Rating 7.08 (77th pct) · G+A 7 + 10 (33% of team goals) · 79% of minutes
Team 1.38 ppg with (34) · 1.2 without (5)
Serie A · Matchweek 4
Momentum
– SassuoloJuventus –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
- No events yet.
Stats
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Season context
| Sassuolo | at home | Stat | league | away | Juventus |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 43.2 #15 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 56.2 #6 |
| 16.5 #6 | – | Shots total | 14.6 | – | 18.2 #4 |
| 6.8 #4 | – | Shots on target | 4.9 | – | 6.0 #5 |
| 4.5 #11 | – | Corners | 4.7 | – | 9.8 #1 |
| 9.2 #16 | – | Fouls | 11.2 | – | 16.0 #2 |
| 2.8 #5 | – | Offsides | 2.1 | – | 2.2 #8 |
| 13.8 #16 | – | Tackles | 16.0 | – | 12.8 #19 |
| 80.8 #17 | – | Attacks | 92.8 | – | 100.0 #6 |
| 44.5 #11 | – | Dangerous attacks | 44.7 | – | 48.2 #5 |
| 412.8 #13 | – | Passes | 459.1 | – | 485.2 #9 |
| 1.5 #10 | – | Yellowcards | 1.5 | – | 1.8 #9 |
| 1.5 #5 | – | Assists | 1.2 | – | 1.0 #13 |
| – #1 | – | Btts | 60.0 | – | – #9 |
| – #11 | – | Cleansheet | 20.0 | – | – #2 |
| – #2 | – | Draw | 15.0 | – | – #2 |
| 1.8 #6 | – | Expected goals | 1.5 | – | 1.5 #10 |
| 0.2 #7 | – | Expected goals difference | -0.0 | – | -0.0 #12 |
| – #10 | – | Failed to score | 20.0 | – | – #10 |
| 2.0 #4 | 2.5 | Goals | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 #8 |
| 1.8 #6 | 1.5 | Goals conceded | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 #14 |
| 1.0 #1 | – | Injury time goals | 0.5 | – | 0.8 #2 |
| 6.8 #17 | – | Interceptions | 8.5 | – | 8.0 #11 |
| – #12 | – | Lost | 42.5 | – | – #12 |
| 6.9 #9 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.9 #5 |
| 5.0 #4 | – | Shots blocked | 3.6 | – | 4.5 #6 |
| 9.5 #9 | – | Shots insidebox | 9.6 | – | 10.0 #8 |
| 4.8 #14 | – | Shots off target | 6.0 | – | 7.8 #4 |
| 7.0 #3 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.9 | – | 8.2 #1 |
| – #6 | – | Win | 42.5 | – | – #6 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 20.
League this season · 2026/2027
- Played
- 37 of 380
- Goals / match
- 2.92 (home 1.41 · away 1.51)
- Home / draw / away
- 41% · 16% · 43%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 59% · 57%
- Cards / match
- 3.19 (reds 0.03)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Sassuolo · Last 365 days
Rating 7.16 (85th pct) · G+A 8 + 4 (24% of team goals) · 53% of minutes
Team 1.35 ppg with (23) · 1.38 without (16)
Rating 6.93 (61th pct) · G+A 4 + 4 (16% of team goals) · 74% of minutes
Team 1.38 ppg with (29) · 1.3 without (10)
Juventus · Last 365 days
Rating 7.12 (81th pct) · G+A 9 + 7 (20% of team goals) · 84% of minutes
Team 1.81 ppg with (42) · 1.29 without (7)
Rating 7.29 (94th pct) · G+A 9 + 5 (18% of team goals) · 75% of minutes
Team 1.74 ppg with (38) · 1.73 without (11)
Rating 7.38 (95th pct) · G+A 2 + 3 (6% of team goals) · 84% of minutes
Team 1.84 ppg with (43) · 1.0 without (6)
Absences
Juventus
- injury Andrea Cambiaso #6 key player defender · Ankle Sprain · 1 missed · until 2026-09-16
- injury Kenan Yıldız #2 key player attacker · Broken Foot · 2 missed · until 2026-11-25
- injury Weston McKennie #1 key player midfielder · Muscle Fatigue · 1 missed · until 2026-09-15
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 4
Venue
- Stadium
- MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore, Reggio Emilia
- Capacity
- 21,584
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 16,700
Teams
- Coaches
- Alberto Aquilani · Luciano Spalletti
- Position
- 11 · 8
- Formation
- 4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Referee
Juan Luca Sacchi
Weather
- Conditions
- overcast clouds
- Temperature
- 22.3° (feels 22.4°)
- Wind
- 1.1
- Humidity
- 72%
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2026/2027
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Roma |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 1 | 11 | 12 | WWWW |
| 2 |  Inter |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 12 | WWWW |
| 3 |  Como |
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 10 | DWWW |
| 4 |  Lazio |
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 10 | WWWD |
| 5 |  Cagliari |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9 | WLWW |
| 6 |  AC Milan |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 8 | WWDD |
| 7 |  Frosinone |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 | LWWD |
| 8 |  Juventus |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 7 | WWDL |
| 9 |  Sassuolo |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 7 | LWDW |
| 10 |  Napoli |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 6 | WLLW |
| 11 |  Atalanta |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 6 | WWLL |
| 12 |  Lecce |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 6 | WLLW |
| 13 |  Udinese |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 4 | DWLL |
| 14 |  Torino |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 3 | LLWL |
| 15 |  Fiorentina |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 3 | LLLW |
| 16 |  Bologna |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 1 | LLDL |
| 17 |  Parma |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 1 | LLDL |
| 18 |  Monza |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 1 | LLDL |
| 19 |  Genoa |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 1 | LLLD |
| 20 |  Venezia |
4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 0 | LLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 9 | WWWW |
| 2 | Roma |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 6 | WWWW |
| 3 | Sassuolo |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 6 | LWDW |
| 4 | Atalanta |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 6 | WWLL |
| 5 | Juventus |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | WWDL |
| 6 | Lazio |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | WWWD |
| 7 | AC Milan |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | WWDD |
| 8 | Como |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | DWWW |
| 9 | Frosinone |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | LWWD |
| 10 | Napoli |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | WLLW |
| 11 | Cagliari |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | WLWW |
| 12 | Lecce |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 3 | WLLW |
| 13 | Bologna |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 1 | LLDL |
| 14 | Udinese |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 1 | DWLL |
| 15 | Parma |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 1 | LLDL |
| 16 | Genoa |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 1 | LLLD |
| 17 | Monza |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 0 | LLDL |
| 18 | Torino |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | LLWL |
| 19 | Venezia |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 0 | LLLL |
| 20 | Fiorentina |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 0 | LLLW |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Como |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 7 | DWWW |
| 2 | Roma |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 6 | WWWW |
| 3 | Cagliari |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | WLWW |
| 4 | Lazio |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | WWWD |
| 5 | AC Milan |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 5 | WWDD |
| 6 | Frosinone |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 | LWWD |
| 7 | Napoli |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | WLLW |
| 8 | Lecce |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | WLLW |
| 9 | Inter |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | WWWW |
| 10 | Juventus |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | WWDL |
| 11 | Torino |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | LLWL |
| 12 | Udinese |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 3 | DWLL |
| 13 | Fiorentina |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 3 | LLLW |
| 14 | Sassuolo |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 1 | LWDW |
| 15 | Monza |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 1 | LLDL |
| 16 | Atalanta |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | WWLL |
| 17 | Genoa |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | LLLD |
| 18 | Bologna |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | LLDL |
| 19 | Venezia |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 0 | LLLL |
| 20 | Parma |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | LLDL |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Europa League
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
- Relegation
Sassuolo
LLLWD 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 7 GA 9 · xG 8.67–6.53 · xPts 8.21
- D
A
Bologna
2–2
xG 1.49–2.31
ITA SA
- W
H
Torino
2–1
xG 1.8–1.21
ITA SA
- L
A
Atalanta
1–2
xG 2.54–0.9
ITA SA
- L
A
Parma
0–1
xG 0.86–1.23
ITA SA
- L
H
Lecce
2–3
xG 1.99–0.88
ITA SA
LLLWD 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 7 GA 9 · xG 8.67–6.53 · xPts 8.21
- D
A
Bologna
2–2
xG 1.49–2.31
ITA SA
- W
H
Torino
2–1
xG 1.8–1.21
ITA SA
- L
A
Atalanta
1–2
xG 2.54–0.9
ITA SA
- L
A
Parma
0–1
xG 0.86–1.23
ITA SA
- L
H
Lecce
2–3
xG 1.99–0.88
ITA SA
Juventus
LDWWD 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 6 GA 5 · xG 9.11–2.59 · xPts 11.45
- D
H
AC Milan
1–1
xG 1.24–0.11
ITA SA
- W
H
Parma
2–0
xG 1.64–0.27
ITA SA
- W
A
Frosinone
1–0
xG 1.77–0.55
ITA SA
- D
A
Torino
2–2
xG 2.3–1.01
ITA SA
- L
H
Fiorentina
0–2
xG 2.15–0.65
ITA SA
LDWWD 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 6 GA 5 · xG 9.11–2.59 · xPts 11.45
- D
H
AC Milan
1–1
xG 1.24–0.11
ITA SA
- W
H
Parma
2–0
xG 1.64–0.27
ITA SA
- W
A
Frosinone
1–0
xG 1.77–0.55
ITA SA
- D
A
Torino
2–2
xG 2.3–1.01
ITA SA
- L
H
Fiorentina
0–2
xG 2.15–0.65
ITA SA
KickoffDNA model engine-only-1.1.0 · lineups confirmed ·
Match result
23.1%Sassuolo P 18%26.3%Draw P 25%50.7%Juventus P 58%
Over / under 2.5
44.8%Over 2.5 P 53%55.2%Under 2.5 P 47%
Both teams to score
48.0%Yes52.0%No
Expected
- Sassuolo goals
- 0.94 (0–2)
- Juventus goals
- 1.53 (0–3)
- Corners
- 9.99 (6–15)
- Cards
- 3.76 (1–6)
Earlier: day before — 23.0% / 26.3% / 50.7%
Provider model (SportMonks)
Match result
25.1%Sassuolo25.1%Draw49.7%Juventus
Over / under 2.5
49.7%Over 2.550.3%Under 2.5
Both teams to score
53.2%Yes46.8%No
Scored
| Market | Observed | Log loss | Brier |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1x2 | home | 1.467 | 0.918 |
| ou_2_5 | over | 0.803 | 0.609 |
| btts | yes | 0.734 | 0.541 |
Model probabilities are independent of the market; bookmaker figures are shown only as a benchmark.
All meetings · 25 matches since 2013
Goals 25–58 · 3.32 per match · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 72%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 13–20 · 3.3 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 80%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 8–11 · 3.8 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 80%
Recent meetings
- W Sassuolo 3–2 Juventus ITA SA · Regular Season
- D Juventus 1–1 Sassuolo ITA SA · Regular Season
- L Sassuolo 0–3 Juventus ITA SA · Regular Season
- L Juventus 3–0 Sassuolo ITA SA · Regular Season
- W Sassuolo 4–2 Juventus ITA SA · Regular Season
- W Sassuolo 1–0 Juventus ITA SA · Regular Season
- L Juventus 3–0 Sassuolo ITA SA · Regular Season
- L Sassuolo 1–2 Juventus ITA SA · Regular Season
- W Juventus 1–2 Sassuolo ITA SA · Regular Season
- L Sassuolo 1–3 Juventus ITA SA · Regular Season
| Metric | Sassuolo all · 4 | Sassuolo at home · 2 | Juventus all · 4 | Juventus away · 2 |
|---|
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Sassuolo · 4 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.09) · stands out: late push (76+, level) -0.50
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.094
Early press (0-15, level)-0.244
Late push (76+, level)-0.503
Game state
When ahead+0.143
When level-0.074
10 min after conceding-0.424
10 min after scoring+0.184
Situations
At home-0.032
Away+0.222
4+ days rest+0.094
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.112
As underdog+0.073
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.104
Conceded when ahead+0.173
Conceded late (76+)+0.234
Ahead vs level +0.21 · Behind vs level +0.50
Juventus · 5 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.27) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.64
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.275
Early press (0-15, level)-0.165
Late push (76+, level)+1.292
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.212
Game state
When ahead+0.423
When level+0.215
When behind+0.142
10 min after conceding-0.112
10 min after scoring+0.645
Situations
At home+0.163
Away+0.402
4+ days rest+0.275
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents+0.152
As favourite+0.275
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.285
Conceded when ahead-0.343
Conceded late (76+)-0.494
Ahead vs level +0.20 · Behind vs level -0.07
Sassuolo
Current: unbeaten 3 · wins 1 · scoring 4 · conceding 7
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 3 75% | 1.33 | 1.67 | 1.67 | 1.94 | 1.48 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 1 25% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.92 | 1.12 |
Juventus
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 6 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 3 75% | 1.33 | 1.33 | 1.33 | 1.38 | 0.53 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 25% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.64 | 0.27 |
| Metric | Sassuolo all · 10 | Sassuolo at home · 10 | Juventus all · 10 | Juventus away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 1.40 | 2.10 | 1.60 | 1.50 |
| W / D / L | 4 / 2 / 4 | 7 / 0 / 3 | 4 / 4 / 2 | 4 / 3 / 3 |
| Goals for / match | 1.50 | 1.80 | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Goals against / match | 1.40 | 1.50 | 0.90 | 1.60 |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 20% | 50% | 50% |
| Failed to score | 20% | 20% | 20% | 10% |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 60% | 40% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 | 70% | 80% | 30% | 50% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.56 | 1.32 | 1.90 | 1.47 |
| xG against / match | 1.29 | 1.35 | 0.63 | 1.39 |
| xG difference | 0.27 | -0.03 | 1.27 | 0.08 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.06 | 0.48 | -0.40 | 0.03 |
| xPts / match | 1.55 | 1.39 | 2.16 | 1.45 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.15 | 0.71 | -0.56 | 0.05 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 60% | 60% | 50% | 50% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.17 | 3.00 | 2.60 | 2.60 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.00 | 0.75 | 0.50 | 0.25 |
| Came back from behind | 0% | 25% | 50% | 25% |
| Leads held | 67% | 100% | 80% | 67% |
| Minutes leading | 28% | 34% | 36% | 36% |
| Minutes level | 53% | 39% | 50% | 51% |
| Minutes trailing | 19% | 27% | 14% | 12% |
| First goal (min) | 36 | 35 | 44 | 34 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 48 | 40 | 52 | 39 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 60% | 56% | 60% | 53% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 64% | 47% | 78% | 81% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.40 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| Late goals against | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 49% | 47% | 58% | 52% |
| Shots | 13.5 | 10.8 | 18.1 | 13.9 |
| On target | 5.0 | 4.3 | 6.2 | 5.4 |
| Shot conversion | 11% | 17% | 8% | 11% |
| Shots inside box | 62% | 68% | 63% | 69% |
| Big chances created | 2.8 | 2.4 | 2.7 | 2.8 |
| Corners | 3.7 | 3.9 | 7.5 | 5.3 |
| xG from set plays | 18% | 26% | 25% | 24% |
| Goals from headers | 7% | 0% | 15% | 7% |
| Pressure index | 10.7 | 10.0 | 19.7 | 13.4 |
| Dominant minutes | 42.5 | 43.3 | 67.9 | 51.3 |
| Pass accuracy | 86% | 83% | 86% | 85% |
| Fouls | 10.9 | 10.7 | 13.1 | 12.9 |
| Cards | 1.90 | 2.40 | 1.60 | 2.30 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Sassuolo
0–15'12
16–30'21
31–45'32
46–60'41
61–75'13
76–90'45
Juventus
0–15'20
16–30'30
31–45'12
46–60'11
61–75'32
76–90'54
Sassuolo
Current: unbeaten 3 · wins 1 · scoring 4 · conceding 7
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 9 90% | 1.22 | 1.33 | 1.33 | 1.64 | 1.31 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.92 | 1.12 |
Juventus
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 6 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 5 50% | 1.4 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.68 | 0.67 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 4 40% | 1.5 | 2.0 | 0.75 | 2.24 | 0.67 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.64 | 0.27 |
| Metric | Sassuolo all · 39 | Sassuolo at home · 19 | Juventus all · 49 | Juventus away · 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 39 | 19 | 49 | 25 |
| Points per game | 1.36 | 1.68 | 1.73 | 1.48 |
| W / D / L | 15 / 8 / 16 | 10 / 2 / 7 | 23 / 16 / 10 | 10 / 7 / 8 |
| Goals for / match | 1.31 | 1.53 | 1.63 | 1.40 |
| Goals against / match | 1.33 | 1.42 | 0.98 | 1.24 |
| Clean sheets | 18% | 16% | 41% | 36% |
| Failed to score | 28% | 26% | 20% | 24% |
| Both teams scored | 59% | 58% | 47% | 48% |
| Over 2.5 | 62% | 68% | 41% | 44% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.22 | 1.22 | 1.83 | 1.54 |
| xG against / match | 1.42 | 1.36 | 1.08 | 1.26 |
| xG difference | -0.20 | -0.15 | 0.75 | 0.29 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.09 | 0.31 | -0.20 | -0.14 |
| xPts / match | 1.25 | 1.28 | 1.80 | 1.53 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.11 | 0.40 | -0.07 | -0.05 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 41% | 47% | 51% | 48% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.44 | 2.78 | 2.68 | 2.50 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.57 | 0.70 | 0.70 | 0.45 |
| Came back from behind | 30% | 30% | 50% | 27% |
| Leads held | 79% | 91% | 79% | 67% |
| Minutes leading | 24% | 31% | 34% | 31% |
| Minutes level | 47% | 42% | 50% | 49% |
| Minutes trailing | 29% | 27% | 17% | 20% |
| First goal (min) | 37 | 26 | 38 | 36 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 34 | 33 | 42 | 38 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 59% | 48% | 62% | 63% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 56% | 48% | 61% | 71% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.23 | 0.37 | 0.35 | 0.28 |
| Late goals against | 0.36 | 0.37 | 0.29 | 0.44 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 46% | 48% | 56% | 54% |
| Shots | 11.4 | 11.3 | 16.7 | 14.0 |
| On target | 4.1 | 4.1 | 6.1 | 5.4 |
| Shot conversion | 12% | 14% | 10% | 10% |
| Shots inside box | 64% | 65% | 66% | 68% |
| Big chances created | 2.2 | 2.2 | 3.0 | 2.7 |
| Corners | 3.9 | 3.9 | 5.8 | 5.0 |
| xG from set plays | 26% | 22% | 26% | 20% |
| Goals from headers | 10% | 7% | 21% | 14% |
| Pressure index | 9.6 | 11.8 | 20.5 | 16.9 |
| Dominant minutes | 39.4 | 44.6 | 61.7 | 53.9 |
| Pass accuracy | 83% | 83% | 86% | 85% |
| Fouls | 11.4 | 11.1 | 13.0 | 14.1 |
| Cards | 2.13 | 2.00 | 1.63 | 2.00 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Sassuolo
0–15'812
16–30'58
31–45'83
46–60'138
61–75'87
76–90'914
Juventus
0–15'106
16–30'104
31–45'108
46–60'159
61–75'187
76–90'1712
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Sassuolo · 39 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.06) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.39
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.0639
Early press (0-15, level)-0.1339
Late push (76+, level)-0.2717
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.3915
Game state
When ahead-0.0719
When level-0.0139
When behind-0.1223
10 min after conceding-0.2632
10 min after scoring+0.0928
Situations
With ten men+0.332
Against ten men-0.222
At home-0.0119
Away-0.1020
4+ days rest-0.0538
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.2013
v mid-tier opponents+0.048
v bottom-tier opponents-0.074
As favourite+0.125
Evenly matched+0.0115
As underdog-0.1519
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.1839
Conceded when ahead+0.0619
Conceded late (76+)+0.1135
Congested vs rested -0.41 · Ahead vs level -0.07 · Behind vs level -0.11
Juventus · 49 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.44) · stands out: v bottom-tier opponents +0.88
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.4449
Early press (0-15, level)+0.3849
Late push (76+, level)+0.8320
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.2714
Game state
When ahead+0.3429
When level+0.5449
When behind+0.3120
10 min after conceding+0.1728
10 min after scoring+0.5639
Situations
With ten men+0.173
Against ten men+0.234
At home+0.4924
Away+0.3925
3 days rest or fewer+0.189
4+ days rest+0.4940
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.0516
v mid-tier opponents+0.7214
v bottom-tier opponents+0.884
As favourite+0.6037
Evenly matched-0.0510
As underdog-0.002
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.1849
Conceded when ahead-0.1929
Conceded late (76+)-0.3344
Congested vs rested -0.32 · Ahead vs level -0.20 · Behind vs level -0.23
Sassuolo
Current: unbeaten 3 · wins 1 · scoring 4 · conceding 7
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 36 92% | 1.28 | 1.25 | 1.33 | 1.26 | 1.4 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 2 5% | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 0.78 | 1.35 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 3% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.76 | 2.32 |
Juventus
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 6 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 29 59% | 1.9 | 1.62 | 0.76 | 1.7 | 1.1 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 10 20% | 1.7 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 2.09 | 0.75 |
| 4-3-3 | 4 8% | 0.75 | 1.75 | 3.0 | 1.91 | 1.94 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 2 4% | 2.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 2.28 | 1.11 |
| 3-5-2 | 2 4% | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.33 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 5m before kick-off · biggest step: away +1.7 pts at 5.8h · late move: away -1.2 pts inside the final hour
5.52Home 18% · -0.6 ptsopened 5.323.93Draw 25% ▲ +1.1 ptsopened 4.091.67Away 58% · -0.5 ptsopened 1.65
Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 5.52 · -0.6 | 3.93 ▲ +1.1 | 1.67 · -0.5 | 5m |
| bet365 | 5.25 · +1.0 | 3.8 · +0.2 | 1.65 ▼ -1.2 | 5m |
| Betfair | 5.5 ▼ -1.7 | 3.6 ▲ +1.3 | 1.6 · +0.5 | 5m |
| BetVictor | 5.25 · +0.2 | 4.0 · -0.3 | 1.62 · +0.0 | 5m |
| Coral | 5.25 · +0.2 | 3.8 ▲ +1.5 | 1.67 ▼ -1.6 | 5m |
| Ladbrokes | 5.25 · +0.0 | 3.8 ▲ +1.3 | 1.65 ▼ -1.3 | 5m |
| Unibet | 5.6 · +0.0 | 3.9 · +0.0 | 1.58 · +0.0 | 5m |
| WilliamHill | 5.0 · +0.1 | 3.7 · +0.5 | 1.65 · -0.6 | 5m |
bet365 (Pinnacle absent) · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 5m before kick-off · biggest step: no -2.0 pts at 3.3d
1.8Yes 52% ▲ +2.0 ptsopened 1.91.95No 48% ▼ -2.0 ptsopened 1.9
Yes No consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.8 ▲ +2.0 | 1.95 ▼ -2.0 | 5m |
| Betfair | 1.8 ▼ -2.7 | 1.87 ▲ +2.7 | 5m |
| BetVictor | 1.78 · +0.0 | 1.93 · +0.0 | 5m |
| Unibet | 1.8 · +0.5 | 1.87 · -0.5 | 5m |
| WilliamHill | 1.75 ▲ +2.3 | 2.0 ▼ -2.3 | 5m |
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 5m before kick-off · biggest step: over +1.2 pts at 3.0d
1.84Over 53% · +0.5 ptsopened 1.862.05Under 47% · -0.5 ptsopened 2.03
Over Under consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.84 · +0.5 | 2.05 · -0.5 | 5m |
| bet365 | 1.8 · +0.0 | 2.0 · +0.0 | 5m |
| Betfair | 1.8 ▼ -2.1 | 1.91 ▲ +2.1 | 5m |
| BetVictor | 1.77 · -0.1 | 1.9 · +0.1 | 5m |
| Unibet | 1.83 · +0.0 | 1.94 · +0.0 | 5m |
Latest prices
bet365 · last snapshot 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
5.25Home 18% P 18%3.8Draw 25% P 25%1.65Away 57% P 58%
Double Chance
2.3Sassuolo or Draw 20%1.22Sassuolo or Juventus 38%1.14Draw or Juventus 41%
Draw No Bet
4.01 23%1.222 77%
Both Teams To Score
1.8Yes 52%1.95No 48%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.8Over 53% P 53%2.0Under 47% P 47%
Total Corners
8.0Under 6 11%2.876 - 8 30%2.629 - 11 33%4.7512 - 14 18%11.0Over 14 8%
Number of Cards
2.51.57Over 59% P 62%2.25Under 41% P 38%
3.52.2Over 42% P 39%1.61Under 58% P 61%
4.52.2Over 42% P 29%1.61Under 58% P 71%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 17.5–20% · away 57.5–60% · 326 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 18% | 19% | 15% | -3.2 |
| Draw | 25% | 23% | 21% | -1.4 |
| Away | 58% | 59% | 63% | +4.6 |
In those fixtures: 3.1 goals a game · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 59%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 52.5–55% · 2,940 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 53% | 54% | 54% | +0.8 |
Juan Luca Sacchi
- Career
- 80 matches · 11 seasons
- Cards / match
- 4.0 (3.86 yellow · 0.09 red)
- Fouls / match
- 26.1 · 6.5 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.24
- Cards to home side
- 42%
Style in Serie A (5-year window · 57 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 3.98 | 4.49 | -0.73 | 27 |
| Fouls / match | 25.6 | 25.2 | +0.30 | |
| Fouls per card | 6.5 | 5.6 | +0.71 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.23 | 0.31 | -0.77 | 24 |
| Time added | 6.6 | 6.4 | +0.37 | 58 |
- First card
- 35' on average
- Card timing
- 14% in first 30' · 29% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 40% (league 46%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.0
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | 4 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 37' | 8 |
| 2026-04-27 | – | – | 19 | – | – | 11 |
| 2026-03-22 | 4 | 0 | 31 | 0 | 77' | 5 |
| 2026-03-07 · Juventus | 4 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 39' | 9 |
| 2026-02-14 | 5 | 0 | 26 | 1 | 10' | 8 |
| 2026-02-02 | 9 | 0 | 35 | 0 | 7' | 7 |
| 2026-01-25 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 1 | 53' | 5 |
| 2026-01-06 | 4 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 5' | 5 |
| 2025-12-28 · Sassuolo | 5 | 0 | 37 | 0 | 21' | 7 |
| 2025-12-12 | 3 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 33' | 8 |