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Serie A · Matchweek 5

Momentum

FrosinoneComo
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
5

Venue

Stadium
Stadio Benito Stirpe, Frosinone
Capacity
16,227
Surface
grass

Teams

Coaches
Massimiliano Alvini · Cesc Fàbregas
Position
7 · 3
Formation
4-3-3 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Daniele Chiffi

Weather

Conditions
sky is clear
Temperature
25.6° (feels 25.5°)
Wind
2.9
Humidity
46%

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2026/2027

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Roma 4400 12111 12 WWWW
2 Inter 4400 1367 12 WWWW
3 Como 4310 945 10 DWWW
4 Lazio 4310 633 10 WWWD
5 Cagliari 4301 422 9 WLWW
6 AC Milan 4220 743 8 WWDD
7 Frosinone 4211 743 7 LWWD
8 Juventus 4211 642 7 WWDL
9 Sassuolo 4211 871 7 LWDW
10 Napoli 4202 651 6 WLLW
11 Atalanta 4202 550 6 WWLL
12 Lecce 4202 57-2 6 WLLW
13 Udinese 4112 810-2 4 DWLL
14 Torino 4103 47-3 3 LLWL
15 Fiorentina 4103 511-6 3 LLLW
16 Bologna 4013 25-3 1 LLDL
17 Parma 4013 26-4 1 LLDL
18 Monza 4013 611-5 1 LLDL
19 Genoa 4013 28-6 1 LLLD
20 Venezia 4004 411-7 0 LLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation

Frosinone

LWWD 2W 1D 1L · 7 pts (1.75 ppg) · GF 7 GA 4 · xG 5.17–7.86 · xPts 3.85

  • D A Genoa 1–1 xG 1.88–1.85 ITA SA
  • W H Venezia 3–2 xG 1.27–2.25 ITA SA
  • W A Fiorentina 3–0 xG 1.47–1.99 ITA SA
  • L H Juventus 0–1 xG 0.55–1.77 ITA SA

Como

DWWWW 4W 1D 0L · 13 pts (2.6 ppg) · GF 13 GA 5 · xG 9.58–7.01 · xPts 8.47

  • W H Parma 2–1 xG 2.66–1.31 ITA SA
  • W H RB Leipzig 4–1 xG 1.94–1.19 UEFA CL
  • W A Genoa 4–1 xG 1.98–1.03 ITA SA
  • W A Napoli 2–1 xG 1.15–1.88 ITA SA
  • D A Udinese 1–1 xG 1.86–1.59 ITA SA

first meeting No meetings in the last five years

KickoffDNA model engine-only-1.1.0 · day before ·

Match result

18.1%Frosinone P 15%21.8%Draw P 22%60.2%Como P 63%

Over / under 2.5

56.8%Over 2.5 P 65%43.2%Under 2.5 P 35%

Both teams to score

54.2%Yes45.8%No

Expected

Frosinone goals
0.99 (0–2)
Como goals
1.98 (0–4)
Corners
9.66 (5–14)
Cards
3.73 (1–6)

Provider model (SportMonks)

Match result

27.6%Frosinone26.0%Draw46.4%Como

Over / under 2.5

54.0%Over 2.546.0%Under 2.5

Both teams to score

57.2%Yes42.8%No

Model probabilities are independent of the market; bookmaker figures are shown only as a benchmark.

No previous meetings on record.

MetricFrosinone all · 4Frosinone at home · 2Como all · 4Como away · 3

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Frosinone · 4 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.18) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.27

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.184
Early press (0-15, level)+0.164
Late push (76+, level)+0.242

Game state

When ahead-0.243
When level+0.094
10 min after conceding-0.273
10 min after scoring-0.123

Situations

At home-0.312
Away-0.012
4+ days rest-0.184

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents-0.082
Evenly matched-0.082
As underdog-0.292

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.294
Conceded when ahead+0.353
Conceded late (76+)-0.493

Ahead vs level -0.33 · Behind vs level -0.63

Como · 5 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.35) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.70

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.355
Early press (0-15, level)+0.415

Game state

When ahead+0.224
When level+0.565
When behind+0.302
10 min after conceding+0.075
10 min after scoring+0.705

Situations

At home+0.342
Away+0.353
4+ days rest+0.355

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.022
As favourite+0.394

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.145
Conceded when ahead-0.014
Conceded late (76+)-0.135

Ahead vs level -0.34 · Behind vs level -0.27

Frosinone

Current: unbeaten 3 · winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-14 100%1.751.751.01.291.96

Como

Current: unbeaten 10 · wins 4 · scoring 8 · conceding 6

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-14 100%2.52.251.01.911.46

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 76 snapshots · last 45.0h before kick-off

6.42Home 15% · +0.2 ptsopened 6.534.42Draw 22% · -0.0 ptsopened 4.431.52Away 63% · -0.2 ptsopened 1.52
5d4d3d2d24h12h6h1hKO 20%30%40%50%60%

Home Draw Away consensus of 7 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

BookmakerHomeDrawAwayLast
Pinnacle6.42 · +0.24.42 · -0.01.52 · -0.245.0h
bet3656.0 · -0.44.5 · -0.51.5 · +0.945.0h
Betfair6.0 · +0.44.5 · -0.91.5 · +0.545.0h
BetVictor5.5 · +0.04.5 · +0.01.5 · +0.045.0h
Coral5.75 · +0.04.4 · +0.01.53 · +0.045.0h
Ladbrokes5.75 · +0.14.4 · -0.31.53 · +0.245.0h
WilliamHill5.5 · +0.04.0 · +0.01.53 · +0.045.0h

Latest prices

bet365 · last snapshot 45.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

6.0Home 16% P 15%4.5Draw 21% P 22%1.5Away 63% P 63%

Double Chance

2.5Frosinone or Draw 19%1.18Frosinone or Como 40%1.12Draw or Como 42%

Draw No Bet

4.51 21%1.182 79%

Both Teams To Score

1.57Yes 59%2.25No 41%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.44Over 66% P 65%2.75Under 34% P 35%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.256 - 8 27%2.629 - 11 33%4.012 - 14 22%9.0Over 14 10%

Number of Cards

3.51.72Over 54% P 46%2.0Under 46% P 54%
4.52.1Over 44% P 30%1.66Under 56% P 70%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 12.5–15% · away 62.5–65% · 233 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home15%14%16%+1.8
Draw22%22%23%+0.7
Away63%64%61%-2.5

In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 49% · over 2.5 55%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 62.5–65% · 1,570 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.565%64%63%-0.4

Daniele Chiffi

Career
140 matches · 14 seasons
Cards / match
4.09 (3.85 yellow · 0.19 red)
Fouls / match
24.4 · 5.9 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.26
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Serie A (5-year window · 70 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.934.49-0.8022
Fouls / match22.925.2-1.45
Fouls per card5.95.6+0.08 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.210.31-0.8815
Time added6.76.4+0.5871
First card
38' on average
Card timing
15% in first 30' · 39% in last 15'
Cards to home side
46% (league 46%)
VAR events / match
1.13

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-08-31 20 170 9'8
2026-08-13 50 220 40'5
2026-07-23 30 250 35'8
2026-05-10 41 221 48'7
2026-05-04 30 290 40'8
2026-04-19 20 190 24'6
2026-04-04 20 251 29'9
2026-02-22 20 190 37'7
2026-02-08 21 160 55'4
2026-01-24 30 220 51'6