Rating 7.57 (100th pct) · G+A 8 + 17 (23% of team goals) · 78% of minutes
Team 2.18 ppg with (38) · 2.27 without (11)
Serie A · Matchweek 3
Momentum
– InterNapoli –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
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Events
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Stats
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Season context
| Inter | at home | Stat | league | away | Napoli |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 66.0 #1 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 47.8 #11 |
| 25.0 #1 | – | Shots total | 14.6 | – | 14.2 #8 |
| 8.0 #1 | – | Shots on target | 4.9 | – | 4.0 #13 |
| 7.2 #3 | – | Corners | 4.7 | – | 5.5 #5 |
| 6.5 #20 | – | Fouls | 11.2 | – | 9.8 #13 |
| 1.2 #13 | – | Offsides | 2.1 | – | 3.8 #3 |
| 16.2 #7 | – | Tackles | 16.0 | – | 16.0 #9 |
| 111.8 #2 | – | Attacks | 92.8 | – | 96.0 #9 |
| 62.8 #3 | – | Dangerous attacks | 44.7 | – | 58.5 #4 |
| 643.5 #1 | – | Passes | 459.1 | – | 459.5 #10 |
| 1.2 #12 | – | Yellowcards | 1.5 | – | 1.0 #17 |
| 2.5 #1 | – | Assists | 1.2 | – | 1.2 #8 |
| – #5 | – | Btts | 60.0 | – | – #9 |
| – #6 | – | Cleansheet | 20.0 | – | – #2 |
| – #12 | – | Draw | 15.0 | – | – #12 |
| 2.9 #1 | – | Expected goals | 1.5 | – | 1.7 #7 |
| 0.3 #4 | – | Expected goals difference | -0.0 | – | -0.2 #14 |
| – #10 | – | Failed to score | 20.0 | – | – #10 |
| 3.2 #1 | 4.0 | Goals | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.5 #8 |
| 1.5 #9 | 2.0 | Goals conceded | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.2 #11 |
| 0.2 #8 | – | Injury time goals | 0.5 | – | 0.2 #8 |
| 8.5 #8 | – | Interceptions | 8.5 | – | 5.8 #19 |
| – #16 | – | Lost | 42.5 | – | – #8 |
| 7.1 #2 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.8 #11 |
| 6.8 #2 | – | Shots blocked | 3.6 | – | 4.8 #5 |
| 18.0 #1 | – | Shots insidebox | 9.6 | – | 9.5 #9 |
| 10.2 #1 | – | Shots off target | 6.0 | – | 5.5 #10 |
| 7.0 #3 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.9 | – | 4.8 #10 |
| – #1 | – | Win | 42.5 | – | – #6 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 20.
League this season · 2026/2027
- Played
- 37 of 380
- Goals / match
- 2.92 (home 1.41 · away 1.51)
- Home / draw / away
- 41% · 16% · 43%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 59% · 57%
- Cards / match
- 3.19 (reds 0.03)
Trends
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Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Inter · Last 365 days
Rating 7.34 (98th pct) · G+A 22 + 6 (26% of team goals) · 62% of minutes
Team 2.25 ppg with (36) · 2.08 without (13)
Rating 7.19 (86th pct) · G+A 4 + 8 (11% of team goals) · 73% of minutes
Team 2.05 ppg with (39) · 2.8 without (10)
Napoli · Last 365 days
Rating 7.16 (84th pct) · G+A 14 + 3 (25% of team goals) · 78% of minutes
Team 1.71 ppg with (38) · 1.6 without (10)
Rating 6.82 (48th pct) · G+A 16 + 5 (31% of team goals) · 85% of minutes
Team 1.67 ppg with (43) · 1.8 without (5)
Rating 7.27 (91th pct) · G+A 4 + 5 (13% of team goals) · 32% of minutes
Team 1.53 ppg with (15) · 1.76 without (33)
Absences
Inter
- injury Djed Spence defender · Fitness · 1 missed · until 2026-09-07
Napoli
- injury Alessandro Buongiorno #18 key player defender · Knee Surgery · 8 missed · until 2026-10-31
- injury Giovane #21 key player attacker · Inguinal Hernia · 1 missed · until 2026-10-08
- injury Luca Marianucci #17 key player defender · Inner Ligament Injury · 4 missed · until 2026-10-12
- injury Scott McTominay #1 key player midfielder · Heart Problems · 1 missed · until 2026-10-01
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 3
Venue
- Stadium
- Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, Milano
- Capacity
- 75,817
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 75,423
Teams
- Coaches
- Cristian Chivu · Massimiliano Allegri
- Position
- 3 · 10
- Formation
- 3-5-2 · 4-3-3
Referee
Simone Sozza
Weather
- Conditions
- broken clouds
- Temperature
- 30.6° (feels 34.1°)
- Wind
- 0.5
- Humidity
- 60%
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2026/2027
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Roma |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 1 | 11 | 12 | WWWW |
| 2 |  Inter |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 12 | WWWW |
| 3 |  Como |
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 10 | DWWW |
| 4 |  Lazio |
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 10 | WWWD |
| 5 |  Cagliari |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9 | WLWW |
| 6 |  AC Milan |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 8 | WWDD |
| 7 |  Frosinone |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 | LWWD |
| 8 |  Juventus |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 7 | WWDL |
| 9 |  Sassuolo |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 7 | LWDW |
| 10 |  Napoli |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 6 | WLLW |
| 11 |  Atalanta |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 6 | WWLL |
| 12 |  Lecce |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 6 | WLLW |
| 13 |  Udinese |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 4 | DWLL |
| 14 |  Torino |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 3 | LLWL |
| 15 |  Fiorentina |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 3 | LLLW |
| 16 |  Bologna |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 1 | LLDL |
| 17 |  Parma |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 1 | LLDL |
| 18 |  Monza |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 1 | LLDL |
| 19 |  Genoa |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 1 | LLLD |
| 20 |  Venezia |
4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 0 | LLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 9 | WWWW |
| 2 | Roma |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 6 | WWWW |
| 3 | Sassuolo |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 6 | LWDW |
| 4 | Atalanta |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 6 | WWLL |
| 5 | Juventus |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | WWDL |
| 6 | Lazio |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | WWWD |
| 7 | AC Milan |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | WWDD |
| 8 | Como |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | DWWW |
| 9 | Frosinone |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | LWWD |
| 10 | Napoli |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | WLLW |
| 11 | Cagliari |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | WLWW |
| 12 | Lecce |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 3 | WLLW |
| 13 | Bologna |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 1 | LLDL |
| 14 | Udinese |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 1 | DWLL |
| 15 | Parma |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 1 | LLDL |
| 16 | Genoa |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 1 | LLLD |
| 17 | Monza |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 0 | LLDL |
| 18 | Torino |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | LLWL |
| 19 | Venezia |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 0 | LLLL |
| 20 | Fiorentina |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 0 | LLLW |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Como |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 7 | DWWW |
| 2 | Roma |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 6 | WWWW |
| 3 | Cagliari |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | WLWW |
| 4 | Lazio |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | WWWD |
| 5 | AC Milan |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 5 | WWDD |
| 6 | Frosinone |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 | LWWD |
| 7 | Napoli |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | WLLW |
| 8 | Lecce |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | WLLW |
| 9 | Inter |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | WWWW |
| 10 | Juventus |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | WWDL |
| 11 | Torino |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | LLWL |
| 12 | Udinese |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 3 | DWLL |
| 13 | Fiorentina |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 3 | LLLW |
| 14 | Sassuolo |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 1 | LWDW |
| 15 | Monza |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 1 | LLDL |
| 16 | Atalanta |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | WWLL |
| 17 | Genoa |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | LLLD |
| 18 | Bologna |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | LLDL |
| 19 | Venezia |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 0 | LLLL |
| 20 | Parma |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | LLDL |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Europa League
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
- Relegation
Inter
WDDWW 3W 2D 0L · 11 pts (2.2 ppg) · GF 12 GA 5 · xG 9.96–4.67 · xPts 9.79
- W
A
Cagliari
1–0
xG 3.59–0.57
ITA SA
- W
H
Monza
4–1
xG 1.3–1.05
ITA SA
- D
A
Bologna
3–3
xG 1.49–1.49
ITA SA
- D
H
Hellas Verona
1–1
xG 2.28–0.91
ITA SA - W
A
Lazio
3–0
xG 1.31–0.64
ITA SA
WDDWW 3W 2D 0L · 11 pts (2.2 ppg) · GF 12 GA 5 · xG 9.96–4.67 · xPts 9.79
- W
A
Cagliari
1–0
xG 3.59–0.57
ITA SA
- W
H
Monza
4–1
xG 1.3–1.05
ITA SA
- D
A
Bologna
3–3
xG 1.49–1.49
ITA SA
- D
H
Hellas Verona
1–1
xG 2.28–0.91
ITA SA
- W
A
Lazio
3–0
xG 1.31–0.64
ITA SA
Napoli
LWWWL 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 9 GA 5 · xG 6.77–4.36 · xPts 8.5
- L
H
Como
1–2
xG 1.88–1.15
ITA SA
- W
A
Genoa
2–0
xG 0.91–0.62
ITA SA
- W
H
Udinese
1–0
xG 1.85–0.57
ITA SA
- W
A
Pisa
3–0
xG 1.11–0.71
ITA SA - L
H
Bologna
2–3
xG 1.03–1.32
ITA SA
LWWWL 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 9 GA 5 · xG 6.77–4.36 · xPts 8.5
- L
H
Como
1–2
xG 1.88–1.15
ITA SA
- W
A
Genoa
2–0
xG 0.91–0.62
ITA SA
- W
H
Udinese
1–0
xG 1.85–0.57
ITA SA
- W
A
Pisa
3–0
xG 1.11–0.71
ITA SA
- L
H
Bologna
2–3
xG 1.03–1.32
ITA SA
No predictions from model engine-only-1.1.0 (available: engine-only-1.0.0, engine-only-1.0.1).
All meetings · 39 matches since 2007
Goals 50–51 · 2.59 per match · BTTS 59% · over 2.5 51%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 15–14 · 2.9 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 50%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 8–9 · 3.4 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 60%
Recent meetings
- W Inter 3–2 Napoli ITA SA · Regular Season
- D Inter 2–2 Napoli ITA SA · Regular Season
- L Napoli 3–1 Inter ITA SA · Regular Season
- D Napoli 1–1 Inter ITA SA · Regular Season
- D Inter 1–1 Napoli ITA SA · Regular Season
- D Inter 1–1 Napoli ITA SA · Regular Season
- W Napoli 0–3 Inter ITA SA · Regular Season
- L Napoli 3–1 Inter ITA SA · Regular Season
- W Inter 1–0 Napoli neutral ITA SA · Regular Season
- D Napoli 1–1 Inter ITA SA · Regular Season
| Metric | Inter all · 4 | Inter at home · 3 | Napoli all · 4 | Napoli away · 2 |
|---|
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Inter · 5 matches
Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.71) · stands out: when behind +1.11
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.715
Early press (0-15, level)+0.205
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.202
Game state
When ahead+0.584
When level+0.455
When behind+1.113
10 min after conceding+0.514
10 min after scoring+0.425
Situations
At home+0.523
Away+0.962
4+ days rest+0.674
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.752
As favourite+0.674
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.365
Conceded when ahead-0.414
Conceded late (76+)-0.414
Congested vs rested +0.20 · Ahead vs level +0.13 · Behind vs level +0.66
Napoli · 5 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.01) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.82
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.015
Early press (0-15, level)-0.105
Late push (76+, level)+0.352
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.433
Game state
When ahead+0.473
When level-0.055
When behind-0.253
10 min after conceding-0.473
10 min after scoring+0.824
Situations
At home+0.023
Away-0.062
4+ days rest-0.015
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.322
As favourite+0.442
As underdog-0.432
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.305
Conceded when ahead+0.263
Conceded late (76+)-0.115
Ahead vs level +0.52 · Behind vs level -0.20
Inter
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 15 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-5-2 | 4 100% | 3.0 | 3.25 | 1.5 | 2.98 | 1.09 |
Napoli
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 3 75% | 1.0 | 1.67 | 1.67 | 1.6 | 1.99 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 1 25% | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.92 | 0.27 |
| Metric | Inter all · 10 | Inter at home · 10 | Napoli all · 10 | Napoli away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 2.10 | 2.30 | 1.60 | 1.70 |
| W / D / L | 6 / 3 / 1 | 7 / 2 / 1 | 5 / 1 / 4 | 5 / 2 / 3 |
| Goals for / match | 2.50 | 2.70 | 1.60 | 1.50 |
| Goals against / match | 1.40 | 1.20 | 0.90 | 1.20 |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 30% | 60% | 40% |
| Failed to score | 0% | 0% | 20% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 70% | 30% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 | 70% | 60% | 50% | 60% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 2.26 | 2.28 | 1.45 | 1.23 |
| xG against / match | 1.40 | 0.88 | 1.40 | 1.18 |
| xG difference | 0.86 | 1.40 | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.24 | 0.42 | 0.15 | 0.27 |
| xPts / match | 1.87 | 2.23 | 1.53 | 1.46 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.23 | 0.07 | 0.07 | 0.23 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 70% | 70% | 60% | 60% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.14 | 2.43 | 2.50 | 2.00 |
| PPG when conceding first | 2.00 | 2.00 | 0.00 | 1.33 |
| Came back from behind | 75% | 67% | 0% | 40% |
| Leads held | 67% | 78% | 83% | 71% |
| Minutes leading | 46% | 47% | 32% | 38% |
| Minutes level | 35% | 43% | 55% | 45% |
| Minutes trailing | 20% | 10% | 14% | 17% |
| First goal (min) | 32 | 37 | 40 | 32 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 41 | 51 | 39 | 34 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 64% | 70% | 50% | 53% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 50% | 67% | 56% | 75% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.70 | 0.60 | 0.30 | 0.50 |
| Late goals against | 0.30 | 0.30 | 0.30 | 0.50 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 64% | 63% | 53% | 58% |
| Shots | 18.9 | 19.3 | 13.3 | 12.5 |
| On target | 6.5 | 6.6 | 4.5 | 4.3 |
| Shot conversion | 13% | 14% | 12% | 12% |
| Shots inside box | 74% | 75% | 64% | 60% |
| Big chances created | 4.0 | 3.8 | 2.2 | 1.8 |
| Corners | 6.8 | 8.0 | 4.7 | 4.3 |
| xG from set plays | 22% | 25% | 19% | 28% |
| Goals from headers | 13% | 8% | 6% | 20% |
| Pressure index | 21.0 | 22.9 | 15.2 | 14.1 |
| Dominant minutes | 65.5 | 66.9 | 54.0 | 54.2 |
| Pass accuracy | 91% | 89% | 88% | 86% |
| Fouls | 8.1 | 10.2 | 8.7 | 9.8 |
| Cards | 1.40 | 0.90 | 1.00 | 2.00 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Inter
0–15'32
16–30'34
31–45'31
46–60'53
61–75'41
76–90'73
Napoli
0–15'11
16–30'41
31–45'32
46–60'41
61–75'11
76–90'33
Inter
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 15 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-5-2 | 10 100% | 2.1 | 2.5 | 1.4 | 2.26 | 1.4 |
Napoli
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 4 40% | 0.75 | 1.25 | 1.5 | 1.28 | 2.39 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 3 30% | 1.33 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.97 |
| 3-4-3 | 2 20% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.48 | 0.64 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.92 | 0.27 |
| Metric | Inter all · 49 | Inter at home · 25 | Napoli all · 48 | Napoli away · 23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 49 | 25 | 48 | 23 |
| Points per game | 2.20 | 2.28 | 1.69 | 1.35 |
| W / D / L | 34 / 6 / 9 | 18 / 3 / 4 | 24 / 9 / 15 | 9 / 4 / 10 |
| Goals for / match | 2.22 | 2.52 | 1.40 | 1.17 |
| Goals against / match | 1.00 | 1.08 | 1.17 | 1.35 |
| Clean sheets | 43% | 32% | 35% | 35% |
| Failed to score | 6% | 8% | 25% | 30% |
| Both teams scored | 51% | 60% | 48% | 39% |
| Over 2.5 | 59% | 68% | 50% | 39% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 2.10 | 2.33 | 1.40 | 1.31 |
| xG against / match | 1.00 | 0.85 | 1.25 | 1.28 |
| xG difference | 1.11 | 1.48 | 0.15 | 0.03 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.12 | 0.19 | 0.00 | -0.13 |
| xPts / match | 2.01 | 2.19 | 1.49 | 1.41 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.20 | 0.09 | 0.19 | -0.06 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 74% | 72% | 52% | 52% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.67 | 2.67 | 2.56 | 2.08 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.92 | 1.29 | 0.68 | 0.50 |
| Came back from behind | 36% | 43% | 32% | 23% |
| Leads held | 85% | 86% | 83% | 69% |
| Minutes leading | 46% | 45% | 32% | 29% |
| Minutes level | 42% | 45% | 46% | 45% |
| Minutes trailing | 13% | 10% | 22% | 26% |
| First goal (min) | 33 | 32 | 34 | 34 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 47 | 52 | 38 | 37 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 60% | 64% | 49% | 44% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 57% | 63% | 62% | 68% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.57 | 0.64 | 0.27 | 0.30 |
| Late goals against | 0.29 | 0.40 | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 60% | 60% | 56% | 56% |
| Shots | 18.0 | 19.2 | 12.7 | 12.2 |
| On target | 6.1 | 6.8 | 4.3 | 3.8 |
| Shot conversion | 12% | 13% | 11% | 10% |
| Shots inside box | 73% | 73% | 65% | 63% |
| Big chances created | 4.0 | 4.6 | 1.9 | 1.8 |
| Corners | 6.3 | 7.4 | 5.4 | 5.2 |
| xG from set plays | 27% | 28% | 27% | 29% |
| Goals from headers | 17% | 13% | 21% | 30% |
| Pressure index | 22.7 | 24.0 | 19.0 | 18.2 |
| Dominant minutes | 65.3 | 67.6 | 59.3 | 57.6 |
| Pass accuracy | 88% | 88% | 86% | 86% |
| Fouls | 11.9 | 11.9 | 11.2 | 10.7 |
| Cards | 1.67 | 1.48 | 1.44 | 1.87 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Inter
0–15'145
16–30'128
31–45'188
46–60'207
61–75'177
76–90'2814
Napoli
0–15'98
16–30'96
31–45'167
46–60'1112
61–75'911
76–90'1312
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Inter · 49 matches
Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.58) · stands out: 3 days rest or fewer +0.96
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.5849
Early press (0-15, level)+0.5149
Late push (76+, level)+0.1713
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.3411
Game state
When ahead+0.4639
When level+0.7049
When behind+0.5914
10 min after conceding+0.1527
10 min after scoring+0.6545
Situations
Against ten men+0.104
At home+0.5425
Away+0.6224
3 days rest or fewer+0.9613
4+ days rest+0.4536
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.4419
v mid-tier opponents+0.3612
v bottom-tier opponents+0.785
As favourite+0.6044
Evenly matched+0.304
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.2349
Conceded when ahead-0.2739
Conceded late (76+)-0.2142
Congested vs rested +0.51 · Ahead vs level -0.24 · Behind vs level -0.11
Napoli · 48 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.36) · stands out: against ten men +0.78
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.3648
Early press (0-15, level)+0.1848
Late push (76+, level)+0.5919
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.1918
Game state
When ahead+0.4429
When level+0.2748
When behind+0.4322
10 min after conceding-0.0331
10 min after scoring+0.7136
Situations
With ten men-0.144
Against ten men+0.784
At home+0.3125
Away+0.4123
3 days rest or fewer+0.5312
4+ days rest+0.3136
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.0117
v mid-tier opponents+0.479
v bottom-tier opponents+0.295
As favourite+0.5929
Evenly matched+0.1410
As underdog-0.149
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.1448
Conceded when ahead-0.1629
Conceded late (76+)-0.2947
Congested vs rested +0.22 · Ahead vs level +0.17 · Behind vs level +0.16
Inter
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 15 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-5-2 | 49 100% | 2.2 | 2.22 | 1.0 | 2.1 | 1.0 |
Napoli
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 25 52% | 1.72 | 1.48 | 1.16 | 1.44 | 1.11 |
| 4-3-3 | 8 17% | 1.0 | 0.75 | 1.0 | 1.14 | 1.68 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 7 15% | 1.71 | 1.57 | 1.43 | 1.5 | 1.6 |
| 3-4-3 | 6 12% | 2.5 | 1.67 | 0.5 | 1.41 | 0.74 |
| 4-4-1-1 | 1 2% | 0.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 2.97 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: home -1.7 pts at 11.0h
1.67Home 58% ▲ +1.6 ptsopened 1.713.85Draw 25% · +0.1 ptsopened 3.855.74Away 17% ▼ -1.8 ptsopened 5.17
Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.67 ▲ +1.6 | 3.85 · +0.1 | 5.74 ▼ -1.8 | 10m |
| bet365 | 1.61 ▲ +2.6 | 3.9 ▼ -2.2 | 5.5 · -0.4 | 10m |
| Betfair | 1.65 · +1.0 | 3.75 · +0.4 | 5.5 ▼ -1.4 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 1.65 ▲ +2.4 | 3.9 ▼ -1.2 | 5.5 ▼ -1.2 | 10m |
| Coral | 1.65 ▲ +2.5 | 3.9 · -1.0 | 5.5 ▼ -1.5 | 10m |
| Ladbrokes | 1.61 ▲ +2.2 | 3.8 ▼ -1.0 | 5.25 ▼ -1.2 | 10m |
| Unibet | 1.63 ▲ +1.4 | 3.65 · -0.4 | 5.4 ▼ -1.0 | 10m |
| WilliamHill | 1.65 ▲ +1.6 | 3.6 · -0.8 | 5.0 · -0.8 | 10m |
bet365 (Pinnacle absent) · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: no -2.0 pts at 10m · late move: no -2.0 pts inside the final hour
1.8Yes 52% ▲ +5.3 ptsopened 2.01.95No 48% ▼ -5.3 ptsopened 1.75
Yes No consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.8 ▲ +5.3 | 1.95 ▼ -5.3 | 10m |
| Betfair | 1.87 ▲ +3.6 | 1.87 ▼ -3.6 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 1.8 ▲ +4.1 | 1.9 ▼ -4.1 | 10m |
| Unibet | 2.05 · -0.7 | 1.72 · +0.7 | 10m |
| WilliamHill | 1.8 ▲ +2.8 | 1.95 ▼ -2.8 | 10m |
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: under -3.3 pts at 20m · late move: under -1.4 pts inside the final hour
1.87Over 52% ▲ +5.6 ptsopened 2.082.04Under 48% ▼ -5.6 ptsopened 1.81
Over Under consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.87 ▲ +5.6 | 2.04 ▼ -5.6 | 10m |
| bet365 | 1.8 ▲ +7.6 | 2.0 ▼ -7.6 | 10m |
| Betfair | 2.0 ▲ +3.4 | 1.8 ▼ -3.4 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 1.79 ▲ +4.6 | 1.88 ▼ -4.6 | 10m |
| Unibet | 2.08 · +0.6 | 1.71 · -0.6 | 10m |
Latest prices
bet365 · last snapshot 0.2h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
1.61Home 59% P 58%3.9Draw 24% P 25%5.5Away 17% P 17%
Double Chance
1.14Inter Milan or Draw 41%1.25Inter Milan or Napoli 38%2.2Draw or Napoli 21%
Draw No Bet
1.221 77%4.02 23%
Both Teams To Score
1.8Yes 52%1.95No 48%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.8Over 53% P 52%2.0Under 47% P 48%
Total Corners
7.0Under 6 13%2.756 - 8 32%2.759 - 11 32%5.512 - 14 16%13.0Over 14 7%
Number of Cards
2.51.57Over 59% P 56%2.25Under 41% P 44%
3.52.1Over 44% P 35%1.66Under 56% P 65%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 57.5–60% · away 15–17.5% · 555 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 58% | 59% | 57% | -1.5 |
| Draw | 25% | 25% | 28% | +3.8 |
| Away | 17% | 16% | 14% | -2.2 |
In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 54% · over 2.5 49%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 50–52.5% · 3,575 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 52% | 51% | 51% | -0.1 |
Simone Sozza
- Career
- 103 matches · 8 seasons
- Cards / match
- 4.63 (4.41 yellow · 0.15 red)
- Fouls / match
- 25.2 · 5.4 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.49
- Cards to home side
- 48%
Style in Serie A (5-year window · 69 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 4.48 | 4.49 | -0.02 | 49 |
| Fouls / match | 25.7 | 25.2 | +0.40 | |
| Fouls per card | 5.7 | 5.6 | -0.09 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.48 | 0.31 | +1.24 | 85 |
| Time added | 6.3 | 6.4 | -0.24 | 27 |
- First card
- 34' on average
- Card timing
- 15% in first 30' · 32% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 48% (league 46%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.42
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | 4 | 0 | 25 | 1 | 37' | 4 |
| 2026-08-13 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 1 | 43' | 8 |
| 2026-05-24 | 4 | 1 | 22 | 1 | 35' | 7 |
| 2026-05-17 | 5 | 0 | 27 | 1 | 48' | 11 |
| 2026-04-26 | 5 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 21' | 7 |
| 2026-04-05 · Inter | 1 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 60' | 5 |
| 2026-03-19 | 2 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 23' | 5 |
| 2026-03-08 | 5 | 1 | 46 | 1 | 44' | 10 |
| 2026-03-01 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 27' | 16 |
| 2026-02-26 | 3 | 0 | 33 | 1 | 28' | 3 |