Momentum
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
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Events
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Stats
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Season context
| Juventus | at home | Stat | league | away | Atalanta |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 56.2 #6 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 48.2 #10 |
| 18.2 #4 | – | Shots total | 14.6 | – | 12.0 #15 |
| 6.0 #5 | – | Shots on target | 4.9 | – | 3.8 #15 |
| 9.8 #1 | – | Corners | 4.7 | – | 2.2 #19 |
| 16.0 #2 | – | Fouls | 11.2 | – | 9.5 #14 |
| 2.2 #8 | – | Offsides | 2.1 | – | 1.0 #15 |
| 12.8 #19 | – | Tackles | 16.0 | – | 13.5 #17 |
| 100.0 #6 | – | Attacks | 92.8 | – | 101.2 #5 |
| 48.2 #5 | – | Dangerous attacks | 44.7 | – | 41.8 #12 |
| 485.2 #9 | – | Passes | 459.1 | – | 523.5 #6 |
| 1.8 #9 | – | Yellowcards | 1.5 | – | 0.5 #18 |
| – | – | Redcards | 0.1 | – | 0.2 #1 |
| 1.0 #13 | – | Assists | 1.2 | – | 0.8 #16 |
| – #9 | – | Btts | 60.0 | – | – #5 |
| – #2 | – | Cleansheet | 20.0 | – | – #6 |
| – #2 | – | Draw | 15.0 | – | – #12 |
| 1.5 #10 | – | Expected goals | 1.5 | – | 0.9 #20 |
| -0.0 #12 | – | Expected goals difference | -0.0 | – | 0.3 #5 |
| – #10 | – | Failed to score | 20.0 | – | – #10 |
| 1.5 #8 | 1.5 | Goals | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.2 #12 |
| 1.0 #14 | 0.5 | Goals conceded | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.2 #11 |
| 0.8 #2 | – | Injury time goals | 0.5 | – | 0.5 #4 |
| 8.0 #11 | – | Interceptions | 8.5 | – | 7.5 #13 |
| – #12 | – | Lost | 42.5 | – | – #8 |
| 6.9 #5 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.8 #10 |
| 4.5 #6 | – | Shots blocked | 3.6 | – | 3.5 #9 |
| 10.0 #8 | – | Shots insidebox | 9.6 | – | 7.5 #16 |
| 7.8 #4 | – | Shots off target | 6.0 | – | 4.8 #14 |
| 8.2 #1 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.9 | – | 4.5 #12 |
| – #6 | – | Win | 42.5 | – | – #6 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 20.
League this season · 2026/2027
- Played
- 37 of 380
- Goals / match
- 2.92 (home 1.41 · away 1.51)
- Home / draw / away
- 41% · 16% · 43%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 59% · 57%
- Cards / match
- 3.19 (reds 0.03)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Juventus · Last 365 days
Atalanta · Last 365 days
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 5
Venue
- Stadium
- Juventus Stadium, Torino
- Capacity
- 45,500
- Surface
- grass
Teams
- Coaches
- Luciano Spalletti · Maurizio Sarri
- Position
- 8 · 11
- Formation
- 4-2-3-1 · 4-3-3
Referee
Luca Zufferli
Weather
- Conditions
- broken clouds
- Temperature
- 25.3° (feels 25.1°)
- Wind
- 1.7
- Humidity
- 48%
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2026/2027
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Roma |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 1 | 11 | 12 | WWWW |
| 2 | Inter |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 12 | WWWW |
| 3 | Como |
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 10 | DWWW |
| 4 | Lazio |
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 10 | WWWD |
| 5 | Cagliari |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9 | WLWW |
| 6 | AC Milan |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 8 | WWDD |
| 7 | Frosinone |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 | LWWD |
| 8 | Juventus |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 7 | WWDL |
| 9 | Sassuolo |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 7 | LWDW |
| 10 | Napoli |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 6 | WLLW |
| 11 | Atalanta |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 6 | WWLL |
| 12 | Lecce |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 6 | WLLW |
| 13 | Udinese |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 4 | DWLL |
| 14 | Torino |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 3 | LLWL |
| 15 | Fiorentina |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 3 | LLLW |
| 16 | Bologna |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 1 | LLDL |
| 17 | Parma |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 1 | LLDL |
| 18 | Monza |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 1 | LLDL |
| 19 | Genoa |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 1 | LLLD |
| 20 | Venezia |
4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 0 | LLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 9 | WWWW |
| 2 | Roma |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 6 | WWWW |
| 3 | Sassuolo |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 6 | LWDW |
| 4 | Atalanta |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 6 | WWLL |
| 5 | Juventus |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | WWDL |
| 6 | Lazio |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | WWWD |
| 7 | AC Milan |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | WWDD |
| 8 | Como |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | DWWW |
| 9 | Frosinone |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | LWWD |
| 10 | Napoli |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | WLLW |
| 11 | Cagliari |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | WLWW |
| 12 | Lecce |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 3 | WLLW |
| 13 | Bologna |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 1 | LLDL |
| 14 | Udinese |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 1 | DWLL |
| 15 | Parma |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 1 | LLDL |
| 16 | Genoa |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 1 | LLLD |
| 17 | Monza |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 0 | LLDL |
| 18 | Torino |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | LLWL |
| 19 | Venezia |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 0 | LLLL |
| 20 | Fiorentina |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 0 | LLLW |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Como |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 7 | DWWW |
| 2 | Roma |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 6 | WWWW |
| 3 | Cagliari |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | WLWW |
| 4 | Lazio |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | WWWD |
| 5 | AC Milan |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 5 | WWDD |
| 6 | Frosinone |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 | LWWD |
| 7 | Napoli |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | WLLW |
| 8 | Lecce |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | WLLW |
| 9 | Inter |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | WWWW |
| 10 | Juventus |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | WWDL |
| 11 | Torino |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | LLWL |
| 12 | Udinese |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 3 | DWLL |
| 13 | Fiorentina |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 3 | LLLW |
| 14 | Sassuolo |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 1 | LWDW |
| 15 | Monza |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 1 | LLDL |
| 16 | Atalanta |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | WWLL |
| 17 | Genoa |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | LLLD |
| 18 | Bologna |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | LLDL |
| 19 | Venezia |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 0 | LLLL |
| 20 | Parma |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | LLDL |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Europa League
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
- Relegation
Juventus
WWDLW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 11 GA 4 · xG 9.01–2.62 · xPts 11.06
- W
H
NEC Nijmegen
5–0
xG 3.23–0.77
UEFA EL - L
A
Sassuolo
2–3
xG 1.12–0.92
ITA SA - D
H
AC Milan
1–1
xG 1.24–0.11
ITA SA - W
H
Parma
2–0
xG 1.64–0.27
ITA SA - W
A
Frosinone
1–0
xG 1.77–0.55
ITA SA
DWWDLW 3W 2D 1L · 11 pts (1.83 ppg) · GF 13 GA 6 · xG 11.31–3.63 · xPts 13.23
- W
H
NEC Nijmegen
5–0
xG 3.23–0.77
UEFA EL - L
A
Sassuolo
2–3
xG 1.12–0.92
ITA SA - D
H
AC Milan
1–1
xG 1.24–0.11
ITA SA - W
H
Parma
2–0
xG 1.64–0.27
ITA SA - W
A
Frosinone
1–0
xG 1.77–0.55
ITA SA - D
A
Torino
2–2
xG 2.3–1.01
ITA SA
Atalanta
WWWLL 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 6 GA 5 · xG 4.64–8.78 · xPts 4.6
- L
H
Cagliari
1–2
xG 1.58–1.12
ITA SA - L
A
Roma
1–2
xG 0.88–3.31
ITA SA - W
H
Bologna
1–0
xG 0.25–0.91
ITA SA - W
A
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1–0
xG 1.02–0.89
UEFA ECL - W
H
Sassuolo
2–1
xG 0.9–2.54
ITA SA
DWWWLL 3W 1D 2L · 10 pts (1.67 ppg) · GF 6 GA 5 · xG 5.62–9.19 · xPts 6.43
- L
H
Cagliari
1–2
xG 1.58–1.12
ITA SA - L
A
Roma
1–2
xG 0.88–3.31
ITA SA - W
H
Bologna
1–0
xG 0.25–0.91
ITA SA - W
A
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1–0
xG 1.02–0.89
UEFA ECL - W
H
Sassuolo
2–1
xG 0.9–2.54
ITA SA - D
H
Hapoel Tel Aviv
0–0
xG 0.99–0.41
UEFA ECL
full sample 10 meetings 2021–2026 · 1 on neutral ground
Recurring referee: Simone Sozza · 2 of these meetings
Last 10
Goals 11–13 · Juventus hosting: 0W 3D 1L · Atalanta hosting: 0W 3D 2L
At Juventus Stadium: 4 meetings · Juventus 0 · draws 3 · Atalanta 1 · 4.0 goals per match · last away win Mar 2025
All-time since 2007: 36 meetings · Juventus 20 · draws 13 · Atalanta 3
This fixture vs the league league = last 365 days
| Metric | Fixture | League | Δ | n |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals per match | 2.40 | 2.51 | -0.11 | 10 |
| Both teams score | 50% | 47% | +3% | 10 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 30% | 48% | -18% | 10 |
| Corners | 10.7 | 8.8 | +1.9 | 10 |
| Cards | 3.7 | 4.0 | -0.3 | 10 |
1 goalless · 3 with 4+ goals · 0.70 first-half goals per match · red card in 1
How these games go · 10 with event data
| Juventus | Atalanta | |
|---|---|---|
| Scored first | 3 of 10 | 6 of 10 |
| Scored first and won | 2 | 2 |
| Won from behind | 0 | 0 |
first goal on average in minute 42 · a side came back in 5 · goal after the 75th minute in 5 · penalty scored in 2
When the goals come · all goals, 9 meetings
8 equalisers · 2 penalties · 1 header
Expected goals · last 4 with xG
Deserved on xG: Juventus 1 · level 0 · Atalanta 3 — actual wins in those games 1 / 1
Against the market · 10 with closing odds
Favourite won 1 (10%), drew 6, upset 3 · market favoured Juventus 7×, Atalanta 3× · avg favourite 43%, avg price of the actual result 31%
Fixture specialists
- 3 Ademola Lookman Atalanta · in 2 games · last Mar 2025
- 2 Mateo Retegui Atalanta · in 2 games · last Mar 2025
- 2 Teun Koopmeiners Atalanta · last Mar 2024
- 2 Arkadiusz Milik Juventus · in 2 games · last Mar 2024
- 2 Danilo Juventus · in 2 games · last Jan 2023
Last meeting · 2026-04-11 · ITA SA
Atalanta 0-1 Juventus · ref Fabio Maresca
- 48' Jérémie Boga 0–1
xG 2.18 – 0.97 · corners 15 · cards 4
KickoffDNA model engine-only-1.1.0 · day before ·
Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score
Expected
- Juventus goals
- 1.3 (0–3)
- Atalanta goals
- 0.92 (0–2)
- Corners
- 10.34 (6–15)
- Cards
- 3.29 (1–6)
Provider model (SportMonks)
Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score
Model probabilities are independent of the market; bookmaker figures are shown only as a benchmark.
All meetings · 36 matches since 2007
Goals 69–35 · 2.89 per match · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 53%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 11–13 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 30%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 5–8 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 40%
Recent meetings
- W Atalanta 0–1 Juventus ITA SA · Regular Season
- D Juventus 1–1 Atalanta ITA SA · Regular Season
- L Juventus 0–4 Atalanta ITA SA · Regular Season
- D Atalanta 1–1 Juventus ITA SA · Regular Season
- D Juventus 2–2 Atalanta ITA SA · Regular Season
- D Atalanta 0–0 Juventus ITA SA · Regular Season
- W Atalanta 0–2 Juventus ITA SA · Regular Season
- D Juventus 3–3 Atalanta ITA SA · Regular Season
- D Atalanta 1–1 Juventus ITA SA · Regular Season
- L Juventus 0–1 Atalanta neutral ITA SA · Regular Season
| Metric | Juventus all · 4 | Juventus at home · 2 | Atalanta all · 4 | Atalanta away · 1 |
|---|
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Juventus · 5 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.27) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.64
Tempo
Game state
Situations
Opposition
Conceded
Ahead vs level +0.20 · Behind vs level -0.07
Atalanta · 6 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.06) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.46
Tempo
Game state
Situations
Opposition
Conceded
Congested vs rested -0.08 · Ahead vs level -0.09 · Behind vs level +0.39
Juventus
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 6 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 3 75% | 1.33 | 1.33 | 1.33 | 1.38 | 0.53 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 25% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.64 | 0.27 |
Atalanta
Current: winless 2 · scoring 5 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 4 100% | 1.5 | 1.25 | 1.25 | 0.91 | 1.97 |
| Metric | Juventus all · 10 | Juventus at home · 10 | Atalanta all · 10 | Atalanta away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 1.60 | 2.10 | 1.50 | 1.20 |
| W / D / L | 4 / 4 / 2 | 6 / 3 / 1 | 4 / 3 / 3 | 3 / 3 / 4 |
| Goals for / match | 1.50 | 2.10 | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Goals against / match | 0.90 | 0.70 | 0.90 | 1.60 |
| Clean sheets | 50% | 50% | 40% | 20% |
| Failed to score | 20% | 10% | 30% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 40% | 50% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 | 30% | 30% | 40% | 60% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.90 | 2.42 | 1.16 | 1.51 |
| xG against / match | 0.63 | 0.70 | 1.33 | 1.61 |
| xG difference | 1.27 | 1.72 | -0.17 | -0.10 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.40 | -0.32 | -0.16 | -0.01 |
| xPts / match | 2.16 | 2.36 | 1.32 | 1.34 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.56 | -0.27 | 0.18 | -0.14 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 50% | 70% | 50% | 50% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.60 | 2.71 | 2.40 | 2.00 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.50 | 0.67 | 0.33 | 0.40 |
| Came back from behind | 50% | 67% | 25% | 33% |
| Leads held | 80% | 86% | 80% | 60% |
| Minutes leading | 36% | 47% | 24% | 26% |
| Minutes level | 50% | 41% | 64% | 38% |
| Minutes trailing | 14% | 11% | 12% | 35% |
| First goal (min) | 44 | 37 | 49 | 54 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 52 | 59 | 61 | 42 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 60% | 62% | 60% | 60% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 78% | 60% | 78% | 56% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| Late goals against | 0.40 | 0.30 | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 58% | 58% | 51% | 51% |
| Shots | 18.1 | 20.2 | 13.2 | 13.4 |
| On target | 6.2 | 6.7 | 4.3 | 4.9 |
| Shot conversion | 8% | 10% | 8% | 11% |
| Shots inside box | 63% | 67% | 63% | 68% |
| Big chances created | 2.7 | 3.6 | 1.5 | 3.1 |
| Corners | 7.5 | 7.0 | 3.1 | 4.4 |
| xG from set plays | 25% | 30% | 14% | 17% |
| Goals from headers | 15% | 32% | 0% | 7% |
| Pressure index | 19.7 | 21.6 | 12.2 | 10.2 |
| Dominant minutes | 67.9 | 72.3 | 47.3 | 43.9 |
| Pass accuracy | 86% | 86% | 86% | 85% |
| Fouls | 13.1 | 11.5 | 12.3 | 11.9 |
| Cards | 1.60 | 1.70 | 1.20 | 1.50 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Juventus
Atalanta
Juventus
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 6 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 5 50% | 1.4 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.68 | 0.67 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 4 40% | 1.5 | 2.0 | 0.75 | 2.24 | 0.67 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.64 | 0.27 |
Atalanta
Current: winless 2 · scoring 5 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 6 60% | 1.67 | 1.0 | 0.83 | 0.94 | 1.53 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 3 30% | 1.33 | 1.33 | 1.33 | 1.26 | 1.21 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 1 10% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.18 | 0.44 |
| Metric | Juventus all · 49 | Juventus at home · 24 | Atalanta all · 52 | Atalanta away · 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 49 | 24 | 52 | 25 |
| Points per game | 1.73 | 2.00 | 1.54 | 1.36 |
| W / D / L | 23 / 16 / 10 | 13 / 9 / 2 | 22 / 14 / 16 | 9 / 7 / 9 |
| Goals for / match | 1.63 | 1.88 | 1.29 | 1.28 |
| Goals against / match | 0.98 | 0.71 | 1.10 | 1.16 |
| Clean sheets | 41% | 46% | 36% | 36% |
| Failed to score | 20% | 17% | 23% | 16% |
| Both teams scored | 47% | 46% | 50% | 52% |
| Over 2.5 | 41% | 38% | 44% | 40% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.83 | 2.13 | 1.68 | 1.47 |
| xG against / match | 1.08 | 0.90 | 1.32 | 1.53 |
| xG difference | 0.75 | 1.23 | 0.36 | -0.07 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.20 | -0.26 | -0.40 | -0.19 |
| xPts / match | 1.80 | 2.08 | 1.61 | 1.38 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.07 | -0.08 | -0.08 | -0.02 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 51% | 54% | 48% | 52% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.68 | 2.85 | 2.44 | 2.31 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.70 | 1.00 | 0.64 | 0.27 |
| Came back from behind | 50% | 78% | 33% | 25% |
| Leads held | 79% | 93% | 79% | 69% |
| Minutes leading | 34% | 36% | 25% | 21% |
| Minutes level | 50% | 50% | 52% | 52% |
| Minutes trailing | 17% | 13% | 23% | 27% |
| First goal (min) | 38 | 39 | 48 | 59 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 42 | 46 | 45 | 46 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 62% | 62% | 58% | 62% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 61% | 40% | 54% | 48% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.35 | 0.42 | 0.38 | 0.36 |
| Late goals against | 0.29 | 0.13 | 0.17 | 0.28 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 56% | 57% | 53% | 53% |
| Shots | 16.7 | 19.5 | 14.3 | 12.4 |
| On target | 6.1 | 6.8 | 4.5 | 4.2 |
| Shot conversion | 10% | 10% | 9% | 10% |
| Shots inside box | 66% | 65% | 66% | 66% |
| Big chances created | 3.0 | 3.4 | 2.6 | 2.3 |
| Corners | 5.8 | 6.7 | 5.0 | 4.4 |
| xG from set plays | 26% | 30% | 26% | 22% |
| Goals from headers | 21% | 26% | 16% | 6% |
| Pressure index | 20.5 | 24.1 | 15.7 | 13.0 |
| Dominant minutes | 61.7 | 69.7 | 53.2 | 47.2 |
| Pass accuracy | 86% | 87% | 84% | 84% |
| Fouls | 13.0 | 12.0 | 11.3 | 11.7 |
| Cards | 1.63 | 1.25 | 1.58 | 1.96 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Juventus
Atalanta
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Juventus · 49 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.44) · stands out: v bottom-tier opponents +0.88
Tempo
Game state
Situations
Opposition
Conceded
Congested vs rested -0.32 · Ahead vs level -0.20 · Behind vs level -0.23
Atalanta · 52 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.19) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) +0.56
Tempo
Game state
Situations
Opposition
Conceded
Congested vs rested +0.12 · Ahead vs level +0.16 · Behind vs level +0.17
Juventus
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 6 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 29 59% | 1.9 | 1.62 | 0.76 | 1.7 | 1.1 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 10 20% | 1.7 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 2.09 | 0.75 |
| 4-3-3 | 4 8% | 0.75 | 1.75 | 3.0 | 1.91 | 1.94 |
| 3-5-2 | 2 4% | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.33 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 2 4% | 2.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 2.28 | 1.11 |
Atalanta
Current: winless 2 · scoring 5 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 38 73% | 1.58 | 1.42 | 1.05 | 1.73 | 1.3 |
| 4-3-3 | 7 14% | 1.57 | 1.0 | 0.86 | 1.08 | 1.46 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 4 8% | 1.25 | 1.0 | 1.25 | 1.98 | 0.88 |
| 3-4-3 | 2 4% | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 2.01 | 0.87 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 2% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 2.25 | 3.81 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 79 snapshots · last 42.0h before kick-off · biggest step: home +1.5 pts at 45.0h
Home Draw Away consensus of 7 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.69 ▲ +1.8 | 3.86 · -0.2 | 5.31 ▼ -1.6 | 42.0h |
| bet365 | 1.7 · -0.2 | 3.9 · -0.2 | 4.75 · +0.4 | 42.0h |
| Betfair | 1.67 · +0.5 | 3.9 · -0.7 | 5.0 · +0.2 | 42.0h |
| BetVictor | 1.65 · +0.7 | 3.75 · +0.3 | 5.0 · -1.0 | 42.0h |
| Coral | 1.7 ▼ -1.1 | 3.8 ▲ +1.2 | 4.8 · -0.0 | 42.0h |
| Ladbrokes | 1.7 ▼ -1.1 | 3.8 ▲ +1.2 | 4.8 · -0.0 | 42.0h |
| WilliamHill | 1.7 · +0.6 | 3.6 · +0.3 | 4.75 · -0.9 | 42.0h |
bet365 (Pinnacle absent) · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 79 snapshots · last 42.0h before kick-off · biggest step: no +1.3 pts at 3.2d
Yes No consensus of 4 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.8 ▼ -1.3 | 1.95 ▲ +1.3 | 42.0h |
| Betfair | 1.8 ▼ -4.0 | 1.95 ▲ +4.0 | 42.0h |
| BetVictor | 1.78 ▼ -2.3 | 1.91 ▲ +2.3 | 42.0h |
| WilliamHill | 1.8 ▼ -2.6 | 2.0 ▲ +2.6 | 42.0h |
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 79 snapshots · last 42.0h before kick-off · biggest step: over -1.2 pts at 3.5d
Over Under consensus of 4 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.89 ▼ -1.6 | 2.0 ▲ +1.6 | 42.0h |
| bet365 | 1.9 ▼ -2.6 | 1.9 ▲ +2.6 | 42.0h |
| Betfair | 1.87 ▼ -5.6 | 1.9 ▲ +5.6 | 42.0h |
| BetVictor | 1.8 ▼ -2.3 | 1.87 ▲ +2.3 | 42.0h |
Latest prices
bet365 · last snapshot 42.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
Double Chance
Draw No Bet
Both Teams To Score
Goals Over/Under
Total Corners
Number of Cards
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 55–57.5% · away 17.5–20% · 762 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 57% | 56% | 53% | -2.8 |
| Draw | 25% | 25% | 26% | +1.0 |
| Away | 18% | 19% | 21% | +1.8 |
In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 52%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 50–52.5% · 3,575 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 51% | 51% | 51% | -0.1 |
Luca Zufferli
- Career
- 44 matches · 5 seasons
- Cards / match
- 3.11 (3.0 yellow · 0.09 red)
- Fouls / match
- 23.6 · 7.6 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.29
- Cards to home side
- 43%
Style in Serie A (5-year window · 41 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 3.1 | 4.49 | -1.98 | 2 |
| Fouls / match | 23.6 | 25.2 | -0.95 | |
| Fouls per card | 8.0 | 5.6 | +2.18 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.29 | 0.31 | -0.25 | 46 |
| Time added | 6.8 | 6.4 | +0.78 | 78 |
- First card
- 36' on average
- Card timing
- 20% in first 30' · 35% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 44% (league 46%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.4
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 52' | 5 |
| 2026-07-30 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 0 | 8' | 6 |
| 2026-05-24 · Juventus | 3 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 64' | 28 |
| 2026-05-17 | 2 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 65' | 7 |
| 2026-05-10 · Atalanta | 6 | 0 | 25 | 1 | 34' | 9 |
| 2026-05-04 | 4 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 25' | 3 |
| 2026-04-18 | 4 | 0 | 20 | 1 | 29' | 6 |
| 2026-04-05 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 14' | 5 |
| 2026-03-08 | 2 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 61' | 6 |
| 2026-01-30 | 5 | 0 | 24 | 3 | 64' | 8 |

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