Rating 7.09 (91th pct) · G+A 3 + 8 (16% of team goals) · 59% of minutes
Team 1.56 ppg with (32) · 1.5 without (20)
Serie A · Matchweek 4
Momentum
– AtalantaCagliari –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
- No events yet.
Stats
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Season context
| Atalanta | at home | Stat | league | away | Cagliari |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48.2 #9 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 42.0 #18 |
| 12.0 #15 | – | Shots total | 14.6 | – | 12.2 #14 |
| 3.8 #15 | – | Shots on target | 4.9 | – | 4.8 #9 |
| 2.2 #19 | – | Corners | 4.8 | – | 4.8 #10 |
| 9.5 #14 | – | Fouls | 11.2 | – | 10.8 #11 |
| 1.0 #15 | – | Offsides | 2.0 | – | 2.5 #6 |
| 13.5 #18 | – | Tackles | 16.2 | – | 15.0 #14 |
| 101.2 #5 | – | Attacks | 93.0 | – | 79.5 #18 |
| 41.8 #12 | – | Dangerous attacks | 44.7 | – | 32.5 #17 |
| 523.5 #6 | – | Passes | 460.1 | – | 416.8 #12 |
| 0.5 #18 | – | Yellowcards | 1.5 | – | 1.2 #13 |
| 0.2 #1 | – | Redcards | 0.1 | – | – |
| 0.8 #16 | – | Assists | 1.2 | – | 0.8 #16 |
| – #5 | – | Btts | 60.0 | – | – #17 |
| – #6 | – | Cleansheet | 20.0 | – | – #2 |
| – #12 | – | Draw | 14.5 | – | – #12 |
| 0.9 #20 | – | Expected goals | 1.5 | – | 1.1 #16 |
| 0.3 #5 | – | Expected goals difference | -0.0 | – | -0.1 #13 |
| – #10 | – | Failed to score | 20.0 | – | – #7 |
| 1.2 #12 | 1.3 | Goals | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 #15 |
| 1.2 #11 | 1.0 | Goals conceded | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 #19 |
| 0.5 #4 | – | Injury time goals | 0.4 | – | – |
| 7.5 #13 | – | Interceptions | 8.4 | – | 11.0 #3 |
| – #8 | – | Lost | 42.5 | – | – #13 |
| – | – | Penalties scored | 0.1 | – | 0.2 #1 |
| 6.8 #10 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.9 #8 |
| 3.5 #9 | – | Shots blocked | 3.6 | – | 2.2 #17 |
| 7.5 #16 | – | Shots insidebox | 9.6 | – | 7.2 #17 |
| 4.8 #15 | – | Shots off target | 6.0 | – | 5.2 #12 |
| 4.5 #12 | – | Shots outsidebox | 5.0 | – | 5.0 #9 |
| – #6 | – | Win | 43.0 | – | – #3 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 20.
League this season · 2026/2027
- Played
- 37 of 380
- Goals / match
- 2.92 (home 1.41 · away 1.51)
- Home / draw / away
- 41% · 16% · 43%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 59% · 57%
- Cards / match
- 3.19 (reds 0.03)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Atalanta · Last 365 days
Rating 6.99 (68th pct) · G+A 4 + 2 (9% of team goals) · 74% of minutes
Team 1.61 ppg with (41) · 1.27 without (11)
Rating 6.92 (58th pct) · G+A 5 + 5 (15% of team goals) · 52% of minutes
Team 1.2 ppg with (25) · 1.85 without (27)
Cagliari · Last 365 days
Rating 6.84 (60th pct) · G+A 0 + 3 (7% of team goals) · 82% of minutes
Team 1.26 ppg with (34) · 1.0 without (5)
Rating 6.71 (16th pct) · G+A 1 + 4 (12% of team goals) · 90% of minutes
Team 1.21 ppg with (34) · 1.4 without (5)
Rating 6.85 (64th pct) · G+A 1 + 1 (5% of team goals) · 54% of minutes
Team 1.42 ppg with (24) · 0.93 without (15)
Absences
Atalanta
- suspension Gianluca Gaetano #16 key player midfielder · Red Card Suspension · 1 missed · until 2026-09-13
Cagliari
- injury Riyad Idrissi #12 key player defender · Cruciate Ligament Tear · 20 missed · until 2026-10-30
- injury Yael Trepy attacker · Unknown Injury · 4 missed
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 4
Venue
- Stadium
- Gewiss Stadium, Bergamo
- Capacity
- 23,439
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 21,977
Teams
- Coaches
- Maurizio Sarri · Fabio Pisacane
- Position
- 8 · 9
- Formation
- 4-3-3 · 4-4-1-1
Referee
Alberto Arena
Weather
- Conditions
- few clouds
- Temperature
- 20.5° (feels 20.6°)
- Wind
- 1.5
- Humidity
- 80%
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2026/2027
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Roma |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 1 | 11 | 12 | WWWW |
| 2 |  Inter |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 12 | WWWW |
| 3 |  Como |
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 10 | DWWW |
| 4 |  Lazio |
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 10 | WWWD |
| 5 |  Cagliari |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9 | WLWW |
| 6 |  AC Milan |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 8 | WWDD |
| 7 |  Frosinone |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 | LWWD |
| 8 |  Juventus |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 7 | WWDL |
| 9 |  Sassuolo |
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 7 | LWDWL |
| 10 |  Napoli |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 6 | WLLW |
| 11 |  Atalanta |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 6 | WWLL |
| 12 |  Lecce |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 6 | WLLW |
| 13 |  Udinese |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 4 | DWLL |
| 14 |  Monza |
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 4 | LLDLW |
| 15 |  Torino |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 3 | LLWL |
| 16 |  Fiorentina |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 3 | LLLW |
| 17 |  Bologna |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 1 | LLDL |
| 18 |  Parma |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 1 | LLDL |
| 19 |  Genoa |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 1 | LLLD |
| 20 |  Venezia |
4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 0 | LLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 9 | WWWW |
| 2 | Roma |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 6 | WWWW |
| 3 | Sassuolo |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 6 | LWDWL |
| 4 | Atalanta |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 6 | WWLL |
| 5 | Juventus |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | WWDL |
| 6 | Lazio |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | WWWD |
| 7 | AC Milan |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | WWDD |
| 8 | Como |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | DWWW |
| 9 | Monza |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | LLDLW |
| 10 | Frosinone |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | LWWD |
| 11 | Napoli |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | WLLW |
| 12 | Cagliari |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | WLWW |
| 13 | Lecce |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 3 | WLLW |
| 14 | Bologna |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 1 | LLDL |
| 15 | Udinese |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 1 | DWLL |
| 16 | Parma |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 1 | LLDL |
| 17 | Genoa |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 1 | LLLD |
| 18 | Torino |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | LLWL |
| 19 | Venezia |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 0 | LLLL |
| 20 | Fiorentina |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 0 | LLLW |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Como |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 7 | DWWW |
| 2 | Roma |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 6 | WWWW |
| 3 | Cagliari |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | WLWW |
| 4 | Lazio |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | WWWD |
| 5 | AC Milan |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 5 | WWDD |
| 6 | Frosinone |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 | LWWD |
| 7 | Napoli |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | WLLW |
| 8 | Lecce |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | WLLW |
| 9 | Inter |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | WWWW |
| 10 | Juventus |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | WWDL |
| 11 | Torino |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | LLWL |
| 12 | Udinese |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 3 | DWLL |
| 13 | Fiorentina |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 3 | LLLW |
| 14 | Sassuolo |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 1 | LWDWL |
| 15 | Monza |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 1 | LLDLW |
| 16 | Atalanta |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | WWLL |
| 17 | Genoa |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | LLLD |
| 18 | Bologna |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | LLDL |
| 19 | Venezia |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 0 | LLLL |
| 20 | Parma |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | LLDL |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Europa League
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
- Relegation
Atalanta
DWWWL 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 5 GA 3 · xG 4.04–8.06 · xPts 4.74
- L
A
Roma
1–2
xG 0.88–3.31
ITA SA
- W
H
Bologna
1–0
xG 0.25–0.91
ITA SA
- W
A
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1–0
xG 1.02–0.89
UEFA ECL - W
H
Sassuolo
2–1
xG 0.9–2.54
ITA SA
- D
H
Hapoel Tel Aviv
0–0
xG 0.99–0.41
UEFA ECL
LDDWWWL 3W 2D 2L · 11 pts (1.57 ppg) · GF 6 GA 5 · xG 6.59–9.69 · xPts 8.1
- L
A
Roma
1–2
xG 0.88–3.31
ITA SA
- W
H
Bologna
1–0
xG 0.25–0.91
ITA SA
- W
A
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1–0
xG 1.02–0.89
UEFA ECL
- W
H
Sassuolo
2–1
xG 0.9–2.54
ITA SA
- D
H
Hapoel Tel Aviv
0–0
xG 0.99–0.41
UEFA ECL
- D
A
Fiorentina
1–1
xG 1.67–0.79
ITA SA
- L
H
Bologna
0–1
xG 0.89–0.84
ITA SA
Cagliari
WWWLW 4W 0D 1L · 12 pts (2.4 ppg) · GF 6 GA 3 · xG 6.75–8.11 · xPts 6.73
- W
H
Lecce
1–0
xG 1.14–0.76
ITA SA
- L
H
Inter
0–1
xG 0.57–3.59
ITA SA
- W
A
Parma
1–0
xG 1.24–0.88
ITA SA
- W
A
AC Milan
2–1
xG 2.53–1.77
ITA SA
- W
H
Torino
2–1
xG 1.28–1.11
ITA SA
WWWLW 4W 0D 1L · 12 pts (2.4 ppg) · GF 6 GA 3 · xG 6.75–8.11 · xPts 6.73
- W
H
Lecce
1–0
xG 1.14–0.76
ITA SA
- L
H
Inter
0–1
xG 0.57–3.59
ITA SA
- W
A
Parma
1–0
xG 1.24–0.88
ITA SA
- W
A
AC Milan
2–1
xG 2.53–1.77
ITA SA
- W
H
Torino
2–1
xG 1.28–1.11
ITA SA
KickoffDNA model engine-only-1.1.0 · lineups confirmed ·
Match result
52.4%Atalanta P 57%27.8%Draw P 26%19.8%Cagliari P 18%
Over / under 2.5
37.0%Over 2.5 P 51%63.0%Under 2.5 P 49%
Both teams to score
40.5%Yes59.5%No
Expected
- Atalanta goals
- 1.42 (0–3)
- Cagliari goals
- 0.76 (0–2)
- Corners
- 9.26 (5–14)
- Cards
- 3.68 (1–6)
Earlier: day before — 52.4% / 27.8% / 19.8%
Provider model (SportMonks)
Match result
57.8%Atalanta25.1%Draw17.1%Cagliari
Over / under 2.5
45.2%Over 2.554.8%Under 2.5
Both teams to score
45.7%Yes54.3%No
Scored
| Market | Observed | Log loss | Brier |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1x2 | away | 1.618 | 0.994 |
| ou_2_5 | over | 0.993 | 0.793 |
| btts | yes | 0.904 | 0.708 |
Model probabilities are independent of the market; bookmaker figures are shown only as a benchmark.
All meetings · 35 matches since 2006
Goals 42–42 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 46% · over 2.5 46%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 13–11 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 6–6 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%
Recent meetings
- L Atalanta 1–2 Cagliari ITA SA · Regular Season
- L Cagliari 3–2 Atalanta ITA SA · Regular Season
- W Atalanta 2–1 Cagliari ITA SA · Regular Season
- D Atalanta 0–0 Cagliari ITA SA · Regular Season
- W Cagliari 0–1 Atalanta ITA SA · Regular Season
- L Cagliari 2–1 Atalanta ITA SA · Regular Season
- W Atalanta 2–0 Cagliari ITA SA · Regular Season
- L Atalanta 1–2 Cagliari ITA SA · Regular Season
- W Cagliari 1–2 Atalanta ITA SA · Regular Season
- W Cagliari 0–1 Atalanta ITA SA · Regular Season
| Metric | Atalanta all · 4 | Atalanta at home · 3 | Cagliari all · 4 | Cagliari away · 2 |
|---|
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Atalanta · 6 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.06) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.46
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.066
Early press (0-15, level)-0.016
Late push (76+, level)-0.393
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.582
Game state
When ahead-0.174
When level-0.086
When behind+0.312
10 min after conceding-0.463
10 min after scoring+0.205
Situations
At home+0.024
Away-0.212
4+ days rest-0.055
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents+0.023
As favourite+0.025
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.466
Conceded when ahead+0.404
Conceded late (76+)+0.076
Congested vs rested -0.08 · Ahead vs level -0.09 · Behind vs level +0.39
Cagliari · 4 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.02) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.61
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.024
Early press (0-15, level)-0.334
Game state
When ahead+0.263
When level-0.024
10 min after conceding-0.552
10 min after scoring+0.613
Situations
At home-0.012
Away-0.032
4+ days rest-0.024
Opposition
As underdog-0.452
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.304
Conceded when ahead-0.083
Conceded late (76+)+0.064
Ahead vs level +0.28 · Behind vs level -0.47
Atalanta
Current: winless 2 · scoring 5 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 4 100% | 1.5 | 1.25 | 1.25 | 0.91 | 1.97 |
Cagliari
Current: unbeaten 2 · wins 2 · scoring 2 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 2 50% | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 2.23 |
| 4-3-2-1 | 1 25% | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.14 | 0.76 |
| 4-4-1-1 | 1 25% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.12 | 1.58 |
| Metric | Atalanta all · 10 | Atalanta at home · 10 | Cagliari all · 10 | Cagliari away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 1.50 | 1.20 | 1.90 | 1.40 |
| W / D / L | 4 / 3 / 3 | 3 / 3 / 4 | 6 / 1 / 3 | 4 / 2 / 4 |
| Goals for / match | 1.00 | 0.80 | 1.10 | 1.00 |
| Goals against / match | 0.90 | 1.30 | 1.10 | 1.40 |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 40% | 30% | 20% |
| Failed to score | 30% | 40% | 40% | 30% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 40% | 40% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 | 40% | 40% | 50% | 60% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.16 | 1.46 | 1.20 | 1.11 |
| xG against / match | 1.33 | 1.28 | 1.59 | 1.55 |
| xG difference | -0.17 | 0.18 | -0.39 | -0.44 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.16 | -0.66 | -0.10 | -0.11 |
| xPts / match | 1.32 | 1.52 | 1.21 | 1.10 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.18 | -0.32 | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 50% | 30% | 40% | 50% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.40 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.33 | 0.20 | 1.20 | 0.75 |
| Came back from behind | 25% | 20% | 40% | 20% |
| Leads held | 80% | 100% | 100% | 67% |
| Minutes leading | 24% | 14% | 32% | 22% |
| Minutes level | 64% | 61% | 49% | 55% |
| Minutes trailing | 12% | 25% | 19% | 24% |
| First goal (min) | 49 | 56 | 31 | 44 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 61 | 42 | 34 | 42 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 60% | 62% | 36% | 60% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 78% | 62% | 46% | 71% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.20 | 0.30 | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| Late goals against | 0.50 | 0.10 | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 51% | 54% | 44% | 47% |
| Shots | 13.2 | 14.8 | 13.6 | 11.1 |
| On target | 4.3 | 3.9 | 4.5 | 4.2 |
| Shot conversion | 8% | 5% | 8% | 9% |
| Shots inside box | 63% | 65% | 62% | 63% |
| Big chances created | 1.5 | 2.0 | 2.2 | 1.9 |
| Corners | 3.1 | 4.7 | 5.2 | 3.4 |
| xG from set plays | 14% | 25% | 42% | 39% |
| Goals from headers | 0% | 25% | 40% | 22% |
| Pressure index | 12.2 | 15.5 | 12.2 | 9.4 |
| Dominant minutes | 47.3 | 56.0 | 44.8 | 39.9 |
| Pass accuracy | 86% | 86% | 82% | 83% |
| Fouls | 12.3 | 10.6 | 9.5 | 12.1 |
| Cards | 1.20 | 0.90 | 1.20 | 2.40 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Atalanta
0–15'20
16–30'11
31–45'11
46–60'21
61–75'21
76–90'25
Cagliari
0–15'22
16–30'30
31–45'24
46–60'23
61–75'10
76–90'12
Atalanta
Current: winless 2 · scoring 5 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 6 60% | 1.67 | 1.0 | 0.83 | 0.94 | 1.53 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 3 30% | 1.33 | 1.33 | 1.33 | 1.26 | 1.21 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 1 10% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.18 | 0.44 |
Cagliari
Current: unbeaten 2 · wins 2 · scoring 2 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-5-2 | 2 20% | 1.5 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.56 | 2.05 |
| 4-3-2-1 | 2 20% | 3.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 1.21 | 0.94 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 2 20% | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 2.23 |
| 5-3-2 | 2 20% | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.38 | 1.51 |
| 4-4-1-1 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.12 | 1.58 |
| Metric | Atalanta all · 52 | Atalanta at home · 27 | Cagliari all · 39 | Cagliari away · 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 52 | 27 | 39 | 20 |
| Points per game | 1.54 | 1.70 | 1.23 | 1.20 |
| W / D / L | 22 / 14 / 16 | 13 / 7 / 7 | 13 / 9 / 17 | 6 / 6 / 8 |
| Goals for / match | 1.29 | 1.30 | 1.05 | 1.05 |
| Goals against / match | 1.10 | 1.04 | 1.36 | 1.50 |
| Clean sheets | 36% | 37% | 23% | 15% |
| Failed to score | 23% | 30% | 36% | 30% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 48% | 49% | 65% |
| Over 2.5 | 44% | 48% | 51% | 65% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.68 | 1.88 | 1.02 | 1.12 |
| xG against / match | 1.32 | 1.12 | 1.42 | 1.51 |
| xG difference | 0.36 | 0.76 | -0.40 | -0.39 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.40 | -0.59 | 0.03 | -0.07 |
| xPts / match | 1.61 | 1.84 | 1.14 | 1.14 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.08 | -0.13 | 0.09 | 0.06 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 48% | 44% | 33% | 35% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.44 | 2.58 | 2.23 | 1.57 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.64 | 1.00 | 0.70 | 1.00 |
| Came back from behind | 33% | 42% | 32% | 38% |
| Leads held | 79% | 87% | 68% | 60% |
| Minutes leading | 25% | 29% | 18% | 15% |
| Minutes level | 52% | 51% | 49% | 50% |
| Minutes trailing | 23% | 19% | 33% | 35% |
| First goal (min) | 48 | 37 | 47 | 46 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 45 | 44 | 33 | 33 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 58% | 54% | 58% | 62% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 54% | 61% | 55% | 57% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.38 | 0.41 | 0.18 | 0.20 |
| Late goals against | 0.17 | 0.07 | 0.33 | 0.30 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 53% | 54% | 45% | 46% |
| Shots | 14.3 | 16.0 | 11.0 | 11.0 |
| On target | 4.5 | 4.7 | 3.6 | 3.8 |
| Shot conversion | 9% | 8% | 10% | 10% |
| Shots inside box | 66% | 66% | 61% | 62% |
| Big chances created | 2.6 | 2.8 | 1.8 | 1.9 |
| Corners | 5.0 | 5.6 | 4.0 | 3.4 |
| xG from set plays | 26% | 29% | 36% | 33% |
| Goals from headers | 16% | 26% | 28% | 10% |
| Pressure index | 15.7 | 18.1 | 9.2 | 8.2 |
| Dominant minutes | 53.2 | 58.6 | 38.0 | 35.2 |
| Pass accuracy | 84% | 85% | 80% | 82% |
| Fouls | 11.3 | 10.8 | 13.4 | 13.8 |
| Cards | 1.58 | 1.22 | 2.10 | 2.50 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Atalanta
0–15'105
16–30'612
31–45'129
46–60'109
61–75'913
76–90'209
Cagliari
0–15'210
16–30'66
31–45'98
46–60'710
61–75'106
76–90'713
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Atalanta · 52 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.19) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) +0.56
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.1952
Early press (0-15, level)+0.1052
Late push (76+, level)-0.0223
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.5617
Game state
When ahead+0.2728
When level+0.1152
When behind+0.2824
10 min after conceding-0.0933
10 min after scoring+0.4838
Situations
With ten men-0.023
Against ten men+0.154
At home+0.2527
Away+0.1125
3 days rest or fewer+0.2811
4+ days rest+0.1641
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.0117
v mid-tier opponents+0.2616
v bottom-tier opponents+0.473
As favourite+0.2829
Evenly matched+0.2015
As underdog-0.238
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.0052
Conceded when ahead-0.0128
Conceded late (76+)-0.2645
Congested vs rested +0.12 · Ahead vs level +0.16 · Behind vs level +0.17
Cagliari · 39 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.12) · stands out: v mid-tier opponents -0.28
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.1239
Early press (0-15, level)-0.1039
Late push (76+, level)-0.2414
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.2219
Game state
When ahead-0.1619
When level-0.0739
When behind-0.1525
10 min after conceding-0.2730
10 min after scoring+0.2125
Situations
Against ten men+0.274
At home-0.1719
Away-0.0720
4+ days rest-0.1239
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.2712
v mid-tier opponents-0.287
v bottom-tier opponents+0.085
As favourite+0.015
Evenly matched+0.219
As underdog-0.2625
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.2939
Conceded when ahead+0.3919
Conceded late (76+)+0.2539
Ahead vs level -0.08 · Behind vs level -0.08
Atalanta
Current: winless 2 · scoring 5 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 38 73% | 1.58 | 1.42 | 1.05 | 1.73 | 1.3 |
| 4-3-3 | 7 14% | 1.57 | 1.0 | 0.86 | 1.08 | 1.46 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 4 8% | 1.25 | 1.0 | 1.25 | 1.98 | 0.88 |
| 3-4-3 | 2 4% | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 2.01 | 0.87 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 2% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 2.25 | 3.81 |
Cagliari
Current: unbeaten 2 · wins 2 · scoring 2 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-5-2 | 18 46% | 1.06 | 1.17 | 1.44 | 0.94 | 1.45 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 3 8% | 2.0 | 0.67 | 0.33 | 0.98 | 1.61 |
| 4-5-1 | 3 8% | 0.67 | 0.0 | 0.67 | 0.6 | 0.86 |
| 4-3-2-1 | 3 8% | 2.33 | 1.67 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.53 |
| 4-3-3 | 2 5% | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 0.9 | 0.8 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 125 snapshots · last 5m before kick-off · biggest step: home -3.2 pts at 11.8h
1.71Home 57% ▼ -4.5 ptsopened 1.583.77Draw 26% ▲ +2.7 ptsopened 4.25.47Away 18% ▲ +1.8 ptsopened 6.07
Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.71 ▼ -4.5 | 3.77 ▲ +2.7 | 5.47 ▲ +1.8 | 5m |
| bet365 | 1.66 ▼ -3.4 | 3.8 · +0.6 | 5.0 ▲ +2.8 | 5m |
| Betfair | 1.67 ▼ -5.9 | 3.7 ▲ +2.6 | 5.0 ▲ +3.2 | 5m |
| BetVictor | 1.67 ▼ -4.3 | 3.8 · +1.0 | 5.0 ▲ +3.4 | 5m |
| Coral | 1.67 ▼ -3.7 | 3.9 · +0.5 | 4.8 ▲ +3.2 | 5m |
| Ladbrokes | 1.67 ▼ -3.7 | 3.9 · +0.5 | 4.8 ▲ +3.2 | 5m |
| Unibet | 1.5 · -0.5 | 4.0 · -0.0 | 6.25 · +0.6 | 5m |
| WilliamHill | 1.67 ▼ -4.5 | 3.6 ▲ +1.3 | 4.8 ▲ +3.2 | 5m |
bet365 (Pinnacle absent) · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 125 snapshots · last 5m before kick-off · biggest step: no +4.0 pts at 10.8h · late move: no -2.0 pts inside the final hour
1.8Yes 52% ▲ +4.0 ptsopened 1.951.95No 48% ▼ -4.0 ptsopened 1.8
Yes No consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.8 ▲ +4.0 | 1.95 ▼ -4.0 | 5m |
| Betfair | 1.87 ▲ +3.6 | 1.87 ▼ -3.6 | 5m |
| BetVictor | 1.8 ▲ +3.4 | 1.9 ▼ -3.4 | 5m |
| Unibet | 1.98 ▲ +1.6 | 1.77 ▼ -1.6 | 5m |
| WilliamHill | 1.85 ▲ +4.1 | 1.91 ▼ -4.1 | 5m |
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 125 snapshots · last 5m before kick-off · biggest step: under -1.4 pts at 5m · late move: under -1.4 pts inside the final hour
1.9Over 51% ▲ +1.7 ptsopened 1.952.01Under 49% ▼ -1.7 ptsopened 1.93
Over Under consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.9 ▲ +1.7 | 2.01 ▼ -1.7 | 5m |
| bet365 | 1.9 · +0.0 | 1.9 · +0.0 | 5m |
| Betfair | 1.75 ▲ +2.2 | 1.91 ▼ -2.2 | 5m |
| BetVictor | 1.82 · +0.8 | 1.85 · -0.8 | 5m |
| Unibet | 1.91 ▲ +1.1 | 1.88 ▼ -1.1 | 5m |
Latest prices
bet365 · last snapshot 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
1.66Home 57% P 57%3.8Draw 25% P 26%5.0Away 19% P 18%
Double Chance
1.16Atalanta or Draw 40%1.25Atalanta or Cagliari 37%2.1Draw or Cagliari 22%
Draw No Bet
1.251 75%3.752 25%
Both Teams To Score
1.8Yes 52%1.95No 48%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.9Over 50% P 51%1.9Under 50% P 49%
Total Corners
9.0Under 6 10%3.06 - 8 29%2.629 - 11 34%4.512 - 14 20%11.0Over 14 8%
Number of Cards
2.51.8Over 51% P 56%1.9Under 49% P 44%
3.52.2Over 42% P 35%1.61Under 58% P 65%
4.52.2Over 42% P 28%1.61Under 58% P 72%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 55–57.5% · away 17.5–20% · 762 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 57% | 56% | 53% | -2.8 |
| Draw | 26% | 25% | 26% | +1.0 |
| Away | 18% | 19% | 21% | +1.8 |
In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 52%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 50–52.5% · 3,575 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 51% | 51% | 51% | -0.1 |
Alberto Arena
- Career
- 14 matches · 3 seasons
- Cards / match
- 3.14 (3.07 yellow · 0.07 red)
- Fouls / match
- 22.2 · 7.1 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.21
- Cards to home side
- 59%
Style in Serie A (5-year window · 13 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 3.23 | 4.48 | -1.78 | 5 |
| Fouls / match | 22.3 | 25.1 | -1.83 | |
| Fouls per card | 7.4 | 5.6 | +1.60 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.15 | 0.31 | -1.37 | 2 |
| Time added | 7.2 | 6.4 | +1.61 | 95 |
- First card
- 38' on average
- Card timing
- 14% in first 30' · 36% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 59% (league 46%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.25
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | 3 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 28' | 8 |
| 2026-05-17 · Cagliari | 2 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 82' | 7 |
| 2026-03-09 | 4 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 37' | 14 |
| 2026-01-31 | 6 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 23' | 8 |
| 2026-01-19 | 3 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 37' | 5 |
| 2026-01-03 | 4 | 0 | 27 | 1 | 32' | 5 |
| 2025-11-23 | 2 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 79' | 8 |
| 2025-11-02 | 3 | 0 | 22 | 1 | 27' | 7 |
| 2025-10-25 · Atalanta | 4 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 16' | 6 |
| 2025-10-05 · Cagliari | 3 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 21' | 7 |