Rating 7.12 (82th pct) · G+A 9 + 7 (20% of team goals) · 84% of minutes
Team 1.81 ppg with (42) · 1.29 without (7)
Serie A · Matchweek 3
Momentum
– JuventusAC Milan –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
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Events
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Stats
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Season context
| Juventus | at home | Stat | league | away | AC Milan |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 56.2 #6 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 58.5 #5 |
| 18.2 #4 | – | Shots total | 14.6 | – | 13.5 #11 |
| 6.0 #5 | – | Shots on target | 4.9 | – | 4.2 #11 |
| 9.8 #1 | – | Corners | 4.8 | – | 3.0 #16 |
| 16.0 #2 | – | Fouls | 11.2 | – | 10.5 #12 |
| 2.2 #8 | – | Offsides | 2.0 | – | 0.8 #18 |
| 12.8 #19 | – | Tackles | 16.2 | – | 14.2 #15 |
| 100.0 #6 | – | Attacks | 93.0 | – | 92.0 #12 |
| 48.2 #5 | – | Dangerous attacks | 44.7 | – | 45.2 #10 |
| 485.2 #9 | – | Passes | 460.1 | – | 541.0 #4 |
| 1.8 #10 | – | Yellowcards | 1.5 | – | 2.0 #5 |
| 1.0 #13 | – | Assists | 1.2 | – | 1.5 #5 |
| – #9 | – | Btts | 60.0 | – | – #5 |
| – #2 | – | Cleansheet | 20.0 | – | – #6 |
| – #2 | – | Draw | 14.5 | – | – #1 |
| 1.5 #10 | – | Expected goals | 1.5 | – | 1.6 #8 |
| -0.0 #12 | – | Expected goals difference | -0.0 | – | 0.1 #8 |
| – #10 | – | Failed to score | 20.0 | – | – #10 |
| 1.5 #9 | 1.5 | Goals | 1.5 | 1.7 | 1.8 #6 |
| 1.0 #14 | 0.5 | Goals conceded | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.0 #14 |
| 0.8 #2 | – | Injury time goals | 0.4 | – | 0.5 #4 |
| 8.0 #11 | – | Interceptions | 8.4 | – | 7.5 #13 |
| – #13 | – | Lost | 42.5 | – | – #16 |
| 6.9 #5 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.9 #6 |
| 4.5 #6 | – | Shots blocked | 3.6 | – | 3.2 #10 |
| 10.0 #9 | – | Shots insidebox | 9.6 | – | 10.5 #4 |
| 7.8 #4 | – | Shots off target | 6.0 | – | 6.0 #8 |
| 8.2 #1 | – | Shots outsidebox | 5.0 | – | 3.0 #18 |
| – #6 | – | Win | 43.0 | – | – #6 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 20.
League this season · 2026/2027
- Played
- 37 of 380
- Goals / match
- 2.92 (home 1.41 · away 1.51)
- Home / draw / away
- 41% · 16% · 43%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 59% · 57%
- Cards / match
- 3.19 (reds 0.03)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Juventus · Last 365 days
Rating 7.29 (93th pct) · G+A 9 + 5 (18% of team goals) · 75% of minutes
Team 1.74 ppg with (38) · 1.73 without (11)
Rating 7.38 (95th pct) · G+A 2 + 3 (6% of team goals) · 84% of minutes
Team 1.84 ppg with (43) · 1.0 without (6)
AC Milan · Last 365 days
Rating 7.21 (87th pct) · G+A 7 + 6 (23% of team goals) · 75% of minutes
Team 1.9 ppg with (29) · 1.55 without (11)
Rating 7.23 (88th pct) · G+A 1 + 2 (5% of team goals) · 78% of minutes
Team 1.94 ppg with (32) · 1.25 without (8)
Rating 7.08 (90th pct) · G+A 3 + 3 (11% of team goals) · 75% of minutes
Team 1.68 ppg with (31) · 2.22 without (9)
Absences
Juventus
- injury Kenan Yıldız #2 key player attacker · Broken Foot · 1 missed · until 2026-11-25
- injury Pape Matar Sarr #24 key player midfielder · Unknown Injury
AC Milan
- injury Warren Bondo midfielder · Unknown Injury · 70 missed
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 3
Venue
- Stadium
- Juventus Stadium, Torino
- Capacity
- 45,500
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 41,577
Teams
- Coaches
- Luciano Spalletti · Ruben Amorim
- Position
- 4 · 5
- Formation
- 4-2-3-1 · 3-4-2-1
Referee
Maurizio Mariani
Weather
- Conditions
- clear sky
- Temperature
- 27.1° (feels 28.1°)
- Wind
- 2.1
- Humidity
- 59%
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2026/2027
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Roma |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 1 | 11 | 12 | WWWW |
| 2 |  Inter |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 12 | WWWW |
| 3 |  Como |
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 10 | DWWW |
| 4 |  Lazio |
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 10 | WWWD |
| 5 |  Cagliari |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9 | WLWW |
| 6 |  AC Milan |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 8 | WWDD |
| 7 |  Frosinone |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 | LWWD |
| 8 |  Juventus |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 7 | WWDL |
| 9 |  Sassuolo |
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 7 | LWDWL |
| 10 |  Napoli |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 6 | WLLW |
| 11 |  Atalanta |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 6 | WWLL |
| 12 |  Lecce |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 6 | WLLW |
| 13 |  Udinese |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 4 | DWLL |
| 14 |  Monza |
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 4 | LLDLW |
| 15 |  Torino |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 3 | LLWL |
| 16 |  Fiorentina |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 3 | LLLW |
| 17 |  Bologna |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 1 | LLDL |
| 18 |  Parma |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 1 | LLDL |
| 19 |  Genoa |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 1 | LLLD |
| 20 |  Venezia |
4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 0 | LLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 9 | WWWW |
| 2 | Roma |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 6 | WWWW |
| 3 | Sassuolo |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 6 | LWDWL |
| 4 | Atalanta |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 6 | WWLL |
| 5 | Juventus |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | WWDL |
| 6 | Lazio |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | WWWD |
| 7 | AC Milan |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | WWDD |
| 8 | Como |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | DWWW |
| 9 | Monza |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | LLDLW |
| 10 | Frosinone |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | LWWD |
| 11 | Napoli |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | WLLW |
| 12 | Cagliari |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | WLWW |
| 13 | Lecce |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 3 | WLLW |
| 14 | Bologna |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 1 | LLDL |
| 15 | Udinese |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 1 | DWLL |
| 16 | Parma |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 1 | LLDL |
| 17 | Genoa |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 1 | LLLD |
| 18 | Torino |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | LLWL |
| 19 | Venezia |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 0 | LLLL |
| 20 | Fiorentina |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 0 | LLLW |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Como |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 7 | DWWW |
| 2 | Roma |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 6 | WWWW |
| 3 | Cagliari |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | WLWW |
| 4 | Lazio |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | WWWD |
| 5 | AC Milan |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 5 | WWDD |
| 6 | Frosinone |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 | LWWD |
| 7 | Napoli |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | WLLW |
| 8 | Lecce |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | WLLW |
| 9 | Inter |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | WWWW |
| 10 | Juventus |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | WWDL |
| 11 | Torino |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | LLWL |
| 12 | Udinese |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 3 | DWLL |
| 13 | Fiorentina |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 3 | LLLW |
| 14 | Sassuolo |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 1 | LWDWL |
| 15 | Monza |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 1 | LLDLW |
| 16 | Atalanta |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | WWLL |
| 17 | Genoa |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | LLLD |
| 18 | Bologna |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | LLDL |
| 19 | Venezia |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 0 | LLLL |
| 20 | Parma |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | LLDL |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Europa League
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
- Relegation
Juventus
WLDWW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 6 GA 4 · xG 9.96–3.6 · xPts 11.14
- W
H
Parma
2–0
xG 1.64–0.27
ITA SA
- W
A
Frosinone
1–0
xG 1.77–0.55
ITA SA
- D
A
Torino
2–2
xG 2.3–1.01
ITA SA
- L
H
Fiorentina
0–2
xG 2.15–0.65
ITA SA
- W
A
Lecce
1–0
xG 2.09–1.12
ITA SA
WLDWW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 6 GA 4 · xG 9.96–3.6 · xPts 11.14
- W
H
Parma
2–0
xG 1.64–0.27
ITA SA
- W
A
Frosinone
1–0
xG 1.77–0.55
ITA SA
- D
A
Torino
2–2
xG 2.3–1.01
ITA SA
- L
H
Fiorentina
0–2
xG 2.15–0.65
ITA SA
- W
A
Lecce
1–0
xG 2.09–1.12
ITA SA
AC Milan
LWLWW 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 9 GA 7 · xG 10.39–7.43 · xPts 8.78
- W
H
Venezia
2–0
xG 2.57–1.05
ITA SA
- W
A
Torino
2–1
xG 2.24–1.06
ITA SA
- L
H
Cagliari
1–2
xG 1.77–2.53
ITA SA
- W
A
Genoa
2–1
xG 1.79–1.55
ITA SA
- L
H
Atalanta
2–3
xG 2.02–1.24
ITA SA
LWLWW 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 9 GA 7 · xG 10.39–7.43 · xPts 8.78
- W
H
Venezia
2–0
xG 2.57–1.05
ITA SA
- W
A
Torino
2–1
xG 2.24–1.06
ITA SA
- L
H
Cagliari
1–2
xG 1.77–2.53
ITA SA
- W
A
Genoa
2–1
xG 1.79–1.55
ITA SA
- L
H
Atalanta
2–3
xG 2.02–1.24
ITA SA
No predictions from model engine-only-1.1.0 (available: engine-only-1.0.0, engine-only-1.0.1).
All meetings · 42 matches since 2003
Goals 49–39 · 2.1 per match · BTTS 38% · over 2.5 36%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 4–4 · 0.8 per match · BTTS 10% · over 2.5 0%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 3–1 · 0.8 per match · BTTS 20% · over 2.5 0%
Recent meetings
- D Juventus 1–1 AC Milan ITA SA · Regular Season
- D AC Milan 0–0 Juventus ITA SA · Regular Season
- D Juventus 0–0 AC Milan ITA SA · Regular Season
- W Juventus 2–0 AC Milan ITA SA · Regular Season
- D AC Milan 0–0 Juventus ITA SA · Regular Season
- D Juventus 0–0 AC Milan ITA SA · Regular Season
- W AC Milan 0–1 Juventus ITA SA · Regular Season
- L Juventus 0–1 AC Milan ITA SA · Regular Season
- L AC Milan 2–0 Juventus neutral ITA SA · Regular Season
- D AC Milan 0–0 Juventus ITA SA · Regular Season
| Metric | Juventus all · 4 | Juventus at home · 2 | AC Milan all · 4 | AC Milan away · 3 |
|---|
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Juventus · 5 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.27) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.64
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.275
Early press (0-15, level)-0.165
Late push (76+, level)+1.292
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.212
Game state
When ahead+0.423
When level+0.215
When behind+0.142
10 min after conceding-0.112
10 min after scoring+0.645
Situations
At home+0.173
Away+0.402
4+ days rest+0.275
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents+0.152
As favourite+0.275
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.285
Conceded when ahead-0.343
Conceded late (76+)-0.494
Ahead vs level +0.20 · Behind vs level -0.07
AC Milan · 5 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.45) · stands out: as favourite +0.68
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.455
Early press (0-15, level)+0.485
Late push (76+, level)+0.022
Game state
When ahead-0.083
When level+0.485
When behind+0.712
10 min after conceding+0.404
10 min after scoring+0.574
Situations
At home+0.472
Away+0.433
4+ days rest+0.455
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.102
As favourite+0.683
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.175
Conceded when ahead-0.003
Conceded late (76+)-0.055
Ahead vs level -0.56 · Behind vs level +0.23
Juventus
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 6 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 3 75% | 1.33 | 1.33 | 1.33 | 1.38 | 0.53 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 25% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.64 | 0.27 |
AC Milan
Current: winless 3 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 4 100% | 2.0 | 1.75 | 1.0 | 1.59 | 1.29 |
| Metric | Juventus all · 10 | Juventus at home · 10 | AC Milan all · 10 | AC Milan away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 1.60 | 2.10 | 1.20 | 1.70 |
| W / D / L | 4 / 4 / 2 | 6 / 3 / 1 | 3 / 3 / 4 | 5 / 2 / 3 |
| Goals for / match | 1.50 | 2.10 | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals against / match | 0.90 | 0.70 | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Clean sheets | 50% | 50% | 20% | 20% |
| Failed to score | 20% | 10% | 30% | 30% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 40% | 60% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 | 30% | 30% | 50% | 40% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.90 | 2.42 | 1.42 | 1.35 |
| xG against / match | 0.63 | 0.70 | 1.41 | 1.18 |
| xG difference | 1.27 | 1.72 | 0.01 | 0.17 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.40 | -0.32 | -0.22 | -0.15 |
| xPts / match | 2.16 | 2.36 | 1.36 | 1.45 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.56 | -0.27 | -0.16 | 0.25 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 50% | 70% | 50% | 60% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.60 | 2.71 | 2.00 | 2.67 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.50 | 0.67 | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| Came back from behind | 50% | 67% | 20% | 25% |
| Leads held | 80% | 86% | 60% | 83% |
| Minutes leading | 36% | 47% | 14% | 19% |
| Minutes level | 50% | 41% | 49% | 56% |
| Minutes trailing | 14% | 11% | 37% | 24% |
| First goal (min) | 44 | 37 | 58 | 59 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 52 | 59 | 40 | 57 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 60% | 62% | 92% | 83% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 78% | 60% | 50% | 60% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| Late goals against | 0.40 | 0.30 | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 58% | 58% | 53% | 53% |
| Shots | 18.1 | 20.2 | 13.0 | 11.0 |
| On target | 6.2 | 6.7 | 4.1 | 3.4 |
| Shot conversion | 8% | 10% | 9% | 11% |
| Shots inside box | 63% | 67% | 65% | 74% |
| Big chances created | 2.7 | 3.6 | 2.1 | 2.1 |
| Corners | 7.5 | 7.0 | 3.7 | 3.8 |
| xG from set plays | 25% | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Goals from headers | 15% | 32% | 8% | 8% |
| Pressure index | 19.7 | 21.6 | 14.4 | 12.8 |
| Dominant minutes | 67.9 | 72.3 | 53.8 | 50.2 |
| Pass accuracy | 86% | 86% | 87% | 86% |
| Fouls | 13.1 | 11.5 | 11.7 | 11.7 |
| Cards | 1.60 | 1.70 | 2.50 | 2.20 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Juventus
0–15'20
16–30'30
31–45'12
46–60'11
61–75'32
76–90'54
AC Milan
0–15'13
16–30'03
31–45'01
46–60'14
61–75'60
76–90'43
Juventus
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 6 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 5 50% | 1.4 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.68 | 0.67 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 4 40% | 1.5 | 2.0 | 0.75 | 2.24 | 0.67 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.64 | 0.27 |
AC Milan
Current: winless 3 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 5 50% | 1.6 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.53 | 1.21 |
| 3-5-2 | 5 50% | 0.8 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 1.61 |
| Metric | Juventus all · 49 | Juventus at home · 24 | AC Milan all · 40 | AC Milan away · 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 49 | 24 | 40 | 21 |
| Points per game | 1.73 | 2.00 | 1.80 | 1.90 |
| W / D / L | 23 / 16 / 10 | 13 / 9 / 2 | 20 / 12 / 8 | 11 / 7 / 3 |
| Goals for / match | 1.63 | 1.88 | 1.40 | 1.48 |
| Goals against / match | 0.98 | 0.71 | 0.97 | 0.86 |
| Clean sheets | 41% | 46% | 35% | 33% |
| Failed to score | 20% | 17% | 20% | 19% |
| Both teams scored | 47% | 46% | 50% | 52% |
| Over 2.5 | 41% | 38% | 45% | 43% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.83 | 2.13 | 1.58 | 1.34 |
| xG against / match | 1.08 | 0.90 | 1.30 | 1.29 |
| xG difference | 0.75 | 1.23 | 0.28 | 0.05 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.20 | -0.26 | -0.18 | 0.14 |
| xPts / match | 1.80 | 2.08 | 1.54 | 1.40 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.07 | -0.08 | 0.26 | 0.50 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 51% | 54% | 58% | 62% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.68 | 2.85 | 2.43 | 2.38 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.70 | 1.00 | 0.93 | 1.14 |
| Came back from behind | 50% | 78% | 53% | 57% |
| Leads held | 79% | 93% | 74% | 73% |
| Minutes leading | 34% | 36% | 27% | 27% |
| Minutes level | 50% | 50% | 53% | 55% |
| Minutes trailing | 17% | 13% | 20% | 18% |
| First goal (min) | 38 | 39 | 47 | 48 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 42 | 46 | 44 | 50 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 62% | 62% | 66% | 68% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 61% | 40% | 51% | 50% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.35 | 0.42 | 0.35 | 0.33 |
| Late goals against | 0.29 | 0.13 | 0.20 | 0.19 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 56% | 57% | 53% | 51% |
| Shots | 16.7 | 19.5 | 13.0 | 10.5 |
| On target | 6.1 | 6.8 | 4.3 | 3.8 |
| Shot conversion | 10% | 10% | 11% | 14% |
| Shots inside box | 66% | 65% | 69% | 72% |
| Big chances created | 3.0 | 3.4 | 2.5 | 2.4 |
| Corners | 5.8 | 6.7 | 4.1 | 3.5 |
| xG from set plays | 26% | 30% | 29% | 30% |
| Goals from headers | 21% | 26% | 9% | 6% |
| Pressure index | 20.5 | 24.1 | 15.8 | 12.4 |
| Dominant minutes | 61.7 | 69.7 | 51.8 | 46.0 |
| Pass accuracy | 86% | 87% | 87% | 86% |
| Fouls | 13.0 | 12.0 | 10.1 | 10.2 |
| Cards | 1.63 | 1.25 | 1.85 | 1.86 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Juventus
0–15'106
16–30'104
31–45'108
46–60'159
61–75'187
76–90'1712
AC Milan
0–15'56
16–30'37
31–45'116
46–60'137
61–75'105
76–90'148
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Juventus · 49 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.43) · stands out: v bottom-tier opponents +0.88
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.4349
Early press (0-15, level)+0.3849
Late push (76+, level)+0.8320
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.2714
Game state
When ahead+0.3429
When level+0.5449
When behind+0.3120
10 min after conceding+0.1728
10 min after scoring+0.5639
Situations
With ten men+0.173
Against ten men+0.234
At home+0.4924
Away+0.3825
3 days rest or fewer+0.179
4+ days rest+0.4940
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.0516
v mid-tier opponents+0.7214
v bottom-tier opponents+0.884
As favourite+0.6037
Evenly matched-0.0510
As underdog-0.002
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.1849
Conceded when ahead-0.1929
Conceded late (76+)-0.3344
Congested vs rested -0.32 · Ahead vs level -0.19 · Behind vs level -0.23
AC Milan · 40 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.23) · stands out: v bottom-tier opponents +0.92
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.2340
Early press (0-15, level)+0.0540
Late push (76+, level)+0.0719
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.6410
Game state
When ahead+0.0927
When level+0.1740
When behind+0.6117
10 min after conceding+0.0726
10 min after scoring+0.6432
Situations
With ten men-0.035
Against ten men-0.782
At home+0.3119
Away+0.1721
3 days rest or fewer+0.722
4+ days rest+0.2138
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.1412
v mid-tier opponents+0.2510
v bottom-tier opponents+0.924
As favourite+0.4725
Evenly matched-0.1313
As underdog-0.322
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.0540
Conceded when ahead+0.0927
Conceded late (76+)-0.0636
Congested vs rested +0.52 · Ahead vs level -0.09 · Behind vs level +0.43
Juventus
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 6 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 29 59% | 1.9 | 1.62 | 0.76 | 1.7 | 1.1 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 10 20% | 1.7 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 2.09 | 0.75 |
| 4-3-3 | 4 8% | 0.75 | 1.75 | 3.0 | 1.91 | 1.94 |
| 3-5-2 | 2 4% | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.33 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 2 4% | 2.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 2.28 | 1.11 |
AC Milan
Current: winless 3 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-5-2 | 33 82% | 1.91 | 1.42 | 0.85 | 1.56 | 1.31 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 5 12% | 1.6 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.53 | 1.21 |
| 3-1-4-2 | 1 2% | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.66 | 1.14 |
| 4-3-3 | 1 2% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 2.38 | 1.5 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 5m before kick-off · biggest step: home -1.5 pts at 25m
2.27Home 43% ▼ -3.4 ptsopened 2.093.12Draw 31% ▲ +2.6 ptsopened 3.383.75Away 26% · +0.8 ptsopened 3.85
Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.27 ▼ -3.4 | 3.12 ▲ +2.6 | 3.75 · +0.8 | 5m |
| bet365 | 2.2 ▼ -1.8 | 3.1 ▲ +1.8 | 3.6 · +0.0 | 5m |
| Betfair | 2.1 · +0.4 | 3.3 · -0.9 | 3.75 · +0.5 | 5m |
| BetVictor | 2.2 ▼ -3.5 | 3.1 ▲ +2.3 | 3.5 ▲ +1.2 | 5m |
| Coral | 2.2 · -0.7 | 3.1 ▲ +2.1 | 3.6 ▼ -1.4 | 5m |
| Ladbrokes | 2.2 ▼ -1.4 | 3.0 ▲ +2.5 | 3.5 ▼ -1.1 | 5m |
| Unibet | 2.02 · +0.6 | 3.35 · -0.3 | 3.6 · -0.3 | 5m |
| WilliamHill | 2.2 ▼ -2.3 | 2.9 ▲ +1.8 | 3.4 · +0.6 | 5m |
bet365 (Pinnacle absent) · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 5m before kick-off · biggest step: no +2.0 pts at 6.8h
1.9Yes 50% · +0.0 ptsopened 1.91.9No 50% · +0.0 ptsopened 1.9
Yes No consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.9 · +0.0 | 1.9 · +0.0 | 5m |
| Betfair | 1.8 · -0.7 | 1.95 · +0.7 | 5m |
| BetVictor | 1.83 · +0.0 | 1.85 · +0.0 | 5m |
| Unibet | 1.83 · +0.0 | 1.91 · +0.0 | 5m |
| WilliamHill | 1.83 · +0.0 | 1.91 · +0.0 | 5m |
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 5m before kick-off
2.27Over 43% ▼ -2.2 ptsopened 2.151.7Under 57% ▲ +2.2 ptsopened 1.76
Over Under consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.27 ▼ -2.2 | 1.7 ▲ +2.2 | 5m |
| bet365 | 2.2 ▼ -2.0 | 1.66 ▲ +2.0 | 5m |
| Betfair | 2.1 ▼ -1.2 | 1.73 ▲ +1.2 | 5m |
| BetVictor | 2.09 ▼ -1.4 | 1.64 ▲ +1.4 | 5m |
| Unibet | 2.05 · +0.4 | 1.76 · -0.4 | 5m |
Latest prices
bet365 · last snapshot 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
2.2Home 43% P 43%3.1Draw 31% P 31%3.6Away 26% P 26%
Double Chance
1.25Juventus or Draw 37%1.36Juventus or AC Milan 34%1.66Draw or AC Milan 28%
Draw No Bet
1.531 61%2.372 39%
Both Teams To Score
1.9Yes 50%1.9No 50%
Goals Over/Under
2.52.2Over 43% P 43%1.66Under 57% P 57%
Total Corners
7.0Under 6 13%2.756 - 8 32%2.759 - 11 32%5.512 - 14 16%13.0Over 14 7%
Number of Cards
3.51.83Over 50% P 53%1.83Under 50% P 47%
4.52.1Over 44% P 34%1.66Under 56% P 66%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 42.5–45% · away 25–27.5% · 725 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 43% | 44% | 44% | -0.2 |
| Draw | 31% | 30% | 28% | -1.4 |
| Away | 26% | 26% | 28% | +1.6 |
In those fixtures: 2.5 goals a game · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 45%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 42.5–45% · 2,474 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 43% | 44% | 43% | -1.2 |
Maurizio Mariani
- Career
- 229 matches · 15 seasons
- Cards / match
- 4.68 (4.44 yellow · 0.15 red)
- Fouls / match
- 25.6 · 5.1 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.31
- Cards to home side
- 46%
Style in Serie A (5-year window · 76 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 4.33 | 4.48 | -0.22 | 37 |
| Fouls / match | 25.1 | 25.1 | -0.02 | |
| Fouls per card | 5.8 | 5.6 | -0.04 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.26 | 0.31 | -0.49 | 39 |
| Time added | 6.6 | 6.4 | +0.37 | 58 |
- First card
- 35' on average
- Card timing
- 14% in first 30' · 37% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 46% (league 46%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.16
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | 4 | 0 | 29 | 0 | 32' | 7 |
| 2026-08-11 | 6 | 1 | 36 | 0 | 12' | 8 |
| 2026-05-27 | 9 | 0 | 31 | 0 | 20' | 9 |
| 2026-04-26 | 3 | 0 | 18 | 1 | 81' | 6 |
| 2026-04-19 · Juventus | 1 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 60' | 5 |
| 2026-04-14 | 2 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 45' | 10 |
| 2026-03-20 | 4 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 17' | 10 |
| 2026-03-14 · Juventus | 4 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 32' | 14 |
| 2026-03-11 | 2 | 0 | 24 | 1 | 57' | 18 |
| 2026-02-26 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 1 | 40' | 11 |