 1D 0L

At Stadio Ennio Tardini: 2 meetings · Parma 0 · draws 1 · Genoa 1 · 0.5 goals per match · last away win Nov 2024

All-time since 2007: 24 meetings · Parma 7 · draws 8 · Genoa 9

Parma haven't beaten Genoa since Nov 2020
Genoa unbeaten in the last 5 meetings
Last 2 meetings all drawn

This fixture vs the league league = last 365 days

Metric	Fixture	League	Δ	n
Goals per match	0.50	2.51	-2.01	4
Both teams score	0%	47%	-47%	4
Over 2.5 goals	0%	48%	-48%	4
Corners	9.5	8.8	+0.7	4
Cards	6.5	4.0	+2.5	4

2 goalless · 0.00 first-half goals per match · red card in 1

How these games go · 4 with event data

	Parma	Genoa
Scored first	0 of 4	2 of 4
Scored first and won	0	2
Won from behind	0	0

first goal on average in minute 72 · goal after the 75th minute in 1

When the goals come · all goals, 2 meetings

0-15'0

16-30'0

31-45'0

46-60'0

61-75'1

76-90'1

Expected goals · last 4 with xG

Parma 0.57 xGper match1.37 xG Genoa

Deserved on xG: Parma 0 · level 2 · Genoa 2 — actual wins in those games 0 / 2

Against the market · 4 with closing odds

Favourite won 1 (25%), drew 1, upset 1 · market favoured Parma 1×, Genoa 2× · avg favourite 45%, avg price of the actual result 34%

Fixture specialists

1 Morten Frendrup Genoa · last Jan 2025
1 Andrea Pinamonti Genoa · last Nov 2024

Last meeting · 2026-01-18 · ITA SA

Parma 0-0 Genoa · ref Luca Pairetto

xG 0.61 – 1.14 · corners 10 · cards 5

KickoffDNA model engine-only-1.1.0 · day before ·

Match result

33.0%Parma P 30%31.6%Draw P 32%35.4%Genoa P 38%

Over / under 2.5

31.6%Over 2.5 P 38%68.4%Under 2.5 P 62%

Both teams to score

39.6%Yes60.4%No

Expected

Parma goals: 0.96 (0–2)
Genoa goals: 1.01 (0–2)
Corners: 8.67 (5–13)
Cards: 3.81 (1–7)

Provider model (SportMonks)

Match result

39.9%Parma30.0%Draw30.1%Genoa

Over / under 2.5

36.7%Over 2.563.3%Under 2.5

Both teams to score

43.9%Yes56.1%No

Model probabilities are independent of the market; bookmaker figures are shown only as a benchmark.

All meetings · 24 matches since 2007

Parma 78 draws9 Genoa

Goals 31–28 · 2.46 per match · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 46%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Parma 52 draws3 Genoa

Goals 16–8 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Parma 02 draws3 Genoa

Goals 1–4 · 1.0 per match · BTTS 20% · over 2.5 20%

Recent meetings

D Parma 0–0 Genoa ITA SA · Regular Season
D Genoa 0–0 Parma ITA SA · Regular Season
L Genoa 1–0 Parma ITA SA · Regular Season
L Parma 0–1 Genoa ITA SA · Regular Season
L Parma 1–2 Genoa ITA SA · Regular Season
W Genoa 1–2 Parma neutral ITA SA · Regular Season
W Genoa 1–4 Parma ITA SA · Regular Season
W Parma 5–1 Genoa ITA SA · Regular Season
W Parma 1–0 Genoa ITA SA · Regular Season
W Genoa 1–3 Parma ITA SA · Regular Season

Metric	Parma all · 4	Parma at home · 2	Genoa all · 4	Genoa away · 1

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Parma · 4 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.20) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) +0.53

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.204

Early press (0-15, level)+0.534

Late push (76+, level)-0.722

Late chase (76+, behind)-0.523

Game state

When level-0.214

When behind-0.194

10 min after conceding-0.494

10 min after scoring-0.162

Situations

At home-0.242

Away-0.172

4+ days rest-0.204

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.172

Evenly matched-0.242

As underdog-0.172

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.404

Conceded late (76+)+0.484

Behind vs level +0.02

Genoa · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.14) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.31

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.144

Early press (0-15, level)+0.094

Late push (76+, level)-0.672

Late chase (76+, behind)-0.313

Game state

When level-0.174

When behind-0.084

10 min after conceding-0.234

10 min after scoring-0.662

Situations

At home-0.083

4+ days rest-0.144

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.202

Evenly matched-0.082

As underdog-0.202

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.204

Conceded late (76+)+0.444

Ahead vs level -0.48 · Behind vs level +0.09

Parma

Current: winless 4 · scoring 2 · conceding 4

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
3-4-2-1	2 50%	0.5	1.0	1.5	1.15	2.01
4-3-3	1 25%	0.0	0.0	1.0	0.88	1.24
4-4-2	1 25%	0.0	0.0	2.0	0.27	1.64

Genoa

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 9 · scoring 2 · conceding 6

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
3-4-2-1	2 50%	0.0	0.0	1.5	0.59	1.03
3-4-1-2	1 25%	0.0	1.0	4.0	1.03	1.98
3-5-2	1 25%	1.0	1.0	1.0	1.85	1.88

Metric	Parma all · 10	Parma at home · 10	Genoa all · 10	Genoa away · 10
Results
Matches	10	10	10	10
Points per game	1.00	1.20	0.60	0.90
W / D / L	3 / 1 / 6	3 / 3 / 4	1 / 3 / 6	2 / 3 / 5
Goals for / match	0.70	1.00	0.50	0.60
Goals against / match	1.20	1.40	1.40	1.00
Clean sheets	30%	20%	20%	40%
Failed to score	40%	20%	60%	70%
Both teams scored	30%	60%	40%	20%
Over 2.5	20%	30%	30%	20%
Expected goals
xG for / match	0.93	0.97	1.01	1.05
xG against / match	1.68	1.49	1.40	1.62
xG difference	-0.76	-0.52	-0.39	-0.57
Finishing vs xG	-0.23	0.03	-0.51	-0.45
xPts / match	0.92	1.13	1.09	1.02
Points vs xPts	0.08	0.07	-0.49	-0.12
Game state
Scored first	30%	40%	10%	10%
PPG when scoring first	3.00	2.50	0.00	3.00
PPG when conceding first	0.14	0.33	0.57	0.50
Came back from behind	14%	33%	25%	17%
Leads held	75%	60%	50%	100%
Minutes leading	7%	13%	5%	7%
Minutes level	68%	66%	52%	56%
Minutes trailing	26%	21%	44%	37%
First goal (min)	68	51	49	56
First goal conceded (min)	47	47	29	24
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half	100%	80%	60%	83%
Goals conceded in 2nd half	67%	64%	43%	40%
Late goals for (76'+)	0.40	0.50	0.10	0.10
Late goals against	0.60	0.30	0.40	0.10
Style
Possession	42%	48%	50%	51%
Shots	9.4	12.8	10.4	10.9
On target	2.6	3.5	2.4	3.0
Shot conversion	7%	8%	5%	6%
Shots inside box	66%	54%	64%	62%
Big chances created	1.4	1.3	1.7	1.8
Corners	3.6	4.9	4.2	4.1
xG from set plays	32%	36%	44%	46%
Goals from headers	14%	20%	0%	17%
Pressure index	9.1	12.3	8.8	9.9
Dominant minutes	37.6	49.6	42.3	40.9
Pass accuracy	82%	82%	81%	83%
Fouls	9.7	10.7	10.2	10.1
Cards	1.40	2.00	1.60	1.00

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Parma

0–15'00

16–30'02

31–45'02

46–60'31

61–75'01

76–90'46

Genoa

0–15'03

16–30'14

31–45'11

46–60'21

61–75'01

76–90'14

Parma

Current: winless 4 · scoring 2 · conceding 4

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
3-5-2	5 50%	1.2	0.8	1.2	0.89	1.76
3-4-2-1	3 30%	1.33	1.0	1.0	1.22	1.72
4-4-2	1 10%	0.0	0.0	2.0	0.27	1.64
4-3-3	1 10%	0.0	0.0	1.0	0.88	1.24

Genoa

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 9 · scoring 2 · conceding 6

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
3-4-2-1	4 40%	0.5	0.0	0.75	0.59	1.33
3-4-1-2	2 20%	1.5	1.5	2.5	1.41	1.42
3-5-2	2 20%	0.5	0.5	1.5	1.22	1.33
4-3-2-1	1 10%	0.0	1.0	2.0	1.55	1.79
3-5-1-1	1 10%	0.0	0.0	1.0	0.89	1.36

Metric	Parma all · 39	Parma at home · 20	Genoa all · 39	Genoa away · 19
Results
Matches	39	20	39	19
Points per game	1.15	1.05	1.03	0.95
W / D / L	11 / 12 / 16	5 / 6 / 9	10 / 10 / 19	4 / 6 / 9
Goals for / match	0.74	0.80	1.08	0.95
Goals against / match	1.21	1.30	1.46	1.32
Clean sheets	33%	25%	20%	26%
Failed to score	41%	40%	38%	42%
Both teams scored	41%	45%	54%	53%
Over 2.5	31%	30%	54%	47%
Expected goals
xG for / match	0.88	0.94	1.20	1.09
xG against / match	1.55	1.51	1.48	1.59
xG difference	-0.67	-0.57	-0.28	-0.50
Finishing vs xG	-0.14	-0.14	-0.12	-0.14
xPts / match	1.00	1.09	1.20	1.07
Points vs xPts	0.16	-0.04	-0.18	-0.12
Game state
Scored first	33%	35%	41%	42%
PPG when scoring first	2.46	2.29	1.56	1.38
PPG when conceding first	0.35	0.27	0.56	0.43
Came back from behind	24%	25%	24%	18%
Leads held	73%	62%	53%	44%
Minutes leading	13%	12%	17%	18%
Minutes level	63%	63%	53%	56%
Minutes trailing	24%	25%	30%	26%
First goal (min)	48	45	38	42
First goal conceded (min)	40	42	38	42
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half	66%	69%	60%	56%
Goals conceded in 2nd half	62%	58%	53%	56%
Late goals for (76'+)	0.26	0.25	0.31	0.26
Late goals against	0.33	0.30	0.28	0.21
Style
Possession	44%	46%	48%	46%
Shots	10.5	12.4	11.7	10.6
On target	2.7	2.9	3.7	3.4
Shot conversion	7%	6%	9%	9%
Shots inside box	57%	57%	63%	64%
Big chances created	1.5	1.4	2.0	2.0
Corners	3.8	4.3	3.7	3.4
xG from set plays	40%	38%	44%	40%
Goals from headers	34%	31%	10%	11%
Pressure index	9.4	11.0	10.9	8.3
Dominant minutes	38.2	43.4	42.1	33.1
Pass accuracy	80%	80%	80%	80%
Fouls	10.4	10.8	11.8	11.6
Cards	1.92	2.00	1.87	1.68

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Parma

0–15'47

16–30'35

31–45'36

46–60'57

61–75'49

76–90'1013

Genoa

0–15'58

16–30'611

31–45'68

46–60'510

61–75'89

76–90'1211

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Parma · 38 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.14) · stands out: with ten men -0.41

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.1438

Early press (0-15, level)+0.0838

Late push (76+, level)-0.3820

Late chase (76+, behind)-0.3314

Game state

When ahead-0.1513

When level-0.1338

When behind-0.1521

10 min after conceding-0.3625

10 min after scoring+0.0721

Situations

With ten men-0.414

Against ten men+0.185

At home-0.1519

Away-0.1319

4+ days rest-0.1337

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.3212

v mid-tier opponents-0.0510

v bottom-tier opponents+0.065

As favourite+0.054

Evenly matched+0.099

As underdog-0.2525

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.3638

Conceded when ahead+0.3013

Conceded late (76+)+0.2935

Congested vs rested -0.37 · Ahead vs level -0.01 · Behind vs level -0.01

Genoa · 39 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.06) · stands out: with ten men -0.36

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.0639

Early press (0-15, level)-0.0339

Late push (76+, level)-0.2021

Late chase (76+, behind)-0.1518

Game state

When ahead-0.0519

When level-0.0839

When behind-0.0224

10 min after conceding-0.2331

10 min after scoring+0.1324

Situations

With ten men-0.363

Against ten men+0.074

At home-0.0620

Away-0.0619

4+ days rest-0.0538

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.2412

v mid-tier opponents-0.0211

v bottom-tier opponents+0.222

As favourite+0.078

Evenly matched+0.0413

As underdog-0.1918

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.1839

Conceded when ahead+0.2619

Conceded late (76+)-0.0038

Congested vs rested -0.18 · Ahead vs level +0.04 · Behind vs level +0.06

Parma

Current: winless 4 · scoring 2 · conceding 4

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
3-5-2	18 46%	1.39	0.78	0.83	0.79	1.35
4-3-3	7 18%	1.57	0.71	0.71	1.0	1.47
3-4-2-1	4 10%	1.0	0.75	1.75	1.34	2.35
3-1-4-2	3 8%	0.67	0.67	1.67	0.75	1.27
4-4-2	3 8%	0.0	0.33	1.67	0.92	1.31

Genoa

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 9 · scoring 2 · conceding 6

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
3-5-2	19 49%	1.42	1.63	1.42	1.17	1.45
3-4-2-1	11 28%	0.91	0.45	1.0	1.25	1.28
4-2-3-1	4 10%	0.0	0.5	2.25	1.03	1.97
3-4-1-2	2 5%	1.5	1.5	2.5	1.41	1.42
4-3-2-1	1 3%	0.0	1.0	2.0	1.55	1.79

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 77 snapshots · last 44.0h before kick-off

3.2Home 30% · -0.2 ptsopened 3.183.05Draw 32% · +0.2 ptsopened 3.072.55Away 38% · -0.0 ptsopened 2.55

Home Draw Away consensus of 7 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

Bookmaker	Home	Draw	Away	Last
Pinnacle	3.2 · -0.2	3.05 · +0.2	2.55 · -0.0	44.0h
bet365	3.1 · -0.1	3.0 · +0.9	2.5 · -0.9	44.0h
Betfair	3.25 ▼ -1.2	2.9 ▲ +1.1	2.55 · +0.0	44.0h
BetVictor	3.0 · +0.0	3.1 · +0.0	2.4 · +0.0	44.0h
Coral	3.1 · +0.0	3.0 · +0.0	2.45 · +0.0	44.0h
Ladbrokes	3.1 · +0.0	3.0 · +0.0	2.45 · +0.0	44.0h
WilliamHill	3.0 · +0.0	2.9 · +0.0	2.45 · +0.0	44.0h

bet365 (Pinnacle absent) · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 77 snapshots · last 44.0h before kick-off · biggest step: no -1.3 pts at 4.8d

2.0Yes 47% ▲ +1.3 ptsopened 2.051.75No 53% ▼ -1.3 ptsopened 1.7

Yes No consensus of 4 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Last
bet365	2.0 ▲ +1.3	1.75 ▼ -1.3	44.0h
Betfair	1.95 · -0.5	1.8 · +0.5	44.0h
BetVictor	2.0 ▼ -1.4	1.7 ▲ +1.4	44.0h
WilliamHill	2.0 · +0.0	1.75 · +0.0	44.0h

Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 77 snapshots · last 44.0h before kick-off

2.54Over 38% ▼ -1.1 ptsopened 2.471.54Under 62% ▲ +1.1 ptsopened 1.57

Over Under consensus of 4 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Last
Pinnacle	2.54 ▼ -1.1	1.54 ▲ +1.1	44.0h
bet365	2.5 ▼ -1.9	1.53 ▲ +1.9	44.0h
Betfair	2.55 ▼ -1.4	1.5 ▲ +1.4	44.0h
BetVictor	2.31 ▼ -1.1	1.52 ▲ +1.1	44.0h

Latest prices

bet365 · last snapshot 44.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

3.1Home 31% P 30%3.0Draw 32% P 32%2.5Away 38% P 38%

Double Chance

1.5Parma or Draw 31%1.36Parma or Genoa 34%1.36Draw or Genoa 34%

Draw No Bet

2.11 44%1.662 56%

Both Teams To Score

2.0Yes 47%1.75No 53%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.5Over 38% P 38%1.53Under 62% P 62%

Total Corners

6.0Under 6 15%2.66 - 8 33%2.759 - 11 32%6.012 - 14 15%15.0Over 14 6%

Number of Cards

3.51.61Over 58% P 56%2.2Under 42% P 44%

4.52.0Over 46% P 37%1.72Under 54% P 63%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 30–32.5% · away 37.5–40% · 556 fixtures

	This match	Band	Actual	±
Home	30%	31%	31%	-0.2
Draw	32%	30%	31%	+1.5
Away	38%	39%	38%	-1.3

In those fixtures: 2.4 goals a game · BTTS 52% · over 2.5 44%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 37.5–40% · 1,310 fixtures

	This match	Band	Actual	±
Over 2.5	38%	39%	39%	+0.7

Maurizio Mariani

Career: 229 matches · 15 seasons
Cards / match: 4.68 (4.44 yellow · 0.15 red)
Fouls / match: 25.6 · 5.1 fouls per card
Penalties / match: 0.31
Cards to home side: 46%

Style in Serie A (5-year window · 76 matches)

Metric	Referee	League	vs peers	pct
Cards / match	4.33	4.49	-0.23	37
Fouls / match	25.1	25.2	-0.03
Fouls per card	5.8	5.6	-0.04 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match	0.26	0.31	-0.49	39
Time added	6.6	6.4	+0.37	58

First card: 35' on average
Card timing: 14% in first 30' · 37% in last 15'
Cards to home side: 46% (league 46%)
VAR events / match: 1.16

Recent matches

Date	Y	R	Fouls	Pens	1st card	+min
2026-09-06	4	0	17	0	79'	9
2026-08-26	4	0	29	0	32'	7
2026-08-11	6	1	36	0	12'	8
2026-05-27	9	0	31	0	20'	9
2026-04-26	3	0	18	1	81'	6
2026-04-19	1	0	15	0	60'	5
2026-04-14	2	0	19	0	45'	10
2026-03-20	4	0	28	0	17'	10
2026-03-14	4	0	26	0	32'	14
2026-03-11	2	0	24	1	57'	18

Momentum

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Events

Stats

Season context

League this season · 2026/2027

Trends

Lineups

Bench

Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad

Parma · Last 365 days

Genoa · Last 365 days

Commentary

In-Play Odds

Competition

Venue

Teams

Referee

Weather

Where to watch · 73

Parma

Genoa

Last 4

This fixture vs the league league = last 365 days

How these games go · 4 with event data

When the goals come · all goals, 2 meetings

Expected goals · last 4 with xG

Against the market · 4 with closing odds

Fixture specialists

Last meeting · 2026-01-18 · ITA SA

Match result

Over / under 2.5

Both teams to score

Expected

Provider model (SportMonks)

Match result

Over / under 2.5

Both teams to score

All meetings · 24 matches since 2007

Last 10 · 10 matches

Last 5 · 5 matches

Recent meetings

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Parma · 4 matches

Genoa · 4 matches

Parma

Genoa

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Parma

Genoa

Parma

Genoa

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Parma

Genoa

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Parma · 38 matches

Genoa · 39 matches

Parma

Genoa

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Latest prices

Fulltime Result

Double Chance

Draw No Bet

Both Teams To Score

Goals Over/Under

Total Corners

Number of Cards

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Match result · home 30–32.5% · away 37.5–40% · 556 fixtures

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 37.5–40% · 1,310 fixtures

Maurizio Mariani

Style in Serie A (5-year window · 76 matches)

Recent matches