Rating 7.16 (97th pct) · G+A 1 + 5 (8% of team goals) · 74% of minutes
Team 1.6 ppg with (40) · 1.15 without (13)
Serie A · Matchweek 5
Momentum
– BolognaTorino –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
- No events yet.
Stats
Waiting for statistics…
Season context
| Bologna | at home | Stat | league | away | Torino |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 55.2 #7 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 52.2 #8 |
| 14.0 #10 | – | Shots total | 14.6 | – | 8.2 #20 |
| 3.8 #15 | – | Shots on target | 4.9 | – | 3.0 #18 |
| 5.0 #7 | – | Corners | 4.7 | – | 2.8 #18 |
| 13.8 #4 | – | Fouls | 11.2 | – | 8.8 #18 |
| 2.2 #8 | – | Offsides | 2.1 | – | 0.5 #20 |
| 16.2 #7 | – | Tackles | 16.0 | – | 14.0 #15 |
| 87.2 #14 | – | Attacks | 92.8 | – | 92.2 #11 |
| 40.5 #13 | – | Dangerous attacks | 44.7 | – | 36.8 #14 |
| 525.0 #5 | – | Passes | 459.1 | – | 492.5 #7 |
| 2.0 #5 | – | Yellowcards | 1.5 | – | 0.2 #20 |
| 0.0 #2 | – | Redcards | 0.1 | – | – |
| 0.2 #19 | – | Assists | 1.2 | – | 1.0 #13 |
| – #17 | – | Btts | 60.0 | – | – #5 |
| – #11 | – | Cleansheet | 20.0 | – | – #11 |
| – #2 | – | Draw | 15.0 | – | – #12 |
| 1.4 #11 | – | Expected goals | 1.5 | – | 1.0 #18 |
| -0.9 #20 | – | Expected goals difference | -0.0 | – | 0.0 #11 |
| – #1 | – | Failed to score | 20.0 | – | – #7 |
| 0.5 #18 | 1.0 | Goals | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 #15 |
| 1.2 #11 | 1.5 | Goals conceded | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.8 #6 |
| 0.5 #4 | – | Injury time goals | 0.5 | – | 0.8 #2 |
| 7.0 #16 | – | Interceptions | 8.5 | – | 5.0 #20 |
| – #2 | – | Lost | 42.5 | – | – #2 |
| 6.8 #13 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.7 #15 |
| 3.8 #8 | – | Shots blocked | 3.6 | – | 2.0 #18 |
| 9.2 #11 | – | Shots insidebox | 9.6 | – | 5.5 #19 |
| 6.5 #6 | – | Shots off target | 6.0 | – | 3.2 #20 |
| 4.8 #10 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.9 | – | 2.8 #20 |
| – #16 | – | Win | 42.5 | – | – #13 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 20.
League this season · 2026/2027
- Played
- 37 of 380
- Goals / match
- 2.92 (home 1.41 · away 1.51)
- Home / draw / away
- 41% · 16% · 43%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 59% · 57%
- Cards / match
- 3.19 (reds 0.03)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Bologna · Last 365 days
Rating 6.92 (67th pct) · G+A 12 + 1 (18% of team goals) · 52% of minutes
Team 1.57 ppg with (28) · 1.4 without (25)
Rating 7.0 (68th pct) · G+A 9 + 2 (15% of team goals) · 47% of minutes
Team 1.68 ppg with (25) · 1.32 without (28)
Torino · Last 365 days
Rating 6.99 (76th pct) · G+A 8 + 3 (23% of team goals) · 91% of minutes
Rating 6.87 (57th pct) · G+A 8 + 2 (21% of team goals) · 57% of minutes
Team 1.52 ppg with (21) · 0.67 without (18)
Rating 6.89 (71th pct) · G+A 1 + 1 (4% of team goals) · 89% of minutes
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 5
Venue
- Stadium
- Stadio Renato Dall'Ara, Bologna
- Capacity
- 36,532
- Surface
- grass
Teams
- Coaches
- Domenico Tedesco · Ignazio Abate
- Position
- 16 · 14
- Formation
- 4-2-3-1 · 3-5-2
Referee
Marco Guida
Weather
- Conditions
- overcast clouds
- Temperature
- 23.8° (feels 23.9°)
- Wind
- 1.8
- Humidity
- 66%
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2026/2027
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Roma |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 1 | 11 | 12 | WWWW |
| 2 |  Inter |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 12 | WWWW |
| 3 |  Como |
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 10 | DWWW |
| 4 |  Lazio |
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 10 | WWWD |
| 5 |  Cagliari |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9 | WLWW |
| 6 |  AC Milan |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 8 | WWDD |
| 7 |  Frosinone |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 | LWWD |
| 8 |  Juventus |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 7 | WWDL |
| 9 |  Sassuolo |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 7 | LWDW |
| 10 |  Napoli |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 6 | WLLW |
| 11 |  Atalanta |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 6 | WWLL |
| 12 |  Lecce |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 6 | WLLW |
| 13 |  Udinese |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 4 | DWLL |
| 14 |  Torino |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 3 | LLWL |
| 15 |  Fiorentina |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 3 | LLLW |
| 16 |  Bologna |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 1 | LLDL |
| 17 |  Parma |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 1 | LLDL |
| 18 |  Monza |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 1 | LLDL |
| 19 |  Genoa |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 1 | LLLD |
| 20 |  Venezia |
4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 0 | LLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 9 | WWWW |
| 2 | Roma |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 6 | WWWW |
| 3 | Sassuolo |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 6 | LWDW |
| 4 | Atalanta |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 6 | WWLL |
| 5 | Juventus |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | WWDL |
| 6 | Lazio |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | WWWD |
| 7 | AC Milan |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | WWDD |
| 8 | Como |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | DWWW |
| 9 | Frosinone |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | LWWD |
| 10 | Napoli |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | WLLW |
| 11 | Cagliari |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | WLWW |
| 12 | Lecce |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 3 | WLLW |
| 13 | Bologna |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 1 | LLDL |
| 14 | Udinese |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 1 | DWLL |
| 15 | Parma |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 1 | LLDL |
| 16 | Genoa |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 1 | LLLD |
| 17 | Monza |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 0 | LLDL |
| 18 | Torino |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | LLWL |
| 19 | Venezia |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 0 | LLLL |
| 20 | Fiorentina |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 0 | LLLW |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Como |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 7 | DWWW |
| 2 | Roma |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 6 | WWWW |
| 3 | Cagliari |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | WLWW |
| 4 | Lazio |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | WWWD |
| 5 | AC Milan |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 5 | WWDD |
| 6 | Frosinone |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 | LWWD |
| 7 | Napoli |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | WLLW |
| 8 | Lecce |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | WLLW |
| 9 | Inter |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | WWWW |
| 10 | Juventus |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | WWDL |
| 11 | Torino |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | LLWL |
| 12 | Udinese |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 3 | DWLL |
| 13 | Fiorentina |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 3 | LLLW |
| 14 | Sassuolo |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 1 | LWDW |
| 15 | Monza |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 1 | LLDL |
| 16 | Atalanta |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | WWLL |
| 17 | Genoa |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | LLLD |
| 18 | Bologna |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | LLDL |
| 19 | Venezia |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 0 | LLLL |
| 20 | Parma |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | LLDL |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Europa League
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
- Relegation
Bologna
DLLDL 0W 2D 3L · 2 pts (0.4 ppg) · GF 5 GA 8 · xG 7.29–5.78 · xPts 7.9
- L
A
Napoli
0–1
xG 0.27–1.92
ITA SA
- D
H
Sassuolo
2–2
xG 2.31–1.49
ITA SA
- L
A
Atalanta
0–1
xG 0.91–0.25
ITA SA
- L
H
Lazio
0–1
xG 2.31–0.64
ITA SA
- D
H
Inter
3–3
xG 1.49–1.49
ITA SA
DLLDL 0W 2D 3L · 2 pts (0.4 ppg) · GF 5 GA 8 · xG 7.29–5.78 · xPts 7.9
- L
A
Napoli
0–1
xG 0.27–1.92
ITA SA
- D
H
Sassuolo
2–2
xG 2.31–1.49
ITA SA
- L
A
Atalanta
0–1
xG 0.91–0.25
ITA SA
- L
H
Lazio
0–1
xG 2.31–0.64
ITA SA
- D
H
Inter
3–3
xG 1.49–1.49
ITA SA
Torino
DLLWL 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 6 GA 9 · xG 4.9–9.83 · xPts 3.85
- L
H
Roma
0–2
xG 0.78–2.07
ITA SA
- W
A
Fiorentina
2–1
xG 0.84–1.41
ITA SA
- L
A
Sassuolo
1–2
xG 1.21–1.8
ITA SA
- L
H
AC Milan
1–2
xG 1.06–2.24
ITA SA
- D
H
Juventus
2–2
xG 1.01–2.3
ITA SA
DLLWL 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 6 GA 9 · xG 4.9–9.83 · xPts 3.85
- L
H
Roma
0–2
xG 0.78–2.07
ITA SA
- W
A
Fiorentina
2–1
xG 0.84–1.41
ITA SA
- L
A
Sassuolo
1–2
xG 1.21–1.8
ITA SA
- L
H
AC Milan
1–2
xG 1.06–2.24
ITA SA
- D
H
Juventus
2–2
xG 1.01–2.3
ITA SA
full sample 10 meetings 2021–2026 · 1 on neutral ground
Last 10
Goals 12–7 · Bologna hosting: 3W 2D 0L · Torino hosting: 1W 1D 2L
At Stadio Renato Dall'Ara: 5 meetings · Bologna 3 · draws 2 · Torino 0 · 2.0 goals per match
All-time since 2008: 28 meetings · Bologna 9 · draws 10 · Torino 9
- Bologna unbeaten in the last 6 meetings
- Torino haven't beaten Bologna since Mar 2023
This fixture vs the league league = last 365 days
| Metric | Fixture | League | Δ | n |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals per match | 1.90 | 2.51 | -0.61 | 10 |
| Both teams score | 40% | 47% | -7% | 10 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 48% | -8% | 10 |
| Corners | 6.4 | 8.8 | -2.4 | 10 |
| Cards | 4.8 | 4.0 | +0.8 | 10 |
3 goalless · 1 with 4+ goals · 0.50 first-half goals per match
How these games go · 10 with event data
| Bologna | Torino | |
|---|---|---|
| Scored first | 4 of 10 | 3 of 10 |
| Scored first and won | 4 | 2 |
| Won from behind | 2 | 0 |
first goal on average in minute 38 · a side came back in 2 · goal after the 75th minute in 4 · penalty scored in 3
When the goals come · all goals, 7 meetings
0-15'0
16-30'4
31-45'1
46-60'2
61-75'8
76-90'4
4 equalisers · 3 penalties · 2 own goals
Expected goals · last 5 with xG
Deserved on xG: Bologna 3 · level 1 · Torino 1 — actual wins in those games 3 / 0
Against the market · 10 with closing odds
Favourite won 6 (60%), drew 3, upset 1 · market favoured Bologna 5×, Torino 5× · avg favourite 42%, avg price of the actual result 38%
Fixture specialists
- 2 Nikola Vlašić Torino · in 2 games · last Feb 2026
- 2 Dan Ndoye Bologna · last Feb 2025
- 2 Riccardo Orsolini Bologna · in 2 games · last Nov 2022
- 1 Nikola Moro Bologna · last Feb 2026
- 1 Santiago Castro Bologna · last Feb 2026
Last meeting · 2026-02-15 · ITA SA
Torino 1-2 Bologna · ref Francesco Fourneau
- 49' Nikola Moro 0–1
- 62' Nikola Vlašić 1–1
- 70' Santiago Castro assist Federico Bernardeschi 1–2
xG 0.63 – 2.18 · corners 6 · cards 4
KickoffDNA model engine-only-1.1.0 · day before ·
Match result
49.4%Bologna P 49%26.9%Draw P 27%23.6%Torino P 24%
Over / under 2.5
42.9%Over 2.5 P 47%57.1%Under 2.5 P 53%
Both teams to score
46.8%Yes53.2%No
Expected
- Bologna goals
- 1.47 (0–3)
- Torino goals
- 0.93 (0–2)
- Corners
- 8.83 (5–13)
- Cards
- 3.64 (1–6)
Provider model (SportMonks)
Match result
46.1%Bologna27.3%Draw26.6%Torino
Over / under 2.5
48.1%Over 2.551.9%Under 2.5
Both teams to score
52.0%Yes48.0%No
Model probabilities are independent of the market; bookmaker figures are shown only as a benchmark.
All meetings · 28 matches since 2008
Goals 35–36 · 2.54 per match · BTTS 57% · over 2.5 43%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 12–7 · 1.9 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 7–3 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%
Recent meetings
- W Torino 1–2 Bologna ITA SA · Regular Season
- D Bologna 0–0 Torino ITA SA · Regular Season
- W Bologna 3–2 Torino ITA SA · Regular Season
- W Torino 0–2 Bologna ITA SA · Regular Season
- D Torino 0–0 Bologna ITA SA · Regular Season
- W Bologna 2–0 Torino ITA SA · Regular Season
- L Torino 1–0 Bologna neutral ITA SA · Regular Season
- W Bologna 2–1 Torino ITA SA · Regular Season
- D Bologna 0–0 Torino ITA SA · Regular Season
- L Torino 2–1 Bologna ITA SA · Regular Season
| Metric | Bologna all · 4 | Bologna at home · 2 | Torino all · 4 | Torino away · 2 |
|---|
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Bologna · 4 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.21) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) +0.62
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.214
Early press (0-15, level)+0.624
Late push (76+, level)+0.202
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.234
Game state
When level+0.394
When behind-0.104
10 min after conceding+0.384
Situations
At home+0.092
Away+0.342
4+ days rest+0.214
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.342
v mid-tier opponents+0.092
As underdog+0.342
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.104
Conceded late (76+)-0.144
Behind vs level -0.49
Torino · 4 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.02) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.68
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.024
Early press (0-15, level)-0.184
Late push (76+, level)+0.302
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.093
Game state
When level+0.044
When behind-0.154
10 min after conceding-0.384
10 min after scoring+0.683
Situations
At home-0.192
Away+0.142
4+ days rest-0.024
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.192
v mid-tier opponents+0.142
As underdog-0.053
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.374
Conceded late (76+)+0.244
Ahead vs level +0.28 · Behind vs level -0.20
Bologna
Current: winless 5 · conceding 5
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 4 100% | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1.25 | 1.45 | 1.07 |
Torino
Current: winless 1 · conceding 9
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-3-2 | 2 50% | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.94 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 1 25% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.06 | 2.24 |
| 3-1-4-2 | 1 25% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.84 | 1.41 |
| Metric | Bologna all · 10 | Bologna at home · 10 | Torino all · 10 | Torino away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 0.90 | 0.70 | 0.90 | 0.80 |
| W / D / L | 2 / 3 / 5 | 1 / 4 / 5 | 2 / 3 / 5 | 2 / 2 / 6 |
| Goals for / match | 0.90 | 1.00 | 1.10 | 1.00 |
| Goals against / match | 1.40 | 1.60 | 1.60 | 1.70 |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 20% | 10% | 20% |
| Failed to score | 60% | 40% | 30% | 30% |
| Both teams scored | 30% | 50% | 70% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 | 30% | 40% | 70% | 70% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.19 | 1.54 | 1.12 | 1.04 |
| xG against / match | 1.12 | 1.08 | 1.75 | 1.46 |
| xG difference | 0.07 | 0.47 | -0.63 | -0.42 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.29 | -0.54 | -0.02 | -0.04 |
| xPts / match | 1.40 | 1.66 | 0.96 | 1.06 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.50 | -0.96 | -0.06 | -0.26 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 20% | 30% | 10% | 30% |
| PPG when scoring first | 3.00 | 1.33 | 0.00 | 1.33 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.29 | 0.33 | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| Came back from behind | 29% | 29% | 44% | 25% |
| Leads held | 67% | 25% | 67% | 50% |
| Minutes leading | 11% | 15% | 3% | 5% |
| Minutes level | 57% | 54% | 58% | 54% |
| Minutes trailing | 33% | 31% | 39% | 41% |
| First goal (min) | 40 | 48 | 63 | 56 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 39 | 43 | 41 | 35 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 56% | 70% | 82% | 60% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 57% | 69% | 56% | 53% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.30 | 0.30 | 0.40 | 0.50 |
| Late goals against | 0.20 | 0.30 | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 54% | 58% | 47% | 46% |
| Shots | 11.7 | 14.7 | 10.0 | 9.8 |
| On target | 3.3 | 3.7 | 2.8 | 3.3 |
| Shot conversion | 8% | 7% | 11% | 10% |
| Shots inside box | 62% | 61% | 64% | 60% |
| Big chances created | 1.8 | 2.3 | 2.4 | 1.6 |
| Corners | 4.2 | 5.9 | 3.3 | 2.9 |
| xG from set plays | 34% | 32% | 23% | 27% |
| Goals from headers | 11% | 20% | 36% | 40% |
| Pressure index | 12.5 | 13.9 | 10.1 | 8.1 |
| Dominant minutes | 49.9 | 59.3 | 40.6 | 39.1 |
| Pass accuracy | 87% | 86% | 83% | 83% |
| Fouls | 11.6 | 13.5 | 11.0 | 13.0 |
| Cards | 1.50 | 1.60 | 1.20 | 1.80 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Bologna
0–15'12
16–30'12
31–45'22
46–60'24
61–75'02
76–90'32
Torino
0–15'00
16–30'02
31–45'25
46–60'14
61–75'43
76–90'42
Bologna
Current: winless 5 · conceding 5
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 5 50% | 0.4 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 1.33 | 1.02 |
| 4-3-3 | 4 40% | 1.75 | 1.75 | 1.75 | 1.13 | 1.17 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.71 | 1.4 |
Torino
Current: winless 1 · conceding 9
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 4 40% | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.75 | 1.63 | 1.65 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 2 20% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.59 | 1.68 |
| 5-3-2 | 2 20% | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.94 |
| 3-5-1-1 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.69 | 2.2 |
| 3-1-4-2 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.84 | 1.41 |
| Metric | Bologna all · 53 | Bologna at home · 27 | Torino all · 39 | Torino away · 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 53 | 27 | 39 | 19 |
| Points per game | 1.49 | 1.11 | 1.13 | 0.89 |
| W / D / L | 22 / 13 / 18 | 7 / 9 / 11 | 12 / 8 / 19 | 4 / 5 / 10 |
| Goals for / match | 1.36 | 1.11 | 1.21 | 1.00 |
| Goals against / match | 1.26 | 1.26 | 1.67 | 1.68 |
| Clean sheets | 28% | 30% | 26% | 32% |
| Failed to score | 28% | 37% | 26% | 37% |
| Both teams scored | 49% | 44% | 56% | 47% |
| Over 2.5 | 49% | 41% | 67% | 63% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.49 | 1.61 | 1.23 | 1.09 |
| xG against / match | 1.14 | 1.05 | 1.51 | 1.37 |
| xG difference | 0.35 | 0.56 | -0.29 | -0.29 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.13 | -0.50 | -0.02 | -0.09 |
| xPts / match | 1.59 | 1.69 | 1.21 | 1.20 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.10 | -0.58 | -0.08 | -0.31 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 47% | 37% | 36% | 32% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.36 | 2.10 | 2.07 | 1.83 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.68 | 0.43 | 0.55 | 0.30 |
| Came back from behind | 33% | 27% | 30% | 23% |
| Leads held | 71% | 58% | 71% | 57% |
| Minutes leading | 26% | 16% | 18% | 9% |
| Minutes level | 52% | 58% | 47% | 52% |
| Minutes trailing | 22% | 26% | 35% | 39% |
| First goal (min) | 43 | 51 | 46 | 49 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 43 | 44 | 32 | 29 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 59% | 70% | 62% | 68% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 58% | 56% | 52% | 50% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.28 | 0.22 | 0.36 | 0.42 |
| Late goals against | 0.25 | 0.15 | 0.26 | 0.26 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 55% | 58% | 46% | 46% |
| Shots | 14.5 | 16.2 | 11.7 | 10.9 |
| On target | 4.6 | 4.6 | 3.9 | 3.7 |
| Shot conversion | 9% | 7% | 10% | 9% |
| Shots inside box | 65% | 65% | 62% | 60% |
| Big chances created | 2.3 | 2.3 | 2.1 | 1.7 |
| Corners | 5.1 | 6.3 | 3.6 | 3.3 |
| xG from set plays | 30% | 32% | 29% | 28% |
| Goals from headers | 8% | 20% | 23% | 26% |
| Pressure index | 16.3 | 17.6 | 9.8 | 8.5 |
| Dominant minutes | 56.4 | 59.5 | 38.6 | 36.4 |
| Pass accuracy | 83% | 84% | 80% | 81% |
| Fouls | 13.8 | 12.9 | 13.3 | 14.0 |
| Cards | 1.98 | 1.63 | 1.77 | 1.95 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Bologna
0–15'67
16–30'117
31–45'1214
46–60'1913
61–75'913
76–90'1413
Torino
0–15'45
16–30'712
31–45'714
46–60'712
61–75'812
76–90'1410
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Bologna · 53 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.25) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.67
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.2553
Early press (0-15, level)+0.2353
Late push (76+, level)+0.2619
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.0716
Game state
When ahead+0.2830
When level+0.2953
When behind+0.1026
10 min after conceding-0.0637
10 min after scoring+0.6738
Situations
With ten men+0.167
Against ten men+0.516
At home+0.1927
Away+0.3026
3 days rest or fewer+0.0815
4+ days rest+0.3138
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.0017
v mid-tier opponents+0.1611
v bottom-tier opponents+0.504
As favourite+0.4325
Evenly matched+0.1215
As underdog+0.0313
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.1153
Conceded when ahead-0.1630
Conceded late (76+)-0.2249
Congested vs rested -0.23 · Ahead vs level -0.01 · Behind vs level -0.19
Torino · 38 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.06) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.38
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.0638
Early press (0-15, level)-0.1338
Late push (76+, level)+0.0613
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.0819
Game state
When ahead-0.0117
When level-0.0638
When behind-0.1026
10 min after conceding-0.3028
10 min after scoring+0.3828
Situations
With ten men+1.012
At home-0.0820
Away-0.0418
3 days rest or fewer-0.283
4+ days rest-0.0435
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.2513
v mid-tier opponents-0.0111
v bottom-tier opponents+0.124
As favourite+0.157
Evenly matched+0.0710
As underdog-0.2021
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.2838
Conceded when ahead+0.2417
Conceded late (76+)+0.0836
Congested vs rested -0.23 · Ahead vs level +0.06 · Behind vs level -0.04
Bologna
Current: winless 5 · conceding 5
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 35 66% | 1.4 | 1.34 | 1.26 | 1.55 | 1.14 |
| 4-3-3 | 14 26% | 1.93 | 1.57 | 1.21 | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 2 4% | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.31 | 1.64 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 1 2% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.71 | 1.4 |
| 4-2-2-2 | 1 2% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.56 | 1.87 |
Torino
Current: winless 1 · conceding 9
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-5-2 | 16 41% | 1.0 | 1.38 | 1.88 | 1.28 | 1.51 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 9 23% | 1.89 | 1.56 | 0.89 | 1.26 | 1.18 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 5 13% | 0.8 | 1.2 | 2.0 | 1.57 | 1.63 |
| 5-3-2 | 4 10% | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.09 | 1.62 |
| 3-1-4-2 | 3 8% | 1.0 | 0.67 | 3.0 | 0.69 | 2.04 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 106 snapshots · last 15.0h before kick-off · biggest step: home -1.6 pts at 4.1d
1.97Home 49% ▼ -1.5 ptsopened 1.913.57Draw 27% · +0.5 ptsopened 3.634.06Away 24% ▲ +1.1 ptsopened 4.25
Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.97 ▼ -1.5 | 3.57 · +0.5 | 4.06 ▲ +1.1 | 15.0h |
| bet365 | 1.9 · +0.0 | 3.5 · +0.0 | 4.0 · +0.0 | 15.0h |
| Betfair | 1.95 ▼ -1.4 | 3.4 ▲ +1.4 | 4.1 · -0.0 | 15.0h |
| BetVictor | 1.93 ▼ -1.4 | 3.5 · +0.4 | 3.9 · +1.0 | 15.0h |
| Coral | 1.95 · +0.0 | 3.5 · +0.0 | 3.9 · +0.0 | 15.0h |
| Ladbrokes | 1.91 · +0.0 | 3.5 · +0.0 | 3.9 · +0.0 | 15.0h |
| Unibet | 1.88 · +0.5 | 3.5 · -0.3 | 3.95 · -0.2 | 15.0h |
| WilliamHill | 1.91 · +0.0 | 3.3 · +0.0 | 3.8 · +0.0 | 15.0h |
bet365 (Pinnacle absent) · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 106 snapshots · last 15.0h before kick-off · biggest step: no -2.0 pts at 2.0d
1.8Yes 52% · +0.0 ptsopened 1.81.95No 48% · +0.0 ptsopened 1.95
Yes No consensus of 4 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.8 · +0.0 | 1.95 · +0.0 | 15.0h |
| Betfair | 1.73 ▲ +2.8 | 2.05 ▼ -2.8 | 15.0h |
| BetVictor | 1.8 · +0.0 | 1.9 · +0.0 | 15.0h |
| WilliamHill | 1.85 · +0.0 | 1.91 · +0.0 | 15.0h |
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 106 snapshots · last 15.0h before kick-off
2.07Over 47% · -0.5 ptsopened 2.051.83Under 53% · +0.5 ptsopened 1.85
Over Under consensus of 4 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.07 · -0.5 | 1.83 · +0.5 | 15.0h |
| bet365 | 2.0 · +0.0 | 1.8 · +0.0 | 15.0h |
| Betfair | 1.9 ▲ +1.1 | 1.87 ▼ -1.1 | 15.0h |
| BetVictor | 1.93 · -0.3 | 1.75 · +0.3 | 15.0h |
Latest prices
bet365 · last snapshot 15.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
1.9Home 50% P 49%3.5Draw 27% P 27%4.0Away 24% P 24%
Double Chance
1.22Bologna or Draw 38%1.28Bologna or Torino 36%1.83Draw or Torino 25%
Draw No Bet
1.41 66%2.752 34%
Both Teams To Score
1.8Yes 52%1.95No 48%
Goals Over/Under
2.52.0Over 47% P 47%1.8Under 53% P 53%
Total Corners
7.0Under 6 13%2.756 - 8 32%2.759 - 11 32%5.512 - 14 16%13.0Over 14 7%
Number of Cards
3.51.8Over 51% P 57%1.9Under 49% P 43%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 47.5–50% · away 22.5–25% · 808 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 49% | 49% | 47% | -1.9 |
| Draw | 27% | 28% | 29% | +1.7 |
| Away | 24% | 24% | 24% | +0.3 |
In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 54% · over 2.5 48%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 45–47.5% · 2,885 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 47% | 46% | 45% | -1.2 |
Marco Guida
- Career
- 277 matches · 18 seasons
- Cards / match
- 4.94 (4.73 yellow · 0.14 red)
- Fouls / match
- 23.6 · 4.1 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.37
- Cards to home side
- 47%
Style in Serie A (5-year window · 60 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 4.38 | 4.49 | -0.16 | 42 |
| Fouls / match | 24.5 | 25.2 | -0.37 | |
| Fouls per card | 5.6 | 5.6 | -0.24 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.4 | 0.31 | +0.62 | 71 |
| Time added | 6.0 | 6.4 | -0.86 | 17 |
- First card
- 33' on average
- Card timing
- 20% in first 30' · 36% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 50% (league 46%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.13
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 36' | 4 |
| 2026-08-20 | 3 | 0 | 27 | 1 | 9' | 6 |
| 2026-08-11 | 8 | 0 | 29 | 0 | 19' | 5 |
| 2026-05-24 | 4 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 2' | 6 |
| 2026-04-09 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 15' | 8 |
| 2026-04-04 | 4 | 2 | 22 | 0 | 17' | 7 |
| 2026-03-15 | 5 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 55' | 15 |
| 2026-03-10 | 3 | 0 | 23 | 1 | 34' | 9 |
| 2026-02-26 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 40' | 7 |
| 2026-02-22 · Torino | 1 | 1 | 23 | 0 | 45' | 5 |