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Serie A · Matchweek 2

Momentum

LecceRoma
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
2

Venue

Stadium
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare, Lecce
Capacity
40,800
Surface
grass
Attendance
27,031

Teams

Coaches
Eusebio Di Francesco · Gian Gasperini
Position
10 · 8
Formation
3-5-2 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Daniele Chiffi

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
30.0° (feels 33.2°)
Wind
1.5
Humidity
62%

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2026/2027

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Roma 4400 12111 12 WWWW
2 Inter 4400 1367 12 WWWW
3 Como 4310 945 10 DWWW
4 Lazio 4310 633 10 WWWD
5 Cagliari 4301 422 9 WLWW
6 AC Milan 4220 743 8 WWDD
7 Frosinone 4211 743 7 LWWD
8 Juventus 4211 642 7 WWDL
9 Sassuolo 4211 871 7 LWDW
10 Napoli 4202 651 6 WLLW
11 Atalanta 4202 550 6 WWLL
12 Lecce 4202 57-2 6 WLLW
13 Udinese 4112 810-2 4 DWLL
14 Torino 4103 47-3 3 LLWL
15 Fiorentina 4103 511-6 3 LLLW
16 Bologna 4013 25-3 1 LLDL
17 Parma 4013 26-4 1 LLDL
18 Monza 4013 611-5 1 LLDL
19 Genoa 4013 28-6 1 LLLD
20 Venezia 4004 411-7 0 LLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation

Lecce

LWWW 3W 0D 1L · 9 pts (2.25 ppg) · GF 6 GA 3 · xG 5.26–7.18 · xPts 4.41

  • W A Venezia 2–0 xG 1.9–2.21 ITA SA
  • W H Genoa 1–0 xG 1.36–0.89 ITA SA
  • W A Sassuolo 3–2 xG 0.88–1.99 ITA SA
  • L H Juventus 0–1 xG 1.12–2.09 ITA SA

Roma

WWWWW 5W 0D 0L · 15 pts (3.0 ppg) · GF 15 GA 2 · xG 12.22–2.57 · xPts 12.47

  • W H Fiorentina 4–0 xG 3.1–0.32 ITA SA
  • W A Hellas Verona 2–0 xG 2.78–0.44 ITA SA
  • W H Lazio 2–0 xG 1.57–0.6 ITA SA
  • W A Parma 3–2 xG 2.42–1.07 ITA SA
  • W H Fiorentina 4–0 xG 2.35–0.14 ITA SA

All meetings · 19 matches since 2005

Lecce 13 draws15 Roma

Goals 15–41 · 2.95 per match · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 63%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Lecce 02 draws8 Roma

Goals 4–21 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Lecce 00 draws5 Roma

Goals 1–12 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 20% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • L Lecce 0–4 Roma ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Roma 1–0 Lecce ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Lecce 0–2 Roma ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Lecce 0–1 Roma ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Roma 4–1 Lecce ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Lecce 0–0 Roma ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Roma 2–1 Lecce ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Lecce 1–1 Roma ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Roma 2–1 Lecce ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Roma 4–0 Lecce ITA SA · Regular Season
MetricLecce all · 4Lecce at home · 2Roma all · 4Roma away · 2

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Lecce · 4 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.31) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.43

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.314
Early press (0-15, level)-0.434

Game state

When ahead-0.342
When level-0.294
When behind-0.272
10 min after conceding-0.233
10 min after scoring-0.202

Situations

At home-0.372
Away-0.272
4+ days rest-0.314

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents-0.382
As underdog-0.233

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.804
Conceded when ahead+0.912
Conceded late (76+)+0.563

Ahead vs level -0.05 · Behind vs level +0.02

Roma · 5 matches

Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.66) · stands out: when level +0.82

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.665
Early press (0-15, level)+0.385
Late push (76+, level)+0.042

Game state

When ahead+0.365
When level+0.825
10 min after conceding-0.312
10 min after scoring+0.545

Situations

At home+1.332
Away+0.173
4+ days rest+0.665

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.912
As favourite+0.665

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.195
Conceded when ahead-0.195
Conceded late (76+)-0.563

Ahead vs level -0.46 · Behind vs level -0.11

Lecce

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-32 50%3.02.51.01.552.62
4-2-3-11 25%0.00.01.00.761.14
3-5-21 25%0.00.04.00.772.72

Roma

Current: unbeaten 12 · wins 1 · scoring 22 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-13 75%3.03.330.02.630.62
3-4-1-21 25%3.02.01.03.310.88

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 120 snapshots · last 30m before kick-off · biggest step: away +1.7 pts at 4.0d

7.56Home 13% ▼ -1.2 ptsopened 6.94.38Draw 22% ▼ -1.2 ptsopened 4.141.48Away 65% ▲ +2.4 ptsopened 1.53
4d3d2d24h12h6h1hKO 10%20%30%40%50%60%

Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

BookmakerHomeDrawAwayLast
Pinnacle7.56 ▼ -1.24.38 ▼ -1.21.48 ▲ +2.430m
bet3657.5 · -0.94.33 ▼ -1.81.44 ▲ +2.730m
Betfair7.5 · -0.74.2 ▼ -1.41.44 ▲ +2.130m
BetVictor7.5 ▼ -1.84.2 ▼ -1.51.44 ▲ +3.230m
Coral7.0 · -0.94.33 ▼ -1.61.48 ▲ +2.630m
Ladbrokes7.0 · -0.84.33 ▼ -2.11.48 ▲ +2.930m
Unibet7.5 ▼ -1.44.1 · -0.61.43 ▲ +2.030m
WilliamHill7.0 ▼ -1.14.0 ▼ -1.31.44 ▲ +2.330m

Latest prices

bet365 · last snapshot 0.5h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

7.5Home 13% P 13%4.33Draw 22% P 22%1.44Away 66% P 65%

Double Chance

2.62Lecce or Draw 18%1.2Lecce or Roma 39%1.1Draw or Roma 43%

Draw No Bet

5.51 17%1.142 83%

Both Teams To Score

2.1Yes 44%1.66No 56%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.0Over 47% P 47%1.8Under 53% P 53%

Total Corners

7.0Under 6 13%2.756 - 8 32%2.759 - 11 32%5.512 - 14 16%13.0Over 14 7%

Number of Cards

3.52.2Over 42% P 42%1.61Under 58% P 58%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 12.5–15% · away 65–67.5% · 254 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home13%14%13%-0.7
Draw22%20%21%+1.1
Away65%66%66%-0.5

In those fixtures: 3.0 goals a game · BTTS 54% · over 2.5 58%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 45–47.5% · 2,885 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.547%46%45%-1.2

Daniele Chiffi

Career
140 matches · 14 seasons
Cards / match
4.09 (3.85 yellow · 0.19 red)
Fouls / match
24.4 · 5.9 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.26
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Serie A (5-year window · 70 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.934.49-0.8022
Fouls / match22.925.2-1.45
Fouls per card5.95.6+0.08 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.210.31-0.8815
Time added6.76.4+0.5871
First card
38' on average
Card timing
15% in first 30' · 39% in last 15'
Cards to home side
46% (league 46%)
VAR events / match
1.13

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-08-13 50 220 40'5
2026-07-23 30 250 35'8
2026-05-10 · Roma 41 221 48'7
2026-05-04 30 290 40'8
2026-04-19 20 190 24'6
2026-04-04 20 251 29'9
2026-02-22 20 190 37'7
2026-02-08 21 160 55'4
2026-01-24 · Lecce 30 220 51'6
2026-01-18 · Roma 30 220 9'7