Rating 7.57 (100th pct) · G+A 8 + 17 (23% of team goals) · 78% of minutes
Team 2.18 ppg with (38) · 2.27 without (11)
Serie A · Matchweek 4
Momentum
– InterUdinese –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
- No events yet.
Stats
Loading statistics…
Season context
| Inter | at home | Stat | league | away | Udinese |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 66.0 #1 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 41.0 #19 |
| 25.0 #1 | – | Shots total | 14.6 | – | 11.2 #17 |
| 8.0 #1 | – | Shots on target | 4.9 | – | 4.8 #9 |
| 7.2 #3 | – | Corners | 4.7 | – | 1.8 #20 |
| 6.5 #20 | – | Fouls | 11.2 | – | 11.8 #8 |
| 1.2 #13 | – | Offsides | 2.1 | – | 1.0 #15 |
| 16.2 #7 | – | Tackles | 16.0 | – | 15.8 #10 |
| 111.8 #2 | – | Attacks | 92.8 | – | 88.8 #13 |
| 62.8 #3 | – | Dangerous attacks | 44.7 | – | 29.2 #20 |
| 643.5 #1 | – | Passes | 459.1 | – | 377.8 #17 |
| 1.2 #12 | – | Yellowcards | 1.5 | – | 2.2 #2 |
| 2.5 #1 | – | Assists | 1.2 | – | 1.5 #5 |
| – #5 | – | Btts | 60.0 | – | – #1 |
| – #6 | – | Cleansheet | 20.0 | – | – #11 |
| – #12 | – | Draw | 15.0 | – | – #2 |
| 2.9 #1 | – | Expected goals | 1.5 | – | 1.1 #15 |
| 0.3 #4 | – | Expected goals difference | -0.0 | – | 0.9 #1 |
| – #10 | – | Failed to score | 20.0 | – | – #10 |
| 3.2 #1 | 4.0 | Goals | 1.5 | 3.0 | 2.0 #4 |
| 1.5 #9 | 2.0 | Goals conceded | 1.5 | 3.5 | 2.5 #4 |
| 0.2 #8 | – | Injury time goals | 0.5 | – | 0.2 #8 |
| 8.5 #8 | – | Interceptions | 8.5 | – | 8.2 #10 |
| – #16 | – | Lost | 42.5 | – | – #8 |
| 7.1 #2 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.8 #12 |
| 6.8 #2 | – | Shots blocked | 3.6 | – | 2.5 #15 |
| 18.0 #1 | – | Shots insidebox | 9.6 | – | 8.0 #13 |
| 10.2 #1 | – | Shots off target | 6.0 | – | 4.0 #19 |
| 7.0 #3 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.9 | – | 3.2 #16 |
| – #1 | – | Win | 42.5 | – | – #13 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 20.
League this season · 2026/2027
- Played
- 37 of 380
- Goals / match
- 2.92 (home 1.41 · away 1.51)
- Home / draw / away
- 41% · 16% · 43%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 59% · 57%
- Cards / match
- 3.19 (reds 0.03)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Inter · Last 365 days
Rating 7.34 (98th pct) · G+A 22 + 6 (26% of team goals) · 62% of minutes
Team 2.25 ppg with (36) · 2.08 without (13)
Rating 7.19 (86th pct) · G+A 4 + 8 (11% of team goals) · 73% of minutes
Team 2.05 ppg with (39) · 2.8 without (10)
Udinese · Last 365 days
Rating 7.08 (94th pct) · G+A 3 + 1 (8% of team goals) · 83% of minutes
Team 1.26 ppg with (34) · 0.8 without (5)
Rating 7.0 (79th pct) · G+A 7 + 4 (22% of team goals) · 72% of minutes
Team 1.29 ppg with (31) · 0.88 without (8)
Rating 6.99 (78th pct) · G+A 5 + 6 (22% of team goals) · 66% of minutes
Team 1.31 ppg with (29) · 0.9 without (10)
Absences
Inter
- injury Djed Spence defender · Fitness · 4 missed · until 2026-09-16
Udinese
- injury Alessandro Zanoli #9 key player defender · Cruciate Ligament Tear · 18 missed · until 2026-10-01
- injury Jakub Piotrowski #7 key player midfielder · Unknown Injury · until 2026-10-30
- injury Matteo Palma #23 key player defender · Muscle Injury · 3 missed · until 2026-09-28
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 4
Venue
- Stadium
- Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, Milano
- Capacity
- 75,817
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 73,705
Teams
- Coaches
- Cristian Chivu · Kosta Runjaic
- Position
- 4 · 13
- Formation
- 3-5-2 · 3-4-2-1
Referee
Luca Pairetto
Weather
- Conditions
- clear sky
- Temperature
- 23.9° (feels 24.3°)
- Wind
- 2.1
- Humidity
- 72%
Where to watch · 120
Albania
Tring Sport 1
Algeria
STARZPLAY
Andorra
DAZN
Anguilla
Disney+ Premium Caribbean
Argentina
Disney+ Premium · ESPN
Armenia
Fast Sports · FAST TV
Australia
Bein Sports 3 · beIN SPORTS CONNECT
Austria
DAZN · DAZN Austria
Bahamas
Disney+ Premium Caribbean
Bahrain
STARZPLAY
Belgium
DAZN
Bolivia
Disney+ Premium · ESPN
Brazil
Disney+ Premium
Bulgaria
Max Sport 3
Canada
fuboTV
Chile
Disney+ Premium
Colombia
Disney+ Premium Sur
Costa Rica
Disney+ Premium Norte
Croatia
Arena Sport 3 · MAX To Go
Cuba
Disney+ Premium Caribbean
Cyprus
Cablenet TV Go · Cytavision on the Go · Cytavision Sports 2 · Cytavision Sports 4
Czech Republic
Sport 1
Denmark
TV2 · TV2 Play · TV3 Sport
Dominican Republic
Disney+ Premium Caribbean · Disney+ Premium Norte
Ecuador
Disney+ Premium Sur
Egypt
STARZPLAY
El Salvador
Disney+ Premium Norte
England
DAZN · TNT Sports 1
Finland
MTV Katsomo · MTV Urheilu 1
France
DAZN
Germany
DAZN · DAZN Germany
Greece
Magenta Sport
Guatemala
Disney+ Premium Norte
Haiti
Disney+ Premium Caribbean
Honduras
Disney+ Premium Norte
Indonesia
Vidio · Vidio TV
Iran
STARZPLAY
Italy
DAZN · Sky Go · Sky Sport 251 · Sky Sport Calcio
Jamaica
Disney+ Premium Caribbean
Japan
DAZN
Jordan
STARZPLAY
Kosovo
Arena Premium 3 · ART Sport 2 · ArtMotion · TV Vala
Kuwait
STARZPLAY
Lebanon
STARZPLAY
Malta
GO TV Anywhere · TSN 3 · TSN 3 HD
Mexico
Disney+ Premium
Monaco
DAZN
Montenegro
Arena Cloud · Arena Premium 3
Morocco
STARZPLAY
Netherlands
Ziggo Sport · Ziggo Sport 2
Nicaragua
Disney+ Premium Norte
North Macedonia
Arena Cloud · Arena Premium 3
Northern Ireland
DAZN · TNT Sports 1
Norway
VG+ · VGTV
Oman
STARZPLAY
Palestine
STARZPLAY
Panama
Disney+ Premium Norte
Paraguay
Disney+ Premium · ESPN
Peru
Disney+ Premium · ESPN
Portugal
Sport TV 3 · Sport TV Multiscreen
Puerto Rico
Disney+ Premium Caribbean
Qatar
STARZPLAY
Republic of Ireland
DAZN · TNT Sports 1
Saint Lucia
Disney+ Premium Caribbean
Saudi Arabia
STARZPLAY
Scotland
DAZN · TNT Sports 1
Serbia
Arena Cloud · Arena Premium 3
Slovakia
Sport 1
Spain
DAZN
Sweden
TV4 Play · tv4play
Switzerland
DAZN
Trinidad and Tobago
Disney+ Premium Caribbean
Tunisia
STARZPLAY
Turkey
S Sport · S Sport 2
United Arab Emirates
STARZPLAY
United States
Paramount+
Uruguay
Disney+ Premium · ESPN
Venezuela
Disney+ Premium Sur · ESPN
Wales
DAZN · TNT Sports 1
Yemen
STARZPLAY
2026/2027
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Roma |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 1 | 11 | 12 | WWWW |
| 2 |  Inter |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 12 | WWWW |
| 3 |  Como |
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 10 | DWWW |
| 4 |  Lazio |
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 10 | WWWD |
| 5 |  Cagliari |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9 | WLWW |
| 6 |  AC Milan |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 8 | WWDD |
| 7 |  Frosinone |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 | LWWD |
| 8 |  Juventus |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 7 | WWDL |
| 9 |  Sassuolo |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 7 | LWDW |
| 10 |  Napoli |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 6 | WLLW |
| 11 |  Atalanta |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 6 | WWLL |
| 12 |  Lecce |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 6 | WLLW |
| 13 |  Udinese |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 4 | DWLL |
| 14 |  Torino |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 3 | LLWL |
| 15 |  Fiorentina |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 3 | LLLW |
| 16 |  Bologna |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 1 | LLDL |
| 17 |  Parma |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 1 | LLDL |
| 18 |  Monza |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 1 | LLDL |
| 19 |  Genoa |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 1 | LLLD |
| 20 |  Venezia |
4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 0 | LLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 9 | WWWW |
| 2 | Roma |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 6 | WWWW |
| 3 | Sassuolo |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 6 | LWDW |
| 4 | Atalanta |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 6 | WWLL |
| 5 | Juventus |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | WWDL |
| 6 | Lazio |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | WWWD |
| 7 | AC Milan |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | WWDD |
| 8 | Como |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | DWWW |
| 9 | Frosinone |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | LWWD |
| 10 | Napoli |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | WLLW |
| 11 | Cagliari |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | WLWW |
| 12 | Lecce |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 3 | WLLW |
| 13 | Bologna |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 1 | LLDL |
| 14 | Udinese |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 1 | DWLL |
| 15 | Parma |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 1 | LLDL |
| 16 | Genoa |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 1 | LLLD |
| 17 | Monza |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 0 | LLDL |
| 18 | Torino |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | LLWL |
| 19 | Venezia |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 0 | LLLL |
| 20 | Fiorentina |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 0 | LLLW |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Como |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 7 | DWWW |
| 2 | Roma |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 6 | WWWW |
| 3 | Cagliari |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | WLWW |
| 4 | Lazio |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | WWWD |
| 5 | AC Milan |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 5 | WWDD |
| 6 | Frosinone |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 | LWWD |
| 7 | Napoli |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | WLLW |
| 8 | Lecce |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | WLLW |
| 9 | Inter |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | WWWW |
| 10 | Juventus |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | WWDL |
| 11 | Torino |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | LLWL |
| 12 | Udinese |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 3 | DWLL |
| 13 | Fiorentina |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 3 | LLLW |
| 14 | Sassuolo |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 1 | LWDW |
| 15 | Monza |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 1 | LLDL |
| 16 | Atalanta |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | WWLL |
| 17 | Genoa |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | LLLD |
| 18 | Bologna |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | LLDL |
| 19 | Venezia |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 0 | LLLL |
| 20 | Parma |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | LLDL |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Europa League
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
- Relegation
Inter
DWWWL 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 12 GA 8 · xG 12.59–8.89 · xPts 8.71
- L
A
Real Madrid
1–2
xG 2.03–3.77
UEFA CL - W
H
Napoli
3–2
xG 4.19–2.0
ITA SA
- W
A
Cagliari
1–0
xG 3.59–0.57
ITA SA
- W
H
Monza
4–1
xG 1.3–1.05
ITA SA
- D
A
Bologna
3–3
xG 1.49–1.49
ITA SA
DDWWWL 3W 2D 1L · 11 pts (1.83 ppg) · GF 13 GA 9 · xG 14.87–9.8 · xPts 10.94
- L
A
Real Madrid
1–2
xG 2.03–3.77
UEFA CL
- W
H
Napoli
3–2
xG 4.19–2.0
ITA SA
- W
A
Cagliari
1–0
xG 3.59–0.57
ITA SA
- W
H
Monza
4–1
xG 1.3–1.05
ITA SA
- D
A
Bologna
3–3
xG 1.49–1.49
ITA SA
- D
H
Hellas Verona
1–1
xG 2.28–0.91
ITA SA
Udinese
LLDWL 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 5 GA 7 · xG 4.52–7.71 · xPts 4.63
- L
H
Lazio
1–2
xG 0.87–1.87
ITA SA
- W
A
Monza
3–2
xG 1.11–1.62
ITA SA
- D
H
Como
1–1
xG 1.59–1.86
ITA SA
- L
A
Napoli
0–1
xG 0.57–1.85
ITA SA
- L
H
Cremonese
0–1
xG 0.38–0.52
ITA SA
LLDWL 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 5 GA 7 · xG 4.52–7.71 · xPts 4.63
- L
H
Lazio
1–2
xG 0.87–1.87
ITA SA
- W
A
Monza
3–2
xG 1.11–1.62
ITA SA
- D
H
Como
1–1
xG 1.59–1.86
ITA SA
- L
A
Napoli
0–1
xG 0.57–1.85
ITA SA
- L
H
Cremonese
0–1
xG 0.38–0.52
ITA SA
KickoffDNA model engine-only-1.1.0 · lineups confirmed ·
Match result
69.9%Inter P 81%18.0%Draw P 13%12.1%Udinese P 6%
Over / under 2.5
61.3%Over 2.5 P 69%38.7%Under 2.5 P 31%
Both teams to score
51.9%Yes48.1%No
Expected
- Inter goals
- 2.31 (1–4)
- Udinese goals
- 0.85 (0–2)
- Corners
- 11.47 (7–17)
- Cards
- 3.74 (1–6)
Earlier: day before — 69.9% / 18.0% / 12.1%
Provider model (SportMonks)
Match result
68.9%Inter19.4%Draw11.7%Udinese
Over / under 2.5
56.2%Over 2.543.8%Under 2.5
Both teams to score
49.6%Yes50.4%No
Scored
| Market | Observed | Log loss | Brier |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1x2 | home | 0.357 | 0.137 |
| ou_2_5 | over | 0.489 | 0.299 |
| btts | yes | 0.656 | 0.463 |
Model probabilities are independent of the market; bookmaker figures are shown only as a benchmark.
All meetings · 43 matches since 2005
Goals 81–45 · 2.93 per match · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 63%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 24–14 · 3.8 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 90%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 12–8 · 4.0 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 80%
Recent meetings
- W Inter 5–3 Udinese ITA SA · Regular Season
- W Udinese 0–1 Inter ITA SA · Regular Season
- L Inter 1–2 Udinese ITA SA · Regular Season
- W Inter 2–1 Udinese ITA SA · Regular Season
- W Udinese 2–3 Inter ITA SA · Regular Season
- W Udinese 1–2 Inter ITA SA · Regular Season
- W Inter 4–0 Udinese ITA SA · Regular Season
- W Inter 3–1 Udinese ITA SA · Regular Season
- L Udinese 3–1 Inter neutral ITA SA · Regular Season
- W Udinese 1–2 Inter ITA SA · Regular Season
| Metric | Inter all · 4 | Inter at home · 3 | Udinese all · 4 | Udinese away · 2 |
|---|
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Inter · 5 matches
Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.71) · stands out: when behind +1.11
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.715
Early press (0-15, level)+0.205
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.202
Game state
When ahead+0.584
When level+0.455
When behind+1.113
10 min after conceding+0.514
10 min after scoring+0.425
Situations
At home+0.523
Away+0.962
4+ days rest+0.674
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.752
As favourite+0.674
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.365
Conceded when ahead-0.414
Conceded late (76+)-0.414
Congested vs rested +0.20 · Ahead vs level +0.13 · Behind vs level +0.66
Udinese · 4 matches
Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.21) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.44
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.214
Early press (0-15, level)-0.074
Late push (76+, level)-0.642
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.682
Game state
When ahead+0.004
When level-0.274
When behind-0.612
10 min after conceding-0.444
10 min after scoring+0.204
Situations
At home-0.352
Away-0.062
4+ days rest-0.214
Opposition
Evenly matched-0.002
As underdog-0.442
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.324
Conceded when ahead+0.244
Conceded late (76+)+0.304
Ahead vs level +0.28 · Behind vs level -0.34
Inter
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 15 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-5-2 | 4 100% | 3.0 | 3.25 | 1.5 | 2.98 | 1.09 |
Udinese
Current: winless 2 · scoring 4 · conceding 6
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 4 100% | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1.08 | 2.04 |
| Metric | Inter all · 10 | Inter at home · 10 | Udinese all · 10 | Udinese away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 2.10 | 2.30 | 1.10 | 1.40 |
| W / D / L | 6 / 3 / 1 | 7 / 2 / 1 | 3 / 2 / 5 | 4 / 2 / 4 |
| Goals for / match | 2.50 | 2.70 | 1.50 | 1.90 |
| Goals against / match | 1.40 | 1.20 | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 30% | 20% | 30% |
| Failed to score | 0% | 0% | 30% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 70% | 50% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 | 70% | 60% | 40% | 60% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 2.26 | 2.28 | 1.26 | 1.11 |
| xG against / match | 1.40 | 0.88 | 1.63 | 1.91 |
| xG difference | 0.86 | 1.40 | -0.37 | -0.79 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.24 | 0.42 | 0.24 | 0.79 |
| xPts / match | 1.87 | 2.23 | 1.15 | 0.90 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.23 | 0.07 | -0.05 | 0.50 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 70% | 70% | 70% | 70% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.14 | 2.43 | 1.57 | 2.00 |
| PPG when conceding first | 2.00 | 2.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Came back from behind | 75% | 67% | 17% | 20% |
| Leads held | 67% | 78% | 43% | 57% |
| Minutes leading | 46% | 47% | 26% | 30% |
| Minutes level | 35% | 43% | 48% | 54% |
| Minutes trailing | 20% | 10% | 25% | 16% |
| First goal (min) | 32 | 37 | 34 | 34 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 41 | 51 | 41 | 42 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 64% | 70% | 47% | 47% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 50% | 67% | 69% | 69% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.70 | 0.60 | 0.40 | 0.50 |
| Late goals against | 0.30 | 0.30 | 0.40 | 0.50 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 64% | 63% | 46% | 41% |
| Shots | 18.9 | 19.3 | 12.5 | 9.5 |
| On target | 6.5 | 6.6 | 4.8 | 4.2 |
| Shot conversion | 13% | 14% | 12% | 20% |
| Shots inside box | 74% | 75% | 66% | 66% |
| Big chances created | 4.0 | 3.8 | 2.3 | 1.8 |
| Corners | 6.8 | 8.0 | 3.9 | 3.0 |
| xG from set plays | 22% | 25% | 20% | 20% |
| Goals from headers | 13% | 8% | 13% | 21% |
| Pressure index | 21.0 | 22.9 | 10.9 | 7.4 |
| Dominant minutes | 65.5 | 66.9 | 43.6 | 33.4 |
| Pass accuracy | 91% | 89% | 83% | 79% |
| Fouls | 8.1 | 10.2 | 11.7 | 13.2 |
| Cards | 1.40 | 0.90 | 1.90 | 1.80 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Inter
0–15'32
16–30'34
31–45'31
46–60'53
61–75'41
76–90'73
Udinese
0–15'11
16–30'32
31–45'42
46–60'34
61–75'03
76–90'44
Inter
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 15 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-5-2 | 10 100% | 2.1 | 2.5 | 1.4 | 2.26 | 1.4 |
Udinese
Current: winless 2 · scoring 4 · conceding 6
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 7 70% | 1.14 | 1.86 | 2.0 | 1.32 | 1.85 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.12 | 1.36 |
| 3-5-2 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.38 | 0.52 |
| 3-4-3 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.9 | 1.49 |
| Metric | Inter all · 49 | Inter at home · 25 | Udinese all · 39 | Udinese away · 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 49 | 25 | 39 | 19 |
| Points per game | 2.20 | 2.28 | 1.21 | 1.26 |
| W / D / L | 34 / 6 / 9 | 18 / 3 / 4 | 13 / 8 / 18 | 7 / 3 / 9 |
| Goals for / match | 2.22 | 2.52 | 1.26 | 1.58 |
| Goals against / match | 1.00 | 1.08 | 1.44 | 1.74 |
| Clean sheets | 43% | 32% | 26% | 21% |
| Failed to score | 6% | 8% | 28% | 21% |
| Both teams scored | 51% | 60% | 49% | 58% |
| Over 2.5 | 59% | 68% | 49% | 58% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 2.10 | 2.33 | 1.14 | 1.12 |
| xG against / match | 1.00 | 0.85 | 1.55 | 1.82 |
| xG difference | 1.11 | 1.48 | -0.41 | -0.70 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.12 | 0.19 | 0.12 | 0.46 |
| xPts / match | 2.01 | 2.19 | 1.14 | 0.99 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.20 | 0.09 | 0.07 | 0.27 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 74% | 72% | 49% | 53% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.67 | 2.67 | 2.21 | 2.30 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.92 | 1.29 | 0.21 | 0.11 |
| Came back from behind | 36% | 43% | 22% | 18% |
| Leads held | 85% | 86% | 65% | 70% |
| Minutes leading | 46% | 45% | 24% | 25% |
| Minutes level | 42% | 45% | 48% | 45% |
| Minutes trailing | 13% | 10% | 28% | 30% |
| First goal (min) | 33 | 32 | 40 | 38 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 47 | 52 | 38 | 34 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 60% | 64% | 55% | 57% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 57% | 63% | 61% | 54% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.57 | 0.64 | 0.23 | 0.32 |
| Late goals against | 0.29 | 0.40 | 0.33 | 0.42 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 60% | 60% | 45% | 43% |
| Shots | 18.0 | 19.2 | 11.5 | 10.0 |
| On target | 6.1 | 6.8 | 3.9 | 3.9 |
| Shot conversion | 12% | 13% | 11% | 16% |
| Shots inside box | 73% | 73% | 62% | 68% |
| Big chances created | 4.0 | 4.6 | 1.9 | 1.8 |
| Corners | 6.3 | 7.4 | 4.2 | 4.0 |
| xG from set plays | 27% | 28% | 26% | 22% |
| Goals from headers | 17% | 13% | 19% | 17% |
| Pressure index | 22.7 | 24.0 | 9.6 | 8.9 |
| Dominant minutes | 65.3 | 67.6 | 39.4 | 35.9 |
| Pass accuracy | 88% | 88% | 80% | 79% |
| Fouls | 11.9 | 11.9 | 13.6 | 13.5 |
| Cards | 1.67 | 1.48 | 1.90 | 1.89 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Inter
0–15'145
16–30'128
31–45'188
46–60'207
61–75'177
76–90'2814
Udinese
0–15'47
16–30'87
31–45'108
46–60'1012
61–75'89
76–90'913
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Inter · 49 matches
Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.58) · stands out: 3 days rest or fewer +0.96
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.5849
Early press (0-15, level)+0.5149
Late push (76+, level)+0.1713
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.3411
Game state
When ahead+0.4639
When level+0.7049
When behind+0.5914
10 min after conceding+0.1527
10 min after scoring+0.6545
Situations
Against ten men+0.104
At home+0.5425
Away+0.6224
3 days rest or fewer+0.9613
4+ days rest+0.4536
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.4419
v mid-tier opponents+0.3612
v bottom-tier opponents+0.785
As favourite+0.6044
Evenly matched+0.304
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.2349
Conceded when ahead-0.2739
Conceded late (76+)-0.2142
Congested vs rested +0.51 · Ahead vs level -0.24 · Behind vs level -0.11
Udinese · 39 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.09) · stands out: late push (76+, level) -0.38
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.0939
Early press (0-15, level)-0.0239
Late push (76+, level)-0.3811
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.2318
Game state
When ahead-0.0920
When level-0.0739
When behind-0.1123
10 min after conceding-0.1829
10 min after scoring+0.3327
Situations
With ten men-0.102
At home-0.1220
Away-0.0519
3 days rest or fewer-0.312
4+ days rest-0.0737
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.3313
v mid-tier opponents+0.0111
v bottom-tier opponents-0.105
As favourite+0.005
Evenly matched+0.1015
As underdog-0.2719
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.2139
Conceded when ahead+0.2720
Conceded late (76+)+0.1236
Congested vs rested -0.24 · Ahead vs level -0.02 · Behind vs level -0.05
Inter
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 15 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-5-2 | 49 100% | 2.2 | 2.22 | 1.0 | 2.1 | 1.0 |
Udinese
Current: winless 2 · scoring 4 · conceding 6
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-5-2 | 16 41% | 1.19 | 1.13 | 1.25 | 1.06 | 1.32 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 13 33% | 1.15 | 1.46 | 1.77 | 1.08 | 1.66 |
| 4-4-2 | 3 8% | 1.33 | 1.33 | 2.0 | 1.61 | 1.43 |
| 3-1-4-2 | 2 5% | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.82 | 2.06 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 1 3% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.12 | 1.36 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 125 snapshots · last 5m before kick-off · biggest step: home +2.0 pts at 15m · late move: home +2.8 pts inside the final hour
1.2Home 81% ▲ +6.4 ptsopened 1.287.5Draw 13% ▼ -2.9 ptsopened 6.0316.5Away 6% ▼ -3.5 ptsopened 10.22
Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.2 ▲ +6.4 | 7.5 ▼ -2.9 | 16.5 ▼ -3.5 | 5m |
| bet365 | 1.2 ▲ +3.5 | 6.5 ▼ -2.1 | 13.0 ▼ -1.4 | 5m |
| Betfair | 1.15 ▲ +6.3 | 6.5 ▼ -4.2 | 13.0 ▼ -2.1 | 5m |
| BetVictor | 1.18 ▲ +6.6 | 7.5 ▼ -4.2 | 15.0 ▼ -2.5 | 5m |
| Coral | 1.22 ▲ +4.6 | 7.0 ▼ -3.7 | 11.0 · -0.9 | 5m |
| Ladbrokes | 1.2 ▲ +5.2 | 7.0 ▼ -3.6 | 12.0 ▼ -1.5 | 5m |
| Unibet | 1.25 · +0.0 | 5.75 · +0.0 | 11.0 · +0.0 | 5m |
| WilliamHill | 1.2 ▲ +5.2 | 6.0 ▼ -3.1 | 12.0 ▼ -2.1 | 5m |
bet365 (Pinnacle absent) · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 125 snapshots · last 5m before kick-off · biggest step: no -2.5 pts at 3.5d · late move: no -1.3 pts inside the final hour
1.95Yes 48% · +0.0 ptsopened 1.951.8No 52% · +0.0 ptsopened 1.8
Yes No consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.95 · +0.0 | 1.8 · +0.0 | 5m |
| Betfair | 1.83 ▲ +2.7 | 1.83 ▼ -2.7 | 5m |
| BetVictor | 1.85 ▲ +1.8 | 1.83 ▼ -1.8 | 5m |
| Unibet | 1.98 · -0.3 | 1.71 · +0.3 | 5m |
| WilliamHill | 1.83 ▲ +3.6 | 1.95 ▼ -3.6 | 5m |
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 125 snapshots · last 5m before kick-off · biggest step: under -2.0 pts at 2.8h
1.39Over 69% ▲ +7.1 ptsopened 1.563.05Under 31% ▼ -7.1 ptsopened 2.5
Over Under consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.39 ▲ +7.1 | 3.05 ▼ -7.1 | 5m |
| bet365 | 1.4 ▲ +6.1 | 3.0 ▼ -6.1 | 5m |
| Betfair | 1.33 ▲ +10.4 | 3.0 ▼ -10.4 | 5m |
| BetVictor | 1.37 ▲ +6.6 | 2.77 ▼ -6.6 | 5m |
| Unibet | 1.52 · +0.0 | 2.32 · +0.0 | 5m |
Latest prices
bet365 · last snapshot 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
1.2Home 78% P 81%6.5Draw 14% P 13%13.0Away 7% P 6%
Double Chance
1.03Inter Milan or Draw 46%1.11Inter Milan or Udinese 43%4.33Draw or Udinese 11%
Draw No Bet
1.061 90%10.02 10%
Both Teams To Score
1.95Yes 48%1.8No 52%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.4Over 68% P 69%3.0Under 32% P 31%
Total Corners
10.0Under 6 9%3.16 - 8 28%2.629 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%
Number of Cards
2.51.61Over 58% P 55%2.2Under 42% P 45%
3.52.2Over 42% P 36%1.61Under 58% P 64%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 80–82.5% · away 5–7.5% · 442 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 81% | 81% | 83% | +1.6 |
| Draw | 13% | 13% | 11% | -1.8 |
| Away | 6% | 6% | 6% | +0.2 |
In those fixtures: 3.3 goals a game · BTTS 45% · over 2.5 65%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 67.5–70% · 626 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 69% | 69% | 69% | +0.6 |
Luca Pairetto
- Career
- 158 matches · 14 seasons
- Cards / match
- 4.98 (4.66 yellow · 0.13 red)
- Fouls / match
- 27.0 · 5.3 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.45
- Cards to home side
- 45%
Style in Serie A (5-year window · 60 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 4.9 | 4.49 | +0.58 | 68 |
| Fouls / match | 25.5 | 25.2 | +0.29 | |
| Fouls per card | 5.3 | 5.6 | -0.53 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.53 | 0.31 | +1.69 | 93 |
| Time added | 6.2 | 6.4 | -0.45 | 20 |
- First card
- 28' on average
- Card timing
- 16% in first 30' · 29% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 42% (league 46%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.18
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 37' | 10 |
| 2026-08-13 | 6 | 1 | 18 | 0 | 45' | 6 |
| 2026-07-23 | 4 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 30' | 5 |
| 2026-03-22 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 35' | 4 |
| 2026-03-02 · Udinese | 5 | 0 | 28 | 1 | 28' | 13 |
| 2026-02-15 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 1 | 11' | 8 |
| 2026-02-01 | 7 | 1 | 20 | 1 | 8' | 6 |
| 2026-01-18 | 5 | 0 | 31 | 0 | 20' | 5 |
| 2026-01-06 | 4 | 0 | 22 | 2 | 22' | 7 |
| 2025-12-20 | 7 | 1 | 34 | 0 | 38' | 6 |