Rating 6.88 (68th pct) · G+A 4 + 0 (12% of team goals) · 93% of minutes
Serie A · Matchweek 4
Momentum
– LecceMonza –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
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Stats
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Season context
| Lecce | at home | Stat | league | away | Monza |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 40.5 #20 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 49.0 #9 |
| 9.0 #18 | – | Shots total | 14.6 | – | 14.2 #8 |
| 3.5 #17 | – | Shots on target | 4.9 | – | 6.0 #5 |
| 3.5 #15 | – | Corners | 4.7 | – | 3.8 #13 |
| 12.0 #7 | – | Fouls | 11.2 | – | 13.2 #5 |
| 0.8 #18 | – | Offsides | 2.1 | – | 5.0 #1 |
| 22.8 #1 | – | Tackles | 16.0 | – | 13.2 #18 |
| 94.0 #10 | – | Attacks | 92.8 | – | 96.5 #8 |
| 30.8 #18 | – | Dangerous attacks | 44.7 | – | 45.0 #10 |
| 368.0 #18 | – | Passes | 459.1 | – | 403.8 #15 |
| 2.2 #2 | – | Yellowcards | 1.5 | – | 1.2 #12 |
| 1.2 #8 | – | Assists | 1.2 | – | 1.2 #8 |
| – #17 | – | Btts | 60.0 | – | – #1 |
| – #6 | – | Cleansheet | 20.0 | – | – #11 |
| – #12 | – | Draw | 15.0 | – | – #2 |
| 1.2 #14 | – | Expected goals | 1.5 | – | 1.8 #4 |
| 0.1 #10 | – | Expected goals difference | -0.0 | – | -0.3 #15 |
| – #2 | – | Failed to score | 20.0 | – | – #10 |
| 1.2 #12 | 1.5 | Goals | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.5 #8 |
| 1.8 #6 | 3.0 | Goals conceded | 1.5 | 2.7 | 2.8 #1 |
| – | – | Injury time goals | 0.5 | – | 0.2 #8 |
| 8.5 #8 | – | Interceptions | 8.5 | – | 13.2 #2 |
| – #8 | – | Lost | 42.5 | – | – #2 |
| 6.7 #14 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.7 #19 |
| 1.2 #19 | – | Shots blocked | 3.6 | – | 2.5 #15 |
| 5.0 #20 | – | Shots insidebox | 9.6 | – | 11.0 #4 |
| 4.2 #18 | – | Shots off target | 6.0 | – | 5.8 #9 |
| 4.0 #14 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.9 | – | 3.2 #16 |
| – #6 | – | Win | 42.5 | – | – #16 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 20.
League this season · 2026/2027
- Played
- 37 of 380
- Goals / match
- 2.92 (home 1.41 · away 1.51)
- Home / draw / away
- 41% · 16% · 43%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 59% · 57%
- Cards / match
- 3.19 (reds 0.03)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Lecce · Last 365 days
Rating 6.87 (45th pct) · G+A 5 + 2 (22% of team goals) · 80% of minutes
Team 1.31 ppg with (32) · 0.14 without (7)
Rating 7.23 (88th pct) · G+A 2 + 3 (16% of team goals) · 23% of minutes
Team 1.36 ppg with (11) · 1.0 without (28)
Monza · Last 365 days
Rating 6.92 (57th pct) · G+A 1 + 2 (50% of team goals) · 88% of minutes
Rating 6.8 (29th pct) · G+A 0 + 1 (17% of team goals) · 98% of minutes
Rating 6.88 · G+A 1 + 0 (17% of team goals) · 71% of minutes
Absences
Monza
- injury Cyril Ngonge attacker · Fitness · 1 missed
- injury Jan Ziolkowski defender · Foot Injury · 1 missed
- injury Kevin Martins attacker · Bruise On Ankle · 27 missed
- injury Matteo Pessina midfielder · Knee Injury · 6 missed · until 2026-11-01
- injury Patrick Ciurria midfielder · Unknown Injury · 5 missed
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 4
Venue
- Stadium
- Stadio Comunale Via del Mare, Lecce
- Capacity
- 40,800
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 25,764
Teams
- Coaches
- Eusebio Di Francesco · Ivan Juric
- Position
- 14 · 18
- Formation
- 4-3-3 · 3-4-2-1
Referee
Valerio Crezzini
Weather
- Conditions
- clear sky
- Temperature
- 27.0° (feels 27.2°)
- Wind
- 6.2
- Humidity
- 47%
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2026/2027
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Roma |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 1 | 11 | 12 | WWWW |
| 2 |  Inter |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 12 | WWWW |
| 3 |  Como |
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 10 | DWWW |
| 4 |  Lazio |
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 10 | WWWD |
| 5 |  Cagliari |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9 | WLWW |
| 6 |  AC Milan |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 8 | WWDD |
| 7 |  Frosinone |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 | LWWD |
| 8 |  Juventus |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 7 | WWDL |
| 9 |  Sassuolo |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 7 | LWDW |
| 10 |  Napoli |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 6 | WLLW |
| 11 |  Atalanta |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 6 | WWLL |
| 12 |  Lecce |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 6 | WLLW |
| 13 |  Udinese |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 4 | DWLL |
| 14 |  Torino |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 3 | LLWL |
| 15 |  Fiorentina |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 3 | LLLW |
| 16 |  Bologna |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 1 | LLDL |
| 17 |  Parma |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 1 | LLDL |
| 18 |  Monza |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 1 | LLDL |
| 19 |  Genoa |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 1 | LLLD |
| 20 |  Venezia |
4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 0 | LLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 9 | WWWW |
| 2 | Roma |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 6 | WWWW |
| 3 | Sassuolo |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 6 | LWDW |
| 4 | Atalanta |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 6 | WWLL |
| 5 | Juventus |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | WWDL |
| 6 | Lazio |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | WWWD |
| 7 | AC Milan |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | WWDD |
| 8 | Como |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | DWWW |
| 9 | Frosinone |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | LWWD |
| 10 | Napoli |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | WLLW |
| 11 | Cagliari |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | WLWW |
| 12 | Lecce |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 3 | WLLW |
| 13 | Bologna |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 1 | LLDL |
| 14 | Udinese |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 1 | DWLL |
| 15 | Parma |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 1 | LLDL |
| 16 | Genoa |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 1 | LLLD |
| 17 | Monza |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 0 | LLDL |
| 18 | Torino |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | LLWL |
| 19 | Venezia |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 0 | LLLL |
| 20 | Fiorentina |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 0 | LLLW |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Como |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 7 | DWWW |
| 2 | Roma |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 6 | WWWW |
| 3 | Cagliari |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | WLWW |
| 4 | Lazio |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | WWWD |
| 5 | AC Milan |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 5 | WWDD |
| 6 | Frosinone |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 | LWWD |
| 7 | Napoli |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | WLLW |
| 8 | Lecce |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | WLLW |
| 9 | Inter |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | WWWW |
| 10 | Juventus |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | WWDL |
| 11 | Torino |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | LLWL |
| 12 | Udinese |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 3 | DWLL |
| 13 | Fiorentina |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 3 | LLLW |
| 14 | Sassuolo |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 1 | LWDW |
| 15 | Monza |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 1 | LLDL |
| 16 | Atalanta |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | WWLL |
| 17 | Genoa |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | LLLD |
| 18 | Bologna |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | LLDL |
| 19 | Venezia |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 0 | LLLL |
| 20 | Parma |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | LLDL |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Europa League
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
- Relegation
Lecce
WWWLL 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 6 GA 7 · xG 5.67–8.94 · xPts 5.04
- L
A
Cagliari
0–1
xG 0.76–1.14
ITA SA
- L
H
Roma
0–4
xG 0.77–2.72
ITA SA
- W
A
Venezia
2–0
xG 1.9–2.21
ITA SA
- W
H
Genoa
1–0
xG 1.36–0.89
ITA SA
- W
A
Sassuolo
3–2
xG 0.88–1.99
ITA SA
WWWLL 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 6 GA 7 · xG 5.67–8.94 · xPts 5.04
- L
A
Cagliari
0–1
xG 0.76–1.14
ITA SA
- L
H
Roma
0–4
xG 0.77–2.72
ITA SA
- W
A
Venezia
2–0
xG 1.9–2.21
ITA SA
- W
H
Genoa
1–0
xG 1.36–0.89
ITA SA
- W
A
Sassuolo
3–2
xG 0.88–1.99
ITA SA
Monza
LLD 0W 1D 2L · 1 pts (0.33 ppg) · GF 4 GA 8 · xG 4.04–3.4 · xPts 4.53
- D
A
Parma
1–1
xG 1.37–1.0
ITA SA
- L
H
Udinese
2–3
xG 1.62–1.11
ITA SA
- L
A
Inter
1–4
xG 1.05–1.3
ITA SA
LLD 0W 1D 2L · 1 pts (0.33 ppg) · GF 4 GA 8 · xG 4.04–3.4 · xPts 4.53
- D
A
Parma
1–1
xG 1.37–1.0
ITA SA
- L
H
Udinese
2–3
xG 1.62–1.11
ITA SA
- L
A
Inter
1–4
xG 1.05–1.3
ITA SA
KickoffDNA model engine-only-1.1.0 · lineups confirmed ·
Match result
40.3%Lecce P 33%29.7%Draw P 32%30.0%Monza P 35%
Over / under 2.5
36.9%Over 2.5 P 42%63.1%Under 2.5 P 58%
Both teams to score
43.7%Yes56.3%No
Expected
- Lecce goals
- 1.19 (0–3)
- Monza goals
- 0.98 (0–2)
- Corners
- 7.86 (4–12)
- Cards
- 4.02 (1–7)
Earlier: day before — 40.3% / 29.7% / 30.0%
Provider model (SportMonks)
Match result
30.5%Lecce27.8%Draw41.6%Monza
Over / under 2.5
48.1%Over 2.551.9%Under 2.5
Both teams to score
52.5%Yes47.5%No
Scored
| Market | Observed | Log loss | Brier |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1x2 | home | 0.909 | 0.535 |
| ou_2_5 | over | 0.998 | 0.798 |
| btts | yes | 0.828 | 0.634 |
Model probabilities are independent of the market; bookmaker figures are shown only as a benchmark.
All meetings · 7 matches since 2022
Goals 9–6 · 2.14 per match · BTTS 71% · over 2.5 29%
Last 10 · 7 matches
Goals 9–6 · 2.14 per match · BTTS 71% · over 2.5 29%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 7–5 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 40%
Recent meetings
- W Lecce 3–2 Monza ITA SA · Regular Season
- D Monza 0–0 Lecce ITA SA · Regular Season
- W Lecce 2–1 Monza ITA SA · Regular Season
- D Lecce 1–1 Monza ITA SA · Regular Season
- D Monza 1–1 Lecce ITA SA · Regular Season
- W Monza 0–1 Lecce ITA SA · Regular Season
- D Lecce 1–1 Monza ITA SA · Regular Season
| Metric | Lecce all · 4 | Lecce at home · 2 | Monza all · 4 | Monza away · 3 |
|---|
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Lecce · 4 matches
Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.31) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.43
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.314
Early press (0-15, level)-0.434
Game state
When ahead-0.342
When level-0.294
When behind-0.272
10 min after conceding-0.233
10 min after scoring-0.202
Situations
At home-0.372
Away-0.272
4+ days rest-0.314
Opposition
v bottom-tier opponents-0.382
As underdog-0.233
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.804
Conceded when ahead+0.912
Conceded late (76+)+0.563
Ahead vs level -0.05 · Behind vs level +0.02
Monza · 4 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.30) · stands out: away +0.49
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.304
Early press (0-15, level)+0.204
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.412
Game state
When level+0.204
When behind+0.463
10 min after conceding+0.104
10 min after scoring+0.284
Situations
Away+0.493
4+ days rest+0.304
Opposition
Evenly matched+0.393
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.194
Conceded late (76+)-0.593
Ahead vs level -0.58 · Behind vs level +0.26
Lecce
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 2 50% | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 1.55 | 2.62 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 1 25% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.76 | 1.14 |
| 3-5-2 | 1 25% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 0.77 | 2.72 |
Monza
Current: winless 6 · scoring 4 · conceding 17
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 3 75% | 0.33 | 1.67 | 2.33 | 2.01 | 1.1 |
| 3-4-3 | 1 25% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 1.05 | 1.3 |
| Metric | Lecce all · 10 | Lecce at home · 10 | Monza all · 10 | Monza away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 1.70 | 1.40 | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| W / D / L | 5 / 2 / 3 | 4 / 2 / 4 | 1 / 1 / 8 | 1 / 1 / 8 |
| Goals for / match | 1.20 | 0.90 | 0.90 | 0.80 |
| Goals against / match | 1.20 | 1.50 | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 20% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed to score | 40% | 50% | 40% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 40% | 60% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 | 40% | 50% | 60% | 60% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.22 | 1.14 | 1.24 | 1.00 |
| xG against / match | 1.77 | 1.78 | 1.36 | 1.50 |
| xG difference | -0.55 | -0.64 | -0.12 | -0.50 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.02 | -0.24 | -0.34 | -0.20 |
| xPts / match | 1.11 | 1.10 | 1.27 | 1.04 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.59 | 0.30 | -0.87 | -0.64 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 50% | 40% | 30% | 30% |
| PPG when scoring first | 3.00 | 3.00 | 1.33 | 1.33 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.25 | 0.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Came back from behind | 25% | 20% | 0% | 0% |
| Leads held | 100% | 100% | 33% | 33% |
| Minutes leading | 34% | 29% | 7% | 9% |
| Minutes level | 35% | 39% | 44% | 46% |
| Minutes trailing | 31% | 32% | 49% | 45% |
| First goal (min) | 32 | 21 | 34 | 34 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 23 | 29 | 38 | 40 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 50% | 22% | 44% | 38% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 33% | 47% | 54% | 62% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.20 | 0.10 | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| Late goals against | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.10 | 0.30 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 40% | 40% | 51% | 48% |
| Shots | 9.7 | 9.9 | 11.4 | 10.1 |
| On target | 3.7 | 2.7 | 4.2 | 3.8 |
| Shot conversion | 12% | 9% | 8% | 8% |
| Shots inside box | 66% | 60% | 66% | 66% |
| Big chances created | 2.5 | 1.8 | 2.3 | 1.8 |
| Corners | 3.4 | 3.2 | 3.7 | 3.7 |
| xG from set plays | 33% | 43% | 16% | 19% |
| Goals from headers | 33% | 33% | 14% | 0% |
| Pressure index | 8.3 | 8.9 | 11.5 | 9.4 |
| Dominant minutes | 38.3 | 41.4 | 42.8 | 39.4 |
| Pass accuracy | 74% | 75% | 84% | 84% |
| Fouls | 12.0 | 11.3 | 10.7 | 10.7 |
| Cards | 2.50 | 1.30 | 1.70 | 1.80 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Lecce
0–15'42
16–30'26
31–45'00
46–60'21
61–75'21
76–90'22
Monza
0–15'05
16–30'32
31–45'24
46–60'17
61–75'15
76–90'21
Lecce
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 7 70% | 1.57 | 1.0 | 0.86 | 1.19 | 1.39 |
| 4-3-3 | 2 20% | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 1.55 | 2.62 |
| 3-5-2 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 0.77 | 2.72 |
Monza
Current: winless 6 · scoring 4 · conceding 17
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-5-2 | 4 40% | 0.75 | 0.75 | 1.75 | 1.04 | 1.25 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 3 30% | 0.33 | 1.67 | 2.33 | 2.01 | 1.1 |
| 3-4-3 | 2 20% | 0.0 | 0.5 | 3.0 | 0.68 | 1.52 |
| 3-5-1-1 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 0.9 | 2.24 |
| Metric | Lecce all · 39 | Lecce at home · 20 | Monza all · 4 | Monza away · 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 39 | 20 | – | – |
| Points per game | 1.10 | 1.15 | – | – |
| W / D / L | 12 / 7 / 20 | 6 / 5 / 9 | – | – |
| Goals for / match | 0.82 | 0.80 | – | – |
| Goals against / match | 1.31 | 1.40 | – | – |
| Clean sheets | 26% | 25% | – | – |
| Failed to score | 49% | 50% | – | – |
| Both teams scored | 36% | 40% | – | – |
| Over 2.5 | 38% | 50% | – | – |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 0.95 | 1.09 | – | – |
| xG against / match | 1.62 | 1.53 | – | – |
| xG difference | -0.67 | -0.45 | – | – |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.13 | -0.29 | – | – |
| xPts / match | 1.00 | 1.15 | – | – |
| Points vs xPts | 0.10 | 0.00 | – | – |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 46% | 45% | – | – |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.11 | 2.11 | – | – |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.06 | 0.13 | – | – |
| Came back from behind | 9% | 18% | – | – |
| Leads held | 67% | 67% | – | – |
| Minutes leading | 23% | 26% | – | – |
| Minutes level | 48% | 45% | – | – |
| Minutes trailing | 29% | 29% | – | – |
| First goal (min) | 29 | 22 | – | – |
| First goal conceded (min) | 38 | 36 | – | – |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 41% | 25% | – | – |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 57% | 57% | – | – |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.15 | 0.10 | – | – |
| Late goals against | 0.23 | 0.10 | – | – |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 41% | 44% | – | – |
| Shots | 9.8 | 10.5 | – | – |
| On target | 2.7 | 2.9 | – | – |
| Shot conversion | 8% | 8% | – | – |
| Shots inside box | 58% | 61% | – | – |
| Big chances created | 1.5 | 1.7 | – | – |
| Corners | 4.2 | 4.1 | – | – |
| xG from set plays | 36% | 43% | – | – |
| Goals from headers | 34% | 38% | – | – |
| Pressure index | 7.4 | 8.7 | – | – |
| Dominant minutes | 34.0 | 39.6 | – | – |
| Pass accuracy | 74% | 76% | – | – |
| Fouls | 12.8 | 12.0 | – | – |
| Cards | 1.95 | 1.90 | – | – |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Lecce
0–15'103
16–30'614
31–45'35
46–60'38
61–75'412
76–90'69
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Lecce · 39 matches
Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.20) · stands out: 3 days rest or fewer -0.54
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.2039
Early press (0-15, level)-0.0739
Late push (76+, level)-0.0810
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.3717
Game state
When ahead-0.2518
When level-0.1339
When behind-0.2921
10 min after conceding-0.3728
10 min after scoring+0.1120
Situations
With ten men-0.282
At home-0.1820
Away-0.2219
3 days rest or fewer-0.543
4+ days rest-0.1736
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.4011
v mid-tier opponents-0.1711
v bottom-tier opponents-0.363
Evenly matched-0.0314
As underdog-0.3124
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.4439
Conceded when ahead+0.3718
Conceded late (76+)+0.2835
Congested vs rested -0.36 · Ahead vs level -0.12 · Behind vs level -0.16
Monza · 4 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.30) · stands out: away +0.49
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.304
Early press (0-15, level)+0.204
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.412
Game state
When level+0.204
When behind+0.463
10 min after conceding+0.104
10 min after scoring+0.284
Situations
Away+0.493
4+ days rest+0.304
Opposition
Evenly matched+0.393
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.194
Conceded late (76+)-0.593
Ahead vs level -0.58 · Behind vs level +0.26
Lecce
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 23 59% | 1.09 | 0.78 | 1.22 | 0.96 | 1.42 |
| 4-3-3 | 12 31% | 1.25 | 1.0 | 1.08 | 0.92 | 1.89 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 2 5% | 1.5 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 1.42 | 1.31 |
| 3-5-1-1 | 1 3% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.21 | 2.43 |
| 3-5-2 | 1 3% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 0.77 | 2.72 |
Monza
Current: winless 6 · scoring 4 · conceding 17
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 3 75% | 0.33 | 1.67 | 2.33 | 2.01 | 1.1 |
| 3-4-3 | 1 25% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 1.05 | 1.3 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 125 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: away +2.2 pts at 8.0h
2.91Home 33% ▼ -2.9 ptsopened 2.663.06Draw 32% · +0.9 ptsopened 3.132.8Away 35% ▲ +2.1 ptsopened 2.96
Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.91 ▼ -2.9 | 3.06 · +0.9 | 2.8 ▲ +2.1 | 10m |
| bet365 | 2.87 ▼ -3.4 | 3.1 ▲ +1.0 | 2.62 ▲ +2.4 | 10m |
| Betfair | 2.8 ▼ -2.0 | 2.9 ▲ +1.2 | 2.7 · +0.8 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 2.88 ▼ -4.4 | 3.0 ▲ +1.7 | 2.63 ▲ +2.7 | 10m |
| Coral | 2.8 ▼ -3.9 | 3.0 ▲ +2.1 | 2.75 ▲ +1.9 | 10m |
| Ladbrokes | 2.75 ▼ -3.1 | 3.0 ▲ +1.3 | 2.75 ▲ +1.8 | 10m |
| Unibet | 2.5 · +0.4 | 3.2 · -0.7 | 2.8 · +0.3 | 10m |
| WilliamHill | 2.75 ▼ -4.2 | 2.9 · +0.9 | 2.62 ▲ +3.3 | 10m |
bet365 (Pinnacle absent) · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 125 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: no -2.0 pts at 4.0h
1.9Yes 50% ▲ +2.0 ptsopened 1.951.9No 50% ▼ -2.0 ptsopened 1.8
Yes No consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.9 ▲ +2.0 | 1.9 ▼ -2.0 | 10m |
| Betfair | 1.83 ▼ -1.6 | 1.91 ▲ +1.6 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 1.83 ▲ +1.6 | 1.85 ▼ -1.6 | 10m |
| Unibet | 1.9 · -0.1 | 1.78 · +0.1 | 10m |
| WilliamHill | 1.91 · +0.0 | 1.85 · +0.0 | 10m |
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 125 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: under +2.1 pts at 40m
2.3Over 42% ▲ +1.2 ptsopened 2.361.68Under 58% ▼ -1.2 ptsopened 1.64
Over Under consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.3 ▲ +1.2 | 1.68 ▼ -1.2 | 10m |
| bet365 | 2.2 · +0.0 | 1.66 · +0.0 | 10m |
| Betfair | 2.1 ▲ +1.9 | 1.65 ▼ -1.9 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 2.12 · +0.6 | 1.62 · -0.6 | 10m |
| Unibet | 2.28 · +0.0 | 1.6 · +0.0 | 10m |
Latest prices
bet365 · last snapshot 0.2h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
2.87Home 33% P 33%3.1Draw 31% P 32%2.62Away 36% P 35%
Double Chance
1.44Lecce or Draw 33%1.36Lecce or Monza 35%1.44Draw or Monza 33%
Draw No Bet
1.831 50%1.832 50%
Both Teams To Score
1.9Yes 50%1.9No 50%
Goals Over/Under
2.52.2Over 43% P 42%1.66Under 57% P 58%
Total Corners
5.5Under 6 16%2.56 - 8 35%2.879 - 11 30%6.512 - 14 13%17.0Over 14 5%
Number of Cards
3.52.0Over 46% P 50%1.72Under 54% P 50%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 32.5–35% · away 32.5–35% · 336 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 33% | 34% | 36% | +2.3 |
| Draw | 32% | 32% | 29% | -3.3 |
| Away | 35% | 34% | 35% | +1.0 |
In those fixtures: 2.2 goals a game · BTTS 48% · over 2.5 40%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 40–42.5% · 2,093 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 42% | 41% | 41% | -0.4 |
Valerio Crezzini
- Career
- 12 matches · 3 seasons
- Cards / match
- 3.25 (3.25 yellow · 0.0 red)
- Fouls / match
- 26.0 · 8.0 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.25
- Cards to home side
- 36%
Style in Serie A (5-year window · 10 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 3.7 | 4.49 | -1.13 | 10 |
| Fouls / match | 26.0 | 25.2 | +0.59 | |
| Fouls per card | 8.4 | 5.6 | +2.61 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.3 | 0.31 | -0.19 | 51 |
| Time added | 7.5 | 6.4 | +2.22 | 100 |
- First card
- 40' on average
- Card timing
- 8% in first 30' · 51% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 36% (league 46%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.0
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | – | – | 19 | – | – | 6 |
| 2026-05-03 | 3 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 52' | 11 |
| 2026-04-19 | 4 | 0 | 37 | 1 | 32' | 5 |
| 2025-12-14 | 4 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 23' | 9 |
| 2025-11-29 | 6 | 0 | 32 | 0 | 39' | 6 |
| 2025-11-09 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 1 | 36' | 9 |
| 2025-10-29 | 4 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 38' | 8 |
| 2025-10-18 · Lecce | 4 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 82' | 11 |
| 2025-09-22 | 3 | 0 | 28 | 1 | 50' | 11 |