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Serie A · Matchweek 4

Momentum

ComoParma
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
4

Venue

Stadium
Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia, Como
Capacity
12,064
Surface
grass
Attendance
10,211

Teams

Coaches
Cesc Fàbregas · Carlos Antón Cuesta
Position
6 · 17
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Giuseppe Mucera

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
24.0° (feels 24.3°)
Wind
1.3
Humidity
68%

Where to watch · 181

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2026/2027

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Roma 4400 12111 12 WWWW
2 Inter 4400 1367 12 WWWW
3 Como 4310 945 10 DWWW
4 Lazio 4310 633 10 WWWD
5 Cagliari 4301 422 9 WLWW
6 AC Milan 4220 743 8 WWDD
7 Frosinone 4211 743 7 LWWD
8 Juventus 4211 642 7 WWDL
9 Sassuolo 4211 871 7 LWDW
10 Napoli 4202 651 6 WLLW
11 Atalanta 4202 550 6 WWLL
12 Lecce 4202 57-2 6 WLLW
13 Udinese 4112 810-2 4 DWLL
14 Torino 4103 47-3 3 LLWL
15 Fiorentina 4103 511-6 3 LLLW
16 Bologna 4013 25-3 1 LLDL
17 Parma 4013 26-4 1 LLDL
18 Monza 4013 611-5 1 LLDL
19 Genoa 4013 28-6 1 LLLD
20 Venezia 4004 411-7 0 LLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation

Como

WDWWW 4W 1D 0L · 13 pts (2.6 ppg) · GF 15 GA 5 · xG 9.26–6.84 · xPts 8.43

  • W H RB Leipzig 4–1 xG 1.94–1.19 UEFA CL
  • W A Genoa 4–1 xG 1.98–1.03 ITA SA
  • W A Napoli 2–1 xG 1.15–1.88 ITA SA
  • D A Udinese 1–1 xG 1.86–1.59 ITA SA
  • W A Cremonese 4–1 xG 2.34–1.15 ITA SA

Parma

LWLLD 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 2 GA 5 · xG 3.55–7.42 · xPts 4.38

  • D H Monza 1–1 xG 1.0–1.37 ITA SA
  • L A Juventus 0–2 xG 0.27–1.64 ITA SA
  • L H Cagliari 0–1 xG 0.88–1.24 ITA SA
  • W H Sassuolo 1–0 xG 1.23–0.86 ITA SA
  • L A Como 0–1 xG 0.17–2.31 ITA SA

KickoffDNA model engine-only-1.1.0 · lineups confirmed ·

Match result

67.7%Como P 79%21.2%Draw P 14%11.1%Parma P 7%

Over / under 2.5

45.8%Over 2.5 P 63%54.2%Under 2.5 P 37%

Both teams to score

39.3%Yes60.7%No

Expected

Como goals
1.89 (0–4)
Parma goals
0.62 (0–2)
Corners
8.4 (4–13)
Cards
3.69 (1–6)

Earlier: day before — 67.7% / 21.2% / 11.1%

Provider model (SportMonks)

Match result

68.9%Como20.3%Draw10.7%Parma

Over / under 2.5

49.5%Over 2.550.5%Under 2.5

Both teams to score

41.1%Yes58.9%No

Scored

MarketObservedLog lossBrier
1x2home0.390.162
ou_2_5over0.780.587
bttsyes0.9340.737

Model probabilities are independent of the market; bookmaker figures are shown only as a benchmark.

All meetings · 5 matches since 2024

Como 32 draws0 Parma

Goals 5–2 · 1.4 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 20%

Last 10 · 5 matches

Como 32 draws0 Parma

Goals 5–2 · 1.4 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 20%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Como 32 draws0 Parma

Goals 5–2 · 1.4 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 20%

Recent meetings

  • W Como 2–1 Parma ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Como 1–0 Parma ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Parma 0–0 Como ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Parma 0–1 Como ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Como 1–1 Parma ITA SA · Regular Season
MetricComo all · 4Como at home · 1Parma all · 4Parma away · 2

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Como · 5 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.35) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.70

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.355
Early press (0-15, level)+0.415

Game state

When ahead+0.224
When level+0.565
When behind+0.302
10 min after conceding+0.075
10 min after scoring+0.705

Situations

At home+0.342
Away+0.353
4+ days rest+0.355

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.022
As favourite+0.394

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.145
Conceded when ahead-0.014
Conceded late (76+)-0.135

Ahead vs level -0.34 · Behind vs level -0.27

Parma · 4 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.20) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) +0.53

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.204
Early press (0-15, level)+0.534
Late push (76+, level)-0.722
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.523

Game state

When level-0.214
When behind-0.194
10 min after conceding-0.494
10 min after scoring-0.162

Situations

At home-0.242
Away-0.172
4+ days rest-0.204

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.172
Evenly matched-0.242
As underdog-0.172

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.404
Conceded late (76+)+0.484

Behind vs level +0.02

Como

Current: unbeaten 10 · wins 4 · scoring 8 · conceding 6

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-14 100%2.52.251.01.911.46

Parma

Current: winless 4 · scoring 2 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-12 50%0.51.01.51.152.01
4-4-21 25%0.00.02.00.271.64
4-3-31 25%0.00.01.00.881.24

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: home -1.2 pts at 10.5h

1.22Home 79% ▲ +1.9 ptsopened 1.246.8Draw 14% ▼ -1.2 ptsopened 6.2114.44Away 7% · -0.7 ptsopened 12.98
4d3d2d24h12h6h1hKO 10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%

Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

BookmakerHomeDrawAwayLast
Pinnacle1.22 ▲ +1.96.8 ▼ -1.214.44 · -0.710m
bet3651.2 ▲ +2.66.0 ▼ -1.515.0 ▼ -1.010m
Betfair1.2 ▲ +1.16.0 ▼ -1.214.0 · +0.110m
BetVictor1.2 ▲ +2.36.5 ▼ -2.413.0 · +0.110m
Coral1.22 ▲ +2.77.0 ▼ -2.112.0 · -0.610m
Ladbrokes1.22 ▲ +2.77.0 ▼ -2.112.0 · -0.610m
Unibet1.23 ▲ +1.35.6 · -0.612.5 · -0.610m
WilliamHill1.22 ▲ +2.16.0 ▼ -1.412.0 · -0.710m

Latest prices

bet365 · last snapshot 0.2h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.2Home 78% P 79%6.0Draw 16% P 14%15.0Away 6% P 7%

Double Chance

1.04Como or Draw 46%1.12Como or Parma 42%4.0Draw or Parma 12%

Draw No Bet

1.051 91%11.02 9%

Both Teams To Score

2.1Yes 44%1.66No 56%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.57Over 60% P 63%2.37Under 40% P 37%

Total Corners

6.0Under 6 14%2.626 - 8 33%2.759 - 11 31%5.512 - 14 16%13.0Over 14 7%

Number of Cards

3.52.1Over 44% P 40%1.66Under 56% P 60%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 77.5–80% · away 5–7.5% · 360 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home79%79%82%+3.0
Draw14%14%13%-1.5
Away7%7%5%-1.5

In those fixtures: 3.3 goals a game · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 63%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 62.5–65% · 1,570 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.563%64%63%-0.4

Giuseppe Mucera

No career statistics.

Style in Serie A (5-year window · 4 matches)

Fewer than 10 matches with card data in this league — averages only: 2.25 cards, 23.2 fouls per match.

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-05-02 20 290 46'6
2026-03-08 30 250 16'8
2025-12-07 30 271 45'11