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Serie A · Matchweek 3

Momentum

UdineseLazio
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
3

Venue

Stadium
Dacia Arena, Udine
Capacity
25,132
Surface
grass
Attendance
23,312

Teams

Coaches
Kosta Runjaic · Gennaro Gattuso
Position
9 · 7
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 4-3-3

Referee

Paride Tremolada

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
24.5° (feels 24.8°)
Wind
3.1
Humidity
71%

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2026/2027

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Roma 4400 12111 12 WWWW
2 Inter 4400 1367 12 WWWW
3 Como 4310 945 10 DWWW
4 Lazio 4310 633 10 WWWD
5 Cagliari 4301 422 9 WLWW
6 AC Milan 4220 743 8 WWDD
7 Frosinone 4211 743 7 LWWD
8 Juventus 4211 642 7 WWDL
9 Sassuolo 4211 871 7 LWDW
10 Napoli 4202 651 6 WLLW
11 Atalanta 4202 550 6 WWLL
12 Lecce 4202 57-2 6 WLLW
13 Udinese 4112 810-2 4 DWLL
14 Torino 4103 47-3 3 LLWL
15 Fiorentina 4103 511-6 3 LLLW
16 Bologna 4013 25-3 1 LLDL
17 Parma 4013 26-4 1 LLDL
18 Monza 4013 611-5 1 LLDL
19 Genoa 4013 28-6 1 LLLD
20 Venezia 4004 411-7 0 LLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation

Udinese

LLDW 1W 1D 2L · 4 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 4 GA 5 · xG 3.65–5.85 · xPts 3.9

  • W A Monza 3–2 xG 1.11–1.62 ITA SA
  • D H Como 1–1 xG 1.59–1.86 ITA SA
  • L A Napoli 0–1 xG 0.57–1.85 ITA SA
  • L H Cremonese 0–1 xG 0.38–0.52 ITA SA

Lazio

LWWW 3W 0D 1L · 9 pts (2.25 ppg) · GF 4 GA 3 · xG 3.64–5.93 · xPts 4.13

  • W H Genoa 1–0 xG 1.15–0.56 ITA SA
  • W A Bologna 1–0 xG 0.64–2.31 ITA SA
  • W H Pisa 2–1 xG 1.25–1.49 ITA SA
  • L A Roma 0–2 xG 0.6–1.57 ITA SA

No predictions from model engine-only-1.1.0 (available: engine-only-1.0.0, engine-only-1.0.1).

All meetings · 43 matches since 2005

Udinese 1013 draws20 Lazio

Goals 51–72 · 2.86 per match · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 58%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Udinese 25 draws3 Lazio

Goals 12–13 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Udinese 13 draws1 Lazio

Goals 8–8 · 3.2 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • L Udinese 1–2 Lazio ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Lazio 3–3 Udinese ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Udinese 1–1 Lazio ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Lazio 1–1 Udinese ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Udinese 2–1 Lazio ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Lazio 1–2 Udinese ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Udinese 1–2 Lazio ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Udinese 0–1 Lazio ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Lazio 0–0 Udinese ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Udinese 1–1 Lazio ITA SA · Regular Season
MetricUdinese all · 4Udinese at home · 2Lazio all · 4Lazio away · 2

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Udinese · 4 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.21) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.44

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.214
Early press (0-15, level)-0.074
Late push (76+, level)-0.642
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.682

Game state

When ahead+0.004
When level-0.274
When behind-0.612
10 min after conceding-0.444
10 min after scoring+0.204

Situations

At home-0.352
Away-0.062
4+ days rest-0.214

Opposition

Evenly matched-0.002
As underdog-0.442

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.324
Conceded when ahead+0.244
Conceded late (76+)+0.304

Ahead vs level +0.28 · Behind vs level -0.34

Lazio · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.03) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.62

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.034
Early press (0-15, level)+0.254
Late push (76+, level)-0.102

Game state

When ahead+0.134
When level-0.104
10 min after conceding-0.612
10 min after scoring+0.624

Situations

At home-0.172
Away+0.232
4+ days rest+0.034

Opposition

Evenly matched+0.173

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.004
Conceded when ahead-0.064
Conceded late (76+)-0.244

Ahead vs level +0.23 · Behind vs level +0.30

Udinese

Current: winless 2 · scoring 4 · conceding 6

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-14 100%1.02.02.51.082.04

Lazio

Current: unbeaten 5 · winless 1 · scoring 5 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-34 100%2.51.50.751.371.29

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 5m before kick-off · biggest step: away -1.6 pts at 13.8h

2.82Home 35% ▲ +2.0 ptsopened 2.983.08Draw 32% ▲ +1.3 ptsopened 3.192.87Away 34% ▼ -3.3 ptsopened 2.6
4d3d2d24h12h6h1hKO 30%35%40%

Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

BookmakerHomeDrawAwayLast
Pinnacle2.82 ▲ +2.03.08 ▲ +1.32.87 ▼ -3.35m
bet3652.75 ▲ +1.63.1 · -0.82.62 · -0.85m
Betfair2.7 ▲ +1.63.0 ▲ +1.42.75 ▼ -3.05m
BetVictor2.75 ▲ +1.83.0 ▲ +1.32.75 ▼ -3.15m
Coral2.7 ▲ +2.13.1 ▲ +1.42.75 ▼ -3.55m
Ladbrokes2.7 ▲ +1.93.0 ▲ +1.82.75 ▼ -3.65m
Unibet2.75 ▲ +2.33.0 · +1.02.65 ▼ -3.25m
WilliamHill2.7 ▲ +2.12.9 · +0.82.7 ▼ -3.05m

Latest prices

bet365 · last snapshot 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.75Home 34% P 35%3.1Draw 30% P 32%2.62Away 36% P 34%

Double Chance

1.4Udinese or Draw 33%1.36Udinese or Lazio 34%1.4Draw or Lazio 33%

Draw No Bet

1.831 50%1.832 50%

Both Teams To Score

1.8Yes 52%1.95No 48%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.1Over 45% P 43%1.72Under 55% P 57%

Total Corners

7.0Under 6 12%2.756 - 8 31%2.629 - 11 33%5.012 - 14 17%13.0Over 14 7%

Number of Cards

4.51.61Over 58% P 56%2.2Under 42% P 44%
5.52.1Over 44% P 41%1.66Under 56% P 59%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 32.5–35% · away 32.5–35% · 336 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home35%34%36%+2.3
Draw32%32%29%-3.3
Away34%34%35%+1.0

In those fixtures: 2.2 goals a game · BTTS 48% · over 2.5 40%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 42.5–45% · 2,473 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.543%44%43%-1.2

Paride Tremolada

Career
10 matches · 4 seasons
Cards / match
5.2 (5.1 yellow · 0.0 red)
Fouls / match
27.1 · 5.2 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.5
Cards to home side
56%

Style in Serie A (5-year window · 11 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match5.644.49+1.6395
Fouls / match24.625.2-0.35
Fouls per card4.35.6-1.48 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.460.31+1.0680
Time added7.06.4+1.1993
First card
25' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 34% in last 15'
Cards to home side
53% (league 46%)
VAR events / match
1.0

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-09-14 · Lazio 90 260 26'10