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Serie A · Matchweek 4

Momentum

GenoaFrosinone
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
4

Venue

Stadium
Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris, Genova
Capacity
33,205
Surface
grass
Attendance
29,305

Teams

Coaches
Daniele De Rossi · Massimiliano Alvini
Position
19 · 7
Formation
3-5-2 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Andrea Rapuano

Weather

Conditions
broken clouds
Temperature
28.6° (feels 29.6°)
Wind
3.1
Humidity
54%

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2026/2027

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Roma 4400 12111 12 WWWW
2 Inter 4400 1367 12 WWWW
3 Como 4310 945 10 DWWW
4 Lazio 4310 633 10 WWWD
5 Cagliari 4301 422 9 WLWW
6 AC Milan 4220 743 8 WWDD
7 Frosinone 4211 743 7 LWWD
8 Juventus 4211 642 7 WWDL
9 Sassuolo 4211 871 7 LWDW
10 Napoli 4202 651 6 WLLW
11 Atalanta 4202 550 6 WWLL
12 Lecce 4202 57-2 6 WLLW
13 Udinese 4112 810-2 4 DWLL
14 Torino 4103 47-3 3 LLWL
15 Fiorentina 4103 511-6 3 LLLW
16 Bologna 4013 25-3 1 LLDL
17 Parma 4013 26-4 1 LLDL
18 Monza 4013 611-5 1 LLDL
19 Genoa 4013 28-6 1 LLLD
20 Venezia 4004 411-7 0 LLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation

Genoa

LLLLL 0W 0D 5L · 0 pts (0.0 ppg) · GF 2 GA 10 · xG 4.67–7.18 · xPts 4.98

  • L H Como 1–4 xG 1.03–1.98 ITA SA
  • L A Lazio 0–1 xG 0.56–1.15 ITA SA
  • L H Napoli 0–2 xG 0.62–0.91 ITA SA
  • L A Lecce 0–1 xG 0.89–1.36 ITA SA
  • L H AC Milan 1–2 xG 1.55–1.79 ITA SA

Frosinone

LWW 2W 0D 1L · 6 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 6 GA 3 · xG 3.28–6.01 · xPts 2.43

  • W H Venezia 3–2 xG 1.27–2.25 ITA SA
  • W A Fiorentina 3–0 xG 1.47–1.99 ITA SA
  • L H Juventus 0–1 xG 0.55–1.77 ITA SA

KickoffDNA model engine-only-1.1.0 · lineups confirmed ·

Match result

40.1%Genoa P 42%27.1%Draw P 30%32.8%Frosinone P 28%

Over / under 2.5

47.1%Over 2.5 P 51%52.9%Under 2.5 P 49%

Both teams to score

52.2%Yes47.8%No

Expected

Genoa goals
1.36 (0–3)
Frosinone goals
1.2 (0–3)
Corners
9.61 (5–14)
Cards
3.75 (1–6)

Earlier: day before — 40.1% / 27.1% / 32.8%

Provider model (SportMonks)

Match result

32.0%Genoa26.1%Draw41.9%Frosinone

Over / under 2.5

53.6%Over 2.546.4%Under 2.5

Both teams to score

56.8%Yes43.2%No

Scored

MarketObservedLog lossBrier
1x2draw1.3070.801
ou_2_5under0.6370.444
bttsyes0.6510.458

Model probabilities are independent of the market; bookmaker figures are shown only as a benchmark.

All meetings · 7 matches since 2015

Genoa 24 draws1 Frosinone

Goals 11–7 · 2.57 per match · BTTS 71% · over 2.5 57%

Last 10 · 7 matches

Genoa 24 draws1 Frosinone

Goals 11–7 · 2.57 per match · BTTS 71% · over 2.5 57%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Genoa 13 draws1 Frosinone

Goals 5–5 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • D Genoa 1–1 Frosinone ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Genoa 1–1 Frosinone ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Frosinone 2–1 Genoa ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Genoa 0–0 Frosinone ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Frosinone 1–2 Genoa ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Genoa 4–0 Frosinone neutral ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Frosinone 2–2 Genoa neutral ITA SA · Regular Season
MetricGenoa all · 4Genoa at home · 3Frosinone all · 4Frosinone away · 2

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Genoa · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.14) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.31

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.144
Early press (0-15, level)+0.094
Late push (76+, level)-0.672
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.313

Game state

When level-0.174
When behind-0.084
10 min after conceding-0.234
10 min after scoring-0.662

Situations

At home-0.083
4+ days rest-0.144

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.202
Evenly matched-0.082
As underdog-0.202

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.204
Conceded late (76+)+0.444

Ahead vs level -0.48 · Behind vs level +0.09

Frosinone · 4 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.18) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.27

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.184
Early press (0-15, level)+0.164
Late push (76+, level)+0.242

Game state

When ahead-0.243
When level+0.094
10 min after conceding-0.273
10 min after scoring-0.123

Situations

At home-0.312
Away-0.012
4+ days rest-0.184

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents-0.082
Evenly matched-0.082
As underdog-0.292

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.294
Conceded when ahead+0.353
Conceded late (76+)-0.493

Ahead vs level -0.33 · Behind vs level -0.63

Genoa

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 9 · scoring 2 · conceding 6

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-12 50%0.00.01.50.591.03
3-5-21 25%1.01.01.01.851.88
3-4-1-21 25%0.01.04.01.031.98

Frosinone

Current: unbeaten 3 · winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-14 100%1.751.751.01.291.96

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: home +1.2 pts at 5.0h · late move: draw +1.0 pts inside the final hour

2.34Home 42% ▼ -3.8 ptsopened 2.133.23Draw 30% ▲ +2.3 ptsopened 3.473.44Away 28% ▲ +1.6 ptsopened 3.62
5d4d3d2d24h12h6h1hKO 25%30%35%40%45%

Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

BookmakerHomeDrawAwayLast
Pinnacle2.34 ▼ -3.83.23 ▲ +2.33.44 ▲ +1.610m
bet3652.25 ▼ -4.83.3 · +0.13.25 ▲ +4.710m
Betfair2.25 ▼ -3.03.1 ▲ +1.43.3 ▲ +1.610m
BetVictor2.25 ▼ -3.13.5 · -0.23.1 ▲ +3.310m
Coral2.3 ▼ -3.73.3 ▲ +1.03.2 ▲ +2.710m
Ladbrokes2.25 ▼ -4.33.25 ▲ +1.13.1 ▲ +3.310m
Unibet2.05 ▼ -2.73.35 · +0.53.5 ▲ +2.210m
WilliamHill2.25 ▼ -5.23.3 · -0.12.9 ▲ +5.310m

Latest prices

bet365 · last snapshot 0.2h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.25Home 42% P 42%3.3Draw 29% P 30%3.25Away 29% P 28%

Double Chance

1.33Genoa or Draw 35%1.3Genoa or Frosinone 36%1.66Draw or Frosinone 28%

Draw No Bet

1.571 59%2.252 41%

Both Teams To Score

1.66Yes 56%2.1No 44%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.9Over 50% P 51%1.9Under 50% P 49%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.256 - 8 27%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%10.0Over 14 9%

Number of Cards

4.51.72Over 54% P 48%2.0Under 46% P 52%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 40–42.5% · away 27.5–30% · 815 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home42%41%42%+0.5
Draw30%30%27%-2.4
Away28%29%31%+1.9

In those fixtures: 2.4 goals a game · BTTS 47% · over 2.5 43%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 50–52.5% · 3,575 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.551%51%51%-0.1

Andrea Rapuano

No career statistics.

Style in Serie A (5-year window · 8 matches)

Fewer than 10 matches with card data in this league — averages only: 4.75 cards, 24.5 fouls per match.

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-08-23 40 200 3'9
2026-04-12 · Genoa 52 230 5'5
2026-03-07 30 170 20'6
2026-02-21 51 270 25'14
2026-02-08 30 301 64'6
2026-01-04 20 200 56'8
2025-11-02 50 350 14'7