Rating 6.92 (59th pct) · G+A 1 + 1 (50% of team goals) · 99% of minutes
Serie A · Matchweek 4
Momentum
– VeneziaFiorentina –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
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Stats
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Season context
| Venezia | at home | Stat | league | away | Fiorentina |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 59.2 #4 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 43.8 #14 |
| 13.2 #12 | – | Shots total | 14.6 | – | 16.8 #5 |
| 4.0 #13 | – | Shots on target | 4.9 | – | 6.0 #5 |
| 3.0 #16 | – | Corners | 4.7 | – | 4.5 #11 |
| 11.0 #9 | – | Fouls | 11.2 | – | 11.0 #9 |
| 2.0 #10 | – | Offsides | 2.1 | – | 1.2 #13 |
| 17.0 #4 | – | Tackles | 16.0 | – | 15.8 #10 |
| 109.0 #3 | – | Attacks | 92.8 | – | 97.0 #7 |
| 46.5 #8 | – | Dangerous attacks | 44.7 | – | 46.8 #6 |
| 485.5 #8 | – | Passes | 459.1 | – | 362.5 #19 |
| 2.5 #1 | – | Yellowcards | 1.5 | – | 1.5 #10 |
| 1.0 #13 | – | Assists | 1.2 | – | 1.2 #8 |
| – #9 | – | Btts | 60.0 | – | – #9 |
| – #11 | – | Cleansheet | 20.0 | – | – #11 |
| – #12 | – | Draw | 15.0 | – | – #12 |
| 1.5 #9 | – | Expected goals | 1.5 | – | 1.8 #5 |
| -0.5 #17 | – | Expected goals difference | -0.0 | – | -0.5 #18 |
| – #2 | – | Failed to score | 20.0 | – | – #2 |
| 1.0 #15 | 1.0 | Goals | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.2 #12 |
| 2.8 #1 | 3.0 | Goals conceded | 1.5 | 3.0 | 2.8 #1 |
| 6.0 #18 | – | Interceptions | 8.5 | – | 10.2 #4 |
| – #1 | – | Lost | 42.5 | – | – #2 |
| 6.6 #20 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.7 #17 |
| 3.0 #14 | – | Shots blocked | 3.6 | – | 3.2 #10 |
| 8.8 #12 | – | Shots insidebox | 9.6 | – | 10.5 #5 |
| 6.2 #7 | – | Shots off target | 6.0 | – | 7.5 #5 |
| 4.5 #12 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.9 | – | 6.2 #5 |
| – #16 | – | Win | 42.5 | – | – #13 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 20.
League this season · 2026/2027
- Played
- 37 of 380
- Goals / match
- 2.92 (home 1.41 · away 1.51)
- Home / draw / away
- 41% · 16% · 43%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 59% · 57%
- Cards / match
- 3.19 (reds 0.03)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Venezia · Last 365 days
Rating 7.11 (79th pct) · G+A 0 + 2 (50% of team goals) · 87% of minutes
Rating 7.07 (89th pct) · G+A 1 + 0 (25% of team goals) · 82% of minutes
Fiorentina · Last 365 days
Rating 7.12 (80th pct) · G+A 3 + 4 (11% of team goals) · 67% of minutes
Team 1.36 ppg with (36) · 1.0 without (15)
Rating 6.87 (67th pct) · G+A 1 + 3 (6% of team goals) · 77% of minutes
Team 1.2 ppg with (41) · 1.5 without (10)
Rating 7.39 (96th pct) · G+A 3 + 0 (5% of team goals) · 6% of minutes
Absences
Venezia
- injury Andrea Adorante attacker · Back Injury · 8 missed · until 2026-10-01
- injury Bartol Franjic #9 key player defender · Shoulder Injury · 2 missed
Fiorentina
- injury Fabiano Parisi #5 key player defender · Cruciate Ligament Injury · 10 missed · until 2026-10-19
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 4
Venue
- Stadium
- Stadio Pierluigi Penzo, Venezia
- Capacity
- 11,150
- Surface
- grass
Teams
- Coaches
- Giovanni Stroppa · Paolo Vanoli
- Position
- 18 · 20
- Formation
- 3-5-2 · 4-2-3-1
Referee
Francesco Fourneau
Weather
- Conditions
- overcast clouds
- Temperature
- 20.8° (feels 20.9°)
- Wind
- 3.6
- Humidity
- 76%
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2026/2027
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Roma |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 1 | 11 | 12 | WWWW |
| 2 |  Inter |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 12 | WWWW |
| 3 |  Como |
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 10 | DWWW |
| 4 |  Lazio |
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 10 | WWWD |
| 5 |  Cagliari |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9 | WLWW |
| 6 |  AC Milan |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 8 | WWDD |
| 7 |  Frosinone |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 | LWWD |
| 8 |  Juventus |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 7 | WWDL |
| 9 |  Sassuolo |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 7 | LWDW |
| 10 |  Napoli |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 6 | WLLW |
| 11 |  Atalanta |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 6 | WWLL |
| 12 |  Lecce |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 6 | WLLW |
| 13 |  Udinese |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 4 | DWLL |
| 14 |  Torino |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 3 | LLWL |
| 15 |  Fiorentina |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 3 | LLLW |
| 16 |  Bologna |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 1 | LLDL |
| 17 |  Parma |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 1 | LLDL |
| 18 |  Monza |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 1 | LLDL |
| 19 |  Genoa |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 1 | LLLD |
| 20 |  Venezia |
4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 0 | LLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 9 | WWWW |
| 2 | Roma |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 6 | WWWW |
| 3 | Sassuolo |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 6 | LWDW |
| 4 | Atalanta |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 6 | WWLL |
| 5 | Juventus |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | WWDL |
| 6 | Lazio |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | WWWD |
| 7 | AC Milan |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | WWDD |
| 8 | Como |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | DWWW |
| 9 | Frosinone |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | LWWD |
| 10 | Napoli |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | WLLW |
| 11 | Cagliari |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | WLWW |
| 12 | Lecce |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 3 | WLLW |
| 13 | Bologna |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 1 | LLDL |
| 14 | Udinese |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 1 | DWLL |
| 15 | Parma |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 1 | LLDL |
| 16 | Genoa |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 1 | LLLD |
| 17 | Monza |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 0 | LLDL |
| 18 | Torino |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | LLWL |
| 19 | Venezia |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 0 | LLLL |
| 20 | Fiorentina |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 0 | LLLW |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Como |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 7 | DWWW |
| 2 | Roma |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 6 | WWWW |
| 3 | Cagliari |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | WLWW |
| 4 | Lazio |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | WWWD |
| 5 | AC Milan |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 5 | WWDD |
| 6 | Frosinone |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 | LWWD |
| 7 | Napoli |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | WLLW |
| 8 | Lecce |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | WLLW |
| 9 | Inter |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | WWWW |
| 10 | Juventus |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | WWDL |
| 11 | Torino |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | LLWL |
| 12 | Udinese |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 3 | DWLL |
| 13 | Fiorentina |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 3 | LLLW |
| 14 | Sassuolo |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 1 | LWDW |
| 15 | Monza |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 1 | LLDL |
| 16 | Atalanta |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | WWLL |
| 17 | Genoa |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | LLLD |
| 18 | Bologna |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | LLDL |
| 19 | Venezia |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 0 | LLLL |
| 20 | Parma |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | LLDL |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Europa League
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
- Relegation
Venezia
LLL 0W 0D 3L · 0 pts (0.0 ppg) · GF 2 GA 7 · xG 5.5–5.75 · xPts 4.11
- L
A
Frosinone
2–3
xG 2.25–1.27
ITA SA
- L
A
AC Milan
0–2
xG 1.05–2.57
ITA SA
- L
H
Lecce
0–2
xG 2.21–1.9
ITA SA
LLL 0W 0D 3L · 0 pts (0.0 ppg) · GF 2 GA 7 · xG 5.5–5.75 · xPts 4.11
- L
A
Frosinone
2–3
xG 2.25–1.27
ITA SA
- L
A
AC Milan
0–2
xG 1.05–2.57
ITA SA
- L
H
Lecce
0–2
xG 2.21–1.9
ITA SA
Fiorentina
WDLLL 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 4 GA 10 · xG 5.16–9.23 · xPts 4.87
- L
H
Torino
1–2
xG 1.41–0.84
ITA SA
- L
H
Frosinone
0–3
xG 1.99–1.47
ITA SA
- L
A
Roma
0–4
xG 0.32–3.1
ITA SA
- D
H
Atalanta
1–1
xG 0.79–1.67
ITA SA
- W
A
Juventus
2–0
xG 0.65–2.15
ITA SA
WDLLL 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 4 GA 10 · xG 5.16–9.23 · xPts 4.87
- L
H
Torino
1–2
xG 1.41–0.84
ITA SA
- L
H
Frosinone
0–3
xG 1.99–1.47
ITA SA
- L
A
Roma
0–4
xG 0.32–3.1
ITA SA
- D
H
Atalanta
1–1
xG 0.79–1.67
ITA SA
- W
A
Juventus
2–0
xG 0.65–2.15
ITA SA
KickoffDNA model engine-only-1.1.0 · lineups confirmed ·
Match result
31.8%Venezia P 35%26.9%Draw P 28%41.3%Fiorentina P 37%
Over / under 2.5
47.5%Over 2.5 P 59%52.5%Under 2.5 P 41%
Both teams to score
52.3%Yes47.7%No
Expected
- Venezia goals
- 1.19 (0–3)
- Fiorentina goals
- 1.39 (0–3)
- Corners
- 7.61 (4–12)
- Cards
- 4.36 (2–7)
Earlier: day before — 31.8% / 26.9% / 41.3%
Provider model (SportMonks)
Match result
55.4%Venezia21.5%Draw23.1%Fiorentina
Over / under 2.5
65.8%Over 2.534.2%Under 2.5
Both teams to score
59.9%Yes40.1%No
Scored
| Market | Observed | Log loss | Brier |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1x2 | away | 0.884 | 0.518 |
| ou_2_5 | over | 0.745 | 0.552 |
| btts | yes | 0.647 | 0.454 |
Model probabilities are independent of the market; bookmaker figures are shown only as a benchmark.
All meetings · 5 matches since 2021
Goals 5–6 · 2.2 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%
Last 10 · 5 matches
Goals 5–6 · 2.2 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 5–6 · 2.2 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%
Recent meetings
- L Venezia 2–4 Fiorentina ITA SA · Regular Season
- W Venezia 2–1 Fiorentina ITA SA · Regular Season
- D Fiorentina 0–0 Venezia ITA SA · Regular Season
- L Fiorentina 1–0 Venezia neutral ITA SA · Regular Season
- W Venezia 1–0 Fiorentina ITA SA · Regular Season
| Metric | Venezia all · 4 | Venezia at home · 2 | Fiorentina all · 4 | Fiorentina away · 2 |
|---|
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Venezia · 4 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.22) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.25
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.224
Early press (0-15, level)+0.064
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.204
Game state
When level+0.244
When behind+0.224
10 min after conceding-0.254
10 min after scoring-0.012
Situations
At home+0.612
Away-0.162
4+ days rest+0.224
Opposition
v bottom-tier opponents+0.462
Evenly matched+0.182
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.104
Conceded late (76+)+0.134
Ahead vs level -0.53 · Behind vs level -0.02
Fiorentina · 4 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.17) · stands out: 10 min after conceding +0.33
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.174
Early press (0-15, level)+0.094
Game state
When ahead+0.082
When level+0.224
When behind+0.194
10 min after conceding+0.334
10 min after scoring+0.492
Situations
At home+0.192
Away+0.152
4+ days rest+0.174
Opposition
v bottom-tier opponents+0.422
As favourite+0.192
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.244
Conceded when ahead+0.202
Conceded late (76+)+0.192
Ahead vs level -0.14 · Behind vs level -0.03
Venezia
Current: winless 6 · scoring 2 · conceding 10
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-5-2 | 4 100% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.75 | 1.53 | 2.18 |
Fiorentina
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 5
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 2 50% | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 1.7 | 1.15 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 1 25% | 3.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2.99 | 0.64 |
| 4-3-2-1 | 1 25% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 0.32 | 3.1 |
| Metric | Venezia all · 10 | Venezia at home · 10 | Fiorentina all · 10 | Fiorentina away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 0.50 | 0.80 | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| W / D / L | 1 / 2 / 7 | 2 / 2 / 6 | 2 / 4 / 4 | 5 / 1 / 4 |
| Goals for / match | 1.10 | 0.70 | 0.90 | 1.40 |
| Goals against / match | 2.30 | 1.40 | 1.70 | 1.90 |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 30% | 30% | 20% |
| Failed to score | 40% | 60% | 50% | 40% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 30% | 40% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 30% | 50% | 70% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.45 | 1.16 | 1.24 | 1.00 |
| xG against / match | 1.82 | 1.57 | 1.61 | 1.90 |
| xG difference | -0.37 | -0.41 | -0.37 | -0.90 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.35 | -0.46 | -0.34 | 0.40 |
| xPts / match | 1.20 | 1.14 | 1.20 | 0.88 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.70 | -0.34 | -0.20 | 0.72 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 40% | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| PPG when scoring first | 1.00 | 1.50 | 1.25 | 2.50 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.17 | 0.00 | 0.75 | 1.00 |
| Came back from behind | 12% | 0% | 20% | 33% |
| Leads held | 20% | 50% | 40% | 83% |
| Minutes leading | 11% | 9% | 25% | 26% |
| Minutes level | 44% | 58% | 50% | 39% |
| Minutes trailing | 44% | 34% | 24% | 35% |
| First goal (min) | 42 | 39 | 36 | 45 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 42 | 41 | 45 | 34 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 73% | 71% | 44% | 57% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 61% | 64% | 59% | 58% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.20 | 0.10 | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| Late goals against | 0.80 | 0.40 | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 52% | 49% | 45% | 47% |
| Shots | 11.9 | 11.2 | 13.2 | 10.4 |
| On target | 3.8 | 3.7 | 4.2 | 3.8 |
| Shot conversion | 9% | 6% | 7% | 14% |
| Shots inside box | 68% | 66% | 62% | 62% |
| Big chances created | 2.2 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 1.6 |
| Corners | 4.0 | 3.9 | 4.1 | 3.1 |
| xG from set plays | 25% | 27% | 11% | 16% |
| Goals from headers | 9% | 14% | 11% | 7% |
| Pressure index | 9.1 | 8.5 | 11.2 | 9.4 |
| Dominant minutes | 43.9 | 36.8 | 40.3 | 37.1 |
| Pass accuracy | 80% | 80% | 82% | 82% |
| Fouls | 13.0 | 15.1 | 11.4 | 10.9 |
| Cards | 1.50 | 2.50 | 1.70 | 2.30 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Venezia
0–15'12
16–30'14
31–45'13
46–60'22
61–75'44
76–90'28
Fiorentina
0–15'01
16–30'34
31–45'22
46–60'13
61–75'13
76–90'24
Venezia
Current: winless 6 · scoring 2 · conceding 10
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-5-2 | 10 100% | 0.5 | 1.1 | 2.3 | 1.45 | 1.82 |
Fiorentina
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 5
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 8 80% | 0.88 | 0.63 | 1.37 | 1.13 | 1.54 |
| 4-3-2-1 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 0.32 | 3.1 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2.99 | 0.64 |
| Metric | Venezia all · 4 | Venezia at home · 2 | Fiorentina all · 51 | Fiorentina away · 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | – | – | 51 | 25 |
| Points per game | – | – | 1.25 | 1.24 |
| W / D / L | – | – | 17 / 13 / 21 | 9 / 4 / 12 |
| Goals for / match | – | – | 1.24 | 1.28 |
| Goals against / match | – | – | 1.41 | 1.64 |
| Clean sheets | – | – | 24% | 20% |
| Failed to score | – | – | 29% | 36% |
| Both teams scored | – | – | 55% | 48% |
| Over 2.5 | – | – | 61% | 72% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | – | – | 1.48 | 1.29 |
| xG against / match | – | – | 1.40 | 1.76 |
| xG difference | – | – | 0.08 | -0.46 |
| Finishing vs xG | – | – | -0.25 | -0.01 |
| xPts / match | – | – | 1.44 | 1.14 |
| Points vs xPts | – | – | -0.19 | 0.10 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | – | – | 43% | 44% |
| PPG when scoring first | – | – | 1.91 | 2.00 |
| PPG when conceding first | – | – | 0.72 | 0.62 |
| Came back from behind | – | – | 32% | 25% |
| Leads held | – | – | 59% | 60% |
| Minutes leading | – | – | 24% | 24% |
| Minutes level | – | – | 50% | 49% |
| Minutes trailing | – | – | 26% | 27% |
| First goal (min) | – | – | 43 | 37 |
| First goal conceded (min) | – | – | 43 | 44 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | – | – | 61% | 59% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | – | – | 61% | 68% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | – | – | 0.27 | 0.28 |
| Late goals against | – | – | 0.33 | 0.40 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | – | – | 50% | 48% |
| Shots | – | – | 13.7 | 11.2 |
| On target | – | – | 4.2 | 3.7 |
| Shot conversion | – | – | 9% | 11% |
| Shots inside box | – | – | 65% | 67% |
| Big chances created | – | – | 2.5 | 2.2 |
| Corners | – | – | 4.7 | 3.6 |
| xG from set plays | – | – | 31% | 32% |
| Goals from headers | – | – | 10% | 6% |
| Pressure index | – | – | 13.7 | 9.5 |
| Dominant minutes | – | – | 48.6 | 40.6 |
| Pass accuracy | – | – | 84% | 82% |
| Fouls | – | – | 12.6 | 12.6 |
| Cards | – | – | 2.39 | 2.36 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Fiorentina
0–15'56
16–30'1312
31–45'610
46–60'1416
61–75'1111
76–90'1216
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Venezia · 4 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.22) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.25
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.224
Early press (0-15, level)+0.064
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.204
Game state
When level+0.244
When behind+0.224
10 min after conceding-0.254
10 min after scoring-0.012
Situations
At home+0.612
Away-0.162
4+ days rest+0.224
Opposition
v bottom-tier opponents+0.462
Evenly matched+0.182
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.104
Conceded late (76+)+0.134
Ahead vs level -0.53 · Behind vs level -0.02
Fiorentina · 51 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.11) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.43
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.1151
Early press (0-15, level)+0.0251
Late push (76+, level)+0.0722
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.0218
Game state
When ahead-0.0429
When level+0.1551
When behind+0.1730
10 min after conceding+0.0538
10 min after scoring+0.4335
Situations
With ten men+0.054
Against ten men-0.404
At home+0.2426
Away-0.0225
3 days rest or fewer+0.0012
4+ days rest+0.1439
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.2012
v mid-tier opponents+0.1810
v bottom-tier opponents+0.166
As favourite+0.3224
Evenly matched+0.0014
As underdog-0.1513
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.0951
Conceded when ahead+0.0629
Conceded late (76+)+0.0145
Congested vs rested -0.14 · Ahead vs level -0.19 · Behind vs level +0.02
Venezia
Current: winless 6 · scoring 2 · conceding 10
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-5-2 | 4 100% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.75 | 1.53 | 2.18 |
Fiorentina
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 5
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 18 35% | 1.5 | 1.11 | 1.22 | 1.18 | 1.51 |
| 3-5-2 | 12 24% | 1.0 | 1.17 | 1.25 | 1.67 | 1.12 |
| 4-4-2 | 4 8% | 1.5 | 2.75 | 1.75 | 1.78 | 1.19 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 3 6% | 0.67 | 0.67 | 1.0 | 1.42 | 1.41 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 3 6% | 1.33 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.52 | 1.38 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 5m before kick-off · biggest step: home +3.5 pts at 12.8h
2.78Home 35% · +0.6 ptsopened 2.813.49Draw 28% · +0.1 ptsopened 3.482.62Away 37% · -0.7 ptsopened 2.56
Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.78 · +0.6 | 3.49 · +0.1 | 2.62 · -0.7 | 5m |
| bet365 | 2.62 ▲ +1.5 | 3.4 · -0.9 | 2.62 · -0.6 | 5m |
| Betfair | 3.1 ▼ -3.6 | 3.4 · +0.6 | 2.3 ▲ +3.0 | 5m |
| BetVictor | 2.75 · -0.2 | 3.3 ▲ +1.2 | 2.55 ▼ -1.0 | 5m |
| Coral | 2.62 ▲ +1.6 | 3.4 · -0.1 | 2.6 ▼ -1.5 | 5m |
| Ladbrokes | 2.6 ▲ +1.7 | 3.4 · -0.6 | 2.6 ▼ -1.1 | 5m |
| Unibet | 2.95 ▼ -4.1 | 3.35 · -0.2 | 2.3 ▲ +4.4 | 5m |
| WilliamHill | 2.62 · +1.0 | 3.3 · -0.9 | 2.5 · -0.1 | 5m |
bet365 (Pinnacle absent) · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 5m before kick-off · biggest step: yes +1.9 pts at 4.4d
1.5Yes 62% ▲ +6.6 ptsopened 1.662.5No 38% ▼ -6.6 ptsopened 2.1
Yes No consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.5 ▲ +6.6 | 2.5 ▼ -6.6 | 5m |
| Betfair | 1.53 ▲ +2.4 | 2.38 ▼ -2.4 | 5m |
| BetVictor | 1.45 ▲ +6.4 | 2.55 ▼ -6.4 | 5m |
| Unibet | 1.64 ▲ +1.8 | 2.18 ▼ -1.8 | 5m |
| WilliamHill | 1.5 ▲ +5.7 | 2.45 ▼ -5.7 | 5m |
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 5m before kick-off · biggest step: under -2.9 pts at 4.8h
1.65Over 59% ▲ +6.1 ptsopened 1.832.38Under 41% ▼ -6.1 ptsopened 2.06
Over Under consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.65 ▲ +6.1 | 2.38 ▼ -6.1 | 5m |
| bet365 | 1.61 ▲ +6.2 | 2.3 ▼ -6.2 | 5m |
| Betfair | 1.73 ▲ +1.5 | 2.05 ▼ -1.5 | 5m |
| BetVictor | 1.62 ▲ +4.2 | 2.12 ▼ -4.2 | 5m |
| Unibet | 1.81 ▲ +2.4 | 1.95 ▼ -2.4 | 5m |
Latest prices
bet365 · last snapshot 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
2.62Home 36% P 35%3.4Draw 28% P 28%2.62Away 36% P 37%
Double Chance
1.5Venezia or Draw 31%1.3Venezia or Fiorentina 36%1.44Draw or Fiorentina 33%
Draw No Bet
1.831 50%1.832 50%
Both Teams To Score
1.5Yes 62%2.5No 38%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.61Over 59% P 59%2.3Under 41% P 41%
Total Corners
5.5Under 6 16%2.56 - 8 35%2.879 - 11 30%6.512 - 14 13%17.0Over 14 5%
Number of Cards
4.51.83Over 50% P 54%1.83Under 50% P 46%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 32.5–35% · away 35–37.5% · 691 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 35% | 34% | 34% | +0.5 |
| Draw | 28% | 30% | 27% | -2.5 |
| Away | 37% | 36% | 38% | +2.0 |
In those fixtures: 2.5 goals a game · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 45%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 57.5–60% · 2,409 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 59% | 59% | 60% | +0.8 |
Francesco Fourneau
- Career
- 67 matches · 10 seasons
- Cards / match
- 5.06 (4.9 yellow · 0.1 red)
- Fouls / match
- 26.8 · 5.3 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.34
- Cards to home side
- 43%
Style in Serie A (5-year window · 51 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 4.51 | 4.49 | +0.03 | 51 |
| Fouls / match | 26.1 | 25.2 | +0.64 | |
| Fouls per card | 5.8 | 5.6 | -0.05 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.28 | 0.31 | -0.39 | 42 |
| Time added | 5.8 | 6.4 | -1.27 | 10 |
- First card
- 32' on average
- Card timing
- 17% in first 30' · 31% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 43% (league 46%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.29
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | 5 | 0 | 35 | 0 | 10' | 8 |
| 2026-05-17 | 4 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 53' | 5 |
| 2026-04-17 | 6 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 14' | 7 |
| 2026-03-21 | 5 | 0 | 19 | 1 | 9' | 7 |
| 2026-02-28 | 1 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 70' | 8 |
| 2026-02-15 | 4 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 20' | 6 |
| 2026-02-01 | 4 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 17' | 7 |
| 2026-01-17 | 2 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 53' | 6 |
| 2026-01-10 | 3 | 0 | 31 | 0 | 25' | 7 |
| 2025-12-21 | 5 | 0 | 35 | 1 | 52' | 7 |