Rating 7.18 (85th pct) · G+A 14 + 3 (25% of team goals) · 78% of minutes
Team 1.76 ppg with (37) · 1.6 without (10)
Serie A · Matchweek 4
Momentum
– NapoliBologna –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
- No events yet.
Stats
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Season context
| Napoli | at home | Stat | league | away | Bologna |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47.8 #10 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 55.2 #7 |
| 14.2 #9 | – | Shots total | 14.6 | – | 14.0 #10 |
| 4.0 #13 | – | Shots on target | 4.9 | – | 3.8 #15 |
| 5.5 #5 | – | Corners | 4.8 | – | 5.0 #7 |
| 9.8 #13 | – | Fouls | 11.2 | – | 13.8 #4 |
| 3.8 #3 | – | Offsides | 2.0 | – | 2.2 #8 |
| 16.0 #9 | – | Tackles | 16.2 | – | 16.2 #7 |
| 96.0 #8 | – | Attacks | 93.0 | – | 87.2 #15 |
| 58.5 #4 | – | Dangerous attacks | 44.7 | – | 40.5 #13 |
| 459.5 #10 | – | Passes | 460.1 | – | 525.0 #5 |
| 1.0 #17 | – | Yellowcards | 1.5 | – | 2.0 #5 |
| – | – | Redcards | 0.1 | – | 0.0 #2 |
| 1.2 #7 | – | Assists | 1.2 | – | 0.2 #19 |
| – #9 | – | Btts | 60.0 | – | – #17 |
| – #2 | – | Cleansheet | 20.0 | – | – #11 |
| – #12 | – | Draw | 14.5 | – | – #2 |
| 1.7 #7 | – | Expected goals | 1.5 | – | 1.4 #11 |
| -0.2 #15 | – | Expected goals difference | -0.0 | – | -0.9 #20 |
| – #10 | – | Failed to score | 20.0 | – | – #1 |
| 1.5 #9 | 1.0 | Goals | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 #18 |
| 1.2 #11 | 1.0 | Goals conceded | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.2 #11 |
| 0.2 #8 | – | Injury time goals | 0.4 | – | 0.5 #4 |
| 5.8 #19 | – | Interceptions | 8.4 | – | 7.0 #16 |
| – #8 | – | Lost | 42.5 | – | – #2 |
| 6.8 #11 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.8 #13 |
| 4.8 #5 | – | Shots blocked | 3.6 | – | 3.8 #8 |
| 9.5 #10 | – | Shots insidebox | 9.6 | – | 9.2 #11 |
| 5.5 #10 | – | Shots off target | 6.0 | – | 6.5 #6 |
| 4.8 #10 | – | Shots outsidebox | 5.0 | – | 4.8 #10 |
| – #6 | – | Win | 43.0 | – | – #17 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 20.
League this season · 2026/2027
- Played
- 37 of 380
- Goals / match
- 2.92 (home 1.41 · away 1.51)
- Home / draw / away
- 41% · 16% · 43%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 59% · 57%
- Cards / match
- 3.19 (reds 0.03)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Napoli · Last 365 days
Rating 6.83 (46th pct) · G+A 16 + 5 (31% of team goals) · 85% of minutes
Team 1.71 ppg with (42) · 1.8 without (5)
Rating 7.3 (94th pct) · G+A 4 + 5 (13% of team goals) · 32% of minutes
Team 1.64 ppg with (14) · 1.76 without (33)
Bologna · Last 365 days
Rating 7.16 (97th pct) · G+A 1 + 5 (8% of team goals) · 74% of minutes
Team 1.6 ppg with (40) · 1.15 without (13)
Rating 6.92 (64th pct) · G+A 12 + 1 (18% of team goals) · 52% of minutes
Team 1.57 ppg with (28) · 1.4 without (25)
Rating 7.0 (69th pct) · G+A 9 + 2 (15% of team goals) · 47% of minutes
Team 1.68 ppg with (25) · 1.32 without (28)
Absences
Napoli
- injury Giovane #22 key player attacker · Inguinal Hernia · 3 missed · until 2026-10-08
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 4
Venue
- Stadium
- Stadio Diego Armando Maradona, Napoli
- Capacity
- 54,726
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 41,000
Teams
- Coaches
- Massimiliano Allegri · Andrea Tarozzi
- Position
- 12 · 16
- Formation
- 4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Referee
Kevin Bonacina
Weather
- Conditions
- clear sky
- Temperature
- 25.7° (feels 25.6°)
- Wind
- 2.1
- Humidity
- 51%
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2026/2027
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Roma |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 1 | 11 | 12 | WWWW |
| 2 |  Inter |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 12 | WWWW |
| 3 |  Como |
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 10 | DWWW |
| 4 |  Lazio |
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 10 | WWWD |
| 5 |  Cagliari |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9 | WLWW |
| 6 |  AC Milan |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 8 | WWDD |
| 7 |  Frosinone |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 | LWWD |
| 8 |  Juventus |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 7 | WWDL |
| 9 |  Sassuolo |
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 7 | LWDWL |
| 10 |  Napoli |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 6 | WLLW |
| 11 |  Atalanta |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 6 | WWLL |
| 12 |  Lecce |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 6 | WLLW |
| 13 |  Udinese |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 4 | DWLL |
| 14 |  Monza |
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 4 | LLDLW |
| 15 |  Torino |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 3 | LLWL |
| 16 |  Fiorentina |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 3 | LLLW |
| 17 |  Bologna |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 1 | LLDL |
| 18 |  Parma |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 1 | LLDL |
| 19 |  Genoa |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 1 | LLLD |
| 20 |  Venezia |
4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 0 | LLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 9 | WWWW |
| 2 | Roma |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 6 | WWWW |
| 3 | Sassuolo |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 6 | LWDWL |
| 4 | Atalanta |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 6 | WWLL |
| 5 | Juventus |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | WWDL |
| 6 | Lazio |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | WWWD |
| 7 | AC Milan |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | WWDD |
| 8 | Como |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | DWWW |
| 9 | Monza |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | LLDLW |
| 10 | Frosinone |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | LWWD |
| 11 | Napoli |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | WLLW |
| 12 | Cagliari |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | WLWW |
| 13 | Lecce |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 3 | WLLW |
| 14 | Bologna |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 1 | LLDL |
| 15 | Udinese |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 1 | DWLL |
| 16 | Parma |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 1 | LLDL |
| 17 | Genoa |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 1 | LLLD |
| 18 | Torino |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | LLWL |
| 19 | Venezia |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 0 | LLLL |
| 20 | Fiorentina |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 0 | LLLW |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Como |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 7 | DWWW |
| 2 | Roma |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 6 | WWWW |
| 3 | Cagliari |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | WLWW |
| 4 | Lazio |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | WWWD |
| 5 | AC Milan |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 5 | WWDD |
| 6 | Frosinone |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 | LWWD |
| 7 | Napoli |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | WLLW |
| 8 | Lecce |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | WLLW |
| 9 | Inter |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | WWWW |
| 10 | Juventus |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | WWDL |
| 11 | Torino |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | LLWL |
| 12 | Udinese |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 3 | DWLL |
| 13 | Fiorentina |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 3 | LLLW |
| 14 | Sassuolo |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 1 | LWDWL |
| 15 | Monza |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 1 | LLDLW |
| 16 | Atalanta |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | WWLL |
| 17 | Genoa |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | LLLD |
| 18 | Bologna |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | LLDL |
| 19 | Venezia |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 0 | LLLL |
| 20 | Parma |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | LLDL |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Europa League
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
- Relegation
Napoli
WWLLL 2W 0D 3L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 6 GA 6 · xG 6.95–10.12 · xPts 6.3
- L
H
Arsenal
0–1
xG 0.31–3.6
UEFA CL - L
A
Inter
2–3
xG 2.0–4.19
ITA SA
- L
H
Como
1–2
xG 1.88–1.15
ITA SA
- W
A
Genoa
2–0
xG 0.91–0.62
ITA SA
- W
H
Udinese
1–0
xG 1.85–0.57
ITA SA
WWWLLL 3W 0D 3L · 9 pts (1.5 ppg) · GF 9 GA 6 · xG 8.06–10.83 · xPts 7.96
- L
H
Arsenal
0–1
xG 0.31–3.6
UEFA CL
- L
A
Inter
2–3
xG 2.0–4.19
ITA SA
- L
H
Como
1–2
xG 1.88–1.15
ITA SA
- W
A
Genoa
2–0
xG 0.91–0.62
ITA SA
- W
H
Udinese
1–0
xG 1.85–0.57
ITA SA
- W
A
Pisa
3–0
xG 1.11–0.71
ITA SA
Bologna
WDLLD 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 6 GA 7 · xG 7.86–4.75 · xPts 8.88
- D
H
Sassuolo
2–2
xG 2.31–1.49
ITA SA
- L
A
Atalanta
0–1
xG 0.91–0.25
ITA SA
- L
H
Lazio
0–1
xG 2.31–0.64
ITA SA
- D
H
Inter
3–3
xG 1.49–1.49
ITA SA
- W
A
Atalanta
1–0
xG 0.84–0.89
ITA SA
WDLLD 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 6 GA 7 · xG 7.86–4.75 · xPts 8.88
- D
H
Sassuolo
2–2
xG 2.31–1.49
ITA SA
- L
A
Atalanta
0–1
xG 0.91–0.25
ITA SA
- L
H
Lazio
0–1
xG 2.31–0.64
ITA SA
- D
H
Inter
3–3
xG 1.49–1.49
ITA SA
- W
A
Atalanta
1–0
xG 0.84–0.89
ITA SA
KickoffDNA model engine-only-1.1.0 · lineups confirmed ·
Match result
44.1%Napoli P 53%28.3%Draw P 27%27.7%Bologna P 21%
Over / under 2.5
40.8%Over 2.5 P 50%59.2%Under 2.5 P 50%
Both teams to score
46.4%Yes53.6%No
Expected
- Napoli goals
- 1.33 (0–3)
- Bologna goals
- 0.99 (0–2)
- Corners
- 9.56 (5–14)
- Cards
- 3.46 (1–6)
Earlier: day before — 44.1% / 28.3% / 27.7%
Provider model (SportMonks)
Match result
51.1%Napoli24.3%Draw24.6%Bologna
Over / under 2.5
51.9%Over 2.548.1%Under 2.5
Both teams to score
53.6%Yes46.4%No
Scored
| Market | Observed | Log loss | Brier |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1x2 | home | 0.819 | 0.469 |
| btts | no | 0.624 | 0.431 |
| ou_2_5 | under | 0.525 | 0.333 |
Model probabilities are independent of the market; bookmaker figures are shown only as a benchmark.
All meetings · 35 matches since 2008
Goals 74–40 · 3.26 per match · BTTS 57% · over 2.5 63%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 14–12 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 7–6 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%
Recent meetings
- W Napoli 1–0 Bologna ITA SA · Regular Season
- L Napoli 2–3 Bologna ITA SA · Regular Season
- L Bologna 2–0 Napoli ITA SA · Regular Season
- D Bologna 1–1 Napoli ITA SA · Regular Season
- W Napoli 3–0 Bologna ITA SA · Regular Season
- L Napoli 0–2 Bologna ITA SA · Regular Season
- D Bologna 0–0 Napoli ITA SA · Regular Season
- D Bologna 2–2 Napoli ITA SA · Regular Season
- W Napoli 3–2 Bologna ITA SA · Regular Season
- W Bologna 0–2 Napoli ITA SA · Regular Season
| Metric | Napoli all · 4 | Napoli at home · 2 | Bologna all · 4 | Bologna away · 2 |
|---|
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Napoli · 5 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.01) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.82
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.015
Early press (0-15, level)-0.105
Late push (76+, level)+0.352
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.443
Game state
When ahead+0.473
When level-0.055
When behind-0.253
10 min after conceding-0.473
10 min after scoring+0.824
Situations
At home+0.023
Away-0.062
4+ days rest-0.015
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.322
As favourite+0.442
As underdog-0.432
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.305
Conceded when ahead+0.263
Conceded late (76+)-0.115
Ahead vs level +0.52 · Behind vs level -0.20
Bologna · 4 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.21) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) +0.62
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.214
Early press (0-15, level)+0.624
Late push (76+, level)+0.202
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.234
Game state
When level+0.394
When behind-0.104
10 min after conceding+0.384
Situations
At home+0.092
Away+0.342
4+ days rest+0.214
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.342
v mid-tier opponents+0.092
As underdog+0.342
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.104
Conceded late (76+)-0.144
Behind vs level -0.48
Napoli
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 3 75% | 1.0 | 1.67 | 1.67 | 1.6 | 1.99 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 1 25% | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.92 | 0.27 |
Bologna
Current: winless 5 · conceding 5
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 4 100% | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1.25 | 1.45 | 1.07 |
| Metric | Napoli all · 10 | Napoli at home · 10 | Bologna all · 10 | Bologna away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.80 | 0.90 | 1.80 |
| W / D / L | 5 / 1 / 4 | 6 / 0 / 4 | 2 / 3 / 5 | 6 / 0 / 4 |
| Goals for / match | 1.60 | 1.40 | 0.90 | 1.20 |
| Goals against / match | 0.90 | 1.00 | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Clean sheets | 60% | 40% | 20% | 30% |
| Failed to score | 20% | 20% | 60% | 40% |
| Both teams scored | 30% | 40% | 30% | 30% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 50% | 30% | 40% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.45 | 1.40 | 1.19 | 1.00 |
| xG against / match | 1.40 | 1.19 | 1.12 | 1.25 |
| xG difference | 0.05 | 0.21 | 0.07 | -0.25 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.15 | 0.00 | -0.29 | 0.20 |
| xPts / match | 1.53 | 1.62 | 1.40 | 1.22 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.07 | 0.18 | -0.50 | 0.58 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 60% | 50% | 20% | 60% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.50 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.00 | 0.60 | 0.29 | 0.00 |
| Came back from behind | 0% | 20% | 29% | 0% |
| Leads held | 83% | 100% | 67% | 100% |
| Minutes leading | 32% | 33% | 11% | 30% |
| Minutes level | 55% | 40% | 57% | 50% |
| Minutes trailing | 14% | 28% | 33% | 20% |
| First goal (min) | 40 | 38 | 40 | 35 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 39 | 33 | 39 | 49 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 50% | 50% | 56% | 36% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 56% | 40% | 57% | 57% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.30 | 0.10 | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| Late goals against | 0.30 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 53% | 57% | 54% | 51% |
| Shots | 13.3 | 13.4 | 11.7 | 11.1 |
| On target | 4.5 | 4.4 | 3.3 | 3.8 |
| Shot conversion | 12% | 10% | 8% | 11% |
| Shots inside box | 64% | 64% | 62% | 61% |
| Big chances created | 2.2 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 1.6 |
| Corners | 4.7 | 6.3 | 4.2 | 2.7 |
| xG from set plays | 19% | 24% | 34% | 28% |
| Goals from headers | 6% | 0% | 11% | 0% |
| Pressure index | 15.2 | 17.4 | 12.5 | 10.9 |
| Dominant minutes | 54.0 | 61.5 | 49.9 | 45.0 |
| Pass accuracy | 88% | 89% | 87% | 84% |
| Fouls | 8.7 | 9.4 | 11.6 | 12.7 |
| Cards | 1.00 | 0.70 | 1.50 | 2.10 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Napoli
0–15'11
16–30'41
31–45'32
46–60'41
61–75'11
76–90'33
Bologna
0–15'12
16–30'12
31–45'22
46–60'24
61–75'02
76–90'32
Napoli
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 4 40% | 0.75 | 1.25 | 1.5 | 1.28 | 2.39 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 3 30% | 1.33 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.97 |
| 3-4-3 | 2 20% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.48 | 0.64 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.92 | 0.27 |
Bologna
Current: winless 5 · conceding 5
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 5 50% | 0.4 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 1.33 | 1.02 |
| 4-3-3 | 4 40% | 1.75 | 1.75 | 1.75 | 1.13 | 1.17 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.71 | 1.4 |
| Metric | Napoli all · 47 | Napoli at home · 25 | Bologna all · 53 | Bologna away · 26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 47 | 25 | 53 | 26 |
| Points per game | 1.72 | 2.00 | 1.49 | 1.88 |
| W / D / L | 24 / 9 / 14 | 15 / 5 / 5 | 22 / 13 / 18 | 15 / 4 / 7 |
| Goals for / match | 1.43 | 1.60 | 1.36 | 1.62 |
| Goals against / match | 1.15 | 1.00 | 1.26 | 1.27 |
| Clean sheets | 36% | 36% | 28% | 27% |
| Failed to score | 23% | 20% | 28% | 19% |
| Both teams scored | 49% | 56% | 49% | 54% |
| Over 2.5 | 51% | 60% | 49% | 58% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.42 | 1.48 | 1.49 | 1.36 |
| xG against / match | 1.23 | 1.22 | 1.14 | 1.23 |
| xG difference | 0.19 | 0.26 | 0.35 | 0.13 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.00 | 0.12 | -0.13 | 0.25 |
| xPts / match | 1.52 | 1.58 | 1.59 | 1.48 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.20 | 0.42 | -0.10 | 0.40 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 53% | 52% | 47% | 58% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.56 | 3.00 | 2.36 | 2.53 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.72 | 0.89 | 0.68 | 1.00 |
| Came back from behind | 33% | 44% | 33% | 42% |
| Leads held | 83% | 94% | 71% | 79% |
| Minutes leading | 33% | 35% | 26% | 38% |
| Minutes level | 46% | 47% | 52% | 45% |
| Minutes trailing | 22% | 18% | 22% | 18% |
| First goal (min) | 34 | 35 | 43 | 37 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 37 | 39 | 43 | 43 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 49% | 52% | 59% | 51% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 61% | 56% | 58% | 61% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.28 | 0.24 | 0.28 | 0.35 |
| Late goals against | 0.26 | 0.16 | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 57% | 56% | 55% | 52% |
| Shots | 13.0 | 13.2 | 14.5 | 12.7 |
| On target | 4.4 | 4.8 | 4.6 | 4.7 |
| Shot conversion | 11% | 12% | 9% | 13% |
| Shots inside box | 65% | 66% | 65% | 64% |
| Big chances created | 1.9 | 2.0 | 2.3 | 2.3 |
| Corners | 5.5 | 5.6 | 5.1 | 3.9 |
| xG from set plays | 27% | 26% | 30% | 28% |
| Goals from headers | 21% | 15% | 8% | 0% |
| Pressure index | 19.4 | 19.6 | 16.3 | 14.9 |
| Dominant minutes | 60.5 | 60.9 | 56.4 | 53.2 |
| Pass accuracy | 87% | 87% | 83% | 82% |
| Fouls | 11.3 | 11.6 | 13.8 | 14.7 |
| Cards | 1.43 | 1.04 | 1.98 | 2.35 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Napoli
0–15'98
16–30'96
31–45'167
46–60'1111
61–75'910
76–90'1312
Bologna
0–15'67
16–30'117
31–45'1214
46–60'1913
61–75'913
76–90'1413
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Napoli · 47 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.38) · stands out: against ten men +0.78
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.3847
Early press (0-15, level)+0.2147
Late push (76+, level)+0.5919
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.2217
Game state
When ahead+0.4429
When level+0.2947
When behind+0.4621
10 min after conceding-0.0230
10 min after scoring+0.7136
Situations
With ten men+0.143
Against ten men+0.784
At home+0.3125
Away+0.4522
3 days rest or fewer+0.5212
4+ days rest+0.3335
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.0316
v mid-tier opponents+0.479
v bottom-tier opponents+0.295
As favourite+0.5929
Evenly matched+0.1410
As underdog-0.118
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.1647
Conceded when ahead-0.1629
Conceded late (76+)-0.3246
Congested vs rested +0.20 · Ahead vs level +0.15 · Behind vs level +0.17
Bologna · 53 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.24) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.67
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.2453
Early press (0-15, level)+0.2353
Late push (76+, level)+0.2619
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.0716
Game state
When ahead+0.2830
When level+0.2953
When behind+0.1026
10 min after conceding-0.0737
10 min after scoring+0.6738
Situations
With ten men+0.167
Against ten men+0.516
At home+0.1927
Away+0.3026
3 days rest or fewer+0.0815
4+ days rest+0.3138
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.0017
v mid-tier opponents+0.1611
v bottom-tier opponents+0.504
As favourite+0.4325
Evenly matched+0.1215
As underdog+0.0313
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.1153
Conceded when ahead-0.1630
Conceded late (76+)-0.2249
Congested vs rested -0.23 · Ahead vs level -0.00 · Behind vs level -0.19
Napoli
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 25 53% | 1.72 | 1.48 | 1.16 | 1.44 | 1.11 |
| 4-3-3 | 8 17% | 1.0 | 0.75 | 1.0 | 1.14 | 1.68 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 6 13% | 2.0 | 1.83 | 1.33 | 1.72 | 1.53 |
| 3-4-3 | 6 13% | 2.5 | 1.67 | 0.5 | 1.41 | 0.74 |
| 4-4-1-1 | 1 2% | 0.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 2.97 |
Bologna
Current: winless 5 · conceding 5
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 35 66% | 1.4 | 1.34 | 1.26 | 1.55 | 1.14 |
| 4-3-3 | 14 26% | 1.93 | 1.57 | 1.21 | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 2 4% | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.31 | 1.64 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 1 2% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.71 | 1.4 |
| 4-2-2-2 | 1 2% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.56 | 1.87 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: home -2.1 pts at 9.0h · late move: home +1.9 pts inside the final hour
1.85Home 53% ▼ -2.3 ptsopened 1.763.64Draw 27% ▲ +1.2 ptsopened 3.784.68Away 21% ▲ +1.2 ptsopened 4.93
Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.85 ▼ -2.3 | 3.64 ▲ +1.2 | 4.68 ▲ +1.2 | 10m |
| bet365 | 1.85 ▼ -3.7 | 3.6 · +0.1 | 4.2 ▲ +3.7 | 10m |
| Betfair | 1.8 ▼ -3.8 | 3.5 ▲ +1.6 | 4.5 ▲ +2.2 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 1.83 ▼ -3.3 | 3.6 · +0.3 | 4.2 ▲ +3.0 | 10m |
| Coral | 1.83 ▼ -2.2 | 3.6 · +0.1 | 4.33 ▲ +2.2 | 10m |
| Ladbrokes | 1.83 ▼ -2.5 | 3.6 · +0.2 | 4.33 ▲ +2.3 | 10m |
| Unibet | 1.73 ▼ -2.1 | 3.45 · +0.7 | 4.8 ▲ +1.4 | 10m |
| WilliamHill | 1.85 ▼ -4.1 | 3.4 · +0.2 | 4.0 ▲ +3.9 | 10m |
bet365 (Pinnacle absent) · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: no -4.0 pts at 7.0h
1.75Yes 53% ▲ +6.7 ptsopened 2.02.0No 47% ▼ -6.7 ptsopened 1.75
Yes No consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.75 ▲ +6.7 | 2.0 ▼ -6.7 | 10m |
| Betfair | 1.75 ▲ +6.0 | 2.0 ▼ -6.0 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 1.75 ▲ +4.7 | 1.95 ▼ -4.7 | 10m |
| Unibet | 2.0 ▲ +1.2 | 1.76 ▼ -1.2 | 10m |
| WilliamHill | 1.8 ▲ +5.3 | 1.95 ▼ -5.3 | 10m |
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: under -5.1 pts at 10.0h
1.94Over 50% ▲ +4.2 ptsopened 2.11.96Under 50% ▼ -4.2 ptsopened 1.79
Over Under consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.94 ▲ +4.2 | 1.96 ▼ -4.2 | 10m |
| bet365 | 1.9 ▲ +5.0 | 1.9 ▼ -5.0 | 10m |
| Betfair | 1.8 ▲ +7.5 | 1.91 ▼ -7.5 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 1.84 ▲ +3.5 | 1.83 ▼ -3.5 | 10m |
| Unibet | 2.14 · -0.4 | 1.7 · +0.4 | 10m |
Latest prices
bet365 · last snapshot 0.2h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
1.85Home 51% P 53%3.6Draw 26% P 27%4.2Away 23% P 21%
Double Chance
1.22Napoli or Draw 39%1.28Napoli or Bologna 37%1.9Draw or Bologna 25%
Draw No Bet
1.361 69%3.02 31%
Both Teams To Score
1.75Yes 53%2.0No 47%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.9Over 50% P 50%1.9Under 50% P 50%
Total Corners
8.0Under 6 11%2.876 - 8 31%2.629 - 11 34%5.012 - 14 18%13.0Over 14 7%
Number of Cards
3.51.83Over 50% P 47%1.83Under 50% P 53%
4.51.9Over 49% P 30%1.8Under 51% P 70%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 52.5–55% · away 20–22.5% · 665 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 53% | 54% | 56% | +2.6 |
| Draw | 27% | 25% | 27% | +1.4 |
| Away | 21% | 21% | 17% | -4.0 |
In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 57% · over 2.5 54%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 50–52.5% · 3,575 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 51% | 51% | -0.1 |
Kevin Bonacina
- Career
- 17 matches · 3 seasons
- Cards / match
- 3.41 (3.18 yellow · 0.12 red)
- Fouls / match
- 25.8 · 7.5 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.18
- Cards to home side
- 43%
Style in Serie A (5-year window · 17 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 3.53 | 4.48 | -1.36 | 7 |
| Fouls / match | 25.8 | 25.1 | +0.44 | |
| Fouls per card | 7.3 | 5.6 | +1.47 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.18 | 0.31 | -1.19 | 7 |
| Time added | 6.5 | 6.4 | +0.17 | 49 |
- First card
- 27' on average
- Card timing
- 25% in first 30' · 34% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 42% (league 46%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.1
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-23 · Bologna | 2 | 0 | 29 | 0 | 41' | 4 |
| 2026-05-03 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 64' | 4 |
| 2026-04-27 | 4 | 0 | 31 | 0 | 41' | 5 |
| 2026-04-11 | 5 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 25' | 7 |
| 2026-03-15 · Bologna | 3 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 24' | 11 |
| 2026-01-31 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 0 | 6' | 6 |
| 2026-01-08 | 4 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 2' | 5 |
| 2025-11-24 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 1 | 21' | 6 |
| 2025-11-02 · Bologna | 5 | 1 | 31 | 0 | 35' | 9 |
| 2025-10-26 | 4 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 5' | 6 |