KickoffDNA
0 live
Serie A · Matchweek 5

Momentum

MonzaSassuolo
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
5

Venue

Stadium
U-Power Stadium, Monza
Capacity
18,568
Surface
grass

Teams

Coaches
Ivan Juric · Alberto Aquilani
Position
18 · 9
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 4-3-3

Referee

Daniele Perenzoni

Weather

Conditions
moderate rain
Temperature
21.4° (feels 21.4°)
Wind
3.0
Humidity
71%

Where to watch · 225

  • Afghanistan Unite8 Sports 1
  • Albania Tring Sport 1
  • Algeria STARZPLAY · Thmanyah
  • Andorra DAZN · DAZN France · DAZN Spain
  • Anguilla Disney+ Premium Caribbean
  • Argentina Disney+ Premium · Disney+ Premium Argentina · ESPN 3
  • Armenia Q League
  • Australia beIN Sports 1 · beIN Sports 1 · beIN SPORTS CONNECT
  • Austria DAZN · DAZN Austria
  • Azerbaijan Q League
  • Bahamas Disney+ Premium Caribbean
  • Bahrain STARZPLAY · Thmanyah
  • Belarus Q League
  • Belgium DAZN · DAZN1 Belgium
  • Bolivia Disney+ Premium · Disney+ Premium Chile · ESPN3 Colombia
  • Bosnia and Herzegovina Arena Cloud · Arena Sport 2P · Arena Sport Premium 2 · Moja TV
  • Brazil Disney+ Premium · Disney+ Premium Brazil
  • Brunei Astro Go
  • Bulgaria Max Sport 3
  • Canada DAZN · Fubo Sports Network 2 Canada · fuboTV · fuboTV Canada
  • Chile Disney+ Premium · Disney+ Premium Chile · ESPN 3 Chile
  • Colombia Disney+ Premium Sur · ESPN3 Colombia
  • Costa Rica Disney+ Premium Norte
  • Croatia Arena Sport 3 Croatia · MAXtv To Go
  • Cuba Disney+ Premium Caribbean
  • Cyprus Cablenet TV Go · Cytavision on the Go · Cytavision Sports 4
  • Czech Republic Oneplay · Sport 1 · Sport 1 CZ/SK
  • Denmark TV2 · TV2 Play · TV2 Play Denmark · TV2 Sport X
  • Dominican Republic Disney+ Premium Caribbean · Disney+ Premium Norte
  • Ecuador Disney+ Premium Sur · ESPN3 Colombia
  • Egypt STARZPLAY · Thmanyah
  • El Salvador Disney+ Premium Norte
  • England DAZN
  • Faroe Islands TV2 Play Denmark · TV2 Sport X
  • Finland MTV Katsomo · MTV Urheilu 1
  • France DAZN · DAZN France
  • Georgia Q League · Silk Sport HD 1
  • Germany DAZN · DAZN Germany
  • Greece Cosmote Sport 2 · MagentaSport 2
  • Guatemala Disney+ Premium Norte
  • Haiti Disney+ Premium Caribbean
  • Honduras Disney+ Premium Norte
  • Hong Kong beIN Sports 1 Hong Kong · beIN Sports Connect Hong Kong · M Plus Live · Now Player
  • India ZEE5
  • Indonesia Vidio · Vidio TV
  • Iran STARZPLAY · Thmanyah
  • Iraq Almanasa · STARZPLAY · Thmanyah
  • Israel ONE Sport
  • Italy DAZN · DAZN Italia · NOW TV · Sky Calcio 1 · Sky Go · SKY Go Italia · Sky Sport 251 · Sky Sport Calcio
  • Jamaica Disney+ Premium Caribbean
  • Japan DAZN · DAZN Japan
  • Jordan STARZPLAY · Thmanyah
  • Kazakhstan Q League
  • Kenya Azam Sports 3
  • Kosovo ART Sport 1 · TV Vala
  • Kuwait SHASHA · STARZPLAY · Thmanyah
  • Lebanon STARZPLAY
  • Libya STARZPLAY · Thmanyah
  • Liechtenstein DAZN Germany
  • Malaysia Astro Go · Astro Supersport · sooka
  • Malta GO TV Anywhere · TSN 3
  • Mexico Disney+ Premium · Disney+ Premium Mexico
  • Moldova Q League
  • Monaco DAZN · DAZN France
  • Montenegro Arena Cloud · Arena sport 2 · Arena Sport 2 Serbia
  • Morocco STARZPLAY · Thmanyah
  • New Zealand beIN Sports Connect New Zealand
  • Nicaragua Disney+ Premium Norte
  • North Macedonia Arena Cloud · Arena sport 2 · Arena Sport 2 Serbia · MaxTV Go
  • Northern Ireland DAZN
  • Norway VG+ · VGTV
  • Oman STARZPLAY · Thmanyah
  • Palestine STARZPLAY · Thmanyah
  • Panama Disney+ Premium Norte
  • Paraguay Disney+ Premium · Disney+ Premium Argentina · ESPN3 Colombia
  • Peru Disney+ Premium · Disney+ Premium Chile · ESPN3 Colombia
  • Poland Canal+ · Eleven Sports 3
  • Portugal Sport TV 2 · Sport TV Multiscreen
  • Puerto Rico Disney+ Premium Caribbean
  • Qatar STARZPLAY · Thmanyah
  • Republic of Ireland DAZN · DAZN UK
  • Romania Digi Online · Digi Sport 3 Romania · Orange TV Go · Prima Play · Prima Sport 3
  • Russia Match! Football 1 · matchtv.ru · Sportbox.ru
  • Rwanda Azam Sports 3
  • Saint Lucia Disney+ Premium Caribbean
  • Saint Vincent and the Grenadines Disney+ Caribbean
  • San Marino DAZN Italia
  • Saudi Arabia STARZPLAY · STC TV · Thmanyah
  • Scotland DAZN
  • Serbia Arena Cloud · Arena sport 2 · Arena Sport 2 Serbia
  • Slovenia Arena Sport 2 Slovenia
  • South Africa DStv App · SuperSport Football
  • South Korea SPOTV NOW · SPOTV Prime
  • Spain DAZN
  • Sweden TV4 Fotboll · TV4 Play · tv4play
  • Switzerland DAZN · DAZN Switzerland
  • Syria STARZPLAY · Thmanyah
  • Tanzania Azam Sports 3
  • Thailand True Premier Football HD 3
  • Trinidad and Tobago Disney+ Premium Caribbean
  • Tunisia Diwan Sport · STARZPLAY · Thmanyah
  • Turkey S Sport · S Sport 2
  • Turkmenistan Q League
  • Uganda Azam Sports 3
  • Ukraine Megogo · MEGOGO Football 3
  • United Arab Emirates STARZPLAY · Thmanyah
  • United States fuboTV · Paramount+ · Peacock · Telemundo Deportes En Vivo · UNIVERSO
  • Uruguay Disney+ Premium · Disney+ Premium Argentina · ESPN3 Colombia
  • US Virgin Islands Disney+ Caribbean
  • Uzbekistan Q League
  • Venezuela Disney+ Premium Sur · ESPN 3 · inter
  • Wales DAZN
  • Yemen STARZPLAY
  • Zambia Azam Sports 3
  • Zimbabwe Azam Sports 3

2026/2027

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Roma 4400 12111 12 WWWW
2 Inter 4400 1367 12 WWWW
3 Como 4310 945 10 DWWW
4 Lazio 4310 633 10 WWWD
5 Cagliari 4301 422 9 WLWW
6 AC Milan 4220 743 8 WWDD
7 Frosinone 4211 743 7 LWWD
8 Juventus 4211 642 7 WWDL
9 Sassuolo 4211 871 7 LWDW
10 Napoli 4202 651 6 WLLW
11 Atalanta 4202 550 6 WWLL
12 Lecce 4202 57-2 6 WLLW
13 Udinese 4112 810-2 4 DWLL
14 Torino 4103 47-3 3 LLWL
15 Fiorentina 4103 511-6 3 LLLW
16 Bologna 4013 25-3 1 LLDL
17 Parma 4013 26-4 1 LLDL
18 Monza 4013 611-5 1 LLDL
19 Genoa 4013 28-6 1 LLLD
20 Venezia 4004 411-7 0 LLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation

Monza

LLDL 0W 1D 3L · 1 pts (0.25 ppg) · GF 6 GA 11 · xG 7.07–4.59 · xPts 6.9

  • L A Lecce 2–3 xG 3.03–1.19 ITA SA
  • D A Parma 1–1 xG 1.37–1.0 ITA SA
  • L H Udinese 2–3 xG 1.62–1.11 ITA SA
  • L A Inter 1–4 xG 1.05–1.3 ITA SA

Sassuolo

LLWDW 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 8 GA 8 · xG 7.61–6.78 · xPts 7.3

  • W H Juventus 3–2 xG 0.92–1.12 ITA SA
  • D A Bologna 2–2 xG 1.49–2.31 ITA SA
  • W H Torino 2–1 xG 1.8–1.21 ITA SA
  • L A Atalanta 1–2 xG 2.54–0.9 ITA SA
  • L A Parma 0–1 xG 0.86–1.23 ITA SA

small sample 4 meetings 2023–2024

Last 4

Monza 31 draws0 Sassuolo

Goals 5–2 · Monza hosting: 1W 1D 0L · Sassuolo hosting: 0W 0D 2L

At U-Power Stadium: 2 meetings · Monza 1 · draws 1 · Sassuolo 0 · 1.5 goals per match

All-time since 2023: 4 meetings · Monza 3 · draws 1 · Sassuolo 0

  • Monza have won the last 3 meetings
  • Sassuolo have never beaten Monza in 4 meetings

This fixture vs the league league = last 365 days

MetricFixtureLeagueΔn
Goals per match1.752.51-0.764
Both teams score50%47%+3%4
Over 2.5 goals25%48%-24%4
Corners10.88.8+2.04
Cards4.04.00.04

0.75 first-half goals per match · red card in 1

How these games go · 4 with event data

MonzaSassuolo
Scored first2 of 42 of 4
Scored first and won20
Won from behind10

first goal on average in minute 39 · a side came back in 2 · goal after the 75th minute in 1 · penalty scored in 1

When the goals come · all goals, 4 meetings

0-15'1
16-30'0
31-45'2
46-60'2
61-75'1
76-90'1

2 equalisers · 1 penalty

Against the market · 4 with closing odds

Favourite won 1 (25%), drew 1, upset 2 · market favoured Monza 2×, Sassuolo 2× · avg favourite 45%, avg price of the actual result 33%

Fixture specialists

  • 1 Andrea Colpani Monza · last Jan 2024
  • 1 Lorenzo Colombo Monza · last Oct 2023
  • 1 Domenico Berardi Sassuolo · last May 2023
  • 1 Matteo Pessina Monza · last May 2023
  • 1 Patrick Ciurria Monza · last May 2023

Last meeting · 2024-01-28 · ITA SA

Monza 1-0 Sassuolo · ref Gianluca Manganiello

  • 31' Andrea Colpani assist Dany Mota 1–0

· corners 9 · cards 4

KickoffDNA model engine-only-1.1.0 · day before ·

Match result

27.0%Monza P 35%24.8%Draw P 28%48.3%Sassuolo P 37%

Over / under 2.5

53.9%Over 2.5 P 55%46.1%Under 2.5 P 45%

Both teams to score

56.2%Yes43.8%No

Expected

Monza goals
1.18 (0–3)
Sassuolo goals
1.66 (0–3)
Corners
8.41 (4–13)
Cards
4.07 (2–7)

Provider model (SportMonks)

Match result

46.7%Monza26.8%Draw26.5%Sassuolo

Over / under 2.5

50.6%Over 2.549.4%Under 2.5

Both teams to score

55.1%Yes44.9%No

Model probabilities are independent of the market; bookmaker figures are shown only as a benchmark.

All meetings · 4 matches since 2023

Monza 31 draws0 Sassuolo

Goals 5–2 · 1.75 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 25%

Last 10 · 4 matches

Monza 31 draws0 Sassuolo

Goals 5–2 · 1.75 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 25%

Last 5 · 4 matches

Monza 31 draws0 Sassuolo

Goals 5–2 · 1.75 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 25%

Recent meetings

  • W Monza 1–0 Sassuolo ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Sassuolo 0–1 Monza ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Sassuolo 1–2 Monza ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Monza 1–1 Sassuolo ITA SA · Regular Season
MetricMonza all · 4Monza at home · 1Sassuolo all · 4Sassuolo away · 2

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Monza · 4 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.30) · stands out: away +0.49

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.304
Early press (0-15, level)+0.204
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.412

Game state

When level+0.204
When behind+0.463
10 min after conceding+0.104
10 min after scoring+0.284

Situations

Away+0.493
4+ days rest+0.304

Opposition

Evenly matched+0.393

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.194
Conceded late (76+)-0.593

Ahead vs level -0.58 · Behind vs level +0.26

Sassuolo · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.09) · stands out: late push (76+, level) -0.50

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.094
Early press (0-15, level)-0.244
Late push (76+, level)-0.503

Game state

When ahead+0.143
When level-0.074
10 min after conceding-0.424
10 min after scoring+0.184

Situations

At home-0.032
Away+0.222
4+ days rest+0.094

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.112
As underdog+0.073

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.104
Conceded when ahead+0.173
Conceded late (76+)+0.234

Ahead vs level +0.21 · Behind vs level +0.50

Monza

Current: winless 6 · scoring 4 · conceding 17

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-13 75%0.331.672.332.011.1
3-4-31 25%0.01.04.01.051.3

Sassuolo

Current: unbeaten 3 · wins 1 · scoring 4 · conceding 7

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-33 75%1.331.671.671.941.48
4-2-3-11 25%3.03.02.00.921.12

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 116 snapshots · last 4.8h before kick-off · biggest step: away -2.1 pts at 12.8h

2.81Home 35% ▼ -1.3 ptsopened 2.73.44Draw 28% · +0.2 ptsopened 3.452.62Away 37% ▲ +1.1 ptsopened 2.69
4d3d2d24h12h6h1hKO 25%30%35%40%

Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

BookmakerHomeDrawAwayLast
Pinnacle2.81 ▼ -1.33.44 · +0.22.62 ▲ +1.14.8h
bet3652.75 · -0.63.3 · -0.42.55 ▲ +1.04.8h
Betfair2.75 ▲ +1.43.3 ▲ +2.32.63 ▼ -3.74.8h
BetVictor2.63 · +0.63.5 ▼ -1.22.55 · +0.64.8h
Coral2.7 · +0.03.4 · +0.02.5 · +0.04.8h
Ladbrokes2.7 · +0.03.4 · +0.02.5 · +0.04.8h
Unibet2.63 ▲ +3.93.35 · +0.92.55 ▼ -4.84.8h
WilliamHill2.62 · +0.23.25 · -0.32.5 · +0.24.8h

Latest prices

bet365 · last snapshot 4.8h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.75Home 34% P 35%3.3Draw 29% P 28%2.55Away 37% P 37%

Double Chance

1.5Monza or Draw 31%1.3Monza or Sassuolo 36%1.44Draw or Sassuolo 33%

Draw No Bet

1.831 50%1.832 50%

Both Teams To Score

1.57Yes 59%2.25No 41%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.72Over 55% P 55%2.1Under 45% P 45%

Total Corners

6.5Under 6 13%2.626 - 8 33%2.759 - 11 31%5.512 - 14 16%13.0Over 14 7%

Number of Cards

3.51.83Over 50% P 49%1.83Under 50% P 51%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 32.5–35% · away 35–37.5% · 691 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home35%34%34%+0.5
Draw28%30%27%-2.5
Away37%36%38%+2.0

In those fixtures: 2.5 goals a game · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 45%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 52.5–55% · 2,940 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.555%54%54%+0.8

Daniele Perenzoni

No career statistics.

Style in Serie A (5-year window · 7 matches)

Fewer than 10 matches with card data in this league — averages only: 3.71 cards, 27.9 fouls per match.

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-08-22 20 260 10'18
2026-05-17 20 230 52'5
2025-09-28 · Sassuolo 30 270 18'8