Rating 7.12 (80th pct) · G+A 3 + 4 (11% of team goals) · 67% of minutes
Team 1.36 ppg with (36) · 1.0 without (15)
Serie A · Matchweek 5
Momentum
– FiorentinaNapoli –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
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Events
- No events yet.
Stats
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Season context
| Fiorentina | at home | Stat | league | away | Napoli |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 43.8 #15 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 47.8 #10 |
| 16.8 #6 | – | Shots total | 14.6 | – | 14.2 #9 |
| 6.0 #5 | – | Shots on target | 4.9 | – | 4.0 #13 |
| 4.5 #12 | – | Corners | 4.8 | – | 5.5 #5 |
| 11.0 #9 | – | Fouls | 11.2 | – | 9.8 #13 |
| 1.2 #13 | – | Offsides | 2.0 | – | 3.8 #3 |
| 15.8 #11 | – | Tackles | 16.2 | – | 16.0 #9 |
| 97.0 #7 | – | Attacks | 93.0 | – | 96.0 #8 |
| 46.8 #7 | – | Dangerous attacks | 44.7 | – | 58.5 #4 |
| 362.5 #19 | – | Passes | 460.1 | – | 459.5 #10 |
| 1.5 #11 | – | Yellowcards | 1.5 | – | 1.0 #17 |
| 1.2 #7 | – | Assists | 1.2 | – | 1.2 #7 |
| – #9 | – | Btts | 60.0 | – | – #9 |
| – #11 | – | Cleansheet | 20.0 | – | – #2 |
| – #12 | – | Draw | 14.5 | – | – #12 |
| 1.8 #5 | – | Expected goals | 1.5 | – | 1.7 #7 |
| -0.5 #18 | – | Expected goals difference | -0.0 | – | -0.2 #15 |
| – #2 | – | Failed to score | 20.0 | – | – #10 |
| 1.2 #12 | 0.5 | Goals | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.5 #9 |
| 2.8 #1 | 2.5 | Goals conceded | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.2 #11 |
| – | – | Injury time goals | 0.4 | – | 0.2 #8 |
| 10.2 #4 | – | Interceptions | 8.4 | – | 5.8 #19 |
| – #2 | – | Lost | 42.5 | – | – #8 |
| 6.7 #18 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.8 #11 |
| 3.2 #10 | – | Shots blocked | 3.6 | – | 4.8 #5 |
| 10.5 #4 | – | Shots insidebox | 9.6 | – | 9.5 #10 |
| 7.5 #5 | – | Shots off target | 6.0 | – | 5.5 #10 |
| 6.2 #5 | – | Shots outsidebox | 5.0 | – | 4.8 #10 |
| – #13 | – | Win | 43.0 | – | – #6 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 20.
League this season · 2026/2027
- Played
- 37 of 380
- Goals / match
- 2.92 (home 1.41 · away 1.51)
- Home / draw / away
- 41% · 16% · 43%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 59% · 57%
- Cards / match
- 3.19 (reds 0.03)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Fiorentina · Last 365 days
Rating 6.87 (67th pct) · G+A 1 + 3 (6% of team goals) · 77% of minutes
Team 1.2 ppg with (41) · 1.5 without (10)
Rating 7.39 (96th pct) · G+A 3 + 0 (5% of team goals) · 6% of minutes
Napoli · Last 365 days
Rating 7.16 (84th pct) · G+A 14 + 3 (25% of team goals) · 78% of minutes
Team 1.71 ppg with (38) · 1.6 without (10)
Rating 6.82 (48th pct) · G+A 16 + 5 (31% of team goals) · 85% of minutes
Team 1.67 ppg with (43) · 1.8 without (5)
Rating 7.27 (91th pct) · G+A 4 + 5 (13% of team goals) · 32% of minutes
Team 1.53 ppg with (15) · 1.76 without (33)
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 5
Venue
- Stadium
- Stadio Artemio Franchi, Firenze
- Capacity
- 43,147
- Surface
- grass
Teams
- Coaches
- Paolo Vanoli · Massimiliano Allegri
- Position
- 16 · 10
- Formation
- 4-3-3 · 4-2-3-1
Referee
Daniele Doveri
Weather
- Conditions
- few clouds
- Temperature
- 25.1° (feels 25.2°)
- Wind
- 1.7
- Humidity
- 60%
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2026/2027
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Roma |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 1 | 11 | 12 | WWWW |
| 2 |  Inter |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 12 | WWWW |
| 3 |  Como |
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 10 | DWWW |
| 4 |  Lazio |
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 10 | WWWD |
| 5 |  Cagliari |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9 | WLWW |
| 6 |  AC Milan |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 8 | WWDD |
| 7 |  Frosinone |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 | LWWD |
| 8 |  Juventus |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 7 | WWDL |
| 9 |  Sassuolo |
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 7 | LWDWL |
| 10 |  Napoli |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 6 | WLLW |
| 11 |  Atalanta |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 6 | WWLL |
| 12 |  Lecce |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 6 | WLLW |
| 13 |  Udinese |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 4 | DWLL |
| 14 |  Monza |
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 4 | LLDLW |
| 15 |  Torino |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 3 | LLWL |
| 16 |  Fiorentina |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 3 | LLLW |
| 17 |  Bologna |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 1 | LLDL |
| 18 |  Parma |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 1 | LLDL |
| 19 |  Genoa |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 1 | LLLD |
| 20 |  Venezia |
4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 0 | LLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 9 | WWWW |
| 2 | Roma |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 6 | WWWW |
| 3 | Sassuolo |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 6 | LWDWL |
| 4 | Atalanta |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 6 | WWLL |
| 5 | Juventus |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | WWDL |
| 6 | Lazio |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | WWWD |
| 7 | AC Milan |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | WWDD |
| 8 | Como |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | DWWW |
| 9 | Monza |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | LLDLW |
| 10 | Frosinone |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | LWWD |
| 11 | Napoli |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | WLLW |
| 12 | Cagliari |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | WLWW |
| 13 | Lecce |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 3 | WLLW |
| 14 | Bologna |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 1 | LLDL |
| 15 | Udinese |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 1 | DWLL |
| 16 | Parma |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 1 | LLDL |
| 17 | Genoa |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 1 | LLLD |
| 18 | Torino |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | LLWL |
| 19 | Venezia |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 0 | LLLL |
| 20 | Fiorentina |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 0 | LLLW |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Como |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 7 | DWWW |
| 2 | Roma |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 6 | WWWW |
| 3 | Cagliari |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | WLWW |
| 4 | Lazio |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | WWWD |
| 5 | AC Milan |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 5 | WWDD |
| 6 | Frosinone |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 | LWWD |
| 7 | Napoli |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | WLLW |
| 8 | Lecce |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | WLLW |
| 9 | Inter |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | WWWW |
| 10 | Juventus |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | WWDL |
| 11 | Torino |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | LLWL |
| 12 | Udinese |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 3 | DWLL |
| 13 | Fiorentina |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 3 | LLLW |
| 14 | Sassuolo |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 1 | LWDWL |
| 15 | Monza |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 1 | LLDLW |
| 16 | Atalanta |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | WWLL |
| 17 | Genoa |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | LLLD |
| 18 | Bologna |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | LLDL |
| 19 | Venezia |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 0 | LLLL |
| 20 | Parma |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | LLDL |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Europa League
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
- Relegation
Fiorentina
LLLW 1W 0D 3L · 3 pts (0.75 ppg) · GF 5 GA 11 · xG 6.71–6.04 · xPts 6.25
- W
A
Venezia
4–2
xG 2.99–0.64
ITA SA
- L
H
Torino
1–2
xG 1.41–0.84
ITA SA
- L
H
Frosinone
0–3
xG 1.99–1.47
ITA SA
- L
A
Roma
0–4
xG 0.32–3.1
ITA SA
LLLW 1W 0D 3L · 3 pts (0.75 ppg) · GF 5 GA 11 · xG 6.71–6.04 · xPts 6.25
- W
A
Venezia
4–2
xG 2.99–0.64
ITA SA
- L
H
Torino
1–2
xG 1.41–0.84
ITA SA
- L
H
Frosinone
0–3
xG 1.99–1.47
ITA SA
- L
A
Roma
0–4
xG 0.32–3.1
ITA SA
Napoli
WLLLW 2W 0D 3L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 6 GA 6 · xG 7.02–9.82 · xPts 6.56
- W
H
Bologna
1–0
xG 1.92–0.27
ITA SA
- L
H
Arsenal
0–1
xG 0.31–3.6
UEFA CL - L
A
Inter
2–3
xG 2.0–4.19
ITA SA
- L
H
Como
1–2
xG 1.88–1.15
ITA SA
- W
A
Genoa
2–0
xG 0.91–0.62
ITA SA
WWLLLW 3W 0D 3L · 9 pts (1.5 ppg) · GF 7 GA 6 · xG 8.88–10.39 · xPts 8.82
- W
H
Bologna
1–0
xG 1.92–0.27
ITA SA
- L
H
Arsenal
0–1
xG 0.31–3.6
UEFA CL
- L
A
Inter
2–3
xG 2.0–4.19
ITA SA
- L
H
Como
1–2
xG 1.88–1.15
ITA SA
- W
A
Genoa
2–0
xG 0.91–0.62
ITA SA
- W
H
Udinese
1–0
xG 1.85–0.57
ITA SA
full sample 10 meetings 2021–2026
Recurring referee: Federico La Penna · 2 of these meetings
Last 10
Goals 12–18 · Fiorentina hosting: 0W 2D 3L · Napoli hosting: 3W 0D 2L
At Stadio Artemio Franchi: 5 meetings · Fiorentina 0 · draws 2 · Napoli 3 · 2.8 goals per match · last away win Sep 2025
All-time since 2007: 38 meetings · Fiorentina 8 · draws 10 · Napoli 20
- Fiorentina haven't beaten Napoli since Oct 2023
- Napoli have won the last 4 meetings
- Both teams have scored in the last 3 meetings
- Over 2.5 goals in the last 6 meetings
This fixture vs the league league = last 365 days
| Metric | Fixture | League | Δ | n |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals per match | 3.00 | 2.51 | +0.49 | 10 |
| Both teams score | 70% | 47% | +23% | 10 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80% | 48% | +32% | 10 |
| Corners | 7.8 | 8.8 | -1.0 | 10 |
| Cards | 2.9 | 4.0 | -1.1 | 10 |
1 goalless · 4 with 4+ goals · 1.30 first-half goals per match
How these games go · 10 with event data
| Fiorentina | Napoli | |
|---|---|---|
| Scored first | 3 of 10 | 6 of 10 |
| Scored first and won | 2 | 5 |
| Won from behind | 0 | 1 |
first goal on average in minute 24 · a side came back in 2 · goal after the 75th minute in 3 · penalty scored in 4
When the goals come · all goals, 9 meetings
0-15'5
16-30'4
31-45'4
46-60'8
61-75'6
76-90'3
5 equalisers · 4 penalties · 1 header
Expected goals · last 5 with xG
Deserved on xG: Fiorentina 0 · level 1 · Napoli 4 — actual wins in those games 0 / 4
Against the market · 10 with closing odds
Favourite won 6 (60%), drew 2, upset 2 · market favoured Fiorentina 1×, Napoli 9× · avg favourite 51%, avg price of the actual result 39%
Fixture specialists
- 3 Victor Osimhen Napoli · in 3 games · last Oct 2023
- 2 Romelu Lukaku Napoli · in 2 games · last Mar 2025
- 2 Amir Rrahmani Napoli · in 2 games · last May 2024
- 2 Nicolás González Fiorentina · in 2 games · last Oct 2023
- 1 Manor Solomon Fiorentina · last Jan 2026
Last meeting · 2026-01-31 · ITA SA
Napoli 2-1 Fiorentina · ref Federico La Penna
- 11' Antonio Vergara assist Alex Meret 1–0
- 49' Miguel Gutiérrez assist Antonio Vergara 2–0
- 57' Manor Solomon 2–1
xG 2.76 – 1.14 · corners 8 · cards 2
KickoffDNA model engine-only-1.1.0 · day before ·
Match result
27.1%Fiorentina P 29%26.4%Draw P 28%46.5%Napoli P 43%
Over / under 2.5
47.3%Over 2.5 P 51%52.7%Under 2.5 P 49%
Both teams to score
51.3%Yes48.7%No
Expected
- Fiorentina goals
- 1.08 (0–2)
- Napoli goals
- 1.49 (0–3)
- Corners
- 8.11 (4–12)
- Cards
- 3.5 (1–6)
Provider model (SportMonks)
Match result
35.1%Fiorentina27.7%Draw37.2%Napoli
Over / under 2.5
44.3%Over 2.555.7%Under 2.5
Both teams to score
49.4%Yes50.6%No
Model probabilities are independent of the market; bookmaker figures are shown only as a benchmark.
All meetings · 38 matches since 2007
Goals 38–61 · 2.61 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 55%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 12–18 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 70% · over 2.5 80%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 5–12 · 3.4 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 100%
Recent meetings
- L Napoli 2–1 Fiorentina ITA SA · Regular Season
- L Fiorentina 1–3 Napoli ITA SA · Regular Season
- L Napoli 2–1 Fiorentina ITA SA · Regular Season
- L Fiorentina 0–3 Napoli ITA SA · Regular Season
- D Fiorentina 2–2 Napoli ITA SA · Regular Season
- W Napoli 1–3 Fiorentina ITA SA · Regular Season
- L Napoli 1–0 Fiorentina ITA SA · Regular Season
- D Fiorentina 0–0 Napoli ITA SA · Regular Season
- W Napoli 2–3 Fiorentina ITA SA · Regular Season
- L Fiorentina 1–2 Napoli ITA SA · Regular Season
| Metric | Fiorentina all · 4 | Fiorentina at home · 2 | Napoli all · 4 | Napoli away · 2 |
|---|
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Fiorentina · 4 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.17) · stands out: 10 min after conceding +0.33
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.174
Early press (0-15, level)+0.094
Game state
When ahead+0.082
When level+0.224
When behind+0.194
10 min after conceding+0.334
10 min after scoring+0.492
Situations
At home+0.192
Away+0.152
4+ days rest+0.174
Opposition
v bottom-tier opponents+0.422
As favourite+0.192
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.244
Conceded when ahead+0.202
Conceded late (76+)+0.192
Ahead vs level -0.14 · Behind vs level -0.03
Napoli · 5 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.01) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.82
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.015
Early press (0-15, level)-0.105
Late push (76+, level)+0.352
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.433
Game state
When ahead+0.473
When level-0.055
When behind-0.253
10 min after conceding-0.473
10 min after scoring+0.824
Situations
At home+0.023
Away-0.062
4+ days rest-0.015
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.322
As favourite+0.442
As underdog-0.432
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.305
Conceded when ahead+0.263
Conceded late (76+)-0.115
Ahead vs level +0.52 · Behind vs level -0.20
Fiorentina
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 5
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 2 50% | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 1.7 | 1.15 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 1 25% | 3.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2.99 | 0.64 |
| 4-3-2-1 | 1 25% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 0.32 | 3.1 |
Napoli
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 3 75% | 1.0 | 1.67 | 1.67 | 1.6 | 1.99 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 1 25% | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.92 | 0.27 |
| Metric | Fiorentina all · 10 | Fiorentina at home · 10 | Napoli all · 10 | Napoli away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.40 | 1.60 | 1.70 |
| W / D / L | 2 / 4 / 4 | 3 / 5 / 2 | 5 / 1 / 4 | 5 / 2 / 3 |
| Goals for / match | 0.90 | 0.80 | 1.60 | 1.50 |
| Goals against / match | 1.70 | 0.90 | 0.90 | 1.20 |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 40% | 60% | 40% |
| Failed to score | 50% | 40% | 20% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 50% | 30% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 40% | 50% | 60% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.24 | 1.55 | 1.45 | 1.23 |
| xG against / match | 1.61 | 1.07 | 1.40 | 1.18 |
| xG difference | -0.37 | 0.48 | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.34 | -0.75 | 0.15 | 0.27 |
| xPts / match | 1.20 | 1.69 | 1.53 | 1.46 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.20 | -0.29 | 0.07 | 0.23 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 40% | 30% | 60% | 60% |
| PPG when scoring first | 1.25 | 1.33 | 2.50 | 2.00 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.75 | 1.75 | 0.00 | 1.33 |
| Came back from behind | 20% | 60% | 0% | 40% |
| Leads held | 40% | 60% | 83% | 71% |
| Minutes leading | 25% | 19% | 32% | 38% |
| Minutes level | 50% | 63% | 55% | 45% |
| Minutes trailing | 24% | 18% | 14% | 17% |
| First goal (min) | 36 | 47 | 40 | 32 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 45 | 43 | 39 | 34 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 44% | 62% | 50% | 53% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 59% | 56% | 56% | 75% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.30 | 0.50 |
| Late goals against | 0.40 | 0.20 | 0.30 | 0.50 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 45% | 50% | 53% | 58% |
| Shots | 13.2 | 15.5 | 13.3 | 12.5 |
| On target | 4.2 | 4.1 | 4.5 | 4.3 |
| Shot conversion | 7% | 5% | 12% | 12% |
| Shots inside box | 62% | 63% | 64% | 60% |
| Big chances created | 1.8 | 1.9 | 2.2 | 1.8 |
| Corners | 4.1 | 5.4 | 4.7 | 4.3 |
| xG from set plays | 11% | 23% | 19% | 28% |
| Goals from headers | 11% | 12% | 6% | 20% |
| Pressure index | 11.2 | 14.6 | 15.2 | 14.1 |
| Dominant minutes | 40.3 | 52.1 | 54.0 | 54.2 |
| Pass accuracy | 82% | 85% | 88% | 86% |
| Fouls | 11.4 | 12.6 | 8.7 | 9.8 |
| Cards | 1.70 | 2.10 | 1.00 | 2.00 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Fiorentina
0–15'01
16–30'34
31–45'22
46–60'13
61–75'13
76–90'24
Napoli
0–15'11
16–30'41
31–45'32
46–60'41
61–75'11
76–90'33
Fiorentina
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 5
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 8 80% | 0.88 | 0.63 | 1.37 | 1.13 | 1.54 |
| 4-3-2-1 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 0.32 | 3.1 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2.99 | 0.64 |
Napoli
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 4 40% | 0.75 | 1.25 | 1.5 | 1.28 | 2.39 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 3 30% | 1.33 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.97 |
| 3-4-3 | 2 20% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.48 | 0.64 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.92 | 0.27 |
| Metric | Fiorentina all · 51 | Fiorentina at home · 26 | Napoli all · 48 | Napoli away · 23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 51 | 26 | 48 | 23 |
| Points per game | 1.25 | 1.27 | 1.69 | 1.35 |
| W / D / L | 17 / 13 / 21 | 8 / 9 / 9 | 24 / 9 / 15 | 9 / 4 / 10 |
| Goals for / match | 1.24 | 1.19 | 1.40 | 1.17 |
| Goals against / match | 1.41 | 1.19 | 1.17 | 1.35 |
| Clean sheets | 24% | 27% | 35% | 35% |
| Failed to score | 29% | 23% | 25% | 30% |
| Both teams scored | 55% | 62% | 48% | 39% |
| Over 2.5 | 61% | 50% | 50% | 39% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.48 | 1.67 | 1.40 | 1.31 |
| xG against / match | 1.40 | 1.06 | 1.25 | 1.28 |
| xG difference | 0.08 | 0.60 | 0.15 | 0.03 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.25 | -0.48 | 0.00 | -0.13 |
| xPts / match | 1.44 | 1.73 | 1.49 | 1.41 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.19 | -0.46 | 0.19 | -0.06 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 43% | 42% | 52% | 52% |
| PPG when scoring first | 1.91 | 1.82 | 2.56 | 2.08 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.72 | 0.83 | 0.68 | 0.50 |
| Came back from behind | 32% | 40% | 32% | 23% |
| Leads held | 59% | 57% | 83% | 69% |
| Minutes leading | 24% | 23% | 32% | 29% |
| Minutes level | 50% | 50% | 46% | 45% |
| Minutes trailing | 26% | 26% | 22% | 26% |
| First goal (min) | 43 | 48 | 34 | 34 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 43 | 42 | 38 | 37 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 61% | 62% | 49% | 44% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 61% | 50% | 62% | 68% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.27 | 0.27 | 0.27 | 0.30 |
| Late goals against | 0.33 | 0.27 | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 50% | 52% | 56% | 56% |
| Shots | 13.7 | 16.1 | 12.7 | 12.2 |
| On target | 4.2 | 4.6 | 4.3 | 3.8 |
| Shot conversion | 9% | 7% | 11% | 10% |
| Shots inside box | 65% | 63% | 65% | 63% |
| Big chances created | 2.5 | 2.7 | 1.9 | 1.8 |
| Corners | 4.7 | 5.7 | 5.4 | 5.2 |
| xG from set plays | 31% | 30% | 27% | 29% |
| Goals from headers | 10% | 13% | 21% | 30% |
| Pressure index | 13.7 | 17.7 | 19.0 | 18.2 |
| Dominant minutes | 48.6 | 56.3 | 59.3 | 57.6 |
| Pass accuracy | 84% | 85% | 86% | 86% |
| Fouls | 12.6 | 12.7 | 11.2 | 10.7 |
| Cards | 2.39 | 2.42 | 1.44 | 1.87 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Fiorentina
0–15'56
16–30'1312
31–45'610
46–60'1416
61–75'1111
76–90'1216
Napoli
0–15'98
16–30'96
31–45'167
46–60'1112
61–75'911
76–90'1312
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Fiorentina · 51 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.11) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.43
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.1151
Early press (0-15, level)+0.0251
Late push (76+, level)+0.0722
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.0218
Game state
When ahead-0.0429
When level+0.1551
When behind+0.1730
10 min after conceding+0.0538
10 min after scoring+0.4335
Situations
With ten men+0.054
Against ten men-0.404
At home+0.2426
Away-0.0225
3 days rest or fewer+0.0012
4+ days rest+0.1439
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.2012
v mid-tier opponents+0.1810
v bottom-tier opponents+0.166
As favourite+0.3224
Evenly matched+0.0014
As underdog-0.1513
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.0951
Conceded when ahead+0.0629
Conceded late (76+)+0.0145
Congested vs rested -0.14 · Ahead vs level -0.19 · Behind vs level +0.02
Napoli · 48 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.36) · stands out: against ten men +0.78
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.3648
Early press (0-15, level)+0.1848
Late push (76+, level)+0.5919
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.1918
Game state
When ahead+0.4429
When level+0.2748
When behind+0.4322
10 min after conceding-0.0331
10 min after scoring+0.7136
Situations
With ten men-0.144
Against ten men+0.784
At home+0.3125
Away+0.4123
3 days rest or fewer+0.5312
4+ days rest+0.3136
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.0117
v mid-tier opponents+0.479
v bottom-tier opponents+0.295
As favourite+0.5929
Evenly matched+0.1410
As underdog-0.149
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.1448
Conceded when ahead-0.1629
Conceded late (76+)-0.2947
Congested vs rested +0.22 · Ahead vs level +0.17 · Behind vs level +0.16
Fiorentina
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 5
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 18 35% | 1.5 | 1.11 | 1.22 | 1.18 | 1.51 |
| 3-5-2 | 12 24% | 1.0 | 1.17 | 1.25 | 1.67 | 1.12 |
| 4-4-2 | 4 8% | 1.5 | 2.75 | 1.75 | 1.78 | 1.19 |
| 3-5-1-1 | 3 6% | 0.0 | 0.33 | 2.67 | 0.97 | 2.24 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 3 6% | 0.67 | 0.67 | 1.0 | 1.42 | 1.41 |
Napoli
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 25 52% | 1.72 | 1.48 | 1.16 | 1.44 | 1.11 |
| 4-3-3 | 8 17% | 1.0 | 0.75 | 1.0 | 1.14 | 1.68 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 7 15% | 1.71 | 1.57 | 1.43 | 1.5 | 1.6 |
| 3-4-3 | 6 12% | 2.5 | 1.67 | 0.5 | 1.41 | 0.74 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 1 2% | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.92 | 0.27 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 92 snapshots · last 28.5h before kick-off
3.3Home 29% · +0.2 ptsopened 3.323.46Draw 28% · -0.1 ptsopened 3.452.27Away 43% · -0.1 ptsopened 2.26
Home Draw Away consensus of 7 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 3.3 · +0.2 | 3.46 · -0.1 | 2.27 · -0.1 | 28.5h |
| bet365 | 3.25 · +0.0 | 3.4 · +0.0 | 2.2 · +0.0 | 28.5h |
| Betfair | 3.25 · -0.2 | 3.4 · +0.3 | 2.3 · -0.1 | 28.5h |
| BetVictor | 3.13 · +0.2 | 3.5 · -0.6 | 2.2 · +0.3 | 28.5h |
| Coral | 3.1 · +0.9 | 3.5 · -0.8 | 2.2 · -0.1 | 28.5h |
| Ladbrokes | 3.1 · +0.7 | 3.4 · -0.3 | 2.2 · -0.4 | 28.5h |
| WilliamHill | 3.1 · +0.0 | 3.25 · +0.0 | 2.2 · +0.0 | 28.5h |
bet365 (Pinnacle absent) · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 92 snapshots · last 28.5h before kick-off · biggest step: yes +1.2 pts at 47.5h
1.66Yes 56% ▲ +1.2 ptsopened 1.72.1No 44% ▼ -1.2 ptsopened 2.05
Yes No consensus of 4 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.66 ▲ +1.2 | 2.1 ▼ -1.2 | 28.5h |
| Betfair | 1.6 · +0.5 | 2.25 · -0.5 | 28.5h |
| BetVictor | 1.65 · +0.9 | 2.1 · -0.9 | 28.5h |
| WilliamHill | 1.73 · +0.0 | 2.05 · +0.0 | 28.5h |
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 92 snapshots · last 28.5h before kick-off
1.89Over 51% ▲ +1.0 ptsopened 1.931.99Under 49% ▼ -1.0 ptsopened 1.95
Over Under consensus of 4 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.89 ▲ +1.0 | 1.99 ▼ -1.0 | 28.5h |
| bet365 | 1.8 ▲ +2.6 | 2.0 ▼ -2.6 | 28.5h |
| Betfair | 1.87 ▼ -1.1 | 1.9 ▲ +1.1 | 28.5h |
| BetVictor | 1.78 ▲ +1.4 | 1.89 ▼ -1.4 | 28.5h |
Latest prices
bet365 · last snapshot 28.5h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
3.25Home 29% P 29%3.4Draw 28% P 28%2.2Away 43% P 43%
Double Chance
1.66Fiorentina or Draw 28%1.3Fiorentina or Napoli 36%1.33Draw or Napoli 35%
Draw No Bet
2.251 41%1.572 59%
Both Teams To Score
1.66Yes 56%2.1No 44%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.8Over 53% P 51%2.0Under 47% P 49%
Total Corners
5.0Under 6 17%2.46 - 8 36%2.879 - 11 30%7.012 - 14 12%17.0Over 14 5%
Number of Cards
2.51.57Over 59% P 65%2.25Under 41% P 35%
3.51.83Over 50% P 43%1.83Under 50% P 57%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 27.5–30% · away 42.5–45% · 505 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 29% | 29% | 23% | -5.8 |
| Draw | 28% | 28% | 27% | -0.3 |
| Away | 43% | 44% | 50% | +6.1 |
In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 57%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 50–52.5% · 3,575 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 51% | 51% | 51% | -0.1 |
Daniele Doveri
- Career
- 267 matches · 18 seasons
- Cards / match
- 4.48 (4.25 yellow · 0.1 red)
- Fouls / match
- 24.9 · 4.7 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.32
- Cards to home side
- 49%
Style in Serie A (5-year window · 83 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 3.7 | 4.48 | -1.12 | 10 |
| Fouls / match | 24.9 | 25.1 | -0.15 | |
| Fouls per card | 7.0 | 5.6 | +1.13 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.23 | 0.31 | -0.76 | 27 |
| Time added | 6.7 | 6.4 | +0.58 | 71 |
- First card
- 41' on average
- Card timing
- 10% in first 30' · 40% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 51% (league 46%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.15
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 58' | 5 |
| 2026-05-24 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 45' | 4 |
| 2026-05-01 | 6 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 43' | 6 |
| 2026-04-24 · Napoli | – | – | 18 | – | – | 5 |
| 2026-04-11 | 2 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 4' | 7 |
| 2026-04-06 · Napoli | 2 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 12' | 6 |
| 2026-03-08 | 4 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 65' | 12 |
| 2026-02-21 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 73' | 9 |
| 2026-02-06 | 3 | 0 | 29 | 0 | 32' | 7 |
| 2026-01-18 · Fiorentina | 3 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 38' | 7 |