Bologna v Sassuolo · KickoffDNA

Serie A · Matchweek 3

BolognaBologna

2–2

SassuoloSassuolo

Momentum

– BolognaSassuolo –

now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Stats

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Season context

Bologna	at home	Stat	league	away	Sassuolo
55.2 #7	–	Ball possession	50.0	–	43.2 #15
14.0 #10	–	Shots total	14.6	–	16.5 #6
3.8 #15	–	Shots on target	4.9	–	6.8 #4
5.0 #7	–	Corners	4.7	–	4.5 #11
13.8 #4	–	Fouls	11.2	–	9.2 #16
2.2 #8	–	Offsides	2.1	–	2.8 #5
16.2 #7	–	Tackles	16.0	–	13.8 #16
87.2 #14	–	Attacks	92.8	–	80.8 #17
40.5 #13	–	Dangerous attacks	44.7	–	44.5 #11
525.0 #5	–	Passes	459.1	–	412.8 #13
2.0 #5	–	Yellowcards	1.5	–	1.5 #10
0.0 #2	–	Redcards	0.1	–	–
0.2 #19	–	Assists	1.2	–	1.5 #5
– #17	–	Btts	60.0	–	– #1
– #11	–	Cleansheet	20.0	–	– #11
– #2	–	Draw	15.0	–	– #2
1.4 #11	–	Expected goals	1.5	–	1.8 #6
-0.9 #20	–	Expected goals difference	-0.0	–	0.2 #7
– #1	–	Failed to score	20.0	–	– #10
0.5 #18	1.0	Goals	1.5	1.5	2.0 #4
1.2 #11	1.5	Goals conceded	1.5	2.0	1.8 #6
0.5 #4	–	Injury time goals	0.5	–	1.0 #1
7.0 #16	–	Interceptions	8.5	–	6.8 #17
– #2	–	Lost	42.5	–	– #12
6.8 #13	–	Rating	6.8	–	6.9 #9
3.8 #8	–	Shots blocked	3.6	–	5.0 #4
9.2 #11	–	Shots insidebox	9.6	–	9.5 #9
6.5 #6	–	Shots off target	6.0	–	4.8 #14
4.8 #10	–	Shots outsidebox	4.9	–	7.0 #3
– #16	–	Win	42.5	–	– #6

Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 20.

League this season · 2026/2027

Played: 37 of 380
Goals / match: 2.92 (home 1.41 · away 1.51)
Home / draw / away: 41% · 16% · 43%
BTTS · over 2.5: 59% · 57%
Cards / match: 3.19 (reds 0.03)

Lineups

Waiting for lineups…

Bench

Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad

Bologna · Last 365 days

Juan Miranda 33 · Left Back

Starts

Rating 7.16 (97th pct) · G+A 1 + 5 (8% of team goals) · 74% of minutes

Team 1.6 ppg with (40) · 1.15 without (13)

Riccardo Orsolini 7 · Right Wing

Not in the squad

Rating 6.92 (67th pct) · G+A 12 + 1 (18% of team goals) · 52% of minutes

Team 1.57 ppg with (28) · 1.4 without (25)

Federico Bernardeschi 10 · Right Wing

Starts

Rating 7.0 (68th pct) · G+A 9 + 2 (15% of team goals) · 47% of minutes

Team 1.68 ppg with (25) · 1.32 without (28)

All key players

Sassuolo · Last 365 days

Armand Laurienté 45 · Left Wing

Starts

Rating 7.08 (77th pct) · G+A 7 + 10 (33% of team goals) · 79% of minutes

Team 1.38 ppg with (34) · 1.2 without (5)

Domenico Berardi 10 · Right Wing

Starts

Rating 7.16 (85th pct) · G+A 8 + 4 (24% of team goals) · 53% of minutes

Team 1.35 ppg with (23) · 1.38 without (16)

Kristian Thorstvedt 42 · Central Midfield

Starts

Rating 6.93 (61th pct) · G+A 4 + 4 (16% of team goals) · 74% of minutes

Team 1.38 ppg with (29) · 1.3 without (10)

All key players

Competition

Stage: Regular Season
Round: 3

Venue

Stadium: Stadio Renato Dall'Ara, Bologna
Capacity: 36,532
Surface: grass
Attendance: 26,313

Teams

Coaches: Domenico Tedesco · Alberto Aquilani
Position: 17 · 9
Formation: 4-2-3-1 · 4-3-3

Referee

Marco Di Bello

Weather

Conditions: clear sky
Temperature: 29.9° (feels 31.1°)
Wind: 4.1
Humidity: 52%

Where to watch · 108

Albania Tring Sport 1
Algeria STARZPLAY
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Bahamas Disney+ Premium Caribbean
Bahrain STARZPLAY
Belgium DAZN
Bolivia Disney+ Premium
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Brazil Disney+ Premium
Bulgaria Max Sport 3
Canada DAZN · fuboTV
Chile Disney+ Premium
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Croatia Arena sport 2 · MAX To Go
Cuba Disney+ Premium Caribbean
Cyprus Cablenet TV Go · Cytavision on the Go · Cytavision PPV4 · Cytavision Sports 4
Denmark TV2 · TV2 Play
Dominican Republic Disney+ Premium Caribbean · Disney+ Premium Norte
Ecuador Disney+ Premium Sur
Egypt STARZPLAY
El Salvador Disney+ Premium Norte
England DAZN
Finland MTV Katsomo
France DAZN
Germany DAZN · DAZN Germany
Greece Cosmote Sport 1 HD
Guatemala Disney+ Premium Norte
Haiti Disney+ Premium Caribbean
Honduras Disney+ Premium Norte
Hong Kong beIN Sports MAX Hong Kong
Indonesia Vidio · Vidio TV
Iran STARZPLAY
Iraq Almanasa
Italy DAZN
Jamaica Disney+ Premium Caribbean
Japan DAZN
Jordan STARZPLAY
Kosovo ArtMotion · TV Vala
Kuwait STARZPLAY
Lebanon STARZPLAY
Malta GO TV Anywhere · TSN 3 · TSN 3 HD
Mexico Disney+ Premium · Disney+ Premium Mexico
Monaco DAZN
Morocco STARZPLAY
Nicaragua Disney+ Premium Norte
Northern Ireland DAZN
Norway VG+ · VGTV
Oman STARZPLAY
Palestine STARZPLAY
Panama Disney+ Premium Norte
Paraguay Disney+ Premium
Peru Disney+ Premium
Poland Canal+ · Eleven Sports 1 · Polsat Box GO
Portugal Sport TV Multiscreen
Puerto Rico Disney+ Premium Caribbean
Qatar STARZPLAY
Republic of Ireland DAZN
Romania Digi Online · Digi Sport 2 · Orange TV Go · Prima Sport 3 · Prima TV
Saint Lucia Disney+ Premium Caribbean
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines Disney+ Caribbean
Saudi Arabia STARZPLAY
Scotland DAZN
South Africa DStv App · SuperSport Football
Spain DAZN
Sweden TV4 Play · tv4play
Switzerland DAZN
Trinidad and Tobago Disney+ Premium Caribbean
Tunisia STARZPLAY
Turkey S Sport
United Arab Emirates STARZPLAY
United States Paramount+
Uruguay Disney+ Premium
US Virgin Islands Disney+ Caribbean
Venezuela Disney+ Premium Sur
Wales DAZN
Yemen STARZPLAY

2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Roma	4	4	0	0	12	1	11	12	WWWW
2	Inter	4	4	0	0	13	6	7	12	WWWW
3	Como	4	3	1	0	9	4	5	10	DWWW
4	Lazio	4	3	1	0	6	3	3	10	WWWD
5	Cagliari	4	3	0	1	4	2	2	9	WLWW
6	AC Milan	4	2	2	0	7	4	3	8	WWDD
7	Frosinone	4	2	1	1	7	4	3	7	LWWD
8	Juventus	4	2	1	1	6	4	2	7	WWDL
9	Sassuolo	4	2	1	1	8	7	1	7	LWDW
10	Napoli	4	2	0	2	6	5	1	6	WLLW
11	Atalanta	4	2	0	2	5	5	0	6	WWLL
12	Lecce	4	2	0	2	5	7	-2	6	WLLW
13	Udinese	4	1	1	2	8	10	-2	4	DWLL
14	Torino	4	1	0	3	4	7	-3	3	LLWL
15	Fiorentina	4	1	0	3	5	11	-6	3	LLLW
16	Bologna	4	0	1	3	2	5	-3	1	LLDL
17	Parma	4	0	1	3	2	6	-4	1	LLDL
18	Monza	4	0	1	3	6	11	-5	1	LLDL
19	Genoa	4	0	1	3	2	8	-6	1	LLLD
20	Venezia	4	0	0	4	4	11	-7	0	LLLL

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Inter	3	3	0	0	12	6	6	9	WWWW
2	Roma	2	2	0	0	6	1	5	6	WWWW
3	Sassuolo	2	2	0	0	5	3	2	6	LWDW
4	Atalanta	3	2	0	1	4	3	1	6	WWLL
5	Juventus	2	1	1	0	3	1	2	4	WWDL
6	Lazio	2	1	1	0	3	2	1	4	WWWD
7	AC Milan	1	1	0	0	2	0	2	3	WWDD
8	Como	1	1	0	0	2	1	1	3	DWWW
9	Frosinone	2	1	0	1	3	3	0	3	LWWD
10	Napoli	2	1	0	1	2	2	0	3	WLLW
11	Cagliari	2	1	0	1	1	1	0	3	WLWW
12	Lecce	2	1	0	1	3	6	-3	3	WLLW
13	Bologna	2	0	1	1	2	3	-1	1	LLDL
14	Udinese	2	0	1	1	2	3	-1	1	DWLL
15	Parma	2	0	1	1	1	2	-1	1	LLDL
16	Genoa	3	0	1	2	2	7	-5	1	LLLD
17	Monza	1	0	0	1	2	3	-1	0	LLDL
18	Torino	2	0	0	2	1	4	-3	0	LLWL
19	Venezia	2	0	0	2	2	6	-4	0	LLLL
20	Fiorentina	2	0	0	2	1	5	-4	0	LLLW

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Como	3	2	1	0	7	3	4	7	DWWW
2	Roma	2	2	0	0	6	0	6	6	WWWW
3	Cagliari	2	2	0	0	3	1	2	6	WLWW
4	Lazio	2	2	0	0	3	1	2	6	WWWD
5	AC Milan	3	1	2	0	5	4	1	5	WWDD
6	Frosinone	2	1	1	0	4	1	3	4	LWWD
7	Napoli	2	1	0	1	4	3	1	3	WLLW
8	Lecce	2	1	0	1	2	1	1	3	WLLW
9	Inter	1	1	0	0	1	0	1	3	WWWW
10	Juventus	2	1	0	1	3	3	0	3	WWDL
11	Torino	2	1	0	1	3	3	0	3	LLWL
12	Udinese	2	1	0	1	6	7	-1	3	DWLL
13	Fiorentina	2	1	0	1	4	6	-2	3	LLLW
14	Sassuolo	2	0	1	1	3	4	-1	1	LWDW
15	Monza	3	0	1	2	4	8	-4	1	LLDL
16	Atalanta	1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	WWLL
17	Genoa	1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	LLLD
18	Bologna	2	0	0	2	0	2	-2	0	LLDL
19	Venezia	2	0	0	2	2	5	-3	0	LLLL
20	Parma	2	0	0	2	1	4	-3	0	LLDL

UEFA Champions League
UEFA Europa League
UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
Relegation

Bologna

WWDLL 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 7 GA 7 · xG 6.86–4.29 · xPts 8.57

L A Atalanta 0–1 xG 0.91–0.25 ITA SA
L H Lazio 0–1 xG 2.31–0.64 ITA SA
D H Inter 3–3 xG 1.49–1.49 ITA SA
W A Atalanta 1–0 xG 0.84–0.89 ITA SA
W A Napoli 3–2 xG 1.32–1.03 ITA SA

Sassuolo

LLLW 1W 0D 3L · 3 pts (0.75 ppg) · GF 5 GA 7 · xG 7.19–4.22 · xPts 7.29

W H Torino 2–1 xG 1.8–1.21 ITA SA
L A Atalanta 1–2 xG 2.54–0.9 ITA SA
L A Parma 0–1 xG 0.86–1.23 ITA SA
L H Lecce 2–3 xG 1.99–0.88 ITA SA

No predictions from model engine-only-1.1.0 (available: engine-only-1.0.0, engine-only-1.0.1).

All meetings · 23 matches since 2013

Bologna 98 draws6 Sassuolo

Goals 35–28 · 2.74 per match · BTTS 65% · over 2.5 52%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Bologna 45 draws1 Sassuolo

Goals 18–11 · 2.9 per match · BTTS 70% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Bologna 23 draws0 Sassuolo

Goals 9–6 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

D Bologna 2–2 Sassuolo ITA SA · Regular Season
W Sassuolo 0–1 Bologna ITA SA · Regular Season
D Bologna 1–1 Sassuolo ITA SA · Regular Season
W Bologna 4–2 Sassuolo ITA SA · Regular Season
D Sassuolo 1–1 Bologna ITA SA · Regular Season
D Sassuolo 1–1 Bologna ITA SA · Regular Season
W Bologna 3–0 Sassuolo ITA SA · Regular Season
L Bologna 1–3 Sassuolo ITA SA · Regular Season
W Sassuolo 0–3 Bologna ITA SA · Regular Season
D Sassuolo 1–1 Bologna ITA SA · Regular Season

Metric	Bologna all · 4	Bologna at home · 2	Sassuolo all · 4	Sassuolo away · 2

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Bologna · 4 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.21) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) +0.62

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.214

Early press (0-15, level)+0.624

Late push (76+, level)+0.202

Late chase (76+, behind)-0.234

Game state

When level+0.394

When behind-0.104

10 min after conceding+0.384

Situations

At home+0.092

Away+0.342

4+ days rest+0.214

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.342

v mid-tier opponents+0.092

As underdog+0.342

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.104

Conceded late (76+)-0.144

Behind vs level -0.49

Sassuolo · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.09) · stands out: late push (76+, level) -0.50

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.094

Early press (0-15, level)-0.244

Late push (76+, level)-0.503

Game state

When ahead+0.143

When level-0.074

10 min after conceding-0.424

10 min after scoring+0.184

Situations

At home-0.032

Away+0.222

4+ days rest+0.094

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.112

As underdog+0.073

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.104

Conceded when ahead+0.173

Conceded late (76+)+0.234

Ahead vs level +0.21 · Behind vs level +0.50

Bologna

Current: winless 5 · conceding 5

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-2-3-1	4 100%	0.25	0.5	1.25	1.45	1.07

Sassuolo

Current: unbeaten 3 · wins 1 · scoring 4 · conceding 7

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-3-3	3 75%	1.33	1.67	1.67	1.94	1.48
4-2-3-1	1 25%	3.0	3.0	2.0	0.92	1.12

Metric	Bologna all · 10	Bologna at home · 10	Sassuolo all · 10	Sassuolo away · 10
Results
Matches	10	10	10	10
Points per game	0.90	0.70	1.40	0.90
W / D / L	2 / 3 / 5	1 / 4 / 5	4 / 2 / 4	2 / 3 / 5
Goals for / match	0.90	1.00	1.50	1.20
Goals against / match	1.40	1.60	1.40	1.40
Clean sheets	20%	20%	20%	10%
Failed to score	60%	40%	20%	20%
Both teams scored	30%	50%	70%	80%
Over 2.5	30%	40%	70%	70%
Expected goals
xG for / match	1.19	1.54	1.56	1.38
xG against / match	1.12	1.08	1.29	1.59
xG difference	0.07	0.47	0.27	-0.21
Finishing vs xG	-0.29	-0.54	-0.06	-0.18
xPts / match	1.40	1.66	1.55	1.26
Points vs xPts	-0.50	-0.96	-0.15	-0.36
Game state
Scored first	20%	30%	60%	30%
PPG when scoring first	3.00	1.33	2.17	1.33
PPG when conceding first	0.29	0.33	0.00	0.67
Came back from behind	29%	29%	0%	29%
Leads held	67%	25%	67%	50%
Minutes leading	11%	15%	28%	20%
Minutes level	57%	54%	53%	51%
Minutes trailing	33%	31%	19%	30%
First goal (min)	40	48	36	44
First goal conceded (min)	39	43	48	33
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half	56%	70%	60%	67%
Goals conceded in 2nd half	57%	69%	64%	64%
Late goals for (76'+)	0.30	0.30	0.40	0.00
Late goals against	0.20	0.30	0.50	0.40
Style
Possession	54%	58%	49%	46%
Shots	11.7	14.7	13.5	12.7
On target	3.3	3.7	5.0	4.2
Shot conversion	8%	7%	11%	9%
Shots inside box	62%	61%	62%	68%
Big chances created	1.8	2.3	2.8	2.2
Corners	4.2	5.9	3.7	4.5
xG from set plays	34%	32%	18%	24%
Goals from headers	11%	20%	7%	17%
Pressure index	12.5	13.9	10.7	10.0
Dominant minutes	49.9	59.3	42.5	40.3
Pass accuracy	87%	86%	86%	85%
Fouls	11.6	13.5	10.9	10.4
Cards	1.50	1.60	1.90	2.20

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Bologna

0–15'12

16–30'12

31–45'22

46–60'24

61–75'02

76–90'32

Sassuolo

0–15'12

16–30'21

31–45'32

46–60'41

61–75'13

76–90'45

Bologna

Current: winless 5 · conceding 5

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-2-3-1	5 50%	0.4	0.4	1.0	1.33	1.02
4-3-3	4 40%	1.75	1.75	1.75	1.13	1.17
3-4-2-1	1 10%	0.0	0.0	2.0	0.71	1.4

Sassuolo

Current: unbeaten 3 · wins 1 · scoring 4 · conceding 7

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-3-3	9 90%	1.22	1.33	1.33	1.64	1.31
4-2-3-1	1 10%	3.0	3.0	2.0	0.92	1.12

Metric	Bologna all · 53	Bologna at home · 27	Sassuolo all · 39	Sassuolo away · 20
Results
Matches	53	27	39	20
Points per game	1.49	1.11	1.36	1.05
W / D / L	22 / 13 / 18	7 / 9 / 11	15 / 8 / 16	5 / 6 / 9
Goals for / match	1.36	1.11	1.31	1.10
Goals against / match	1.26	1.26	1.33	1.25
Clean sheets	28%	30%	18%	20%
Failed to score	28%	37%	28%	30%
Both teams scored	49%	44%	59%	60%
Over 2.5	49%	41%	62%	55%
Expected goals
xG for / match	1.49	1.61	1.22	1.22
xG against / match	1.14	1.05	1.42	1.47
xG difference	0.35	0.56	-0.20	-0.25
Finishing vs xG	-0.13	-0.50	0.09	-0.12
xPts / match	1.59	1.69	1.25	1.22
Points vs xPts	-0.10	-0.58	0.11	-0.17
Game state
Scored first	47%	37%	41%	35%
PPG when scoring first	2.36	2.10	2.44	2.00
PPG when conceding first	0.68	0.43	0.57	0.45
Came back from behind	33%	27%	30%	31%
Leads held	71%	58%	79%	62%
Minutes leading	26%	16%	24%	17%
Minutes level	52%	58%	47%	51%
Minutes trailing	22%	26%	29%	31%
First goal (min)	43	51	37	47
First goal conceded (min)	43	44	34	35
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half	59%	70%	59%	73%
Goals conceded in 2nd half	58%	56%	56%	64%
Late goals for (76'+)	0.28	0.22	0.23	0.10
Late goals against	0.25	0.15	0.36	0.35
Style
Possession	55%	58%	46%	44%
Shots	14.5	16.2	11.4	11.5
On target	4.6	4.6	4.1	4.0
Shot conversion	9%	7%	12%	10%
Shots inside box	65%	65%	64%	64%
Big chances created	2.3	2.3	2.2	2.2
Corners	5.1	6.3	3.9	3.9
xG from set plays	30%	32%	26%	30%
Goals from headers	8%	20%	10%	14%
Pressure index	16.3	17.6	9.6	7.6
Dominant minutes	56.4	59.5	39.4	34.5
Pass accuracy	83%	84%	83%	82%
Fouls	13.8	12.9	11.4	11.6
Cards	1.98	1.63	2.13	2.25

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Bologna

0–15'67

16–30'117

31–45'1214

46–60'1913

61–75'913

76–90'1413

Sassuolo

0–15'812

16–30'58

31–45'83

46–60'138

61–75'87

76–90'914

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Bologna · 53 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.25) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.67

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.2553

Early press (0-15, level)+0.2353

Late push (76+, level)+0.2619

Late chase (76+, behind)+0.0716

Game state

When ahead+0.2830

When level+0.2953

When behind+0.1026

10 min after conceding-0.0637

10 min after scoring+0.6738

Situations

With ten men+0.167

Against ten men+0.516

At home+0.1927

Away+0.3026

3 days rest or fewer+0.0815

4+ days rest+0.3138

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.0017

v mid-tier opponents+0.1611

v bottom-tier opponents+0.504

As favourite+0.4325

Evenly matched+0.1215

As underdog+0.0313

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.1153

Conceded when ahead-0.1630

Conceded late (76+)-0.2249

Congested vs rested -0.23 · Ahead vs level -0.01 · Behind vs level -0.19

Sassuolo · 39 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.06) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.39

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.0639

Early press (0-15, level)-0.1339

Late push (76+, level)-0.2717

Late chase (76+, behind)-0.3915

Game state

When ahead-0.0719

When level-0.0139

When behind-0.1223

10 min after conceding-0.2632

10 min after scoring+0.0928

Situations

With ten men+0.332

Against ten men-0.222

At home-0.0119

Away-0.1020

4+ days rest-0.0538

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.2013

v mid-tier opponents+0.048

v bottom-tier opponents-0.074

As favourite+0.125

Evenly matched+0.0115

As underdog-0.1519

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.1839

Conceded when ahead+0.0619

Conceded late (76+)+0.1135

Congested vs rested -0.41 · Ahead vs level -0.07 · Behind vs level -0.11

Bologna

Current: winless 5 · conceding 5

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-2-3-1	35 66%	1.4	1.34	1.26	1.55	1.14
4-3-3	14 26%	1.93	1.57	1.21	1.4	1.0
4-1-4-1	2 4%	1.5	1.5	1.5	1.31	1.64
4-2-2-2	1 2%	0.0	0.0	1.0	1.56	1.87
3-4-2-1	1 2%	0.0	0.0	2.0	0.71	1.4

Sassuolo

Current: unbeaten 3 · wins 1 · scoring 4 · conceding 7

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-3-3	36 92%	1.28	1.25	1.33	1.26	1.4
4-2-3-1	2 5%	3.0	2.5	1.5	0.78	1.35
4-4-2	1 3%	1.0	1.0	1.0	0.76	2.32

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: home +2.5 pts at 6.0h

1.95Home 50% ▲ +2.6 ptsopened 2.053.54Draw 27% · -0.5 ptsopened 3.464.26Away 23% ▼ -2.0 ptsopened 3.9

Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

Bookmaker	Home	Draw	Away	Last
Pinnacle	1.95 ▲ +2.6	3.54 · -0.5	4.26 ▼ -2.0	10m
bet365	1.95 · +0.6	3.7 ▼ -2.1	4.0 ▲ +1.5	10m
Betfair	1.95 · -0.6	3.6 · -0.4	3.8 · +1.0	10m
BetVictor	1.9 ▲ +2.0	3.6 ▼ -1.1	3.9 · -0.9	10m
Coral	1.91 ▲ +2.0	3.5 · -0.9	3.9 ▼ -1.1	10m
Ladbrokes	1.91 ▲ +2.2	3.5 · -0.8	3.9 ▼ -1.3	10m
Unibet	1.89 · -0.3	3.4 · +0.4	4.0 · -0.0	10m
WilliamHill	1.95 ▲ +1.1	3.5 ▼ -2.1	3.6 · +1.0	10m

bet365 (Pinnacle absent) · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: no -1.3 pts at 8.0h

1.75Yes 53% ▲ +1.3 ptsopened 1.82.0No 47% ▼ -1.3 ptsopened 1.95

Yes No consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Last
bet365	1.75 ▲ +1.3	2.0 ▼ -1.3	10m
Betfair	1.83 · -0.4	1.91 · +0.4	10m
BetVictor	1.67 ▲ +3.8	2.05 ▼ -3.8	10m
Unibet	1.82 · +0.4	1.93 · -0.4	10m
WilliamHill	1.7 ▲ +4.2	2.1 ▼ -4.2	10m

Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: under -5.1 pts at 10.0h

1.85Over 53% ▲ +6.4 ptsopened 2.092.06Under 47% ▼ -6.4 ptsopened 1.8

Over Under consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Last
Pinnacle	1.85 ▲ +6.4	2.06 ▼ -6.4	10m
bet365	1.9 ▲ +2.6	1.9 ▼ -2.6	10m
Betfair	2.0 · +0.1	1.8 · -0.1	10m
BetVictor	1.78 ▲ +4.9	1.9 ▼ -4.9	10m
Unibet	1.98 · +0.5	1.81 · -0.5	10m

Latest prices

bet365 · last snapshot 0.2h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.95Home 50% P 50%3.7Draw 26% P 27%4.0Away 24% P 23%

Double Chance

1.22Bologna or Draw 38%1.28Bologna or Sassuolo 36%1.83Draw or Sassuolo 25%

Draw No Bet

1.41 66%2.752 34%

Both Teams To Score

1.75Yes 53%2.0No 47%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.9Over 50% P 53%1.9Under 50% P 47%

Total Corners

6.5Under 6 14%2.626 - 8 34%2.759 - 11 32%6.012 - 14 15%15.0Over 14 6%

Number of Cards

2.51.57Over 59% P 64%2.25Under 41% P 36%

3.52.1Over 44% P 43%1.66Under 56% P 57%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 47.5–50% · away 22.5–25% · 808 fixtures

	This match	Band	Actual	±
Home	50%	49%	47%	-1.9
Draw	27%	28%	29%	+1.7
Away	23%	24%	24%	+0.3

In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 54% · over 2.5 48%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 52.5–55% · 2,940 fixtures

	This match	Band	Actual	±
Over 2.5	53%	54%	54%	+0.8

Marco Di Bello

Career: 216 matches · 16 seasons
Cards / match: 4.83 (4.55 yellow · 0.19 red)
Fouls / match: 26.6 · 4.9 fouls per card
Penalties / match: 0.36
Cards to home side: 47%

Style in Serie A (5-year window · 67 matches)

Metric	Referee	League	vs peers	pct
Cards / match	3.9	4.49	-0.84	20
Fouls / match	26.1	25.2	+0.65
Fouls per card	6.8	5.6	+0.98 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match	0.39	0.31	+0.52	68
Time added	6.3	6.4	-0.24	27

First card: 37' on average
Card timing: 14% in first 30' · 36% in last 15'
Cards to home side: 50% (league 46%)
VAR events / match: 1.04

Recent matches

Date	Y	Fouls	1st card	+min
2026-08-22	3	18	54'	6
2026-05-10	2	31	39'	7
2026-04-25 · Bologna	3	26	46'	5
2026-04-12	1	12	83'	6
2026-03-16	1	33	27'	14
2026-02-22	2	23	24'	7
2026-01-17	1	28	70'	6
2026-01-07 · Bologna	1	31	88'	6
2025-12-29	1	26	50'	5
2025-12-06	3	29	44'	5

Momentum

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Events

Stats

Season context

League this season · 2026/2027

Trends

Lineups

Bench

Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad

Bologna · Last 365 days

Sassuolo · Last 365 days

Commentary

In-Play Odds

Competition

Venue

Teams

Referee

Weather

Where to watch · 108

Bologna

Sassuolo

All meetings · 23 matches since 2013

Last 10 · 10 matches

Last 5 · 5 matches

Recent meetings

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Bologna · 4 matches

Sassuolo · 4 matches

Bologna

Sassuolo

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Bologna

Sassuolo

Bologna

Sassuolo

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Bologna

Sassuolo

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Bologna · 53 matches

Sassuolo · 39 matches

Bologna

Sassuolo

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Latest prices

Fulltime Result

Double Chance

Draw No Bet

Both Teams To Score

Goals Over/Under

Total Corners

Number of Cards

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Match result · home 47.5–50% · away 22.5–25% · 808 fixtures

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 52.5–55% · 2,940 fixtures

Marco Di Bello

Style in Serie A (5-year window · 67 matches)

Recent matches