Rating 7.05 (73th pct) · G+A 3 + 1 (14% of team goals) · 69% of minutes
Team 1.3 ppg with (30) · 0.67 without (9)
Serie A · Matchweek 3
Momentum
– ParmaMonza –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
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Events
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Stats
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Season context
| Parma | at home | Stat | league | away | Monza |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 42.8 #17 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 49.0 #9 |
| 9.0 #18 | – | Shots total | 14.6 | – | 14.2 #8 |
| 3.0 #18 | – | Shots on target | 4.9 | – | 6.0 #5 |
| 3.8 #13 | – | Corners | 4.7 | – | 3.8 #13 |
| 9.5 #14 | – | Fouls | 11.2 | – | 13.2 #5 |
| 1.0 #15 | – | Offsides | 2.1 | – | 5.0 #1 |
| 12.2 #20 | – | Tackles | 16.0 | – | 13.2 #18 |
| 57.8 #20 | – | Attacks | 92.8 | – | 96.5 #8 |
| 29.8 #19 | – | Dangerous attacks | 44.7 | – | 45.0 #10 |
| 389.5 #16 | – | Passes | 459.1 | – | 403.8 #15 |
| 1.2 #12 | – | Yellowcards | 1.5 | – | 1.2 #12 |
| 0.2 #19 | – | Assists | 1.2 | – | 1.2 #8 |
| – #9 | – | Btts | 60.0 | – | – #1 |
| – #11 | – | Cleansheet | 20.0 | – | – #11 |
| – #2 | – | Draw | 15.0 | – | – #2 |
| 0.9 #19 | – | Expected goals | 1.5 | – | 1.8 #4 |
| -0.4 #16 | – | Expected goals difference | -0.0 | – | -0.3 #15 |
| – #2 | – | Failed to score | 20.0 | – | – #10 |
| 0.5 #18 | 0.5 | Goals | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.5 #8 |
| 1.5 #9 | 1.0 | Goals conceded | 1.5 | 2.7 | 2.8 #1 |
| 0.2 #8 | – | Injury time goals | 0.5 | – | 0.2 #8 |
| 9.2 #6 | – | Interceptions | 8.5 | – | 13.2 #2 |
| – #2 | – | Lost | 42.5 | – | – #2 |
| 6.7 #17 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.7 #19 |
| 1.0 #20 | – | Shots blocked | 3.6 | – | 2.5 #15 |
| 6.0 #18 | – | Shots insidebox | 9.6 | – | 11.0 #4 |
| 5.0 #13 | – | Shots off target | 6.0 | – | 5.8 #9 |
| 3.0 #18 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.9 | – | 3.2 #16 |
| – #16 | – | Win | 42.5 | – | – #16 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 20.
League this season · 2026/2027
- Played
- 37 of 380
- Goals / match
- 2.92 (home 1.41 · away 1.51)
- Home / draw / away
- 41% · 16% · 43%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 59% · 57%
- Cards / match
- 3.19 (reds 0.03)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Parma · Last 365 days
Rating 6.84 (40th pct) · G+A 1 + 1 (7% of team goals) · 90% of minutes
Rating 6.83 (38th pct) · G+A 0 + 2 (7% of team goals) · 78% of minutes
Team 1.27 ppg with (30) · 0.78 without (9)
Monza · Last 365 days
Rating 6.92 (57th pct) · G+A 1 + 2 (50% of team goals) · 88% of minutes
Rating 6.8 (29th pct) · G+A 0 + 1 (17% of team goals) · 98% of minutes
Rating 6.88 · G+A 1 + 0 (17% of team goals) · 71% of minutes
Absences
Monza
- injury Kevin Martins attacker · Bruise On Ankle · 25 missed
- injury Matteo Pessina midfielder · Knee Injury · 5 missed · until 2026-11-01
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 3
Venue
- Stadium
- Stadio Ennio Tardini, Parma
- Capacity
- 27,906
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 14,572
Teams
- Coaches
- Carlos Antón Cuesta · Ivan Juric
- Position
- 16 · 17
- Formation
- 3-4-2-1 · 3-4-2-1
Referee
Federico La Penna
Weather
- Conditions
- clear sky
- Temperature
- 33.5° (feels 34.4°)
- Wind
- 2.9
- Humidity
- 39%
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2026/2027
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Roma |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 1 | 11 | 12 | WWWW |
| 2 |  Inter |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 12 | WWWW |
| 3 |  Como |
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 10 | DWWW |
| 4 |  Lazio |
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 10 | WWWD |
| 5 |  Cagliari |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9 | WLWW |
| 6 |  AC Milan |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 8 | WWDD |
| 7 |  Frosinone |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 | LWWD |
| 8 |  Juventus |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 7 | WWDL |
| 9 |  Sassuolo |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 7 | LWDW |
| 10 |  Napoli |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 6 | WLLW |
| 11 |  Atalanta |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 6 | WWLL |
| 12 |  Lecce |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 6 | WLLW |
| 13 |  Udinese |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 4 | DWLL |
| 14 |  Torino |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 3 | LLWL |
| 15 |  Fiorentina |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 3 | LLLW |
| 16 |  Bologna |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 1 | LLDL |
| 17 |  Parma |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 1 | LLDL |
| 18 |  Monza |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 1 | LLDL |
| 19 |  Genoa |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 1 | LLLD |
| 20 |  Venezia |
4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 0 | LLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 9 | WWWW |
| 2 | Roma |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 6 | WWWW |
| 3 | Sassuolo |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 6 | LWDW |
| 4 | Atalanta |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 6 | WWLL |
| 5 | Juventus |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | WWDL |
| 6 | Lazio |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | WWWD |
| 7 | AC Milan |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | WWDD |
| 8 | Como |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | DWWW |
| 9 | Frosinone |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | LWWD |
| 10 | Napoli |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | WLLW |
| 11 | Cagliari |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | WLWW |
| 12 | Lecce |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 3 | WLLW |
| 13 | Bologna |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 1 | LLDL |
| 14 | Udinese |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 1 | DWLL |
| 15 | Parma |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 1 | LLDL |
| 16 | Genoa |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 1 | LLLD |
| 17 | Monza |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 0 | LLDL |
| 18 | Torino |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | LLWL |
| 19 | Venezia |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 0 | LLLL |
| 20 | Fiorentina |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 0 | LLLW |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Como |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 7 | DWWW |
| 2 | Roma |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 6 | WWWW |
| 3 | Cagliari |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | WLWW |
| 4 | Lazio |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | WWWD |
| 5 | AC Milan |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 5 | WWDD |
| 6 | Frosinone |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 | LWWD |
| 7 | Napoli |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | WLLW |
| 8 | Lecce |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | WLLW |
| 9 | Inter |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | WWWW |
| 10 | Juventus |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | WWDL |
| 11 | Torino |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | LLWL |
| 12 | Udinese |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 3 | DWLL |
| 13 | Fiorentina |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 3 | LLLW |
| 14 | Sassuolo |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 1 | LWDW |
| 15 | Monza |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 1 | LLDL |
| 16 | Atalanta |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | WWLL |
| 17 | Genoa |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | LLLD |
| 18 | Bologna |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | LLDL |
| 19 | Venezia |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 0 | LLLL |
| 20 | Parma |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | LLDL |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Europa League
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
- Relegation
Parma
LLWLL 1W 0D 4L · 3 pts (0.6 ppg) · GF 3 GA 7 · xG 3.62–8.46 · xPts 3.92
- L
A
Juventus
0–2
xG 0.27–1.64
ITA SA
- L
H
Cagliari
0–1
xG 0.88–1.24
ITA SA
- W
H
Sassuolo
1–0
xG 1.23–0.86
ITA SA
- L
A
Como
0–1
xG 0.17–2.31
ITA SA
- L
H
Roma
2–3
xG 1.07–2.42
ITA SA
LLWLL 1W 0D 4L · 3 pts (0.6 ppg) · GF 3 GA 7 · xG 3.62–8.46 · xPts 3.92
- L
A
Juventus
0–2
xG 0.27–1.64
ITA SA
- L
H
Cagliari
0–1
xG 0.88–1.24
ITA SA
- W
H
Sassuolo
1–0
xG 1.23–0.86
ITA SA
- L
A
Como
0–1
xG 0.17–2.31
ITA SA
- L
H
Roma
2–3
xG 1.07–2.42
ITA SA
Monza
LL 0W 0D 2L · 0 pts (0.0 ppg) · GF 3 GA 7 · xG 2.67–2.41 · xPts 2.9
- L
H
Udinese
2–3
xG 1.62–1.11
ITA SA
- L
A
Inter
1–4
xG 1.05–1.3
ITA SA
LL 0W 0D 2L · 0 pts (0.0 ppg) · GF 3 GA 7 · xG 2.67–2.41 · xPts 2.9
- L
H
Udinese
2–3
xG 1.62–1.11
ITA SA
- L
A
Inter
1–4
xG 1.05–1.3
ITA SA
No predictions from model engine-only-1.1.0 (available: engine-only-1.0.0, engine-only-1.0.1).
All meetings · 3 matches since 2024
Goals 4–3 · 2.33 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 33%
Last 10 · 3 matches
Goals 4–3 · 2.33 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 33%
Last 5 · 3 matches
Goals 4–3 · 2.33 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 33%
Recent meetings
- D Parma 1–1 Monza ITA SA · Regular Season
- D Monza 1–1 Parma ITA SA · Regular Season
- W Parma 2–1 Monza ITA SA · Regular Season
| Metric | Parma all · 4 | Parma at home · 2 | Monza all · 4 | Monza away · 3 |
|---|
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Parma · 4 matches
Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.20) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) +0.53
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.204
Early press (0-15, level)+0.534
Late push (76+, level)-0.722
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.523
Game state
When level-0.214
When behind-0.194
10 min after conceding-0.494
10 min after scoring-0.162
Situations
At home-0.242
Away-0.172
4+ days rest-0.204
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.172
Evenly matched-0.242
As underdog-0.172
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.404
Conceded late (76+)+0.484
Behind vs level +0.02
Monza · 4 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.30) · stands out: away +0.49
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.304
Early press (0-15, level)+0.204
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.412
Game state
When level+0.204
When behind+0.463
10 min after conceding+0.104
10 min after scoring+0.284
Situations
Away+0.493
4+ days rest+0.304
Opposition
Evenly matched+0.393
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.194
Conceded late (76+)-0.593
Ahead vs level -0.58 · Behind vs level +0.26
Parma
Current: winless 4 · scoring 2 · conceding 4
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 2 50% | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.15 | 2.01 |
| 4-3-3 | 1 25% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.88 | 1.24 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 25% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.27 | 1.64 |
Monza
Current: winless 6 · scoring 4 · conceding 17
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 3 75% | 0.33 | 1.67 | 2.33 | 2.01 | 1.1 |
| 3-4-3 | 1 25% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 1.05 | 1.3 |
| Metric | Parma all · 10 | Parma at home · 10 | Monza all · 10 | Monza away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.20 | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| W / D / L | 3 / 1 / 6 | 3 / 3 / 4 | 1 / 1 / 8 | 1 / 1 / 8 |
| Goals for / match | 0.70 | 1.00 | 0.90 | 0.80 |
| Goals against / match | 1.20 | 1.40 | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 20% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed to score | 40% | 20% | 40% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 30% | 60% | 60% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 | 20% | 30% | 60% | 60% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 0.93 | 0.97 | 1.24 | 1.00 |
| xG against / match | 1.68 | 1.49 | 1.36 | 1.50 |
| xG difference | -0.76 | -0.52 | -0.12 | -0.50 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.23 | 0.03 | -0.34 | -0.20 |
| xPts / match | 0.92 | 1.13 | 1.27 | 1.04 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.08 | 0.07 | -0.87 | -0.64 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 30% | 40% | 30% | 30% |
| PPG when scoring first | 3.00 | 2.50 | 1.33 | 1.33 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.14 | 0.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Came back from behind | 14% | 33% | 0% | 0% |
| Leads held | 75% | 60% | 33% | 33% |
| Minutes leading | 7% | 13% | 7% | 9% |
| Minutes level | 68% | 66% | 44% | 46% |
| Minutes trailing | 26% | 21% | 49% | 45% |
| First goal (min) | 68 | 51 | 34 | 34 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 47 | 47 | 38 | 40 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 100% | 80% | 44% | 38% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 67% | 64% | 54% | 62% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.40 | 0.50 | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| Late goals against | 0.60 | 0.30 | 0.10 | 0.30 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 42% | 48% | 51% | 48% |
| Shots | 9.4 | 12.8 | 11.4 | 10.1 |
| On target | 2.6 | 3.5 | 4.2 | 3.8 |
| Shot conversion | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% |
| Shots inside box | 66% | 54% | 66% | 66% |
| Big chances created | 1.4 | 1.3 | 2.3 | 1.8 |
| Corners | 3.6 | 4.9 | 3.7 | 3.7 |
| xG from set plays | 32% | 36% | 16% | 19% |
| Goals from headers | 14% | 20% | 14% | 0% |
| Pressure index | 9.1 | 12.3 | 11.5 | 9.4 |
| Dominant minutes | 37.6 | 49.6 | 42.8 | 39.4 |
| Pass accuracy | 82% | 82% | 84% | 84% |
| Fouls | 9.7 | 10.7 | 10.7 | 10.7 |
| Cards | 1.40 | 2.00 | 1.70 | 1.80 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Parma
0–15'00
16–30'02
31–45'02
46–60'31
61–75'01
76–90'46
Monza
0–15'05
16–30'32
31–45'24
46–60'17
61–75'15
76–90'21
Parma
Current: winless 4 · scoring 2 · conceding 4
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-5-2 | 5 50% | 1.2 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 0.89 | 1.76 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 3 30% | 1.33 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.22 | 1.72 |
| 4-3-3 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.88 | 1.24 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.27 | 1.64 |
Monza
Current: winless 6 · scoring 4 · conceding 17
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-5-2 | 4 40% | 0.75 | 0.75 | 1.75 | 1.04 | 1.25 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 3 30% | 0.33 | 1.67 | 2.33 | 2.01 | 1.1 |
| 3-4-3 | 2 20% | 0.0 | 0.5 | 3.0 | 0.68 | 1.52 |
| 3-5-1-1 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 0.9 | 2.24 |
| Metric | Parma all · 39 | Parma at home · 20 | Monza all · 4 | Monza away · 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 39 | 20 | – | – |
| Points per game | 1.15 | 1.05 | – | – |
| W / D / L | 11 / 12 / 16 | 5 / 6 / 9 | – | – |
| Goals for / match | 0.74 | 0.80 | – | – |
| Goals against / match | 1.21 | 1.30 | – | – |
| Clean sheets | 33% | 25% | – | – |
| Failed to score | 41% | 40% | – | – |
| Both teams scored | 41% | 45% | – | – |
| Over 2.5 | 31% | 30% | – | – |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 0.88 | 0.94 | – | – |
| xG against / match | 1.55 | 1.51 | – | – |
| xG difference | -0.67 | -0.57 | – | – |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.14 | -0.14 | – | – |
| xPts / match | 1.00 | 1.09 | – | – |
| Points vs xPts | 0.16 | -0.04 | – | – |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 33% | 35% | – | – |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.46 | 2.29 | – | – |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.35 | 0.27 | – | – |
| Came back from behind | 24% | 25% | – | – |
| Leads held | 73% | 62% | – | – |
| Minutes leading | 13% | 12% | – | – |
| Minutes level | 63% | 63% | – | – |
| Minutes trailing | 24% | 25% | – | – |
| First goal (min) | 48 | 45 | – | – |
| First goal conceded (min) | 40 | 42 | – | – |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 66% | 69% | – | – |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 62% | 58% | – | – |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.26 | 0.25 | – | – |
| Late goals against | 0.33 | 0.30 | – | – |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 44% | 46% | – | – |
| Shots | 10.5 | 12.4 | – | – |
| On target | 2.7 | 2.9 | – | – |
| Shot conversion | 7% | 6% | – | – |
| Shots inside box | 57% | 57% | – | – |
| Big chances created | 1.5 | 1.4 | – | – |
| Corners | 3.8 | 4.3 | – | – |
| xG from set plays | 40% | 38% | – | – |
| Goals from headers | 34% | 31% | – | – |
| Pressure index | 9.4 | 11.0 | – | – |
| Dominant minutes | 38.2 | 43.4 | – | – |
| Pass accuracy | 80% | 80% | – | – |
| Fouls | 10.4 | 10.8 | – | – |
| Cards | 1.92 | 2.00 | – | – |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Parma
0–15'47
16–30'35
31–45'36
46–60'57
61–75'49
76–90'1013
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Parma · 38 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.14) · stands out: with ten men -0.41
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.1438
Early press (0-15, level)+0.0838
Late push (76+, level)-0.3820
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.3314
Game state
When ahead-0.1513
When level-0.1338
When behind-0.1521
10 min after conceding-0.3625
10 min after scoring+0.0721
Situations
With ten men-0.414
Against ten men+0.185
At home-0.1519
Away-0.1319
4+ days rest-0.1337
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.3212
v mid-tier opponents-0.0510
v bottom-tier opponents+0.065
As favourite+0.054
Evenly matched+0.099
As underdog-0.2525
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.3638
Conceded when ahead+0.3013
Conceded late (76+)+0.2935
Congested vs rested -0.37 · Ahead vs level -0.01 · Behind vs level -0.01
Monza · 4 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.30) · stands out: away +0.49
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.304
Early press (0-15, level)+0.204
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.412
Game state
When level+0.204
When behind+0.463
10 min after conceding+0.104
10 min after scoring+0.284
Situations
Away+0.493
4+ days rest+0.304
Opposition
Evenly matched+0.393
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.194
Conceded late (76+)-0.593
Ahead vs level -0.58 · Behind vs level +0.26
Parma
Current: winless 4 · scoring 2 · conceding 4
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-5-2 | 18 46% | 1.39 | 0.78 | 0.83 | 0.79 | 1.35 |
| 4-3-3 | 7 18% | 1.57 | 0.71 | 0.71 | 1.0 | 1.47 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 4 10% | 1.0 | 0.75 | 1.75 | 1.34 | 2.35 |
| 4-4-2 | 3 8% | 0.0 | 0.33 | 1.67 | 0.92 | 1.31 |
| 3-1-4-2 | 3 8% | 0.67 | 0.67 | 1.67 | 0.75 | 1.27 |
Monza
Current: winless 6 · scoring 4 · conceding 17
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 3 75% | 0.33 | 1.67 | 2.33 | 2.01 | 1.1 |
| 3-4-3 | 1 25% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 1.05 | 1.3 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: home -2.5 pts at 8.0h
2.9Home 34% ▼ -5.2 ptsopened 2.53.01Draw 32% ▲ +1.5 ptsopened 3.142.85Away 34% ▲ +3.7 ptsopened 3.18
Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.9 ▼ -5.2 | 3.01 ▲ +1.5 | 2.85 ▲ +3.7 | 10m |
| bet365 | 2.87 ▼ -5.7 | 2.87 ▲ +2.4 | 2.8 ▲ +3.3 | 10m |
| Betfair | 2.55 ▼ -1.7 | 3.0 · -0.8 | 3.0 ▲ +2.4 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 2.8 ▼ -5.1 | 2.9 ▲ +2.5 | 2.8 ▲ +2.6 | 10m |
| Coral | 2.75 ▼ -4.3 | 3.0 · +1.0 | 2.8 ▲ +3.3 | 10m |
| Ladbrokes | 2.75 ▼ -4.7 | 2.9 ▲ +2.3 | 2.8 ▲ +2.4 | 10m |
| Unibet | 2.4 · -0.2 | 3.0 · +0.6 | 3.1 · -0.4 | 10m |
| WilliamHill | 2.7 ▼ -4.6 | 2.88 ▲ +1.0 | 2.75 ▲ +3.6 | 10m |
bet365 (Pinnacle absent) · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: no -2.0 pts at 4.0h
1.9Yes 50% ▲ +2.0 ptsopened 1.951.9No 50% ▼ -2.0 ptsopened 1.8
Yes No consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.9 ▲ +2.0 | 1.9 ▼ -2.0 | 10m |
| Betfair | 1.87 ▼ -1.5 | 1.87 ▲ +1.5 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 1.78 ▲ +3.0 | 1.85 ▼ -3.0 | 10m |
| Unibet | 1.96 · +0.9 | 1.79 · -0.9 | 10m |
| WilliamHill | 1.83 ▲ +4.4 | 1.91 ▼ -4.4 | 10m |
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: over +1.2 pts at 20m
2.25Over 43% ▲ +2.5 ptsopened 2.391.69Under 57% ▼ -2.5 ptsopened 1.62
Over Under consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.25 ▲ +2.5 | 1.69 ▼ -2.5 | 10m |
| bet365 | 2.2 ▲ +1.8 | 1.66 ▼ -1.8 | 10m |
| Betfair | 2.3 · -0.1 | 1.6 · +0.1 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 2.18 · +0.1 | 1.58 · -0.1 | 10m |
| Unibet | 2.35 ▲ +1.3 | 1.58 ▼ -1.3 | 10m |
Latest prices
bet365 · last snapshot 0.2h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
2.87Home 33% P 34%2.87Draw 33% P 32%2.8Away 34% P 34%
Double Chance
1.4Parma or Draw 33%1.36Parma or Monza 34%1.4Draw or Monza 33%
Draw No Bet
1.831 50%1.832 50%
Both Teams To Score
1.9Yes 50%1.9No 50%
Goals Over/Under
2.52.2Over 43% P 43%1.66Under 57% P 57%
Total Corners
5.0Under 6 17%2.56 - 8 35%2.879 - 11 30%7.012 - 14 12%17.0Over 14 5%
Number of Cards
4.52.2Over 42% P 40%1.61Under 58% P 60%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 32.5–35% · away 32.5–35% · 336 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 34% | 34% | 36% | +2.3 |
| Draw | 32% | 32% | 29% | -3.3 |
| Away | 34% | 34% | 35% | +1.0 |
In those fixtures: 2.2 goals a game · BTTS 48% · over 2.5 40%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 42.5–45% · 2,473 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 43% | 44% | 43% | -1.2 |
Federico La Penna
- Career
- 103 matches · 13 seasons
- Cards / match
- 4.58 (4.39 yellow · 0.06 red)
- Fouls / match
- 27.2 · 5.8 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.31
- Cards to home side
- 48%
Style in Serie A (5-year window · 52 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 4.73 | 4.49 | +0.34 | 61 |
| Fouls / match | 26.3 | 25.2 | +0.77 | |
| Fouls per card | 5.7 | 5.6 | -0.17 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.31 | 0.31 | -0.13 | 56 |
| Time added | 6.8 | 6.4 | +0.78 | 78 |
- First card
- 33' on average
- Card timing
- 15% in first 30' · 32% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 48% (league 46%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.28
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-17 | 5 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 54' | 7 |
| 2026-04-26 | 4 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 37' | 8 |
| 2026-04-06 | 2 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 47' | 5 |
| 2026-03-15 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 1 | 37' | 12 |
| 2026-02-14 | 6 | 1 | 22 | 0 | 9' | 6 |
| 2026-01-31 | 2 | 0 | 34 | 0 | 44' | 9 |
| 2026-01-12 | 7 | 0 | 37 | 0 | 15' | 4 |
| 2026-01-04 | 3 | 0 | 29 | 0 | 20' | 10 |
| 2025-12-28 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 19' | 6 |
| 2025-12-07 | 3 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 33' | 5 |