Rating 7.21 (87th pct) · G+A 7 + 6 (23% of team goals) · 75% of minutes
Team 1.9 ppg with (29) · 1.55 without (11)
Serie A · Matchweek 2
Momentum
– AC MilanVenezia –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
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Stats
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Season context
| AC Milan | at home | Stat | league | away | Venezia |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 58.5 #5 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 59.2 #4 |
| 13.5 #11 | – | Shots total | 14.6 | – | 13.2 #12 |
| 4.2 #11 | – | Shots on target | 4.9 | – | 4.0 #13 |
| 3.0 #16 | – | Corners | 4.8 | – | 3.0 #16 |
| 10.5 #12 | – | Fouls | 11.2 | – | 11.0 #9 |
| 0.8 #18 | – | Offsides | 2.0 | – | 2.0 #10 |
| 14.2 #15 | – | Tackles | 16.2 | – | 17.0 #4 |
| 92.0 #12 | – | Attacks | 93.0 | – | 109.0 #3 |
| 45.2 #10 | – | Dangerous attacks | 44.7 | – | 46.5 #9 |
| 541.0 #4 | – | Passes | 460.1 | – | 485.5 #8 |
| 2.0 #5 | – | Yellowcards | 1.5 | – | 2.5 #1 |
| 1.5 #5 | – | Assists | 1.2 | – | 1.0 #13 |
| – #5 | – | Btts | 60.0 | – | – #9 |
| – #6 | – | Cleansheet | 20.0 | – | – #11 |
| – #1 | – | Draw | 14.5 | – | – #12 |
| 1.6 #8 | – | Expected goals | 1.5 | – | 1.5 #9 |
| 0.1 #8 | – | Expected goals difference | -0.0 | – | -0.5 #17 |
| – #10 | – | Failed to score | 20.0 | – | – #2 |
| 1.8 #6 | 2.0 | Goals | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 #15 |
| 1.0 #14 | 0.0 | Goals conceded | 1.5 | 2.5 | 2.8 #1 |
| 0.5 #4 | – | Injury time goals | 0.4 | – | – |
| 7.5 #13 | – | Interceptions | 8.4 | – | 6.0 #18 |
| – #16 | – | Lost | 42.5 | – | – #1 |
| 6.9 #6 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.6 #20 |
| 3.2 #10 | – | Shots blocked | 3.6 | – | 3.0 #14 |
| 10.5 #4 | – | Shots insidebox | 9.6 | – | 8.8 #12 |
| 6.0 #8 | – | Shots off target | 6.0 | – | 6.2 #7 |
| 3.0 #18 | – | Shots outsidebox | 5.0 | – | 4.5 #12 |
| – #6 | – | Win | 43.0 | – | – #17 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 20.
League this season · 2026/2027
- Played
- 37 of 380
- Goals / match
- 2.92 (home 1.41 · away 1.51)
- Home / draw / away
- 41% · 16% · 43%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 59% · 57%
- Cards / match
- 3.19 (reds 0.03)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
AC Milan · Last 365 days
Rating 7.23 (88th pct) · G+A 1 + 2 (5% of team goals) · 78% of minutes
Team 1.94 ppg with (32) · 1.25 without (8)
Rating 7.08 (90th pct) · G+A 3 + 3 (11% of team goals) · 75% of minutes
Team 1.68 ppg with (31) · 2.22 without (9)
Venezia · Last 365 days
Rating 6.92 (60th pct) · G+A 1 + 1 (50% of team goals) · 99% of minutes
Rating 7.11 (80th pct) · G+A 0 + 2 (50% of team goals) · 87% of minutes
Rating 7.07 (87th pct) · G+A 1 + 0 (25% of team goals) · 82% of minutes
Absences
AC Milan
- injury Warren Bondo midfielder · Unknown Injury · 68 missed
Venezia
- injury Andrea Adorante attacker · Back Injury · 6 missed · until 2026-10-01
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 2
Venue
- Stadium
- Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, Milano
- Capacity
- 75,817
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 75,141
Teams
- Coaches
- Ruben Amorim · Giovanni Stroppa
- Position
- 5 · 18
- Formation
- 3-4-2-1 · 3-5-2
Referee
Gianluca Manganiello
Weather
- Conditions
- broken clouds
- Temperature
- 22.8° (feels 23.2°)
- Wind
- 2.1
- Humidity
- 82%
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2026/2027
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Roma |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 1 | 11 | 12 | WWWW |
| 2 |  Inter |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 12 | WWWW |
| 3 |  Como |
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 10 | DWWW |
| 4 |  Lazio |
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 10 | WWWD |
| 5 |  Cagliari |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9 | WLWW |
| 6 |  AC Milan |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 8 | WWDD |
| 7 |  Frosinone |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 | LWWD |
| 8 |  Juventus |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 7 | WWDL |
| 9 |  Sassuolo |
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 7 | LWDWL |
| 10 |  Napoli |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 6 | WLLW |
| 11 |  Atalanta |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 6 | WWLL |
| 12 |  Lecce |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 6 | WLLW |
| 13 |  Udinese |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 4 | DWLL |
| 14 |  Monza |
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 4 | LLDLW |
| 15 |  Torino |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 3 | LLWL |
| 16 |  Fiorentina |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 3 | LLLW |
| 17 |  Bologna |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 1 | LLDL |
| 18 |  Parma |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 1 | LLDL |
| 19 |  Genoa |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 1 | LLLD |
| 20 |  Venezia |
4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 0 | LLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 9 | WWWW |
| 2 | Roma |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 6 | WWWW |
| 3 | Sassuolo |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 6 | LWDWL |
| 4 | Atalanta |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 6 | WWLL |
| 5 | Juventus |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | WWDL |
| 6 | Lazio |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | WWWD |
| 7 | AC Milan |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | WWDD |
| 8 | Como |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | DWWW |
| 9 | Monza |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | LLDLW |
| 10 | Frosinone |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | LWWD |
| 11 | Napoli |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | WLLW |
| 12 | Cagliari |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | WLWW |
| 13 | Lecce |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 3 | WLLW |
| 14 | Bologna |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 1 | LLDL |
| 15 | Udinese |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 1 | DWLL |
| 16 | Parma |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 1 | LLDL |
| 17 | Genoa |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 1 | LLLD |
| 18 | Torino |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | LLWL |
| 19 | Venezia |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 0 | LLLL |
| 20 | Fiorentina |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 0 | LLLW |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Como |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 7 | DWWW |
| 2 | Roma |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 6 | WWWW |
| 3 | Cagliari |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | WLWW |
| 4 | Lazio |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | WWWD |
| 5 | AC Milan |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 5 | WWDD |
| 6 | Frosinone |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 | LWWD |
| 7 | Napoli |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | WLLW |
| 8 | Lecce |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | WLLW |
| 9 | Inter |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | WWWW |
| 10 | Juventus |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | WWDL |
| 11 | Torino |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | LLWL |
| 12 | Udinese |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 3 | DWLL |
| 13 | Fiorentina |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 3 | LLLW |
| 14 | Sassuolo |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 1 | LWDWL |
| 15 | Monza |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 1 | LLDLW |
| 16 | Atalanta |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | WWLL |
| 17 | Genoa |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | LLLD |
| 18 | Bologna |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | LLDL |
| 19 | Venezia |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 0 | LLLL |
| 20 | Parma |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | LLDL |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Europa League
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
- Relegation
AC Milan
LLWLW 2W 0D 3L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 7 GA 9 · xG 8.18–8.59 · xPts 6.81
- W
A
Torino
2–1
xG 2.24–1.06
ITA SA
- L
H
Cagliari
1–2
xG 1.77–2.53
ITA SA
- W
A
Genoa
2–1
xG 1.79–1.55
ITA SA
- L
H
Atalanta
2–3
xG 2.02–1.24
ITA SA
- L
A
Sassuolo
0–2
xG 0.37–2.2
ITA SA
LLWLW 2W 0D 3L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 7 GA 9 · xG 8.18–8.59 · xPts 6.81
- W
A
Torino
2–1
xG 2.24–1.06
ITA SA
- L
H
Cagliari
1–2
xG 1.77–2.53
ITA SA
- W
A
Genoa
2–1
xG 1.79–1.55
ITA SA
- L
H
Atalanta
2–3
xG 2.02–1.24
ITA SA
- L
A
Sassuolo
0–2
xG 0.37–2.2
ITA SA
Venezia
L 0W 0D 1L · 0 pts (0.0 ppg) · GF 0 GA 2 · xG 2.21–1.9 · xPts 1.57
- L
H
Lecce
0–2
xG 2.21–1.9
ITA SA
L 0W 0D 1L · 0 pts (0.0 ppg) · GF 0 GA 2 · xG 2.21–1.9 · xPts 1.57
- L
H
Lecce
0–2
xG 2.21–1.9
ITA SA
All meetings · 5 matches since 2021
Goals 13–0 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 40%
Last 10 · 5 matches
Goals 13–0 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 40%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 13–0 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 40%
Recent meetings
- W AC Milan 2–0 Venezia ITA SA · Regular Season
- W Venezia 0–2 AC Milan ITA SA · Regular Season
- W AC Milan 4–0 Venezia ITA SA · Regular Season
- W Venezia 0–3 AC Milan ITA SA · Regular Season
- W AC Milan 2–0 Venezia neutral ITA SA · Regular Season
| Metric | AC Milan all · 4 | AC Milan at home · 1 | Venezia all · 4 | Venezia away · 2 |
|---|
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
AC Milan · 5 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.45) · stands out: as favourite +0.68
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.455
Early press (0-15, level)+0.485
Late push (76+, level)+0.022
Game state
When ahead-0.083
When level+0.485
When behind+0.712
10 min after conceding+0.404
10 min after scoring+0.574
Situations
At home+0.472
Away+0.433
4+ days rest+0.455
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.102
As favourite+0.683
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.175
Conceded when ahead-0.003
Conceded late (76+)-0.055
Ahead vs level -0.56 · Behind vs level +0.23
Venezia · 4 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.22) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.25
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.224
Early press (0-15, level)+0.064
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.214
Game state
When level+0.244
When behind+0.224
10 min after conceding-0.254
10 min after scoring-0.012
Situations
At home+0.612
Away-0.162
4+ days rest+0.224
Opposition
v bottom-tier opponents+0.462
Evenly matched+0.182
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.104
Conceded late (76+)+0.134
Ahead vs level -0.53 · Behind vs level -0.02
AC Milan
Current: winless 3 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 4 100% | 2.0 | 1.75 | 1.0 | 1.59 | 1.29 |
Venezia
Current: winless 6 · scoring 2 · conceding 10
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-5-2 | 4 100% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.75 | 1.53 | 2.18 |
| Metric | AC Milan all · 10 | AC Milan at home · 10 | Venezia all · 10 | Venezia away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.10 | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| W / D / L | 3 / 3 / 4 | 3 / 2 / 5 | 1 / 2 / 7 | 0 / 5 / 5 |
| Goals for / match | 1.20 | 1.00 | 1.10 | 0.90 |
| Goals against / match | 1.40 | 1.40 | 2.30 | 1.80 |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 30% | 0% | 10% |
| Failed to score | 30% | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 40% | 60% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 40% | 60% | 40% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.42 | 1.59 | 1.45 | 1.25 |
| xG against / match | 1.41 | 1.32 | 1.82 | 1.70 |
| xG difference | 0.01 | 0.27 | -0.37 | -0.45 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.22 | -0.59 | -0.35 | -0.35 |
| xPts / match | 1.36 | 1.54 | 1.20 | 1.11 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.16 | -0.44 | -0.70 | -0.61 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 50% | 40% | 40% | 20% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.00 | 2.25 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.25 | 0.20 | 0.17 | 0.29 |
| Came back from behind | 20% | 17% | 12% | 29% |
| Leads held | 60% | 75% | 20% | 0% |
| Minutes leading | 14% | 15% | 11% | 6% |
| Minutes level | 49% | 52% | 44% | 65% |
| Minutes trailing | 37% | 33% | 44% | 28% |
| First goal (min) | 58 | 49 | 42 | 62 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 40 | 32 | 42 | 53 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 92% | 70% | 73% | 89% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 50% | 43% | 61% | 78% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.40 | 0.30 | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| Late goals against | 0.30 | 0.20 | 0.80 | 0.70 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 53% | 56% | 52% | 49% |
| Shots | 13.0 | 15.2 | 11.9 | 10.6 |
| On target | 4.1 | 4.3 | 3.8 | 3.3 |
| Shot conversion | 9% | 7% | 9% | 8% |
| Shots inside box | 65% | 64% | 68% | 60% |
| Big chances created | 2.1 | 2.3 | 2.2 | 1.6 |
| Corners | 3.7 | 3.8 | 4.0 | 4.0 |
| xG from set plays | 30% | 21% | 25% | 34% |
| Goals from headers | 8% | 10% | 9% | 0% |
| Pressure index | 14.4 | 15.9 | 9.1 | 5.5 |
| Dominant minutes | 53.8 | 55.7 | 43.9 | 35.2 |
| Pass accuracy | 87% | 89% | 80% | 76% |
| Fouls | 11.7 | 10.0 | 13.0 | 13.2 |
| Cards | 2.50 | 1.90 | 1.50 | 2.20 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
AC Milan
0–15'13
16–30'03
31–45'01
46–60'14
61–75'60
76–90'43
Venezia
0–15'12
16–30'14
31–45'13
46–60'22
61–75'44
76–90'28
AC Milan
Current: winless 3 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-5-2 | 5 50% | 0.8 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 1.61 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 5 50% | 1.6 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.53 | 1.21 |
Venezia
Current: winless 6 · scoring 2 · conceding 10
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-5-2 | 10 100% | 0.5 | 1.1 | 2.3 | 1.45 | 1.82 |
| Metric | AC Milan all · 40 | AC Milan at home · 19 | Venezia all · 4 | Venezia away · 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 40 | 19 | – | – |
| Points per game | 1.80 | 1.68 | – | – |
| W / D / L | 20 / 12 / 8 | 9 / 5 / 5 | – | – |
| Goals for / match | 1.40 | 1.32 | – | – |
| Goals against / match | 0.97 | 1.11 | – | – |
| Clean sheets | 35% | 37% | – | – |
| Failed to score | 20% | 21% | – | – |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 47% | – | – |
| Over 2.5 | 45% | 47% | – | – |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.58 | 1.85 | – | – |
| xG against / match | 1.30 | 1.31 | – | – |
| xG difference | 0.28 | 0.54 | – | – |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.18 | -0.53 | – | – |
| xPts / match | 1.54 | 1.70 | – | – |
| Points vs xPts | 0.26 | -0.01 | – | – |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 58% | 53% | – | – |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.43 | 2.50 | – | – |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.93 | 0.75 | – | – |
| Came back from behind | 53% | 50% | – | – |
| Leads held | 74% | 75% | – | – |
| Minutes leading | 27% | 27% | – | – |
| Minutes level | 53% | 50% | – | – |
| Minutes trailing | 20% | 23% | – | – |
| First goal (min) | 47 | 47 | – | – |
| First goal conceded (min) | 44 | 37 | – | – |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 66% | 64% | – | – |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 51% | 52% | – | – |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.35 | 0.37 | – | – |
| Late goals against | 0.20 | 0.21 | – | – |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 53% | 55% | – | – |
| Shots | 13.0 | 15.8 | – | – |
| On target | 4.3 | 4.9 | – | – |
| Shot conversion | 11% | 8% | – | – |
| Shots inside box | 69% | 67% | – | – |
| Big chances created | 2.5 | 2.7 | – | – |
| Corners | 4.1 | 4.7 | – | – |
| xG from set plays | 29% | 28% | – | – |
| Goals from headers | 9% | 12% | – | – |
| Pressure index | 15.8 | 19.5 | – | – |
| Dominant minutes | 51.8 | 58.2 | – | – |
| Pass accuracy | 87% | 88% | – | – |
| Fouls | 10.1 | 10.0 | – | – |
| Cards | 1.85 | 1.84 | – | – |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
AC Milan
0–15'56
16–30'37
31–45'116
46–60'137
61–75'105
76–90'148
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
AC Milan · 40 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.23) · stands out: v bottom-tier opponents +0.92
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.2340
Early press (0-15, level)+0.0540
Late push (76+, level)+0.0719
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.6410
Game state
When ahead+0.0927
When level+0.1740
When behind+0.6117
10 min after conceding+0.0726
10 min after scoring+0.6432
Situations
With ten men-0.035
Against ten men-0.782
At home+0.3119
Away+0.1721
3 days rest or fewer+0.722
4+ days rest+0.2138
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.1412
v mid-tier opponents+0.2510
v bottom-tier opponents+0.924
As favourite+0.4725
Evenly matched-0.1313
As underdog-0.322
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.0540
Conceded when ahead+0.0927
Conceded late (76+)-0.0636
Congested vs rested +0.52 · Ahead vs level -0.09 · Behind vs level +0.43
Venezia · 4 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.22) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.25
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.224
Early press (0-15, level)+0.064
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.214
Game state
When level+0.244
When behind+0.224
10 min after conceding-0.254
10 min after scoring-0.012
Situations
At home+0.612
Away-0.162
4+ days rest+0.224
Opposition
v bottom-tier opponents+0.462
Evenly matched+0.182
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.104
Conceded late (76+)+0.134
Ahead vs level -0.53 · Behind vs level -0.02
AC Milan
Current: winless 3 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-5-2 | 33 82% | 1.91 | 1.42 | 0.85 | 1.56 | 1.31 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 5 12% | 1.6 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.53 | 1.21 |
| 4-3-3 | 1 2% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 2.38 | 1.5 |
| 3-1-4-2 | 1 2% | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.66 | 1.14 |
Venezia
Current: winless 6 · scoring 2 · conceding 10
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-5-2 | 4 100% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.75 | 1.53 | 2.18 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 120 snapshots · last 45m before kick-off · biggest step: home -2.8 pts at 10.8h
1.48Home 65% ▼ -2.8 ptsopened 1.394.64Draw 21% · +0.2 ptsopened 4.586.98Away 14% ▲ +2.6 ptsopened 8.4
Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.48 ▼ -2.8 | 4.64 · +0.2 | 6.98 ▲ +2.6 | 45m |
| bet365 | 1.45 ▼ -7.1 | 4.5 ▲ +3.1 | 6.5 ▲ +4.1 | 45m |
| Betfair | 1.44 ▼ -3.6 | 4.5 · +0.5 | 7.0 ▲ +3.0 | 45m |
| BetVictor | 1.44 ▼ -4.8 | 4.4 ▲ +1.7 | 7.0 ▲ +3.1 | 45m |
| Coral | 1.48 ▼ -4.7 | 4.6 ▲ +1.1 | 6.5 ▲ +3.6 | 45m |
| Ladbrokes | 1.48 ▼ -5.5 | 4.6 · +0.9 | 6.0 ▲ +4.6 | 45m |
| Unibet | 1.44 ▼ -5.6 | 4.3 ▲ +2.2 | 6.75 ▲ +3.4 | 45m |
| WilliamHill | 1.44 ▼ -2.5 | 4.2 · +0.8 | 6.5 ▲ +1.8 | 45m |
bet365 (Pinnacle absent) · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 120 snapshots · last 45m before kick-off · biggest step: no -2.0 pts at 4.8h
1.8Yes 52% ▲ +10.9 ptsopened 2.251.95No 48% ▼ -10.9 ptsopened 1.57
Yes No consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.8 ▲ +10.9 | 1.95 ▼ -10.9 | 45m |
| Betfair | 1.83 ▲ +8.7 | 1.91 ▼ -8.7 | 45m |
| BetVictor | 1.8 ▲ +8.4 | 1.9 ▼ -8.4 | 45m |
| Unibet | 1.86 ▲ +7.3 | 1.88 ▼ -7.3 | 45m |
| WilliamHill | 1.8 ▲ +8.3 | 1.95 ▼ -8.3 | 45m |
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 120 snapshots · last 45m before kick-off · biggest step: under -1.9 pts at 8.8h
1.72Over 56% ▲ +5.7 ptsopened 1.892.22Under 44% ▼ -5.7 ptsopened 1.94
Over Under consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.72 ▲ +5.7 | 2.22 ▼ -5.7 | 45m |
| bet365 | 1.66 ▲ +4.4 | 2.2 ▼ -4.4 | 45m |
| Betfair | 1.6 ▲ +7.9 | 2.2 ▼ -7.9 | 45m |
| BetVictor | 1.64 ▲ +4.6 | 2.07 ▼ -4.6 | 45m |
| Unibet | 1.68 ▲ +4.1 | 2.12 ▼ -4.1 | 45m |
Latest prices
bet365 · last snapshot 0.8h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
1.45Home 65% P 65%4.5Draw 21% P 21%6.5Away 14% P 14%
Double Chance
1.11AC Milan or Draw 42%1.18AC Milan or Venezia 40%2.62Draw or Venezia 18%
Draw No Bet
1.161 81%5.02 19%
Both Teams To Score
1.8Yes 52%1.95No 48%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.66Over 57% P 56%2.2Under 43% P 44%
Total Corners
8.0Under 6 11%2.876 - 8 30%2.629 - 11 33%4.7512 - 14 18%13.0Over 14 7%
Number of Cards
2.51.8Over 51% P 55%1.9Under 49% P 45%
3.52.25Over 41% P 36%1.57Under 59% P 64%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 65–67.5% · away 12.5–15% · 566 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 65% | 66% | 69% | +3.3 |
| Draw | 21% | 20% | 20% | -0.7 |
| Away | 14% | 14% | 11% | -2.7 |
In those fixtures: 3.1 goals a game · BTTS 51% · over 2.5 58%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 55–57.5% · 2,508 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 56% | 56% | 56% | -0.2 |
Gianluca Manganiello
- Career
- 121 matches · 14 seasons
- Cards / match
- 3.89 (3.68 yellow · 0.14 red)
- Fouls / match
- 23.9 · 6.2 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.26
- Cards to home side
- 50%
Style in Serie A (5-year window · 55 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 3.82 | 4.48 | -0.95 | 17 |
| Fouls / match | 24.1 | 25.1 | -0.64 | |
| Fouls per card | 6.5 | 5.6 | +0.71 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.22 | 0.31 | -0.85 | 20 |
| Time added | 5.9 | 6.4 | -1.07 | 15 |
- First card
- 36' on average
- Card timing
- 15% in first 30' · 30% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 51% (league 46%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.18
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-17 | 4 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 51' | 8 |
| 2026-03-14 | 4 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 21' | 7 |
| 2026-02-21 | 3 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 10' | 11 |
| 2026-02-03 · AC Milan | 3 | 0 | 24 | 1 | 51' | 7 |
| 2026-01-26 | 2 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 46' | 6 |
| 2025-11-09 | 4 | 0 | 37 | 0 | 25' | 6 |
| 2025-10-26 | 5 | 0 | 34 | 0 | 24' | 8 |
| 2025-09-28 | 1 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 42' | 9 |
| 2025-09-14 | – | – | 19 | – | – | 5 |